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Fair Value Measurements
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements Fair Value Measurements
The following tables set forth, by level, the Company’s assets and liabilities that were accounted for at fair value on a recurring basis as of December 31, 2020 and 2019.

 Fair Value Measurements at December 31, 2020
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
Significant
Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Total
  (In millions) 
Assets:    
Inventories carried at market$ $5,758 $2,183 $7,941 
Unrealized derivative gains:    
Commodity contracts 1,905 859 2,764 
Foreign exchange contracts
 283  283 
Interest rate contracts 61  61 
Cash equivalents297   297 
Marketable securities1   1 
Segregated investments1,067   1,067 
Total Assets$1,365 $8,007 $3,042 $12,414 
Liabilities:    
Unrealized derivative losses:    
Commodity contracts$ $1,116 $918 $2,034 
Foreign exchange contracts
 535  535 
Interest rate contracts
 15  15 
Debt conversion option  34 34 
Inventory-related payables 498 11 509 
Total Liabilities$ $2,164 $963 $3,127 

 
 Fair Value Measurements at December 31, 2019
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
Significant
Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Total
  (In millions) 
Assets:    
Inventories carried at market$— $3,227 $1,477 $4,704 
Unrealized derivative gains:    
Commodity contracts— 277 201 478 
Foreign currency contracts— 138 — 138 
Interest rate contracts— — 
Cash equivalents505 — — 505 
Marketable securities— — 
Segregated investments628 — — 628 
Deferred consideration— 446 — 446 
Total Assets$1,138 $4,091 $1,678 $6,907 
Liabilities:    
Unrealized derivative losses:    
Commodity contracts$— $375 $199 $574 
Foreign currency contracts— 125 — 125 
Interest rate contracts— 43 — 43 
Inventory-related payables— 702 27 729 
Total Liabilities$— $1,245 $226 $1,471 
 
Estimated fair values for inventories carried at market are based on exchange-quoted prices, adjusted for differences in local markets and quality, referred to as basis.  Market valuations for the Company’s inventories are adjusted for location and quality (basis) because the exchange-quoted prices represent contracts that have standardized terms for commodity, quantity, future delivery period, delivery location, and commodity quality or grade.  The basis adjustments are generally determined using inputs from broker or dealer quotations or market transactions in either the listed or over the counter (OTC) markets and are considered observable. In some cases, the basis adjustments are unobservable because they are supported by little to no market activity. When unobservable inputs have a significant impact on the measurement of fair value, the inventory is classified in Level 3. Changes in the fair value of inventories are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of cost of products sold.
Derivative contracts include exchange-traded commodity futures and options contracts, forward commodity purchase and sale contracts, and OTC instruments related primarily to agricultural commodities, energy, interest rates, and foreign currencies.  Exchange-traded futures and options contracts are valued based on unadjusted quoted prices in active markets and are classified in Level 1.  The majority of the Company’s exchange-traded futures and options contracts are cash-settled on a daily basis and, therefore, are not included in these tables.  Fair value for forward commodity purchase and sale contracts is estimated based on exchange-quoted prices adjusted for differences in local markets.  Market valuations for the Company’s forward commodity purchase and sale contracts are adjusted for location (basis) because the exchange-quoted prices represent contracts that have standardized terms for commodity, quantity, future delivery period, delivery location, and commodity quality or grade. The basis adjustments are generally determined using inputs from broker or dealer quotations or market transactions in either the listed or OTC markets and are considered observable. In some cases, the basis adjustments are unobservable because they are supported by little to no market activity.  When observable inputs are available for substantially the full term of the contract, it is classified in Level 2.  When unobservable inputs have a significant impact (more than 10%) on the measurement of fair value, the contract is classified in Level 3.  Except for certain derivatives designated as cash flow hedges, changes in the fair value of commodity-related derivatives are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of cost of products sold.  Changes in the fair value of foreign currency-related derivatives are recognized in the consolidated statements of earnings as a component of revenues, cost of products sold, and other (income) expense - net, depending upon the purpose of the contract.  The changes in the fair value of derivatives designated as effective cash flow hedges are recognized in the consolidated balance sheets as a component of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (AOCI) until the hedged items are recorded in earnings or it is probable the hedged transaction will no longer occur.

The Company’s cash equivalents are comprised of money market funds valued using quoted market prices and are classified as Level 1.

The Company’s marketable securities are comprised of U.S. Treasury securities and corporate debt securities.  U.S. Treasury securities are valued using quoted market prices and are classified in Level 1.  Corporate debt securities are valued using third-party pricing services and substantially all are classified in Level 2.  Unrealized changes in the fair value of available-for-sale marketable debt securities are recognized in the consolidated balance sheets as a component of AOCI unless a decline in value is deemed to be other-than-temporary at which point the decline is recorded in earnings.

The Company’s segregated investments are comprised of U.S. Treasury securities. U.S. Treasury securities are valued using quoted market prices and are classified in Level 1.

The Company had deferred consideration under its accounts receivable securitization programs (the “Programs”) which represented notes receivable from the purchasers under the Programs (see Note 19).  This amount was reflected in other current assets on the consolidated balance sheet (see Note 6).  The Company carried the deferred consideration at fair value determined by calculating the expected amount of cash to be received.  The fair value was principally based on observable inputs (a Level 2 measurement) consisting mainly of the face amount of the receivables adjusted for anticipated credit losses and discounted at the appropriate market rate.  Receipt of deferred consideration was not subject to significant risks other than delinquencies and credit losses on accounts receivable transferred under the Programs which have historically been insignificant.

The debt conversion option is the equity linked embedded derivative related to the exchangeable bonds described in Note 10. The fair value of the embedded derivative is included in long-term debt, with changes in fair value recognized as interest, and is valued with the assistance of a third-party pricing service (a level 3 measurement under applicable accounting standards).
The following tables present a rollforward of the activity of all assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the years ended December 31, 2020 and 2019.

 Level 3 Fair Value Assets Measurements at
December 31, 2020
Inventories
Carried at
Market
Commodity
Derivative
Contracts
Gains
Total
 (In millions)
Balance, December 31, 2019$1,477 $201 $1,678 
Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold146 938 1,084 
Purchases14,185  14,185 
Sales(13,852) (13,852)
Settlements (257)(257)
Transfers into Level 3290 70 360 
Transfers out of Level 3(63)(93)(156)
Ending balance, December 31, 2020 (1)
$2,183 $859 $3,042 

(1) Includes increase in unrealized gains of $1.7 billion relating to Level 3 assets still held at December 31, 2020.

 Level 3 Fair Value Liabilities Measurements at
December 31, 2020
Inventory-
related
Payables
Commodity
Derivative
Contracts
Losses
Debt Conversion OptionTotal
 (In millions)
Balance, December 31, 2019$27 $199 $ $226 
Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold and interest expense 1,729 17 1,746 
Purchases/Issuance of debt conversion option20  17 37 
Sales(36)  (36)
Settlements (1,059) (1,059)
Transfers into Level 3 112  112 
Transfers out of Level 3 (63) (63)
Ending balance, December 31, 2020 (1)
$11 $918 $34 $963 
 
(1) Includes increase in unrealized losses of $1.8 billion relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at December 31, 2020.
 
 Level 3 Fair Value Assets Measurements at
December 31, 2019
Inventories
Carried at
Market
Commodity
Derivative
Contracts
Gains
Total
 (In millions)
Balance, December 31, 2018$1,515 $155 $1,670 
Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized gains included in cost of products sold327 417 744 
Purchases10,833 — 10,833 
Sales(11,167)— (11,167)
Settlements— (421)(421)
Transfers into Level 3108 74 182 
Transfers out of Level 3(139)(24)(163)
Ending balance, December 31, 2019 (1)
$1,477 $201 $1,678 

(1) Includes increase in unrealized gains of $900 million relating to Level 3 assets still held at December 31, 2019.

 Level 3 Fair Value Liabilities Measurements at
December 31, 2019
Inventory-
related
Payables
Commodity
Derivative
Contracts
Losses
Total
 (In millions)
Balance, December 31, 2018$18 $245 $263 
Total increase (decrease) in net realized/unrealized losses included in cost of products sold(1)398 397 
Purchases48 — 48 
Sales(38)— (38)
Settlements— (451)(451)
Transfers into Level 3— 51 51 
Transfers out of Level 3— (44)(44)
Ending balance, December 31, 2019 (1)
$27 $199 $226 

(1) Includes increase in unrealized losses of $7 million relating to Level 3 liabilities still held at December 31, 2019.

Transfers into Level 3 of assets and liabilities previously classified in Level 2 were due to the relative value of unobservable inputs to the total fair value measurement of certain products and derivative contracts rising above the 10% threshold.   Transfers out of Level 3 were primarily due to the relative value of unobservable inputs to the total fair value measurement of certain products and derivative contracts falling below the 10% threshold and thus permitting reclassification to Level 2.
In some cases, the price components that result in differences between exchange-traded prices and local prices for inventories and commodity purchase and sale contracts are observable based upon available quotations for these pricing components, and in some cases, the differences are unobservable. These price components primarily include transportation costs and other adjustments required due to location, quality, or other contract terms. In the table below, these other adjustments are referred to as basis. The changes in unobservable price components are impacted by specific local supply and demand characteristics at each facility and the overall market. Factors such as substitute products, weather, fuel costs, contract terms, and futures prices also impact the movement of these unobservable price components.

The following table sets forth the weighted average percentage of the unobservable price components included in the Company’s Level 3 valuations as of December 31, 2020 and 2019.  The Company’s Level 3 measurements may include basis only, transportation cost only, or both price components.  As an example, for Level 3 inventories with basis, the unobservable component as of December 31, 2020 is a weighted average 4.3% of the total price for assets and 13.7% of the total price for liabilities.
 
Weighted Average % of Total Price
 December 31, 2020December 31, 2019
Component TypeAssetsLiabilitiesAssetsLiabilities
Inventories and Related Payables    
Basis4.3%13.7%28.2%14.7%
Transportation cost10.6%—%24.7%—%
Commodity Derivative Contracts    
Basis28.3%0.7%16.0%20.2%
Transportation cost1.9%1.3%9.7%3.1%

In certain of the Company’s principal markets, the Company relies on price quotes from third parties to value its inventories and physical commodity purchase and sale contracts.  These price quotes are generally not further adjusted by the Company in determining the applicable market price.  In some cases, availability of third-party quotes is limited to only one or two independent sources.  In these situations, absent other corroborating evidence, the Company considers these price quotes as 100% unobservable and, therefore, the fair value of these items is reported in Level 3.