EX-99.C2 2 updatafairnessopinion.htm UPDATA FAIRNESS OPINION updatafairnessopinion.htm
 
 
Fairness Opinion Presentation
 
 
to the Board of Directors:
 
Prescient Applied Intelligence, Inc.
 
 
 
September 11, 2008
 
The information contained herein is CONFIDENTIAL and has been prepared exclusively for the benefit and use of the Board of Directors and the management and may not be used for any other purpose or be discussed, reproduced, disseminated, quoted or referred to at any time, in any manner, or for any purpose without prior written consent of Updata Advisors, Inc.
 
 
 
Updata Advisors


 
 

 

Table of Contents
 

I.
Introduction
   
II.
Review of Sale Process
   
III.
Scope of Updata’s Analysis
   
IV.
Overview of the Transaction
   
V.
Prescient’s Financial and Situational Overview
   
VI.
Updata’s Analysis of the Transaction
   
 
Appendices:
   
 
A.
Comparable Public Company Descriptions
     
 
B.
Fairness Opinion Letter

 
 

 

I. Introduction

 
 

 
 
Introduction
 
Updata Advisors, Inc. (“Updata”) has been retained by Prescient Applied Intelligence, Inc. (the “Company” or “Prescient”) to render an opinion to the Company’s Board of Directors as to whether the total consideration paid and payable (i) pursuant to the Agreement and Plan of Merger dated August 28, 2008 (the “Agreement”) among the Company, Park City Group, Inc. (“PCG”), PAII Transitory Sub, Inc. (“the Sub”, and collectively with PCG, the “Buyer”), and Randy Fields, an individual who serves as Chairman and CEO of PCG (“Fields” ), and (ii) to certain holders of the Company’s Series E Preferred Stock pursuant to privately negotiated securities purchase agreements, is fair, from a financial point of view, to the Company’s shareholders as a whole as of the date of such opinion. Updata has also been engaged by the Company to serve as financial advisor with respect to a sale or merger of Prescient.
 
This document is being provided to the Board of Directors of the Company in connection with its consideration of the merger pursuant to the Agreement (the “Transaction”). We are not expressing a view as to the business merits of the Transaction; nor are we expressing a view as to the fairness, from a financial point of view, of the consideration received by individual classes of the Company’s shareholders. This document may not be reproduced, disseminated, quoted or referred to without prior written consent of Updata.
 
This document is based upon publicly available information and selected information provided by the Company’s management team. Updata has not independently verified any information, and has relied on it being complete and accurate in all material respects. Updata has neither made nor obtained an independent appraisal of the assets and liabilities of the Company.
 
The analysis contained herein has been based on market, economic, financial and other information as they exist and can be reasonably evaluated as of the date this document was delivered to the Company’s Board of Directors. Subsequent events that could affect the analyses set forth herein may include adverse changes in industry performance or fundamental changes to the business, financial condition and results of operations of the Company.
 
Because this material was prepared in the context of an oral presentation to Prescient’s Board of Directors, and that Board is familiar with the business, affairs and finances of Prescient, neither Prescient nor Updata nor any of their respective legal or financial advisors or accountants take any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of any of the material used by persons other than Prescient’s Board. Neither Prescient nor Updata undertakes any obligation to update or otherwise revise the accompanying materials or the opinion expressed in our presentation.

 
 

 

II. Review of Sale Process
 

 
 

 

Summary of Activity
 
Updata contacted 50 acquirers, beginning with calls in December 2007 which resulted in:
 
 
50 executive summaries (i.e. “teasers”) sent
 
 
19 offering memoranda sent
 
 
9 management meetings/calls held between December 7, 2007 and June 11, 2008. In addition, 3 management meetings were held prior to Updata’s engagement.
 
35 potential acquirers have passed on the opportunity. The most common reasons for passing include:
 
 
Lack of scale and critical mass
 
 
Lack of growth, both historically and forward looking
 
 
Scan-based trading is a niche technology / small market
 
 
Not aligned with strategic priorities / not a fit / too small to spend time on
 
 
Customer/hub concentration concerns
 
Project Premier Activity Summary
Engagement date
 
November 8, 2007
     
Strategic Buyers Contacted
 
46
Financial Buyers Contacted
 
4
Total Buyers On Updata List
 
50
     
Received teaser => pass
 
17
Received teaser => unresponsive
 
13
Signed NDA => pass
 
1
Received teaser => Signed NDA & Received Offering Memo
 
19
     
Reviewed OM => passed
 
7
Reviewed OM => held management meeting
 
12
     
Held management meeting => passed
 
10
Submitted firm offer / Negotiated transaction
 
2
Signed agreement / In process (PCG)
 
1
     
 
Note: Updata assumes that Prescient signed NDA and shared OM and teaser with PCG.

 
 

 

 
Parties Approached by Updata
 
Signed Agreement (1)
 
Submitted Firm Offer (1)
 
Passes (35)
 
Unresponsive (13)
Park City Group (6/11/08)
 
Trilogy (5/4/08)
 
Accenture
 
JDA Software (2)
 
Accel-KKR
       
Activant
 
Logility (2/6/08)
 
ACS
       
Alliance Data
 
Manhattan Associates
 
Agentrics
       
Axway (US)
 
Symphony/Aldata
 
E2open
       
Battery Ventures (9/30/07) (1)
 
Kewill Systems Plc
 
EDS
       
CDC Software (6/1/07) (1)
 
Lawson Software
 
i2 Technologies
       
ClickCommerce
 
Oracle
 
Paragon Technologies
       
Descartes Systems
 
Parallax (3/6/08)
 
QAD
       
EasyLink Services
 
RedPrairie
 
Retalix
       
Epicor
 
Retail Solutions (T3Ci) (1/31/08)
 
SEEBURGER AG – US
       
Fujitsu Transaction Solutions (2/26/08)
 
SAP
 
Teradata
       
GAINSystems
 
SAS Institute
 
WNS
       
GXS (10/1/07) (1)
 
Solarsoft / Marlin (1/31/08)
 
Zensar
       
HighJump Software
 
Sterling Commerce
   
       
Infosys Technologies
 
TorexRetail (2/26/08)
   
       
Inovis (12/7/07)
 
Wipro
   
       
Inverness Graham Investments
 
Zebra Technologies
   
       
Invensys
       
                 

 
 
Note: Bold denotes management meeting held (and date of meeting or initial meeting if more than one).
 
(1) Initial management meeting held prior to Updata’s engagement.
 
(2) Passed prior to Updata engagement.
 
 

 
Summary of Offers for Prescient
     
Park City Group: $9.03M offer paid in three tranches. $4.25M has been paid to three holders of the Company’s Series E Preferred Stock in two separate private transactions and is non-refundable if deal does not close. $4.79M will be paid by PCG to the remaining shareholders at closing, of which $2.5M will be escrowed prior to the Company’s proxy filing (expected to be the week of 9/8). Essentially, PCG has provided Prescient and certain holders of the Series E Preferred Stock with a $6.75M breakup fee if the deal does not close. In addition, PCG has asked for no conditions to closing (other than Prescient stockholder approval and the absence of any injunction or order prohibiting the merger).
     
 
Bidder 2 (Trilogy/Versata): $8.675M all cash offer with short exclusivity period (8 days) during which Company was permitted to continue dialogue with Park City Group. Trilogy demanded a “material adverse change” clause and other standard conditions to closing.
 
Bidder 3 (Parallax): Initially provided written indication of $10-11M. Parallax performed on-site due diligence and subsequently reduced offer to $7-8M. They have since passed on the opportunity.
 
Bidder 4 (Battery): Initially provided written indication of $10-12M to stay in the process, but eventually passed due to their inability to adhere to the process timeline and assign the appropriate amount of resources to the process.
 
Bidder 5 (Logility): Initially provided verbal indication of $7-8M, but subsequently passed.
     
Supply Chain Business Only:
 
Bidder 5 (Logility): Verbal indication of about $3M.
 
Bidder 6 (CDC): Written indication of $1.5M.
     
Advanced Commerce Business Only:
 
Bidder 7 (GXS): Verbal indication of $5M. They indicated that their offer of $5M was a “stretch” for them and would require a “clean” asset deal.

 
 

 


III. Scope of Updata’s Analysis

 
 

 
 
Scope of Updata’s Analysis
     
Agreement & Plan of Merger:
 
We reviewed the terms of the final Agreement & Plan of Merger dated August 28, 2008 and based our opinion on our understanding that the terms and conditions of the draft reviewed will not materially change.
     
Financial Due Diligence:
 
We reviewed Prescient’s financial results including but not limited to (i) its audited financial statements for the one-year periods ended December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006, (ii) unaudited financial results for the six-months ended June 30, 2008, (iii) projected financial and operating results for the six-month period ending December 31, 2008, and (iv) projected financial and operating results for the five year period ending December 31, 2012.
     
Financial/Strategic Review:
 
We participated in certain discussions with Prescient’s senior management concerning the Company’s operational performance and prospects, and strategic rationale for the Transaction. We considered the state of, and trends affecting, the retail marketplace and the supply chain management and enterprise resource planning industries.
     
Comparable Public Companies:
 
We calculated certain valuation multiples based on the Transaction consideration (collectively the “Transaction Multiples”). We compared those multiples with the trading multiples of other relevant publicly traded supply chain management and enterprise resource planning companies. The Transaction Multiples were calculated based on last 12 months (“LTM”) revenue and operating cash flow (“EBITDA”), as well as management projections of FY 2008 revenue and EBITDA. A 20% liquidity discount was applied to this analysis. The selected public companies do not represent the entire universe of potentially relevant supply chain management or enterprise resource planning companies.


 

 
 

 

Scope of Updata’s Analysis(cont’d)
 
Selected Precedent M&A Transactions from Comparable Industries:
 
We compared the Transaction Multiples with those of other reasonably comparable publicly announced retail-oriented application software, supply chain management and enterprise resource planning companies. The precedent M&A transactions represented a select range of precedent transactions in the aforementioned industries. The selected transactions were not intended to be representative of the entire range of possible transactions in these industries.
     
Selected Precedent M&A Transactions of Companies in Comparable Circumstances:
 
We compared the Transaction Multiples with those of other publicly announced involving computer software companies that exhibited “flat” or declining revenue prior to acquisition. For these purposes we analyzed the revenue for the most recent quarter prior to the acquisition announcement as compared to the revenue for the same quarter one year prior. The selected transactions were not intended to be representative of the entire range of possible transactions in the computer software universe.
     
Share Price Performance:
 
We reviewed the share price performance and trading activity for Prescient common stock.


 
 

 
Scope of Updata’s Analysis(cont’d)
 
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis:
 
We generated a series of 5-year projected free cash flow scenarios and developed a valuation range based on discount rates and terminal values. The analysis was performed using Prescient’s 2007 operating plan as a base case, and 2008– 2012 operating and cash flow assumptions provided by Prescient management. The 5-year projections used in this analysis were based on cash flow assumptions provided by Prescient and deemed by Prescient to be reasonable in light of (i) historical norms for the Company and industry and (ii) recent trends in the business and industry. Industry average trading multiples were applied to 5th year revenue and EBITDA to arrive at the terminal value estimates.
     
Premiums Paid on Public Deals:
 
We considered selected M&A transactions in the enterprise software sector with respect to premiums paid over the target’s publicly traded stock price at 1, 5, and 30 trading days prior to the announcement date. We also considered a broader set of M&A transactions in the software and IT services sector with respect to premiums paid over the target’s publicly traded stock price at 1, 5, and 30 trading days prior to the announcement date.
     
Analysis of Alternatives:
 
We reviewed the alternatives that Prescient would have as a stand-alone entity, its ability to grow and prosper in the absence of the Transaction based on management’s assessment, and its ability to remain competitive as a stand-alone entity in the current market environment.
     
Other Review and Analysis:
 
We reviewed such other information, performed such other analyses and procedures, and considered such other factors as we deemed appropriate.
 
 

 
 

 
 
IV. Overview of the Transaction
 

 
 

 
 
Summary of Transaction
 

The following summary of Transaction terms reflects our understanding of the Agreement and Plan of Merger dated August 28, 2008. This summary should be read in conjunction with the entire Agreement as the terms discussed herein are abbreviated and relate primarily to the financial and economic terms of the Agreement. Any capitalized terms not defined herein have the same meaning ascribed to them in the Agreement.
 
Transaction Structure:
 
This transaction is structured as a taxable merger. Following the Transaction, Prescient will be a wholly owned subsidiary of Park City Group, Inc.
     
Transaction Consideration:
 
Concurrent with the execution of the Merger Agreement, Buyer has purchased an aggregate of 715.96 shares, and intends, by September 5, 2008, to purchase in a separate transaction an additional 382.536 shares (collectively, the “Privately Purchased Shares”), of the Company’s Series E Convertible Preferred Stock, par value $.001 per share, pursuant to separate securities purchase agreements between and among the Buyer and the holders of such shares. The combined value of these private transactions totals $4.25 million, representing a price of $3,865 per share.
     
   
Each share of Series G Convertible Preferred Stock, par value $.001 per share, of Prescient issued and outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time (excluding any Dissenting Shares and other than any Series G Shares owned by the Buyer) will be converted into the right to receive $1,136.36 (the “Merger Consideration Per Series G Share”) in cash without interest upon surrender of certificates formerly evidencing such Series G Shares.
     
   
Each share of Series E Convertible Preferred Stock, par value $.001 per share, of Prescient issued and outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time (excluding any Dissenting Shares and other than any Series E Shares owned by the Buyer) will be converted into the right to receive $4,098.00 (the “Merger Consideration Per Series E Share”) in cash without interest upon surrender of certificates formerly evidencing such Series E Shares.
 
 
 
 

 

Summary of Transaction (cont’d)
 
Transaction Consideration (cont’d):
 
Each Common Share, par value $.001 per share, of Prescient issued and outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time (excluding any Dissenting Shares and other than any Common Shares owned by the Buyer) will be converted into the right to receive $0.055 (the “Merger Consideration Per Common Share”) in cash without interest upon surrender of certificates formerly evidencing such Common Shares. Notwithstanding the foregoing, the Common Shares owned by the Company’s four largest shareholders (the “Control Group”) will receive $0.05 (the “Control Group Merger Consideration Per Common Share”).
     
Treatment of Employee Stock Options:
 
Each Stock Option outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time, whether exercisable or not, shall be cancelled by the Company, and the holder thereof shall be entitled to entitled to receive as soon as practicable after the Effective Time from the Buyer following the Merger in consideration for such cancellation an amount in cash equal to the product of (a) the number of Common Shares previously subject to each such Option and (b) the excess, if any, of the Merger Consideration Per Common Share over the exercise price per Common Share previously subject to such Option (collectively, the “Option Consideration”) (it being understood that if any such exercise price exceeds the Merger Consideration Per Common Share, the amount payable in respect of such Option shall be zero).
     
Treatment of Warrants:
 
Each Warrant outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time, shall be converted into the right to receive a cash amount, if any, equal to the excess, if any, of: (i) the Merger Consideration per Common Share, over (ii) the exercise price payable in respect of such Common Share issuable under such Warrant (it being understood that if the exercise price payable in respect of such Common Share issuable under such Warrant exceeds the Merger Consideration per share, the Warrant Consideration in respect of such Warrants shall be zero).
 
 
 
 

 
 
Summary of Transaction (cont’d)
 
Representations and Warranties:
 
Buyer’s representations and warranties are usual and customary for a public transaction of this nature. Seller’s representations and warranties are significantly fewer and less stringent in nature than is customary for transaction of this nature. None of the representations and warranties shall survive the Effective Time of the Merger.
     
Key Conditions to Closing
 
There is no “material adverse change” clause or other significant conditions to closing that seller must satisfy, other than shareholder approval. Buyer must place $2.5M of the remaining $4.79M to be paid at the Effective Time into escrow before the mailing of the proxy statement. Buyer also covenants not to vote its Privately Purchased Shares in a manner that changes the size or composition of the Company’s board of directors, alters stock designations, creates new classes or series of stock, effectuates a liquidation of the Company or other fundamental change, or otherwise materially alters the Transaction.
     
Timing:
 
The Closing of the transactions will take place on the later of (a) the date of the shareholders’ meeting or written Shareholder Approval or (b) the day on which the Conditions to Closing are satisfied or waived, or at such other date, time, and place as the Buyer and the Company agree.
 
 
 

 
Summary of Transaction (cont’d)
 
Transaction Consideration Allocation:
       
         
Base Purchase Price
 
$
9,033,532
 
         
Common Shareholders
 
$
1,744,894
 
         
Preferred Shareholders
       
Series E Preferred
   
6,743,343
 
Series G Preferred
   
545,295
 
   
$
9,033,532
 
 


 
 

 

V. Prescient’s Financial and Situational Overview

 
 

 
Prescient Situational Overview
 
The current macro-economic environment is challenging as spending on software and solutions slows
   
Prescient’s business continues to contract
   
 
H108 revenue vs. H107 revenue: $4.17M vs. $4.96M
     
 
Q208 revenue vs. Q207 revenue: $2.11M vs. $2.51M
     
 
Q108 revenue vs. Q107 revenue: $2.07M vs. $2.44M
     
Missed budgeted revenue expectations of $4.36M for H108 (actual $4.17M)
     
All revenue sources are shrinking (Subscription, Licenses, Maintenance and Professional Services)
     
Successfully reduced expenses to compensate for revenue attrition
     
 
H108 actual operating expenses $3.78M, as compared to H107 actual of $4.27M and H108 budget of $4.23M
     
Forced to incur an impairment of goodwill charge of $7.5M in Q208
     
Recent customer losses:
     
 
AutoZone – Prescient’s largest community hub in FY 2006 (contributed $1.2M to revenue) began gradually winding down its subscription in FY 2007 (contributed $0.6 million in 2007) and was no longer contributing revenue heading into FY 2008


 
 

 

Challenges Facing Prescient as an Independent Company
 
Continuing overall revenue decline
     
Potential loss of another major Community Hub (e.g. AutoZone in 2007)
     
Limited Sales and Marketing staff
     
Limited financial flexibility to make new investments given capital structure and operating trends
     
Illiquid public market for the Company’s stock
     
 
3 month average daily trading volume of 5,736 shares
     
Lack of interest and attention from Wall Street investors, research and market makers


 
 

 
 
 
Prescient Financial and Valuation Profile

         
$ in millions, except per share values
       
Current Summary Capitalization
       
Closing Stock Price as of 9/02/08
 
$
0.06
 
Basic Shares Outstanding (1)
   
33.6
 
Equity Value
 
$
2.0
 
Add: Exercise of Stock Options (1)
   
0.0
 
Less: Proceeds from Stock Options (1)
   
0.0
 
Fully Diluted Equity Value
 
$
2.0
 
Add: Note Payable(1)
   
2.3
 
Preferred Stock (1)
   
21.4
 
Less: Cash (1)
   
2.8
 
Enterprise Value
 
$
22.9
 
         

 
Average Historical Trading Performance
   
Stock Price
 
Volume
Closing Stock Price as of 9/02/08
 
$
0.06
   
1,000
 
One Month Average
   
0.04
   
2,633
 
Three Month Average
   
0.04
   
5,736
 
Six Month Average
   
0.05
   
19,548
 
One Year Average
   
0.07
   
15,847
 
One Year High
   
0.12
       
 


 
Prescient’s Preferred Stock has been taken at face value without any discount applied.

(1) Based on Prescient 10-Q as of June 30, 2008. Assumes no exercise of stock options because all options are currently out-of-the-money.

 
 

 
Prescient Financial Summary – Income Statement

($ in thousands)
 
Actual
 
Projected
   
6 Months Ended
 
FYE December 31,
 
2005A
 
2006A
 
2007A
 
LTM (1)
 
2008P (2)
   
06/30/07
 
06/30/08
 
                                               
Revenue:
                                             
Subscription services
 
$
5,306
 
$
5,793
 
$
5,830
 
$
5,578
 
$
5,722
   
$
3,092
 
$
2,840
 
Licenses
   
559
   
649
   
596
   
326
   
643
     
359
   
90
 
Maintenance
   
1,572
   
1,621
   
1,592
   
1,559
   
1,499
     
785
   
751
 
Professional services
   
1,953
   
1,181
   
1,386
   
1,159
   
1,354
     
719
   
493
 
                                               
Total revenue
 
$
9,390
 
$
9,244
 
$
9,404
 
$
8,622
 
$
9,217
   
$
4,955
 
$
4,174
 
YoY Revenue Growth
   
NA
   
-1.6
%
 
1.7
%
 
NA
   
-2.0
%
   
NA
   
-15.8
%
                                               
Expenses:
                                             
Customer operations and support
   
4,572
   
3,463
   
2,653
   
2,406
   
2,704
     
1,397
   
1,150
 
Development
   
1,393
   
1,354
   
1,154
   
1,232
   
1,442
     
546
   
624
 
Selling and marketing
   
2,172
   
1,967
   
1,807
   
1,712
   
2,422
     
1,041
   
946
 
General and administrative
   
2,939
   
3,087
   
1,979
   
1,750
   
1,681
     
1,050
   
821
 
Depreciation and amortization
   
518
   
506
   
472
   
474
   
479
     
233
   
234
 
                                               
Total operating expenses
 
$
11,593
 
$
10,378
 
$
8,066
 
$
7,573
 
$
8,727
   
$
4,267
 
$
3,775
 
Operating Income (Loss)
 
$
(2,203
)
$
(1,133
)
$
1,338
 
$
1,049
 
$
489
   
$
688
 
$
399
 
Operating Income Margin
   
-23.5
%
 
-12.3
%
 
14.2
%
 
12.2
%
 
5.3
%
   
13.9
%
 
9.6
%
Depreciation & amortization (3)
   
518
   
510
   
472
   
471
   
479
     
235
   
234
 
EBITDA
 
$
(1,685
)
$
(624
)
$
1,810
 
$
1,520
 
$
969
   
$
923
 
$
633
 
EBITDA Margin
   
-17.9
%
 
-6.7
%
 
19.3
%
 
17.6
%
 
10.5
%
   
18.6
%
 
15.2
%

 
(1)           LTM represents last twelve months as of June 30, 2008.
(2)           2008P provided by Prescient management as recently as 7/13/08; it does not reflect Company’s actual H108 results.
(3)           As per Cash Flow Statement.

 
 

 
 
 
Prescient Financial Summary – Income Statement Performance
 

 
Note: Highlighted portion of charts reflects projected periods.
 

Prescient Financial Summary – Balance Sheet

 

                             
$ in thousands
 
Audited
12/31/05
   
Audited
12/31/06
 
Audited
12/31/07
   
Actual
03/31/08
   
Actual
06/30/08
 
                               
Assets:
                             
Cash and cash equivalents
  $ 716     $ 1,017     $ 2,594     $ 2,601     $ 2,796  
Accounts receivable
    1,957       1,437       1,237       1,117       977  
Prepaid and other current assets
    138       109       101       151       195  
Total current assets
  $ 2,812     $ 2,562     $ 3,931     $ 3,869     $ 3,968  
Furniture, equipment and leasehold improvements, net
    224       183       200       192       184  
Intangible assets, net
    2,144       1,700       1,300       1,200       1,100  
Goodwill
    17,380       17,257       17,257       17,257       9,804  
Other Assets
    49       50       49       49       54  
Total Assets
  $ 22,609     $ 21,754     $ 22,738     $ 22,568     $ 15,110  
                                         
Liabilities:
                                       
Current portion note payable
          366       170       194       203  
Accounts payable
    300       118       164       102       152  
Accrued expenses
    1,341       571       633       605       452  
Deferred revenue
    1,083       1,420       1,358       1,230       1,145  
Other current liabilities
                29       8       15  
Total current liabilities
  $ 2,724     $ 2,476     $ 2,353     $ 2,139     $ 1,968  
Deferred maintenance - long-term portion
    13       30       68       49       29  
Long term portion note payable
          2,394       2,228       2,168       2,113  
Total liabilities
  $ 2,736     $ 4,900     $ 4,649     $ 4,355     $ 4,110  
                                         
Stockholders’ equity:
                                       
Series E Preferred Stock
    16,568       16,568       16,568       16,568       16,568  
Series G Preferred Stock
    4,799       4,799       4,799       4,799       4,799  
Common stock
    44       33       34       34       34  
Additional paid-in-capital
    103,501       103,348       104,755       104,794       104,813  
Accumulated deficit
    (105,034 )     (107,887 )     (108,066 )     (107,981 )     (115,213
)
Total stockholders’ equity
  $ 19,873     $ 16,853     $ 18,089     $ 18,213     $ 11,000  
Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity
  $ 22,609     $ 21,754     $ 22,738     $ 22,568     $ 15,110  

 

 
(1) Net Debt is defined as Note Payable less Cash and cash equivalents.

 
 

 
 
 

Prescient LTM Stock Price Performance
 


 
 

 

Relative Stock Price Performance
 

 
 
Note: Prices obtained from Factset on September 2, 2008.
Supply Chain Comparables include: ARBA, DSGX, GSOL, JDAS, KWL-GB, LGTY, MANH.
Mid-Market ERP Comparables include: CHINA, EPIC, LWSN, QADI, SGE-GB.

 
 

 
 
VI. Updata’s Analysis of the Transaction


 
 

 
 
Proposed Transaction Multiples
 

Base Purchase Price
 
$
9,033,532
 
         
Minus: Cash (1)
   
(2,795,884
)
         
Plus: Debt (1)
   
2,316,512
 
         
Enterprise Value
 
$
8,554,160
 
 

 
 
   
Prescient
   
Implied EV
 
Implied Multiples Based On:
   
Metric
   
Multiple
 
               
LTM Revenue (2)
 
$
8,622,153
   
0.99x
 
CY2007A Revenue
 
$
9,403,603
   
0.91x
 
CY2008P Revenue (3)
 
$
9,216,767
   
0.93x
 
               
LTM EBITDA (2)
 
$
1,520,221
   
5.63x
 
CY2007A EBITDA
 
$
1,810,291
   
4.73x
 
CY2008P EBITDA (3)
 
$
968,776
   
8.83x
 
 
 
(1) As of June 30, 2008.
(2) LTM represents last twelve months as of June 30, 2008.
(3) 2008P provided by Prescient management as recently as
7/13/08; it does not reflect Company’s actual H108 results.

 
 

 
Recent Developments Since Last Valuation Analysis
 
On May 8, 2008, Updata provided Prescient’s Board of Directors with a revised valuation analysis that placed the Company’s valuation at $7 – 12M. Since then, several developments have occurred:

 
Overall Market Decline: All major U.S. indices – NASDAQ, S&P 500 and DJIA – have contracted since we last provided the Company with an updated valuation analysis (5/8/08) – see chart on right.
 
Reduced LTM Results: When Updata provided our prior valuation, we used the Company’s FY 2007 results as the basis for our valuation. Since then, the Company has released two quarterly filings, and the results of those two quarters are now reflected in our updated analysis. Prescient’s LTM revenue and EBITDA have declined from $9.4M to $8.6M and from $1.8M to $1.5M, respectively.

 
 
 
 

Relative Stock Price Performance Since May 8, 2008
Nasdaq Composite
   
(4.2%
)
S&P 500
   
(8.6%
)
Dow Jones
   
(10.5%
)

 

Current Valuation Summary
 
 
(1) A 20% liquidity discount has been applied to comparable public company multiples since Prescient is illiquid.
(2) Public computer software deals in which the target had “flat” or declining quarter-over-quarter, year-over-year revenue.

 
 

 

Current Valuation Summary (cont’d)
 

($ in millions)
                                     
Valuation
 
Indicated Multiple
 
Prescient
       
Implied Enterprise Value
 
Metric
 
Low (1)
 
High (1)
 
Metric
 
Discount (2)
 
Low
 
High
 
                                       
Comparable Public Companies
                                     
Supply Chain Management
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
1.6x
   
2.1x
 
$
8.6
   
20
%
$
11.0
 
$
14.5
 
2008P Revenue (3)
   
1.6x
   
2.0x
 
$
9.2
   
20
%
$
11.8
 
$
14.7
 
LTM EBITDA
   
7.0x
   
11.0x
 
$
1.5
   
20
%
$
8.5
 
$
13.4
 
Mid-Market ERP
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
1.1x
   
1.5x
 
$
8.6
   
20
%
$
7.6
 
$
10.3
 
2008P Revenue (3)
   
1.0x
   
1.4x
 
$
9.2
   
20
%
$
7.4
 
$
10.3
 
LTM EBITDA
   
8.0x
   
12.0x
 
$
1.5
   
20
%
$
9.7
 
$
14.6
 
                                       
Precedent M&A Transactions
                                     
Similar Situation (4)
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
0.7x
   
1.1x
 
$
8.6
       
$
6.0
 
$
9.5
 
Retail Vertical Applications
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
2.1x
   
2.5x
 
$
8.6
       
$
18.1
 
$
21.6
 
Supply Chain Management
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
0.9x
   
1.3x
 
$
8.6
       
$
7.8
 
$
11.2
 
Enterprise Resource Planning
                                     
LTM Revenue
   
0.9x
   
1.3x
 
$
8.6
       
$
7.8
 
$
11.2
 
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (5)
                                     
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
   
6.0x
   
10.0x
             
$
5.8
 
$
10.1
 
 
(1) High/Low reference range selected by Updata and derived from relevant industry knowledge and transaction experience.
(2) A 20% liquidity discount has been applied to comparable public company multiples since Prescient is illiquid.
(3) 2008P provided by Prescient management as recently as 7/13/08; it does not reflect Company’s actual H108 results.
(4) Public software deals in which the target had exhibited “flat” or declining quarter-over-quarter, year-over-year revenue prior to acquisition.
(5) Based on terminal EBITDA multiple of 6-10x and assuming discount rate of between 8-14% which is derived from WACC analysis.
 


 
 

 
Comparable Public Company Analysis

($ in Millions, except per share data)
                                                                             
                   
Financial Data
 
Enterprise Value /
 
   
Price
 
Mkt Value
 
Enterprise
 
LTM
 
YoY Rev Growth
 
LTM Margin
 
Revenues
 
EBITDA (3)
 
Company
 
9/02/08
 
of Equity (1)
 
Value (2)
 
Revenue
 
MRQ
 
CY09
 
Gross
 
EBITDA
 
LTM
 
CY2008E
 
CY2009P
 
LTM
 
CY2008E
 
CY2009P
 
                                                                                       
Supply Chain Management
                                                                                     
Ariba Inc.
 
$
14.59
 
$
1,263.7
 
$
1,185.2
 
$
318.0
   
12.5
%
 
13.4
%
 
52.0
%
 
NM
   
3.7x
   
3.5x
   
3.0x
   
NM
   
26.2x
   
16.6x
 
DesCartes Systems Group Inc.
 
$
3.33
 
$
179.6
 
$
132.7
 
$
62.0
   
22.6
%
 
11.6
%
 
64.9
%
 
22.9
%
 
2.1x
   
2.0x
   
1.8x
   
9.3x
   
8.2x
   
7.1x
 
Global Sources Ltd.
 
$
10.70
 
$
499.7
 
$
278.9
 
$
193.2
   
16.2
%
 
16.2
%
 
40.7
%
 
16.7
%
 
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
1.1x
   
8.7x
   
6.9x
   
5.1x
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
 
$
18.31
 
$
582.6
 
$
589.0
 
$
377.8
   
1.2
%
 
4.8
%
 
61.1
%
 
21.8
%
 
1.6x
   
1.5x
   
1.5x
   
7.1x
   
6.3x
   
5.6x
 
Kewill Systems Plc (4)
 
$
1.66
 
$
138.2
 
$
100.4
 
$
102.1
   
9.0
%
 
12.3
%
 
NA
   
10.7
%
 
1.0x
   
1.0x
   
0.9x
   
9.2x
   
7.1x
   
6.3x
 
Logility Inc.
 
$
6.76
 
$
88.0
 
$
45.2
 
$
44.9
   
-7.6
%
 
14.6
%
 
64.5
%
 
28.0
%
 
1.0x
   
0.9x
   
0.8x
   
3.6x
   
NA
   
NA
 
Manhattan Associates Inc.
 
$
24.20
 
$
593.4
 
$
516.5
 
$
348.4
   
1.0
%
 
9.4
%
 
55.8
%
 
16.5
%
 
1.5x
   
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
9.0x
   
8.0x
   
7.0x
 
                                                                                       
Mean
                           
7.8
%
 
11.8
%
 
56.5
%
 
19.4
%
 
1.8x
   
1.6x
   
1.5x
   
7.8x
   
7.3x
   
6.2x
 
Median
                           
9.0
%
 
12.3
%
 
58.5
%
 
19.2
%
 
1.5x
   
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
8.8x
   
7.6x
   
6.6x
 
                                                                                       
Mid-Market ERP
                                                                                     
CDC Corporation
 
$
2.62
 
$
280.7
 
$
263.6
 
$
423.0
   
10.3
%
 
8.7
%
 
45.5
%
 
1.4
%
 
0.6x
   
0.6x
   
0.6x
   
45.6x
   
26.4x
   
10.1x
 
Epicor Software Corp.
 
$
8.48
 
$
505.2
 
$
760.6
 
$
453.0
   
21.0
%
 
9.3
%
 
47.1
%
 
13.1
%
 
1.7x
   
1.5x
   
1.3x
   
12.8x
   
9.3x
   
7.7x
 
Lawson Software Inc.
 
$
8.18
 
$
1,448.5
 
$
1,211.3
 
$
851.9
   
-8.7
%
 
7.5
%
 
51.5
%
 
11.0
%
 
1.4x
   
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
12.9x
   
9.2x
   
7.5x
 
QAD Inc.
 
$
6.41
 
$
196.0
 
$
169.7
 
$
278.3
   
18.0
%
 
7.7
%
 
58.5
%
 
7.4
%
 
0.6x
   
0.6x
   
0.6x
   
8.3x
   
7.2x
   
5.9x
 
Sage Group PLC (4)
 
$
3.86
 
$
5,044.2
 
$
7,080.1
 
$
2,456.8
   
16.0
%
 
5.9
%
 
91.8
%
 
22.4
%
 
2.9x
   
2.8x
   
2.7x
   
12.8x
   
12.7x
   
11.0x
 
Mean
                           
11.3
%
 
7.9
%
 
58.9
%
 
11.0
%
 
1.4x
   
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
11.7x
   
9.6x
   
8.4x
 
Median
                           
16.0
%
 
7.7
%
 
51.5
%
 
11.0
%
 
1.4x
   
1.4x
   
1.3x
   
12.8x
   
9.3x
   
7.7x
 
                                                                                       
Prescient Applied Intelligence Inc.(5)
 
$
0.06
 
$
2.0
 
$
22.9
 
$
8.6
   
-16.1
%
 
2.0
%
 
83.8
%
 
20.4
%
 
2.7x
   
2.5x
   
NA
   
15.1x
   
23.6x
   
NA
 
 
 

Prescient’s Preferred Stock has been taken at face value without any discount applied.

 



(1) Market value is calculated as diluted shares outstanding times current stock price per share.
(2) Enterprise value is equal to market capitalization plus debt and pfd stock minus cash and cash equivalents.
(3) EBITDA excludes all one-time charges and expenses.
(4) Kewill and Sage report semi-annually therefore Q/Q growth is actually half/half.
(5) Prescient’s Preferred Stock is taken at face value without any discount applied.
Note: Outliers, as indicated by an italics, are excluded from mean calculations.
All estimates obtained from Factset on September 2, 2008.                                                                                                                                

 
 

 

Similar Situation Precedent Transactions
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
 
EV/
Rev
 
MRQ
YoY (1)
Aug-08
 
i2 Technologies
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
 
$
418.6
 
1.6x
 
-0.4%
 
Aug-08
 
MIVA Inc.
 
Blinkx Plc
   
16.4
 
0.1x
 
-24.9%
 
Jun-08
 
Insightful Corporation
 
TIBCO Software Inc.
   
14.9
 
0.7x
 
-21.0%
 
May-08
 
Kintera, Inc.
 
Blackbaud, Inc
   
43.6
 
1.0x
 
-16.9%
 
Mar-08
 
Optio Software
 
Bottomline Technologies
   
35.9
 
1.3x
 
-9.8%
 
Jan-08
 
VantagePoint Systems
 
Solarsoft Business Systems
   
10.5
 
0.9x
 
3.1%
 
Dec-07
 
NUVO Network Management Inc.
 
Versata Enterprises, Inc
   
16.9
 
1.0x
 
-2.4%
 
Oct-07
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
 
BravoSolution, S.p.A
   
13.3
 
0.9x
 
-27.2%
 
Aug-07
 
Gensym Corporation
 
Versata Enterprises, Inc
   
15.9
 
1.0x
 
-10.9%
 
Feb-07
 
VantageMed Corporation
 
Nightingale Informatix Corporation
   
12.3
 
1.1x
 
-17.1%
 
Mar-06
 
Artemis International Solutions
 
Versata Group
   
21.0
 
0.4x
 
-9.7%
 
Dec-05
 
Versata, Inc
 
Trilogy, Inc
   
3.3
 
0.3x
 
-44.1%
 
Aug-05
 
Robocom Systems International Inc.
 
Avantce RSI, LLC
   
2.5
 
0.7x
 
-8.6%
 
             
Mean
 
0.9x
     
             
Median
 
0.9x
     
 
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.
(1) Percentage revenue growth (decline) for target’s most recent quarter prior to announcement of transaction as compared to the same period, one year prior.

 
 

 
Retail Vertical Applications Precedent Transactions
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Jun-08
 
OATSystems, Inc. (1)
 
Checkpoint Systems, Inc.
 
$
39.9
   
NA
 
Jun-08
 
CAM Commerce Solutions
 
Great Hill Partners
   
152.8
   
4.2x
 
Jan-08
 
Verisign/Retail Data Services
 
T3Ci
   
NA
   
NA
 
Dec-07
 
iTradeNetwork
 
Accel-KKR
   
NA
   
NA
 
Dec-07
 
NSB Retail Systems PLC
 
Epicor Software Corporation
   
287.4
   
3.2x
 
Nov-07
 
EnfoTrust Networks
 
Reflexis Systems Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Sep-07
 
Landsteinar Nederland BV
 
K3 Business Technology Group plc
   
20.0
   
2.4x
 
Jun-07
 
Torex Retail
 
Cerberus European Investments
   
830.0
   
1.7x
 
Jun-07
 
InfoGenesis
 
Agilysys, Inc
   
90.0
   
2.1x
 
May-07
 
Blue Agave Software
 
i2 Technologies
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-07
 
Solika Solutions
 
TASQ Technology
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-07
 
ThePage.com
 
Junction Solutions
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-07
 
ISS Retail
 
Junction Solutions
   
NA
   
NA
 
Dec-06
 
StorePerform
 
RedPrairie Corporation
   
NA
   
NA
 
Nov-06
 
TradePoint Solutions, Inc
 
DemandTec
   
9.6
   
4.4x
 
Nov-06
 
Comergent Technologies
 
Sterling Commerce
   
155.0
   
5.2x
 
Sep-06
 
Precision Software Limited (2)
 
QAD Inc.
   
14.8
   
1.5x
 
Aug-06
 
icarz
 
Wrenchead, Incorporated
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jul-06
 
Retail-J Limited
 
Torex Retail Plc
   
91.0
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
BlueCube Software
 
RedPrairie Corporation
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
Demantra
 
Oracle
   
41.0
   
2.6x
 
Apr-06
 
Eleven Technology
 
Trimble Navigation
   
NA
   
NA
 
Apr-06
 
Manugistics Group Inc
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
   
264.1
   
1.5x
 
Apr-06
 
Savista Corp
 
Torex Retail Plc
   
54.8
   
4.7x
 
Mar-06
 
MATRA Systems
 
Clarity Commerce Solutions plc
   
5.2
   
0.6x
 
Feb-06
 
CommercialWare, Inc
 
Datavantage Corporation
   
13.2
   
NA
 
 

 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.
(1) EV includes $2.2M of additional consideration to be distributed during the third quarter of 2008.
(2) EV includes $7.2M of additional consideration to be paid over two year period.

 
 

 
 
 
Retail Vertical Applications Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Jan-06
 
360Commerce Inc
 
Oracle Corporation
 
$
95.0
   
3.0x
 
Dec-05
 
CRS Retail Systems
 
Epicor Software Corp
   
121.0
   
2.0x
 
Nov-05
 
Khimetrics, Inc
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-05
 
Retail Solutions Inc
 
VeriSign Inc,
   
24.0
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
Systech Retail Systems Corp
 
Torex Retail Plc
   
33.0
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
G-Log
 
Oracle
   
100.0
   
2.5x
 
Sep-05
 
Triversity
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jul-05
 
Digital Union Limited
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
   
3.1
   
1.8x
 
Jul-05
 
ProfitLogic
 
Oracle
   
175.0
   
4.4x
 
Apr-05
 
TCI Solutions, Inc
 
Retalix Ltd
   
34.4
   
1.6x
 
Apr-05
 
Integrated Distribution Solutions
 
Retalix Ltd
   
44.4
   
1.6x
 
Feb-05
 
Retek Inc
 
Oracle Corporation
   
434.0
   
2.5x
 
Jan-05
 
UNIT S.p.A
 
Retalix Ltd
   
3.6
   
0.3x
 
             
Mean
   
2.6x
 
             
Median
   
2.4x
 
 

 
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
Supply Chain Management Precedent Transactions
 
Public Targets
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Aug-08
 
i2 Technologies, Inc.
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
 
$
418.6
   
1.6x
 
Oct-07
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
 
BravoSolution, S.p.A
   
13.3
   
0.9x
 
May-07
 
CIMNET
 
Invensys, PLC
   
22.1
   
4.2x
 
Sep-06
 
Click Commerce, Inc
 
Illinois Tool Works Inc
   
287.0
   
3.9x
 
Aug-06
 
Zomax
 
ComVest Investment Partners
   
25.9
   
0.2x
 
Apr-06
 
Manugistics Group Inc
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
   
264.1
   
1.5x
 
Oct-05
 
Neoforma, Inc.
 
Global Healthcare Exchange, LLC
   
165.0
   
7.6x
 
Sep-04
 
QRS Corporation
 
Inovis International
   
81.6
   
0.7x
 
Jun-04
 
Catalyst International, Inc
 
ComVest Investment Partners
   
19.0
   
0.6x
 
Apr-04
 
SciQuest
 
Trinity Ventures
   
14.8
   
2.2x
 
Jan-04
 
FreeMarkets, Inc
 
Ariba, Inc
   
388.1
   
2.8x
 
             
Mean
   
1.9x
 
             
Median
   
1.6x
 
 
Private Targets
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Jun-08
 
IQNavigator
 
GTCR Golder Rauner, LLC
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-08
 
HighJump Software
 
Battery Ventures
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-08
 
Edge Dynamics, Inc
 
I-many, Inc.
 
$
1.0
   
0.1x
 
Apr-08
 
Incuity Software, Inc.
 
Rockwell Automation, Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Apr-08
 
FullTilt Solutions Inc.
 
QAD Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-08
 
Four Soft Ltd.
 
TAKE Solutions
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-08
 
Acsis Inc
 
Saints Capital
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-08
 
Open Channel Solutions, Inc
 
CMGI, Inc.
   
24.5
   
NA
 
 

 

 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.
Note: Outliers, as indicated by an italics, are excluded from mean calculations.

 
 

 
 
 
 
Supply Chain Management Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Feb-08
 
Optimization Alternatives Ltd
 
Railcar Management, LLC
   
NA
   
NA
 
Nov-07
 
BetweenMarkets
 
Inovis
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-07
 
Navis Holdings, LLC
 
Zebra Technologies Corporation
 
$
145.0
   
2.4x
 
Sep-07
 
Procuri Inc
 
Ariba, Inc.
   
101.0
   
4.0x
 
Sep-07
 
Catalyst International
 
CDC Software
   
NA
   
NA
 
Aug-07
 
Global Freight Exchange Limited
 
Descartes Systems Group
   
7.2
   
NA
 
Aug-07
 
TelaPoint, Inc
 
Wright Express Corporation
   
40.0
   
NA
 
Jul-07
 
SmartTrack
 
Imarda Ltd
   
5.8
   
NA
 
May-07
 
RMI
 
Carlyle Group
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-07
 
Blue Agave Software, Inc
 
i2 Technologies, Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Apr-07
 
PulseOne Solutions Group
 
Scancode Systems Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-07
 
Ocean Tariff Bureau and Blue Pacific
 
Descartes Systems Group
   
1.9
   
NA
 
Feb-07
 
IPACS e-Solutions Group
 
Kewill Systems, plc.
   
6.6
   
NA
 
Feb-07
 
LogicTools
 
ILOG
   
15.0
   
NA
 
Nov-06
 
FMI International LLC
 
Maritime Logistics US Holdings Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Nov-06
 
Comergent Technologies, Inc
 
Sterling Commerce
   
155.0
   
5.2x
 
Nov-06
 
Cube Route Inc
 
Descartes Systems Group Inc
   
1.6
   
NA
 
Oct-06
 
Headwater Technology Solutions, Inc
 
Accellos, Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Aug-06
 
Acuity ID LLC
 
Barcoding Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
Flagship Customs Services, Inc
 
Descartes Systems Group Inc.
   
29.3
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
Global Link Logistics
 
Golden Gate Logistics, LLC
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
Demantra
 
Oracle
   
41.0
   
2.6x
 
May-06
 
Frictionless Commerce
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-06
 
Nistevo
 
Sterling Commerce
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-06
 
Savi Technology, Inc
 
Lockheed Martin Corporation
   
NA
   
NA
 
Apr-06
 
ViaSafe Inc.
 
Descartes Systems Group Inc.
   
8.4
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
Ideal Systems, Inc
 
Global Healthcare Exchange
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
LDS Corporation
 
Cadre Technologies, Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
 

 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
 
 
 
Supply Chain Management Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Mar-06
 
SupplyWorks Inc
 
Intuitive Manufacturing Systems
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
Provia Software Inc
 
SSA Global Technologies
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
Owens Direct
 
SPS Commerce
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
SeeCommerce
 
Teradata
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
RiverOne, Inc - assets
 
i2 Technologies, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
eBoomerang, Inc
 
ClearOrbit
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
Elance, Inc. assets
 
Click Commerce, Inc.
 
$
15.0
   
NA
 
Jan-06
 
MARC Global Holdings
 
RedPrairie
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-06
 
JRG Software
 
CDC Software
   
NA
   
NA
 
Nov-05
 
Requisite Technology, Inc
 
Click Commerce, Inc.
   
12.5
   
NA
 
Nov-05
 
i2 Technologies CDS division
 
IHS Inc.
   
30.0
   
NA
 
Nov-05
 
Acsis, Inc
 
Safeguard Scientifics, Inc
   
26.0
   
1.2x
 
Nov-05
 
Interchain Holdings, B.V
 
Kewill
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-05
 
RangeGate Mobile Solutions Ltd
 
RedPrairie
   
NA
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
G-Log
 
Oracle
   
NA
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
DCS Transportation and Logistics Solutions
 
Four Soft Limited
   
19.0
   
NA
 
Aug-05
 
Modulair Easy Access BV
 
Exact Software
   
NA
   
NA
 
Aug-05
 
Robocom Systems International Inc.
 
Avantce RSI, LLC
   
2.5
   
0.7x
 
Aug-05
 
Prophet 21 Inc.
 
Activant Solutions Inc.
   
215.0
   
NA
 
Aug-05
 
Evant, Inc
 
Manhattan Associates
   
50.0
   
2.5x
 
Jul-05
 
Digital Union Limited
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
   
3.1
   
1.8x
 
Jul-05
 
QUATRO Information Systems
 
IBS AB
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jul-05
 
Intuita Holdings Ltd
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jul-05
 
Perwill Plc
 
Kewill Systems Plc
   
3.5
   
1.2x
 
May-05
 
Xelus, Inc
 
Click Commerce, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
 
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
 
 
 
Supply Chain Management Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
May-05
 
IDS
 
International Business Systems
 
$
17.5
   
1.2x
 
Apr-05
 
RedPrairie Corp.
 
Francisco Partners Management LLC
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-05
 
Contract Management Solutions
 
Procuri Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
Optum, Inc
 
Click Commerce
   
30.0
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
ChannelWave certain assets
 
Click Commerce, Inc
   
5.3
   
NA
 
Jan-05
 
Mercia Software
 
Infor Global Solutions,
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-05
 
Valuedge
 
Emptoris, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
             
Mean
   
2.1x
 
             
Median
   
1.8x
 
                     
             
All SCM Deals
             
Mean
   
2.0x
 
             
Median
   
1.7x
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
Enterprise Resource Planning Precedent Transactions
 
Public Targets
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Jan-08
 
VantagePoint Systems
 
Solarsoft Business Systems
 
$
10.5
   
0.9x
 
Oct-06
 
Indus International, Inc
 
MDSI Mobile Data Solutions
   
214.0
   
1.7x
 
Aug-06
 
MRO Software, Inc
 
IBM
   
586.0
   
2.6x
 
May-06
 
SSA Global Technologies
 
Infor
   
1,510.0
   
2.1x
 
Jan-06
 
Datastream Systems, Inc
 
Infor
   
160.0
   
1.7x
 
Nov-05
 
Geac Computer Corporation
 
Golden Gate Capital
   
802.0
   
1.8x
 
Jun-05
 
Intentia
 
Lawson Software
   
458.0
   
1.2x
 
Jan-05
 
Mapics Inc
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
320.4
   
1.9x
 
Jan-05
 
Speedware Corporation Inc
 
Activant Solutions Inc
   
95.2
   
2.7x
 
Dec-04
 
PeopleSoft Inc
 
Oracle Corp
   
8,643.0
   
3.2x
 
             
Mean
   
2.0x
 
             
Median
   
1.8x
 
 
Private Targets
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Jun-08
 
Visiprise, Inc.
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-08
 
Integrated Solutions Ltd
 
CDC Software
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-08
 
KCS.net Holding AG
 
Carlyle Group
   
NA
   
NA
 
Aug-07
 
Mobisoft Oy
 
Digital Dispatch Systems Inc.
 
$
7.7
   
1.4x
 
May-07
 
Silk Systems Inc
 
Activant Solutions Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-07
 
Hansen Information Technologies
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-07
 
CrossBorder Solutions
 
Thomson Corporation
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jan-07
 
Mincom Limited
 
Francisco Partners
   
250.0
   
1.6x
 
Jan-07
 
Solid Data NV/SA
 
Exact Holding N.V
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-06
 
Cognition Solutions Ltd
 
Maxima Holdings Plc
   
14.0
   
1.6x
 
Oct-06
 
MVI Technology
 
CDC Software
   
NA
   
NA
 
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 

 
 
Enterprise Resource Planning Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Nov-06
 
FBO Systems, Inc
 
QAD Inc.
 
$
2.8
   
0.7x
 
Oct-06
 
Taxware LP
 
ADP Employer Services
   
125.0
   
NA
 
Oct-06
 
Indus International, Inc
 
MDSI Mobile Data Solutions
   
214.0
   
1.7x
 
Sep-06
 
TaxWise Corporation
 
CCH
   
120.0
   
2.3x
 
Aug-06
 
Caver-Morehead Systems, Inc.
 
RF Monolithics, Inc
   
4.0
   
2.4x
 
Jul-06
 
Praxis Software Solutions
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
Jun-06
 
Bluefinger Limited
 
Cybit
   
3.0
   
0.5x
 
Jun-06
 
Bäurer GmbH
 
Sage Group plc
   
29.5
   
1.0x
 
May-06
 
Primavera Systems, Inc.
 
Francisco Partners / Insight Venture
   
200.0
   
1.8x
 
Apr-06
 
AssetMetrix Inc
 
Microsoft Corp
   
NA
   
NA
 
Apr-06
 
Relevant Business Systems Inc
 
Intuitive Manufacturing Systems
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
Encompix Inc
 
Made2Manage Systems Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
Activant Solutions Inc.
 
Hellman & Friedman / Thoma Cressey
   
NA
   
NA
 
Mar-06
 
Assurity Technologies Inc
 
Trintech Group Plc
   
2.0
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
AXIS Computer Systems Inc
 
Made2Manage Systems Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-06
 
Constructware
 
Autodesk, Inc.
   
46.0
   
NA
 
Dec-05
 
FiveSight Technologies
 
Intalio, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Nov-05
 
Adonix SA
 
Sage Group plc
   
137.1
   
1.8x
 
Nov-05
 
Capri Corp
 
Made2Manage Systems Inc.
   
5.0
   
NA
 
Nov-05
 
FormulaWare
 
3i Infotech Ltd.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-05
 
Infra Business Solutions, GmbH
 
SoftBrands, Inc.
   
NA
   
NA
 
Oct-05
 
Wind2 Software, Inc
 
Deltek
   
NA
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
ProfitKey International
 
HALO Technology Holdings, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Sep-05
 
Foresight Software, Inc
 
HALO Technology Holdings, Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
Aug-05
 
Prophet 21 Inc.
 
Activant Solutions Inc.
   
215.0
   
NA
 
Jul-05
 
Simple Concepts AB
 
CodaSciSys
   
3.9
   
1.8x
 
Jun-05
 
Lighthammer Software Development
 
SAP AG
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-05
 
Systems House Inc
 
Activant Solutions Inc
   
NA
   
NA
 
May-05
 
Gruppo Formula
 
Adonix
   
NA
   
NA
 
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
 
Enterprise Resource Planning Precedent Transactions (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
   
EV
   
EV/
Rev
Oct-05
 
Software firm serving project-driven
 
ERP vendor for project-based
 
$
15.0
   
1.4x
 
Mar-05
 
2nd Story Software Inc
 
TA Associates
   
120.0
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
ERP Complete
 
Microsoft Corp
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
Ceitel SA
 
Generix SA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
Visionary Systems, LTD
 
Affiliated Computer Services
   
16.5
   
NA
 
Feb-05
 
Symfonia
 
Sage Group Plc
   
19.5
   
2.3x
 
Jan-05
 
Simultan AG
 
Sage Group Plc
   
18.8
   
1.0x
 
             
Mean
   
1.6x
 
             
Median
   
1.6x
 
                     
             
All ERP Deals
             
Mean
   
1.8x
 
             
Median
   
1.8x
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
 
Updata Advisors constructed a 5-year discounted cash flow model for the Company using financial projections provided by Prescient. The 5-year cash flow model was built using assumptions provided by Prescient management and was reviewed by Prescient management and deemed to be reasonable in light of current industry and Company factors.
 
Key additional assumptions in the model:
 
 
Assumed an effective tax rate of 5% given current net operating loss carry forward situation
 
 
Gradual revenue increase, from 1% in 2009 to 8% in 2012
 
 
Operating expenses were held relatively constant on a % of revenue basis based on historical trends
 
 
Capital expenditures for 2008 are estimated based on historical rate of approx 0.7%; Company also expects to pay $250,000 for a data center move in 2009
 
 
2008-2012 change in working capital calculated as 2% of revenue
 
 
Discount Rate of between 8% and 14% which is derived from WACC analysis
 
 
Terminal Value for Prescient calculated using a range of EV/EBITDA multiples of 6x – 10x
 
 
Present value taken as of September 2, 2008

 
 

 

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (cont’d)
 
Income Statement - Prescient Applied Intelligence
($in millions except per share data)

   
Estimated
 
Projected
   
   
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
   
Revenue
 
$
9.217
 
$
9.309
 
$
9.588
 
$
10.068
 
$
10.873
   
Revenue Growth
         
1
%
 
3
%
 
5
%
 
8
%
Expenses
                                 
General and Administrative Expenses
   
7.286
   
7.359
   
7.579
   
7.958
   
8.595
   
Development
   
1.442
   
1.456
   
1.500
   
1.575
   
1.701
   
Total Expenses
   
8.727
   
8.815
   
9.079
   
9.533
   
10.296
   
                                   
Operating Income (EBIT)
 
$
0.489
 
$
0.494
 
$
0.509
 
$
0.535
 
$
0.577
   
Interest Expense (1)
   
(0.162
)
 
(0.095
)
 
0.000
   
0.000
   
0.000
   
Interest Income (2)
   
0.040
   
0.023
   
0.000
   
0.000
   
0.000
   
Pre-Tax Income
   
0.367
   
0.423
   
0.509
   
0.535
   
0.577
   
Income Taxes (Effective Tax Rate of 5.0%)
   
(0.018
)
 
(0.021
)
 
(0.025
)
 
(0.027
)
 
(0.029
)
 
Net Income
 
$
0.349
 
$
0.402
 
$
0.484
 
$
0.508
 
$
0.548
   
                                   
EBITDA
 
$
0.957
 
$
0.962
 
$
0.977
 
$
1.003
 
$
1.045
   
                                   
Depreciation
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
Capital Expenditures (3)
   
0.067
   
0.318
   
0.070
   
0.073
   
0.079
   

 
 
(1) Interest related to TAK Note.
(2) Assumes Company uses existing cash balance to repay TAK Note in 2009 ($2.1MM). Interest income and expense reduced to $0 in Aug-09 and beyond.
(3) Company estimates $250k for data center move in 2009.

 
 

 
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis (cont’d)
 
Discounted Free Cash Flow Analysis - Prescient Applied Intelligence
($in millions except per share data)

                                 
   
Estimated
 
Projected
 
   
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
EBITDA
 
$
0.957
 
$
0.962
 
$
0.977
 
$
1.003
 
$
1.045
 
EBIT
 
$
0.489
 
$
0.494
 
$
0.509
 
$
0.535
 
$
0.577
 
Less: Income Taxes (Effective Tax Rate of 5.0%)
   
(0.018
)
 
(0.021
)
 
(0.025
)
 
(0.027
)
 
(0.029
)
Tax-effected EBIT
 
$
0.471
 
$
0.473
 
$
0.484
 
$
0.508
 
$
0.548
 
Plus: Depreciation & Amortization
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
   
0.468
 
Less: Capital Expenditures
   
(0.067
)
 
(0.318
)
 
(0.070
)
 
(0.073
)
 
(0.079
)
Less: Additional Working Capital Requirements
   
(0.184
)
 
(0.186
)
 
(0.192
)
 
(0.201
)
 
(0.217
)
Unlevered FCF
 
$
0.688
 
$
0.437
 
$
0.690
 
$
0.701
 
$
0.720
 
                                 
PV of Unlevered FCF
 
$
0.656
 
$
0.379
 
$
0.544
 
$
0.502
 
$
0.469
 

Key Assumptions
Discount Rate (1)
10.0%
Terminal EBITDA Multiple
8.0x
   
Implied Perpetual Growth Rate
2.9%

Sensitivity Analysis - Implied Enterprise Value
Discount
 
EBITDA Multiple
 
Rate
 
6.0x
 
7.0x
 
8.0x
 
9.0x
 
10.0x
 
8.0%
 
$
7.1
 
$
7.8
 
$
8.6
 
$
9.3
 
$
10.1
 
10.0%
 
$
6.6
 
$
7.3
 
$
8.0
 
$
8.7
 
$
9.4
 
12.0%
 
$
6.2
 
$
6.8
 
$
7.5
 
$
8.1
 
$
8.7
 
14.0%
 
$
5.8
 
$
6.4
 
$
7.0
 
$
7.6
 
$
8.1
 

 
Terminal Value - EBITDA Multiple
 
Terminal EBITDA - 2012P
 
$
1.0
       
Terminal Multiple
   
8.0x
       
FV of Terminal Value
 
$
8.4
       
               
     
$
   
%
 
PV of Period Cash Flows
 
$
2.5
   
31.9
%
PV of Terminal Value
   
5.4
   
68.1
%
Enterprise Value
 
$
8.0
   
100.0
%
Less: Debt @ 06/30/2008
   
(2.3
)
     
Plus Cash @ 06/30/2008
   
2.8
       
Equity Value
 
$
8.5
 
       

(1) Discount rate derived from WACC analysis.
Note: Balance sheet information per 6/30/08 Form 10Q. Share count per 6/30/08 Form 10Q.

 
 

 
Premiums Analysis Summary
 
   
Prescient
 
Previously Paid
             
   
Price /
 
Range of Premiums
 
Implied Offer Price / Share
 
Premiums Analysis
 
Share (1)
 
Low
 
Median
 
High
 
Low
 
Median
 
High
 
Selected Enterprise Software Deals
                                           
Premium - 1 day Prior
 
$
0.06
   
-54.4
%
 
21.4
%
 
115.2
%
$
0.03
 
$
0.07
 
$
0.12
 
Premium - 5 days Prior
 
$
0.03
   
-46.2
%
 
23.0
%
 
94.8
%
$
0.02
 
$
0.04
 
$
0.06
 
Premium - 30 days Prior
 
$
0.03
   
-6.9
%
 
34.0
%
 
110.3
%
$
0.03
 
$
0.04
 
$
0.07
 
                                             
Selected Software and Services Deals (Price Paid £ $5/share)
                       
Premium - 1 day Prior
 
$
0.06
   
-66.0
%
 
27.0
%
 
179.0
%
$
0.02
 
$
0.07
 
$
0.15
 
Premium - 5 days Prior
 
$
0.03
   
-63.0
%
 
32.5
%
 
202.0
%
$
0.01
 
$
0.04
 
$
0.09
 
Premium - 30 days Prior
 
$
0.03
   
-62.0
%
 
39.5
%
 
242.0
%
$
0.01
 
$
0.05
 
$
0.11
 
                                             
Historical Closing Price Range
                                           
Last 30 trading days
   
   
   
   
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.06
 
Last 60 trading days
   
   
   
   
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.06
 
Last 90 trading days
   
   
   
   
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.04
 
$
0.07
 
Twelve Months
   
   
   
   
 
$
0.03
 
$
0.08
 
$
0.15
 

Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Enterprise Software Deals (2006 –Present) (cont’d)
 
($ in millions)
           
Premium Analyis
   
Announce Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
 
EV
 
1-Day
 
5-Day
 
30-Day
   
Apr-07
 
Workbrain Corp.
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
153.7
 
21.6
%
 
25.1
%
 
37.1
%
Mar-07
 
Kronos Incorporated
 
Hellman & Friedman Capital
   
1,760.0
 
18.0
%
 
32.6
%
 
41.7
%
Mar-07
 
MapInfo Corporation
 
Pitney Bowes Inc.
   
422.0
 
53.3
%
 
50.5
%
 
48.4
%
Mar-07
 
WebEx
 
Cisco Systems
   
2,855.0
 
23.4
%
 
23.1
%
 
53.7
%
Mar-07
 
Dendrite International, Inc
 
CEGEDIM S.A.
   
673.0
 
25.1
%
 
23.0
%
 
54.1
%
Mar-07
 
Hyperion Solutions Corporation
 
Oracle Corporation
   
2,805.0
 
21.4
%
 
18.3
%
 
53.1
%
Feb-07
 
Corillian Corporation
 
CheckFree Corporation
   
220.0
 
49.3
%
 
60.4
%
 
36.6
%
Feb-07
 
Witness Systems, Inc
 
Verint Systems Inc.
   
950.0
 
23.5
%
 
23.0
%
 
51.4
%
Feb-07
 
Investors Financial Services Corp
 
State Street Corporation
   
4,448.0
 
38.5
%
 
43.5
%
 
55.2
%
Jan-07
 
Carreker Corporation
 
CheckFree Corporation
   
169.0
 
5.4
%
 
5.9
%
 
13.1
%
Dec-06
 
John H. Harland Co
 
M&F Worldwide Corp
   
1,724.0
 
18.6
%
 
19.5
%
 
22.2
%
Dec-06
 
KNOVA Software Inc
 
M2M Holdings Inc.
   
37.8
 
19.1
%
 
22.0
%
 
25.0
%
Dec-06
 
@Road, Inc.
 
Trimble Navigation Ltd
   
401.0
 
11.8
%
 
11.9
%
 
17.0
%
Dec-06
 
Docucorp International
 
Skywire Software
   
124.0
 
33.3
%
 
36.1
%
 
24.1
%
Nov-06
 
Digital Insight
 
Intuit Inc
   
1,260.0
 
18.2
%
 
16.7
%
 
32.7
%
Nov-06
 
Netsmart Technologies, Inc.
 
Insight Venture Partners
   
109.0
 
12.2
%
 
26.7
%
 
21.3
%
Nov-06
 
Stellent, Inc
 
Oracle Corporation
   
377.0
 
27.1
%
 
17.6
%
 
21.3
%
Oct-06
 
Indus International, Inc
 
MDSI Mobile Data Solutions Incorporated
   
214.0
 
52.8
%
 
44.2
%
 
84.2
%
Oct-06
 
MetaSolv, Inc
 
Oracle Corporation
   
161.0
 
23.5
%
 
19.5
%
 
34.4
%
Oct-06
 
Open Solutions Inc
 
Providence Equity Partners and The Carlyle Group
   
1,415.0
 
25.5
%
 
30.9
%
 
27.8
%
Sep-06
 
Click Commerce, Inc
 
Illinois Tool Works Inc
   
287.0
 
26.7
%
 
36.2
%
 
40.4
%
Sep-06
 
Intergraph Corporation
 
Hellman & Friedman LLC and Texas Pacific Group
   
1,074.0
 
17.8
%
 
23.0
%
 
32.7
%
Aug-06
 
FileNet Corporation
 
IBM
   
1,150.0
 
1.0
%
 
4.0
%
 
33.6
%
Aug-06
 
Zomax
 
ComVest Investment Partners
   
25.9
 
46.2
%
 
39.3
%
 
35.7
%
Aug-06
 
MRO Software, Inc
 
IBM
   
586.0
 
19.4
%
 
33.5
%
 
29.4
%
May-06
 
SSA Global Technologies
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
1,510.0
 
25.1
%
 
22.4
%
 
21.7
%
Apr-06
 
Systems Union Group plc
 
Extensity
   
387.0
 
3.4
%
 
14.2
%
 
20.4
%
Apr-06
 
Manugistics Group Inc
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
   
264.1
 
5.9
%
 
7.8
%
 
13.6
%
Mar-06
 
MatrixOne
 
Dassault Systemes
   
309.0
 
20.6
%
 
26.3
%
 
39.2
%
Jan-06
 
Datastream Systems, Inc
 
Infor Global Solutions
   
160.0
 
16.6
%
 
18.5
%
 
22.0
%

Mean
   
25.3
%
 
27.2
%
 
36.7
%
Median
   
21.4
%
 
23.0
%
 
34.0
%
High
   
115.2
%
 
94.8
%
 
110.3
%
Low
   
-54.4
%
 
-46.2
%
 
-6.9
%
 
Source: Updata Proprietary Database.

 
 

 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Software & Services Deals with Offer Price/Share of £ $5 (2006 – Present)
 
($ in millions except per share values)
                       
Premium Analysis
 
Announce Date
 
Seller Name
 
Buyer Name
 
Enterprise Value
 
Price /Share
 
1 Day
 
5 Day
 
30 Day
Aug-08
 
Zi Corp.
 
Nuance Communications, Inc.
 
$
35.5
 
$
0.80
   
150.0
%
 
100.0
%
 
111.0
%
Aug-08
 
Netstore PLC
 
2e2 Holdings Ltd.
   
99.0
   
0.61
   
33.0
%
 
33.0
%
 
14.0
%
Aug-08
 
MIVA, Inc.
 
Blinkx PLC
   
18.4
   
1.20
   
54.0
%
 
54.0
%
 
4.0
%
Jul-08
 
Datasul SA
 
TOTVS SA
   
444.4
   
4.91
   
-66.0
%
 
-63.0
%
 
-62.0
%
Jul-08
 
AXA Framlington / Blackrock
 
H&F Sensor Bidco Ltd.
   
397.0
   
3.79
   
13.0
%
 
26.0
%
 
28.0
%
Jul-08
 
Financial Objects PLC
 
TEMENOS Group AG
   
43.3
   
1.19
   
88.0
%
 
77.0
%
 
71.0
%
Jul-08
 
Red Mile Entertainment, Inc.
 
SilverBirch, Inc.
   
4.4
   
0.27
   
-12.0
%
 
-12.0
%
 
-20.0
%
Jun-08
 
IONA Technologies PLC
 
Progress Software Corp.
   
118.3
   
4.04
   
12.0
%
 
13.0
%
 
10.0
%
Jun-08
 
Insightful Corp.
 
TIBCO Software, Inc.
   
18.6
   
1.87
   
-1.6
%
 
4.0
%
 
58.0
%
Jun-08
 
Motive, Inc.
 
Alcatel-Lucent SA
   
22.2
   
2.23
   
53.0
%
 
24.0
%
 
72.0
%
Jun-08
 
ClinPhone PLC
 
PAREXEL International Corp.
   
195.0
   
2.53
   
26.0
%
 
23.0
%
 
40.0
%
Jun-08
 
Tumbleweed Communications Corp.
 
Sopra Groupe SA
   
114.9
   
2.70
   
53.0
%
 
46.0
%
 
113.0
%
Jun-08
 
IBS Opensystems PLC
 
The Capita Group PLC
   
115.4
   
3.74
   
11.0
%
 
11.0
%
 
61.0
%
May-08
 
Kintera, Inc.
 
Blackbaud, Inc.
   
44.4
   
1.12
   
64.7
%
 
55.6
%
 
86.7
%
May-08
 
Mediasurface PLC
 
Alterian PLC
   
30.2
   
0.27
   
24.0
%
 
52.0
%
 
242.0
%
May-08
 
Gemcom Software International, Inc.
 
The Carlyle Group LLC / JMI, Inc.
   
145.7
   
3.02
   
10.0
%
 
20.0
%
 
27.0
%
May-08
 
Bravura Solutions Ltd.
 
Bravura Solutions Ltd. /Management/
   
250.2
   
1.64
   
19.0
%
 
19.0
%
 
19.0
%
Apr-08
 
Horizon Technology Group PLC
 
Avnet, Inc.
   
274.3
   
1.86
   
10.0
%
 
18.0
%
 
181.0
%
Apr-08
 
TouchStone Software Corp.
 
Phoenix Technologies Ltd.
   
16.1
   
1.48
   
29.0
%
 
24.0
%
 
17.0
%
Apr-08
 
Conchango PLC
 
EMC Corp.
   
74.9
   
0.45
   
43.0
%
 
34.0
%
 
14.0
%
Mar-08
 
Sigma AB
 
Askero Utveckling AB
   
148.8
   
1.25
   
38.0
%
 
45.0
%
 
49.0
%
Mar-08
 
TenFold Corp.
 
Trilogy Enterprises, Inc.
   
0.2
   
0.04
   
0.0
%
 
0.0
%
 
0.0
%
Mar-08
 
Emblaze Ltd.
 
France Telecom SA
   
12.5
   
0.63
   
82.0
%
 
82.0
%
 
146.0
%
Mar-08
 
Chelford Group PLC
 
Marlin Equity Partners LLC
   
26.8
   
4.24
   
22.0
%
 
24.0
%
 
37.0
%
Mar-08
 
Optio Software, Inc.
 
Bottomline Technologies, Inc.
   
27.8
   
1.85
   
48.0
%
 
54.0
%
 
52.9
%
Feb-08
 
SYS Technologies, Inc.
 
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.
   
52.6
   
2.52
   
61.0
%
 
57.0
%
 
36.0
%
Jan-08
 
Boss Media AB
 
B&D Holding di Marco Drago e C Sapa
   
177.0
   
4.16
   
76.0
%
 
95.0
%
 
98.0
%
Jan-08
 
CODA PLC
 
Unit 4 Agresso NV
   
290.3
   
4.08
   
12.0
%
 
11.0
%
 
26.0
%
Jan-08
 
Trolltech ASA
 
Nokia Oyj
   
135.9
   
3.09
   
69.0
%
 
78.0
%
 
69.0
%
Jan-08
 
Superscape Group PLC
 
Glu Mobile, Inc.
   
25.0
   
0.20
   
27.0
%
 
27.0
%
 
27.0
%
Jan-08
 
Parlay Entertainment, Inc.
 
Letton Investments Ltd.
   
10.2
   
0.93
   
44.0
%
 
64.0
%
 
58.0
%
Jan-08
 
Fast Search & Transfer ASA
 
Microsoft Corp.
   
1,054.4
   
3.54
   
42.0
%
 
36.0
%
 
73.0
%
Jan-08
 
Bioscrypt, Inc.
 
L-1 Identity Solutions, Inc.
   
28.1
   
0.39
   
9.0
%
 
3.0
%
 
9.0
%
Dec-07
 
Northgate Information Solutions PLC
 
KKR & Co. LLC
   
1,923.8
   
1.89
   
49.0
%
 
54.0
%
 
34.0
%
 
 
 
Source: FactSet.

 
 

 
 
 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Software & Services Deals with Offer Price/Share of £ $5 (2006 – Present) (cont’d)
 
$ in millions except per share values
Announce
         
Enterprise
 
Price
 
Premium Analysis
 
Date
 
Seller Name
 
Buyer Name
 
Value
 
/Share
 
1 Day
 
5 Day
 
30 Day
 
Dec-07
 
NSB Retail Systems PLC
 
Epicor Software Corp.
   
260.9
   
0.77
   
11.0
%
 
59.0
%
 
59.0
%
 
Dec-07
 
Internet Business Group PLC
 
TMN Group PLC
   
11.1
   
0.18
   
-30.0
%
 
-30.0
%
 
-35.0
%
 
Dec-07
 
NUVO Network Management, Inc.
 
Trilogy Enterprises, Inc.
   
15.3
   
0.56
   
103.0
%
 
119.0
%
 
62.0
%
 
Dec-07
 
Hostworks Group Ltd
 
Macquarie Communications Infrastructure
   
54.0
   
0.38
   
42.0
%
 
59.0
%
 
47.0
%
 
Dec-07
 
Frontline Technologies Corp.
 
BT Group PLC
   
135.0
   
0.18
   
22.0
%
 
35.0
%
 
50.0
%
 
Nov-07
 
Vantagepoint Systems, Inc.
 
Solarsoft Business Systems
   
10.1
   
0.68
   
75.0
%
 
40.0
%
 
62.8
%
 
Oct-07
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
 
Bravo Solutions
   
9.1
   
2.56
   
-54.0
%
 
-46.0
%
 
-6.9
%
 
Oct-07
 
Selient, Inc.
 
Canadian Premier Holdings Ltd.
   
4.2
   
0.17
   
38.0
%
 
38.0
%
 
27.0
%
 
Oct-07
 
Navtech, Inc.
 
NV Holdings
   
28.4
   
2.52
   
33.0
%
 
80.0
%
 
42.0
%
 
Oct-07
 
Mandator AB
 
Fujitsu Ltd.
   
86.6
   
0.46
   
28.0
%
 
31.0
%
 
31.0
%
 
Oct-07
 
Travel.com.au Ltd.
 
Wotif.com Holdings Ltd.
   
38.5
   
0.49
   
0.0
%
 
10.0
%
 
84.0
%
 
Aug-07
 
Blue Tree Wireless Data, Inc.
 
Sixnet Holdings LLC
   
17.5
   
0.23
   
51.0
%
 
34.0
%
 
34.0
%
 
Aug-07
 
Payment Services Interactive Gateway Corp.
 
Home Capital Group, Inc.
   
14.3
   
1.49
   
52.0
%
 
31.0
%
 
19.0
%
 
Aug-07
 
Rand A Technology Corp.
 
Ampersand Ventures
   
30.0
   
2.21
   
69.0
%
 
58.0
%
 
49.0
%
 
Aug-07
 
Gensym Corp.
 
Trilogy Enterprises, Inc.
   
15.6
   
2.35
   
12.0
%
 
10.0
%
 
8.0
%
 
Jul-07
 
Xansa PLC
 
Groupe Steria SCA
   
938.8
   
2.65
   
72.0
%
 
72.0
%
 
47.0
%
 
Jul-07
 
Data Systems Consulting Co. Ltd.
 
Ding Hwa Investment Co. Ltd.
   
157.0
   
1.37
   
8.0
%
 
12.0
%
 
13.0
%
 
Jul-07
 
iSOFT Group PLC
 
CompuGROUP Holding AG
   
467.0
   
1.36
   
20.0
%
 
20.0
%
 
42.0
%
 
Jul-07
 
Raya Holding
 
Orascom Telecom Holding SAE
   
124.9
   
2.11
   
7.0
%
 
9.0
%
 
2.0
%
 
Jun-07
 
IXEurope PLC
 
Equinix, Inc.
   
532.8
   
2.82
   
7.0
%
 
11.0
%
 
34.0
%
 
Jun-07
 
Advanced Smartcard Technologies PLC
 
Exponent Private Equity LLP
   
35.4
   
0.15
   
48.0
%
 
48.0
%
 
85.0
%
 
Jun-07
 
Telelogic AB
 
International Business Machines Corp.
   
907.4
   
3.43
   
12.0
%
 
32.0
%
 
40.0
%
 
May-07
 
Calyx Group PLC
 
Alchemy Investment Plan
   
198.3
   
2.04
   
55.0
%
 
58.0
%
 
58.0
%
 
May-07
 
Aldata Solution Oyj
 
Symphony Technology Group LLC
   
157.6
   
2.45
   
19.0
%
 
17.0
%
 
10.0
%
 
May-07
 
iSOFT Group PLC
 
IBA Health Ltd.
   
464.3
   
1.43
   
36.0
%
 
44.0
%
 
105.0
%
 
May-07
 
Sirius Financial Solutions PLC
 
SSP Holdings PLC
   
81.1
   
4.73
   
30.0
%
 
39.0
%
 
39.0
%
 
May-07
 
CIMNET, Inc.
 
Invensys PLC
   
18.5
   
2.43
   
-4.7
%
 
9.0
%
 
10.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Sonnet Corp. Ltd.
 
Commoditel Ltd.
   
28.2
   
0.14
   
72.0
%
 
57.0
%
 
113.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Arkona, Inc.
 
DealerTrack Holdings, Inc.
   
45.9
   
1.38
   
3.0
%
 
2.0
%
 
29.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Pixology PLC
 
PhotoChannel Networks, Inc.
   
10.1
   
0.81
   
57.0
%
 
70.0
%
 
86.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Payment Services Interactive Gateway
 
Lightbridge, Inc.
   
13.5
   
1.38
   
26.0
%
 
15.0
%
 
99.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Trace Group PLC
 
Tulip Holdings Ltd.
   
37.7
   
3.15
   
75.0
%
 
83.0
%
 
79.0
%
 
Apr-07
 
Quovadx, Inc.
 
Battery Ventures
   
119.3
   
3.20
   
26.0
%
 
28.0
%
 
20.0
%
 
Mar-07
 
Tri-Vision International Ltd.
 
Wi-LAN, Inc.
   
87.1
   
1.62
   
54.0
%
 
51.0
%
 
31.0
%
 
 
Source: FactSet.

 
 

 

 
 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Software & Services Deals with Offer Price/Share of £ $5 (2006 – Present) (cont’d)
 
$ in millions except per share values
Announce
         
Enterprise
   
Price
 
Premium Analysis
   
Date
 
Seller Name
 
     Buyer Name
 
Value
 
/Share
 
1 Day
 
5 Day
 
30 Day
   
Mar-07
Computer Software Group PLC
 
Guildford Equityco Ltd.
   
203.6
   
3.01
   
10.0
%
 
42.0
%
 
30.0
%
Mar-07
Compel Group PLC
 
2e2 Holdings Ltd.
   
94.4
   
2.93
   
16.0
%
 
41.0
%
 
37.0
%
Mar-07
CorVu Corp.
 
Rocket Software, Inc.
   
21.6
   
0.40
   
43.0
%
 
25.0
%
 
33.0
%
Feb-07
Applied Innovation, Inc.
 
KEG Holdings, Inc.
   
35.7
   
3.45
   
8.0
%
 
7.0
%
 
10.0
%
Feb-07
VantageMed Corp.
 
Nightingale Informatix Corp.
   
10.8
   
0.75
   
42.0
%
 
63.0
%
 
97.0
%
Feb-07
Spectrum Signal Processing, Inc.
 
Vecima Networks, Inc.
   
13.5
   
0.81
   
57.0
%
 
60.0
%
 
57.0
%
Feb-07
eNGENUITY Technologies, Inc.
 
CAE, Inc.
   
16.9
   
1.02
   
4.0
%
 
13.0
%
 
14.0
%
Feb-07
EasyLink Services Corp.
 
j2 Global Communications, Inc.
   
46.9
   
4.50
   
0.0
%
 
-1.0
%
 
72.0
%
Jan-07
Analex Corp.
 
QinetiQ Group PLC
   
83.6
   
3.70
   
96.0
%
 
85.0
%
 
85.0
%
Jan-07
EasyLink Services Corp.
 
Internet Commerce Corp.
   
53.6
   
5.00
   
38.0
%
 
63.0
%
 
76.0
%
Jan-07
Ubiquity Software Corp. PLC
 
Avaya, Inc.
   
120.1
   
0.73
   
87.0
%
 
92.0
%
 
78.0
%
Dec-06
ComnetiX, Inc.
 
BIO-key International, Inc.
   
18.3
   
1.29
   
64.0
%
 
60.0
%
 
186.0
%
Dec-06
Tut Systems, Inc.
 
Motorola, Inc.
   
48.8
   
1.15
   
19.0
%
 
12.0
%
 
0.0
%
Dec-06
Knova Software, Inc.
 
M2m Holdings Inc
   
37.3
   
5.00
   
19.0
%
 
22.0
%
 
25.0
%
Nov-06
PlusNet PLC
 
BT Group PLC
   
110.7
   
4.13
   
6.0
%
 
7.0
%
 
46.0
%
Nov-06
ComnetiX, Inc.
 
L-1 Identity Solutions, Inc.
   
17.0
   
1.18
   
179.0
%
 
163.0
%
 
140.0
%
Nov-06
Penton Media, Inc.
 
Sandler Capital / Wasserstein & Co.
   
361.8
   
0.81
   
34.0
%
 
30.0
%
 
39.0
%
Oct-06
Empire Interactive PLC
 
Silverstar Holdings Ltd.
   
16.2
   
0.14
   
41.0
%
 
41.0
%
 
41.0
%
Oct-06
MetaSolv, Inc.
 
Oracle Corp.
   
198.8
   
4.10
   
23.5
%
 
19.5
%
 
34.4
%
Oct-06
Indus International, Inc.
 
Mobile Data Solutions, Inc.
   
203.4
   
3.85
   
53.0
%
 
44.0
%
 
84.2
%
Oct-06
NewMarket Technology, Inc.
 
Action Products International, Inc.
   
89.2
   
0.50
   
72.0
%
 
72.0
%
 
67.0
%
Oct-06
VisualSoft Technologies Ltd.
 
Megasoft Ltd.
   
37.7
   
1.89
   
1.0
%
 
1.0
%
 
-8.0
%
Sep-06
Planit Holdings PLC
 
August Equity LLP
   
75.2
   
0.57
   
13.0
%
 
13.0
%
 
13.0
%
Sep-06
Incisive Media PLC
 
Apax Summer LLP
   
462.4
   
3.84
   
17.0
%
 
20.0
%
 
28.0
%
Aug-06
Parlay Entertainment, Inc.
 
Chartwell Technology, Inc.
   
21.6
   
1.80
   
48.0
%
 
38.0
%
 
32.0
%
Aug-06
IDS Worldwide, Inc.
 
HLS Worldwide, Inc.
   
117.5
   
2.35
   
99.0
%
 
108.0
%
 
82.0
%
Aug-06
Fibernet Group PLC
 
Global Crossing Ltd.
   
119.6
   
1.47
   
10.0
%
 
18.0
%
 
103.0
%
Aug-06
WM-data AB
 
LogicaCMG PLC
   
1,698.0
   
3.51
   
5.0
%
 
6.0
%
 
14.0
%
Aug-06
Loudeye Corp.
 
Nokia Oyj
   
46.9
   
4.50
   
154.0
%
 
150.0
%
 
181.0
%
Jul-06
Addyourlogo Group AB
 
Global Gaming Factory X AB
   
9.0
   
0.04
   
-3.0
%
 
-3.0
%
 
6.0
%
Jul-06
WatchGuard Technologies, Inc.
 
Francisco Partners Management LLC
   
125.5
   
4.25
   
14.0
%
 
15.0
%
 
-10.0
%
Jul-06
System Access Ltd.
 
SunGard Data Systems, Inc.
   
69.7
   
0.23
   
20.0
%
 
38.0
%
 
79.0
%
Jul-06
IDS Worldwide, Inc.
 
Worldwide Security Acquisitions LLC
   
87.5
   
1.75
   
97.0
%
 
202.0
%
 
94.0
%
Jun-06
Bridges Transitions, Inc.
 
Veronis Suhler Stevenson LLC
   
10.8
   
1.05
   
20.0
%
 
21.0
%
 
39.0
%
 
Source: FactSet.

 
 

 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Software & Services Deals with Offer Price/Share of £ $5 (2006 – Present) (cont’d)
 
$ in millions except per share values
                       
Premium Analysis
 
Announce Date
 
Seller Name
 
Buyer Name
 
Enterprise Value
 
Price /Share
 
1 Day
 
5 Day
 
30 Day
 
Jun-06
 
Onyx Software Corp.
 
M2m Holdings Inc
   
67.4
   
4.80
   
15.0
%
 
14.0
%
 
4.0
%
 
May-06
 
DCS Group PLC
 
The Reynolds & Reynolds Co.
   
40.2
   
0.59
   
21.0
%
 
61.0
%
 
82.0
%
 
May-06
 
Bridges Transitions, Inc.
 
Xap Corp.
   
8.8
   
0.86
   
21.0
%
 
20.0
%
 
21.0
%
 
May-06
 
WebCentral Group Ltd.
 
Melbourne IT Ltd.
   
54.5
   
1.34
   
63.0
%
 
70.0
%
 
46.0
%
 
Apr-06
 
Systems Union Group PLC
 
Extensity, Inc.
   
422.6
   
4.04
   
8.0
%
 
19.0
%
 
25.0
%
 
Apr-06
 
Manugistics Group, Inc.
 
JDA Software Group, Inc.
   
307.1
   
2.50
   
5.9
%
 
7.8
%
 
13.6
%
 
Apr-06
 
Brainpower NV
 
Bloomberg LP
   
45.7
   
2.42
   
27.0
%
 
48.0
%
 
77.0
%
 
Mar-06
 
Onyx Software Corp.
 
CDC Corp.
   
71.1
   
5.00
   
26.0
%
 
32.0
%
 
16.0
%
 
Mar-06
 
Unify Corp.
 
WARP Technology Holdings, Inc.
   
15.3
   
0.61
   
43.0
%
 
50.0
%
 
43.0
%
 
Mar-06
 
Artemis International Solutions Corp.
 
Trilogy Enterprises, Inc.
   
25.7
   
2.20
   
63.0
%
 
63.0
%
 
53.0
%
 
Feb-06
 
Legend Communications PLC
 
Thus Group PLC
   
32.1
   
0.71
   
0.0
%
 
4.0
%
 
-15.0
%
 
Jan-06
 
Citect Corp. Ltd.
 
Thoma Cressey Equity Partners, Inc.
   
78.7
   
1.49
   
29.0
%
 
30.0
%
 
30.0
%
 

Mean
 
35
%
 
39
%
 
49
%
Median
 
27
%
 
33
%
 
40
%
High
 
179
%
 
202
%
 
242
%
Low
 
-66
%
 
-63
%
 
-62
%
 
 
Source: FactSet.

 
 

 

Appendix A. Comparable Public Company Descriptions
 


 
 

 
 
Comparable Company Descriptions – Supply Chain Management
 

Company
 
Description
Ariba
 
Ariba provides spend management solutions that allow enterprises to take a step-by-step approach with products and services that work together. The solutions combine on-demand software, category expertise and services to help companies automate the procurement process. The solutions include Ariba Visibility Solutions, Ariba Sourcing Solutions, Ariba Contract Management Solutions, Ariba Procurement and Expense Solutions, Ariba Invoice and Payment Solutions and Ariba Supplier Management Solutions.
     
Descartes Systems
 
Descartes Systems is a global provider of on-demand, software-as-aservice (SaaS) logistics technology solutions that help its customers make and receive shipments. The Company’s technology-based solutions, which consist of services and software, connect people to their trading partners and enable business document exchange (bookings, bills of lading, status messages); regulatory compliance and customs filing, route planning and wireless dispatch, inventory and asset visibility, rate management, transportation management and warehouse optimization. Its primary focus is on serving transportation providers (air, ocean and truck modes), third party intermediaries (including third-party logistics providers, freight forwarders and customs house brokers) and distribution-sensitive companies.
     
Global Sources
 
Global Sources provides sourcing information to volume buyers and integrated marketing services to suppliers. The company is a business-to-business media company and a primary facilitator of trade with Greater China. The core business is facilitating trade from Greater China to the world, using a wide range of English-language media. The other business segments facilitate trade from the world to Greater China, and trade within China, using Chinese-language media. It helps a community of over 725,000 active buyers source more profitably from complex overseas supply markets. With the goal of providing the most effective ways possible to advertise, market and sell, Global Sources enables suppliers to sell to hard-to-reach buyers in over 230 countries.

 
 

 
 
 
 
Comparable Company Descriptions – Supply Chain Management (cont’d)
 

Company
 
Description
JDA Software
 
JDA Software provides supply and demand management software solutions. It operates through three business segments: Retail, Manufacturing and Distribution, and Services Industries. The Company’s solutions include corporate level merchandise operations systems, in-store systems, and transportation and logistics management solutions, which are designed to enable manufacturers, distributors, retailers, shippers, consignees, carriers, trading partners and logistics service providers.
     
Kewill
 
Kewill designs global solutions for the dynamic supply network. The supply network enables enhanced responsiveness to customers through flexible connectivity between partners and systems, providing improved visibility and effective compliance, bridging the gap from a traditional rigid supply chain. Kewill is a long-time innovator of software focusing on business integration, order management, transportation management, international trade logistics, service logistics and visibility solutions for global trading communities.
     
Logility
 
Logility provides supply chain solutions that help small, medium, large and Fortune 1000 companies realize substantial bottom-line results in record time. Logility Voyager Solutions is a supply chain management solution that features performance monitoring capabilities in a single Internet-based framework and provides supply chain visibility; demand, inventory and replenishment planning; Sales and Operations Planning (S&OP); supply and global sourcing optimization; manufacturing planning and scheduling; transportation planning and management; and warehouse management. Logility customers include McCain Foods, Pernod Ricard, Sigma Aldrich, and VF Corporation.
 

 
 

 
 
 
 
Comparable Company Descriptions – Supply Chain Management (cont’d)
 
Company
 
Description
Manhattan Associates
 
Manhattan Associates develops technology-based supply chain software solutions. The Company’s solutions consist of software, services and hardware, and are used for both the planning and execution of supply chain activities. These solutions help coordinate the actions, data exchange and communication of manufacturers, suppliers, distributors, trading partners, transportation providers, channels (such as catalogers, store retailers and Web outlets), and consumers. All of the Company’s solutions also include services, such as design, configuration, implementation, product assessment and training, as well as customer support and software enhancements.

 
 

 

 
Comparable Company Descriptions – Mid-Market ERP
 

Company
 
Description
CDC
 
CDC provides enterprise software, online games, and Internet and media services. During the year ended December 31, 2007, the Company operated through five business segments: Software, Global Services, CDC Games, China.com, and Mobile Services and Applications. The operations of Software and Business Services are included in the CDC Software business unit, the operations of online games are included in the CDC Games business unit and the operations of Mobile Services and Applications and Internet and Media are included in the China.com business unit.
     
Epicor Software
 
Epicor Software designs, develops, markets and supports enterprise application software solutions and services primarily for use by mid-sized companies and the divisions and subsidiaries of larger corporations worldwide. The Company’s products include back office applications for production management, supply chain management (SCM), retail management and financial accounting, as well as front office customer relationship management (CRM) and service management.
     
Lawson Software
 
Lawson Software provides enterprise software globally. It provides business application software, services and maintenance to customers primarily in the services sector, trade industries and manufacturing/distribution sectors. It specializes in specific markets, including healthcare, public services, retail, financial services, fashion, food and beverage, and wholesale distribution. The Company’s software solutions include enterprise financial management, human capital management, business intelligence, asset management, enterprise performance management, supply chain management, service management, manufacturing operations, business project management and industry-tailored applications.

 
 

 

 
 
Comparable Company Descriptions – Mid-Market ERP (cont’d)
 

Company
 
Description
QAD
 
QAD provides enterprise software applications, professional services and application support that address the requirements of manufacturing companies primarily in six target industries. QAD Enterprise Applications, which includes modules formerly marketed as MFG/PRO, is its core product suite. QAD Enterprise Applications has been developed to address the needs of manufacturers in the automotive, consumer products, high technology, food and beverage, industrial products and life sciences markets. In addition to the delivery of QAD Enterprise Applications, QAD has developed a global services and application support capability, with over 600 skilled personnel located throughout the world.
     
The Sage Group
 
The Sage Group develops, distributes, and supports business management software and related products and services for medium-sized and smaller businesses. The Company also offers tailored software for the needs of business within some specific industries, such as healthcare, construction/real estate, manufacturing and retail. The Company’s product range includes payroll, financial forecasting, job costing, business intelligence and e-business.
     
     

 
 

 

 
 
Appendix B. Fairness Opinion Letter
 


 
 

 
Fairness Opinion Letter
 
[To be provided separately]

 
 

 
 
 
 
Premiums Paid for Selected Enterprise Software Deals (2006 –Present)
 
($ in millions)
Announce
             
Premium Analyis
 
Date
 
Seller
 
Buyer
 
EV
 
1-Day
 
5-Day
 
30-Day
 
                                 
Aug-08
 
i2 Technologies, Inc.
 
JDA Software Group Inc.
 
$
418.6
 
4.9
%
 
7.4
%
 
16.9
%
Jul-08
 
Intervoice, Inc
 
Convergys Corporation
   
282.3
 
23.7
%
 
54.2
%
 
26.7
%
Jun-08
 
Insightful Corporation
 
TIBCO Software Inc.
   
14.9
 
-1.6
%
 
4.5
%
 
58.5
%
Jun-08
 
Cash Systems, Inc.
 
Global Cash Access, Inc.
   
19.6
 
4.2
%
 
13.9
%
 
51.5
%
Jun-08
 
CAM Commerce Solutions
 
Great Hill Partners
   
152.8
 
8.7
%
 
13.0
%
 
9.5
%
Jun-08
 
HireRight, Inc.
 
US Investigations Services, LLC
   
209.1
 
88.6
%
 
94.8
%
 
110.3
%
May-08
 
Kintera, Inc.
 
Blackbaud, Inc
   
43.6
 
64.7
%
 
55.6
%
 
86.7
%
May-08
 
Moldflow Corporation
 
Autodesk, Inc.
   
200.0
 
12.2
%
 
17.5
%
 
31.6
%
Mar-08
 
Ansoft Corporation
 
ANSYS, Inc.
   
801.5
 
39.3
%
 
30.0
%
 
38.4
%
Mar-08
 
Optio Software
 
Bottomline Technologies
   
35.9
 
48.0
%
 
54.2
%
 
52.9
%
Feb-08
 
ChoicePoint Inc
 
Reed Elsevier Group plc
   
4,140.0
 
48.5
%
 
46.0
%
 
48.6
%
Jan-08
 
Manatron Inc
 
Thoma Cressey Bravo Inc
   
69.8
 
36.4
%
 
42.4
%
 
34.1
%
Jan-08
 
Fast Search & Transfer AS
 
Microsoft Corp
   
1,093.0
 
42.3
%
 
34.8
%
 
85.4
%
Dec-07
 
Document Sciences Corporation
 
EMC Corporation
   
82.5
 
79.0
%
 
75.6
%
 
63.9
%
Dec-07
 
Electronic Clearing House Inc.
 
Intuit Inc
   
121.6
 
115.2
%
 
81.4
%
 
34.0
%
Dec-07
 
VISICU Inc
 
Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV
   
296.0
 
35.4
%
 
52.5
%
 
60.0
%
Nov-07
 
VantagePoint Systems
 
Solarsoft Business Systems
   
10.5
 
75.0
%
 
40.0
%
 
62.8
%
Nov-07
 
Cognos
 
IBM
   
4,866.0
 
9.5
%
 
16.1
%
 
37.2
%
Oct-07
 
Verticalnet, Inc.
 
BravoSolution, S.p.A
   
13.3
 
-54.4
%
 
-46.2
%
 
-6.9
%
Oct-07
 
Visual Sciences Inc
 
Omniture Inc.
   
383.7
 
6.6
%
 
1.9
%
 
6.0
%
Oct-07
 
Business Objects SA
 
SAP AG
   
5,582.0
 
18.1
%
 
29.1
%
 
40.0
%
Oct-07
 
NAVTEQ Corporation
 
Nokia Corp.
   
7,773.0
 
0.4
%
 
11.4
%
 
37.6
%
Aug-07
 
CheckFree Corporation
 
Fiserv, Inc
   
4,114.0
 
30.3
%
 
26.7
%
 
18.4
%
Jun-07
 
eFunds Corporation
 
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc
   
1,777.0
 
5.5
%
 
3.1
%
 
20.0
%
Jun-07
 
Authorize.Net Holdings, Inc
 
CyberSource Corporation
   
317.2
 
15.0
%
 
16.2
%
 
15.8
%
May-07
 
Agile Software Corp
 
Oracle Corporation
   
330.6
 
14.4
%
 
10.1
%
 
18.1
%
May-07
 
eCollege
 
Pearson
   
530.0
 
7.1
%
 
20.6
%
 
25.1
%
May-07
 
CIMNET
 
Invensys, PLC
   
22.4
 
-4.7
%
 
9.0
%
 
10.5
%
Apr-07
 
Arkona, Inc.
 
DealerTrack Holdings, Inc
   
58.2
 
3.0
%
 
2.2
%
 
29.0
%
Apr-07
 
Mobius Management Systems, Inc
 
ASG Software
   
150.0
 
35.1
%
 
34.2
%
 
40.8
%
Apr-07
 
First Data Corp
 
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co
   
27,576.0
 
26.4
%
 
28.5
%
 
33.2
%