EX-99 2 ex99-1_2009annualmeeting.htm

Annual Meeting of
Stockholders


Butte, MT

April 22, 2009

forward-looking statement…

During the course of this presentation, there will be forward-looking
statements within the meaning of the “safe harbor” provisions of the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking
statements often address our expected future business and financial
performance, and often contain words such as “expects,” “anticipates,”
“intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” or “will.” 

The information in this presentation is based upon our current
expectations as of the date hereof. Our actual future business and
financial performance may differ materially and adversely from those
expressed in any forward-looking statements
.  We undertake no obligation
to revise or publicly update our forward-looking statements or this
presentation for any reason.  Although our expectations and beliefs are
based on reasonable assumptions, actual results may differ materially.
The factors that may affect our results are listed in certain of our press
releases
and disclosed in the Company’s public filings with the SEC.

2

who we are…

(1)

As of 12/31/08

(2)

Book capitalization calculated as total debt, excluding capital leases, plus shareholders’ equity.

656,000 customers

392,000 electric

264,000 natural gas

Approximately 123,000 square
miles of service territory in
Montana, Nebraska and South Dakota

Total generation (mostly base load coal)

MT – 222 MW – regulated as of 1/1/09

SD – 312 MW – regulated

Total Assets: $2,762 MM (1)

Total Capitalization: $1,626 MM (1)(2)

Total Employees: 1,385 (1)

Located in relatively stable economies with potential grid expansion in the Northwest.

3

NorthWestern’s attributes…

Increasing earnings

Colstrip Unit 4 into rates effective Jan. 1, 2009

Expected to add $9 million or $.25/share in earnings over 2008

Rate case to be filed in Montana on electric and gas distribution business in 3Q ‘09

Strong cash flows

Steady earnings growth and strong cash flow

NOLs provide an effective tax shield until 2012

Strong debt ratings

Secured credit ratings of A-(MT) BBB+(SD) / BBB+ / Baa1

Moody’s has on “positive” outlook

Growth prospects strong          

Electric generation and transmission opportunities

Operationally strong

Cost competitive

Above-average reliability

Award-winning customer service

Solid operations with growth prospects.

4

earnings of company since ’05…

Earnings profile is improving.

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009 P

GAAP earnings per share

1.73

$  

1.06

$  

1.45

$  

1.77

$  

$1.85 - $2.00

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009 P

CAGR = 5.98%

5

2009 income guidance…

Drivers

CU4 increase expected to be approximately $9 million or
$.25/share

Pension expense expected to be flat for 2009 compared to
2008

Retail electric volumes expected to approximate 2008

Wholesale electric volumes in SD expected to decrease
due to a planned outage for regularly scheduled maintenance
in 2009

Natural Gas volumes relatively flat compared to 2008 volumes

Normal weather in our service territories

Expect increase of 5% to 13% over 2008 earnings of $1.77/share.

$1.85 to $2.00 per fully diluted share

6

strong balance sheet…

Plan to maintain a 50%-55% debt to total capitalization ratio.

  Audited (Dollars in 000's)

December 31

2008

2007

Cash

11,292

               

12,773

              

Restricted Cash

14,727

               

14,482

              

Accounts Receivable, Net

155,672

            

143,482

            

Inventories

70,741

               

63,586

              

Other Current Assets

60,985

               

44,031

              

Goodwill

355,128

            

355,128

            

PP&E and Other Non-current Assets

2,093,492

         

1,913,898

         

  Total Assets

2,762,037

$        

2,547,380

$        

Payables

94,685

               

91,588

              

Other Current Liabilities

264,654

            

209,245

            

Long & Short Term Capital Leases

37,991

               

40,391

              

Long & Short Term Debt

862,056

            

805,977

            

Other Non-current Liabilities

739,118

            

577,155

            

Shareholders' Equity

763,533

            

823,024

            

  Total Liabilities and Equity

2,762,037

$        

2,547,380

$        

Long & Short Term Debt / Total Capitalization

53.0%

49.5%

7

liquidity highlights…

Total liquidity currently in the $275 million range

Recently issued $250 million in First Mortgage Bonds

10 year maturity

6.34% interest rate

Refinanced our Colstrip loan maturing in December 2009

Fund utility capital expenditures

Provide funds for general corporate purposes

Finance a portion of the proposed Mill Creek Generation Station,
if approved

Debt maturities in late 2009

Unsecured revolver matures on Nov. 1, 2009

No outstanding borrowings on the revolver facility

Current rate is LIBOR + .75%

Liquidity position remains strong

Nearly all of the long-term debt matures after 2014

8

credit ratings…

                                                                  Fitch            S&P                 Moody’s

Senior Secured Rating         BBB+                                  A-  (MT)                       Baa1               
                                                                                                                                     BBB+ (SD)                  

Senior Unsecured                        BBB                       BBB                              Baa2           

Outlook                                                   Stable           Stable                 Positive

Fitch upgraded in January 2009 and Moody’s upgraded in March 2009.

Debt to total capital ratio is 53%.

Plan to maintain a 50%-55% debt to total capitalization ratio.

9

growth project potential…

Possibility to double and diversify earnings as compared with our
existing $1.5 billion rate base as of 1/1/09.

(in millions)

Timing

Mill Creek Generation Station

200

$     

to

200

$  

10.0

$  

to

10.0

$  

Jan 2011

Colstrip 500 kV transmission upgrade **

50

$      

to

60

$   

2.5

$   

to

3.0

$   

Jan 2012

South Dakota Peaking generation

75

$      

to

90

$   

3.8

$   

to

4.5

$   

Jan 2013

230 kV Wind Collector system

150

$     

to

200

$  

7.5

$   

to

10.0

$  

Jan 2014

MSTI transmission line

750

$     

to

1,000

$

37.5

$  

to

50.0

$  

Jan 2014

Totals

1,225

$   

to

1,550

$

61.3

$  

to

77.5

$  

*  For illustrative purposes = Cost of project times 50% equity ratio times estimated ROE of 10%.

**  Assumes a 30% ownership of the $200 million project.

Cost of Project

Annual Earnings

Opportunity  *

10

generation growth highlights…

120-150 MW plant near Anaconda, MT

To be built for regulation services to
balance supply and load for NWE’s
Balancing Area

Rate-based cost of service investment

Estimated to cost approximately
$200 million

Public hearing held in front of MPSC

Decision expected 2Q ‘09

Existing services are becoming
more expensive and scarce

In service date for Mill Creek Generation Station = Jan 1, 2011

Mill Creek Generating Unit in Montana

11

Mill Creek timeline…

The Mill Creek Generation Station has been filed for pre-approval,
with the MPSC w/decision expected in 2Q ’09.

12

our proposed transmission projects…

13

generation plans shifting to wind…

New generation in Montana is mostly wind and will need to reach customers out of state.

14

supply – Montana wind potential…

Very strong wind regime in Montana.

15

demand – renewable standards…

The current renewable percentage of NorthWestern’s electric
supply in Montana is a little more than 8%.

16

our transmission developments…

Line already exists – represents an
upgrade

Upgrades substation capacity

Increases load capacity of existing line by 500-600
MW’s

NorthWestern announced joint
development agreement with others

Portland General

Puget Sound Energy

Pacificorp

Avista

Bonneville Power Authority

Needed to relieve congestion to the West

Market interest is increasing for
Montana’s high quality wind profile

Cost estimate of ourportion of 500 kV
upgrade =
$50M - $75M

Anticipated ownership interest of 30% on upgrade

In service date of January 1, 2012.

Colstrip 500 kV Upgrade

17

transmission project developments…

In service date sometime in 2014.

230 kV “Collector System”

Our project with no partners

Informational meeting with
customers in Spring 2009

Open Season early ‘09 to
determine configuration

Provides gathering system for
new generation to access
MSTI and network system
benefits

Cost estimate of “collector”
project = $200M

18

transmission project developments, cont’d…

Total project cost estimated from
$800 million to $1 billion

Considering strategic partners

Plan to be operational in 2014

FERC filing in January ’09

Information meeting with FERC in
March ‘09

Open Season anticipated in summer ‘09

Draft Environmental Impact Statement
published late summer ‘09

Final EIS Q1 2010

Record of decision – Q3 2010

Start construction 2011

For current information:
www.MSTI500kV.com

Estimated to be on line early 2014.

MSTI

19

cap ex spending – next few years…

Includes more than $1 billion of potential generation
and transmission growth projects.

Non-discretionary
capex is funded 100%
by free cash flow.

Company doesn’t anticipate
needing equity until major
capital required for MSTI.

We will move forward with
the funding of these projects
only as they make economic
sense.

MSTI project is now slated for
early 2014 and capex has
been modified accordingly.

Non-discretionary

20

summary…

Value

Dividend yield in excess of 6.0%

Currently trading at approximately book value

Improved regulatory relationships

Opportunity for growth

January 1, 2009 rate basing of our 222 MW interest in CU4

Montana T&D rate case to be filed in 2009

Expecting a rate increase request – effective in 2010

Possibility of increasing rate base on growth projects with investment
in excess of $1 billion

Potential additional annual earnings of more than $60 million post 2014

Strong financial profile

All debt is investment grade rated

2009 earnings expected to increase 5%-13% over 2008

Strong cash flows from increasing earnings and NOLs expected into 2012

Current value with growth opportunities.

21