EX-99.7 8 p71360exv99w7.htm EXHIBIT 99.7 exv99w7
 

LAST UPDATED: 10/27/05
Exhibit 99.7
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
Earnings Variance Explanations
for the Periods Ended September 30, 2005 and 2004
     This discussion explains the changes in our consolidated earnings for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2005 and 2004. Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004 follow this discussion. We will file our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2005 on or before November 9, 2005. We suggest that this discussion be read in connection with the Pinnacle West Capital Corporation Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 and the Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarters ended March 31, 2005 and June 30, 2005. Additional operating and financial statistics and a glossary of terms are available on our website (www.pinnaclewest.com).
EARNINGS CONTRIBUTION BY BUSINESS SEGMENT
     We have three principal business segments (determined by products, services and the regulatory environment):
    our regulated electricity segment, which consists of traditional regulated retail and wholesale electricity businesses (primarily electric service to Native Load customers) and related activities and includes electricity generation, transmission and distribution;
 
    our marketing and trading segment, which consists of our competitive energy business activities, including wholesale marketing and trading and APS Energy Services’ commodity-related energy services; and
 
    our real estate segment, which consists of SunCor’s real estate development and investment activities.

 


 

     The following table summarizes net income for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2005 and 2004 (dollars in millions):
                                 
    Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended  
    September 30,     September 30,  
    2005     2004     2005     2004  
Regulated electricity
  $ 70     $ 94     $ 152     $ 152  
Marketing and trading
    7       4       18       22  
Real estate
    7       4       26       10  
Other (a)
    1       2       3       25  
 
                       
Income from continuing operations
    85       104       199       209  
Discontinued operations — net of tax:
                               
Marketing and trading (b)
    1             (64 )     (3 )
Real estate (c)
    14       1       16       2  
Other (d)
    4             4       1  
 
                       
Net income
  $ 104     $ 105     $ 155     $ 209  
 
                       
 
(a)   The nine months ended September 30, 2004 includes a $21 million (after-tax) gain related to the sale of a limited partnership interest in the Phoenix Suns.
 
(b)   See “Pending Sale of Silverhawk” below.
 
(c)   Primarily relates to the sale of commercial properties.
 
(d)   Primarily relates to additional gain from the sale of NAC.
General
     Throughout the following explanations of our results of operations, we refer to “gross margin.” With respect to our regulated electricity segment and our marketing and trading segment, gross margin refers to electric operating revenues less purchased power and fuel costs. “Gross margin” is a “non-GAAP financial measure,” as defined in accordance with SEC rules. Exhibit 99.10 reconciles this non-GAAP financial measure to operating income, which is the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. We view gross margin as an important performance measure of the core profitability of our operations. This measure is a key component of our internal financial reporting and is used by our management in analyzing our business segments. We believe that investors benefit from having access to the same financial measures that our management uses. In addition, we have reclassified certain prior-period amounts to conform to our current-period presentation.
Pending Sale of Silverhawk
     In June 2005, we entered into an agreement to sell our 75% interest in Silverhawk to Nevada Power Company. The Nevada Public Utilities Commission approved the sale in September 2005. Closing of the sale is subject to additional regulatory approvals, including approval by the FERC and clearance by the Federal Trade Commission, which are expected to be received in the fourth quarter of 2005. As a result of this pending sale, we recorded an

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after-tax loss from discontinued operations of approximately $55 million in the second quarter of 2005. The marketing and trading segment discontinued operations amounts in the chart above also include the revenues and expenses related to the operations of Silverhawk.
Deferred Fuel and Purchased Power Costs
     APS’ retail rate settlement became effective April 1, 2005. As part of the settlement, the ACC approved a 4.2% annual retail rate increase and a power supply adjustor (“PSA”) that provides mechanisms for adjusting rates to reflect variations in fuel and purchased power costs. In accordance with the PSA, APS defers for future rate recovery 90% of the difference between actual fuel and purchased power costs and the amount for such costs currently included in base rates. Actual fuel and purchased power costs are higher than prior periods primarily due to higher fuel prices. The current base rate for fuel and purchased power costs is based on 2003 price levels and spot prices for natural gas and wholesale power have increased over 25% since then. Fuel costs were also higher because all of our latest generation plant additions needed to serve customer growth are higher-cost natural gas fired plants. Finally, fuel and purchased power costs were higher because plant outage days were higher in the three-months and nine-months ended September 30, 2005 compared to the prior year periods. The amount of APS’ pretax PSA deferrals at September 30, 2005 was $143 million, including $80 million of PSA deferrals that are the subject of a pending surcharge application before the ACC. Although APS defers actual fuel and purchased power costs on a current basis, APS’ recovery of the deferrals from its ratepayers is subject to annual PSA adjustments and ACC approval of periodic surcharge applications.
Operating Results — Three-month period ended September 30, 2005 compared with three-month period ended September 30, 2004
     Our consolidated net income for the three months ended September 30, 2005 was $104 million compared with $105 million for the prior-year period. The current quarter net income included $19 million (after-tax) from discontinued operations, which is primarily related to sales of commercial properties at SunCor. Income from continuing operations decreased $19 million in the period-to-period comparison, reflecting the following changes in earnings by segment:
    Regulated Electricity Segment — Income from continuing operations decreased approximately $24 million primarily due to the regulatory disallowance of plant costs in accordance with the retail rate settlement. This negative factor was partially offset by a retail price increase effective April 1, 2005; PSA deferrals, net of higher fuel and purchased power costs; higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth; effects of weather on retail sales; and lower depreciation due to lower depreciation rates.
 
    Marketing and Trading Segment — Income from continuing operations increased approximately $3 million primarily due to higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery resulting from higher forward prices for wholesale electricity.

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    Real Estate Segment — Income from continuing operations increased approximately $3 million primarily due to increased parcel and commercial property sales.

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Additional details on the major factors that increased (decreased) net income are contained in the following table (dollars in millions).
                 
    Increase (Decrease)  
    Pretax     After Tax  
Regulated electricity segment gross margin:
               
Retail price increase effective April 1, 2005
  $ 27     $ 16  
PSA deferrals, net of higher fuel and purchased power costs
    22       13  
Higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth, excluding weather effects
    21       13  
Effects of weather on retail sales
    16       10  
Miscellaneous items, net
    (5 )     (3 )
 
           
Net increase in regulated electricity segment gross margin
    81       49  
 
           
Marketing and trading segment gross margin:
               
Higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery due to higher forward prices for wholesale electricity
    9       5  
Miscellaneous items, net
    (4 )     (2 )
 
           
Net increase in marketing and trading segment gross margin
    5       3  
 
           
Net increase in gross margin for regulated electricity and marketing and trading segments
    86       52  
Regulatory disallowance of plant costs, in accordance with the
               
APS retail rate settlement
    (143 )     (87 )
Higher real estate segment contribution primarily related to increased parcel and commercial property sales
    5       3  
Higher other income primarily due to increased interest income
    6       4  
Lower depreciation and amortization due to lower depreciation rates partially offset by higher depreciable assets
    6       4  
Miscellaneous items, net
    1       5  
 
           
Net decrease in income from continuing operations
  $ (39 )     (19 )
 
           
Discontinued operations primarily related to real estate asset sales
            18  
 
             
Net decrease in net income
          $ (1 )
 
             
Regulated Electricity Segment Revenues
     Regulated electricity segment revenues were $82 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily as a result of:
    a $29 million increase in retail revenues related to customer growth, excluding weather effects;
 
    a $27 million increase in retail revenues due to a price increase effective April 1, 2005;
 
    a $21 million increase due to the effects of weather on retail sales;

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    an $8 million increase in Off-System Sales primarily due to sales previously reported in the marketing and trading segment classified as of April 2005 as sales in the regulated electricity segment in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement; and
 
    a $3 million decrease due to miscellaneous factors.
Marketing and Trading Segment Revenues
     Marketing and trading segment revenues were $16 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily as a result of:
    a $9 million increase in mark-to-market gains on forward contracts resulting from higher prices for wholesale electricity;
 
    a $7 million increase from higher prices for competitive retail sales in California;
 
    a $6 million increase in energy trading revenues on realized sales of electricity primarily due to higher delivered electricity prices; and
 
    a $6 million decrease from generation sales other than Native Load due to lower sales volumes and the elimination of sales previously reported in the marketing and trading segment classified as of April 2005 as sales in the regulated electricity segment in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement.
Real Estate Revenues
     Real estate revenues were $6 million higher for the three months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily due to increased parcel sales at SunCor.
Operating Results — Nine-month period ended September 30, 2005 compared with nine-month period ended September 30, 2004
     Our consolidated net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 was $155 million compared with $209 million for the prior-year period. The current year period net income included a loss from discontinued operations of $44 million (after-tax), which is primarily related to the pending sale and revenue and expenses related to Silverhawk (see discussion above), partially offset by sales of commercial properties at SunCor. Income from continuing operations decreased $10 million in the period-to-period comparison, reflecting the following changes in earnings by segment:
    Regulated Electricity Segment — Income from continuing operations remained the same as the prior year period. The current period includes the regulatory disallowance of plant costs in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement; higher operations and maintenance costs primarily related to

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      customer service, generation and benefit costs; and higher property taxes due to increased plant in service. These negative factors were offset by a retail price increase effective April 1, 2005; higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth; PSA deferrals, net of higher fuel and purchased power costs; the absence of regulatory asset amortization; effects of weather on retail sales and lower depreciation due to lower depreciation rates.
 
    Marketing and Trading Segment — Income from continuing operations decreased approximately $4 million primarily due to lower realized margins on wholesale sales and competitive retail sales in California, partially offset by higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery due to higher forward prices for wholesale electricity.
 
    Real Estate Segment — Income from continuing operations increased approximately $16 million primarily due to increased parcel sales.
 
    Other Segment — Income from continuing operations decreased approximately $22 million primarily due to an after-tax gain related to the sale of a limited partnership interest in the Phoenix Suns recorded in the prior-year period.

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Additional details on the major factors that increased (decreased) net income are contained in the following table (dollars in millions).
                 
    Increase (Decrease)  
    Pretax     After Tax  
Regulated electricity segment gross margin:
               
Retail price increase effective April 1, 2005
  $ 54     $ 32  
Higher retail sales volumes due to customer growth, excluding weather effects
    41       25  
PSA deferrals, net of higher fuel and purchased power costs
    39       23  
Effects of weather on retail sales
    14       8  
Miscellaneous items, net
    (4 )     (2 )
 
           
Net increase in regulated electricity segment gross margin
    144       86  
 
           
Marketing and trading segment gross margin:
               
Higher mark-to-market gains on contracts for future delivery due to higher forward prices for wholesale electricity
    9       5  
Lower unit margins on competitive retail sales in California
    (7 )     (4 )
Lower realized margins on wholesale sales primarily due to lower sales volumes and higher prices
    (7 )     (4 )
Miscellaneous items, net
    (1 )      
 
           
Net decrease in marketing and trading segment gross margin
    (6 )     (3 )
 
           
Net increase in gross margin for regulated electricity and marketing and trading segments
    138       83  
Regulatory disallowance of plant costs, in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement
    (143 )     (87 )
Higher real estate segment contribution primarily related to increased parcel sales
    27       16  
Lower other income primarily due to sale of limited partnership interest in Phoenix Suns recorded in the prior-year period partially offset by higher interest income
    (32 )     (19 )
Operations and maintenance increases primarily due to:
               
Customer service costs, including planned maintenance and demand side management costs
    (17 )     (10 )
Generation costs, including planned maintenance
    (14 )     (8 )
Benefit costs
    (2 )     (1 )
Depreciation and amortization decreases primarily due to:
               
Absence of regulatory asset amortization
    20       12  
Lower depreciation rates partially offset by higher depreciable assets
    13       8  
Higher property taxes primarily due to increased plant in service
    (10 )     (6 )
Miscellaneous items, net
    5       2  
 
           
Net decrease in income from continuing operations
  $ (15 )     (10 )
 
             
Discontinued operations primarily related to the pending sale of Silverhawk (see discussion above) and real estate assets sales
            (44 )
 
             
Net decrease in net income
          $ (54 )
 
             

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Regulated Electricity Segment Revenues
     Regulated electricity segment revenues were $143 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily as a result of:
    a $56 million increase in retail revenues related to customer growth, excluding weather effects;
 
    a $54 million increase in retail revenues due to a price increase effective April 1, 2005;
 
    a $20 million increase in Off-System Sales primarily due to sales previously reported in the marketing and trading segment classified as of April 2005 as sales in the regulated electricity segment in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement;
 
    a $12 million increase in retail revenues related to weather; and
 
    a $1 million increase due to miscellaneous factors.
Marketing and Trading Segment Revenues
     Marketing and trading segment revenues were $23 million lower for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily as a result of:
    a $25 million decrease from generation sales other than Native Load due to lower sales volumes and the elimination of sales previously reported in the marketing and trading segment classified as of April 2005 as sales in the regulated electricity segment in accordance with the APS retail rate settlement;
 
    a $10 million increase in mark-to-market gains on forward contracts resulting from higher prices for wholesale electricity;
 
    a $6 million decrease from lower volumes on competitive retail sales in California; and
 
    a $2 million decrease in energy trading revenues on realized sales of electricity primarily due to lower volumes.
Real Estate Revenues
     Real estate revenues were $46 million higher for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 compared with the prior-year period primarily due to increased parcel sales at SunCor.

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PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
                                         
    THREE MONTHS ENDED                
    SEPTEMBER 30,     Increase (Decrease)          
    2005     2004     Amount     Percent          
Operating Revenues
                                       
Regulated electricity segment
  $ 753,428     $ 670,559     $ 82,869       12.4 %   B  
Marketing and trading segment
    107,031       91,267       15,764       17.3 %   B  
Real estate segment
    78,755       72,754       6,001       8.2 %   B  
Other revenues
    16,369       12,585       3,784       30.1 %   B  
 
                                 
Total
    955,583       847,165       108,418       12.8 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Operating Expenses
                                       
Regulated electricity segment purchased power and fuel
    203,519       202,156       1,363       0.7 %   W  
Marketing and trading segment purchased power and fuel
    86,945       76,684       10,261       13.4 %   W  
Operations and maintenance
    158,940       158,607       333       0.2 %   W  
Real estate segment operations
    65,880       66,414       (534 )     0.8 %   B  
Depreciation and amortization
    87,123       93,360       (6,237 )     6.7 %   B  
Taxes other than income taxes
    34,325       31,020       3,305       10.7 %   W  
Other expenses
    13,521       9,568       3,953       41.3 %   W  
Regulatory disallowance
    143,217             143,217       100.0 %   W  
 
                                 
Total
    793,470       637,809       155,661       24.4 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Operating Income
    162,113       209,356       (47,243 )     22.6 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Other
                                       
Allowance for equity funds used during construction
    2,852       (1,327 )     4,179       314.9 %   B  
Other income
    8,694       2,786       5,908       212.1 %   B  
Other expense
    (4,915 )     (5,094 )     179       3.5 %   B  
 
                                 
Total
    6,631       (3,635 )     10,266       282.4 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Interest Expense
                                       
Interest charges
    47,046       46,715       331       0.7 %   W  
Capitalized interest
    (3,301 )     (4,506 )     1,205       26.7 %   W  
 
                                 
Total
    43,745       42,209       1,536       3.6 %   W  
 
                                 
Income From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes
    124,999       163,512       (38,513 )     23.6 %   W  
 
                                       
Income Taxes
    40,305       59,183       (18,878 )     31.9 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations
    84,694       104,329       (19,635 )     18.8 %   W  
 
                                       
Income From Discontinued Operations
                                       
Net of Income Taxes
    19,043       1,071       17,972       1678.1 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Net Income
  $ 103,737     $ 105,400     $ (1,663 )     1.6 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Basic
    98,697       91,357       7,340       8.0 %        
 
                                       
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted
    98,816       91,491       7,325       8.0 %        
 
                                       
Earnings Per Weighted-Average Common Share Outstanding
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations — Basic
  $ 0.86     $ 1.14     $ (0.28 )     24.6 %   W  
Net Income — Basic
  $ 1.05     $ 1.15     $ (0.10 )     8.7 %   W  
Income From Continuing Operations — Diluted
  $ 0.86     $ 1.14     $ (0.28 )     24.6 %   W  
Net Income — Diluted
  $ 1.05     $ 1.15     $ (0.10 )     8.7 %   W  
Certain prior-year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the 2005 presentation.
     B — Better
     W — Worse

 


 

PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME

(unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
                                         
    NINE MONTHS ENDED                
    SEPTEMBER 30,     Increase (Decrease)          
    2005     2004     Amount     Percent          
Operating Revenues
                                       
Regulated electricity segment
  $ 1,749,110     $ 1,605,952     $ 143,158       8.9 %   B  
Marketing and trading segment
    267,460       290,107       (22,647 )     7.8 %   W  
Real estate segment
    232,950       186,762       46,188       24.7 %   B  
Other revenues
    46,763       32,904       13,859       42.1 %   B  
 
                                 
Total
    2,296,283       2,115,725       180,558       8.5 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Operating Expenses
                                       
Regulated electricity segment purchased power and fuel
    442,532       442,409       123       0.0 %   W  
Marketing and trading segment purchased power and fuel
    215,347       232,516       (17,169 )     7.4 %   B  
Operations and maintenance
    467,121       434,588       32,533       7.5 %   W  
Real estate segment operations
    190,555       175,560       14,995       8.5 %   W  
Depreciation and amortization
    262,030       294,942       (32,912 )     11.2 %   B  
Taxes other than income taxes
    103,528       93,658       9,870       10.5 %   W  
Other expenses
    39,451       25,893       13,558       52.4 %   W  
Regulatory disallowance
    143,217             143,217       100.0 %   W  
 
                                 
Total
    1,863,781       1,699,566       164,215       9.7 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Operating Income
    432,502       416,159       16,343       3.9 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Other
                                       
Allowance for equity funds used during construction
    8,407       2,859       5,548       194.1 %   B  
Other income
    18,019       49,980       (31,961 )     63.9 %   W  
Other expense
    (12,985 )     (14,274 )     1,289       9.0 %   B  
 
                                 
Total
    13,441       38,565       (25,124 )     65.1 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Interest Expense
                                       
Interest charges
    142,820       135,064       7,756       5.7 %   W  
Capitalized interest
    (10,134 )     (8,686 )     (1,448 )     16.7 %   B  
 
                                 
Total
    132,686       126,378       6,308       5.0 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations Before Income Taxes
    313,257       328,346       (15,089 )     4.6 %   W  
 
                                       
Income Taxes
    113,863       119,476       (5,613 )     4.7 %   B  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations
    199,394       208,870       (9,476 )     4.5 %   W  
 
                                       
Income (Loss) From Discontinued Operations
                                       
Net of Income Taxes
    (44,474 )     596       (45,070 )     7562.1 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Net Income
  $ 154,920     $ 209,466     $ (54,546 )     26.0 %   W  
 
                                 
 
                                       
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Basic
    95,642       91,322       4,320       4.7 %        
 
                                       
Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding — Diluted
    95,755       91,430       4,325       4.7 %        
 
                                       
Earnings Per Weighted-Average Common Share Outstanding
                                       
Income From Continuing Operations — Basic
  $ 2.08     $ 2.29     $ (0.21 )     9.2 %   W  
Net Income — Basic
  $ 1.62     $ 2.29     $ (0.67 )     29.3 %   W  
Income From Continuing Operations — Diluted
  $ 2.08     $ 2.28     $ (0.20 )     8.8 %   W  
Net Income — Diluted
  $ 1.62     $ 2.29     $ (0.67 )     29.3 %   W  
Certain prior-year amounts have been reclassified to conform to the 2005 presentation.
     B — Better
     W — Worse