EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm SLIDES OF INTERNATIONAL PAPER COMPANY, DATED OCTOBER 25, 2005 Slides of International Paper Company, dated October 25, 2005

Exhibit 99.2

 

     LOGO

 

Third Quarter 2005 Review October 25, 2005

John V. Faraci Chairman & CEO

Marianne M. Parrs EVP & CFO


2
Forward-Looking Statements
These slides contain forward-looking statements. These statements reflect
management's current views and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could
cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these
statements.  Factors which could cause actual results to differ relate to (i) market
and economic factors, including changes in the cost or availability of raw materials
and energy, competition, demand and pricing for the Company's products, the level
of housing starts, changes in
international
economic
conditions,
specifically
in
Brazil, Russia, Poland and China, changes in currency exchange rates, changes in
credit ratings issued by nationally recognized statistical rating organizations,
pension and healthcare costs
and
natural
disasters,
such
as
hurricanes, (ii) the
Company's transformation plan, including the ability to accomplish the
transformation plan, the impact of the plan on the Company's relationship with its
employees, customers and vendors and the ability to realize anticipated profit
improvement from the plan, and (iii) results of legal proceedings and compliance
costs, including unanticipated expenditures related to the cost of compliance with
environmental and
other
governmental
regulations
and
the uncertainty of the costs
and other effects of pending litigation.  We undertake no obligation to publicly
update
any
forward-looking
statements,
whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise. These and other factors that could cause or contribute
to actual results differing materially from
such
forward
looking
statements
are
discussed in greater detail in the company's Securities and Exchange Commission
filings.


3
During the course of this presentation, certain non-
U.S. GAAP financial information will be presented.
A reconciliation of those numbers to U.S. GAAP
financial measures is available on the company’s
website at www.internationalpaper.com
under
Investors.
Statements Relating to
Non-GAAP Financial Measures


4
Agenda
Third Quarter Review
Hurricane Impact
Fourth Quarter Outlook
Transformation Plan Update
Third Quarter Review
Hurricane Impact
Fourth Quarter Outlook
Transformation Plan Update


5
Third Quarter 2005 Summary
Volumes mixed
Pricing pressures on containerboard,
corrugated boxes, uncoated papers and pulp
Mill operations continued to improve
Energy costs increased due to Hurricanes
Katrina and Rita
Favorable impact from higher land sales and
lower tax rate
Volumes mixed
Pricing pressures on containerboard,
corrugated boxes, uncoated papers and pulp
Mill operations continued to improve
Energy costs increased due to Hurricanes
Katrina and Rita
Favorable impact from higher land sales and
lower tax rate


6
Diluted EPS from Continuing Operations
and Before Special Items*
*
A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
Investors
.03
.11
.12
.16
.12
.32
.31
.28
.13
.20
.21
.18
.11
.40
.31
.42
.35
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
1Q
1Q
3Q
1Q
3Q
2Q
4Q
2Q
4Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
.29
.33
3Q


7
3Q’05 vs. 2Q’05
$0.00
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
2Q'05
Price
Volume /
Downtime
Cost/Mix
Raw
Material
Land
Sales
Real
Estate
Tax
Other
3Q'05
$.01
EPS $ / Share
$.29
($.05)
Wood Costs     $.01     
Energy            ($.06)  
Packaging      ($.06)           
Uncoated       ($.02) 
Wood Prod.    ($.01) 
Coated            $.02
EPS from cont. ops before special items
($.07)
$.33
$.02
$.09
2Q05 Tax rate 35%  
3Q05 Tax rate 23%
$.06
($.06)
$.04
Cost –
US Mills   $.04     
Cost –
Other      ($.01)
Mix                     ($.02) 


8
9M’05 vs. 9M’04
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
9M'04
Price
Volume
Cost/Mix
Raw
Material
Land
Sales
Real
Estate
CorporateInterest
Tax
Other
9M'05
$.02
EPS $ / Share
$.83
($.30)
($.58)
EPS from cont. ops before special items
$.71
$.97
$.05
$.27
($.17)
($.05)
$.06
$.13
Wood Costs      ($.22)
Energy               ($.20)  
Caustic Soda    ($.11)
Other                 ($.05)
Paper             $.50                   
Packaging      $.25 
Other            ($.04)
2004 Tax rate 31%  
2005 Tax rate 27%
Downtime ($.29)                   
Volume     ($.01)
Pension         ($.14)                  
Supply Chain ($.07)      
Other              $.04


9
2006 Pension Assumptions
Pension Expense
Will depend upon plan earnings and discount rate at
December 31, 2005
-
Currently expected to increase
in
2006
by
$85
million
due to
the change
in mortality table
Pension Expense
Will depend upon plan earnings and discount rate at
December 31, 2005
-
Currently expected to increase
in
2006
by
$85
million
due to
the change
in mortality table


10
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
4Q
1Q
2Q
3Q
Containerboard
Uncoated Papers
Pulp
Coated Papers
Bleached Board
European Papers
* Downtime is in thousand short tons after rationalization actions, excludes maintenance
215
65
50
270
Lack of Order Downtime
70
90
240
185
5
10
5
35
95
M  Short Tons
2002
2003
2004
2005
275
270
2Q05
3Q05
European Papers
15
15
Bleached Board
0
20
Uncoated Papers
120
185
Containerboard     140
50


11
Printing Papers
3
U.S. operations only. Uncoated excludes Fine Paper   
$  1,970
132
1
Sales
Earnings
3Q’05
2Q’05
$ Millions
$ Millions
Uncoated
3
Coated
3
Pulp
3
Europe
4
(uncoated)
($20)
$25     
($10)
5
Volume
Realizations/ton
$  1,895
149
2
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
2%
15%
5%
(4%)
2
Includes special charge of $17 million for severance and other
charges related to the indefinite shutdowns of 3 U.S. paper machines
1
Includes special charge of $6 million for severance and other charges
related to the indefinite shutdowns of 3 U.S. paper machines, and     
$3 million for Riegelwood environmental reserves
4
Europe is average commodity cut-size price, excluding Russia   
Average IP realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)


12
Industrial Packaging
Average IP realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
$  1,115
33
1
Sales
Earnings
3Q’05
2Q’05
$ Millions
$ Millions
Containerboard
U.S. Container
($45)
($25)
Volume
Realizations/ton
$  1,240
85
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
6%
(3%)
1
Includes special charge of $4 million to adjust reserves previously provided


13
Consumer Packaging
Average IP realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
$  685
37
3
Sales
Earnings
3Q’05
2Q’05
$ Millions
$ Millions
Bleached Board
1
$5
Volume
Realizations/ton
$  650
41
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
(2%)
Converting Businesses
2
Sales Revenue
Flat
1
U.S. operations only
2
Excludes IPPM
3
Includes special charge of $1 million for environmental reserve


14
Forest Products
Average IP realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
$700 
272
1
Sales
Earnings
3Q’05
2Q’05
$ Millions
Lumber (mbf)
Plywood (msf)
($15)
($5)
Volume
Realizations/unit
$  605
191
1
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
3Q’05 Change vs 2Q’05:
2%
21%
1
Includes special charge of $2 million in the third quarter and $14 million in the second
quarter for costs associated with relocations of
Forest
Products
headquarters to Memphis


15
Special Items
Divestitures
(3)
Restructuring & Other                   (46)
Insurance Recoveries
109 
Tax Audit Finalization
-
Settlements                    517
-
Interest                             26
543
Special Items Total
603
$1.19
Special Items
Divestitures
(3)
Restructuring & Other                   (46)
Insurance Recoveries
109 
Tax Audit Finalization
-
Settlements                    517
-
Interest                             26
543
Special Items Total
603
$1.19
$MM
Diluted EPS
Special Items 3Q’05


16
Carter Holt Harvey
Tax Reserve Adjustment
for Audit Settlement                       (83)        (0.16)
Pre-Tax Gain on Sale                     29
0.06
Tax Benefit on Sale
332           0.65
Total
278
$0.55
Carter Holt Harvey
Tax Reserve Adjustment
for Audit Settlement                       (83)        (0.16)
Pre-Tax Gain on Sale                     29
0.06
Tax Benefit on Sale
332           0.65
Total
278
$0.55
$MM
Diluted EPS
Discontinued Operations 3Q’05


17
Earnings from Continuing Operations
and Before Special Items
$0.33
Special Items
1.19
Earnings from Continuing Operations
1.52
Discontinued Operations
0.55
Net Earnings
$2.07
Earnings from Continuing Operations
and Before Special Items
$0.33
Special Items
1.19
Earnings from Continuing Operations
1.52
Discontinued Operations
0.55
Net Earnings
$2.07
Reconciliation to 3Q’05
Diluted
Earnings Per Share
Diluted EPS


18
Hurricane Impact
People
No injuries
Facilities
No direct damage
Temporary outages at some facilities
Forestlands
No material damage to our forestlands
Logging / transportation costs significantly higher
People
No injuries
Facilities
No direct damage
Temporary outages at some facilities
Forestlands
No material damage to our forestlands
Logging / transportation costs significantly higher


19
Hurricane Impact
Energy
Slow recovery causing skyrocketing prices for
natural gas and fuel oil, squeezing margins
Chemicals
Shortages of optical brighteners, sulfuric acid,
caustic soda, wax
Transportation
Truck and rail availability an issue
Facing fuel adjustment surcharges
Energy
Slow recovery causing skyrocketing prices for
natural gas and fuel oil, squeezing margins
Chemicals
Shortages of optical brighteners, sulfuric acid,
caustic soda, wax
Transportation
Truck and rail availability an issue
Facing fuel adjustment surcharges


20
Fourth Quarter 2005 Outlook
Much higher raw material costs
$0.15 -
$0.20 per share higher than 3Q’05
Lower land / real estate sales
Volume flat -
seasonal weakness around
holidays
Average price realizations flat to down
Implementing IP’s announced increases in bleached
board, containerboard, boxes, coated paper and
market pulp
Continued progress in improving operations
Much higher raw material costs
$0.15 -
$0.20 per share higher than 3Q’05
Lower land / real estate sales
Volume flat -
seasonal weakness around
holidays
Average price realizations flat to down
Implementing IP’s announced increases in bleached
board, containerboard, boxes, coated paper and
market pulp
Continued progress in improving operations


21
Transformation Plan Update
Completed sale of Carter Holt Harvey equity
stake to Rank Group on September 21
US$1.14 billion in cash proceeds
After-tax gain of US$361 million
Targeting cash proceeds from initial asset sales    
for debt reduction
Maintaining focus on improving N. American
operations
Reinvestment plan under review -
taking a
cautious approach
Completed sale of Carter Holt Harvey equity
stake to Rank Group on September 21
US$1.14 billion in cash proceeds
After-tax gain of US$361 million
Targeting cash proceeds from initial asset sales    
for debt reduction
Maintaining focus on improving N. American
operations
Reinvestment plan under review -
taking a
cautious approach


22
Q & A
Q & A


23
Appendix
Appendix


24
Earnings by Industry Segment
Earnings by Industry Segment
Printing Papers
$141
$166
$160
$490
$385
Industrial Packaging
37
85
133
227
249
Consumer Packaging
38
41
50
102
126
Distribution
23
18
27
59
65
Forest Products
274
205
191
686
617
Other Businesses
5
7
7
22
31
Operating Profit
518
522
568
1,586
1,473
Interest Expense
(163)
(166)
(180)
(496)
(541)
Minority Interest
0
2
1
1
2
Corporate Items, net
(142)
(133)
(101)
(430)
(313)
Earnings from continuing operations
before income taxes, minority
interest & special items
$213
$225
$288
$661
$621
Earnings by Industry Segment
Printing Papers
$141
$166
$160
$490
$385
Industrial Packaging
37
85
133
227
249
Consumer Packaging
38
41
50
102
126
Distribution
23
18
27
59
65
Forest Products
274
205
191
686
617
Other Businesses
5
7
7
22
31
Operating Profit
518
522
568
1,586
1,473
Interest Expense
(163)
(166)
(180)
(496)
(541)
Minority Interest
0
2
1
1
2
Corporate Items, net
(142)
(133)
(101)
(430)
(313)
Earnings from continuing operations
before income taxes, minority
interest & special items
$213
$225
$288
$661
$621
$ Millions
2Q’05
2Q’05
3Q’04
3Q’04
3Q’05
3Q’05
9M’05
9M’05
9M’04
9M’04
Before special items


25
Forest Resources
Earnings Sources –
Gross Margin
Sales of Forestlands
$125
$67
$77
Harvest & Recreational Income
63
62
69
Forestland Expenses
(43)
(39)
(43)
Land Utilization (real estate),
Net of Expenses
65
39
22
Total EBIT
$210
$129
$125
Earnings Sources –
Gross Margin
Sales of Forestlands
$125
$67
$77
Harvest & Recreational Income
63
62
69
Forestland Expenses
(43)
(39)
(43)
Land Utilization (real estate),
Net of Expenses
65
39
22
Total EBIT
$210
$129
$125
$ Millions
2Q’05
2Q’05
3Q’04
3Q’04
3Q’05
3Q’05


26
* U.S. only. Uncoated excludes Fine Papers
Average IP realization (includes the impact of mix across all grades)
Average Sales Realizations
Forest
Products
$/ton
Packaging
$/ton
Printing
Papers*
Segments
300
406
687
450
495
836
831
2Q’05
Average Sales Realizations
303
368
676
445
481
749
780
3Q’04
323
394
651
385
479
860
825
Sep 05
Plywood, $/MSF
Lumber, $/MBF
Corrugated boxes*
Containerboard
Pulp
Coated
Uncoated
Grades
297
391
663
405
482
860
811
3Q’05
325
364
687
458
477
752
790
Sep 04


27
Before Special Items
Q1
223
(53)
(2)
168
24%
488.9
0.35
Q2
225
(79)
(3)
143
35%
487.4
0.29
Q3
213
(48)
(3)
162
23%
507.1
0.33
Special Items
Q1
(103)
36
-
(67)
35%
488.9
(0.14)
Q2
34
(107)
-
(73)
-
487.4
(0.15)
Q3
159
444
-
603
-
507.1
1.19
Earnings from Continuing Operations
Q1
120
(17)
(2)
101
14%
488.9
0.21
Q2
259
(186)
(3)
70
72%
487.4
0.14
Q3
372
396
(3)
765
-
507.1
1.52
2005 Earnings from Continuing
Operations
Pre-Tax 
Tax
MI
Net
ETR         Average
Diluted
Shares²
EPS¹
$ MM
MM Shares
$/Share
$ MM
$ MM
$ MM
MI
Minority
Interest;
Net
Net
Income;
ETR
Effective
Tax
Rate;
EPS
Earnings
per
Share
1
A
reconciliation
to
GAAP
EPS
is
available
at
www.internationalpaper.com
under
Investor
Information
2
Assuming
dilution


28
0
4
8
12
16
20
0
4
8
12
16
20
2000
June
2001
Dec
2002
Dec
2003
Dec
2004
Dec
2005
Sep
17.9
15.2
14.8
15.5
14.6
11.6
$ Billions
Reduced total debt by over 
$6 billion since June 2000
Committed to Reducing Debt
Includes
Carter
Holt
Harvey
debt
on
IP’s
balance
sheet
for
all
periods
excluding
September
2005


29
Impact of Higher Raw Material Costs
EBIT impact 3Q’05 vs. 2Q’05
Total of $30 million or $0.05 per share
negative impact in 3Q’05 versus 2Q’05
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
(50)
(40)
(30)
(20)
(10)
0
10
Energy
Wood -
Paper      
Mills
Wood -
Wood Prods.           
Plants
Other
EBIT ($)
4
(38)
4


30
Impact of Higher Raw Material Costs
EBIT impact 3Q’05 vs. 3Q’04
Total of $156 million or $0.25 per share
negative impact in 3Q’05 versus 3Q’04
(80)
(60)
(40)
(20)
0
(80)
(60)
(40)
(20)
0
Energy
Wood -
Paper       Wood Prods.            
Mills
Wood -
Plants
Caustic
EBIT ($)
(69)
(38)
(14)
(20)
(15)
Other
Soda


31
Impact of Higher Raw Material Costs
EBIT impact 9M’05 vs. 9M’04
(150)
(125)
(100)
(75)
(50)
(25)
0
(150)
(125)
(100)
(75)
(50)
(25)
0
Caustic
Soda
Energy
Other
EBIT ($)
(46)
(130)
(100)
(40)
(71)
Wood -
Paper        Wood Prods.
Mills
Wood -
Plants
Total of $387 million or $0.58 per share
negative impact in 9M’05 versus 9M’04


32
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Index: Jan 2003 Natural Gas Costs = 100
2003
2004
Hurricanes drove natural gas  
costs higher in September
Natural Gas Costs
2005
Trended significantly higher in 3Q’05


33
U.S. Mills Wood Costs
90
100
110
120
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Index: Jan 2003 Wood Costs = 100
2003
2004
* Delivered cost to  U.S. pulp & paper mills
Trended lower in 3Q’05
2005
Wood costs began rising
again in September


34
0
100
200
300
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Nov
Jan
Mar
May
July
Sep
Index: Jan 2003 Caustic Soda Costs = 100
2003
2004
Caustic soda costs are
up 127% versus 1Q’03
Caustic Soda Costs
2005
Trended lower in 3Q’05


35
Energy
54
30
45
40
$9.50
$3.45
$5.80
$6.47
0
20
40
60
80
2002
2003
2004
2005 Forecast
0
2
4
6
8
10
Trillion BTUs
$/MMBTU
Natural Gas Consumed
Natural Gas Cost per unit
U.S. mills natural gas consumption
Natural gas consumption at
current U.S. pulp & paper mills
has decreased 45% since 2002
Total US Mill Energy Purchases before Natural Gas Hedges  -
$MM
$580                  $740                  $780                
$920


36
8
9
9
10
31
24
21
18
10
10
13
11
16
18
24
25
22
23
13
16
19
20
16
14
0%
100%
2002
2003
2004
2005
Energy
Natural gas as a % of total U.S. mills
MMBTU purchases is decreasing
% of Total
Natural Gas
Coal
Wood Waste
Fuel Oil
Other*
Electricity
$7.53
$2.89
$1.80
$6.15
$13.78
$4.92
2005 Sept. YTD Avg
Cost per mmbtu
Substitute lower cost energy
*Other includes shredded tires, recycled oil, purchased steam and any other fossil fuels
Sept. YTD


37
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000
2005 Sept YTD
Gas
Coal
Oil
Electricity
Steam
Other*
Reducing U.S. mill consumption per ton
MM BTU/Ton
Energy  
Natural gas consumed per ton of paper
produced in 2005 fell 55% and total energy
consumed per ton fell about 13% since 2000
* Other fuel category includes purchased bark, shredded tires & recycled motor oil
4.4
2.0
55%
13%
Natural Gas
Coal
Fuel Oil
Electricity
Steam
Other


38
Domestic Facilities
Key input indicative purchase levels
Natural Gas
MMbtus
38,000,000
# 6 Fuel Oil
BBLs
5,200,000
Coal
Tons
1,500,000
Wood
Tons
65,000,000
OCC
1
Tons
600,000
Caustic Soda
Tons
400,000
Sodium Chlorate
Tons
300,000
LD Polyethylene
Tons
100,000
Latex
Tons
45,000
Energy
Energy
Fiber
Fiber
Chemicals
Chemicals
Units
Units
Annual Purchases
Annual Purchases
1
Old corrugated containers
* 2005
Run Rate
*
*
*


39