EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES FOR MEETING ON DECEMBER 1, 2005 Presentation slides for meeting on December 1, 2005
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December 1, 2005
December 1, 2005
Exhibit 99.1
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Morgan Stanley
Chemicals Small Cap Roundtable


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Highlights
Highlights
Chlor Alkali netbacks have and will continue to improve
sequentially, particularly as a result of higher Caustic
prices
Contracts renewing in 2006 will provide favorable price
resetting
Metals volumes through August are down approximately
4%
and 6%
for strip and rod, respectively; but better
than the overall industry
Metals 2006 profit improvement actions likely to include
plant closures, realignments and headcount reductions
Winchester to realize meaningful revenue from military
second source contract in 2nd half of 2006


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Chlor
Chlor
Alkali
Alkali
Products
Products
Recent price increases announced:
August Caustic $50 –
impact Q4 2005
Early September Chlorine $20 –
impact Q4 2005
Late September Caustic $75 –
impact 2006
Early November Caustic $60 –
impact 2006
Contracts resetting in 2006
Hurricanes did not damage any Olin plants, but
disrupted customers and rail lines
Higher transportation and energy costs, Olin system
less dependent on natural gas
Bleach expansion


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Olin’s
Olin’s
Chlor
Chlor
Alkali
Alkali
Contracts
Contracts
Olin contracts nearly 100% of its chlorine and
caustic sales
On about two-thirds of the chlorine and caustic
volumes, prices change quarterly, with a
combination of formula-based and negotiated
pricing, balance renegotiated annually or semi-
annually
Many contracts have a one quarter lag in them,
which delays price increases in a tightening
market, but helps in a softening market
Competitive forces dictate contract duration and
terms


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Impact of High Chlorine Prices
Impact of High Chlorine Prices
On Chlor Alkali Profitability
On Chlor Alkali Profitability
Chlorine buyers are highly concentrated
Some large chlorine buyers have contractual caps
and
/
or
discounts
which
dampen
impact
of
price
increases
at
high
end
of
contract
range
Chlorine contracts are multi-year and recognize
cycle pricing trends
Olin has been able to increase chlorine selling
prices above our historical highs


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Caustic Price Increases Are A
Caustic Price Increases Are A
Key to Higher ECU Values
Key to Higher ECU Values
Historically, Olin’s chlor alkali business has seen
peak earnings during times of high Caustic prices
Caustic customers are smaller and more numerous
Caustic demand improvement normally lags
Chlorine by six months
Olin sells 10% more caustic than chlorine
Proximity to customers reduces freight costs
compared to chlorine


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Metals
Metals
Volumes through August are down in strip and
rod by 4% and 6%, respectively, but better than
the industry which is down 11% and 9%
Shipments in electronics, automotive and building
products down 9%, coinage up 7% and
ammunition flat, but with upside in 2006 for
ammunition
Higher energy and commodity costs are impacting
2005


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Metals
Metals
Earnings improvement opportunities through the
likely combination of plant closures, realignments
and headcount reductions to be completed in 2006
Limited expansion of our China distribution
facility by adding stamping capabilities
We believe that we are the low cost metals
producer in the U. S. putting us in a preferred
position with regards to profitability


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Winchester
Winchester
Higher sales volumes to commercial, military and
law enforcement customers were more than offset
by increased copper, lead, steel and resin costs
Price increases announced for 2006 to offset
higher commodity prices
Start-up costs at the Oxford, MS facility also
increased expenses in Q3
Olin, as part of the General Dynamics team, was
awarded the second source small caliber
ammunition contract –
meaningful revenue
realization should occur in second half of 2006


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Financial Highlights
Financial Highlights
2005 cash generation supported by use of net
operating loss carryforwards
Recovery of environmental costs offsets higher
legal and legal related costs
$6 million voluntary pension contribution in
September 2005
We do not believe that mandatory contributions
will
be
required
for
2
years


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Financial Highlights
Financial Highlights
(continued)
(continued)
Repaid $27 million of debt in 2004 and $52
million in 2005
2005 pension expense expected to increase by
approximately $16 million over 2004
2005 effective tax rate of 39%
Commitment to investment grade credit rating
Capital spending levels expected to be in line with
depreciation in 2005


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Forward-Looking Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
This
presentation
contains
estimates
of
future  
performance,
which
are
forward-looking
statements  
and
results
could
differ
materially
from
those
anticipated
in
the
forward-looking
statements. 
Some
of
the
factors
that
could
cause
actual
results
to
differ
are
described
in
the
business
and
outlook
sections
of
Olin’s
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended  
December
31,
2004
and
in
Olin’s
Third
Quarter
2005
Earnings
Release.
These
reports
are
filed
with
the
U.S.
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission.