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Fair Value Measurements
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2013
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements
Fair Value Measurements
Dominion's and Virginia Power's fair value measurements are made in accordance with the policies discussed in Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2012. See Note 9 in this report for further information about their derivatives and hedge accounting activities.

Dominion and Virginia Power enter into certain physical and financial forwards and futures, options, and full requirements contracts, which are considered Level 3 as they have one or more inputs that are not observable and are significant to the valuation. The discounted cash flow method is used to value Level 3 physical and financial forwards, futures, and full requirements contracts. An option model is used to value Level 3 physical and financial options. The discounted cash flow model for forwards and futures calculates mark-to-market valuations based on forward market prices, original transaction prices, volumes, risk-free rate of return, and credit spreads. Full requirements contracts add load shaping and usage factors in addition to the discounted cash flow model inputs. The option model calculates mark-to-market valuations using variations of the Black-Scholes option model. The inputs into the models are the forward market prices, implied price volatilities, mean reversions, risk-free rate of return, the option expiration dates, the option strike prices, price correlations, the original sales prices, and volumes. For Level 3 fair value measurements, forward market prices, implied price volatilities, price correlations, load shaping, and usage factors are considered unobservable. The unobservable inputs are developed and substantiated using historical information, available market data, third-party data, and statistical analysis. Periodically, inputs to valuation models are reviewed and revised as needed, based on historical information, updated market data, market liquidity and relationships, and changes in third-party pricing sources.

The following table presents Dominion's and Virginia Power's quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements. The range and weighted average are presented in dollars for market price inputs, years for mean reversion speeds, and percentages for price volatility, price correlations, load shaping, and usage factors.
 

 
Fair Value (millions)
Valuation Techniques
Unobservable Input
 
Range
Weighted Average(1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At September 30, 2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Natural Gas(2)
$
10

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per Dth)
(4) 
(1) - 5
2

Electricity
9

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(4) 
31 - 77
44

FTRs(3)
1

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(4) 
(1) - 6
0

Liquids
12

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per Gal)
(4) 
0 - 3
1

Physical and Financial Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Natural Gas
7

Option Model
Market Price (per Dth)
(4) 
3 - 5
4

 
 
 
Price Volatility
(5) 
19% - 30%
24
%
 
 
 
Price Correlation
(6) 
(9)% - 100%
36
%
 
 
 
Mean Reversion
(7) 
0 - 58
4

Full Requirements Contracts:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Electricity
13

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(4) 
10 - 403(10)
34

 
 
 
Load Shaping
(8) 
0% - 10%
7
%
 
 
 
Usage Factor
(9) 
11% - 15%
14
%
Total assets
$
52

 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Natural Gas(2)
$
16

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per Dth)
(4) 
(1) - 5
1

      Electricity
6

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(4) 
23 - 86
50

      FTRs(3)
16

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(4) 
(4) - 6
1

Liquids
8

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per Gal)
(4) 
1 - 3
2

Physical and Financial Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Natural Gas
10

Option Model
Market Price (per Dth)
(4) 
3 - 10
5

 
 
 
Price Volatility
(5) 
19% - 30%
23
%
 
 
 
Price Correlation
(6) 
(9)% - 100%
36
%
 
 
 
Mean Reversion
(7) 
0 - 58
4

Total liabilities
$
56

 
 
 
 
 
(1)
Averages weighted by volume.
(2)
Includes basis.
(3)
Information represents Virginia Power's quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements.
(4)
Represents market prices beyond defined terms for Levels 1 & 2.
(5)
Represents volatilities unrepresented in published markets.
(6)
Represents intra-price correlations for which markets do not exist.
(7)
Represents mean-reverting property in price simulation modeling.
(8)
Converts block monthly loads to 24-hour load shapes.
(9)
Represents expected increase (decrease) in sales volumes compared to historical usage.
(10)
The range in market prices is the result of large variability in hourly power prices during peak and off-peak hours.

Sensitivity of the fair value measurements to changes in the significant unobservable inputs is as follows:
Significant Unobservable Inputs
Position
Change to Input
Impact on Fair Value Measurement
Market Price
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Market Price
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Volatility
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Price Volatility
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Correlation
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Correlation
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Mean Reversion
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Mean Reversion
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Load Shaping
Sell(1)
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Usage Factor
Sell(2)
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
(1)
Assumes the contract is in a gain position and load increases during peak hours.
(2)
Assumes the contract is in a gain position.

Non-recurring Fair Value Measurements
In June 2013, Dominion purchased certain natural gas infrastructure facilities that were previously leased from third parties. The purchase price was based on terms in the lease, which exceeded current market pricing. As a result of the purchase price and expected losses, Dominion recorded an impairment charge of $49 million ($29 million after-tax) in other operations and maintenance expense in its Consolidated Statements of Income, to write down the long-lived assets to their estimated fair values of less than $1 million. As management was not aware of any recent market transactions for comparable assets with sufficient transparency to develop a market approach to fair value, Dominion used the income approach (discounted cash flows) to estimate the fair value of the assets in this impairment test. This was considered a Level 3 fair value measurement due to the use of significant unobservable inputs, including estimates of future production and other commodity prices.

See Note 3 for non-recurring fair value measurements related to Brayton Point and Kincaid.

Recurring Fair Value Measurements

Dominion
The following table presents Dominion’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for each hierarchy level, including both current and noncurrent portions: 
 
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
 
At September 30, 2013
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
6

$
713

$
52

$
771

Interest rate

114


114

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
Large cap
2,211



2,211

Other
74



74

Non-U.S.:
 
 
 
 
Large cap
11



11

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

352


352

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
414

168


582

State and municipal

342


342

Other

4


4

Cash equivalents and other
9

80


89

Restricted cash equivalents

10


10

       Total assets
$
2,725

$
1,783

$
52

$
4,560

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
5

$
721

$
56

$
782

Interest rate

11


11

Total liabilities
$
5

$
732

$
56

$
793

At December 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
12

$
639

$
84

$
735

Interest rate

93


93

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
Large cap
1,973



1,973

Other
59



59

Non-U.S.:
 
 
 
 
Large cap
12



12

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

325


325

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
391

152


543

State and municipal

315


315

Other

7


7

Cash equivalents and other
13

67


80

Restricted cash equivalents

33


33

Total assets
$
2,460

$
1,631

$
84

$
4,175

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
8

$
528

$
59

$
595

Interest rate

66


66

Total liabilities
$
8

$
594

$
59

$
661

(1)
Includes investments held in the nuclear decommissioning and rabbi trusts.

The following table presents the net change in Dominion's assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis and included in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
2013
2012
2013
2012
(millions)
 
 
 
 
Beginning balance
$
2

$
155

$
25

$
(71
)
Total realized and unrealized gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
(1
)
(8
)
1

(31
)
Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
(25
)
(48
)
11

124

Included in regulatory assets/liabilities
10

2

(17
)
30

Settlements
3

3

(23
)
54

Transfers out of Level 3
7

(1
)
(1
)
(3
)
Ending balance
$
(4
)
$
103

$
(4
)
$
103

The amount of gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
$
2

$
(15
)
$

$
25



The following table presents Dominion's classification of gains and losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Operating
revenue
Electric fuel
and other
energy-related
purchases
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
Three Months Ended September 30, 2013
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
5

$
(6
)
$
(1
)
The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
2


2

Three Months Ended September 30, 2012
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
(10
)
$
2

$
(8
)
The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
(15
)

(15
)
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2013
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
12

$
(11
)
$
1

The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date



Nine Months Ended September 30, 2012
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
13

$
(44
)
$
(31
)
The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
25


25



Virginia Power
The following table presents Virginia Power’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for each hierarchy level, including both current and noncurrent portions:
 
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
 
At September 30, 2013
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

$
1

$
1

$
2

Interest rate

33


33

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
Large cap
939



939

Other
33



33

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

197


197

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
146

63


209

State and municipal

160


160

Cash equivalents and other

24


24

Restricted cash equivalents

10


10

       Total assets
$
1,118

$
488

$
1

$
1,607

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

$
4

$
16

$
20

Total liabilities
$

$
4

$
16

$
20

At December 31, 2012
 

 

 
 
Assets:
 

 

 
 
Derivatives:
 

 

 
 
Commodity
$

$
1

$
5

$
6

Investments(1):
 

 

 
 
Equity securities:
 

 

 
 
U.S.:
 

 

 
 
Large cap
779



779

Other
27



27

Fixed income:
 

 

 
 
Corporate debt instruments

196


196

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
168

66


234

State and municipal

118


118

Other

1


1

Cash equivalents and other
7

31


38

Restricted cash equivalents

10


10

Total assets
$
981

$
423

$
5

$
1,409

Liabilities:
 

 

 
 
Derivatives:
 

 

 
 
Commodity
$

$
6

$
3

$
9

Interest rate

25


25

Total liabilities
$

$
31

$
3

$
34

(1)
Includes investments held in the nuclear decommissioning and rabbi trusts.

The following table presents the net change in Virginia Power’s assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis and included in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Three Months Ended September 30,
Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
2013
2012
2013
2012
(millions)
 
 
 
 
Beginning balance
$
(25
)
$
1

$
2

$
(28
)
Total realized and unrealized gains (losses):
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
(4
)
2

(9
)
(44
)
Included in regulatory assets/liabilities
10

2

(17
)
31

Settlements
4

(2
)
9

44

Ending balance
$
(15
)
$
3

$
(15
)
$
3



The gains and losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category were classified in electric fuel and other energy-related purchases in Virginia Power's Consolidated Statements of Income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012. There were no unrealized gains or losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2013 and 2012.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments
Substantially all of Dominion’s and Virginia Power’s financial instruments are recorded at fair value, with the exception of the instruments described below, which are reported at historical cost. Estimated fair values have been determined using available market information and valuation methodologies considered appropriate by management. The carrying amount of cash and cash equivalents, customer and other receivables, short-term debt and accounts payable are representative of fair value because of the short-term nature of these instruments. For Dominion’s and Virginia Power’s financial instruments that are not recorded at fair value, the carrying amounts and estimated fair values are as follows:
 
 
September 30, 2013
December 31, 2012
 
Carrying
Amount
Estimated Fair
Value
(1)
Carrying
Amount
Estimated Fair
Value
(1)
(millions)
 
 
 
 
Dominion
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt, including securities due within one year(2)
$
17,228

$
18,899

$
16,841

$
19,898

Securities due within one year, VIE(3)


860

864

Junior subordinated notes(3)
1,373

1,397

1,373

1,430

Remarketable subordinated notes(3)
1,079

1,175



Subsidiary preferred stock(4)
257

258

257

255

Virginia Power
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt, including securities due within one year(2)
$
8,039

$
8,975

$
6,669

$
8,270

Preferred stock(4)
257

258

257

255

(1)
Fair value is estimated using market prices, where available, and interest rates currently available for issuance of debt with similar terms and remaining maturities. All fair value measurements are classified as Level 2. The carrying amount of debt issues with short-term maturities and variable rates refinanced at current market rates is a reasonable estimate of their fair value.
(2)
Carrying amount includes amounts which represent the unamortized discount and premium. At September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, includes the valuation of certain fair value hedges associated with Dominion’s fixed rate debt of approximately $56 million and $93 million, respectively.
(3)
Carrying amount includes amounts which represent the unamortized discount or premium.
(4)
Carrying amount includes deferred issuance expenses of $2 million at September 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012.