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Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves [Abstract]  
Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
5. Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves


Property and casualty insurance claim and claim adjustment expense reserves represent the estimated amounts necessary to resolve all outstanding claims, including incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) claims as of the reporting date. Reserve projections are based primarily on detailed analysis of the facts in each case, experience with similar cases and various historical development patterns. Consideration is given to historical patterns such as claim reserving trends and settlement practices, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims and product mix, as well as court decisions and economic conditions, including inflation and public attitudes. All of these factors can affect the estimation of claim and claim adjustment expense reserves.


Establishing claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, including claim and claim adjustment expense reserves for catastrophic events that have occurred, is an estimation process. Many factors can ultimately affect the final settlement of a claim and, therefore, the necessary reserve. Changes in the law, results of litigation, medical costs, the cost of repair materials and labor rates can affect ultimate claim costs. In addition, time can be a critical part of reserving determinations since the longer the span between the incidence of a loss and the payment or settlement of the claim, the more variable the ultimate settlement amount can be. Accordingly, short-tail claims, such as property damage claims, tend to be more reasonably estimable than long-tail claims, such as workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability claims. Adjustments to prior year reserve estimates, if necessary, are reflected in the results of operations in the period that the need for such adjustments is determined. There can be no assurance that the ultimate cost for insurance losses will not exceed current estimates.


Catastrophes are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance business and have contributed to material period-to-period fluctuations in the Company’s results of operations and/or equity. The Company reported catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, of $75 million and $58 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019. Net catastrophe losses for the three months ended March 31, 2020 included $13 million related to the COVID-19 pandemic, with the remaining $62 million related primarily to U.S. weather related events. Net catastrophe losses for the three months ended March 31, 2019 related primarily to U.S. weather-related events.

Liability for Unpaid Claim and Claim Adjustment Expenses


The following table presents a reconciliation between beginning and ending claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, including claim and claim adjustment expense reserves of Other Insurance Operations.

Three Months Ended March 31
 
2020
   
2019
 
(In millions)
           
             
Reserves, beginning of year:
           
Gross
 
$
21,720
   
$
21,984
 
Ceded
   
3,835
     
4,019
 
Net reserves, beginning of year
   
17,885
     
17,965
 
                 
Net incurred claim and claim adjustment expenses:
               
Provision for insured events of current year
   
1,355
     
1,309
 
Increase (decrease) in provision for insured events of prior years
   
(8
)
   
8
 
Amortization of discount
   
51
     
50
 
Total net incurred (a)
   
1,398
     
1,367
 
                 
Net payments attributable to:
               
Current year events
   
(72
)
   
(100
)
Prior year events
   
(1,218
)
   
(1,309
)
Total net payments
   
(1,290
)
   
(1,409
)
                 
Foreign currency translation adjustment and other
   
(88
)
   
13
 
                 
Net reserves, end of period
   
17,905
     
17,936
 
Ceded reserves, end of period
   
3,967
     
3,900
 
Gross reserves, end of period
 
$
21,872
   
$
21,836
 

(a)
Total net incurred above does not agree to Insurance claims and policyholders’ benefits as reflected on the Consolidated Condensed Statements of Operations due to amounts related to retroactive reinsurance deferred gain accounting, uncollectible reinsurance and benefit expenses related to future policy benefits, which are not reflected in the table above.

Net Prior Year Development


Changes in estimates of claim and claim adjustment expense reserves net of reinsurance, for prior years are defined as net prior year loss reserve development. These changes can be favorable or unfavorable.


Favorable net prior year development of $15 million and $14 million was recorded for commercial property and casualty operations (“Property & Casualty Operations”) for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019.


The following table and discussion present details of the net prior year claim and claim adjustment expense reserve development in Property & Casualty Operations:

Three Months Ended March 31
 
2020
   
2019
 
(In millions)
           
             
Medical professional liability
 
$
10
   
$
15
 
Other professional liability and management liability
   
3
     
(12
)
Surety
   
(30
)
   
(25
)
Commercial auto
   
9
     
(5
)
General liability
           
(20
)
Workers’ compensation
   
(13
)
   
2
 
Property and other
   
6
     
31
 
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable development
 
$
(15
)
 
$
(14
)

2020


Unfavorable development in medical professional liability was primarily due to unfavorable outcomes on specific claims in accident years 2015 and 2016 in the aging services business.


Favorable development in surety was primarily due to lower than expected frequency for accident years 2017 and prior.


Favorable development in workers’ compensation was due to favorable medical trends driving lower than expected severity in accident years 2016 through 2018.

2019


Unfavorable development in medical professional liability was primarily due to higher than expected severity in accident year 2013 in the allied healthcare business.


Favorable development in other professional liability and management liability was primarily due to lower than expected claim frequency and favorable outcomes on individual claims in accident years 2017 and prior related to financial institutions. This was partially offset by unfavorable development in management liability in accident year 2014 due to large claim activity.


Favorable development in surety was due to lower than expected frequency for accident years 2016 and prior.


Favorable development in general liability was primarily due to lower than expected frequency on latent construction defect claims in multiple accident years.


Unfavorable development in property and other coverages was primarily due to higher than expected frequency and large loss activity in accident year 2018 in the marine business and higher than expected claims in Hardy for 2018 accident year catastrophes in property, energy and marine.

Asbestos and Environmental Pollution (“A&EP”) Reserves


In 2010, Continental Casualty Company (“CCC”) together with several insurance subsidiaries completed a transaction with National Indemnity Company (“NICO”), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., under which substantially all of the legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to NICO through a loss portfolio transfer (“loss portfolio transfer” or “LPT”). At the effective date of the transaction, approximately $1.6 billion of net A&EP claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves were ceded to NICO under a retroactive reinsurance agreement with an aggregate limit of $4.0 billion. The $1.6 billion of claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves ceded to NICO was net of $1.2 billion of ceded claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves under existing third party reinsurance contracts. The NICO LPT aggregate reinsurance limit also covers credit risk on the existing third party reinsurance related to these liabilities. NICO was paid a reinsurance premium of $2.0 billion and billed third party reinsurance receivables related to A&EP claims with a net book value of $215 million were transferred to NICO, resulting in total consideration of $2.2 billion.


In years subsequent to the effective date of the LPT, adverse prior year development on A&EP reserves was recognized resulting in additional amounts ceded under the LPT. As a result, the cumulative amounts ceded under the LPT have exceeded the $2.2 billion consideration paid, resulting in the NICO LPT moving into a gain position, requiring retroactive reinsurance accounting. Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, this gain is deferred and only recognized in earnings in proportion to actual paid recoveries under the LPT. Over the life of the contract, there is no economic impact as long as any additional losses incurred are within the limit of the LPT. In a period in which a change in the estimate of A&EP reserves is recognized that increases or decreases the amounts ceded under the LPT, the proportion of actual paid recoveries to total ceded losses is affected and the change in the deferred gain is recognized in earnings as if the revised estimate of ceded losses was available at the effective date of the LPT. The effect of the deferred retroactive reinsurance benefit is recorded in Insurance claims and policyholders’ benefits on the Consolidated Condensed Statements of Operations.


The impact of the LPT on the Consolidated Condensed Statements of Operations was the recognition of a retroactive reinsurance benefit of $14 million and $22 million for the three months ended March 31, 2020 and 2019. As of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, the cumulative amounts ceded under the LPT were $3.2 billion. The unrecognized deferred retroactive reinsurance benefit was $378 million and $392 million as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 and is included within Other liabilities on the Consolidated Condensed Balance Sheets.


NICO established a collateral trust account as security for its obligations under the LPT. The fair value of the collateral trust account was $2.7 billion and $3.7 billion as of March 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019. The decrease in the fair value of the trust was driven by overall declines in equity markets. As of March 31, 2020, the fair market value of the trust represented more than 150% of the gross LPT reserves. In addition, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. guaranteed the payment obligations of NICO up to the aggregate reinsurance limit as well as certain of NICO’s performance obligations under the trust agreement. NICO is responsible for claims handling and billing and collection from third-party reinsurers related to the majority of the Company’s A&EP claims.