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Investments
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2018
Investments [Abstract]  
Investments



5.  Investments



AFS Securities



See Note 1 in our 2017 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policy relating to AFS securities, which also includes additional disclosures regarding our fair value measurements.  In addition, we adopted ASU 2016-01, Recognition and Measurement of Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities, in 2018 that resulted in a new classification and measurement of our equity securities.  See Note 2 for additional information.



The amortized cost, gross unrealized gains, losses and other-than-temporary impairment (“OTTI”) and fair value of AFS securities (in millions) were as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 



Amortized

 

Gross Unrealized

 

 

 

 

Fair

 



Cost

 

Gains

 

Losses

 

OTTI (1)

 

Value

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

78,496

 

$

3,299

 

$

1,724

 

$

(9

)

$

80,080

 

Asset-backed securities ("ABS")

 

934

 

 

41

 

 

7

 

 

(17

)

 

985

 

U.S. government bonds

 

392

 

 

23

 

 

6

 

 

 -

 

 

409

 

Foreign government bonds

 

418

 

 

41

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

459

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS")

 

3,267

 

 

113

 

 

114

 

 

(21

)

 

3,287

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS")

 

766

 

 

2

 

 

23

 

 

(3

)

 

748

 

Collateralized loan obligations ("CLOs")

 

1,371

 

 

 -

 

 

14

 

 

(5

)

 

1,362

 

State and municipal bonds

 

4,588

 

 

656

 

 

26

 

 

 -

 

 

5,218

 

Hybrid and redeemable preferred securities

 

576

 

 

62

 

 

25

 

 

 -

 

 

613

 

Total AFS securities

$

90,808

 

$

4,237

 

$

1,939

 

$

(55

)

$

93,161

 





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of December 31, 2017

 



Amortized

 

Gross Unrealized

 

 

 

 

Fair

 



Cost

 

Gains

 

Losses

 

OTTI (1)

 

Value

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

75,701

 

$

6,862

 

$

354

 

$

(7

)

$

82,216

 

ABS

 

903

 

 

51

 

 

7

 

 

(27

)

 

974

 

U.S. government bonds

 

527

 

 

41

 

 

1

 

 

 -

 

 

567

 

Foreign government bonds

 

395

 

 

56

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

451

 

RMBS

 

3,327

 

 

155

 

 

39

 

 

(22

)

 

3,465

 

CMBS

 

590

 

 

10

 

 

2

 

 

(2

)

 

600

 

CLOs

 

803

 

 

2

 

 

2

 

 

(5

)

 

808

 

State and municipal bonds

 

4,172

 

 

953

 

 

6

 

 

 -

 

 

5,119

 

Hybrid and redeemable preferred securities

 

575

 

 

87

 

 

22

 

 

 -

 

 

640

 

Total fixed maturity securities

 

86,993

 

 

8,217

 

 

433

 

 

(63

)

 

94,840

 

Equity AFS securities

 

247

 

 

16

 

 

17

 

 

 -

 

 

246

 

Total AFS securities

$

87,240

 

$

8,233

 

$

450

 

$

(63

)

$

95,086

 



(1)

Includes unrealized (gains) and losses on impaired securities related to changes in the fair value of such securities subsequent to the impairment measurement date.



The amortized cost and fair value of fixed maturity AFS securities by contractual maturities (in millions) as of September 30, 2018, were as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 



Amortized

 

Fair

 



Cost

 

Value

 

Due in one year or less

$

3,631 

 

$

3,669 

 

Due after one year through five years

 

17,430 

 

 

17,509 

 

Due after five years through ten years

 

17,493 

 

 

17,440 

 

Due after ten years

 

45,916 

 

 

48,161 

 

Subtotal

 

84,470 

 

 

86,779 

 

Structured securities (ABS, MBS, CLOs)

 

6,338 

 

 

6,382 

 

Total fixed maturity AFS securities

$

90,808 

 

$

93,161 

 



Actual maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or pre-pay obligations.



The fair value and gross unrealized losses, including the portion of OTTI recognized in other comprehensive income (loss) (“OCI”), of AFS securities (dollars in millions), aggregated by investment category and length of time that individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, were as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 

 

Less Than or Equal

 

Greater Than

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



to Twelve Months

 

Twelve Months

 

Total

 



 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

Unrealized

 

Unrealized

 

 

 

Unrealized



Fair

Losses and

Fair

Losses and

Fair

 

Losses and



Value

 

OTTI

 

Value

 

OTTI

 

Value

 

 

OTTI

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

33,196 

 

$

1,188 

 

$

4,690 

 

$

538 

 

$

37,886 

 

 

$

1,726 

 

ABS

 

252 

 

 

 

 

129 

 

 

12 

 

 

381 

 

 

 

15 

 

U.S. government bonds

 

169 

 

 

 

 

18 

 

 

 

 

187 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

836 

 

 

43 

 

 

603 

 

 

73 

 

 

1,439 

 

 

 

116 

 

CMBS

 

624 

 

 

18 

 

 

57 

 

 

 

 

681 

 

 

 

23 

 

CLOs

 

1,062 

 

 

14 

 

 

34 

 

 

 -

 

 

1,096 

 

 

 

14 

 

State and municipal bonds

 

724 

 

 

15 

 

 

75 

 

 

11 

 

 

799 

 

 

 

26 

 

Hybrid and redeemable

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

preferred securities

 

31 

 

 

 

 

132 

 

 

22 

 

 

163 

 

 

 

24 

 

Total AFS securities

$

36,894 

 

$

1,287 

 

$

5,738 

 

$

663 

 

$

42,632 

 

 

$

1,950 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total number of AFS securities in an unrealized loss position

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3,480 

 







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of December 31, 2017

 

 

Less Than or Equal

 

Greater Than

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



to Twelve Months

 

Twelve Months

 

Total

 



 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross 

 

 

 

Unrealized

 

Unrealized

 

 

 

Unrealized



Fair

Losses and

Fair

Losses and

Fair

 

Losses and



Value

 

OTTI

 

Value

 

OTTI

 

Value

 

 

OTTI

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

4,854 

 

$

68 

 

$

4,893 

 

$

288 

 

$

9,747 

 

 

$

356 

 

ABS

 

62 

 

 

 

 

151 

 

 

15 

 

 

213 

 

 

 

16 

 

U.S. government bonds

 

156 

 

 

 -

 

 

19 

 

 

 

 

175 

 

 

 

 

RMBS

 

302 

 

 

 

 

641 

 

 

36 

 

 

943 

 

 

 

40 

 

CMBS

 

113 

 

 

 -

 

 

60 

 

 

 

 

173 

 

 

 

 

CLOs

 

281 

 

 

 

 

72 

 

 

 -

 

 

353 

 

 

 

 

State and municipal bonds

 

34 

 

 

 -

 

 

93 

 

 

 

 

127 

 

 

 

 

Hybrid and redeemable

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

preferred securities

 

20 

 

 

 -

 

 

126 

 

 

22 

 

 

146 

 

 

 

22 

 

Total fixed maturity securities

 

5,822 

 

 

75 

 

 

6,055 

 

 

371 

 

 

11,877 

 

 

 

446 

 

Equity AFS securities

 

22 

 

 

14 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30 

 

 

 

17 

 

Total AFS securities

$

5,844 

 

$

89 

 

$

6,063 

 

$

374 

 

$

11,907 

 

 

$

463 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total number of AFS securities in an unrealized loss position

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,128 

 



The fair value, gross unrealized losses, the portion of OTTI recognized in OCI (in millions) and number of AFS securities where the fair value had declined and remained below amortized cost by greater than 20% were as follows:







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number

 



Fair

 

Gross Unrealized

 

 

of

 



Value

 

Losses

 

OTTI

 

Securities (1)

Less than six months

$

131 

 

$

47 

 

$

 -

 

 

 

20 

 

Six months or greater, but less than nine months

 

21 

 

 

16 

 

 

 -

 

 

 

 

Nine months or greater, but less than twelve months

 

39 

 

 

16 

 

 

 -

 

 

 

 

Twelve months or greater

 

123 

 

 

50 

 

 

 

 

 

29 

 

Total

$

314 

 

$

129 

 

$

 

 

 

56 

 







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of December 31, 2017

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number

 



Fair

 

Gross Unrealized

 

 

of

 



Value

 

Losses

 

OTTI

 

Securities (1)

Less than six months

$

156 

 

$

57 

 

$

 

 

 

26 

 

Six months or greater, but less than nine months

 

 

 

 

 

 -

 

 

 

 

Nine months or greater, but less than twelve months

 

15 

 

 

 

 

 -

 

 

 

 

Twelve months or greater

 

215 

 

 

78 

 

 

10 

 

 

 

49 

 

Total

$

388 

 

$

144 

 

$

11 

 

 

 

86 

 



(1)

We may reflect a security in more than one aging category based on various purchase dates.    



We regularly review our investment holdings for OTTI.  Our gross unrealized losses, including the portion of OTTI recognized in OCI, on fixed maturity AFS securities increased by $1.5 billion for the nine months ended September 30, 2018.  As discussed further below, we believe the unrealized loss position as of September 30, 2018, did not represent OTTI as (i) we did not intend to sell these fixed maturity AFS securities; (ii) it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell these fixed maturity AFS securities before recovery of their amortized cost basis; and (iii) the estimated future cash flows were equal to or greater than the amortized cost basis of the debt securities. 



Based upon this evaluation as of September 30, 2018, management believes we have the ability to generate adequate amounts of cash from our normal operations (e.g., insurance premiums and fees and investment income) to meet cash requirements with a prudent margin of safety without requiring the sale of our temporarily-impaired securities.

As of September 30, 2018, the unrealized losses associated with our corporate bond securities were attributable primarily to widening credit spreads and rising interest rates since purchase.  We performed a detailed analysis of the financial performance of the underlying issuers and determined that we expected to recover the entire amortized cost for each temporarily-impaired security.



As of September 30, 2018, the unrealized losses associated with our mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”) and ABS were attributable primarily to widening credit spreads and rising interest rates since purchase.  We assessed for credit impairment using a cash flow model that incorporates key assumptions including default rates, severities and prepayment rates.  We estimated losses for a security by forecasting the underlying loans in each transaction.  The forecasted loan performance was used to project cash flows to the various tranches in the structure, as applicable.  Our forecasted cash flows also considered, as applicable, independent industry analyst reports and forecasts and other independent market data.  Based upon our assessment of the expected credit losses of the security given the performance of the underlying collateral compared to our subordination or other credit enhancement, we expected to recover the entire amortized cost of each temporarily-impaired security.



As of September 30, 2018, the unrealized losses associated with our hybrid and redeemable preferred securities were attributable primarily to wider credit spreads caused by illiquidity in the market and subordination within the capital structure, as well as credit risk of underlying issuers.  For our hybrid and redeemable preferred securities, we evaluated the financial performance of the underlying issuers based upon credit performance and investment ratings and determined that we expected to recover the entire amortized cost of each temporarily-impaired security.



Changes in the amount of credit loss of OTTI recognized in net income (loss) where the portion related to other factors was recognized in OCI (in millions) on fixed maturity AFS securities were as follows:







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



For the Three

 

For the Nine

 



Months Ended

 

Months Ended

 



September 30,

 

September 30,

 



2018

 

2017

 

2018

 

2017

 

Balance as of beginning-of-period

$

375

 

$

390

 

$

378

 

$

430

 

Increases attributable to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit losses on securities for which an

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTTI was not previously recognized

 

2

 

 

8

 

 

4

 

 

13

 

Credit losses on securities for which an

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

OTTI was previously recognized

 

 -

 

 

1

 

 

1

 

 

4

 

Decreases attributable to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Securities sold, paid down or matured

 

(5

)

 

(21

)

 

(11

)

 

(69

)

Balance as of end-of-period

$

372

 

$

378

 

$

372

 

$

378

 



During the nine months ended September 30, 2018 and 2017, we recorded credit losses on securities for which an OTTI was not previously recognized as we determined the cash flows expected to be collected would not be sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the debt security.  The credit losses we recorded on securities for which an OTTI was not previously recognized were attributable primarily to one or a combination of the following reasons:



·

Failure of the issuer of the security to make scheduled payments;

·

Deterioration of creditworthiness of the issuer;

·

Deterioration of conditions specifically related to the security;

·

Deterioration of fundamentals of the industry in which the issuer operates; and

·

Deterioration of the rating of the security by a rating agency.



We recognize the OTTI attributed to the noncredit portion as a separate component in OCI referred to as unrealized OTTI on fixed maturity AFS securities. 



Mortgage Loans on Real Estate



See Note 1 in our 2017 Form 10-K for information regarding our accounting policy relating to mortgage loans on real estate.



Mortgage loans on real estate principally involve commercial real estate.  The commercial loans are geographically diversified throughout the U.S. with the largest concentrations in California, which accounted for 22% and 21% of mortgage loans on real estate as of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, respectively, and Texas which accounted for 12% of mortgage loans on real estate as of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017.

The following provides the current and past due composition of our mortgage loans on real estate (in millions):





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of

As of



September 30,

December 31,



 

2018

 

 

2017

 

Current

 

$

12,578

 

 

$

10,762

 

60 to 90 days past due

 

 

 -

 

 

 

 -

 

Greater than 90 days past due

 

 

1

 

 

 

3

 

Valuation allowance associated with impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

 

(1

)

 

 

(3

)

Unamortized premium (discount)

 

 

(17

)

 

 

 -

 

Total carrying value

 

$

12,561

 

 

$

10,762

 



The number of impaired mortgage loans on real estate, each of which had an associated specific valuation allowance, and the carrying value of impaired mortgage loans on real estate (dollars in millions) were as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

As of

 

 

As of

 



September 30,

December 31,



 

2018

 

 

2017

 

Number of impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

1

 

 

3

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Principal balance of impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

$

4

 

 

$

11

 

Valuation allowance associated with impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

 

(1

)

 

 

(3

)

Carrying value of impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

$

3

 

 

$

8

 



The changes in the valuation allowance associated with impaired mortgage loans on real estate (in millions) were as follows:







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

For the Three

 

For the Nine

 



 

Months Ended

 

Months Ended

 



 

September 30,

 

September 30,

 



 

2018

 

2017

 

2018

 

2017

 

Balance as of beginning-of-period

 

$

2

 

$

2

 

$

3

 

$

2

 

Additions

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

Charge-offs, net of recoveries

 

 

(1

)

 

 -

 

 

(2

)

 

 -

 

Balance as of end-of-period

 

$

1

 

$

2

 

$

1

 

$

2

 



Additional information related to impaired mortgage loans on real estate (in millions) was as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



For the Three

 

For the Nine

 



Months Ended

 

Months Ended

 



September 30,

 

September 30,

 



2018

 

2017

 

2018

 

2017

 

Average carrying value for impaired mortgage loans on real estate

$

 

$

 

$

 

$

 

Interest income recognized on impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

Interest income collected on impaired mortgage loans on real estate

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 



As described in Note 1 in our 2017 Form 10-K, we use the loan-to-value and debt-service coverage ratios as credit quality indicators for our mortgage loans on real estate, which were as follows (dollars in millions):





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 

As of December 31, 2017

 



 

 

 

 

 

Debt-

 

 

 

 

 

 

Debt-

 



 

 

 

 

 

Service

 

 

 

 

 

 

Service

 



Carrying

 

% of

 

Coverage

 

Carrying

 

% of

 

Coverage

 

Loan-to-Value Ratio

Value

 

Total

 

Ratio

 

Value

 

Total

 

Ratio

 

Less than 65%

$

11,297 

 

89.9% 

 

2.30

 

$

9,642 

 

89.6% 

 

2.26

 

65% to 74%

 

1,187 

 

9.5% 

 

1.79

 

 

1,000 

 

9.3% 

 

1.94

 

75% to 100%

 

74 

 

0.6% 

 

0.95

 

 

112 

 

1.0% 

 

0.97

 

Greater than 100%

 

 

0.0% 

 

0.21

 

 

 

0.1% 

 

0.82

 

Total mortgage loans on real estate

$

12,561 

 

100.0% 

 

 

 

$

10,762 

 

100.0% 

 

 

 

Alternative Investments 



As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, alternative investments included investments in 239 and 224 different partnerships, respectively, and the portfolios represented approximately 1% of our overall invested assets.



Realized Gain (Loss) Related to Certain Investments



The detail of the realized gain (loss) related to certain investments (in millions) was as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



For the Three

 

For the Nine

 



Months Ended

 

Months Ended

 



September 30,

 

September 30,

 



2018

 

2017

 

2018

 

2017

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities: (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross gains

$

14

 

$

7

 

$

30

 

$

19

 

Gross losses

 

(21

)

 

(22

)

 

(65

)

 

(47

)

Equity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross gains

 

 -

 

 

1

 

 

 -

 

 

2

 

Gain (loss) on other investments (2)

 

1

 

 

 -

 

 

6

 

 

(6

)

Associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

and changes in other contract holder funds

 

(5

)

 

(5

)

 

(16

)

 

(17

)

Total realized gain (loss) related to certain investments, pre-tax

$

(11

)

$

(19

)

$

(45

)

$

(49

)



(1)

These amounts are represented net of related fair value hedging activity.  See Note 6 for more information.

(2)

Includes market adjustments on equity securities still held of less than $1 million and $2 million for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018, respectively.



Details underlying write-downs taken as a result of OTTI (in millions) that were recognized in net income (loss) and included in realized gain (loss) on AFS securities above, were as follows:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



For the Three

 

For the Nine

 



Months Ended

 

Months Ended

 



September 30,

 

September 30,

 



2018

 

2017

 

2018

 

2017

 

OTTI Recognized in Net Income (Loss)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed maturity AFS securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

(2

)

$

(8

)

$

(4

)

$

(13

)

ABS

 

 -

 

 

(1

)

 

 -

 

 

(2

)

RMBS

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

(1

)

 

(1

)

State and municipal bonds

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

(1

)

Gross OTTI recognized in net income (loss)

 

(2

)

 

(9

)

 

(5

)

 

(17

)

Associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL

 

 -

 

 

1

 

 

 -

 

 

1

 

Net OTTI recognized in net income (loss), pre-tax

$

(2

)

$

(8

)

$

(5

)

$

(16

)



We recognized less than $1 million of OTTI in OCI for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2018.  We recognized $1 million of OTTI in OCI for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2017.



Determination of Credit Losses on Corporate Bonds and ABS



As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, we reviewed our corporate bond and ABS portfolios for potential shortfall in contractual principal and interest based on numerous subjective and objective inputs.  The factors used to determine the amount of credit loss for each individual security, include, but are not limited to, near term risk, substantial discrepancy between book and market value, sector or company-specific volatility, negative operating trends and trading levels wider than peers.



Credit ratings express opinions about the credit quality of a security.  Securities rated investment grade, that is those rated BBB- or higher by Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) Rating Services or Baa3 or higher by Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”), are generally considered by the rating agencies and market participants to be low credit risk.  As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017,  96% of the fair value of our corporate bond portfolio was rated investment grade.  As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, the portion of our corporate bond portfolio rated below investment grade had an amortized cost of $3.2 billion and $3.5 billion, respectively, and a fair value of $3.1 billion and $3.5 billion, respectively.  As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, 98% of the fair value of our ABS portfolio was rated investment grade.  As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, the portion of our ABS portfolio rated below investment grade had an amortized cost of $46 million and a fair value of $43 million.  Based upon the analysis discussed above, we believe as of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, that we would recover the amortized cost of each investment grade corporate bond and ABS security.



Determination of Credit Losses on MBS



As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, default rates were projected by considering underlying MBS loan performance and collateral type.  Projected default rates on existing delinquencies vary between 10% to 100% depending on loan type and severity of delinquency status.  In addition, we estimate the potential contributions of currently performing loans that may become delinquent in the future based on the change in delinquencies and loan liquidations experienced in the recent history.  Finally, we develop a default rate timing curve by aggregating the defaults for all loans in the pool (delinquent loans, foreclosure and real estate owned and new delinquencies from currently performing loans) and the associated loan-level loss severities. 



We use certain available loan characteristics such as lien status, loan sizes and occupancy to estimate the loss severity of loans.  Second lien loans are assigned 100% severity, if defaulted.  For first lien loans, we assume a minimum of 30% severity with higher severity assumed for investor properties and further adjusted by housing price assumptions.  With the default rate timing curve and loan-level loss severity, we derive the future expected credit losses.



Payables for Collateral on Investments



The carrying value of the payables for collateral on investments (in millions) included on our Consolidated Balance Sheets and the fair value of the related investments or collateral consisted of the following:





 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 

As of December 31, 2017

 



Carrying

 

Fair

 

Carrying

 

Fair

 



Value

 

Value

 

Value

 

Value

 

Collateral payable for derivative investments (1)

$

366 

 

$

366 

 

$

765 

 

$

765 

 

Securities pledged under securities lending agreements (2)

 

117 

 

 

113 

 

 

222 

 

 

213 

 

Securities pledged under repurchase agreements (3)

 

149 

 

 

185 

 

 

530 

 

 

588 

 

Investments pledged for Federal Home Loan Bank of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indianapolis (“FHLBI”) (4)

 

3,580 

 

 

5,413 

 

 

2,900 

 

 

4,235 

 

Total payables for collateral on investments

$

4,212 

 

$

6,077 

 

$

4,417 

 

$

5,801 

 



(1)

We obtain collateral based upon contractual provisions with our counterparties.  These agreements take into consideration the counterparties’ credit rating as compared to ours, the fair value of the derivative investments and specified thresholds that if exceeded result in the receipt of cash that is typically invested in cash and invested cash.  See Note 6 for additional information.

(2)

Our pledged securities under securities lending agreements are included in fixed maturity AFS securities on our Consolidated Balance Sheets.  We generally obtain collateral in an amount equal to 102% and 105% of the fair value of the domestic and foreign securities, respectively.  We value collateral daily and obtain additional collateral when deemed appropriate.  The cash received in our securities lending program is typically invested in cash and invested cash or fixed maturity AFS securities.

(3)

Our pledged securities under repurchase agreements are included in fixed maturity AFS securities on our Consolidated Balance Sheets.  We generally obtain collateral in an amount between 80% to 95% of the fair value of the securities, and our agreements with third parties contain contractual provisions to allow for additional collateral to be obtained when necessary.  The cash received in our repurchase program is typically invested in fixed maturity AFS securities.

(4)

Our pledged investments for FHLBI are included in fixed maturity AFS securities and mortgage loans on real estate on our Consolidated Balance Sheets.  The collateral requirements are generally 105% to 115% of the fair value for fixed maturity AFS securities and 155% to 175% of the fair value for mortgage loans on real estate.  The cash received in these transactions is primarily invested in cash and invested cash or fixed maturity AFS securities.



Increase (decrease) in payables for collateral on investments (in millions) consisted of the following:





 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 



For the Nine

 



Months Ended

 



September 30,

 



2018

 

2017

 

Collateral payable for derivative investments

$

(399

)

$

41

 

Securities pledged under securities lending agreements

 

(105

)

 

(16

)

Securities pledged under repurchase agreements

 

(381

)

 

(2

)

Investments pledged for FHLBI

 

680

 

 

(50

)

Total increase (decrease) in payables for collateral on investments

$

(205

)

$

(27

)





We have elected not to offset our repurchase agreements and securities lending transactions in our financial statements.  The remaining contractual maturities of repurchase agreements and securities lending transactions accounted for as secured borrowings (in millions) were as follows:







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 



As of September 30, 2018

 



Overnight and Continuous

 

Up to 30 Days

 

30 -  90 Days

 

Greater Than 90 Days

 

Total

 

Repurchase Agreements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

 -

 

$

 -

 

$

 -

 

$

149 

 

$

149 

 

Total

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

149 

 

 

149 

 

Securities Lending

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

 

117 

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

117 

 

Total

 

117 

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

117 

 

Total gross secured borrowings

$

117 

 

$

 -

 

$

 -

 

$

149 

 

$

266 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 







 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



As of December 31, 2017

 



Overnight and Continuous

 

Up to 30 Days

 

30 -  90 Days

 

Greater Than 90 Days

 

Total

 

Repurchase Agreements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

$

 -

 

$

100 

 

$

280 

 

$

150 

 

$

530 

 

Total

 

 -

 

 

100 

 

 

280 

 

 

150 

 

 

530 

 

Securities Lending

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate bonds

 

222 

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

222 

 

Total

 

222 

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

 -

 

 

222 

 

Total gross secured borrowings

$

222 

 

$

100 

 

$

280 

 

$

150 

 

$

752 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



We accept collateral in the form of securities in connection with repurchase agreements.  In instances where we are permitted to sell or re-pledge the securities received, we report the fair value of the collateral received and a related obligation to return the collateral in the financial statements.  In addition, we receive securities in connection with securities borrowing agreements, which we are permitted to sell or re-pledge.  As of September 30, 2018, the fair value of all collateral received that we are permitted to sell or re-pledge was $528 million.  As of September 30, 2018, we have re-pledged $502 million of this collateral to cover initial margin on certain derivative investments.



Investment Commitments



As of September 30, 2018, our investment commitments were $1.5 billion, which included $815 million of LPs, $379 million of mortgage loans on real estate and $334 million of private placement securities.



Concentrations of Financial Instruments



As of September 30, 2018, and December 31, 2017, our most significant investments in one issuer were our investments in securities issued by the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation with a fair value of $1.4 billion and $1.3 billion, respectively, or 1% of our invested assets portfolio, and our investments in securities issued by the Federal National Mortgage Association with a fair value of $1.2 billion and $1.0 billion, respectively, or 1% of our invested assets portfolio.  These concentrations include fixed maturity AFS, trading and equity securities.  



As of September 30, 2018,  our most significant investments in one industry were our investments in securities in the consumer non-cyclical industry and the financial services industry with a fair value of $14.5 billion and $13.7 billion, respectively, or 13% and 12%, respectively, of our invested assets portfolio.  As of December 31, 2017, our most significant investments in one industry were our investments in securities in the consumer non-cyclical industry and the utilities industry with a fair value of $15.0 billion and $14.3 billion, respectively, or 13% of our invested assets portfolio.  These concentrations include fixed maturity AFS, trading and equity securities.