EX-99.1 2 ex99.htm MIDWEST INVESTOR MEERINGS 4/8-9/2009 ex99.htm

Great Plains Energy
Midwest Investor Meetings

April 8 - 9, 2009




  
 
 

 
1
William H. Downey
President and
Chief Operating Officer
Terry D. Bassham
Executive Vice President
Finance & Strategic Development
and Chief Financial Officer
Carl D. Churchman
Vice President Construction
Ellen Fairchild
Director Investor Relations
 Company Representatives
 
 

 
2
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Statements made in this report that are not based on historical facts are forward-looking, may involve risks and uncertainties, and are intended to be as of the date when
made. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the outcome of regulatory proceedings, cost estimates of the Comprehensive Energy Plan and other
matters affecting future operations. In connection with the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the registrants are providing a
number of important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the provided forward looking information. These important factors include: future
economic conditions in regional, national and international markets and their effects on sales, prices and costs, including, but not limited to, possible further
deterioration in economic conditions and the timing and extent of any economic recovery; prices and availability of electricity in regional and national wholesale
markets; market perception of the energy industry, Great Plains Energy, KCP&L and KCPL Greater Missouri Operations Company (“GMO”); changes in business
strategy, operations or development plans; effects of current or proposed state and federal legislative and regulatory actions or developments, including, but not limited
to, deregulation, re-regulation and restructuring of the electric utility industry; decisions of regulators regarding rates KCP&L and GMO can charge for electricity;
adverse changes in applicable laws, regulations, rules, principles or practices governing tax, accounting and environmental matters including, but not limited to, air and
water quality; financial market conditions and performance including, but not limited to, changes in interest rates and credit spreads and in availability and cost of capital
and the effects on nuclear decommissioning trust and pension plan assets and costs; credit ratings; inflation rates; effectiveness of risk management policies and
procedures and the ability of counterparties to satisfy their contractual commitments; impact of terrorist acts; increased competition including, but not limited to, retail
choice in the electric utility industry and the entry of new competitors; ability to carry out marketing and sales plans; weather conditions including, but not limited to,
weather-related damage and their effects on sales, prices and costs; cost, availability, quality and deliverability of fuel; ability to achieve generation planning goals and
the occurrence and duration of planned and unplanned generation outages; delays in the anticipated in-service dates and cost increases of additional generating capacity
and environmental projects; nuclear operations; workforce risks, including, but not limited to, retirement compensation and benefits costs; the ability to successfully
integrate KCP&L and GMO operations and the timing and amount of resulting synergy savings; and other risks and uncertainties. This list of factors is not all-inclusive
because it is not possible to predict all factors. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in Great Plains Energy’s and KCP&L’s most recent quarterly report on
Form 10-Q or annual report on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such
statement is made. Great Plains Energy and KCP&L undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
Forward Looking Statement
 
 

 


Overview / Recent Developments


  
 
 

 
4
Regulated vertically integrated electric utility operations:
  $7.9 billion in assets*
  $1.7 billion in revenues*
  $1.4 billion market cap - NYSE:GXP
  Approx. 820,000 customers in KS and MO
  Low retail utility rates
  Total generation capacity of over 6,000 MWs
Solid Midwest electric utility - KCP&L Brand
Capable, experienced management team
Investment grade credit rating
Building a platform for long-term earnings growth:
 Additions to rate base
 Synergies from Aquila transaction
 MO & KS regulatory process
Annualized dividend of $0.83/share
* Based on year-end 2008 financial statements filed in 10K dated February 27, 2009
Great Plains Energy Business Overview
 
 

 
5
Renewed focus on our utility roots:
 Sale of Strategic Energy
 Acquisition of Aquila
 Significant Progress on our Comprehensive Energy Plan 
2008 - A Transformational Year……
 
 

 
6
 Growing economic and financial market uncertainty and deterioration have imposed
 increasing constraints on availability of internal capital and cost of external capital
Internal
 Customer demand growth significantly lower than historical levels
 Cost increases / regulatory lag
External
 Volatile capital markets
 Significant increase in cost of capital
……And a Challenging Year
 
 

 
7
Long-term Flexibility and Positioning
Proactive, Responsive, and Prudent Measures
 Lowered 2009 guidance from $1.30 - $1.60 to $1.10 - $1.40
 Eliminated or deferred additional 2009-10 capital expenditures
 Suspended external hiring for all but essential skills
 Tightly managing O&M expense
 Reduced common stock dividend by 50% effective in 1Q09
 
 

 
8
$ Billions
$3.7
$6.5
$5.9
$5.7
$4.2
Year-end rate base projections 2009 - 2012
Environmental at Iatan 1 and Sibley, as well as
 Crossroads expected in rate base 3Q09
Iatan 2 expected in rate base 3Q 2010 (KCP&L-KS and GMO)
  and 4Q 2010  (KCP&L-MO)
Reinvesting in the Business and
Growing Rate Base
 
 

 
9
 Integration of KCP&L GMO (“GMO”,
    formerly Aquila) and attainment of synergy targets
 Rate base growth through KCP&L’s Comprehensive
    Energy Plan and plant investments by GMO and KCP&L
 Rate case filings to include investments in rate base
    and to share synergies with customers
Key Focus Areas
 
 

 


GMO Integration and
Synergy Target Attainment


  
 
 

 
11
Combined Company
 820,000 customers across 47 counties in
 MO and KS covering 17,934 sq. miles
 3,259 employees - including 920 new
 hires
 30 office/service center locations
 9 generation plant sites and 10 peaking
 facilities
 Over 3,000 miles transmission, 24,000
 miles distribution lines, and 320
 substations
KCP&L Property
GMO Property
 
 

 
12
Diverse Generation Fleet
 
 

 
13
2009 Estimated Fuel Mix
Coal 76%
Nuclear 17%
Plant Performance
KCP&L Equivalent Availability Coal
70%
74%
89%
86%
72%
80%
92%
70%
KCP&L Capacity Factor Coal
65%
70%
86%
82%
68%
76%
88%
66%
KCP&L Equivalent Availability Nuclear
100%
100%
100%
100%
79%
50%
100%
100%
KCP&L Capacity Factor Nuclear
100%
100%
100%
100%
79%
50%
100%
100%
GMO Equivalent Availability Coal
94%
48%
GMO Capacity Factor Coal
76%
41%
Generation Fleet Performance
 
 

 
14
2008 Electric Revenues
2008 Electric MWh Sales
Residential - 37%
Residential - 29%
Commercial - 38%
Commercial - 38%
Wholesale - 22%
Wholesale - 14%
Industrial - 9%
Other - 2%
Industrial - 11%
Customer Mix
 
 

 
15
Source: Edison Electric Institute (EEI) - “Typical Bills and Average Rates Report Summer 2008”
KCP&L Prices Compare Favorably
on National & Regional Basis
 
 

 
16
Integration Successes
Infrastructure
Combined several key systems (accounting, HR) as well as telecom and 
   network platforms into a single version for each
Operations
Two Aquila unions consolidated into the three existing KCP&L unions
Training initiated to align work rules, safety rules, and construction specs
Integrated T&D
Work management system up and running
Supply team actively procuring fuel and purchased power
Expanded generating fleet is meeting its operational requirements
Customer Service
Call Center operations integrated
Customer satisfaction and customer service remain good
 
 

 
Rate Base Growth

  
 
 

 
18
Comprehensive Energy Plan
 
 

 
19
Projected Capital Expenditures
2009-2011
 
 

 
20
Iatan 1
Iatan 2
Construction Update
Completed Sibley 3 SCR
Iatan 1 AQCS expected in-service mid-April
Iatan 2
 - Planned completion summer 2010
 - Planned cost re-assessment to be completed
  in mid 2009
LaCygne
 - Significant expenditures extended beyond 2010
Wind
 - Entered into an agreement to acquire 32 wind turbines
 - KCP&L option to construct 35-turbine project by May 2010
 
 

 

Regulatory / Legislative




  
 
 

 
22
Company Filing
Commission Staff Position
Summary of Rate Cases
 
 

 
23
JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEPT
Filed Rate Case
09/05/08
Outage
Started
10/18/08
Outage
Completed Late
Mar.
KS & MO Rate
Case True-up
04/30/09
New Tariffs Effective
MO - 9/5/09
Projected
Provisional
Acceptance
April
Iatan 1
Sibley 3
Outage
Started
10/28/08
Outage
Completed
12/31/08
KCPL KS
Hearings
6/22 - 7/2
Hearings
KCPL MO 4/20 - 5/1
GMO Steam 5/4 - 5/7
GMO 5/11 - 5/15
KCPL KS
Order 8/14
New Tariffs Expected
8/20
Proposed Findings of Fact and
Conclusions of Law
6/9 KCPL
6/11 GMO
 Change in true-up date from 3/31/09 to 4/30/09 (to accommodate delay in in-service date of Iatan 1
 AQCS)
Timeline for Current Rate Cases
 
 

 
24
 Passage of Proposition C (mandatory RPS)
 New Governor
 PSC
  New Chairman
  Two Commissioner appointments
           expected in April 2009
 Legislation to create mandatory RPS and enable
 net metering offered by Governor
 KCC: Issued an order on Docket 441, “Cost
 Recovery and Incentives for Energy Efficiency
 Programs”
 
Missouri
Kansas
Legislative and Regulatory
 
 

 

Conclusion



  
 
 

 
26
$ Billions
$3.7
$6.5
$5.9
$5.7
$4.2
Year-end rate base projections 2009 - 2012
Environmental at Iatan 1 and Sibley environmental, as well as Crossroads expected in  
   rate base 3Q09
Iatan 2 expected in rate base 3Q 2010 (KCP&L-KS and GMO)
 and 4Q 2010 (KCP&L-MO)
Solid Rate Base Growth
 
 

 


Appendix
(financial graphics from year-end
2008 earnings call)





  
 
 

 
28
2009 Earnings Per Share
Guidance Bridge
 
 

 
29
 Additional 2009-10 capex reduction of $170 million
 from November 2008 estimates
Projected Capital Expenditures
2009-2011
 
 

 
30
Financing Requirements - Sources
Uses of Cash 2009 - 2011
 
 

 
31
Great Plains Energy 2009
Guidance Range $1.10 - $1.40
Revenue:
 Normal weather
 Retail (weather-normalized)
 2009 - Retail MWh sales volume decline of (0.7%) compared to 2008
  (previous estimate 0.5% growth)
 2010-11 - Retail MWh sales volume growth averages 1.4% annually
  (previous estimate ~1% annually, but off a higher assumed ’09 base)
 New wholesale margin threshold for KCP&L-MO of $92.5 million (subject to true-
 up effective with new rates in August 2009
Key Assumptions
 
 

 
32
Key Assumptions Continued
 Finance
 Dividend reduced to $0.83/share
 $200 million of total equity issuance in 2009 - 2010; $200 million in 2011
             (previous: $200 million of equity in 2009; total $400 additional 2010-2011)
 $400 million of new long-term KCP&L debt in 2009;
 Issuing $950 million over 2010/2011 ($487 maturing; rest new debt)
  (previous: $850 - $950 million of new debt over 2009-11)
 No refinancing of GMO debt prior to maturity
 Amortization of GMO debt write-up reduces pre-tax interest expense by
          approximately $32 million per year in 2009-11
 
 

 
33
Regulatory
 Approval of the rate request in Kansas and Missouri with new rates in effect late summer 2009
 New rates in “Iatan 2 case” in effect summer 2010 in KS, and fall 2010 in MO
  Assumed ROE of 11% (previous 10.75%)
Plant Performance
 Equivalent Availability Factor (EAF) and Capacity Factor (CF) for fossil fleet for
           2009 of ~80% and 77%, respectively; in 2010-11, EAF in 80%-85% range and CF relatively constant
 Wolf Creek plant performance at historical levels
 Resource and portfolio mix of ~ 86% generation and 14% purchased energy
Fuel Expense
 67% covered by FAC
 Approximately all of 2009, 60% of 2010, and 40% of 2011’s
 coal requirements are under contract
  (Previous: approximately 85% of 2009, 45% of 2010, and 15% of 2011)
Key Assumptions Continued
 
 

 
34
Capital Expenditures
 Additional reduction of $140 million of 2009-11 capex
 Previous cost and schedule disclosures for Iatan 2
 No wind in capex projections until 2011
 Reduced spending on LaCygne environmental in 2009 - 10
 No additional environmental mandates
Tax
 The marginal tax rate before credits relatively constant at 38.9%
 Tax credits and the non-tax affect of AFUDC equity reduces average effective tax
 rate to approximately 30.8%
 
 NOLs - No earnings benefit, but $100 million of NOLs available
 annually in 2009 - 2012 to reduce cash taxes
Key Assumptions Continued
 
 

 
35
 Iatan 2 AFUDC equity rates for KCP&L KS and KCP&L MO are
     8.30% and 8.25%, respectively, until new rates effective in 2009
CWIP Projections 2009 - 2011
AFUDC Projections 2009 - 2011
CWIP and AFUDC Projections
 
 

 
36
Earnings Per Share By Segment
 
 

 
37
Core Earnings
Key Earnings Drivers:
+7% increase in retail revenue due to new rates
+Increase in KCP&L’s equity component of AFUDC of $6.3 million
- GMO loss of $0.7 million or $(0.01) per share
- 5% lower total KCP&L revenue driven by a $30.7 million decline in wholesale as
 a result of lower prices and a 32% decrease in MWh sales (due primarily to Iatan
 outage)
- Higher KCP&L O&M costs and higher depreciation and amortization expense
- Dilution of $0.05 caused by shares issued in connection with GMO transaction
$34.7
$15.7
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
(millions except
where indicated)
$16.4
KCP&L
KCP&L
GMO
$(0.7)
4Q ‘08
Utility Total
Core Earnings Per Share
$0.40
$0.13
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
KCP&L
KCP&L
GMO
$0.14
$(.01)
4Q ‘08
Utility Total
Electric Utility Fourth Quarter Results
 
 

 
38
Core Earnings
Core Earnings Per Share
$146.4
$162.8
$1.72
$1.61
(millions except
where indicated)
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
Earnings Drivers:
+ GMO contribution of $17.9 million or $0.17 per share in 2008
+ Increase in KCP&L’s equity component of AFUDC of $20.0 million
+ Increased retail revenue of $61.8 million, primarily from new retail rates
 at KCP&L effective 1/08
-  Mild summer weather with a 27 percent decrease in cooling degree days
- Increased purchased power of $18.0 million due to increased average prices and an
 increase in MWh’s purchased resulting from plant outages
- Higher interest expense, higher O&M, and higher fuel
- Dilution of $0.30 per share caused by shares issued in connection with GMO transaction
Includes KCP&L for full-year and GMO results for the period 7/14/08 - 12/31/08
KCP&L
GMO
YTD ‘08
Utility Total
KCP&L
KCP&L
KCP&L
YTD ‘08
Utility Total
$0.17
$1.44
$17.9
$144.9
GMO
Electric Utility Year-to-Date Results
 
 

 
39
Core Earnings
Core Earnings Per Share
$(0.05)
$(0.08)
Key Earnings Drivers:
The YTD greater core loss is primarily attributable to a $5.4 million loss
from GMO’s non-utility activities
$(6.4)
$(7.2)
(millions except
where indicated)
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
Core Earnings
$(20.5)
$(24.3)
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
$(0.24)
$(0.24)
Includes KCP&L for the full-year and GMO results for the period 7/14/08 - 12/31/08
Core Earnings Per Share
GXP “Other” Results
 
 

 
40
Liquidity
 
 

 
41
Core earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from GAAP earnings because it excludes the effects of discontinued operations, certain unusual items and mark-to-market gains and losses on certain contracts.
Great Plains Energy believes core earnings provides to investors a meaningful indicator of its results that is comparable among periods because it excludes the effects of items that may not be indicative of Great Plains
Energy’s prospective earnings potential. Core earnings is used internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors and are a component, subject to adjustment, of
employee and executive compensation plans. Investors should note that this non-GAAP measure involves judgments by management, including whether an item is classified as an unusual item, and Great Plains Energy’s
definition of core earnings may differ from similar terms used by other companies. The impact of these items could be material to operating results presented in accordance with GAAP. Great Plains Energy is unable to
reconcile core earnings guidance to GAAP earnings per share because it does not predict the future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market gains or losses on energy contracts.
 
 

 
42
Core earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from GAAP earnings because it excludes the effects of discontinued operations, certain unusual items and mark-to-market gains and losses on certain contracts. Great Plains
Energy believes core earnings provides to investors a meaningful indicator of its results that is comparable among periods because it excludes the effects of items that may not be indicative of Great Plains Energy’s prospective earnings
potential. Core earnings is used internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors and are a component, subject to adjustment, of employee and executive compensation plans.
Investors should note that this non-GAAP measure involves judgments by management, including whether an item is classified as an unusual item, and Great Plains Energy’s definition of core earnings may differ from similar terms
used by other companies. The impact of these items could be material to operating results presented in accordance with GAAP. Great Plains Energy is unable to reconcile core earnings guidance to GAAP earnings per share because it
does not predict the future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market gains or losses on energy contracts.