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FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2012
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
Fair Value Hierarchy

GAAP specifies a hierarchy of valuation techniques based on whether the inputs to those valuation techniques are observable or unobservable. These two types of inputs create three valuation hierarchy levels. Level 1 valuations reflect quoted market prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. Level 2 valuations reflect quoted market prices for similar assets or liabilities in an active market, quoted market prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in non-active markets or model-derived valuations in which all significant valuation inputs are observable in active markets. Level 3 valuations reflect valuations in which one or more of the significant inputs are not observable in an active market.

The following tables present the fair value hierarchy levels of the Company's assets and liabilities that are carried and measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of December 31.
  
2012
(In millions)
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities available for sale, carried at
fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Government and agencies
 
$
12,265

 
 
 
$
732

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
12,997

 
Municipalities
 
0

 
 
 
1,195

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,195

 
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
0

 
 
 
693

 
 
 
338

 
 
 
1,031

 
Public utilities
 
0

 
 
 
8,077

 
 
 
420

 
 
 
8,497

 
Sovereign and supranational
 
0

 
 
 
1,654

 
 
 
418

 
 
 
2,072

 
Banks/financial institutions
 
0

 
 
 
6,610

 
 
 
1,024

 
 
 
7,634

 
Other corporate
 
0

 
 
 
22,841

 
 
 
986

 
 
 
23,827

 
Total fixed maturities
 
12,265

 
 
 
41,802

 
 
 
3,186

 
 
 
57,253

 
  Perpetual securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Banks/financial institutions
 
0

 
 
 
3,735

 
 
 
215

 
 
 
3,950

 
Other corporate
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
Total perpetual securities
 
0

 
 
 
4,087

 
 
 
215

 
 
 
4,302

 
Equity securities
 
13

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
23

 
Other assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
32

 
 
 
32

 
Foreign currency swaps
 
0

 
 
 
154

 
 
 
157

 
 
 
311

 
Credit default swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
2

 
 
 
2

 
Total other assets
 
0

 
 
 
154

 
 
 
191

 
 
 
345

 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
2,041

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,041

 
Total assets
 
$
14,319

 
 
 
$
46,049

 
 
 
$
3,596

 
 
 
$
63,964

 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
3

 
 
 
$
3

 
Foreign currency swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
329

 
 
 
329

 
Foreign currency forwards
 
0

 
 
 
535

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
535

 
Credit default swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
67

 
 
 
67

 
Total liabilities
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
535

 
 
 
$
399

 
 
 
$
934

 

 



  
2011
(In millions)
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities available for sale, carried at
fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Government and agencies
 
$
11,092

 
 
 
$
721

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
11,813

 
Municipalities
 
0

 
 
 
1,159

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,159

 
Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
0

 
 
 
944

 
 
 
394

 
 
 
1,338

 
Public utilities
 
0

 
 
 
6,803

 
 
 
422

 
 
 
7,225

 
Sovereign and supranational
 
0

 
 
 
1,874

 
 
 
434

 
 
 
2,308

 
Banks/financial institutions
 
0

 
 
 
6,379

 
 
 
1,074

 
 
 
7,453

 
Other corporate
 
0

 
 
 
15,171

 
 
 
1,105

 
 
 
16,276

 
Total fixed maturities
 
11,092

 
 
 
33,051

 
 
 
3,429

 
 
 
47,572

 
  Perpetual securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Banks/financial institutions
 
0

 
 
 
5,552

 
 
 
526

 
 
 
6,078

 
Other corporate
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
Total perpetual securities
 
0

 
 
 
5,913

 
 
 
526

 
 
 
6,439

 
Equity securities
 
15

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
25

 
Other assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
34

 
 
 
34

 
Foreign currency swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
341

 
 
 
341

 
Total other assets
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
375

 
 
 
375

 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
2,249

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,249

 
Total assets
 
$
13,356

 
 
 
$
38,970

 
 
 
$
4,334

 
 
 
$
56,660

 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
4

 
 
 
$
4

 
Foreign currency swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
397

 
 
 
397

 
Credit default swaps
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
130

 
 
 
130

 
Total liabilities
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
531

 
 
 
$
531

 


The following tables present the carrying amount and fair value categorized by fair value hierarchy level for the Company's financial instruments that are not carried at fair value as of December 31.


 
2012
(In millions)
Carrying
Value
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
Total
Fair
Value
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities held to maturity,
carried at amortized cost:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Government and agencies
 
$
32,043

 
 
$
32,332

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
32,332

 
Municipalities
 
492

 
 
0

 
 
 
520

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
520

 
Mortgage- and
asset-backed
securities
 
90

 
 
0

 
 
 
30

 
 
 
64

 
 
 
94

 
Public utilities
 
4,924

 
 
0

 
 
 
5,051

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,051

 
Sovereign and
supranational
 
3,209

 
 
0

 
 
 
3,317

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,317

 
Banks/financial institutions
 
9,211

 
 
0

 
 
 
8,991

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,991

 
Other corporate
 
4,457

 
 
0

 
 
 
4,536

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,536

 
 Total assets
 
$
54,426

 
 
$
32,332

 
 
 
$
22,445

 
 
 
$
64

 
 
 
$
54,841

 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notes payable
(excluding capital leases)
 
$
4,343

 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
4,992

 
 
 
$
4,992

 
Obligation to Japanese
policyholder protection
corporation
 
23

 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
23

 
 
 
23

 
Total liabilities
 
$
4,366

 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
5,015

 
 
 
$
5,015

 

 
 
 
 
2011
(In millions)
Carrying
Value
Quoted Prices in
Active Markets
for Identical
Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities held to maturity,
carried at amortized cost:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Government and agencies
 
$
18,775

 
 
$
19,071

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
19,071

 
Municipalities
 
553

 
 
0

 
 
 
584

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
584

 
Mortgage- and
asset-backed
securities
 
129

 
 
0

 
 
 
39

 
 
 
95

 
 
 
134

 
Public utilities
 
5,615

 
 
0

 
 
 
5,637

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,637

 
Sovereign and
supranational
 
4,200

 
 
0

 
 
 
4,165

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,165

 
Banks/financial institutions
 
12,389

 
 
0

 
 
 
11,480

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,480

 
Other corporate
 
5,348

 
 
0

 
 
 
5,312

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,312

 
  Total assets
 
$
47,009

 
 
$
19,071

 
 
 
$
27,217

 
 
 
$
95

 
 
 
$
46,383

 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notes payable
(excluding capital leases)
 
$
3,275

 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
3,536

 
 
 
$
3,536

 
Obligation to Japanese
policyholder protection
corporation
 
71

 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
71

 
 
 
71

 
Total liabilities
 
$
3,346

 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
3,607

 
 
 
$
3,607

 


Fair Value of Financial Instruments

U.S. GAAP requires disclosure of the fair value of certain financial instruments including those that are not carried at fair value. The carrying amounts for cash and cash equivalents, receivables, accrued investment income, accounts payable, cash collateral and payables for security transactions approximated their fair values due to the short-term nature of these instruments. Liabilities for future policy benefits and unpaid policy claims are not financial instruments as defined by GAAP.

Fixed maturities, perpetual securities, and equity securities

We determine the fair values of our fixed maturity securities, perpetual securities, and privately issued equity securities using the following approaches or techniques: price quotes and valuations from third party pricing vendors (including quoted market prices readily available from public exchange markets), a discounted cash flow (DCF) pricing model, and non-binding price quotes we obtain from outside brokers.

Our DCF pricing model incorporates an option adjusted spread and utilizes various market inputs we obtain from both active and inactive markets. The estimated fair values developed by the DCF pricing model is most sensitive to prevailing credit spreads, the level of interest rates (yields) and interest rate volatility. Credit spreads are derived using a bond index to create a credit spread matrix which takes into account the current credit spread, ratings and remaining time to maturity, and subordination levels for securities that are included in the bond index. Our DCF pricing model is based on a widely used global bond index that comprises investments in active markets. The index provides a broad-based measure of the global fixed-income bond market. This index covers bonds issued by European and American issuers, which account for the majority of bonds that we hold. We validate the reliability of the DCF pricing model periodically by using the model to price investments for which there are quoted market prices from active and inactive markets or, in the alternative, are quoted by our custodian for the same or similar securities. For securities valued by our DCF pricing model that are below investment grade or have split ratings, a CDS spread is used in lieu of the index spread discussed above. The CDS is chosen based on an average of spreads of issues with the same issuer, rating and subordination, or comparable issues in that particular sector.

The pricing data and market quotes we obtain from outside sources, including third party pricing services, are reviewed internally for reasonableness. If a fair value appears unreasonable, we will re-examine the inputs and assess the reasonableness of the pricing data with the vendor. Additionally, we may compare the inputs to relevant market indices and other performance measurements. Based on that analysis, the valuation is confirmed or revised.

The fixed maturities classified as Level 3 consist of securities for which there are limited or no observable valuation inputs. For Level 3 securities that are investment grade, we estimate the fair value of these securities by obtaining non-binding broker quotes from a limited number of brokers. These brokers base their quotes on a combination of their knowledge of the current pricing environment and market conditions. We consider these inputs to be unobservable. For Level 3 investments that are below-investment-grade securities or private placements, we consider a variety of significant valuation inputs in the valuation process, including forward exchange rates, yen swap rates, dollar swap rates, interest rate volatilities, credit spread data on specific issuers, assumed default and default recovery rates, and certain probability assumptions. In obtaining these valuation inputs, we have determined that certain pricing assumptions and data used by our pricing sources are difficult to validate or corroborate by the market and/or appear to be internally developed rather than observed in or corroborated by the market. The use of these unobservable valuation inputs causes more subjectivity in the valuation process for these securities.

Historically, we have not adjusted the quotes or prices we obtain from the pricing services and brokers we use.

The following tables present the pricing sources for the fair values of our fixed maturities, perpetual securities, and equity securities as of December 31.

 
 
2012
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   Securities available for sale, carried at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Government and agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
$
12,265

 
 
 
$
685

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
12,950

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
47

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
47

 
               Total government and agencies
 
 
12,265

 
 
 
732

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
12,997

 
         Municipalities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,177

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,177

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
18

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
18

 
               Total municipalities
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,195

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,195

 
         Mortgage- and asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
682

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
682

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
11

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
11

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
338

 
 
 
338

 
               Total mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
693

 
 
 
338

 
 
 
1,031

 
         Public utilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,144

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,144

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,908

 
 
 
420

 
 
 
3,328

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
25

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
25

 
               Total public utilities
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,077

 
 
 
420

 
 
 
8,497

 
         Sovereign and supranational:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
540

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
540

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
619

 
 
 
418

 
 
 
1,037

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
495

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
495

 
               Total sovereign and supranational
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,654

 
 
 
418

 
 
 
2,072

 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,257

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,257

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,136

 
 
 
444

 
 
 
2,580

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
217

 
 
 
580

 
 
 
797

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
6,610

 
 
 
1,024

 
 
 
7,634

 
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
18,093

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
18,093

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,747

 
 
 
575

 
 
 
5,322

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
1

 
 
 
411

 
 
 
412

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
22,841

 
 
 
986

 
 
 
23,827

 
                  Total fixed maturities
 
 
12,265

 
 
 
41,802

 
 
 
3,186

 
 
 
57,253

 
      Perpetual securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
283

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
283

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,452

 
 
 
215

 
 
 
3,667

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,735

 
 
 
215

 
 
 
3,950

 
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
352

 
                  Total perpetual securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,087

 
 
 
215

 
 
 
4,302

 
      Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
13

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
13

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
6

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
4

 
               Total equity securities
 
 
13

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
23

 
                     Total securities available for sale
 
 
$
12,278

 
 
 
$
45,895

 
 
 
$
3,405

 
 
 
$
61,578

 


 
 
 
2012
 
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Securities held to maturity, carried at amortized cost:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Government and agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
$
32,332

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
32,332

 
               Total government and agencies
 
 
32,332

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
32,332

 
         Municipalities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
464

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
464

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
56

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
56

 
               Total municipalities
 
 
0

 
 
 
520

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
520

 
         Mortgage- and asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
30

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
30

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
64

 
 
 
64

 
               Total mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
30

 
 
 
64

 
 
 
94

 
         Public utilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
58

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
58

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,993

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,993

 
               Total public utilities
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,051

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,051

 
         Sovereign and supranational:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
370

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
370

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,947

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,947

 
               Total sovereign and supranational
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,317

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,317

 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
254

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
254

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,737

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,737

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,991

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
8,991

 
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
122

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
122

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,414

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,414

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,536

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,536

 
                  Total securities held to maturity
 
 
$
32,332

 
 
 
$
22,445

 
 
 
$
64

 
 
 
$
54,841

 

 
 
2011
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets
for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Securities available for sale, carried at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Government and agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
$
11,092

 
 
 
$
721

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
11,813

 
               Total government and agencies
 
 
11,092

 
 
 
721

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,813

 
         Municipalities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,142

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,142

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
17

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
17

 
               Total municipalities
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,159

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,159

 
         Mortgage- and asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
932

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
932

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
12

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
12

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
394

 
 
 
394

 
               Total mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
944

 
 
 
394

 
 
 
1,338

 
         Public utilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,908

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,908

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,895

 
 
 
422

 
 
 
3,317

 
               Total public utilities
 
 
0

 
 
 
6,803

 
 
 
422

 
 
 
7,225

 
         Sovereign and supranational:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
491

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
491

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,383

 
 
 
434

 
 
 
1,817

 
               Total sovereign and supranational
 
 
0

 
 
 
1,874

 
 
 
434

 
 
 
2,308

 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,612

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,612

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
2,722

 
 
 
552

 
 
 
3,274

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
45

 
 
 
522

 
 
 
567

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
6,379

 
 
 
1,074

 
 
 
7,453

 
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
10,351

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
10,351

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,763

 
 
 
605

 
 
 
5,368

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
57

 
 
 
500

 
 
 
557

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
15,171

 
 
 
1,105

 
 
 
16,276

 
                  Total fixed maturities
 
 
11,092

 
 
 
33,051

 
 
 
3,429

 
 
 
47,572

 
      Perpetual securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
292

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
292

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,260

 
 
 
317

 
 
 
5,577

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
209

 
 
 
209

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,552

 
 
 
526

 
 
 
6,078

 
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
361

 
                  Total perpetual securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,913

 
 
 
526

 
 
 
6,439

 
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets
for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
      Equity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
15

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
15

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
6

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
4

 
               Total equity securities
 
 
15

 
 
 
6

 
 
 
4

 
 
 
25

 
                     Total securities available for sale
 
 
$
11,107

 
 
 
$
38,970

 
 
 
$
3,959

 
 
 
$
54,036

 


 
 
 
2011
 
(In millions)
 
Quoted Prices in Active Markets
for Identical Assets
(Level 1)
 
Significant Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant Unobservable Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
Fair
Value
Securities held to maturity, carried at amortized cost:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
      Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
         Government and agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
$
19,071

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
0

 
 
 
$
19,071

 
               Total government and agencies
 
 
19,071

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
19,071

 
         Municipalities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
524

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
524

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
60

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
60

 
               Total municipalities
 
 
0

 
 
 
584

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
584

 
         Mortgage- and asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
39

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
39

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
95

 
 
 
95

 
               Total mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
 
0

 
 
 
39

 
 
 
95

 
 
 
134

 
         Public utilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
65

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
65

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,572

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,572

 
               Total public utilities
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,637

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,637

 
         Sovereign and supranational:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
257

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
257

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,772

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
3,772

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
136

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
136

 
               Total sovereign and supranational
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,165

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
4,165

 
         Banks/financial institutions:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
285

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
285

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,195

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,195

 
               Total banks/financial institutions
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,480

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
11,480

 
         Other corporate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
            Third party pricing vendor
 
 
0

 
 
 
116

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
116

 
            DCF pricing model
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,176

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,176

 
            Broker/other
 
 
0

 
 
 
20

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
20

 
               Total other corporate
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,312

 
 
 
0

 
 
 
5,312

 
                  Total securities held to maturity
 
 
$
19,071

 
 
 
$
27,217

 
 
 
$
95

 
 
 
$
46,383

 

The following is a discussion of the determination of fair value of our remaining financial instruments.

Derivatives

We use derivative instruments to manage the risk associated with certain assets. However, the derivative instrument may not be classified in the same fair value hierarchy level as the associated asset. Inputs used to value derivatives include, but are not limited to, interest rates, credit spreads, foreign currency forward and spot rates, and interest volatility.

The fair values of the foreign currency forwards associated with certain fixed-maturity securities and the fair values of the foreign currency swaps associated with our senior notes and subordinated debentures and the interest rate swap associated with our yen-denominated notes are based on the amounts we would expect to receive or pay to terminate the swaps. The determination of the fair value of these derivatives is based on observable market inputs, therefore they are classified as Level 2.

For derivatives associated with VIEs where we are the primary beneficiary, we are not the direct counterparty to the swap contracts. As a result, the fair value measurements incorporate the credit risk of the collateral associated with the VIE. We receive valuations from a third party pricing vendor for these derivatives. Based on an analysis of these derivatives and a review of the methodology employed by the pricing vendor, we determined that due to the long duration of these swaps and the need to extrapolate from short-term observable data to derive and measure long-term inputs, certain inputs, assumptions and judgments are required to value future cash flows that cannot be corroborated by current inputs or current observable market data. As a result, the derivatives associated with our consolidated VIEs are classified as Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.

Notes payable

The fair values of our publicly issued notes payable classified as Level 3 were obtained from a limited number of independent brokers. These brokers base their quotes on a combination of their knowledge of the current pricing environment and market conditions. We consider these inputs to be unobservable. The fair values of our yen-denominated loans approximate their carrying values.

Obligation to Japanese policyholder protection corporation

The fair value of the obligation to the Japanese policyholder protection corporation classified as Level 3 is our estimated share of the industry's obligation calculated on a pro rata basis by projecting our percentage of the industry's premiums and reserves and applying that percentage to the total industry obligation payable in future years. We consider our inputs for this valuation to be unobservable.
2012
 
Fixed Maturities
 
Perpetual
Securities
 
Equity
Securities
 
Derivatives(1)
 
 
(In millions)
Mortgage-
and
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Public
Utilities
 
Sovereign
and
Supranational
 
Banks/
Financial
Institutions
 
Other
Corporate
 
Banks/
Financial
Institutions
 
 
 
Interest
Rate
Swaps
 
Foreign
Currency
Swaps
 
Credit
Default
Swaps
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
394

 
$
422

 
$
434

 
$
1,074

 
$
1,105

 
$
526

 
$
4

 
$
30

 
$
(56
)
 
$
(130
)
 
$
3,803

Realized investment gains (losses) included
in earnings
(3
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
2

 
49

 
0

 
(1
)
 
(61
)
 
65

 
51

Unrealized gains (losses) included in other
comprehensive income (loss)
(33
)
 
(2
)
 
(16
)
 
70

 
(87
)
 
33

 
0

 
0

 
(22
)
 
0

 
(57
)
Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Purchases
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

Issuances
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

Sales
0

 
0

 
0

 
(326
)
 
(34
)
 
(393
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(753
)
Settlements
(20
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(33
)
 
0

 
(53
)
Transfers into Level 3
0

 
0

 
0

 
206

(2) 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
206

Transfers out of Level 3
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

Balance, end of period
$
338

 
$
420

 
$
418

 
$
1,024

 
$
986

 
$
215

 
$
4

 
$
29

 
$
(172
)
 
$
(65
)
 
$
3,197

Changes in unrealized gains (losses) relating
to Level 3 assets and liabilities still held at
the end of the period included in realized
investment gains (losses)
$
(3
)
 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
(1
)
 
$
(61
)
 
$
65

 
$
0


(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net
(2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price
2011
  
Fixed Maturities
 
Perpetual
Securities
 
Equity
Securities
 
Derivatives(1)
 
  
(In millions)
Mortgage-
and
Asset-
Backed
Securities
 
Public
Utilities
 
Collateralized
Debt
Obligations
 
Sovereign
and
Supranational
 
Banks/
Financial
Institutions
 
Other
Corporate
 
Banks/
Financial
Institutions
 
 
 
Interest
Rate
Swaps
 
Foreign
Currency
Swaps
 
Credit
Default
Swaps
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
$
267

 
$
0

 
$
5

 
$
0

 
$
386

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
4

 
$
0

 
$
241

 
$
(343
)
 
$
560

Realized investment gains
(losses) included in earnings
(16
)
 
0

 
(2
)
 
0

 
1

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(33
)
 
(160
)
 
(64
)
 
(274
)
Unrealized gains (losses)
included in other
comprehensive income (loss)
18

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
15

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(33
)
 
0

 
0

Purchases, issuances, sales
and settlements:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Purchases
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(6
)
 
0

 
(6
)
Issuances
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

Sales
0

 
0

 
(3
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
15

 
12

Settlements
(10
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
4

 
(8
)
 
262

 
248

Transfers into Level 3(2)
139

 
422

 
0

 
434

 
1,048

 
1,105

 
526

 
0

 
59

 
(90
)
 
0

 
3,643

Transfers out of Level 3(3)
(4
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(376
)
 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
0

 
(380
)
Balance, end of period
$
394

 
$
422

 
$
0

 
$
434

 
$
1,074

 
$
1,105

 
$
526

 
$
4

 
$
30

 
$
(56
)
 
$
(130
)
 
$
3,803

Changes in unrealized gains
(losses) relating to Level 3
assets and liabilities still held
at the end of the period
included in realized
investment gains (losses)
$
(16
)
 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
1

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
0

 
$
(33
)
 
$
(160
)
 
$
(64
)
 
$
(272
)
(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net
(2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price
(3) A result of changing our pricing methodology to using a third party pricing vendor for estimating fair values instead of obtaining pricing of the securities from brokers or arrangers
Transfers into and/or out of Level 3 are attributable to a change in the observability of inputs. Transfers into and/or out of any fair value hierarchy level are assumed to occur at the balance sheet date. There were no transfers between Level 1 and 2 for the years ended December 31, 2012 and 2011.

Fair Value Sensitivity

DCF Sensitivity

Our DCF pricing model utilizes various market inputs we obtain from both active and inactive markets. The estimated fair values developed by the DCF pricing models are most sensitive to prevailing credit spreads, the level of interest rates (yields), and, for our callable securities, interest rate volatility. Management believes that under normal market conditions, a movement of 50 basis points (bps) in interest rates and credit spreads and 50 percent in interest rate volatility would be sufficiently reasonable stresses to illustrate the sensitivity of valuations to these risk factors. Therefore, we selected these magnitudes of movement and provided both upward and downward movements in these key assumptions used to estimate fair value. Since the changes in fair value are relatively linear, readers of these financial statements can make their own judgments as to the movement in interest rates and the change in fair value based upon this data. The following scenarios provide a view of the sensitivity of our securities priced by our DCF pricing model.

The fair values of our available-for-sale fixed-maturity and perpetual securities valued by our DCF pricing model totaled $16.4 billion at December 31, 2012. The estimated effect of potential changes in interest rates, credit spreads and interest rate volatility on these fair values as of such date is as follows:

Interest Rates
 
Credit Spreads
 
Interest Rate Volatility
Factor
Change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
Factor
change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
Factor
change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
+50 bps
 
 
 
$
(825
)
 
 
 
+50 bps
 
 
 
$
(820
)
 
 
 
+50 %
 
 
 
$
(12
)
 
 
-50 bps
 
 
 
864

 
 
 
-50 bps
 
 
 
843

 
 
 
-50 %
 
 
 
25

 

The fair values of our held-to-maturity fixed-maturity securities valued by our DCF pricing model totaled $21.1 billion at December 31, 2012. The estimated effect of potential changes in interest rates, credit spreads and interest rate volatility on these fair values as of such date is as follows:

Interest Rates
 
Credit Spreads
 
Interest Rate Volatility
Factor
Change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
Factor
change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
Factor
change
 
Change in
fair value
  (in millions)  
 
+50 bps
 
 
 
$
(1,308
)
 
 
 
+50 bps
 
 
 
$
(1,223
)
 
 
 
+50 %
 
 
 
$
(110
)
 
 
-50 bps
 
 
 
1,287

 
 
 
-50 bps
 
 
 
1,203

 
 
 
-50 %
 
 
 
117

 
Level 3 Significant Unobservable Input Sensitivity

The following tables summarize the significant unobservable inputs used in the valuation of our Level 3 available-for-sale investments and derivatives. Included in the tables are the inputs or range of possible inputs that have an effect on the overall valuation of the financial instruments.
December 31, 2012
(In millions)
 
Fair Value
 
Valuation Technique(s)
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
(Weighted Average)
 
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  Securities available for sale, carried at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    Fixed maturities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
       Mortgage- and asset-backed securities
 
 
$
338

 
 
Consensus pricing
 
Offered quotes
 
N/A
(e) 
       Public utilities
 
 
420

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Historical volatility
 
7.36%
 
       Sovereign and supranational
 
 
418

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Historical volatility
 
7.36%
 
       Banks/financial institutions
 
 
444

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Historical volatility
 
7.36%
 
 
 
 
580

 
 
Consensus pricing
 
Offered quotes
 
N/A
(e) 
       Other corporate
 
 
575

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Historical volatility
 
7.36%
 
 
 
 
411

 
 
Consensus pricing
 
Offered quotes
 
N/A
(e) 
    Perpetual securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
       Banks/financial institutions
 
 
215

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Historical volatility
 
7.36%
 
    Equity securities
 
 
4

 
 
Net asset value
 
Offered quotes
 
$2-$943 ($8)
 
  Other assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
       Interest rate swaps
 
 
32

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Base correlation
 
    49% - 50%
(a) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
91 - 152 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery rate
 
37.00%
 
       Foreign currency swaps
 
 
51

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
12 - 117 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Foreign exchange rates
 
20.65%
(d) 
 
 
 
4

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
12 - 126 bps
 
 
 
 
102

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Foreign exchange rates
 
20.65%
(d) 
       Credit default swaps
 
 
2

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Base correlation
 
    49% - 50%
(a) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
91 - 152 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery rate
 
37.00%
 
            Total assets
 
 
$
3,596

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(a) Weighted-average range of base correlations for our bespoke tranches for attachment and detachment points corresponding to market indices
(b) Inputs derived from U.S. long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps
(c) Inputs derived from Japan long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps
(d) Based on 10 year volatility of JPY/USD exchange rate
(e) N/A represents securities where we receive unadjusted broker quotes and for which there is no transparency into the providers' valuation techniques or unobservable inputs.

December 31, 2012
(In millions)
 
Fair Value
 
Valuation Technique(s)
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
(Weighted Average)
 
Liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
       Interest rate swaps
 
 
$
3

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Base correlation
 
    49% - 50%
(a) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
91 - 152 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery rate
 
37.00%
 
       Foreign currency swaps
 
 
118

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
22 - 141 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Foreign exchange rates
 
20.65%
(d) 
 
 
 
60

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
25 - 186 bps
 
 
 
 
151

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Interest rates (USD)
 
1.84% - 2.84%
(b) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rates (JPY)
 
.84% - 2.05%
(c) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Foreign exchange rates
 
20.65%
(d) 
       Credit default swaps
 
 
67

 
 
Discounted cash flow
 
Base correlations
 
    49% - 50%
(a) 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
CDS spreads
 
91 - 152 bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Recovery rate
 
37.00%
 
            Total liabilities
 
 
$
399

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(a) Weighted-average range of base correlations for our bespoke tranches for attachment and detachment points corresponding to market indices
(b) Inputs derived from U.S. long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps
(c) Inputs derived from Japan long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps
(d) Based on 10 year volatility of JPY/USD exchange rate
The following is a discussion of the significant unobservable inputs or valuation technique used in determining the fair value of securities and derivatives classified as Level 3.

Annualized Historical Foreign Exchange Volatility

We own a portfolio of callable reverse dual-currency bonds (RDCs). RDCs are securities that have principal denominated in yen while paying U.S. dollar (USD) coupons. The market standard approach is to use implied volatility to value options or instruments with optionality because historical volatility may not represent current market participants' expectations about future volatility. Our use of historical foreign exchange volatility as an input for valuing these investments could result in a significant increase or decrease in fair value measurement, given the importance of this input to the overall valuation. Historical volatility is an unobservable input in the determination of fair value of public utilities, sovereign and supranational, certain banks/financial institutions, and certain other corporate investments.

Net Asset Value

We hold certain unlisted equity securities whose fair value is derived based on the financial statements published by the investee. These securities do not trade on an active market and the valuations derived are dependent on the availability of timely financial reporting of the investee. Net asset value is an unobservable input in the determination of fair value of equity securities.

Offered Quotes

In circumstances where our valuation model price is overridden because it implies a value that is not consistent with current market conditions, we will solicit bids from a limited number of brokers. We also receive unadjusted prices from brokers for our mortgage and asset-backed securities. These quotes are non-binding but are reflective of valuation best estimates at that particular point in time. Offered quotes are an unobservable input in the determination of fair value of mortgage- and asset-backed securities, certain banks/financial institutions, certain other corporate, and equity securities investments.

Interest Rates, CDS Spreads, Foreign Exchange Rates

The significant drivers of the valuation of the interest and foreign exchange swaps are interest rates, foreign exchange rates and CDS spreads. Our swaps have long maturities that increase the sensitivity of the swaps to interest rate fluctuations. Since most of our yen-denominated cross currency swaps are in a net liability position, an increase in interest rates will decrease the liabilities and increase the value of the swap.
Foreign exchange swaps also have a lump-sum final settlement of foreign exchange principal receivables at the termination of the swap. An increase in yen interest rates will decrease the value of the final settlement foreign exchange receivables and decrease the value of the swap, and an increase in USD interest rates increase the swap value.
A similar sensitivity pattern is observed for the foreign exchange rates. When the spot U.S. dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY) foreign exchange rate decreases and the swap is receiving a final exchange payment in JPY, the swap value will increase due to the appreciation of the JPY. Most of our swaps are designed to receive payments in JPY at the termination and will thus be impacted by the USD/JPY foreign exchange rate in this way. In cases where there is no final foreign exchange receivable in JPY and we are paying JPY as interest payments and receiving USD, a decrease in the foreign exchange rate will lead to a decrease in the swap value.

The extinguisher feature in most of our swaps results in a cessation of cash flows and no further payments between the parties to the swap in the event of a default on the referenced or underlying collateral. To price this feature, we apply the survival probability of the referenced entity to the projected cash flows. The survival probability uses the CDS spreads and recovery rates to adjust the present value of the cash flows. For extinguisher swaps with positive values, an increase in CDS spreads decreases the likelihood of receiving the final exchange payments and reduces the value of the swap.

Due to the long duration of these swaps and the need to extrapolate from short-term observable data to derive and measure long-term inputs, certain inputs, assumptions and judgments are required to value future cash flows that cannot be corroborated by current inputs or current observable market data.

Interest rates, CDS spreads, and foreign exchange rates are unobservable inputs in the determination of fair value of foreign currency swaps.


Base Correlations, CDS Spreads, Recovery Rates

Our CDOs are tranches on baskets of single-name credit default swaps. The risks in these types of synthetic CDOs come from the single-name CDS risk and the correlations between the single names. The valuation of synthetic CDOs is dependent on the calibration of market prices for interest rates, single name CDS default probabilities and base correlation using financial modeling tools. Since there is limited or no observable data available for these tranches, these base correlations must be obtained from commonly traded market tranches such as the CDX and iTraxx indices. From the historical prices of these indices, base correlations can be obtained to develop a pricing curve of CDOs with different seniorities. Since the reference entities of the market indices do not match those in our portfolio underlying the synthetic CDO to be valued, several processing steps are taken to map the securities in our portfolio to the indices. With the base correlation determined and the appropriate spreads selected, a valuation is calculated. An increase in the CDS spreads in the underlying portfolio leads to a decrease in the value due to higher probability of defaults and losses. The impact on the valuation due to base correlation depends on a number of factors, including the riskiness between market tranches and the modeled tranche based on our portfolio and the equivalence between detachment points in these tranches. Generally speaking, an increase in base correlation will decrease the value of the senior tranches while increasing the value of junior tranches. This may result in a positive or negative value change.
The CDO tranches in our portfolio are junior tranches and, due to the low level of credit support for these tranches, exhibit equity-like behavior. As a result, an increase in recovery rates tends to cause their values to decrease.
Our interest rate swaps are linked to the underlying synthetic CDOs. The valuation of these swaps is performed using a similar approach to that of the synthetic CDOs themselves; that is, the base correlation model is used to ensure consistency between the synthetic CDOs and the swaps.

Base correlations, CDS spreads, and recovery rates are unobservable inputs in the determination of fair value of credit default swaps and interest rate swaps.

For additional information on our investments and financial instruments, see the accompanying Notes 1, 3 and 4.