EX-99.(C)(7) 20 a2177314zex-99_c7.htm EX-99.(C)(7)

Exhibit (c)(7)

21 March 2007

Presentation to the Committee of Independent

Directors of the Board of Directors of Tribune

Project Tower

 


Tower Valuation Matrix

$MM, except per share data

Agg. Value/EBITDA

% Prem. / Agg. Value Agg. Value (excl. uncons. assets) P/E

(Disc.) to Equity (incl. Uncons. (excl. Uncons. Management Research Management Research

Price Current Value Assets) (2) Assets) (3)(4) 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008

$28.81 Statistic: $1,245 $1,311 $1,246 $1,274 $1.98 $2.21 $1.98 $2.12

$26.00 (10%) $6,293 $11,451 $9,251 7.4x 7.1x 7.4x 7.3x 13.1x 11.7x 13.1x 12.2x

27.00 (6%) 6,535 11,693 9,493 7.6 7.2 7.6 7.5 13.6 12.2 13.7 12.7

28.00 (3%) 6,777 11,935 9,735 7.8 7.4 7.8 7.6 14.1 12.6 14.2 13.2

28.81 0% 6,973 12,131 9,931 8.0 7.6 8.0 7.8 14.6 13.0 14.6 13.6

30.00 4% 7,261 12,419 10,219 8.2 7.8 8.2 8.0 15.2 13.5 15.2 14.1

31.00 8% 7,503 12,661 10,461 8.4 8.0 8.4 8.2 15.7 14.0 15.7 14.6

32.00 11% 7,745 12,903 10,703 8.6 8.2 8.6 8.4 16.2 14.5 16.2 15.1

33.00 15% 7,987 13,145 10,945 8.8 8.4 8.8 8.6 16.7 14.9 16.7 15.5

34.00 18% 8,229 13,387 11,187 9.0 8.5 9.0 8.8 17.2 15.4 17.2 16.0

35.00 21% 8,471 13,629 11,429 9.2 8.7 9.2 9.0 17.7 15.8 17.7 16.5

36.00 25% 8,713 13,871 11,671 9.4 8.9 9.4 9.2 18.2 16.3 18.2 16.9

Tower Valuation Matrix

1

Project Tower

Notes

1. Share price as of March 20, 2007

2. Aggregate Value including unconsolidated assets defined as Equity Value + Net Debt

3. Assumes PHONES valued at $900MM

4. Unconsolidated assets include Food Network ($800MM), CareerBuilder ($650MM), Comcast SportsNet ($150MM), Cubs ($450MM) and other interactive assets

($150MM)

5. Comparable companies include Gannett, Belo and Media General

= Comparable

Companies Mean / Median (5)

Unconsolidated Assets

$MM

Assumed

Value

Publishing Assets

Career Builder 650

Other Interactive Assets 150

Total Publishing $800

Broadcasting Assets

Chicago Cubs 450

Food Network 800

Comcast SportsNet 150

Total Broadcasting $1,400

Total Unconsolidated Assets 2,200

Diversified Comparables Multiples

x

AV/EBITDA P/E

2007E 2008E 2007E 2008E

Gannett 8.0x 7.9x 11.9x 11.1x

Belo 8.5x 7.6x 17.6x 14.1x

Media General 8.0x 7.1x 17.7x 13.3x

Mean 8.2x 7.5x 15.7x 12.8x

Median 8.0x 7.6x 17.6x 13.3x

Tower Capitalization

$MM

Current Share Price (1) $28.81

FDSO (MM) 242.0

Equity Value $6,973

Debt(2) 5,333

Cash 175

Net Debt $5,158

$12,131

Less: Unconsolidated Assets 2,200

$9,931

Agg. Value (incl. Unconsolidated assets)

Agg. Value (excl. Unconsolidated assets)

 


Zell Proposal Perspectives

Project Tower

2

• The current Zell Proposal contemplates that, upon consummation of the merger, Tower

shareholders shall receive a cash amount equal to:

– $33 per share (the “Merger Consideration”); plus

– A ticking fee of 5% per annum accruing daily on the Merger Consideration beginning on the

date of the merger agreement through and including the date of consummation of the merger

• The economic value of the proposal to Tower shareholders is a function of the time to close and

the appropriate risk-adjusted return

Economic Value of Zell Proposal Today

Assumed Assumed Cost of Equity

Time to Close 8% 10% 12%

6 Months $32.54 $32.24 $31.95

9 Months 32.31 31.87 31.44

12 Months 32.08 31.50 30.94

 


Comparable Companies: February 11 vs. Today

Project Tower

Notes

1. Current share prices are as of March 20, 2007

2. Represents total return from February 11, 2007 to March 20, 2007 3

7.7x

8.8x 8.6x 8.5x 8.3x

7.3x

8.0x

8.5x

8.0x 8.0x

4

6

8

10

Tower Gannett Belo Media General McClatchy

2/11/2007 3/20/2007

2007 EBITDA Multiples: February 11 vs. Today (1)

x

Source Wall Street Research

(12.8%)

(3.1%)

(0.4%)

(7.3%)

(5.0%)

(15%)

(10%)

(5%)

0%

5%

Tower Gannett Belo Media

General

McClatchy

Peers Stock Price Performance: February 11 vs. Today (1)(2)

%

Source FactSet

• Comparable trading multiples

have fallen since our

February 12 meeting


1.52

3.72

$24.71

$26.91

17.50 17.50

5.69 5.69

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

8x

9x

8x

11x

Management Downside Case

$ / Share

4.26

7.03

$32.38

$35.14

17.50 17.50

10.61 10.61

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

8x

9x

8x

11x

Research Case

$ / Share

4.40

7.18

$32.77

$35.55

17.50 17.50

10.87 10.87

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

8x

9x

8x

11x

Management Case

$ / Share

Recapitalization Package Value – $17.50 Distribution

Includes Upfront Cash Distribution and Publishing and Broadcasting Equity Values

Project Tower

4

Cash Distribution Publishing Equity Value (3)

Notes

1. Assumes unconsolidated assets currently valued at $1,600MM (Food Network: $800MM; CareerBuilder: $650MM; Other Interactive Assets: $150MM) and that

unconsolidated asset value grows at 8% per year

2. Assumed forward EBITDA multiple at year end 2009

3. For each scenario, equity values are based on PV of projected stock price at year end 2009, assuming a 11% cost of equity

Publishing: (2)

Broadcasting: (2)

Broadcasting Equity Value (3)

• Recapitalization package

value includes:

– $17.50 distribution

– Equity Value of

Publishing assuming 8x

EBITDA

– Equity Value of

Broadcasting (9x to 11x

EBITDA)

• Equity values based on

present value of projected

stock price at year end 2009

(i.e., 3-year discounted equity

value) (1)

Projected Equity Value

in 2009 ($/Share):

- Broadcasting

- Publishing

$5.81

$14.48

$5.63

$14.14

$2.02

$7.59

$9.51

$14.48

$9.31

$14.14

$4.96

$7.59


1.52

3.72

$23.67

$25.87

17.50 17.50

4.65 4.65

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

7.5x

9x

7.5x

11x

Management Downside Case

$ / Share

4.26

7.03

$31.06

$33.83

17.50 17.50

9.30 9.30

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

7.5x

9x

7.5x

11x

Research Case

$ / Share

4.40

7.18

$31.42

$34.19

17.50 17.50

9.52 9.52

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

7.5x

9x

7.5x

11x

Management Case

$ / Share

Recapitalization Package Value – $17.50 Distribution

Includes Upfront Cash Distribution and Publishing and Broadcasting Equity Values

Project Tower

5

Cash Distribution Publishing Equity Value (3)

Notes

1. Assumes unconsolidated assets currently valued at $1,600MM (Food Network: $800MM; CareerBuilder: $650MM; Other Interactive Assets: $150MM) and that

unconsolidated asset value grows at 8% per year

2. Assumed forward EBITDA multiple at year end 2009

3. For each scenario, equity values are based on PV of projected stock price at year end 2009, assuming a 11% cost of equity

Publishing: (2)

Broadcasting: (2)

Broadcasting Equity Value (3)

• Recapitalization package

value includes:

– $17.50 distribution

– Equity Value of

Publishing assuming 7.5x

EBITDA

– Equity Value of

Broadcasting (9x to 11x

EBITDA)

• Equity values based on

present value of projected

stock price at year end 2009

(i.e., 3-year discounted equity

value) (1)

Projected Equity Value

in 2009 ($/Share):

- Broadcasting

- Publishing

$5.81

$12.68

$5.63

$12.39

$2.02

$6.20

$9.51

$12.68

$9.31

$12.39

$4.96

$6.20