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Fair Value of Financial Instruments
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2019
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value of Financial Instruments

Fair Value of Financial Instruments - MGE Energy and MGE.

Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell an asset or would be paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The accounting standard clarifies that fair value should be based on the assumptions market participants would use when pricing the asset or liability including assumptions about risk. The standard also establishes a three-level fair value hierarchy based upon the observability of the assumptions used and requires the use of observable market data when available. The levels are:

Level 1 - Pricing inputs are quoted prices within active markets for identical assets or liabilities.

Level 2 - Pricing inputs are quoted prices within active markets for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and model-derived valuations that are correlated with or otherwise verifiable by observable market data.

Level 3 - Pricing inputs are unobservable and reflect management's best estimate of what market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability.

a. Fair Value of Financial Assets and Liabilities Recorded at the Carrying Amount.

The carrying amount of cash, cash equivalents, and outstanding commercial paper approximates fair market value due to the short maturity of those investments and obligations. The estimated fair market value of long-term debt is based on quoted market prices for similar financial instruments. Since long-term debt is not traded in an active market, it is classified as Level 2. The estimated fair market value of financial instruments are as follows:

March 31, 2019December 31, 2018
(In thousands)Carrying AmountFair ValueCarrying AmountFair Value
MGE Energy
Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents$82,402$82,402$83,102$83,102
Liabilities:
Short-term debt - commercial paper6,0006,00013,00013,000
Long-term debt(a)501,303553,598502,431518,811
MGE
Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents$9,624$9,624$4,843$4,843
Liabilities:
Short-term debt - commercial paper6,0006,00013,00013,000
Long-term debt(a)501,303553,598502,431518,811
(a) Includes long-term debt due within one year. Excludes debt issuance costs and unamortized discount of
$4.4 million and $4.5 million as of March 31, 2019, and December 31, 2018, respectively.

b. Recurring Fair Value Measurements.

The following table presents the balances of assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis.

Fair Value as of March 31, 2019
(In thousands)TotalLevel 1Level 2Level 3
MGE Energy
Assets:
Derivatives, net$799$316$-$483
Exchange-traded investments963963--
Total Assets$1,762$1,279$-$483
Liabilities:
Derivatives, net$31,822$56$-$31,766
Deferred compensation3,009-3,009-
Total Liabilities$34,831$56$3,009$31,766
MGE
Assets:
Derivatives, net$799$316$-$483
Exchange-traded investments7070--
Total Assets$869$386$-$483
Liabilities:
Derivatives, net$31,822$56$-$31,766
Deferred compensation3,009-3,009-
Total Liabilities$34,831$56$3,009$31,766

Fair Value as of December 31, 2018
(In thousands)TotalLevel 1Level 2Level 3
MGE Energy
Assets:
Derivatives, net$1,042$296$-$746
Exchange-traded investments848848--
Total Assets$1,890$1,144$-$746
Liabilities:
Derivatives, net$32,872$124$-$32,748
Deferred compensation3,078-3,078-
Total Liabilities$35,950$124$3,078$32,748
MGE
Assets:
Derivatives, net$1,042$296$-$746
Exchange-traded investments4343--
Total Assets$1,085$339$-$746
Liabilities:
Derivatives, net$32,872$124$-$32,748
Deferred compensation3,078-3,078-
Total Liabilities$35,950$124$3,078$32,748

No transfers were made in or out of Level 1 or Level 2 for the three months ended March 31, 2019.

Investments include exchange-traded investment securities valued using quoted prices on active exchanges and are therefore classified as Level 1.

Derivatives include exchange-traded derivative contracts, over-the-counter transactions, a purchased power agreement, and FTRs. Most exchange-traded derivative contracts are valued based on unadjusted quoted prices in active markets and are therefore classified as Level 1. A small number of exchange-traded derivative contracts are valued using quoted market pricing in markets with insufficient volumes and are therefore considered unobservable and classified as Level 3. Transactions done with an over-the-counter party are on inactive markets and are therefore classified as Level 3. These transactions are valued based on quoted prices from markets with similar exchange-traded transactions. FTRs are priced based upon monthly auction results for identical or similar instruments in a closed market with limited data available and are therefore classified as Level 3.

The purchased power agreement (see Footnote 11) was valued using an internally-developed pricing model and therefore is classified as Level 3. The model projects future market energy prices and compares those prices to the projected power costs to be incurred under the contract. Inputs to the model require significant management judgment and estimation. Future energy prices are based on a forward power pricing curve using exchange-traded contracts in the electric futures market. A basis adjustment is applied to the market energy price to reflect the price differential between the market price delivery point and the counterparty delivery point. The historical relationship between the delivery points is reviewed and a discount (below 100%) or premium (above 100%) is derived. This comparison is done for both peak times when demand is high and off-peak times when demand is low. If the basis adjustment is lowered, the fair value measurement will decrease, and if the basis adjustment is increased, the fair value measurement will increase.

The projected power costs anticipated to be incurred under the purchased power agreement are determined using many factors, including historical generating costs, future prices, and expected fuel mix of the counterparty. An increase in the projected fuel costs would result in a decrease in the fair value measurement of the purchased power agreement. A significant input that MGE estimates is the counterparty's fuel mix in determining the projected power cost. MGE also considers the assumptions that market participants would use in valuing the asset or liability. This consideration includes assumptions about market risk such as liquidity, volatility, and contract duration. The fair value model uses a discount rate that incorporates discounting, credit, and model risks.

The following table presents the significant unobservable inputs used in the pricing model.

Model Input
Significant Unobservable InputsMarch 31, 2019December 31, 2018
Basis adjustment:
On peak92.1%92.1%
Off peak92.5%92.8%
Counterparty fuel mix:
Internal generation40% - 60%50% - 75%
Purchased power60% - 40%50% - 25%

The deferred compensation plan allows participants to defer certain cash compensation into a notional investment account. These amounts are included within other deferred liabilities in the consolidated balance sheets. The notional investments earn interest based upon the semiannual rate of U.S. Treasury Bills having a 26-week maturity increased by 1% compounded monthly with a minimum annual rate of 7%, compounded monthly. The notional investments are based upon observable market data, however, since the deferred compensation obligations themselves are not exchanged in an active market, they are classified as Level 2.

The following table summarizes the changes in Level 3 commodity derivative assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis.

Three Months Ended
March 31,
(In thousands)20192018
Beginning balance$(32,002)$(42,026)
Realized and unrealized gains (losses):
Included in regulatory assets719563
Included in other comprehensive income--
Included in earnings(644)(542)
Included in current assets173(173)
Purchases5,7655,834
Sales--
Issuances--
Settlements(5,294)(5,119)
Transfers in and/or out of Level 3--
Balance as of March 31,$(31,283)$(41,463)
Total gains (losses) included in earnings attributed to the change in unrealized gains (losses) related to assets and liabilities held at March 31,(b)$-$-

The following table presents total realized and unrealized gains (losses) included in income for Level 3 assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis (b).

Three Months Ended
March 31,
(In thousands)20192018
Purchased power expense$(556)$(723)
Cost of gas sold expense(88)181
Total$(644)$(542)

(b) MGE's exchange-traded derivative contracts, over-the-counter party transactions, purchased power agreement, and FTRs are subject to regulatory deferral. These derivatives are therefore marked to fair value and are offset in the financial statements with a corresponding regulatory asset or liability.