EX-99.1 2 longbowslides3062012.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES FOR MEETING ON 3/6/2012 longbowslides3062012.htm
1
Longbow Research
Basic Materials Investor
Conference


March 6, 2012
Exhibit 99.1
 
 

 
2
Company Overview
All financial data are for the years ending December 31, 2011 and December 31, 2010. Data are presented in millions of U.S. dollars
except for earnings per share on a GAAP basis. 2011 results include a $181 million gain associated with the remeasurement of Olin’s
SunBelt interest, or $1.30 per share. Additional information is available at
www.olin.com.
Winchester
Chlor Alkali
Third Largest North American Producer
of Chlorine and Caustic Soda
 FY 2011 FY 2010
Revenue: $ 1,389 $ 1,037
Income:  $ 245 $ 117
A Leading North American Producer of
Small Caliber Ammunition
 FY 2011 FY 2010
Revenue:  $ 572 $ 549
Income:   $ 38 $ 63
Revenue:                           $1,961          $1,586
EBITDA:                           $   508          $   188
Pretax Operating Inc.:     $   380          $     77
EPS (Diluted):                   $  2.99          $    .81
 FY 2011 FY 2010
Olin Corporation
 
 

 
3
Investment Rationale
 Leading North American producer of Chlor-Alkali
 Leading producer of industrial bleach with additional growth
 opportunities
 Leading producer of burner grade hydrochloric acid
 Favorable industry dynamics for both businesses
 Winchester’s leading industry position
 Significant cost reduction program underway
 Strong balance sheet, positive earnings outlook
 341st consecutive quarterly dividend declared
 
 

 
4
Chlor Alkali Segment
ECU = Electrochemical Unit; a unit of measure reflecting the chlor alkali process outputs
of 1 ton of chlorine, 1.13 tons of 100% caustic soda and .03 tons of hydrogen.
North
American
Position
Percent
of 2011
Revenue
#2
#3
#1
Industrial
#1
Merchant
#1
Burner
Grade
50%
10%
4%
9%
26%
1%
Chlor Alkali Manufacturing Process
BRINE + ELECTROLYSIS = OUTPUTS
Caustic Soda - 1.13 Tons
(Sodium Hydroxide)
(Potassium Hydroxide)
Bleach
(Sodium Hypochlorite)
Chlorine - 1 Ton
Potassium Chloride
 or
 Sodium Chloride
KOH - 1.59 Tons
HCl
(Hydrochloric Acid)
Hydrogen Gas - .03 Tons
 KOH
 or
 Caustic Soda
Chlorine
Hydrogen
1.8 Tons Salt &
.5 Tons Water
2.8 Megawatts Electricity
 
 

 
5
 
 

 
6
Mercury Transition Plan
 Olin currently operates 2 mercury cell plants representing
 approximately 360,000 ECUs or 17% of our total capacity
 By the end of 2012, Olin expects to convert 200,000 ECUs
 of mercury cell technology to membrane technology and will
 shutdown the remaining 160,000 ECUs
 This project will right size our capacity in the region, service
 our local customers with the latest technology, reduce our
 electricity costs, and close our highest cost chlor alkali plant
 Estimated cost is $160 million over 2011 and 2012, aided by
 $41 million of low-cost Tennessee-sponsored tax-exempt
 financing
 
 

 
7
 Capacity Rationalization
Favorable Industry Dynamics
Acquisition
Date
Position
          Olin announced capacity reductions expected to be in place by 12/31/2012
 
Source: CMAI.
 Industry Consolidation
1.26 million
tons of capacity
rationalized;
7.3% of 2000
capacity
16,040
17,300
2007
2004
 Acquired by Olin
 725,000 Short Tons ECU Capacity
 4.7% of North American capacity
 Acquired by OxyChem
 859,000 Short Tons ECU Capacity
 5.5% of North American capacity
Pioneer
Vulcan
2010
 Acquired by Cydsa/Iquisa
 45,000 Short Tons ECU Capacity
Mexichem
2011
 Olin acquired PolyOne’s 50%
 ownership in the SunBelt JV
 176,000 Short Tons ECU Capacity
PolyOne
2011
 Acquired by PPG
 70,000 Short Tons ECU Capacity
Equa-Chlor
 
 

 
8
Diverse Customer Base
Chlorine
Caustic Soda
North American Industry
Olin Corporation
Source: CMAI and Olin 2011 demand. Includes sales of SunBelt.
Chlorine: “Organics” includes: Propylene oxide, epichlorohydrin, MDI, TDI, polycarbonates. “Inorganics” includes: Titanium dioxide and bromine.
Caustic Soda: “Organics” includes: MDI, TDI, polycarbonates, synthetic glycerin, sodium formate, monosodium glutamate. “Inorganics” includes: titanium dioxide, sodium silicates, sodium cyanide.
 
 

 
9
Bleach Plants
39
Tacoma, WA
Tracy, CA
Santa Fe Springs, CA
Henderson, NV
St. Gabriel, LA
Augusta, GA
Charleston, TN
Niagara Falls, NY
Becancour,
Quebec
Olin’s Geographic Advantage
Location
Chlorine Capacity
(000s Short Tons)
McIntosh, AL
 426 Diaphragm
McIntosh, AL - SunBelt
 352 Membrane
Becancour, Quebec
 297 Diaphragm
 65 Membrane
Niagara Falls, NY
 300 Membrane
Charleston, TN (1)
226 Mercury
St. Gabriel, LA
 246 Membrane
Henderson, NV
 153 Diaphragm
Augusta, GA (1)
75 Mercury
Total
2,140
 Access to regional customers including bleach and water treatment
 Access to alternative energy sources
  Coal, hydroelectric, natural gas and nuclear
(1) Announced the conversion of 200,000 tons of mercury cell technology to membrane cell technology at the Charleston, TN facility
 and the closure of the mercury cell facility in Augusta, GA, both are expected to be completed by 12/31/12.
 
 

 
10
Industrial Bleach
 Olin is the leading North American bleach producer with 18% market
 share and current installed capacity to service 25% of the market with
 low-cost expansion opportunities
 Bleach utilizes both chlorine and caustic soda in an ECU ratio
 Bleach commands a premium price over an ECU
 Demand is not materially impacted by economic cycles
 Regional nature of the bleach business benefits Olin’s geographic
 diversity, further enhanced by Olin’s proprietary railcar technology
 In 2012, 3 new HyPure® Bleach investments will add 50% more bleach
 capacity to the Olin system, extend shelf life and lower freight costs
 Bleach shipments increased 15% over 2010 levels and bleach volumes
 are expected to grow in 2012
 
 

 
11
Bleach Growth is a Key Objective
 Olin bleach volume delivers steady growth
 Key bleach target segments include water
 treatment, consumer products, food, farming
 and pool chemicals
 Increased stability and shelf life
 Reduced transportation costs
 Larger shipping radius
 Proprietary Olin advantages
 Potential new category of consumer products
OLIN HYPURE® BLEACH
AND RAILCAR DELIVERY WILL
IMPROVE ACCESS TO THE MARKET
 
 

 
12
Hydrochloric Acid
 Demand is increasing for HCl, primarily from oil and gas
 exploration
 By-product HCl accounts for 75% of the market supply that is
 available, but availability is subject to the demand for
 urethanes and fluorocarbons
 Currently 25% of HCl market supply is “Burner-grade” or
 “on-purpose” HCl
 Burner grade HCl is a reliable source, and while a small cost
 component in oil and gas exploration, is critical to the process
 Demand for HCl is currently higher than supply
 Olin HCl pricing and volume outlook is favorable
 
 

 
13
Growing HCl Demand
North American HCl Supply
 Burner acid is the only growing HCl supply source
 75% of HCl is supplied by Gulf byproduct producers
 Byproduct HCl availability is less reliable than burner
 Olin is ideally positioned to serve the West & North
North American HCl Demand
 Oil & Gas demand has outstripped supply
 U.S. steel industry demand is recovering
 Diverse demand segments grow with GDP
 2011 supply shortages upset the market
Source: CEH 2009
 
 

 
14
Chlor-Alkali Outlook
 2011 ECU netbacks(1) of $560 were up $85 over 2010 netbacks and we expect
 Q1 2012 netbacks to include the 2011 $65 caustic soda price announcement
 A subsequent $80 caustic increase was announced in November 2011 followed
 by a $45 price hike in February/March 2012 by all major producers; and a $40
 chlorine price increase announcement in late February by Olin
 Q4 2011 operating rates dropped to 70% as demand across all chlorine
 consuming groups fell. Q1 2012 operating rates are expected to be 80%
 Bleach shipments increased 15% over 2010 and bleach volumes have
 increased quarter over quarter since 2007 reflecting the success of this strategy.
 We expect to experience continued growth in 2012
 In 2012, we expect to complete 3 new HyPure® Bleach facilities increasing
 our bleach capacity by 50% over current levels
 2011 Hydrochloric Acid sales increased 12% over 2010 levels reflecting the
 growing demand from shale oil & gas exploration
(1) ECU netback = Price of 1 ton of Chlorine + 1.1 x price of 1 ton of Caustic Soda - Freight cost
 
 

 
15
Winchester Segment
Winchester Strategy
 Cost Reduction
  Centerfire relocation
  Once complete, we
 expect $30 million
 lower operating costs
  Meaningful savings
 begin in 2013
 New Product Development
  Continue to develop
 new product offerings
  Maintain reputation as a
 new product innovator
 Provide returns in excess of
 cost of capital
 
Hunters & Recreational Shooters
 
 
 
Products
Retail
Distributors
Mass
Merchants
Law
Enforcement
Military
Industrial
Rifle
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
N/A
Handgun
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
N/A
Rimfire
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
Shotshell
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
Components
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
ü
Brands
 
 

 
16
Favorable Industry Dynamics
Commercial
 Economic environment leading to personal security concerns
 Fears of increased gun/ammunition control
 New gun and ammunition products
 Strong hunting activity in weak economy, driven by cost/benefit of hunting
 for food and increased discretionary time
Law
Enforcement
 Significant new federal agency contracts and solid federal law enforcement
 funding
 Higher numbers of law enforcement officers and increase in federal agency
 hiring
 Increased firearms training requirements among state and local law
 enforcement agencies
Military
 Consistent level of demand from inventory replenishment and training
 Awarded 5 year contract to supply the US Army 5.56mm, 7.62mm and 50
 caliber ammunition; expected to generate $300 million in revenues over the
 contract term
 10 year Lake City ammunition bid submitted with partner, BAE Systems
 
 

 
17
Winchester
 2011 segment earnings of $38 million represent the third most
 profitable year and include $5 million of restructuring charges
 associated with the move of centerfire operations to Oxford, MS
 The U.S. Army awarded Winchester a 5 year contract to produce
 .50 caliber, 5.56mm and 7.62mm ammunition beginning Q1 2012
 providing expected revenues of approximately $300 million
 The expected 15% reduction in demand that typically follows a
 surge period did not occur reflecting higher gun ownership levels,
 and we expect post-surge earnings to exceed pre-surge levels
 In January, US Munitions, a joint venture between Winchester and
 BAE Systems, submitted a proposal to operate the US Army’s
 small caliber ammunition plant in Lake City for 10 years
 
 

 
18
Centerfire Relocation
 The decision to relocate Winchester’s centerfire operations,
 including 1,000 jobs, was made on November 3, 2010
 The controlled relocation process is expected to take up to 5 years
 to complete assuring high quality product is available for our
 customers throughout the transition
 The new facility was opened October 2011 and equipment
 relocation began in Q3 2011, currently ahead of schedule
 During Q1, we expect 60% of pistol rounds to be made in Oxford
 Annual operating costs are expected to be reduced by $30 million
 once the move is completed, material cost savings are expected to
 be realized in second half of 2013
 The net project cost is estimated to be $80 million, of which
 approximately $50 million is related to capital expenditures
 In addition to $31 million of grants from MS, $42 million of low-
 cost MS tax-exempt debt was made available to Olin
 
 

 
19
Strong Balance Sheet
 •  The year end 2011 cash balance of $357 million reflects:
        •  A $201 million CAPEX program;
        •  $132 million used to acquire PolyOne’s 50% interest in SunBelt;
        •  A net $51 million reduction of debt outstanding; and
        •  $68 million returned to shareholders
  No material debt maturities until 2016 and no debt towers in
 excess of $150 million
  The Olin pension plans remain fully funded with no
 contributions expected until at least 2013
  2012 CAPEX is forecast to be in the $215 to 245 million
 range which includes:
        •  completion of the mercury conversion project in Charleston, TN;
        •  reconfiguration of our Augusta, GA plant;
        •  construction of three new HyPure® Bleach facilities; and
        •  continued progress on the Winchester centerfire relocation project
 
 

 
20
  In 2011, Chlor-alkali’s earnings were more than twice 2010
 earnings and Winchester’s earnings were approximately 50%
 higher than pre-surge levels
  2011 EBITDA was the second highest in our history
  Entering 2012, ECU pricing is higher than a year ago
  Higher margin bleach business has met growth targets is
 forecast to continue growing market share with the addition
 of three new low salt, high strength facilities
  Opportunities for additional HCl volumes exist to meet oil
 and gas exploration demand
  2012 Winchester volumes are starting stronger than expected
  The Oxford centerfire relocation project is on schedule with
 the goal of reducing annual expenses by $30 million
Profit Outlook
 
 

 
21
Forward-Looking Statements
 This presentation contains estimates of future
 performance, which are forward-looking statements
 and actual results could differ materially from those
 anticipated in the forward-looking statements. Some
 of the factors that could cause actual results to differ
 are described in the business and outlook sections of
 Olin’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
 2011. These reports are filed with the U.S. Securities
 and Exchange Commission.