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Fair Value Measurements
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2012
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements
Fair Value Measurements
Dominion's and Virginia Power's fair value measurements are made in accordance with the policies discussed in Note 7 to the Consolidated Financial Statements in their Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011. See Note 7 in this report for further information about their derivatives and hedge accounting activities.

At March 31, 2012, Dominion's and Virginia Power's net balance of commodity derivatives categorized as Level 3 fair value measurements was a net liability of $61 million and $17 million, respectively.

Dominion's and Virginia Power's commodity derivative valuations are prepared by the ERM department. The ERM department reports directly to the Companies' CFO. The ERM department creates a daily computer-generated file containing mark-to-market valuations for the Companies' derivative transactions. Standard transactions are programmatically calculated using software. The inputs that go into the mark-to-market valuations are transactional information stored in the systems of record and market pricing information that resides in data warehouse databases. The majority of forward prices are automatically uploaded into the data warehouse databases from various third party sources. Inputs obtained from third party sources are evaluated for reliability considering the reputation, independence, market presence, and methodology used by the third party. If forward prices are not available from third party sources, then the ERM department models the forward prices based on other available market data. A team consisting of risk management and risk quantitative analysts meets each business day to assess the validity of market prices and mark-to-market valuations. During this meeting, the changes in mark-to-market valuations from period to period are examined and qualified against historical expectations. If any discrepancies are identified during this process, the mark-to-market valuations or the market pricing information is evaluated further and adjusted, if necessary.
Dominion and Virginia Power use the discounted cash flow method to value Level 3 physical and financial forwards and futures and an option model to value Level 3 physical and financial options. The discounted cash flow model calculates mark-to-market valuations based on forward market prices, original transaction prices, volumes, risk-free rate of return and credit spreads. The option model calculates mark-to-market valuations using variations of the Black-Scholes option model. The inputs into the models are the forward market prices, implied price volatilities, risk-free rate of return, the option expiration dates, the option strike prices, price correlations, the original sales prices, and volumes. For Level 3 fair value measurements, the forward market prices, the implied price volatilities, and price correlations are considered unobservable. The unobservable inputs are developed and substantiated using historical information, available market data, third party data, and statistical analysis. Periodically, inputs to valuation models are reviewed and revised as needed, based on historical information, updated market data, market liquidity and relationships, and changes in third party pricing sources.
The following table presents Dominion's quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements. Included are descriptions of the valuation techniques, the significant unobservable inputs, and the range of market price, price correlation and price volatility inputs used in the fair value measurements at March 31, 2012 for each category of transaction and commodity type. The range and weighted average are presented in dollars for market price inputs and percentages for price volatility and correlations.


 
Fair Value (millions)
 
Valuation Technique(s)
 
Unobservable Input
 
 
 
Range
 
Weighted Average(1)

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At March 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Natural Gas(2)
$
31

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per Dth)
 
(3) 
 
(1) - 6
 
3

Electricity
69

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per MWh)
 
(3) 
 
21 - 61
 
43

FTRs
1

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per MWh)
 
(3) 
 
(3) - 3
 

Capacity
9

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per MW)
 
(3) 
 
95-120
 
101

Liquids
1

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per Gal)
 
(3) 
 
1 - 2
 
1

Physical and Financial Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Natural Gas
6

 
Option Model
 
Market Price (per Dth)
 
(3) 
 
2 - 5
 
4

 
 
 
 
 
Price Volatility
 
(4) 
 
23% - 60%
 
30
%
 
 
 
 
 
Price Correlation
 
(5) 
 
100% - 100%
 
100
%
Total assets
$
117

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Natural Gas(2)
$
21

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per Dth)
 
(3) 
 
(1) - 6
 
3

      Electricity
17

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per MWh)
 
(3) 
 
12 - 61
 
41

      FTRs
18

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per MWh)
 
(3) 
 
(6) - 5
 

      Liquids
108

 
Discounted Cash Flow
 
Market Price (per Gal)
 
(3) 
 
1 - 3
 
2

Physical and Financial Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Natural Gas(2)
14

 
Option Model
 
Market Price (per Dth)
 
(3) 
 
(1) - 5
 
2

 
 
 
 
 
Price Volatility
 
(4) 
 
23% - 59%
 
36
%
 
 
 
 
 
Price Correlation
 
(5) 
 
70% - 100%
 
90
%
Total liabilities
$
178

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(1)
Averages weighted by volume.
(2)
Includes basis.
(3)
Represents market prices beyond defined terms for Levels 1 & 2.
(4)
Represents volatilities unrepresented in published markets.
(5)
Represents intra-price correlations for which markets do not exist.

The following table presents Virginia Power's quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements. Included are descriptions of the valuation techniques, the significant unobservable inputs, and the range of market price inputs used in the fair value measurements at March 31, 2012 for each category of transaction and commodity type. The range and weighted average are presented in dollars for market price inputs.
 
Fair Value (millions)
Valuation Technique(s)
Unobservable Input
 
Range
 
Weighted Average(1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At March 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FTRs
$
1

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(2) 
(3) - 3
 
0
Total assets
$
1

 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Physical and Financial Forwards and Futures:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
FTRs
$
18

Discounted Cash Flow
Market Price (per MWh)
(2) 
(6) - 3
 
0
Total liabilities
$
18

 
 
 
 
 
 
(1)
Averages weighted by volume.
(2)
Represents market prices beyond defined terms for Levels 1 & 2.

Sensitivity of the fair value measurements to changes in the significant unobservable inputs is as follows:
Significant Unobservable Inputs
Position
Change to Input
Impact on Fair Value Measurement
Market Price
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Market Price
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Volatility
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)
Price Volatility
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Correlation
Buy
Increase (decrease)
Loss (gain)
Price Correlation
Sell
Increase (decrease)
Gain (loss)

Non-recurring Fair Value Measurements
During March 2011, Dominion determined that it was unlikely that State Line would participate in the May 2011 PJM capacity base residual auction that would commit State Line's capacity from June 2014 through May 2015.  This determination reflected an expectation that margins for coal-fired generation will remain compressed in the 2014 and 2015 period in combination with the expectation that State Line may be impacted during the same time period by environmental regulations that would likely require significant capital expenditures. As a result, Dominion evaluated State Line for impairment since it was more likely than not that State Line would be retired before the end of its previously estimated useful life. As a result of this evaluation, Dominion recorded an impairment charge of $55 million ($39 million after-tax) reflected in other operations and maintenance expense in its Consolidated Statement of Income, to write down State Line's long-lived assets to their estimated fair value of less than $1 million. As management was not aware of any recent market transactions for comparable assets with sufficient transparency to develop a market approach to fair value, Dominion used the income approach (discounted cash flows) to estimate the fair value of State Line's long-lived assets in the impairment test. This was considered a Level 3 fair value measurement due to the use of significant unobservable inputs including estimates of future power and other commodity prices. State Line was retired in March 2012.

Recurring Fair Value Measurements
Dominion
The following table presents Dominion’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for each hierarchy level, including both current and noncurrent portions: 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At March 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
54

 
$
1,007

 
$
117

 
$
1,178

Interest rate

 
94

 

 
94

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Large cap
1,933

 

 

 
1,933

Other
59

 

 

 
59

Non-U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Large cap
11

 

 

 
11

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

 
317

 

 
317

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
308

 
170

 

 
478

State and municipal

 
328

 

 
328

Other

 
20

 

 
20

Cash equivalents and other

 
82

 

 
82

Restricted cash equivalents

 
104

 

 
104

       Total assets
$
2,365

 
$
2,122

 
$
117

 
$
4,604

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
19

 
$
737

 
$
178

 
$
934

Interest rate

 
176

 

 
176

Total liabilities
$
19

 
$
913

 
$
178

 
$
1,110

At December 31, 2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
44

 
$
828

 
$
93

 
$
965

Interest rate

 
105

 

 
105

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Large cap
1,718

 

 

 
1,718

Other
51

 

 

 
51

Non-U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Large cap
10

 

 

 
10

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

 
332

 

 
332

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
277

 
181

 

 
458

State and municipal

 
329

 

 
329

Other

 
23

 

 
23

Cash equivalents and other

 
60

 

 
60

Restricted cash equivalents

 
141

 

 
141

Total assets
$
2,100

 
$
1,999

 
$
93

 
$
4,192

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$
10

 
$
714

 
$
164

 
$
888

Interest rate

 
269

 

 
269

Total liabilities
$
10

 
$
983

 
$
164

 
$
1,157

(1)
Includes investments held in the nuclear decommissioning and rabbi trusts.

The following table presents the net change in Dominion's assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis and included in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
2012
 
2011
(millions)
 
 
 
Beginning balance
$
(71
)
 
$
(50
)
Total realized and unrealized gains (losses):
 
 
 
Included in earnings
(35
)
 
14

Included in other comprehensive income (loss)
5

 
(94
)
Included in regulatory assets/liabilities
11

 
(21
)
Settlements
30

 
(16
)
Transfers out of Level 3
(1
)
 
4

Ending balance
$
(61
)
 
$
(163
)
The amount of gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
$
1

 
$
4



The following table presents Dominion's gains and losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Operating
revenue
 
Electric fuel
and other
energy-related
purchases
 
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
(9
)
 
$
(26
)
 
$
(35
)
The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
1

 

 
1

Three Months Ended March 31, 2011
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains (losses) included in earnings
$
(2
)
 
$
16

 
$
14

The amount of total gains (losses) for the period included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date
4

 

 
4



Virginia Power
The following table presents Virginia Power’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis for each hierarchy level, including both current and noncurrent portions:
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
(millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At March 31, 2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

 
$

 
$
1

 
$
1

Investments(1):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Large cap
764

 

 

 
764

Other
27

 

 

 
27

Fixed income:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

 
197

 

 
197

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
123

 
65

 

 
188

State and municipal

 
129

 

 
129

Other

 
13

 

 
13

Cash equivalents and other

 
41

 

 
41

Restricted cash equivalents

 
29

 

 
29

       Total assets
$
914

 
$
474

 
$
1

 
$
1,389

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

 
$
21

 
$
18

 
$
39

Interest rate

 
38

 

 
38

Total liabilities
$

 
$
59

 
$
18

 
$
77

At December 31, 2011
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Assets:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

 
$

 
$
2

 
$
2

Investments(1):
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Equity securities:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
U.S.:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Large cap
679

 

 

 
679

Other
23

 

 

 
23

Fixed income:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Corporate debt instruments

 
214

 

 
214

U.S. Treasury securities and agency debentures
107

 
63

 

 
170

State and municipal

 
125

 

 
125

Other

 
16

 

 
16

Cash equivalents and other

 
40

 

 
40

Restricted cash equivalents

 
32

 

 
32

Total assets
$
809

 
$
490

 
$
2

 
$
1,301

Liabilities:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Derivatives:
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Commodity
$

 
$
17

 
$
30

 
$
47

Interest rate

 
100

 

 
100

Total liabilities
$

 
$
117

 
$
30

 
$
147

(1)
Includes investments held in the nuclear decommissioning and rabbi trusts.

The following table presents the net change in Virginia Power’s assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis and included in the Level 3 fair value category:
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
2012
 
2011
(millions)
 
 
 
Beginning balance
$
(28
)
 
$
14

Total realized and unrealized gains (losses):
 
 
 
Included in earnings
(27
)
 
16

Included in regulatory assets/liabilities
11

 
(21
)
Settlements
27

 
(16
)
Ending balance
$
(17
)
 
$
(7
)

The gains and losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category were classified in electric fuel and other energy-related purchases in Virginia Power's Consolidated Statements of Income for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011. There were no unrealized gains and losses included in earnings in the Level 3 fair value category relating to assets/liabilities still held at the reporting date for the three months ended March 31, 2012 and 2011.

Fair Value of Financial Instruments
Substantially all of Dominion’s and Virginia Power’s financial instruments are recorded at fair value, with the exception of the instruments described below that are reported at historical cost. Estimated fair values have been determined using available market information and valuation methodologies considered appropriate by management. The carrying amount of cash and cash equivalents, customer and other receivables, short-term debt and accounts payable are representative of fair value because of the short-term nature of these instruments. For Dominion’s and Virginia Power’s financial instruments that are not recorded at fair value, the carrying amounts and estimated fair values are as follows:
 
 
March 31, 2012
 
December 31, 2011
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated Fair
Value
(1)
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated Fair
Value
(1)
(millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Dominion
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt, including securities due within one year(2)
$
16,695

 
$
19,256

 
$
16,264

18,936

$
18,936

Long-term debt, VIE(3)
882

 
889

 
890

892

892

Junior subordinated notes payable to affiliates
268

 
272

 
268

268

268

Enhanced junior subordinated notes
1,365

 
1,437

 
1,451

1,518

1,518

Subsidiary preferred stock(4)
257

 
259

 
257

256

256

Virginia Power
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt, including securities due within one year(2)
$
7,308

 
$
8,628

 
$
6,862

 
$
8,281

Preferred stock(4)
257

 
259

 
257

 
256

(1)
Fair value is estimated using market prices, where available, and interest rates currently available for issuance of debt with similar terms and remaining maturities. All fair value measurements are classified as Level 2. The carrying amount of debt issues with short-term maturities and variable rates refinanced at current market rates is a reasonable estimate of their fair value.
(2)
Includes amounts which represent the unamortized discount and premium. At March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, includes the valuation of certain fair value hedges associated with Dominion’s fixed rate debt of approximately $93 million and $105 million, respectively.
(3)
Includes amounts which represent the unamortized premium.
(4)
Includes deferred issuance expenses of $2 million at March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011.