EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm WESTAR ENERGY, INC. EARNINGS GUIDANCE UPDATE Westar Energy, Inc. Earnings Guidance Update
2009 Earnings Guidance Update
September 23, 2009
Exhibit 99.3


2
Forward Looking Disclosures
The
following
presentation
contains
some
“forward-looking
statements”
with
respect to Westar Energy, Inc.’s (“Westar”) future plans, expectations and goals,
including management’s expectations with respect to future operating results
and dividend growth.  The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 has
established that these statements qualify for safe harbors from liability.
Although
we
believe
that
the
expectations
and
goals
reflected
in
such
forward-
looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, all forward-looking
statements involve risk and uncertainty.  Therefore, actual results could vary
materially from what we expect.  Please review our Quarterly Report Form 10-Q
for the period ended June 30, 2009 and our Annual Report Form 10-K for the
year ended December 31, 2008 for important risk factors that could cause
results to differ materially from those in any such forward-looking statements. 
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date such statement was
made, and we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking
statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which such
statement was made except as required by applicable laws or regulations.


3
2009 Earnings Guidance Update
Earnings guidance revised to $1.35 to $1.45 per share
Includes 10 cents of COLI, though none recognized to date
Following factors lead to revised guidance
Exceptionally cool weather for July, August and September MTD
Reduced energy marketing margins


4
Exceptionally Cool Summer Weather
Cooling degree day impact
July 23% below normal
August 22% below normal
September MTD 35% below
normal
Estimated EPS impact
($0.15) to ($0.20)
0
100
200
300
400
500
Jul '09
Aug '09
Sep '09
MTD
2009
Normal


5
Exceptionally Cool Weather through
September 20
Topeka
82% (51 of 62) July-August days were below normal highs
17 of 20 September days were below normal highs
Wichita
73% (45 of 62) July-August days were below normal highs
19 of 20 September days were below normal highs


6
Affect of Weather on Residential Sales
600
650
700
750
800
850
July '09
Aug '09
Actual
Budget
750
800
850
900
950
1000
YTD Jun
YTD Aug
2009
2008
Budget
Weather has greatest influence on residential customers
Abnormally
cool
weather
attributed
to
14%
reduction
in
kWh
volumes 
from plan
Residential sales volume trend
YTD June 1% above 2008
YTD August 3% below 2008
(14%)
(14%)


7
Lower demand for power
Soft economy
Mild weather
Glut of natural gas driving down prices
Systemic changes in the markets have reduced bilateral
marketing opportunities
More customers trading in RTO clearing markets
Estimate
2009
energy
marketing
in
range
of
$7
-
$10
million
Down from recent adjustment of $15 -
$20 million for 2009
Estimate future energy marketing at
$10 million annually
Estimated EPS impact of latest adjustment for 2009 is ($0.05)
Energy
Marketing


8
Management Response to Energy Marketing
Conditions
Change in energy marketing opportunities is significant
Believe much of the change is structural and will not bounce back
Resources being sized to meet smaller market opportunity
Unwilling to “wait it out”
hoping for market improvement
Unwilling to change risk profile by stretching beyond comfort zone
Today announced significant downsizing of energy marketing and
support staff
30%
of
staffing
reflecting
50%
of
non-asset
energy
marketing
resources
Reflects   1% of total Westar employment
Reflects
$3 -
$4 million reduction in energy marketing expenses
No material restructuring charge expected


9
Regulatory
Events
Recent
and
Upcoming
September 11 -
KCC authorized pension accounting authority
order
Allows deferral of pension/OPEB expense above level authorized in
current rates
Abbreviated rate case
Address remaining Emporia and wind investments
Investment of  
$97 million plus D&A and O&M
Expect KCC Staff and intervener positions end of September
Expect order early 2010
Requested $19.7 million increase
Rate consolidation case
Order expected October 26
Consolidation
supported
by
KCC
Staff
and
Citizens’
Utility
Ratepayer
Board


10
Investor
Events
Upcoming
October 29 -
issue 3
quarter 2009 earnings, after market close
October 30 –
quarterly investor call
November 1 to 4 –
EEI Financial Conference, Hollywood, FL
rd