EX-99 2 d229757dex99.htm EX-99 EX-99
Investor Presentation
Analyst Day
September 9, 2011
Exhibit 99


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
2
Schedule of Speakers
Time
Presenter
Topic
8:00 -
8:20 am
Dave Smith
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Corporate Overview
8:20 -
8:35 am
Matt Cabell
President -
Seneca Resources Corporation
Exploration & Production
Overview
8:35 –
9:00 am
John McGinnis
Senior Vice President -
Seneca Resources Corporation
Exploration & Production
Geology/New Plays
9:00 -
9:20 am
Barry McMahan
Senior Vice President -
Seneca Resources Corporation
Exploration & Production
Operations/Environment
9:20 –
9:40 am
Ron Tanski
President and Chief Operating Officer
Pipeline & Storage
Midstream
9:40 –
9:50 am
Anna Marie Cellino
President -
National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation
Utility Overview
9:50 -
10:10 am
Dave Bauer
Treasurer and Principal Financial Officer
Financial Update
10:10 -
10:45 am
Question & Answer Session


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
3
Safe Harbor For Forward Looking Statements
This presentation may contain “forward-looking statements” as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding future prospects, plans, performance and
capital structure, anticipated capital expenditures and completion of construction projects, as well as statements that are identified by the use of the words “anticipates,” “estimates,” “expects,”
“forecasts,” “intends,” “plans,” “predicts,” “projects,” “believes,” “seeks,” “will,” “may,” and similar expressions.  Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual
results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements.  The Company’s expectations, beliefs and projections contained herein are expressed in good faith and
are believed to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that such expectations, beliefs or projections will result or be achieved or accomplished.  
In addition to other factors, the following are important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from results referred to in the forward-looking statements: financial and economic
conditions, including the availability of credit, and occurrences affecting the Company’s ability to obtain financing on acceptable terms for working capital, capital expenditures and other investments,
including any downgrades in the Company’s credit ratings and changes in interest rates and other capital market conditions;  changes in economic conditions, including global, national or regional
recessions, and their effect on the demand for, and customers’ ability to pay for, the Company’s products and services; the creditworthiness or performance of the Company’s key suppliers, customers
and counterparties; economic disruptions or uninsured losses resulting from terrorist activities, acts of war, major accidents, fires, severe weather, pest infestation or natural disasters; factors affecting
the Company’s ability to successfully identify, drill for and produce economically viable natural gas and oil reserves, including among others geology, lease availability, weather conditions, shortages,
delays or unavailability of equipment and services required in drilling operations, insufficient gathering, processing and transportation capacity, the need to obtain governmental approvals and permits,
and compliance with environmental laws and regulations;  changes in laws and regulations to which the Company is subject, including those involving derivatives, taxes, safety, employment, climate
change, other environmental matters, and exploration and production activities such as hydraulic fracturing; uncertainty of oil and gas reserve estimates;  significant differences between the
Company’s projected and actual production levels for natural gas or oil;  significant changes in market dynamics or competitive factors affecting the Company’s ability to retain existing customers or
obtain new customers; changes in demographic patterns and weather conditions; changes in the availability and/or price of natural gas or oil and the effect of such changes on the accounting treatment
of derivative financial instruments; impairments under the SEC’s full cost ceiling test for natural gas and oil reserves; changes in the availability and/or cost of derivative financial instruments; changes
in the price differential between similar quantities of natural gas at different geographic locations, and the effect of such changes on the demand for pipeline transportation capacity to or from such
locations; other changes in price differentials between similar quantities of oil or natural gas having different quality, heating value, geographic location or delivery date; changes in the projected
profitability of pending or potential projects, investments or transactions; significant differences between the Company’s projected and actual capital expenditures and operating expenses; delays or
changes in costs or plans with respect to the Company’s projects or related projects of other companies, including difficulties or delays in obtaining necessary governmental approvals, permits or
orders or in obtaining the cooperation of interconnecting facility operators; governmental/regulatory actions, initiatives and proceedings, including those involving derivatives, acquisitions, financings,
rate cases (which address, among other things, allowed rates of return, rate design and retained natural gas), affiliate relationships, industry structure, franchise renewal, and environmental/safety
requirements; unanticipated impacts of restructuring initiatives in the natural gas and electric industries; ability to successfully identify and finance acquisitions or other investments and ability to
operate and integrate existing and any subsequently acquired business or properties; changes in actuarial assumptions, the interest rate environment and the return on plan/trust assets related to the
Company’s pension and other post-retirement benefits, which can affect future funding obligations and costs and plan liabilities; significant changes in tax rates or policies or in rates of inflation or
interest; significant changes in the Company’s relationship with its employees or contractors and the potential adverse effects if labor disputes, grievances or shortages were to occur; changes in
accounting principles or the application of such principles to the Company; the cost and effects of legal and administrative claims against the Company or activist shareholder campaigns to effect
changes at the Company; increasing health care costs and the resulting effect on health insurance premiums and on the obligation to provide other post-retirement benefits; or  increasing costs of
insurance, changes in coverage and the ability to obtain insurance.
Forward-looking statements include estimates of oil and gas quantities.  Proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be
estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible under existing economic conditions, operating methods and government regulations.  Other estimates of oil and gas quantities,
including estimates of probable reserves, possible reserves, and resource potential, are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved reserves.  Accordingly, estimates other than proved
reserves are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 10-K available at www.nationalfuelgas.com. You can also
obtain this form on the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov.
For a discussion of the risks set forth above and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from results referred to in the forward-looking statements, see “Risk Factors” in the
Company’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2010 and the Company’s Forms 10-Q for the periods ended December 31, 2010, March 31, 2011 and June 30, 2011. The Company disclaims
any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date thereof or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events.


September  9, 2011
Core Businesses
4
Integrated Business Structure


September  9, 2011
Core Businesses
5
Integrated Business Structure
E&P –
Gulf of Mexico
Sawmills
Landfill Gas
Gas-Fired Generation
Seneca Energy II
Model City
ESNE
Non-Core Assets


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
6
Unique Asset Mix Creates Operational Value
Seneca
Resources
Energy
Marketing
Midstream
Gathering
Utility
Pipeline &
Storage
The
interconnected
nature
of
the
current
asset
mix
creates
many
operational
efficiencies and synergies
The
Company’s
gathering
and
interstate
pipeline
network,
opportunities
and
capabilities allow for largely unfettered growth in Seneca’s production
National
Fuel
Resources
and
the
NFG
Distribution
Corporation
are
large
customers
on
the
interstate
pipeline
and
storage
network
Many
internal
resources,
including
facilities
and
employees,
are
shared
and
partially
allocated
to
subsidiaries,
leading
to
efficiencies
and
streamlined
operations


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
Our Business Mix Leads to Long-Term Value Creation
The strategic and financial benefits created by the integrated mix of businesses has
continued to generate significant long-term value for the Company
The mix of rate-regulated and non-regulated businesses have generated total
shareholder returns that have outperformed over the long-term
The
rate-regulated
returns
which
are
not
commodity
price
sensitive
provide
downside protection while unregulated returns provide significant upside
opportunity
Coordinated development of infrastructure and Marcellus acreage improves the
present value of all operations
The Company’s strong credit profile lowers the cost of capital for all of our businesses
7
Seneca
Resources
Utility
Pipeline &
Storage
Energy
Marketing
Midstream
Gathering


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
8
Seneca Resources Joint Venture Discussions
Initial acreage price targets met
by several parties
Several other negotiating points,
each with an associated value or
other significant consequence, 
were not mutually agreed upon
Aggressive growth plans were
more compelling than any
current joint venture opportunity
Not capital constrained


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
9
Significant Growth Related to the Marcellus Shale


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
10
2014 –
Where We Are Headed
Significant Ramp Up in Capital Expenditures to Fuel Marcellus Expansion
2011 to 2014: Growing Capital Expenditures at an 18% CAGR
2014 Forecasted Capital Spending: $1.3 to $1.6 Billion
Rapidly Growing Production Through Marcellus Development
2011 to 2014: Growing Production at a 41% CAGR
2014 Forecasted Production: 160 -
200 Bcfe
Transform the Pipeline & Storage Segment
2011 to 2014: Growing Throughput at a 20% CAGR
2014 Forecasted Throughput: ~600 Bcf
Maintain a Strong Balance Sheet
Will be able to maintain targeted Equity-to-Capitalization of 55% to 65%
Cash from Operations is forecasted to double from 2011 to 2014


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Exploration & Production
11


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
12
Our Growth Story
Not the same company we were just a few years ago
Will continue to grow dramatically
Production and reserves expected to triple or quadruple
from 2010 to 2014
Held over 700,000 Marcellus acres before the play received any attention
Have since added another 40,000 acres in the core of the play
In addition to Marcellus, Seneca has acreage in emerging plays:
Utica Shale: significant untested potential
Geneseo Shale (Upper Devonian): ~300,000 prospective acres
Outstanding oil producing assets in California provide steady production
and cash flow


September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
13
Major Transformation Over the Past Five Years
Capital Expenditures
2006:
70%
Gulf
of
Mexico
and
Canada
Production
2006-2009:
Declining
Production
3-Year Average F&D Cost
2006-2008:
$7.63
per
Mcfe
Capital Expenditures
Gulf of Mexico and Canada have been
sold.
2011:
90%
for
Marcellus
Shale
Production
2010-2013:
Production
expected
to
triple
3-Year Average F&D Cost
2008-2010:
$2.37
per
Mcfe
Then
Now
From Gulf of Mexico Wildcatting to Marcellus Resource Development


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
14
Top Tier Acreage and Resource Position


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
15
Continued Improvement in Finding & Development Costs


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
16
Ramping Up Production Growth


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
17
Capital Spending Shifting to the Marcellus


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
18
Marcellus Acreage Position Provides Superior Economics
(1)
Pre-Tax IRR determined using the NYMEX forward strip as of August 19, 2011


September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
19
Marcellus Shale Strategic Development Plan
Aggressively Develop our excellent
Tioga and Lycoming County leasehold
Systematically evaluate western
acreage
Begin development of western acres
that are “de-risked”
Continue participation with EOG on
Joint Venture acreage


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
20
Seneca’s Development Areas
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
Eastern Development Area
(Mostly Leased)
Western Development Area
(Mostly Fee and HBP)
EOG Acreage


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
21
Eastern Development Area (EDA) –
Results & Plan Forward
DCNR Tract 001 –
Delineating
1 Well Drilled –
IP: 4 MMcf/d
Geneseo Well Test –
IP: 2.9 MMcf/d
Acquired 3D Seismic (June, ‘11)
FY 2012: Drill 2 Horizontal Wells
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
DCNR Tract 007 -
Delineating
1 Well Drilled –
IP: 2 MMcf/d
Acquired 3D Seismic (July, ‘11)
FY 2012: Drill 4 Horizontal Wells
DCNR Tract 595 –
Full Development
6 Wells Drilled –
3 Producing (1 Shut-In)
Gross Production:  8MMcf/d
FY 2012: 3 Rigs (26 Wells Planned)
Covington –
Developed
47 Wells Drilled –
44 Producing
Gross Production: ~100+ MMcf/d
Estimated Avg. EUR: 5.5 Bcf/Well
DCNR Tract 100 –
Full Development
1 Well Drilled–
IP: 15.8 MMcf/d
FY 2012: 1 Rig (12 Wells Planned)


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
22
EDA Typecurve –
6.7 Bcfe EUR (Greater Than 3,500’
Lateral)
Current:
1
st
Segment
IP Rate
5,400 MMcf/d
Hyp. Coeff.
1.25
Decline
65.5%
Limit
6 Mo.
Current:
Compression
Segment
IP Rate
3,800 MMcf/d
Hyp. Coeff.
1.25
Decline
48%
Exp. Tail
6%
Original 6.0 Bcf Typecurve
IP Rate
7,250 MMcf/d
Hyp. Coeff.
1.4
Decline
72%
Exp. Tail
6%


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
23
Western Development Area (WDA) –
Results & Plan Forward
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
EOG Contributed JV Acreage
SRC Contributed JV Acreage
Seneca Operated
EOG Operated
Punxy  –
Full Development
EOG Operated:  45 Wells Drilled; 25 Producing
FY 2012:  2 Rigs, Drill 33 wells
Gross Production (As of 8/2/11): 36 MMCFD
Owl’s Nest –
Full Development
3 Wells Drilled: Optimized Target Zone
Expected IP’s: 4 –
5 MMcf/d
FY 2012:  2 Rigs, Drill 15 Wells
Acquiring 3D Seismic
Approx. Outline of JV Acreage
200,000 Gross Acres
Seneca 50% W.I. (Avg. 58% NRI)
Mt. Jewett -
Delineating
Just drilled 3 Horizontal wells
Completion: Sept. –
Oct.
Boone Mountain -
Delineating
Just drilled 3 Horizontal Wells
Completion: Oct. –
Nov.
Rich Valley -
Delineating
Drill 2 Wells in Fall 2011
Beechwood
3 Wells Drilled
Poor Results; 
Absence of
Fractures


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
24
Geotechnical Keys to Success
1.
3D Seismic Data
Impacts surface location, lateral length and target zone by imaging faults and
structure
Attribute and fracture analyses being conducted to determine if natural
fractures and stress regime can be identified
2.
Natural Fractures
Impacts Initial Production (IP) & Estimated Ultimate Recovery (EUR)
per well;  Varies by area.
3.
Target Zone
Impacts IP & EUR per well;  Varies by area.
4.
Stress Regime
Impacts completion efficiency;  Varies by area.
5.
Optimize Lateral Length
Cost versus IP/EUR per well;  Currently evaluating.


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
25
Expanding 3D Seismic Coverage
Completed –
190,000 ac
In Progress –
128,000 ac
Punxy
West  Branch
Mt. Jewett
DCNR 001
DCNR 007
Covington
DCNR 595
DCNR 100
Owl’s Nest


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
26
Importance of 3D Seismic in Identifying Fractures
TGP 300
DCNR 007 5H Well
Drilled prior to 3D Seismic acquisition
Well Test: 2 MMcf/d
DCNR 007
Tioga County


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
27
3D Seismic Analysis:  Fracture Patterns?
Remainder of DCNR Tract 007
Evidence for significant natural fractures
DCNR 007
Tioga County
Fault
DCNR 007 5H Well
In a localized area with minimal fractures
5H
Major Fractures


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
28
Importance of Closure Stress & Target Zone


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
29
Owl’s Nest –
Improved IP’s by Optimizing The Target Zone
Moving into Full Development


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
30
Breaking Down Our Acreage Position
Area
Net Acres
Possible
Locations
Wells Drilled
Wells
Completed
EUR (Bcfe)
Status
Eastern Development Area (EDA)
Covington
7,000
47
47
44
5.5
Developed
595
6,000
55
4
4
7.0
Full Development
100
10,000
70
1
1
8.0
Full Development
007
15,000
75
1
1
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
001
13,000
58
1
1
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
Other EDA
4,000
10
-
-
3.0 -
8.0
Untested
55,000
315
54
51
Western Development Area (WDA)
Owl's Nest / Ridgeway
91,000
680
3
3
4.0
Full Development
Mt. Jewett
25,000
232
4
1
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
James City
30,000
340
1
1
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
Boone Mtn
8,500
59
4
1
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
Rich Valley
30,000
188
-
-
4.0 -
5.0
Delineating
WDA Other
337,000
2,654
4
3
2.0 -
6.0
Untested
521,500
4,153
16
9
EOG Operated
Punxy
12,000
87
45
25
4.0
Full Development
West Branch
12,500
121
7
5
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
Clermont
10,000
96
2
2
3.0 -
5.0
Delineating
Brady
13,500
113
-
-
4.0 -
5.0
Untested
EOG Other
120,500
502
2
2
2.0 -
5.0
Untested
168,500
919
56
34
Seneca Resources Total
745,000
5,387
126
94


September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
31
Strategic Plan Moving Forward
Fiscal Year 2012
Eastern Development Area
Move forward with full development of DCNR 100 (Lycoming) and
DCNR 595 (Tioga)
Drill several additional delineation wells in DCNR 007 (Tioga) and DCNR 001
(Potter) with recently acquired 3D seismic data
Western Development Area
Acquire 3D seismic in Owl’s Nest (Elk) and begin full development
Continue delineation throughout the WDA, including Mt. Jewett (McKean),
Boone Mountain (Elk) and Rich Valley (Cameron)
EOG-Operated Joint Venture
Continue
to
fully
participate
on
all
development
and
delineation
wells
2013 and Beyond
Eastern Development Area
Ongoing full development
Western Development Area
Full development at Owl’s Nest area and other fully delineated areas
Continue delineation of new areas
EOG-Operated Joint Venture
Continue
to
fully
participate
on
all
development
and
delineation
wells


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
New Plays
32
Geneseo Shale –
Area Summary
DCNR 001 Horizontal (Seneca)
Depth: 5,830’;  Thickness: 77’
Avg. Reservoir TOC: 3.33
Peak Rate: 2.9 MMcf/d;  7-Day Avg. IP: 2.0 MMcf/d
East Resources
Drilled & Completed
April 2010
East Resources
3 Wells Permitted
November 2010
East Resources
1 Well Permitted
December 2010
PGE
12 Wells Permitted (April 2009 to August 2010)
2 Wells Drilled (February 2010)
Mt. Jewett Vertical (Seneca)
Depth: 5,095’;  Thickness: 110’
Avg. Reservoir TOC: 3.34


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
New Plays
33
Utica Shale –
Activity Summary
Seneca Resources
Mt. Jewett Area
Drilled: June 2011
Seneca Resources
Henderson Area
Spud Date: Sept 2011
Seneca Resources
Tionesta Area
Spud Date: 2012
Vertical Well Permit
Horizontal Well Permit
Source rock maturation (Trenton-Black River Research Consortium, 2006)


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
New Plays
34
Utica Program Update
Seneca Resources recently drilled a vertical Utica/Pt. Pleasant strat test in
McKean County, PA.  Preliminary results are encouraging.
400 feet of gross reservoir at a depth of 10,000’
Potential pay spans the Utica, Pt. Pleasant and portions of the Trenton Formations
Reservoir quality is similar to that of the shallower Marcellus
Mineralogy is considerably different from the Marcellus
Vertical Well Permit
Horizontal Well Permit


September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
35
Drilling Cost Distribution
Estimated
2011
Development
Well
Drilling
Cost:
$2.5
Million
(4,500’
Lateral)


September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
36
Continuously Improving Drilling Efficiency
Wells
per Pad
Average
Lateral Length
Days per Well
(Incl. Mob)
Drill & Suspend Costs
($MM per Well)
Estimated 2011 Drill Cost
6-8
4,500’
22
$2.5
Target
6-8
4,500’
15
$1.7


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
37
Completion Cost Distribution


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
38
Completion Cost Trends
Average
$945/ft
Average
$1,221/ft
Average
$730/ft
Completion costs have been recently improving in the Marcellus


September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
39
Operational Efficiencies Drive Cost Savings
Well Length
Drilling
Cost
Total
Drilling Cost
Completion
Cost
Total
Completion
Cost
Total
D&C Cost
2011 Estimate –
4,500’
Lateral
$556/Ft
$2.5 MM
$800/Ft
$3.6 MM
$6.1 MM
Target
$378/Ft
$1.7 MM
$700/Ft
$3.15 MM
$4.85 MM
Long-Term
Frac Contract
Increased Wells
per Pad
Proppant & Chemical
Sourcing
Equipment
Ownership
(Frac Tanks, etc…)
Concentrated
Regional
Development
Pad Cost Reductions
(Rig Mats, Concrete
Pads, etc…)
Natural Gas Powered
Rigs
External Casing
Packers
Improved Efficiency
Leads to
Improved Costs


Marcellus Shale
Cost Savings from Multi-Well Pad Drilling
Location & Road Costs
$600,000 per well
Rig Mobilization
$600,000 per well
Ancillary Drilling Costs (Trucking, etc..)
$150,000 per well
Frac Mobilization
$7,000 per well
Water Hauling vs. Infrastructure
$200,000 per well
1 Well per Pad
Location & Road Costs
$100,000 per well
Rig Mobilization
$100,000 per well
Ancillary Drilling Costs (Trucking, etc..)
$25,000 per well
Frac Mobilization
$1,200 per well
Water Hauling vs. Infrastructure
$50,000 per well
6 Wells per Pad
Cost Savings of Pad Drilling: ~$1.2 Million per Well
40
September  9, 2011


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
41
Understanding Multi-Well Pad Drilling
Drill Vertical Section
8 Days/Well
0
48
132
153
178
194
199
Kickoff Point to TD
14 Days/Well
Prep for Completion
3.5 Days/Well
Completion
4.2 Days/Well
Post-Completion
2.7 Days/Well
First
Production
A typical 6-well pad can
take between six and
seven months from
spud to first production
A typical 6-well pad operation
will take ~50 fewer days than
utilizing individual well pads


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
42
Water Management Program
Water Sourcing:
Coal mine runoff
Permitted freshwater sources
Recycled water
Water Management:
Instituted a “Zero Surface Discharge”
policy
Recycle Marcellus flowback and produced water
Centralized water handing in development areas
Tioga County –
DCNR 595 and Covington
Lycoming County –
DCNR 100
Elk County -
Owl’s Nest
Installing new evaporative technology
Investigating underground injection
Seneca is committed to protecting the surface from any type of pollution


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Marcellus Shale
43
“Zero Liquid Discharge Operation”
Utilizing a state-of-the-art evaporative technology to ensure no liquid is
discharged at the surface
Building centrally located units in the Western Development Area
(WDA)
and the Eastern Development Area (EDA)
Removes all liquids from the production stream
Has the ability to be powered by the waste heat from a compressor station
End products:
Non-hazardous solidified salt material
Clean water vapor emissions


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
Seneca Resources
44
Leading Environmental Commitment
www.FracFocus.org
Seneca discloses its hydraulic fracturing
data
Testing “Green Fluids”
Refueling Standards
Evaluate shallow geology and shallow
water systems
Developed Best Practices for design
and cementing of production casing


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
California
45
Stable Production and Strong Cash Flows
Rank
Company
California
2010
BOEPD
1
Chevron
174,856
2
Aera (Shell/Exxon)
158,786
3
Occidental
151,584
4
Plains Exploration
36,488
5
Venoco Inc.
19,121
6
Berry Petroleum
18,513
7
Seneca Resources
9,655
8
Breitburn Energy
7,414
9
MacPherson
7,185
10
E&B Natural Resources
5,259
Net Acreage:  11,833 Acres
Net Wells:  1,322
Oil Gravity:  12 –
37°
Api
NRI:  87.64


September  9, 2011
California
Stable Production Fields
South Lost Hills
~1,800 BOEPD
Monterey Shale
Primary
216 Active Wells
Sespe
~950 BOEPD
Sespe Formation
Primary
193 Active Wells
North Lost Hills
~1,150 BOEPD
Tulare & Etchegoin Formation
Primary & Steamflood
181 Active Wells
North Midway Sunset
~4,300 BOEPD
Potter & Tulare Formation
Steamflood
703 Active Wells
South Midway Sunset
~700 BOEPD
Antelope Formation
Steamflood
100 Active Wells
46
September  9, 2011


(1)
Footnote #1 goes here
(2)
Footnote #2 goes here
September  9, 2011
California
47
Strong Margins Support Significant Free Cash Flow
Average Price ($/BOE) = $76.86


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage / Midstream
48


September  9, 2011
Midstream
49
Critical To Boosting Returns in the Marcellus
Midstream’s gathering systems are
critical to unlock remote, but highly
productive Marcellus acreage
Goal is to first work to assist Seneca
and then gather 3
rd
party producer
volumes
History of operational success and
efficiency within Pennsylvania
Continuously evaluating opportunities
to grow along with the rapid
development of the Marcellus
TGP 300
Transco
Tioga County
Lycoming County


Midstream
Covington Gathering System –
Tioga County
50
Early completion of gathering system
allowed Seneca to begin flowing gas as
pads were completed
As Seneca’s production matures, open
pipeline to third party production
Non-SRC Well Permits
September  9, 2011
September  9, 2011
TGP 300


September  9, 2011
Midstream
51
Trout
Run
Gathering
System
Lycoming
County
Will
work
to
add
3
rd
party
Marcellus producers to
offset natural decline of
Seneca’s production
Transco
Non-SRC Well Permits


September  9, 2011
Midstream
52
Future Opportunities for Expansion
The Covington and Trout Run
gathering systems allow Seneca
to achieve significant production
growth over the next three
years.  Midstream is continually
looking to build additional
gathering systems. 
Will continue to evaluate new gathering infrastructure to alleviate
constraints throughout the Marcellus
Look
to
fill
existing
gathering
infrastructure
with
3
rd
party
production
once Seneca’s reaches its peak production and begins the natural
decline


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
53
Expansive Network Located Centrally in Appalachia


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
54
Intercompany Capacity Utilization
Our integrated business structure allows our affiliated businesses
to efficiently utilize our Pipeline & Storage services
(1)
As of July 1, 2011


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
55
Positioned to Move Growing Marcellus Production


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
56
Marcellus Producers Increase Utilization of NFGSC
Producers moving Marcellus gas on NFGSC has
more than tripled since January 2009.


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
57
Shifting Sources of Throughput
2%
Marcellus
98%
Upper Devonian
47%
Marcellus
53%
Upper Devonian


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
58
Stable Revenue Amid Changing Market Dynamics


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
59
Marcellus Driving Changing Gas Flow Patterns


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
60
Positioned to Move Growing Marcellus Production


Pipeline & Storage
Marcellus Driven Expansion Projects
61
Lamont Phase II Project (July 2011)
Line “N”
Expansion (October 2011)
Tioga County Extension (November  2011)
Line “N”
2012 Expansion  (November 2012)
Northern Access Expansion  (November 2012)
West to East  (2014)
Central Tioga County Ext (2014)
FY11
FY12
FY14
FY13
Total Firm Capacity: ~1,820,000 Dth/D
Capital Investment: ~$600 Million
50,000 Dth/d
160,000 Dth/d
350,000 Dth/d
150,000 Dth/d
320,000 Dth/d
~425,000 Dth/d
260,000 Dth/d
September  9, 2011


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
62
Tioga County Extension Project
FERC Certificate Issued: May 19, 2011
Anticipated In-Service: 11/2011
Firm Transportation: 350,000 Dth/d
15 Miles of 26”
High Pressure Pipe
Replacement of 1.36 miles of Original
Empire
New Interconnect with TGP 200
Tioga County Extension


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
63
Line N Expansion Project
Line N Expansion 2011
In-Service Date: 9/2011
Fully Subscribed: 160,000 Dth/D
20+ Miles of 20”
Pipe
New 4,740 HP Compression Station
Delivery to TETCO at Holbrook Station
Line N Expansion 2012
In-Service Date: 11/2012
Fully Subscribed: 150,000 Dth/D
4.85 Miles of 24”
Replacement Pipe
Additional 20,620 HP at Buffalo Station


September  9, 2011
Pipeline & Storage
64
Marcellus Volumes from System Expansions
Estimated Marcellus Volumes from System
Expansions (80% Load Factor)
Actual Transported Marcellus
Production Volumes
Line N 2012
Expansion &
Northern Access
West to East
Tioga County
Expansion
Line N 2011
Central Tioga
County
Project


September  9, 2011
65
Pipeline, Storage & Midstream
Significant Throughput Growth


Pipeline & Storage Growth
Deploying Significant Growth Capital
66
Capital spending is ramping up significantly to fund system expansion and assuming
recently allowed industry average ROE and capital structure targets, this segment
can achieve significant growth with a rapid increase in contracted volumes
66
September  9, 2011


September  9, 2011
Utility
67
National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation


September  9, 2011
Utility
68
Strong Commitment to Safety
Capital spending from 2011 to 2014 is
expected to be between
$55 and $60 million per year


September  9, 2011
Utility
69
Operational Reliability
The
development
of
unconventional
resources
has
shifted
the
need
for
traditional
sources
of
natural
gas
supply
to
reliably
serve
our
utility
customers
Changing Natural Gas Supply Dynamics


September  9, 2011
Utility
70
Continued Cost Control


September  9, 2011
Utility
71
Stable Earnings/Financial Stability
Photo
courtesy
of
Carl
Heldmann
,
Build
Your
Own
House
-
www.byoh.com


September  9, 2011
Utility
72
Diluted Earnings per Share (Before Items Impacting Comparability)
(1) Excludes out-of-period adjustment to symmetrical sharing of $0.03; Including this adjustment, GAAP earnings would be $0.58.


September  9, 2011
Utility
73
Financial Stability
Rate Mechanisms
New York & Pennsylvania
Low Income Rates
Choice Program/POR
Merchant Function Charge
New York only
Revenue Decoupling
90/10 Sharing
Weather Normalization
Fiscal Year


September  9, 2011
Utility
74
Continuing Goals and Outlook
Strong Commitment to Safety
Continue to control expenses
Financial Stability
Operational Reliability
Maintain a solid regulatory strategy to
achieve strong regulatory outcomes


September  9, 2011
Utility
75
National Fuel Gas Distribution Corporation


September  9, 2011
National Fuel Gas Company
76
Corporate & Financial Overview


National Fuel Gas Company
Consolidated Capital Expenditures
Note: A reconciliation to Capital Expenditures as presented on the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows is included at the end of this presentation.
77
September  9, 2011


National Fuel Gas Company
Cash Flow
Forecast
Utility
78
September  9, 2011
$0
$40
$80
$120
$160
2011                      
Forecast
2012                          
Forecast
2013                       
Forecast
2014                       
Forecast
Cash From Operations
Capital Expenditures
$135-
145
$120-
130
$115-
125
$115-
120
$55-
60
$55-
60
$55-
60
$55-
60


National Fuel Gas Company
Cash Flow Forecast –
Pipeline & Storage
79
September  9, 2011
$85-
95
$100-
150
$95-
105
$100-
135
$105-
115
$100-
150
$110-
125
$300-
350
$350
$300
$200
$100
$150
$250
$50
$0
2011
Forecast
2012
Forecast
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
Cash From Operations
Capital Expenditures


National Fuel Gas Company
Cash Flow Forecast –
Exploration & Production
80
Note:
This assumes NYMEX natural gas pricing of $4.00, $4.50, $5.00 and $5.50 for fiscal years 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.  It also assumes NYMEX
crude oil pricing of $80. $95, $100 and $100 for fiscal years 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.  
September  9, 2011
$360-
380
$600-
655
$450-
500
$785-
875
$650-
800
$840-
1,050
$900-
1,100
$935-
1,145
$1,200
$1,000
$600
$200
$400
$800
$0
2011
Forecast
2012
Forecast
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
Cash From Operations
Capital Expenditures


National Fuel Gas Company
Hedge Positions and Strategy
81
Natural Gas
Swaps
Volume
(Bcf)
Average
Hedge Price
Fiscal 2012
35.0
$5.89 / Mcf
Fiscal 2013
23.9
$5.67 / Mcf
Fiscal 2014
4.6
$5.89 / Mcf
Oil Swaps
Volume
(MMBbl)
Average
Hedge Price
Fiscal 2012
1.6
$77.03 / Bbl
Fiscal 2013
0.9
$86.21 / Bbl
Fiscal 2014
0.2
$94.90 / Bbl
Most hedges executed at sales point to
eliminate basis risk
September  9, 2011
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
0%
Hedged Forecasted Production
As of September 9, 2011
47%
21%
3%
2012
2013
2014
Fiscal Year


National Fuel Gas Company
Cash Flow Forecast –
Midstream, Marketing & Other
82
September  9, 2011
$23-27
$100
$75
$50
$0
2011
Forecast
2012
Forecast
2013
Forecast
2014
Forecast
Cash From Operations
Capital Expenditures
$25
$15-20
$20-30
$40-60
$40-50
$20-30
$55-70
$5-15


National Fuel Gas Company
Financing Needs –
A Consolidated View of Cash Flows
83
2013E
2014E
2012E
2011E
Note:
This assumes NYMEX natural gas pricing of $4.00, $4.50, $5.00 and $5.50 for fiscal years 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.  It also assumes
NYMEX crude oil pricing of $80, $95, $100 and $100 for fiscal years 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.  
September  9, 2011
$828
$1,055
$1,153
$1,433
$625
$725
$1,000
$1,300
$124
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Cash from Ops
Asset Sales & Other
CapEx


National Fuel Gas Company
Strong Dividend Track Record
84
Compound Annual
Growth Rate
5.0%
National Fuel has had 109 uninterrupted
years of dividend payments and has increased
its dividend for 41
consecutive years
September  9, 2011
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
Annual Rate at Fiscal Year End


National Fuel Gas Company
Manageable Debt Maturity Schedule
85
September  9, 2011
$150
$250
$300
$250
$49
$50
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
Fiscal Year


National Fuel Gas Company
Financing Needs
A
Consolidated
View
of
Cash
Flows
86
2013E
2014E
2012E
2011E
September  9, 2011
$625
$725
$1,000
$1,300
$124
$828
$1,055
$1,153
$1,433
$115
$119
$123
$128
$200
$150
$250
$385
$550
575
$500
525
$225
250
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
Cash from Ops
Asset Sales & Other
CapEx
Dividend
Debt Repayment
Cash on Hand
New Financing
-
-
-
Note:
This assumes NYMEX natural gas pricing of $4.00, $4.50, $5.00 and $5.50 for fiscal years 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014, respectively.
It
also
assumes
NYMEX
crude
oil
pricing
of
$80.00,
$95,
$100
and
$100
for
fiscal
years
2011,
2012,
2013
and
2014,
respectively.  


National Fuel Gas Company
Targeted Capital Structure
87
Long-Term Consolidated
Capital Structure Target
Capital Structure
Targets by Segment
September  9, 2011
Debt
35% -
45%
Equity
55% -
65%
All Other
E&P
P&S
Utility
40%
30%
50%
50%
60%
70%
50%
50%
Debt
Equity


National Fuel Gas Company
Investment Grade Credit Rating
88
Rating Agency
Rating
Fitch
BBB+
Moody’s
Baa1
Standard & Poors
BBB
Current Credit Ratings
September  9, 2011
Capital Resources
Total Short-Term Capacity: $685 Million
Commercial Paper Program:  $300 Million
Uncommitted Lines of Credit: $385 Million
$300.0 MM Committed Credit Facility through
September 2013 –
backs Commercial Paper Program


National Fuel Gas Company
Appendix
89
September  9, 2011


National Fuel Gas Company
Fiscal Year 2012 Earnings Guidance Drivers
90
2012 Forecast
GAAP Earnings per Share
$2.85 -
$3.15
Operating Earnings per Share
$2.85 -
$3.15
12% EPS Growth
Exploration & Production Drivers
Total Production (Bcfe)
87 -
101
35% Production Growth
DD&A Expense
$2.20 -
$2.30
LOE Expense
$0.85 -
$1.00
G&A Expense
$54 -
$58 MM
Pipeline & Storage Drivers
O&M Expense
2%
Increase in Revenue (Expansion Projects)
$27 MM
Decrease in Revenue (De-Contracting)
$4 MM
Utility Drivers
O&M Expense
2%
PA Normal Weather Assumption
$0.03 / Share
September  9, 2011


Pipeline & Storage
Expansion Initiatives
91
Project Name
Capacity
(Dth/D)
Est.
CapEx
In-Service
Date
Market
Status
Lamont Compressor Station
40,000
$6 MM
6/15/10
Fully Subscribed
Completed
Flowing
into
TGP
300 Line
Lamont Phase II Project
50,000
$7.6 MM
07/1/11
Fully Subscribed
First 10,000 Dth/d in-service.  Remaining
40,000 Dth/d in-service 10/2011.
Line “N”
Expansion
160,000
$20 MM
~ 09/2011
Fully Subscribed
Construction began February 2011
Tioga County Extension
350,000
$49 MM
~ 11/2011
Fully Subscribed
Construction began July 2011
Northern Access Expansion
320,000
$62 MM
~11/2012
Fully Subscribed
Certificate filed in March 2011
Line “N”
2012 Expansion
150,000
$36 MM
~ 11/2012
Fully Subscribed
Certificate filed in July 2011
West to East
~425,000
$290 MM
2014
29% Subscribed
Marketing continues with producers in
various stages of exploratory drilling
Central Tioga County
Extension
260,000
$135 MM
2014
Open Season
Closed
Evaluating market interest and facility
design
Total Firm Capacity  ~ 1,755,000 Dth/D
Capital Investment ~ $606 MM
September  9, 2011


Midstream Corporation
Expansion Initiatives
92
Project Name
Capacity
(Dth/D)
Est.
CapEx
In-Service
Date
Market
Status
Covington Gathering System
140,000
$16 MM
11/17/09
Fully Subscribed
Completed
Flowing into TGP 300 Line
Covington Gathering  System
Expansion
80,000
$3.5 MM
~12/2011
Fully Subscribed
Will increase total system capacity to
220,000 Dth/d
Trout Run Gathering System
466,000
$52 MM
Q2 FY2012
70% Subscribed
Preliminary work has begun
Total Firm Capacity  ~ 686,000 Dth/D
Capital Investment ~ $ 71.5 MM
September  9, 2011


Seneca Resources
Industry Leading Production Growth
93
September  9, 2011
U.S. Independent E&P Companies
2
nd
Quarter Year-Over-Year Production Growth
(1)
Source: Raymond James & Associates, Inc. – August 22, 2011


Marcellus Shale
Eastern Development Area (EDA) –
Current Results
94
Location
Possible
Locations
Wells
Drilled
Gross
Production
(MMcf/d)
3D
Seismic
2012
Wells
Planned
Comments
Developed
Covington
47
47
100+
Acquired
N/A
Estimated Gross EUR: 5.5 Bcfe
Full Development
DCNR 595
55
4
8
26
1 Well Currently Shut-In
DCNR 100
70
1
N/A
Mid-2012
12
1    Well IP: 15.8 MMcf/d
Delineating
DCNR001
58
1
N/A
June 2011
2
1    Well IP: 4 MMcf/d
DCNR 007
75
1
N/A
July 2011
4
1    Well IP: 2 MMcf/d
September  9, 2011
st
st
st
Permitting
DCNR 007
Covington
DCNR 595
DCNR 100
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage
DCNR 001


Marcellus Shale
Western Development Area (EDA) –
Results & Plan Forward
95
Boone Mtn.
Mt. Jewett
Owl’s
Nest
Punxy
Approx. Outline of JV Acreage
200,000 Gross Acres
Seneca 50% W.I. (Avg. 58% NRI)
Rich Valley
Location
Possible
Locations
Wells
Drilled
Gross
Production
(MMcf/d)
3D
Seismic
2012
Wells
Planned
Comments
Full Development
Owl’s Nest/ Ridgeway
680
3
2+
15
Expected IPs: 4-5 MMcf/d
Punxy
87
45
36
Acquired
33
Delineating
Mt. Jewett
232
4
N/A
Acquired
TBD
Completions Scheduled for Sept. to Oct.
Boone Mtn.
59
4
N/A
N/A
TBD
Completions Scheduled for Oct. to Nov.
Rich Valley
188
0
N/A
N/A
2
September  9, 2011
Permitting
SRC Lease Acreage
SRC Fee Acreage


Marcellus Shale
Ensuring Gas Reaches the Market
96
September  9, 2011
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Tioga County Production and Future Firm Sales
Firm Sales
Tioga County Production
Firm sales agreements
continue to be layered on
as the future production
profile becomes more
predictable


Marcellus Shale
Water Sourcing Program
97
Utilizing least quality freshwater sources,
including abandoned coal mine drainage
Centralized storage impoundments
create a flexible and efficient water
system
Seven mile pipeline supplies multiple
locations:
Covington Area: 47 Wells
DCNR 595: 55 Wells
Water Withdrawal: 500,000 gallons per
day
Reduced Trucking: 800-1,000
Trucks per
well
Cost Savings: ~$120,000 per well
Pay Out: 31 Wells
Unaffected by regional droughts
September  9, 2011


Seneca Resources
Committed to Health, Safety and the Environment
98
Seneca
Resources
Corporation
Value
Statement
“We ask that each employee share in our philosophy and unwavering
commitment to each other’s health and safety and the environment.”
“…creating a
systematically
integrated model of
EHS stewardship
beyond mere
compliance.”
Dedicated 24-Hour
EHS Hotline and
E-mail Address
Culture Above and
Beyond Best Practices
and Required
Compliance
Simultaneous
Operations (SIMOPS)
Program
Extensive Operations
Audit Program
Dedicated Safety
Office in Every
Location
September  9, 2011


National Fuel Gas Company
Comparable GAAP Financial Measure Slides and Reconciliations
99
This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures.  For pages
that contain non-GAAP financial measures, pages containing the most directly
comparable GAAP financial measures and reconciliations are provided in the
slides that follow. 
The Company believes that its non-GAAP financial measures are useful to
investors because they provide an alternative method for assessing the
Company’s operating results in a manner that is focused on the performance
of the Company’s ongoing operations.  The Company’s management uses
these non-GAAP financial measures for the same purpose, and for planning
and forecasting purposes.  The presentation of non-GAAP financial measures
is not meant to be a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance
with GAAP. 
September  9, 2011


Reconciliation of Segment Capital Expenditures to Consolidated Capital Expenditures

($ Thousands)

 

     FY 2010     FY 2011
Forecast
     FY 2012
Forecast
     FY 2013
Forecast
     FY 2014
Forecast
 

Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations

             

Exploration & Production Capital Expenditures

   $ 398,174      $ 600,000-655,000       $ 785,000-875,000       $ 840,000-1,050,000       $ 935,000-1,145,000   

Pipeline & Storage Capital Expenditures

     37,894      $ 100,000-150,000       $ 100,000-135,000       $ 100,000-150,000       $ 300,000-350,000   

Utility Capital Expenditures

     57,973      $ 55,000-60,000       $ 55,000-60,000       $ 55,000-60,000       $ 55,000-60,000   

Marketing, Corporate & All Other Capital Expenditures

     7,311      $ 15,000-20,000       $ 40,000-60,000       $ 20,000-30,000       $ 5,000-15,000   
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Capital Expenditures from Continuing Operations

   $ 501,352      $ 770,000-885,000       $ 980,000-1,130,000       $ 1,015,000-1,290,000       $ 1,295,000-1,570,000   

Capital Expenditures from Discontinued Operations

             

Exploration & Production Capital Expenditures

   $ —        $ —         $ —         $ —         $ —     

All Other Capital Expenditures

     150              
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Capital Expenditures from Discontinued Operations

   $ 150      $ —         $ —         $ —         $ —     

Plus (Minus) Accrued Capital Expenditures

             

Exploration & Production FY 2010 Accrued Capital Expenditures

   $ (55,546   $ —         $ —         $ —         $ —     

Exploration & Production FY 2009 Accrued Capital Expenditures

     9,093        —           —           —           —     

Pipeline & Storage FY 2008 Accrued Capital Expenditures

     —          —           —           —           —     

All Other FY 2009 Accrued Capital Expenditures

     715        —           —           —           —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Accrued Capital Expenditures

   $ (45,738   $ —         $ —         $ —         $ —     

Eliminations

   $ —        $ —         $ —         $ —         $ —     
  

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total Capital Expenditures per Statement of Cash Flows

   $ 455,764      $ 770,000-885,000       $ 980,000-1,130,000       $ 1,015,000-1,290,000       $ 1,295,000-1,570,000