EX-99.1 2 ex99_1.htm ex99_1.htm

Great Plains Energy

Year-end and Fourth Quarter 2008
Earnings Presentation


February 11, 2009




  
 
 

 
1
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Statements made in this release that are not based on historical facts are forward-looking, may involve risks and uncertainties, and
are intended to be as of the date when made. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the outcome of regulatory
proceedings, cost estimates of the Comprehensive Energy Plan and other matters affecting future operations. In connection with the
safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, the registrants are providing a number of important
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the provided forward-looking information. These important factors
include: future economic conditions in regional, national and international markets and their effects on sales, prices and costs,
including but not limited to possible further deterioration in economic conditions and the timing and extent of any economic recovery;
prices and availability of electricity in regional and national wholesale markets; market perception of the energy industry, Great Plains
Energy, Kansas City Power & Light (KCP&L) and KCP&L Greater Missouri Operations Company (GMO); changes in business strategy,
operations or development plans; effects of current or proposed state and federal legislative and regulatory actions or developments,
including, but not limited to, deregulation, re-regulation and restructuring of the electric utility industry; decisions of regulators
regarding rates KCP&L and GMO can charge for electricity; adverse changes in applicable laws, regulations, rules, principles or
practices governing tax, accounting and environmental matters including, but not limited to, air and water quality; financial market
conditions and performance including, but not limited to, changes in interest rates and credit spreads and in availability and cost of
capital and the effects on nuclear decommissioning trust and pension plan assets and costs; credit ratings; inflation rates;
effectiveness of risk management policies and procedures and the ability of counterparties to satisfy their contractual commitments;
impact of terrorist acts; increased competition including, but not limited to, retail choice in the electric utility industry and the entry
of new competitors; ability to carry out marketing and sales plans; weather conditions including weather-related damage and their
effects on sales, prices and costs; cost, availability, quality and deliverability of fuel; ability to achieve generation planning goals and
the occurrence and duration of planned and unplanned generation outages; delays in the anticipated in-service dates and cost
increases of additional generating capacity and environmental projects; nuclear operations; workforce risks, including retirement
compensation and benefits costs; the ability to successfully integrate KCP&L and GMO operations and the timing and amount of
resulting synergy savings; and other risks and uncertainties. Other risk factors are detailed from time to time in Great Plains
Energy’s and KCP&L’s most recent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or annual reports on Form 10-K filed with the Securities and
Exchange Commission. This list of factors is not all-inclusive because it is not possible to predict all factors.
Forward Looking Statement
 
 

 

Great Plains Energy

Year-end and Fourth Quarter 2008
Earnings Presentation


February 11, 2009





  
Mike Chesser, 
Chairman and CEO
 
 

 
3
Renewed focus on our utility roots:
 Sale of Strategic Energy
 Acquisition of Aquila
 Significant Progress on our Comprehensive Energy Plan 
2008 - A Transformational Year……
 
 

 
4
 Growing economic and financial market uncertainty and
 deterioration have imposed increasing constraints on availability of
 internal capital and cost of external capital
Internal
 Customer demand growth significantly lower than historical levels
 Cost increases / regulatory lag
External
 Volatile capital markets
 Significant increase in cost of capital
……And a Challenging Year
 
 

 
5
Implications for 2009 Guidance,
Operations, and Dividend
Proactive, Responsive, and Prudent Measures
 Lowering 2009 guidance from $1.30 - $1.60 to $1.10 - $1.40
 Eliminating or deferring additional 2009-10 capital expenditures
 Suspended external hiring for all but essential skills
 Tightly managing O&M expense
 Reducing common stock dividend by 50% effective in 1Q09
 
 

 
6
Source: Capital IQ
* Represents payout ratio based on midpoint of 2009 GPE management guidance of $1.45 per share issued in November 2008
*
*
Source of valuable internal capital - reduces capital
 markets risk
Dividend Reduction Rationale
 Difficult economic and financial market conditions / uncertainty
 regarding timing and degree of recovery warrant additional financial
 flexibility
 Outlier compared to industry in terms of yield and payout
 
 

 
7
Result of today’s proactive, responsive, prudent actions:
Increases financial flexibility to better weather current market conditions
Improves expected EPS and credit metrics
Provides a balance between financing plans and dividend payout that
should optimize access to equity and debt markets over time
Offers a dividend payout and yield that is competitive in the utility
space
  
Long-term Flexibility and Positioning
 
 

 
8
 2009 and beyond: Extend the platform
  Re-deployment of capital from dividend reduction to strengthen utility platform
  Integrate GMO and deliver synergies
  Complete and include Iatan 1 AQCS and GMO environmental projects in
       rates effective in 2009
  Complete Iatan 2
  Entered into an agreement to acquire 32 wind turbines
  KCP&L option to construct 35-turbine project by May 2010
  Additional environmental spending at LaCygne 1, LaCygne 2 and Montrose
  Continue with sound strategic planning to effectively meet future
      generation requirements and be an industry leader in energy efficiency
Our Path to Growth remains intact
Path to Growth
 
 

 
Financial Overview
Terry Bassham, CFO 
Executive Vice President
Finance & Strategic Development
 
 

 
10
2009 Earnings Per Share
Guidance Bridge
 
 

 
11
 Additional 2009-10 capex reduction of $170 million
 from November 2008 estimates
Projected Capital Expenditures 
2009-2011
 
 

 
12
Financing Requirements - Sources
Uses of Cash 2009 - 2011
 
 

 
13
Great Plains Energy 2009
Guidance Range $1.10 - $1.40
Revenue:
 Normal weather
 Retail (weather-normalized)
 2009 - Retail MWh sales volume decline of (0.7%) compared to 2008
  (previous estimate 0.5% growth)
 2010-11 - Retail MWh sales volume growth averages 1.4% annually
  (previous estimate ~1% annually, but off a higher assumed ’09 base)
 New wholesale margin threshold for KCP&L-MO of $92.5 million (subject to true-
 up effective with new rates in August 2009
Key Assumptions
 
 

 
14
Key Assumptions Continued
 Finance
 Dividend reduced to $0.83/share
 $200 million of total equity issuance in 2009 - 2010; $200 million in 2011
   (previous: $200 million of equity in 2009; total $400 additional 2010-2011)
 $400 million of new long-term KCP&L debt in 2009;
 Issuing $950 million over 2010/2011 ($487 maturing; rest new debt)
  (previous: $850 - $950 million of new debt over 2009-11)
 No refinancing of GMO debt prior to maturity
 Amortization of GMO debt write-up reduces pre-tax interest expense by 
       approximately $32 million per year in 2009-11
 
 

 
15
Regulatory
 Approval of the rate request in Kansas and Missouri with new rates in effect late summer
 2009
 New rates in “Iatan 2 case” in effect summer 2010 in KS, and fall 2010 in MO
  
Assumed ROE of 11% (previous 10.75%)
Plant Performance
 Equivalent Availability Factor (EAF) and Capacity Factor (CF) for fossil fleet for 2009 of
 ~80% and 77%, respectively; in 2010-11, EAF in 80%-85% range and CF relatively
 constant
 Wolf Creek plant performance at historical levels
 Resource and portfolio mix of ~ 86% generation and 14% purchased energy
Fuel Expense
 67% covered by FAC
 Approximately all of 2009, 60% of 2010, and 40% of 2011’s
 coal requirements are under contract
  (Previous: approximately 85% of 2009, 45% of 2010, and 15% of 2011)
Key Assumptions Continued
 
 

 
16
Capital Expenditures
 Additional reduction of $140 million of 2009-11 capex
 Previous cost and schedule disclosures for Iatan 2
 No wind in capex projections until 2011
 Reduced spending on LaCygne environmental in 2009 - 10
 No additional environmental mandates
Tax
 The marginal tax rate before credits relatively constant at 38.9%
 Tax credits and the non-tax affect of AFUDC equity reduces average effective tax
 rate to approximately 30.8%
 NOLs - No earnings benefit, but $100 million of NOLs available
 annually in 2009 - 2012 to reduce cash taxes
Key Assumptions Continued
 
 

 
17
 Iatan 2 AFUDC equity rates for KCP&L KS and KCP&L MO are
 8.30% and 8.25%, respectively, until new rates effective in 2009
CWIP Projections 2009 - 2011
AFUDC Projections 2009 - 2011
CWIP and AFUDC Projections
 
 

 
18
Earnings Per Share By Segment
 
 

 
19
Core Earnings
Key Earnings Drivers:
+7% increase in retail revenue due to new rates
+Increase in KCP&L’s equity component of AFUDC of $6.3 million
- GMO loss of $0.7 million or $(0.01) per share
- 5% lower total KCP&L revenue driven by a $30.7 million decline in wholesale as
 a result of lower prices and a 32% decrease in MWh sales (due primarily to Iatan
 outage)
- Higher KCP&L O&M costs and higher depreciation and amortization expense
- Dilution of $0.05 caused by shares issued in connection with GMO transaction
$34.7
$15.7
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
(millions except
where
indicated)
$16.4
KCP&L
KCP&L
GMO
$(0.7)
4Q ‘08 Utility
Total
Core Earnings Per Share
$0.40
$0.13
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
KCP&L
KCP&L
GMO
$0.14
$(.01)
4Q ‘08 Utility
Total
Electric Utility Fourth Quarter Results
 
 

 
20
Core Earnings
Core Earnings Per Share
$146.4
$162.8
$1.72
$1.61
(millions except
where
indicated)
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
Earnings Drivers:
+ GMO contribution of $17.9 million or $0.17 per share in 2008
+ Increase in KCP&L’s equity component of AFUDC of $20.0 million
+ Increased retail revenue of $61.8 million, primarily from new retail rates
 at KCP&L effective 1/08
-  Mild summer weather with a 27 percent decrease in cooling degree days
- Increased purchased power of $18.0 million due to increased average prices and an
 increase in MWh’s purchased resulting from plant outages
- Higher interest expense, higher O&M, and higher fuel
- Dilution of $0.30 per share caused by shares issued in connection with
   GMO transaction
Includes KCP&L for full-year and GMO results for the period 7/14/08 - 12/31/08
KCP&L
GMO
YTD ‘08 Utility
Total
KCP&L
KCP&L
KCP&L
YTD ‘08 Utility
Total
$0.17
$1.44
$17.9
$144.9
GMO
Electric Utility Year-to-Date Results
 
 

 
21
Core Earnings
Core Earnings Per Share
$(0.05)
$(0.08)
Key Earnings Drivers:
The YTD greater core loss is primarily attributable to a $5.4 million loss
from GMO’s non-utility activities
$(6.4)
$(7.2)
(millions except
where
indicated)
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
4Q ‘07
4Q ‘08
Core Earnings
$(20.5)
$(24.3)
YTD ‘07
YTD ‘08
$(0.24)
$(0.24)
Includes KCP&L for the full-year and GMO results for the period 7/14/08 - 12/31/08
GXP “Other” Results
 
 

 
22
Liquidity
 
 

 
William H. Downey,
President and COO
 
 

 
24
 On track to meet our overall synergy target of $643 million
 Customer satisfaction and reliability remain strong
  - December provided first successful opportunity for combined company
  storm restoration efforts
 Leading indicators show continued impact from economic downturn in our
  service territory
Operations Highlights
 
 

 
25
Impact of unplanned
coal outages in Q1 & Q2
2007
Impact of unplanned
coal outages in Q1 2008
Impact of extended
nuclear refueling outage
Impact of Iatan I
and Sibley environmental
upgrade tie-ins
Plant Performance
 
 

 
26
Iatan 1
Iatan 2
Construction Update
1-2 month delay in completing Iatan 1 AQCS
Completion of Sibley 3 SCR
Iatan 2
 - Planned completion summer 2010
 - Planned cost re-assessment to be completed
  in early 2009
LaCygne
 - Significant expenditures extended beyond 2010
Wind
 - Entered into an agreement to acquire 32 wind turbines
 - KCP&L option to construct 35-turbine project by May 2010
 
 

 
27
 Passage of Proposition C
   (mandatory RPS)
 New Governor
 PSC
  New Chairman
  Two Commissioner
         appointments expected in April 2009
 Legislation to create mandatory RPS
   and enable net metering offered by
   Governor
 KCC: Issued an order on Docket
   441, “Cost Recovery and Incentives
   for Energy Efficiency Programs”
Missouri
Kansas
Legislative and Regulatory
 
 

 
28
Key assets requested to be included in rate base:
  Iatan 1 AQCS
  Sibley SCR
  Crossroads peaking unit and related transmission
  GMO interest in environmental upgrades at Jeffrey Energy
           Center
Summary of Rate Cases
 
 

 
29
$ Billions
$3.7
$6.5
$5.9
$5.7
$4.2
Year-end rate base projections
Iatan 1, Sibley environmental and Crossroads in rate base 3Q09
Iatan 2 in rate base 3Q 2010 (KCP&L-KS and GMO) and
 4Q 2010 (KCP&L-MO)
Solid Rate Base Growth
 
 

 

Great Plains Energy

Year-end and Fourth Quarter 2008
Earnings Presentation


February 11, 2009




  
 
 

 


Appendix





  
 
 

 
32
Core earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from GAAP earnings because it excludes the effects of discontinued operations, certain unusual items and mark-to-market gains and losses on certain
contracts. Great Plains Energy believes core earnings provides to investors a meaningful indicator of its results that is comparable among periods because it excludes the effects of items that may not be indicative of
Great Plains Energy’s prospective earnings potential. Core earnings is used internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors and are a component,
subject to adjustment, of employee and executive compensation plans. Investors should note that this non-GAAP measure involves judgments by management, including whether an item is classified as an unusual
item, and Great Plains Energy’s definition of core earnings may differ from similar terms used by other companies. The impact of these items could be material to operating results presented in accordance with
GAAP. Great Plains Energy is unable to reconcile core earnings guidance to GAAP earnings per share because it does not predict the future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market gains or losses on energy
contracts.
 
 

 
33
Core earnings is a non-GAAP financial measure that differs from GAAP earnings because it excludes the effects of discontinued operations, certain unusual items and mark-to-market gains and losses on certain
contracts. Great Plains Energy believes core earnings provides to investors a meaningful indicator of its results that is comparable among periods because it excludes the effects of items that may not be indicative of
Great Plains Energy’s prospective earnings potential. Core earnings is used internally to measure performance against budget and in reports for management and the Board of Directors and are a component,
subject to adjustment, of employee and executive compensation plans. Investors should note that this non-GAAP measure involves judgments by management, including whether an item is classified as an unusual
item, and Great Plains Energy’s definition of core earnings may differ from similar terms used by other companies. The impact of these items could be material to operating results presented in accordance with
GAAP. Great Plains Energy is unable to reconcile core earnings guidance to GAAP earnings per share because it does not predict the future impact of unusual items and mark-to-market gains or losses on energy
contracts.