EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDES OF INTERNATIONAL PAPER COMPANY Slides of International Paper Company
Third Quarter
2007 Review
November 2, 2007
Third Quarter
2007 Review
November 2, 2007
John V. Faraci
Chairman & CEO
Marianne M. Parrs
EVP & CFO
John V. Faraci
Chairman & CEO
Marianne M. Parrs
EVP & CFO


2
Forward-Looking Statements
Forward-Looking Statements
These slides and statements made during this presentation contain forward-looking
statements. These statements reflect management's current views and are subject to
risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those
expressed or implied in these statements. Factors which could cause actual results to
differ relate to: (i) industry conditions, including but not limited to changes in the cost or
availability of raw materials and energy, transportation costs, the company's product
mix, demand and pricing for its products; (ii) global economic conditions and political
changes,
particularly
in
Latin
America,
Russia,
Europe
and
Asia,
including
but
not
limited to changes in currency exchange rates, credit availability, and the company's
credit
ratings
issued
by
recognized
credit
rating
organizations;
(iii)
natural
disasters,
such as hurricanes and earthquakes; (iv) the company's ability to realize anticipated
profit improvement from its transformation plan, and (v) unanticipated expenditures
related to the cost of compliance with environmental and other governmental
regulations and to actual or potential litigation. We undertake no obligation to publicly
update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future
events
or
otherwise.
These
and
other
factors
that
could
cause
or
contribute
to
actual
results differing materially from such forward looking statements are discussed in
greater detail in the company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings.


3
During the course of this presentation,
certain non-U.S. GAAP financial
information will be presented.
A reconciliation of those numbers to
U.S. GAAP financial measures is
available on the company’s website at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
Investors.
Statements Relating to Non-GAAP
Financial Measures
Statements Relating to Non-GAAP
Financial Measures


4
Third Quarter 2007 Summary
Best Absolute Quarter in 7 Years
Third Quarter 2007 Summary
Best Absolute Quarter in 7 Years
Solid third quarter
Strong EBIT performances in:
NA Printing Papers
Brazil
xpedx
Improving price realizations
Improved mill operations
Successful Pensacola linerboard start-up
Increasing raw material costs
Flat volumes, land sales, tax rate


5
.60
.44
.25
.04
.03
.06
.14
.10
.27
.26
.11
.15
.11
.03
.02
.16
.30
.34
.27
.04
.12
.30
.47
.45
.57
.63
.45
.52
.26
.17
.20
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2001
2000
Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations
and Before Special Items
Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations
and Before Special Items
* A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
the
Investors
tab
at
presentations
* 2006 EPS restated to reflect new accounting guidelines for planned maintenance outages


6
.57
.52
.02
.07
(.04)
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
2Q '07
North America
Brazil
Europe
3Q '07
EPS $ / Share
EPS $ / Share
3Q ‘07 vs. 2Q ’07
EPS from continuing operations before special items
3Q ‘07 vs. 2Q ’07
EPS from continuing operations before special items


7
1.54
.87
.15
.59
.22
.51
(.33)
(.03)
(.17)
(.19)
(.06)
(.02)
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
9M '06
Price
Volume
Cost/Mix
Pensacola
Input &
Distrib.Costs
Land Sales
Cash
Redeployment
Unallocated
Expenses /
Other
Plant
Closures
Divestitures
9M '07
EPS $ / Share
EPS $ / Share
IPG                           .11
Coated Paperboard  .05
P&C                          .25
Europe                      .10
Wood          (.09)
Energy         .02
Chemicals   (.08)    
Freight        (.04)
Interest        .32
Shares         .16
Acquisitions  .11
Cost/Mix      .28
Outages      (.06)
9M‘07 vs. 9M’06
EPS from continuing operations before special items
9M‘07 vs. 9M’06
EPS from continuing operations before special items


8
.57
.52
.04
.01
.04
(.02)
(.01)
(.01)
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
2Q '07
Price
Cost/Mix
Pensacola
Input Costs
Interest
Expense
Other
3Q '07
EPS $ / Share
EPS $ / Share
3Q ‘07 vs. 2Q ’07
EPS from continuing operations before special items
3Q ‘07 vs. 2Q ’07
EPS from continuing operations before special items
Cost/Mix     (.02)
Outages      .06


9
11
(54)
(59)
(27)
(70)
(60)
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
20
Wood
Chemicals
Freight
Energy
$MM
Total of $129 million or $0.19 per share
Total of $129 million or $0.19 per share
negative impact in 9M07 versus 9M06
negative impact in 9M07 versus 9M06
Higher Input & Distribution Costs
EBIT Impact 9M’07 vs. 9M’06
Higher Input & Distribution Costs
EBIT Impact 9M’07 vs. 9M’06
All costs include ongoing businesses
$MM


10
Printing Papers
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
$25
7%
Brazilian Uncoated Papers
15
(1%)
European Uncoated Papers
$19
1%
U.S. Pulp
$8
(1%)
N.A. Uncoated Papers
Price Realization
per Ton
Volume
Business
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
$249
$307
Earnings
$1,610
$1,660
Sales
2Q’07
3Q’07
$ Million


11
307
249
15
52
(9)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2Q07
N.A Paper & Pulp
Brazil
Europe
3Q07
Global Paper Earnings
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
Global Paper Earnings
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
EBIT $MM
EBIT $MM


12
Industrial Packaging
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
Flat
(1%)
N.A. Container
$8/ton
2%
N.A. Containerboard
Price Realization
Volume
Business
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
$139
$115
Earnings
$1,315
$1,305
Sales
2Q’07
3Q’07
$ Million


13
132
115
139
(10)
(7)
(1)
(6)
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
$120
$130
$140
$150
2Q '07
European Cont.
Volume
All Other
3Q '07 before
One-time Costs
Pensacola
Conversion
NA Restructuring
3Q '07
$ MM
$ MM
Industrial Packaging Earnings
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
Industrial Packaging Earnings
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07


14
Consumer Packaging
Average IP price realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
2%
Converting Businesses
$6/ton
1%
U.S. Coated Paperboard
Price Realization
Volume
Business
3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
$48
$49
Earnings
$790
$775
Sales
2Q’07
3Q’07
$ Million


15
Distribution
Volume and margins up
3Q earnings up 4% vs. 2Q’07 and 16% vs. 3Q’06
Record 3Q sales, earnings & ROI
$38
$40
Earnings
$1,720
$1,880
Sales
2Q’07
3Q’07
$ Million


16
Forest Products
$98
$99
Earnings
$90
$120
Sales
2Q’07
3Q’07
$ Million


17
Free Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
$592
$381
Free Cash Flow
$262
($330)
($804)
$1,396
3Q’07
YTD
$274
Net
($107)
Less Dividends Paid
($327)
Less Capital Investment
$708
Cash Provided by Continuing Operations
3Q’07
3Q’07 Free Cash Flow
$ Million


18
Special Items & Discontinued Operations
($0.01)
($3)
Total Discontinued Operations
($2)
Wood Products
($1)
Beverage Packaging
Discontinued Operations (Net of tax)
($0.05)
($23)
Total Special Items
($29)
Restructuring & Corporate
$6
Divestitures
Special Items (Net of minority interest & tax)
$/Share
$ Million
3Q’07


19
Special Items & Discontinued Operations
$0.51
Net Earnings
($0.01)
Discontinued Operations
$0.52
Earnings from Continuing Operations
($0.05)
Special Items
$0.57
Earnings from Continuing Operations
& Before Special Items
Diluted
Earnings
per Share
3Q’07


20
1.1%
5.7%
3.4%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
2005
2006
9'M YTD
EBIT Margin Expansion in
Operating Businesses
EBIT Margin Expansion in
Operating Businesses
EBIT Margin
*Excludes special items, Forest Products and divested businesses


21
Earnings Growth Outside North America
Diversifying Our Earnings Capacity
Earnings Growth Outside North America
Diversifying Our Earnings Capacity
North America
70%
2007 Estimated
2002 Actual
Non-
North America
30%
North America
80%
Non-
North America
20%
Business level EBITDA excluding Forest Products earnings and before unallocated expenses


22
1.54
.87
.16
.32
.69
(.33)
(.17)
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
9M '06
Core Business
EBIT
Land Sales
Divestitures*
Interest
Shares
9M '07
EPS $ / Share
EPS $ / Share
* Includes Harvest and Recreation income, Coated Papers and Arizona Chemical
Transformation Plan
Yielding Results
Transformation Plan
Yielding Results


23
Fourth Quarter 2007 Outlook
Fourth Quarter 2007 Outlook
Volume
N. A. Containerboard benefiting from Pensacola capacity
Seasonal pick-ups for European paper & packaging
Other segments seasonally slower at year-end
Price
Implementing IP’s previously announced North American price
increases in:
Printing Paper & Pulp
Containerboard & Corrugated Boxes
Increased wood, energy & transportation costs
Pensacola conversion expenses lower than 3Q’07
Forest Products earnings higher than 3Q’07
Higher interest expense and taxes


24
Building Our Earnings Capabilities
Building Our Earnings Capabilities
Luiz Antonio Mill
Pensacola Lightweight Linerboard
Riegelwood Fluff Pulp
Svetogorsk BCTMP
Ilim Joint Venture
Sun Joint Venture Paper Machine
Tres Lagoas Paper Machine


26


26
Questions & Answers
Questions & Answers
Investor Relations Contacts
Tom Cleves
901-419-7566
Ann-Marie Donaldson
901-419-4967
Media Contact
Amy Sawyer
901-419-4312


27
Appendix


28
29%
$746 MM
$156 MM
$521 MM
$1.1 B
$1.1 B
2006 ¹
Effective Tax Rate²
Unallocated Expenses
Supply Chain Expense
Net Interest Expense
Depreciation & Amortization
Capital Spending
20%
$607 MM
$135 MM
$595 MM
$1.2 B
$1.1 B
2005 ¹
30-31%
$710-$730 MM
$200 MM
$320 MM
$1.1 B
$1.3 B
2007 Estimate
1 Excludes discontinued operations results and Coated Papers
2 Before special items
Key Financial Statistics
Updated as of November 2, 2007
Key Financial Statistics
Updated as of November 2, 2007


29
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
Containerboard
Uncoated Papers
Pulp
Coated Paperboard
European Papers
*Includes indefinitely closed uncoated papers capacity at Pensacola, FL, Bastrop, LA and Jay, ME in 2Q05
(72,000 tons), 3Q05 (108,000 tons) and 4Q’05 (108,000 tons) which we permanently closed at end of 4Q’05.
Lack of Order Downtime
Lack of Order Downtime
59
90
236
173
5
10
5
35
95
M  Short Tons
2003
2004
2005
274*270*
180*
25
2006
25
28
70
2007
35
4
7
M Short Tons


30
$MM
Total of $10 million or $0.01
Total of $10 million or $0.01
per share
per share
negative impact in 3Q07 versus 2Q07
negative impact in 3Q07 versus 2Q07
Raw Material & Distribution Costs
EBIT Impact 3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
Raw Material & Distribution Costs
EBIT Impact 3Q’07 vs. 2Q’07
All costs include ongoing businesses
1
(3)
(6)
(2)
(7)
(6)
(5)
(4)
(3)
(2)
(1)
0
1
2
Chemicals
Wood
Freight
Energy
$MM


31
4Q’07 Forecast vs. 3Q’07
$5
($10)
($5)
$20
Impact
($ Million)
Total Impact
Consumer Packaging
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
(2,000)
15,000
8,000
(25,000)
Maintenance
Outages
(Tons)
Maintenance
outages
and
dollar
impacts
are
estimated
and
are
subject
to
change
Incremental Maintenance Outages
Incremental Maintenance Outages


32
($221)
($179)
($188)
Unallocated Expenses, net
$21
-
-
Other Businesses
$656
$572
$610
Operating Profit
($144)
($80)
($77)
Interest Expense, net
-
$6
$4
Minority Interest
$291
$166
$34
$62
$139
$234¹
3Q’06
$319
$98
$38
$48
$139
$249
2Q’07
Earnings from continuing operations before
income taxes, minority interest & special items
Forest Products
Distribution
Consumer Packaging
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
Earnings by Industry Segment ($ Million)
$349
$99
$40
$49
$115
$307
3Q’07
*Industry segment information has been reclassified to conform with minor changes in 2006 organizational structure
1.
Excludes amounts for coated paper sales
Earnings by Industry Segment
Before Special Items
Earnings by Industry Segment
Before Special Items


33
Business Segment Operating
Results
Before Special Items
Business Segment Operating
Results
Before Special Items
Industrial Packaging
$955
$975
$975
$128
$109
$99
North American
$250
$270
$265
$10
$28
$15
European
$45
$70
$65
$1
$2
$1
Asian
N/A
$85
$85
N/A
$4
$5
Asian
$60
$65
$70
$10
$7
$5
European
$645
$640
$620
$52
$37
$39
North American
Consumer Packaging
Sales
Operating Profit
$ Million
$170
$250
$370
$870
3Q’07
$160
$205
$370
$875
2Q’07
$21
$33
$28
$152
1
3Q’06
$130
$24
$25
U.S. Market Pulp
$72
$45
$165
3Q’07
$120
$57
Brazilian
$310
$55
European
$910¹
$113
North American
Printing Papers
3Q’06
2Q’07
1.
Excludes amounts for coated papers


34
2007 Earnings from Continuing Operations
2007 Earnings from Continuing Operations
1 Assuming dilution
2 A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
the
Investors
tab
at
presentations
$0.52
$0.46
$1.02
($0.05)
($0.06)
$0.57
$0.57
$0.52
$0.45
Diluted
EPS
2
448
15%
$254
$0
($44)
$298
1Q07
431
8%
($23)
$0
$2
($25)
2Q07
426
32%
($23)
$0
$11
($34)
3Q07
Earnings from Continuing Operations
426
28%
$220
($6)
($89)
$315
3Q07
431
30%
$200
($5)
($89)
$294
2Q07
448
24%
$457
($6)
($143)
$606
1Q07
$243
$223
$203
Net
Income
$MM
29%
29%
32%
Estimated
Tax Rate
($6)
($5)
($6)
Minority
Interest
$MM
Special Items
$349
$319
$308
Pre-Tax
$MM
426
($100)
3Q07
431
($91)
2Q07
448
($99)
1Q07
Before Special Items
Average
Shares
1
MM
Tax
$MM


35
Business Segment Price Realization
Business Segment Price Realization
Industrial Packaging
Printing Papers
$62.2
$500
$551
$888
SEP ‘06
$61.2
$527
$605
$916
SEP ‘07
$502
$513
$521
Containerboard ($/ton)
$61.9
$61.4
$61.2
Corrugated boxes ($/MSF)
Average Selling Price Realizations
U. S. Business Segment
$546
$888
3Q’06
$605
$912
3Q’07
$586
Pulp ($/ton)
$904
Uncoated ($/ton)
2Q’07
Average IP U.S. selling price realizations (includes the impact of mix across all grades)


36
2007 Capital Spending
$1.3 B of Projected Spending by Business
2007 Capital Spending
$1.3 B of Projected Spending by Business
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
Brazil
Europe
Industrial
Packaging
IP
Uncoated
Papers
Coated
Paperboard
% of D&A
156%
189%
118%
161%
115%
66%
Capital Allocated in Excess of D&A
Capital Allocated in Excess of D&A
to Brazil and E. Europe
to Brazil and E. Europe
Pensacola
Mill
IP/Sun JV
Tres
Lagoas
Coated Paperboard includes Riegelwood fluff pulp project


37
2008 Estimated Capital Spending
2008 Estimated Capital Spending
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
Brazil
Europe
Industrial
Packaging
IP
Uncoated
Papers
Coated
Paperboard
% of D&A
88%
220%
100%
78%
109%
47%
Capital Allocated in Excess of D&A
Capital Allocated in Excess of D&A
in Brazil and Asia
in Brazil and Asia
Tres
Lagoas
IP/Sun JV


38
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2004
2005
2006
2007
Natural Gas Costs
* NYMEX Natural Gas closing prices
Index: Jan 2004 Natural Gas Costs = 100


39
90
95
100
105
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
July
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
U.S. Mill Wood Costs
U.S. Mill Wood Costs
Index: Jan 2004 Wood Costs = 100
2004
2005
* Delivered cost to U.S. pulp & paper ongoing mills
2006
2007


40
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
Jan
Apr
Jul
Oct
2004
2005
2006
2007
Caustic Soda Costs
Index: Jan 2004 Caustic Soda Costs = 100
* Delivered cost to U.S. facilities


41
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
Jan
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
Jul
Sep
2006
2007
Corn Starch Costs
Index: Jan 2006 Corn Starch Costs = 100
* Delivered cost to U.S. facilities


42
Global Consumption
Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
Global Consumption
Annual Purchase Estimates for Key Inputs
Chemicals
Fiber
Energy
50,000
215,000
Sodium Chlorate (Ton)
-
40,000
LD Polyethylene (Ton)
4,000
24,000
Latex (Ton)
230,000
1,300,000
Coal (Ton)
8,000,000
40,000,000
Wood (Ton)
60,000
340,000
Caustic Soda (Ton)
310,000
600,000
Old Corrugated Containers (Ton)
Commodity
500,000
15,000,000
Non –
U. S.
4,100,000
#6 Fuel Oil (Barrel)
28,000,000
Natural Gas (MM BTU)
U. S.
2007 Run Rate Estimates
Includes only ongoing businesses