EX-99.C.II 11 y19490exv99wcwii.htm EX-99.C.II: REPORT OF JPMORGAN AND BNP PARIBAS EX-99.C.II
 

Exhibit c(ii)

 

 

A P R I L    3 ,    2 0 0 6
 
 
S T R I C T L Y    P R I V A T E    A N D    C O N F I D E N T I A L
 
 
 
  D I S C U S S I O N   M A T E R I A L S
 
 
 
 
 
 
(JPMORGAN LOGO)   (BNP LOGO)

 


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
This presentation was prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the JPMorgan and BNP Paribas (together the “Financial Advisers”) client to whom it is directly addressed and delivered (including such client’s subsidiaries, the “Company”) in order to assist the Company in evaluating, on a preliminary basis, the feasibility of a possible transaction or transactions and does not carry any right of publication or disclosure, in whole or in part, to any other party. This presentation is for discussion purposes only and is incomplete without reference to, and should be viewed solely in conjunction with, the oral briefing provided by the Financial Advisers. Neither this presentation nor any of its contents may be disclosed or used for any other purpose without the prior written consent of the Financial Advisers.
The information in this presentation is based upon any management forecasts supplied to us and reflects prevailing conditions and our views as of this date, all of which are accordingly subject to change. The Financial Advisers’ opinions and estimates constitute the Financial Advisers’ judgment and should be regarded as indicative, preliminary and for illustrative purposes only. In preparing this presentation, we have relied upon and assumed, without independent verification, the accuracy and completeness of all information available from public sources or which was provided to us by or on behalf of the Company or which was otherwise reviewed by us. In addition, our analyses are not and do not purport to be appraisals of the assets, stock, or business of the Company or any other entity. The Financial Advisers make no representations as to the actual value which may be received in connection with a transaction nor the legal, tax or accounting effects of consummating a transaction. Unless expressly contemplated hereby, the information in this presentation does not take into account the effects of a possible transaction or transactions involving an actual or potential change of control, which may have significant valuation and other effects.
Notwithstanding anything herein to the contrary, the Company and each of its employees, representatives or other agents may disclose to any and all persons, without limitation of any kind, the U.S. federal and state income tax treatment and the U.S. federal and state income tax structure of the transactions contemplated hereby and all materials of any kind (including opinions or other tax analyses) that are provided to the Company relating to such tax treatment and tax structure insofar as such treatment and/or structure relates to a U.S. federal or state income tax strategy provided to the Company by the Financial Advisers.
The Financial Advisers’ policies prohibit employees from offering, directly or indirectly, a favorable research rating or specific price target, or offering to change a rating or price target, to a subject company as consideration or inducement for the receipt of business or for compensation. The Financials Advisers also prohibit their research analysts from being compensated for involvement in investment banking transactions except to the extent that such participation is intended to benefit investors.
IRS Circular 230 Disclosure: The Financial Advisers do not provide tax advice. Accordingly, any discussion of U.S. tax matters included herein (including any attachments) is not intended or written to be used, and cannot be used, in connection with the promotion, marketing or recommendation by anyone not affiliated with the Financial Advisers of any of the matters addressed herein or for the purpose of avoiding U.S. tax-related penalties.
JPMorgan is a marketing name for investment banking businesses of JPMorgan Chase & Co. and its subsidiaries worldwide. Securities, syndicated loan arranging, financial advisory and other investment banking activities are performed by a combination of J.P. Morgan Securities Inc., J.P. Morgan plc, J.P. Morgan Securities Ltd. and the appropriately licensed subsidiaries of JPMorgan Chase & Co. in Asia-Pacific, and lending, derivatives and other commercial banking activities are performed by JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. JPMorgan deal team members may be employees of any of the foregoing entities.
This presentation does not constitute a commitment by any JPMorgan or BNP Paribas entity to underwrite, subscribe for or place any securities or to extend or arrange credit or to provide any other services.
(LOGOS)

 


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
Tango trading summary post-announcement of the Offer
(BAR GRAPH)
(LOGOS)

1


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
Merrill Lynch provided JPMorgan with a revised
“2006 Outlook” for Tango on March 9, 2006
 
 
Comparison of 2005 actual vs. 2006 Budget vs. 2006 Outlook — as provided by Merrill Lynch
 
                                                 
            2006 Budget     2006 Outlook  
            Presented to Tango Board     Presented to Tango Special Committee  
            on Jan 31, 2006     on March 1, 2006  
    2005 Actual                                
    ($mm)     ($mm)     % vs. 2005     ($mm)     % vs. 2005     % vs. budget  
 
                                               
 
 
                                               
Sales
    $4,309.6       $4,636.4       7.6 %     $4,744.7       10.1 %     2.3 %
 
                                               
 
 
                                               
EBIT
    $565.2       $600.8       6.3 %     $662.6       17.2 %     10.3 %
 
                                               
 
     
(LOGOS)   2


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
Analysis of Tango trading since February 6, 2006

Analysis of shares traded since Feb 6 (% of total volume)
     
Price range
 
 
(BAR GRAPH)
 
 
< $81.00
 
 
 
$81.00—$81.49
 
 
 
$81.50—$81.99
 
 
 
$82.00—$82.49
 
 
 
$82.50—$82.99
 
 
 
$83.00—$83.49
 
 
 
$83.50—$83.99
 
 
 
$84.00—$84.49
 
 
 
$84.50—$84.99
 
 
 
> $85.00
 
 
         
Total volume traded since Feb 6:
  32.8mm
% of free float traded since Feb 6 2:
  92.8%
Source: Bloomberg intra-day data
1 Free float = 35.3 million shares

Tango volume-weighted average price (VWAP)
                         
                    % Total  
            Volume     Volume  
Date range   VWAP     Traded     traded  
 
 
                       
Feb 6, 2006
    $81.40       10,559,000       32.2%  
(day of announcement)
                 
 
                       
8 days
    $81.92       11,501,900       35.1%  
(2/7/06—2/16/06)
                 
 
                       
10 days
    482.76       3,729,500       11.4%  
(2/17/06—3/3/06)
                 
 
                       
10 days
    $83.10       4,679,500       14.3%  
(3/6/06—3/17/06)
                 
 
                       
10 days
    $83.77       2,293,800       7.0%  
(3/20/06—3/31/06)
                 
 
                       
 
 
                       
Total period post-ann.
    $82.15       32,763,700       100.0%  
(Feb-6, 06—Mar-31, 06)
                 
 
                       
 

Source: Tradeline


(LOGOS)

3


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
Public market valuations of building materials companies
Building materials market valuations
                                                                                     
                                                                 
 
                                                                                   
    Price     % of 52-     Market     Firm     Historical metrics (Feb 3, 06 3)       Current metrics (Mar-31, 06)    
    (local     week     cap.     Value     FV/EBITDA 1     P/E 2       FV/EBITDA 1     P/E 2    
Market data as of Mar-31   currency)     high     US$mm     US$mm     2005A     2006E     2006E       2005A     2006E     2006E    
         
U.S. companies
                                                                                   
Vulcan Materials
  $ 86.65       97.2 %   $ 9,032     $ 9,177       11.4x       9.1x       17.9x         13.2x       9.9x       19.3x    
Martin Marietta
    107.03       99.3 %     5,129       5,738       11.2       9.1       17.5         13.3       10.4       20.0    
Florida Rock
    56.22       82.7 %     3,830       3,775       11.2       9.4       17.8         11.6       9.7       18.4    
Eagle Materials
    63.76       99.6 %     3,235       3,375       12.1       9.3       14.6         13.7       9.8       17.4    
Texas Industries
    60.49       86.4 %     1,443       1,737       12.1       9.9       18.4         13.4       11.0       21.1    
Median
                                    11.4x       9.3x       17.8x         13.3x       9.9x       19.3x    
Average
                                    11.6x       9.4x       17.2x         13.0x       10.2x       19.2x    
 
                                                                                   
Non-U.S. companies
                                                                                   
Cemex
  $ 65.28       99.4 %   $ 22,936     $ 32,129       8.8x       7.7x       10.8x         9.0x       7.8x       12.3x    
CRH
  28.80       98.1 %     18,876       23,324       9.2       8.6       13.0         9.7       8.5       13.6    
Holcim
  SFr. 103.80       100.0 %     18,405       30,941       8.4       7.2       11.4         8.5       7.0       12.3    
Heidelberg Cement
  94.20       100.0 %     13,256       18,089       9.7       8.7       14.7         10.4       9.3       16.8    
Rinker
  AUD 19.85       100.0 %     12,969       13,191       10.2       8.7       15.7         11.4       9.4       16.7    
Hanson
  £ 7.54       96.1 %     9,470       11,203       8.5       8.0       13.2         9.4       8.8       13.8    
Ciments Francais
  129.30       98.8 %     6,116       8,812       7.5       6.6       12.5         7.9       7.0       14.0    
Italcementi
  19.77       99.1 %     6,018       10,331       6.8       5.5       10.6         7.6       6.2       13.1    
Cimpor
  5.51       99.6 %     4,505       6,233       10.0       9.1       12.8         10.7       9.8       14.1    
Buzzi Unicem
  19.67       100.0 %     4,349       6,168       6.0       5.6       10.3         6.9       6.5       12.7    
Cementos Portland
  86.45       98.2 %     2,928       3,061       8.2       8.0       17.8         8.0       7.0       16.4    
Cementir
  5.95       94.4 %     1,152       1,508       6.3       5.5       12.4         6.7       5.8       13.6    
Median
                                    8.5x       7.8x       12.7x         8.8x       7.4x       13.7x    
Average
                                    8.3x       7.5x       12.9x         8.8x       7.8x       14.1x    
 
                                                                                   
Foxtrot
  93.50       100.0 %   $ 19,703     $ 31,068       7.4x       6.8x       12.8x         7.7x       6.9x       13.1x    
Tango   $ 84.00       99.8 %   $ 6,766 4   $ 6,993 4     6.5x       6.2x       14.0x       Tango multiples non-meaningful
 
         
 
                                                                                   
                                                                 

 
 
 
  (JPMORGAN AND BNP PARIBAS LOGOS)
Note: Multiples not adjusted for pension/OPEB deficits, projections might not reflect recent improvements in earnings released over the past week. Estimates are used where actual results are not yet available
Source: Tradeline/Datastream as of March 31, 2006, I/B/E/S and equity research. Tango projections based on 2006 budget
     
1 Calendarized EBITDA
  3 Market data as of Feb 3, 2006
2 Pre-goodwill amortization and pre-exceptionals
  4 Based on fully diluted NOSH


4


 

D I S C U S S I O N     M A T E R I A L S
 
Illustrative analysis at various prices
Illustrative analysis at various prices
                                                                         
                    As of     Current offer     Illustrative price  
($mm except per share)     Feb-3     $75.00     $80.00     $81.00     $82.00     $83.00     $84.00  
 
Implied premia over pre-offer prices                                                        
  Pre-Announcement:                                                        
Feb 3, 2006 close
    $64.25       16.7%       24.5%       26.1%       27.6%       29.2%       30.7%  
over 1-year high
    69.78       7.5%       14.6%       16.1%       17.5%       18.9%       20.4%  
over 1-year low
    52.47       42.9%       52.5%       54.4%       56.3%       58.2%       60.1%  
over 1-year average
    60.67       23.6%       31.9%       33.5%       35.2%       36.8%       38.5%  
over 6-month average
    60.81       23.3%       31.6%       33.2%       34.8%       36.5%       38.1%  
over 3-month average
    57.27       31.0%       39.7%       41.4%       43.2%       44.9%       46.7%  
over last 30 calendar day average
    60.83       23.3%       31.5%       33.2%       34.8%       36.4%       38.1%  
over 1-week average
    63.64       17.9%       25.7%       27.3%       28.8%       30.4%       32.0%  
 
                                                                       
Basic number of shares     75.4       75.4       75.4       75.4       75.4       75.4       75.4  
 
                                                                       
Implied Tango equity value     4,844       5,654       6,031       6,106       6,182       6,257       6,332  
Implied fully diluted equity value     5,102       6,008       6,429       6,513       6,598       6,682       6,766  
Implied buy-out amount 1     2,526       3,001       3,222       3,266       3,310       3,354       3,398  
 
Implied buy-out amount (mm)2     2,105       2,501       2,685       2,721       2,758       2,795       2,832  
 
Net debt & minority interest 3     227                                                  
Implied firm value     5,329       6,235       6,656       6,741       6,825       6,909       6,993  
 
                                                                       
    Base data ($mm)
                                                       
 
FV/EBITDA
    2005A       814       6.5x       7.7x       8.2x       8.3x       8.4x       8.5x       8.6x  
 
    2006E       861       6.2x       7.2x       7.7x       7.8x       7.9x       8.0x       8.1x  
P/E4
    2005A       341       15.0x       17.6x       18.8x       19.1x       19.3x       19.6x       19.8x  
 
    2006E       365       14.0x       16.5x       17.6x       17.9x       18.1x       18.3x       18.6x  
 

Key financials — Tango
                         
$mm   2005A     2006E     2007E  
 
 
                       
Sales
    $4,310       $4,500       $4,800  
 
                       
EBITDA
    814       861       940  
 
                       
% margin
    18.9%       19.1%       19.6%  
 
                       
Net income4
    341       365       408  
 
                       
% margin
    7.9%       8.1%       8.5%  
 
Net debt
         
$mm   Dec-05  
 
 
       
Financial debt5
    919  
 
       
- Cash & equivalent
    (692)  
 
       
 
       
 
       
 
       
 
       
= Net debt (excl. off B/S liabilities)
    227  
 
Number of shares
         
mm        
 
 
       
Common shares
    75.4  
 
       
Options o/s (estimate)
    4.5  
 
       
 
       
 
       
Warrants (estimate)
    4.4  
 
       
     
Diluted shares (at $64.25/share)
    79.4  
 


(JP MORGAN AND BNP LOGOS)
Source: Foxtrot guidance
1   46.8% of basic nosh + cash cost for buyback
 
2   Assumes Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate of 1.200
 
3   Excluding pensions/OPEB deficits
 
4   Pre-exceptionals
 
5   Including redeemable preferred shares


 5