EX-99.1 2 a05-12376_1ex99d1.htm EX-99.1















 

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Shareholder Update

 

July  2005

 

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NEW STRENGTH.  NEW STRATEGY.  NEW ENERGY.

 



 

Forward-Looking Statement

 

During the course of this presentation today, we will be discussing certain subjects including those pertaining to our strategy, and our discussions may contain forward-looking information. Although our expectations and beliefs are based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially. These factors that may affect our results are listed in certain of our press releases and disclosed in the company’s public filings with the SEC.

 

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Montana Public Power, Inc. Proposal

 

                  MPPI would purchase in cash all NorthWestern common stock at $32.50 per share

 

                  Upon closing, MPPI would sell non-Montana assets and related liabilities to South Dakota Power Company

 

                  MPPI to fund purchase entirely by debt financing

 

                  MPPI states it would maintain rate regulation by state utility commissions; however, this would require a newly invented regulatory framework

 

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NorthWestern Board’s Response To MPPI Proposal

 

                  NorthWestern’s Board, in conjunction with financial and legal advisors, has evaluated MPPI’s informal and formal proposals

 

                  Board’s review process included numerous meetings with advisors, who also met with MPPI and its advisors

 

                  At each stage, NorthWestern provided MPPI with specific guidance on areas that rendered the proposal unacceptable

 

                  Board unanimously rejected informal and formal proposals

                  Unacceptable risks exist that raise doubt in the ability to reach closing

                  Financial consideration is not compelling vs. NorthWestern’s stand-alone prospects

 

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NorthWestern’s Concerns With the MPPI Proposal

 

Financing Risk

 

                  MPPI relies on a highly leveraged, “no equity” financial plan consisting of 100% debt structure

                  Rating agencies uncertain as to whether such debt will be investment grade without regulatory safety net

                  Financed by customers and utility assets, not by taxing or regulatory authority

 

                  Citigroup offered only a “best efforts” commitment, subject to a myriad of contingencies

 

                  Potential significant tax liability exists from proposed transaction

 

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Risks to Stockholders

 

What MPPI Says (June 30, 2005)

MPPI has had preliminary discussions about the transaction with rating agencies, and is confident that projected coverage ratios

are consistent with investment grade credit ratings.”

 

What Standard & Poor’s Says (July 1, 2005)

S&P gave “NorthWestern a ‘BB’ corporate credit rating… with negative implications pending clarity on [MPPI’s] June 30, 2005 offer to buy NorthWestern. The CreditWatch listing reflects Standard & Poor’s lack of information about Montana Public Power and the financing and legal structure of its bid… Should the offer be rejected or withdrawn, it is likely that Standard & Poor’s will affirm ratings and assign a positive outlook. However, if the bid is approved, the ratings could be lowered or withdrawn…”

 

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NorthWestern’s Concerns With the MPPI Proposal

 

Regulatory Risk

 

                  MPPI assumes it can obtain unprecedented regulatory flexibility and cooperation to obtain financing

                  Ability to raise rates to assure lenders

                  Montana PSC may not have authority to provide flexibility without changing Montana law

                  Uncertainty around secondary sale of non-Montana assets

 

                  100% leverage may be problematic for regulators

 

                  MPPI may be subject to PUHCA and FERC

 

                  Future capital spending would be debt financed which would increase debt and would likely require increases in rates to cover the debt service

 

                  “The MPPI acquisition proposal would appear to me to have created a financial situation where the new venture would have started out at a debt load that equaled 100% of equity. The vast majority of failed businesses have had problems with either undercapitalization or lack of management expertise. MPPI would likely be allowed to launch with both.”  Montana PSC Commissioner Doug Mood

 

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Legal Risk

 

                  Montana Attorney General opinion does not cover all legal concerns

                  Montana law may not permit MPPI to own and operate a utility outside of the cities’ or state’s jurisdiction

                  Subsequent sale of non-Montana assets raises the potential for a fraudulent conveyance claim by MPPI’s creditors in the event of a default

                  Attorney General opinion is subject to challenge and ultimately will be determined by Montana courts

                  No legal recourse exists for a failed transaction

                  MPPI is a shell company with no assets

                  No termination fee to cover costs and risk of transaction failure

                  Montana Open Meeting law could expose process to public disclosure

                  Magten letter exposes additional risk to company and large shareholders

 

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Local Control/Authority

 

                  MPPI states the primary reason for the acquisition is to provide local control

                  Communities will have no control over operations, spending or use of proceeds on a community-by-community basis

                  Many communities are telling NorthWestern they are not informed and question the direction of the proposal

                  Concerns raised on impact of state and local taxes

                  MPPI has not addressed energy procurement issues

                  Closing risk exists if MPPI cannot resolve community concerns

 

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Timing/Ability to Close

 

                  Significant regulatory, legal, financial and other risks raise concern whether transaction can close

 

                  If concerns could be resolved, it would require at least 18 months to close transaction

                  Business and legal due diligence

                  Multiple state regulatory approvals with lengthy public process

                  Federal Energy Regulatory Commission

                  Hart-Scott-Rodino and other possible approvals

                  Financing contingency

 

                  Shareholder value would be negatively impacted if transaction fails to close

 

                  Lengthy closing would impact the present value of the proposed transaction and increases financing risk

 

                  Secondary transaction for non-Montana assets has not been formalized and could delay a proposed transaction

                  “South Dakota Power’s (proposed) purchase of NorthWestern’s assets from Montana Public Power would probably be years off.”  Mark Anderson, Aberdeen, S.D., City Attorney and Vice President of South Dakota Power

 

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The financial consideration is not compelling vs. NorthWestern’s stand-alone prospects

 

                  Company’s improved financial and operational performance provides significant opportunities for near and long-term growth prospects

 

                  Enhanced opportunities exist in changing industry environment

 

NWEC Stock Performance

 

S&P 500 Stock Performance

 

 

 

[CHART]

 

[CHART]

 

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2005 Cash Flow Overview

 

 

 

 

 

T & D
Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$215-$220 million*

 

 

Grow the
Business

 

 

 

Cash

 

 

 

 

 

 

Value
Creation
Strategy

 

 

 

 

$30-$35 million

 

Pay
Dividend

 

 

 

Maintain
and Enhance
Operations

 

$80 million

 

 

 

 

Reduce
Debt

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$75 million

 

 

 

 

 


*                 Assumes asset sales proceeds of $65-$70 million and uses 2004 cash flow from operations of $150 million as a proxy for ongoing cash flow from operations

 

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NorthWestern’s Stand-Alone Prospects

 

                  Company’s stand-alone prospects have dramatically improved since emergence

 

                  Anticipating solid 2005 earnings and cash flow from continuing operations

 

                  Company achieving targeted capital structure ahead of schedule

 

                  Significantly lower interest expense

                  Both cash and noncash interest

 

                  Ongoing cost reductions

                  G&A reductions and future restructuring cost reductions

 

                  Won’t be a cash taxpayer through 2008

 

                  Excess cash flow available to increase shareholder value

 

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Opportunities to Improve Shareholder Value

 

NorthWestern may use excess cash in one or more of the following ways:

 

                  Increase common stock dividend

 

                  Share and/or warrant repurchase

 

                  Balance sheet liabilities improvement

                  Buy down Qualifying Facility contract liability

                  Buy out Colstrip 4 lease

                  Increase pension funding

 

                  Invest in utility transmission and distribution assets to grow earnings and cash flow

 

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Improving Near-Term Shareholder Value

 

                  Board increases dividend

                  14% increase effective Sept. 30, 2005

                  Moves annualized rate to $1.00 per share

                  Board will review future action when 2006 guidance is provided

 

    S-3 Registration Statement revised and submitted to SEC

                  Could go effective in 10 days or sooner

                  Second quarter results to be announced in early August

                  Company ready to support roadshow for secondary offering of shares of large shareholders

 

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Why Should Shareholders Own NWEC Long Term?

 

    Significant cash flow from operations

                  Strong earnings profile of core utility business

                  Significant reduction in interest expense due to debt reduction/refinancing

                  Company will not pay significant cash taxes through 2008

                  Cash available to enhance shareholder value

 

•   Solid dividend with opportunity for growth

 

•   Strong EPS growth

                  2005 vs. 2004 improvement due to lower interest expense, lower overhead expenses, organic growth

                  Opportunities for future utility investments

                  Future balance sheet improvements

 

•   Business model inherently low risk

                  Regulated “wires and pipes” business

                  Energy costs passed through to customers

                  Strong balance sheet

 

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