EX-99.1 3 c73057exv99w1.htm EX-99.1 PRESS RELEASE RE: 3RD QTR. 2002 EARNINGS Panera Bread Company
 

EXHIBIT 99.1


 

PRESS RELEASE
Contact: William W. Moreton
                Chief Financial and Administrative Officer
Phone: (314) 633-7123

Panera Bread Third Quarter Earnings Per Share Increased 70% to $0.17 and
Company Announces Upward Revision to 2002 and 2003 Targets

St. Louis, MO, November 14, 2002 — Panera Bread Company (Nasdaq:PNRA) today reported that net income for the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002, increased 73% to $5,167,000 compared to $2,984,000 for the 12 weeks ended October 6, 2001. Earnings per diluted share increased 70% to $0.17 for the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002 from $0.10 for the 12 weeks ended October 6, 2001. For the 40 weeks ended October 5, 2002, net income increased 70% to $14,265,000 compared to $8,397,000 for the 40 weeks ended October 6, 2001. Earnings per diluted share increased 66% to $0.48 for the 40 weeks ended October 5, 2002, compared to $0.29 for the 40 weeks ended October 6, 2001. Earnings per share amounts reflect the two-for-one stock split on June 24, 2002.

System-wide sales and total revenues increased 41% and 35%, respectively, for the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002, compared to the 12 weeks ended October 6, 2001, as follows:

                         
    12 Weeks Ended     12 Weeks Ended     Percentage  
    October 5, 2002     October 6, 2001     Increase  
   
   
   
 
System-wide sales
  $ 179,774,000     $ 127,803,000       41 %
Total revenues
  $ 65,471,000     $ 48,487,000       35 %

System-wide comparable bakery-cafe sales (excluding the one specialty bakery-cafe and closed locations) increased 5.1% for the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002 (4.0% for company-owned and 5.5% for franchised bakery-cafes). This marks the 27th consecutive quarter that Panera Bread (on a stand-alone basis) has reported positive comparable company bakery-cafe sales. Comparable bakery-cafes include those bakery-cafes that have been open for at least 18 four-week periods in the reporting period.

System-wide sales and total revenues increased 45% and 41%, respectively, for the forty weeks ended October 5, 2002, compared to the forty weeks ended October 6, 2001, as follows:

                         
    40 Weeks Ended     40 Weeks Ended     Percentage  
    October 5, 2002     October 6, 2001     Increase  
   
   
   
 
System-wide sales
  $ 553,989,000     $ 382,596,000       45 %
Total revenues
  $ 204,750,000     $ 145,443,000       41 %

System-wide comparable bakery-cafe sales (excluding the one specialty bakery-cafe and closed locations) increased 5.7% for the 40 weeks ended October 5, 2002 (4.7% for company-owned and 6.2% for franchised bakery-cafes).

System-wide average weekly sales (excluding the one specialty bakery-cafe and closed locations) for the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002, were $35,533 per week. This equates to an annualized sales volume of $1,848,000, a 4.9% increase over the same period in the prior year. A summary of bakery-cafe sales and operating weeks is as follows:

                         
    12 Weeks Ended     12 Weeks Ended     Percentage  
    October 5, 2002     October 6, 2001     Increase  
   
   
   
 
Average weekly bakery-cafe sales(1)
  $ 35,533     $ 33,880       4.9 %
Operating weeks(1)
    5,056.7       3,766.6       34.3 %

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System-wide average weekly sales (excluding the one specialty bakery-cafe and closed locations) for the 40 weeks ended October 5, 2002, were $34,784 per week. This equates to an annualized sales volume of $1,809,000 a 5.7% increase over the same period in the prior year. A summary of bakery-cafe sales and operating weeks is as follows:

                         
    40 Weeks Ended     40 Weeks Ended     Percentage  
    October 5, 2002     October 6, 2001     Increase  
   
   
   
 
Average weekly bakery-cafe sales(1)
  $ 34,784     $ 32,918       5.7 %
Operating weeks(1)
    15,914.4       11,594.0       37.3 %

(1)   Excludes the one specialty bakery-cafe and closed locations.

As of October 5, 2002, there were 436 Panera Bread bakery-cafes (including the one specialty bakery-cafe). During the 12 weeks ended October 5, 2002, 23 new Panera Bread bakery-cafes were opened and one bakery-cafe was closed, as follows:

                                 
    Company-owned     Franchised     Total System  
   
   
   
 
Bakery-cafes as of July 13, 2002
    123               291       414  
Bakery-cafes opened
    3               20       23  
Bakery-cafes closed
    (1 )              —       (1 )
 
 
   
   
 
Bakery-cafes as of October 5, 2002
    125               311       436  

During the third quarter, the Company signed two new area development agreements in Southern California representing additional commitments of 30 new bakery-cafes. Additionally, the Company amended two existing area development agreements in North Carolina to add nine additional bakery-cafe commitments. This brought the total backlog of active additional franchise commitments in place, as of October 5, 2002, to 528.

Business Outlook

The Company continues to target fourth quarter earnings per share of $0.24, which would result in an increased earnings per share target of $0.71 for the full fiscal year 2002. This represents a 54% increase over the earnings per share of $0.46 in fiscal year 2001.

The Company is targeting fourth quarter comparable bakery-cafe sales in the 3% to 4% range and continues to expect to open 115 bakery-cafes (25 company-owned and 90 franchised) for the full year 2002. This means that the development target is 43 bakery-cafes (9 company and 34 franchised) for the fourth quarter.

The Company is raising its 2003 earnings per share target to $0.99, which represents nearly a 40% increase over the 2002 target. The increase in the 2003 target is based on an increase in the 2003 development target to 120 bakery-cafes (28 company-owned and 92 franchised).

Ron Shaich, chairman and chief executive officer, concluded by commenting, “Our strong average unit volumes, which are among the highest retail volumes in our industry (outside of casual dining), combined with strong comparable bakery-cafe sales and returns on investment, have fueled Panera Bread’s ability to grow rapidly over the last few years. Growth, in turn, has enabled Panera Bread (on a stand-alone basis) to produce an industry leading 78% compounded annual growth rate in earnings per share over the last four years (assuming we meet our 2002 target). Our 2003 earnings per share growth target, which we fully intend to meet, represents the most aggressive target of any public restaurant company we are aware of. Our earnings performance, combined with our expectation that the Panera Bread system will deliver in excess of $1 billion in system-wide sales in 2003, is indicative of the strength of our concept and the consumers’ reaction to it. Recognizing that we are still in the early stages of the Panera story, we are quite gratified to find that Panera

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Bread has quickly become a very significant brand with the elements in place that will enable us to create an even more exciting future.”

The Company will discuss these results in a conference call today, November 14, 2002, at 1:00 PM Central Standard Time. To access the call, go to http://www.panerabread.com/pages/a_ir_news.php, where it will also be archived for 90 days.

Panera Bread Company owns and franchises bakery-cafes under the Panera Bread and Saint Louis Bread Co. names. Additional information is available on the company’s website, www.panerabread.com.

Matters discussed in this news release, including any discussion or impact, express or implied, on the Company’s anticipated growth, operating results and future earnings per share contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The statements identified by the words “believe”, “positioned”, “estimate”, “project”, “target”, “continue”, “will”, “intend”, “expect”, “future”, “anticipates”, and similar expressions express management’s present belief, expectations or intentions regarding the Company’s future performance. The Company’s actual results could differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking statements due to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and could be negatively impacted by a number of factors. These factors include but are not limited to the following: the availability of sufficient capital to the Company and the developers party to franchise development agreements with the Company; variations in the number and timing of bakery-cafe openings; public acceptance of new bakery-cafes; competition; national and regional weather conditions; changes in restaurant operating costs, particularly food and labor; and other factors that may affect retailers in general. These and other risks are discussed from time to time in the Company’s SEC reports, including its Form 10-K for the year ended December 29, 2001.

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PANERA BREAD COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share amounts

                                       
          For the Twelve Weeks Ended     For the Forty Weeks Ended  
         
   
 
          Oct. 5, 2002     Oct. 6, 2001     Oct. 5, 2002     Oct. 6, 2001  
         
   
   
   
 
Revenues:
                               
 
Bakery-cafe sales
  $ 50,270     $ 38,486     $ 157,939     $ 115,045  
 
Franchise royalties and fees
    6,699       4,481       20,099       13,817  
 
Commissary sales to franchisees
    8,502       5,520       26,712       16,581  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Total revenue
    65,471       48,487       204,750       145,443  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Costs and expenses:
                               
 
Bakery-cafe expenses:
                               
   
Cost of food and paper products
    15,301       11,986       48,335       35,908  
   
Labor
    14,776       11,017       46,959       33,330  
   
Occupancy
    3,368       2,716       11,118       8,278  
   
Other operating expenses
    6,528       5,107       21,112       15,580  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Total bakery-cafe expenses
    39,973       30,826       127,524       93,096  
 
Commissary cost of sales to franchisees
    7,975       5,209       24,749       15,447  
 
Depreciation and amortization
    3,244       2,613       10,171       7,872  
 
General and administrative expenses
    5,735       4,720       18,628       14,479  
 
Pre-opening expense
    259       126       791       610  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Total costs and expenses
    57,186       43,494       181,863       131,504  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Operating profit
    8,285       4,993       22,887       13,939  
Interest expense
    11       16       25       77  
Other expense, net
    76       85       267       107  
Minority interest
    61             131        
 
 
   
   
   
 
Income before income taxes
    8,137       4,892       22,464       13,755  
Income taxes
    2,970       1,908       8,199       5,358  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Net income
  $ 5,167     $ 2,984     $ 14,265     $ 8,397  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Net income per common share — basic
  $ .18     $ .11     $ .49     $ .30  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Net income per common share — diluted
  $ .17     $ .10     $ .48     $ .29  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Weighted average shares of common and common equivalent shares outstanding Basic
    29,072       27,967       28,834       27,631  
 
 
   
   
   
 
 
Diluted
    30,094       29,345       29,902       28,896  
 
 
   
   
   
 

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PANERA BREAD COMPANY
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF OPERATIONS
MARGIN ANALYSIS

(unaudited)

     The following table sets forth the percentage relationship to total revenues, except where otherwise indicated, of certain items included in the Company’s consolidated statements of operations for the period indicated. Percentages may not add due to rounding:

                                       
          For the Twelve Weeks Ended     For the Forty Weeks Ended  
         
   
 
          Oct. 5, 2002     Oct. 6, 2001     Oct. 5, 2002     Oct. 6, 2001  
         
   
   
   
 
Revenues:
                               
 
Bakery-cafe sales
    76.8 %     79.4 %     77.1 %     79.1 %
 
Franchise royalties and fees
    10.2       9.2       9.8       9.5  
 
Commissary sales to franchisees
    13.0       11.4       13.1       11.4  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Total revenue
    100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %     100.0 %
 
 
   
   
   
 
Costs and expenses:
                               
 
Bakery-cafe expenses(1):
                               
   
Cost of food and paper products
    30.4       31.1       30.6       31.2  
   
Labor
    29.4       28.6       29.7       29.0  
   
Occupancy
    6.7       7.1       7.0       7.2  
   
Other operating expenses
    13.0       13.3       13.4       13.5  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Total bakery-cafe expenses
    79.5       80.1       80.7       80.9  
 
 
   
   
   
 
 
Commissary cost of sales to franchisees(2)
    93.8       94.4       92.7       93.2  
 
Depreciation and amortization
    5.0       5.4       5.0       5.4  
 
General and administrative expenses
    8.8       9.7       9.1       10.0  
 
Pre-opening Costs
    0.4       0.3       0.4       0.4  
 
 
   
   
   
 
Operating profit
    12.7       10.3       11.2       9.6  
Interest expense
                      0.1  
Other expense, net
    0.1       0.2       0.1       0.1  
Minority interest
    0.1             0.1        
 
 
   
   
   
 
Income before income taxes
    12.4       10.1       11.0       9.5  
Income taxes
    4.5       3.9       4.0       3.7  
 
 
   
   
   
 
     
Net income
    7.9 %     6.2 %     7.0 %     5.8 %
 
 
   
   
   
 

(1)   As a percentage of Company bakery-cafe sales.
(2)   As a percentage of commissary sales to franchisees.

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