EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm SLIDE PRESENTATION FROM THE CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL AIRLINE CONFERENCE Slide Presentation from the Credit Suisse Global Airline Conference
This presentation may include forward-looking statements regarding the performance of Alaska Air Group
or its
subsidiaries.  Actual results may differ materially from these projections.  Please see our most recent Annual
Report on Form 10-K for additional information concerning factors that could cause
results to differ.
December 2, 2008
Exhibit 99.1
Credit
Suisse
Global
Airline
Conference


A track record of adapting quickly to change
2002
-
Transcon expansion
2003
-
Unveiled Alaska 2010 Plan
2004
-
Airport of the Future –
Anchorage
Closed OAK maintenance base
2005
-
Order for up to 100 Boeing 737 aircraft
2006
-
Horizon 25th anniversary
Horizon Regional Airline of the Year
2007
-
Alaska 75th anniversary
Airport of the Future –
Seattle
Inaugurated service to Hawaii
2008
Alaska
single-fleet
transition
complete


Fuel has moderated and analysts are
forecasting industry profits for 2009
($3.9) mil Nov ‘08
($12)
($9)
($6)
($3)
$0
$3
$6
2008
est.
2009
est.
($12) mil Nov ‘08
($100)
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
2008
est.*
2009
est.*
(in millions)
Industry
(in billions)
*First Call mean estimate as of 11/26/08. Does not necessarily reflect the company’s internal forecast.
($5.4) mil July ‘08
Analyst estimates as of July
($60) mil July ‘08
$89 mil Nov ’08
($63) mil July ‘08
$3.4 mil Nov ‘08
($3.8) mil July
‘08
Analyst estimates as of November


Our strategy for the current economy
1.
Preserve our strong balance sheet
2.
Cut capacity and redeploy aircraft
3.
Maximize unit revenues
4.
Reduce fuel consumption
5.
Control our non-fuel costs


Strong cash position and
multiple sources of liquidity
Cash as a % of Revenues
Q3 ‘08
Note: Calculated using unrestricted cash and short-term investments at September 30, 2008 divided by revenue for the 12 months ended September 30,
2008. As of October 21, Alaska Air Group had $1.18 billion in cash.
Source:  Company earnings releases and 10Qs as of Q3 2008
Fuel hedging cash collateral
Possible sources of
liquidity
$110 million available
on line of credit
$172 million maximum
pre-delivery payment
facility 
Unencumbered aircraft
Forward sale of miles
11%
12%
14%
15%
17%
19%
19%
23%
29%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
US Airways Group
AirTran
United
Delta
Jet Blue
Continental
American
Northwest
Alaska Air Group
Southwest


Relatively low leverage outside bankruptcy
34%
75%
75%
78%
83%
88%
92%
93%
100%
114%
-30%
20%
70%
120%
Alaska
Air
Group
Adjusted
Debt-to-Capitalization
Q3
2008
Source:  Company Q3 08 SEC filings
FPA-PS 090308


-20%
-15%
-10%
5%
0%
5%
10%
2008
forecast
-15%
-10%
-5%
O%
5%
10%
2008
forecast
Reduce and redeploy capacity
year-over-year %
available seat mile (ASM) growth
-7.5%
-10 to –12%
-8%
Q408
Q109
2009
forecast
0%
Q408
Q109
2009
forecast
-20%
-14%
-9%
-9%
Q408
Q109
2009
forecast
-17%
-12%
-14%
Q408
Q109
2009
forecast
-21%
-19%
-11%
Departures
Capacity


Capacity is coming out, but West Coast
remains very competitive
Sources:
Industry
-
Latest
published
schedules;
AS
8K
filed
11-17-08
ASM Chg -
4Q 08 vs. 4Q 07
Domestic U.S.
Mainline
West Coast
Mainline
SEA to
Bay Area
SEA to
LA Basin
Alaska
Industry


Flagstaff
Flagstaff
Anchorage
Anchorage
Boston
Boston
Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Spokane
Spokane
San Diego
San Diego
Palm Springs
Palm Springs
San Jose
San Jose
Lihue (Kauai)
Lihue (Kauai)
Honolulu (Oahu)
Honolulu (Oahu)
Kahului
(Maui)
Kahului
(Maui)
Kona (Hawaii)
Kona (Hawaii)
Santa Rosa
Santa Rosa
Seattle
Seattle
Portland
Portland
San Francisco
San Francisco
Eugene
Eugene
Boise
Boise
Minneapolis
Minneapolis
San Diego
San Diego
Sacramento
Sacramento
Las Vegas
Las Vegas
Cancun
Cancun
Eureka
Eureka
Redeployments
improve the network
Jan ’07 –
Dec ‘08


Maximizing unit revenues
remains an important goal
Fare increases
Better yield management
Mileage Plan (FFP) changes
Ancillary revenue opportunities consistent
with our brand


Fuel continues to be the wildcard


Source: 10K reports as of Dec. 31, 2007
Alaska’s all-737 fleet is one of the youngest
17.5
15
13
12.8
10.8
10
9.4
7.6
4
3.1
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Northwest
American
United
Delta
US Air
Continental
Southwest
Alaska 2009
AirTran
JetBlue
Average fleet age (years)


Alaska’s aircraft most
fuel-efficient in operation today
Alaska Domestic Mission Rules
Nominal fuel burn
Pax/Bag weight = 220 lb
100% load factor
Better
10.76
11.16
11.65
12.38
12.63
12.75
13.12
15.36
16.49
3
8
13
18
737-900
172 seats
737-800
157 seats
A320  
149 seats
757-200
182 seats
737-700
124 seats
737-400
144 seats
A319  
122 seats
MD-80
140 seats
DC-9 140
125 seats
Fuel gallons per passenger
Source: The Boeing Company


Horizon’s aircraft are among
the most fuel-efficient
5.8
6.2
6.7
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.7
10.6
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
     Q400  
76 seats
CRJ900
88 seats
      E190  
99 seats
CRJ700
70 seats
    Q200   
37 seats
CRJ200
50 seats
     E170   
72 seats
    B1900  
19 seats
400 statute miles
100% load factor
Better
Fuel gallons per passenger
Source: Bombardier


$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
Q408
2009
2010
2011
Previous Position
Current Position
Improved fuel hedge strike prices
50%
Percent hedged
8%
29%
1%
17%
50%
50%
50%
Updated
November
25,2008


CASMx
comparison: Alaska vs
competitors
YTD through Q3
5.80
5.96
6.76
7.01
7.40
7.43
7.55
7.86
8.32
0
2
4
6
8
10
JBLU
AAI
WN
DL
AS
NW
CO
UA
US
Source: Press releases and 10-Q data, not SL adjusted


Capacity reductions will put pressure
on non-fuel unit costs
Cost per available seat mile
excluding fuel
8.73¢
8.52¢
8.33¢
7.92¢
7.0¢
7.5¢
8.0¢
8.5¢
9.0¢
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
8.01¢
7.81¢
2007
7.50¢
2008
guidance
Reflects 8K guidance as of 8/21/08 SA-IR
7.52¢
2009


“You’ve got to be very realistic
about where you are…
but very optimistic
about where
you can be.”
Steve Ballmer
Microsoft CEO


14.2
14.5
11.6
11.8
7.3
4.2
1.7
4.8
4.5
2.5
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sept
Oct
0%
50%
100%
Greatly improved on-time performance
reduces costs
DOT on-time performance


J.D. Power and Associates North America Airlines
Satisfaction Study –
June 16, 2008
More than 19,000 business and leisure travelers
surveyed
Alaska garnered high marks for:
Aircraft
Boarding/deplaning/baggage
Check-in
Flight crews
Reservations
Source: PR Newswire, June 16, 2008
*In a tie with Continental Airlines among North American carriers
Improved on-time, reliability and baggage
handling means higher customer satisfaction


2007
Program of the Year
Best Elite-Level
Program
Best Web Site
2006
Best Elite-Level
Program
Best Web Site
Best Member 
Communications
2005
Best Elite-Level
Program
Best Member
Communications
An Award-Winning Mileage Plan
2004
Best Program
Best Web Site
Best Member
Communications
2003
Best Program
Best Member
Communications
2002
Best Program
Best Award
Best Website
2001
Best Award
Best Member
Communications


Honolulu
Lihue
Source:  AAG revenue reports and APGDat.  Size of line indicated relative volume.
Guadalajara
Orlando
Loreto
Mazatlan
Chicago
Mexico City
Palm Springs
San Diego
Las Vegas
Phoenix
Tucson
Cancun
Vancouver
Miami
Washington, D.C.
Boston
New York
(Newark)
Dallas/Ft Worth
Denver
Spokane
Reno
Sacramento
Boise
San Jose
Oakland
Barrow
Prudhoe
Bay
Bay
Kotzebue
Petersburg
Wrangell
Ketchikan
Ontario
Burbank
Orange County
Long Beach
Seattle
Portland
San Francisco Int'l
Los Angeles Int'l
World-class partners drive
additional revenue
Big opportunity off          
the West Coast


Alaska Air Group is well positioned
to weather the current environment
Realistic about today with credible plan
Optimistic about tomorrow
Strong balance sheet
Young, fuel-efficient, simple fleet
Positioned to benefit from growth                              
through network of code-share partners
Preferred product
Loyal customers and two great brands
Focused on delivering shareholder returns