EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDES OF INTERNATIONAL PAPER COMPANY Slides of International Paper Company
First Quarter
2008 Review
April 30, 2008
First Quarter
2008 Review
April 30, 2008
Tim S. Nicholls
Senior Vice President &
Chief Financial Officer
John V. Faraci
Chairman &
Chief Executive Officer
Exhibit 99.2


2
Forward-Looking Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
These slides and statements made during this presentation contain forward-looking
statements. These statements reflect management's current views and are subject to
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied in these statements. Factors which could cause actual results to
differ relate to: (i) industry conditions, including but not limited to changes in the cost or
availability of raw materials and energy, transportation costs, the company's product
mix, demand and pricing for its products; (ii) global economic conditions and political
changes,
particularly
in
Latin
America,
Russia,
Europe
and
Asia,
including
but
not
limited to changes in currency exchange rates, credit availability, and the company's
credit
ratings
issued
by
recognized
credit
rating
organizations;
(iii)
natural
disasters,
such as hurricanes and earthquakes; (iv) the company's ability to realize anticipated
profit improvement from its transformation plan, and (v) unanticipated expenditures
related to the cost of compliance with environmental and other governmental regulations
and to actual or potential litigation. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any
forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise. These and other factors that could cause or contribute to actual results
differing materially from such forward looking statements are discussed in greater detail
in the company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings.


3
First Quarter 2008 Results Summary
First Quarter 2008 Results Summary
Volumes
Weakened in North America
Held up outside North America
Prices
Improved globally
Input Costs
Escalated globally
Improved free cash flow
Lower Forest Products earnings
Ilim’s 4Q07 earnings on track
$0.30
$0.41
$0.37
$0.15
$0.28
$0.04
1Q07
4Q07
1Q08
Forest Products EPS
Operating Business EPS
$0.45
$0.41
$0.69
Earnings from continuing operations before special items


4
0.37
.45
.21
.01
.07
0.04
(.24)
(.03)
.01
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
1Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost/Mix
Materials &
Freight
Interest
Ilim
Shares
1Q '08
$ / Share
$ / Share
IPG        .05
CPG       .02
P&C       .09
Europe   .05
Fiber           (.06)
Chemicals   (.08)
Energy        (.08)    
Freight         (.02)
NA Papers    .03 
Outages        .04
1Q08 vs. 1Q07 EPS
Higher Costs,
Higher Prices,
Lower Forest Products Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07 EPS
Higher Costs,
Higher Prices,
Lower Forest Products Earnings
.30
.15
.04
Earnings from continuing operations before special items
Forest Products Earnings
.41


5
Global Sales Volumes
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Global Sales Volumes
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Printing
Papers
Pulp
Container
board
Coated
Paperboard
Container
xpedx
Revenue
1Q07
1Q08
0%
5%              28%
2%
3%               19%
xpedx includes the addition of Central Lewmar revenues


6
Increasing Global Input
& Freight Costs
$161MM, or $0.24/Share
Impact
vs. 1Q07
Increasing Global Input
& Freight Costs
$161MM, or $0.24/Share
Impact
vs. 1Q07
Input costs for continuing businesses
Percentage change reflects North American input costs
N.A.
24%                   26%                3%            
6%
(16)
(40)
(52)
(53)
($60)
($50)
($40)
($30)
($20)
($10)
$0
Energy
Chemicals
Fiber
Freight
North America
Outside North America


7
Recovering North American Input Cost Increases
Recovered via Price Increases
Recovering North American Input Cost Increases
Recovered via Price Increases
North American Papers & Packaging
($200)
($100)
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
2003 vs. 2002
2004 vs. 2003
2005 vs. 2004
2006 vs. 2005
2007 vs. 2006
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Price Increases / Decreases         
Input Cost Increases


8
Global Input & Freight Costs by Segment
$161 Million Global Impact 1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Global Input & Freight Costs by Segment
$161 Million Global Impact 1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Consumer
Packaging
($27)
Industrial
Packaging
($45)
Printing
Papers
($89)
($90)
($80)
($70)
($60)
($50)
($40)
($30)
($20)
($10)
$0
Wood
Energy
Chemicals
Freight
OCC


9
Corporate Items
10% Reduction 1Q07 vs. 1Q08
Corporate Items
10% Reduction 1Q07 vs. 1Q08
$164
$148
$201
$56
$37
$127
$21
$145
$127
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
1Q07
4Q07
1Q08
Business
Corporate


10
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
185
167
15
2
11
(10)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
1Q07
North
America
Paper
North
America
Pulp
Europe
Brazil
1Q08


11
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
$28
€44
$69
$62
Price/ton
46%
(1%)
(5%)
(7%)
Volume
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Price/ton
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
(7%)
2%
(14%)
(1%)
Volume
($20)
Brazilian Uncoated Papers
(€7)
European Uncoated Papers
$26
U.S. Pulp
$24
N.A. Uncoated Papers
Business
$185
$1,715
1Q08
$243
$1,720
4Q07
$167
$1,540
1Q07
Earnings
Sales
$ Million
Printing Papers
Printing Papers


12
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
NA        22
Europe   4
Brazil    (1)
NA          58    
Europe   31
Brazil        2
185
167
91
25
(89)
(9)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
1Q '07
Price
Materials &
Freight
Cost / Mix
Volume
1Q '08


13
97
73
3
21
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
1Q07
North America
Europe
1Q08
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07


14
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
€63
$47
$43
Price / Ton
(4%)
Flat
29%
Volume
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
€4
1%
European Container
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
(2%)
10%
Volume
$21
N.A. Container
$19
N.A. Containerboard
Price / Ton
Business
$97
$1,445
1Q08
$109
$1,390
4Q07
$73
$1,235
1Q07
Earnings
Sales
$ Million
Industrial Packaging
Industrial Packaging


15
97
73
28
10
31
(45)
$0
$25
$50
$75
$100
$125
$150
1Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost / Mix
Materials &
Freight
1Q '08
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Outages     24
Mix            14
Cost          (10)


16
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
*Excludes a special item of ($5) million related to the reorganization of Shorewood’s Canadian operations
NA
Price
$31
Price/Ton
4%
Revenue
4%
Volume
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Price
Revenue
Business
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
(7%)
1%
Volume
NA
Converting Businesses
$12
U.S. Coated Paperboard
Price/Ton
Business
$14*
$770
1Q08
$15
$780
4Q07
$40
$715
1Q07
Earnings
Sales
$ Million
Consumer Packaging
Consumer Packaging


17
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
1Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost / Mix
Materials
& Freight
Other
1Q '08
Consumer Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
Consumer Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 1Q07
(13)
14*
14
2
(27)
(2)
40
*Excludes a special item of ($5) million related to the reorganization of Shorewood’s Canadian operations
Cost       (6)
Mix         (6)   
Outages  (1)


18
$16
$1,985
1Q08
$28
$2,045
4Q07
$20
$1,675
1Q07
Earnings
Sales
$ Million
xpedx
xpedx
Operating earnings up slightly from 1Q07
Including incremental bad debt expenses
Including Canadian unit start-up costs
Earnings decline since 1Q07 due to changes in
overhead allocation


19
Forest Products
Forest Products
13,000
61,000
30,000
Acres Sold
$1,871
$2,750
$2,659
Price / Acre
$25
$25
1Q08
$171
$190
4Q07
$97
$85
1Q07
Earnings ($ Million)
Sales ($ Million)


20
Ilim Joint Venture 4Q07 Results
IP’s Share: $17MM or $0.04 EPS
Ilim Joint Venture 4Q07 Results
IP’s Share: $17MM or $0.04 EPS
Strong end-use markets in Russia & China
Solid economic growth
Growing demand for pulp, paper & packaging
Increasing pricing
Business performing ahead of plan
Shipments of 663,000 MT
Producing at full capacity
20%+ EBITDA margins
Ilim board of directors has approved $350 million
2008 capital plan
IP’s share of the earnings includes a ($6) million one-time fair market value adjustment to work-in-process and finished goods
inventories
Ilim EBITDA margin is on a 100% basis before IP adjustments and IP NA margins excludes Forest Products and xpedx


21
Free Cash Flow Improvement
Free Cash Flow Improvement
$118
($178)
$296
1Q07
$172
Free Cash Flow
($215)
Less Capital Investment
$387
Cash Provided by
Continuing Operations
1Q08
Free Cash Flow
($ Million)


22
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Creating the Premier Global Supplier
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Creating the Premier Global Supplier
Compelling Valuation
Well-Maintained, Quality Assets
Consistent with Transformation Plan
Significant Synergies
Good Strategic Fit
Higher EBITDA Margins and Cash Flow
Low Integration Risk
Improves Core Business


23
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Improving the Quality of our Earnings
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Improving the Quality of our Earnings
2005
EBITDA -
$2.8B
2007 Pro Forma with
Weyerhaeuser Assets
EBITDA -
$3.9B
(1)
Printing
Papers
Packaging
Forest
Products
Distribution
Arizona Chemical
Coated Papers
Wood Products
Beverage Packaging
Printing
Papers
Packaging
Forest
Products
Distribution
(1)
Includes $400 million in run rate synergies
EBITDA = Operating profit plus depreciation and amortization less special items


24
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Weyerhaeuser CBPR Acquisition Update
Filed for Hart-Scott-Rodino Act approval
Integration planning in progress
Preparing for transition services
Targeting to close during 3Q


25
2Q08 Outlook
Changes from 1Q08 
2Q08 Outlook
Changes from 1Q08 
Non-North
America
North America
Uncertain
Better
Slight Increase
Slight Increase
Increase
Flat
Improving
Better
Operations
Volume
Pricing
Flat
Packaging
Improving
Paper
Uncertain
Input & Freight Costs
Increase
Maintenance Outages
Slight Decrease
Flat
Paper
Packaging


26
Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers
Investor Relations Contacts
Thomas A. Cleves
901-419-7566
Ann-Marie Donaldson
901-419-4967
Emily Nix
901-419-4987
Media Contact
Patty Neuhoff
901-419-4052


27
Appendix


28
0.37
.41
0.07
.05
.04
(.04)
(.02)
(.14)
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
4Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost/Mix
Materials &
Freight
Corporate /
Other
Ilim
1Q '08
$ / Share
$ / Share
Papers       .03
Packaging  .02               
Cost          (.01)
Outages    (.01)
Energy        (.07)
Chemicals   (.04)
Wood          (.02)    
Freight        (.01)
1Q08 vs. 4Q07 EPS
Lower Forest Products Earnings & Increasing Input Costs
1Q08 vs. 4Q07 EPS
Lower Forest Products Earnings & Increasing Input Costs
.28
.04
.41
.69
Earnings from continuing operations before special items
Forest Products Earnings               


29
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
Printing Papers Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
185
243
15
(2)
(14)
(55)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
4Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost / Mix
Materials &
Freight
Other
1Q '08
Cost       (13)
Mix           4
Outages   (5)
(2)


30
97
109
2
8
9
(23)
(8)
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
4Q '07
Price
Volume*
Cost / Mix
Materials
& Freight
Other
1Q '08
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
Industrial Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
Cost          15
Mix              3     
Outages   (16)
*Excludes trade volume


31
$0
$5
$10
$15
$20
4Q '07
Price
Volume
Cost / Mix
Materials &
Freight
Other
1Q '08
Consumer Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
Consumer Packaging Earnings
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
1
14*
4
(4)
(12)
10
15
Outages   14
Cost         (8)
Mix           (5)
*Excludes a special item of ($5) million related to the reorganization of Shorewood’s Canadian operations


32
Global Sales Volumes
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
Global Sales Volumes
1Q08 vs. 4Q07
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
Printing
Papers
Pulp
Container
board
Coated
Paperboard
Container
xpedx
Revenue
4Q07
1Q08
(1%)
(7%)
9%
0%
(2%)               (3%)
Containerboard includes the addition of Pensacola linerboard capacity
xpedx includes the addition of Central Lewmar revenues


33
Increasing Global
Input & Freight Costs
$90MM, or $0.14/Share Impact
vs. 4Q07
Increasing Global
Input & Freight Costs
$90MM, or $0.14/Share Impact
vs. 4Q07
Input costs for continuing businesses
Percentage change reflects North American input costs
N.A.
12%                   11%                  2%
4%
(9)
(15)
(25)
(41)
($50)
($40)
($30)
($20)
($10)
$0
Energy
Chemicals
Fiber
Freight
North America
Outside North America


34
.16
.30
.34
.27
.20
.17
.04
.12
.30
.47
.45
.52
.57
.69
.41
.45
.02
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2004
2005
2006
2007
Diluted EPS
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
Diluted EPS
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
the
Investors
tab
at
presentations
$0.82
$0.70
$1.33
$2.22
FY
2008


35
$0.31
($0.04)
$0.35
($0.06)
$0.41
1Q08
Net Earnings
Discontinued Operations
Earnings from Continuing Operations
Special Items
Earnings from Continuing Operations
& Before Special Items
Diluted Earnings per Share
Special Items & Discontinued Operations
Special Items & Discontinued Operations


36
Special Items & Discontinued Operations
1Q08        
Special Items & Discontinued Operations
1Q08        
Earnings
per Share
$ Million
Special Items (net of tax & minority interest)
($3)
Shorewood Canadian Reorganization
($25)
Legal Reserves
$3
Restructuring & Corporate
($0.06)
($25)
Total Special Items
($1)
Wood Products
($16)
Beverage Packaging
($0.04)
($17)
Total Discontinued Operations
Earnings
per Share
$ Million
Discontinued Operations (net of tax)


37
30%
$206
$297
$1.1
$1.3
2007
1
32 -
33%
$140 -
$160
$340 -
$360
$1.1
$1.1
2008
Estimate
3
29%
$276
$521
$1.2
$1.1
2006
1
Effective Tax Rate
2
Corporate Items
($ Million)
Net Interest Expense
($ Million)
Depreciation & Amortization
($ Billion)
Capital Spending
($ Billion)
1
Excludes discontinued operations and Coated Papers
2
Before special items and excluding Ilim
3
Not including Weyerhaeuser
Key Financial Statistics
Key Financial Statistics


38
($60)
($10)
($26)
($24)
Impact
($ Million)
Total Impact
Consumer Packaging
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
2Q08 Forecast vs.
1Q08 Actual
(85,000)
(5,000)
(55,000)
(25,000)
in Maintenance
Outages (Tons)
Maintenance
outages
and
dollar
impacts
are
estimated
and
are
subject
to
change
Incremental Maintenance Outages
Incremental Maintenance Outages


39
$36
$9
$2
$25
3Q08E
$113
$11
$50
$52
2Q08E
$44
$17
$11
$16
4Q08E
Total Impact
Consumer Packaging
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
$ Millions
$53
$1
$24
$28
1Q08
Planned maintenance outages are subject to change
Planned Maintenance Outages
Planned Maintenance Outages


40
$732
$206
$0
$13
$38
$86
$127
$262
2007
$0
$0
$0
$0
$0
$8
Other
$188
$56
$3
$10
$22
$31
$66
3Q07
$746
$276
$47
$31
$79
$122
$183
2006
$164
$37
$3
$9
$21
$30
$64
1Q07
$201
$56
$3
$11
$25
$35
$71
4Q07
$63
$61
Printing Papers
$179
$57
$4
$8
$18
$31
2Q07
$21
Unallocated Corporate
Items
$11
Distribution
$2
Forest Products
$148
Total
$30
Industrial Packaging
$21
Consumer Packaging
1Q08
$ Million
Corporate Items
Revised Allocations for 2006 & 2007
Corporate Items
Revised Allocations for 2006 & 2007


41
Operating Profits by Industry Segment
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
Operating Profits by Industry Segment
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
$198
$439
$606
Earnings from continuing operations before income
taxes, equity earnings & minority interest
$17
$0
$0
Equity Earnings, net of taxes -
Ilim
($21)
($56)
($37)
Corporate Items
$296
$5
($61)
$403
$6
$97
$20
$40
$73
$167
1Q07
($41)
$4
($81)
$337
$0
$25
$16
$14
$97
$185
1Q08
$4
Special Items
$0
Other Businesses
$566
Operating Profit
($79)
Net Interest Expense
$4
Minority Interest / Equity Earnings Adjustment
$171
$28
$15
$109
$243
4Q07
Forest Products
Distribution
Consumer Packaging
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
$
Million


42
Geographic Business Segment Operating
Results
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
Geographic Business Segment Operating
Results
from Continuing Operations before Special Items
Operating Profit
Sales
$ Million
$28
$4
$7
$4
$0
$19
$90
$1
$27
$61
$53
$101
4Q07
$20
$1
$14
$25
$1
$15
$57
$0
$15
$18
$40
$94
1Q07
$3
$95
$85
$75
Asian
$16
$9
$2
$0
$18
$79
$0
$4
$33
$42
$106
1Q08
$1,985
$75
$600
$80
$315
$1,050
$5
$165
$225
$435
$885
1Q08
$2,045
$75
$620
$85
$300
$1,005
$5
$180
$255
$415
$865
4Q07
$1,675
$70
$570
$45
$265
$925
$5
$155
$140
$355
$885
1Q07
Asian
Industrial Packaging
North American
European
Asian
Distribution
European
North American
Consumer Packaging
U.S. Market Pulp
Brazilian
European
North American
Printing Papers
Excludes Forest Products


43
2008 Earnings from Continuing Operations
2008 Earnings from Continuing Operations
1
Assuming dilution
2
A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
the
Investors
tab
at
presentations
$16
$0
$16
Equity
Earnings
$0.35
($0.06)
$0.41
Diluted
EPS²
423
39%
($25)
$0
$16
($41)
1Q08
Earnings from Continuing Operations
423
30%
$150
($5)
($59)
$198
1Q08
$175
Net
Income
$MM
31.5%
Estimated
Tax Rate
($5)
Minority
Interest
$MM
Special Items
$239
Pre-Tax
$MM
423
($75)
1Q08
Before Special Items
Average
Shares¹
MM
Tax
$MM


44
Business Segment Price Realization
Business Segment Price Realization
$846
$554
1Q08
$646
$950
1Q08
$825
$536
4Q07
$621
$925
4Q07
$799
$511
1Q07
$577
$888
1Q07
Average Selling Price
Realizations
Industrial Packaging ($/ton)
Printing Papers ($/ton)
Containerboard
Corrugated Boxes
Pulp
Uncoated Freesheet
Average IP U.S. selling price realizations (includes the impact of mix across all grades)


45
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
2005
2006
2007
NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices
Index: Jan 2005 Natural Gas Costs = 100
Natural Gas Costs
Natural Gas Costs
2008


46
90
95
100
105
110
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
U.S. Mill Wood Costs
U.S. Mill Wood Costs
Index: Jan 2005 Wood Costs = 100
2005
2006
2007
2008
Delivered cost to U.S. facilities


47
75
100
125
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
2005
2006
2007
2008
Index: Jan 2005 Caustic Soda Costs = 100
Delivered cost to U.S. facilities
U.S. Caustic Soda Costs
U.S. Caustic Soda Costs


48
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
Jan
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
2006
2007
Index: Jan 2006 Corn Starch Costs = 100
Delivered cost to U.S. facilities
U.S. Corn Starch Costs
U.S. Corn Starch Costs
2008


49
110,000
350,000
Corn Starch (Tons)
Chemicals
Fiber
Energy
50,000
240,000
Sodium Chlorate (Tons)
-
40,000
LD Polyethylene (Tons)
4,000
24,000
Latex (Tons)
230,000
1,300,000
Coal (Tons)
8,200,000
43,000,000
Wood (Tons)
60,000
300,000
Caustic Soda (Tons)
310,000
600,000
Old Corrugated Containers (Tons)
Commodity
500,000
15,000,000
Non –
U. S.
3,000,000
#
6 Fuel Oil (Barrels)
28,000,000
Natural Gas (MM BTUs)
U. S.
Global Consumption
Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
Global Consumption
Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
Includes only continuing businesses; does not include Asian consumption