FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS (Tables)
|
9 Months Ended |
Sep. 30, 2012
|
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract] |
|
Carrying Value and Fair Value of Financial Instruments Disclosure |
The carrying values and estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments were as follows:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | September 30, 2012 | | December 31, 2011 | (In millions) | Carrying Value | | Fair Value | | Carrying Value | | Fair Value | Assets: | | | | | | | | Fixed-maturity securities | $ | 109,970 |
| | $ | 111,172 |
| | $ | 88,588 |
| | $ | 88,039 |
| Fixed-maturity securities - consolidated variable interest entities | 6,332 |
| | 6,333 |
| | 5,993 |
| | 5,916 |
| Perpetual securities | 4,132 |
| | 4,132 |
| | 5,149 |
| | 5,149 |
| Perpetual securities - consolidated variable interest entities | 587 |
| | 587 |
| | 1,290 |
| | 1,290 |
| Equity securities | 24 |
| | 24 |
| | 25 |
| | 25 |
| Derivatives | 384 |
| | 384 |
| | 375 |
| | 375 |
| Liabilities: | | | | | | | | Notes payable (excluding capitalized leases) | 4,391 |
| | 5,014 |
| | 3,275 |
| | 3,536 |
| Derivatives | 447 |
| | 447 |
| | 531 |
| | 531 |
| Obligation to Japanese policyholder protection corporation | 26 |
| | 26 |
| | 71 |
| | 71 |
|
|
Fair Value Hierarchy, Assets and Liabilities Measured on Recurring Basis |
The following tables present the fair value hierarchy levels of the Company's assets and liabilities that are measured and carried at fair value on a recurring basis. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | September 30, 2012 | (In millions) | Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) | | Significant Observable Inputs (Level 2) | | Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) | | Total Fair Value | Assets: | | | | | | | | Securities available for sale, carried at fair value: | | | | | | | | Fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | Government and agencies | $ | 13,845 |
| | $ | 814 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 14,659 |
| Municipalities | 0 |
| | 1,196 |
| | 0 |
| | 1,196 |
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 0 |
| | 820 |
| | 385 |
| | 1,205 |
| Public utilities | 0 |
| | 7,858 |
| | 449 |
| | 8,307 |
| Sovereign and supranational | 0 |
| | 2,127 |
| | 460 |
| | 2,587 |
| Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 6,860 |
| | 1,423 |
| | 8,283 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 18,938 |
| | 1,073 |
| | 20,011 |
| Total fixed maturities | 13,845 |
| | 38,613 |
| | 3,790 |
| | 56,248 |
| Perpetual securities: | | | | | | | | Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 3,978 |
| | 370 |
| | 4,348 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 371 |
| | 0 |
| | 371 |
| Total perpetual securities | 0 |
| | 4,349 |
| | 370 |
| | 4,719 |
| Equity securities | 13 |
| | 7 |
| | 4 |
| | 24 |
| Other assets: | | | | | | | | Interest rate swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 39 |
| | 39 |
| Foreign currency swaps | 0 |
| | 16 |
| | 312 |
| | 328 |
| Foreign currency forwards | 0 |
| | 17 |
| | 0 |
| | 17 |
| Total other assets | 0 |
| | 33 |
| | 351 |
| | 384 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,985 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 2,985 |
| Total assets | $ | 16,843 |
| | $ | 43,002 |
| | $ | 4,515 |
| | $ | 64,360 |
| Liabilities: | | | | | | | | Interest rate swaps | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 5 |
| | $ | 5 |
| Foreign currency swaps | 0 |
| | 11 |
| | 349 |
| | 360 |
| Credit default swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 82 |
| | 82 |
| Total liabilities | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 11 |
| | $ | 436 |
| | $ | 447 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | December 31, 2011 | (In millions) | Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) | | Significant Observable Inputs (Level 2) | | Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) | | Total Fair Value | Assets: | | | | | | | | Securities available for sale, carried at fair value: | | | | | | | | Fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | Government and agencies | $ | 11,092 |
| | $ | 721 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 11,813 |
| Municipalities | 0 |
| | 1,159 |
| | 0 |
| | 1,159 |
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 0 |
| | 944 |
| | 394 |
| | 1,338 |
| Public utilities | 0 |
| | 6,803 |
| | 422 |
| | 7,225 |
| Sovereign and supranational | 0 |
| | 1,874 |
| | 434 |
| | 2,308 |
| Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 6,379 |
| | 1,074 |
| | 7,453 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 15,171 |
| | 1,105 |
| | 16,276 |
| Total fixed maturities | 11,092 |
| | 33,051 |
| | 3,429 |
| | 47,572 |
| Perpetual securities: | | | | | | | | Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 5,552 |
| | 526 |
| | 6,078 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 361 |
| | 0 |
| | 361 |
| Total perpetual securities | 0 |
| | 5,913 |
| | 526 |
| | 6,439 |
| Equity securities | 15 |
| | 6 |
| | 4 |
| | 25 |
| Other assets: | | | | | | | | Interest rate swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 34 |
| | 34 |
| Foreign currency swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 341 |
| | 341 |
| Total other assets | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 375 |
| | 375 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 2,249 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 2,249 |
| Total assets | $ | 13,356 |
| | $ | 38,970 |
| | $ | 4,334 |
| | $ | 56,660 |
| Liabilities: | | | | | | | | Interest rate swaps | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 4 |
| Foreign currency swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 397 |
| | 397 |
| Credit default swaps | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 130 |
| | 130 |
| Total liabilities | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 531 |
| | $ | 531 |
|
|
Fair Value Hierarchy Levels of Assets and Liabilities Carried at Cost or Amortized Cost |
The following tables present the fair values categorized by hierarchy levels for the Company's assets and liabilities that are carried at cost or amortized cost and for which fair value is disclosed. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | September 30, 2012 | (In millions) | Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) | | Significant Observable Inputs (Level 2) | | Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) | | Total Fair Value | Assets: | | | | | | | | Securities held to maturity, carried at amortized cost: | | | | | | | | Fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | Government and agencies | $ | 35,501 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 35,501 |
| Municipalities | 0 |
| | 592 |
| | 0 |
| | 592 |
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 0 |
| | 35 |
| | 79 |
| | 114 |
| Public utilities | 0 |
| | 5,756 |
| | 0 |
| | 5,756 |
| Sovereign and supranational | 0 |
| | 3,863 |
| | 0 |
| | 3,863 |
| Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 10,298 |
| | 0 |
| | 10,298 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 5,133 |
| | 0 |
| | 5,133 |
| Total assets | $ | 35,501 |
| | $ | 25,677 |
| | $ | 79 |
| | $ | 61,257 |
| Liabilities: | | | | | | | | Notes payable (excluding capital leases) | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 5,014 |
| | $ | 5,014 |
| Obligation to Japanese policyholder protection corporation | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 26 |
| | 26 |
| Total liabilities | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 5,040 |
| | $ | 5,040 |
|
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | December 31, 2011 | (In millions) | Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Identical Assets (Level 1) | | Significant Observable Inputs (Level 2) | | Significant Unobservable Inputs (Level 3) | | Total Fair Value | Assets: | | | | | | | | Securities held to maturity, carried at amortized cost: | | | | | | | | Fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | Government and agencies | $ | 19,071 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 19,071 |
| Municipalities | 0 |
| | 584 |
| | 0 |
| | 584 |
| Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | 0 |
| | 39 |
| | 95 |
| | 134 |
| Public utilities | 0 |
| | 5,637 |
| | 0 |
| | 5,637 |
| Sovereign and supranational | 0 |
| | 4,165 |
| | 0 |
| | 4,165 |
| Banks/financial institutions | 0 |
| | 11,480 |
| | 0 |
| | 11,480 |
| Other corporate | 0 |
| | 5,312 |
| | 0 |
| | 5,312 |
| Total assets | $ | 19,071 |
| | $ | 27,217 |
| | $ | 95 |
| | $ | 46,383 |
| Liabilities: | | | | | | | | Notes payable (excluding capital leases) | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 3,536 |
| | $ | 3,536 |
| Obligation to Japanese policyholder protection corporation | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 71 |
| | 71 |
| Total liabilities | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 3,607 |
| | $ | 3,607 |
|
|
Fair Value, Assets Measured on Recurring Basis, Unobservable Input Reconciliation |
The following tables present the changes in fair value of our available-for-sale investments and derivatives classified as Level 3. | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Three Months Ended September 30, 2012 | | Fixed Maturities | | Perpetual Securities | | Equity Securities | | Derivatives (1) | | | | (In millions) | Mortgage- and Asset- Backed Securities | | Public Utilities | | Sovereign and Supranational | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | Other Corporate | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | | | Interest Rate Swaps | | Foreign Currency Swaps | | Credit Default Swaps | | Total | | Balance, beginning of period | $ | 379 |
| | $ | 418 |
| | $ | 436 |
| | $ | 1,114 |
| | $ | 1,031 |
| | $ | 307 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 27 |
| | $ | (113 | ) | | $ | (107 | ) | | $ | 3,496 |
| | Realized investment gains (losses) included in earnings | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (27 | ) | | 0 |
| | 7 |
| | 76 |
| | 25 |
| | 81 |
| | Unrealized gains (losses) included in other comprehensive income (loss) | 11 |
| | 31 |
| | 24 |
| | 103 |
| | 42 |
| | 90 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 2 |
| | 0 |
| | 303 |
| | Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Purchases | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Issuances | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Sales | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Settlements | (5 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (2 | ) | | 0 |
| | (7 | ) | | Transfers into Level 3 | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 206 |
| (2) | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 206 |
| | Transfers out of Level 3 | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Balance, end of period | $ | 385 |
| | $ | 449 |
| | $ | 460 |
| | $ | 1,423 |
| | $ | 1,073 |
| | $ | 370 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 34 |
| | $ | (37 | ) | | $ | (82 | ) | | $ | 4,079 |
| | Changes in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities still held at the end of the period included in realized investment gains (losses) | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | (27 | ) | | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 7 |
| | $ | 76 |
| | $ | 25 |
| | $ | 81 |
| |
(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net (2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Three Months Ended September 30, 2011 | | Fixed Maturities | | Perpetual Securities | | Equity Securities | | Derivatives (1) | | | (In millions) | Mortgage- and Asset- Backed Securities | | Public Utilities | | Collateralized Debt Obligations | | Sovereign and Supranational | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | Other Corporate | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | | | Interest Rate Swaps | | Foreign Currency Swaps | | Credit Default Swaps | | Total | Balance, beginning of period | $ | 257 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 398 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 164 |
| | $ | (253 | ) | | $ | 574 |
| Realized investment gains (losses) included in earnings | (1 | ) | | 0 |
| | (1 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (138 | ) | | (75 | ) | | (215 | ) | Unrealized gains (losses) included in other comprehensive income (loss) | 18 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 3 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (2 | ) | | 0 |
| | 19 |
| Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Purchases | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| Issuances | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| Sales | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (3 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (3 | ) | Settlements | (2 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 134 |
| | 132 |
| Transfers into Level 3(2) | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 59 |
| | (90 | ) | | 0 |
| | (31 | ) | Transfers out of Level 3(3) | (4 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (376 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (380 | ) | Balance, end of period | $ | 268 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 25 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 59 |
| | $ | (66 | ) | | $ | (194 | ) | | $ | 96 |
| Changes in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities still held at the end of the period included in realized investment gains (losses) | $ | (1 | ) | | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | (138 | ) | | $ | (31 | ) | | $ | (170 | ) |
(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net (2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price (3) A result of changing our pricing methodology to using a third party pricing vendor for estimating fair value instead of obtaining pricing of the securities from brokers or arrangers
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2012 | | Fixed Maturities | | Perpetual Securities | | Equity Securities | | Derivatives (1) | | | | (In millions) | Mortgage- and Asset- Backed Securities | | Public Utilities | | Sovereign and Supranational | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | Other Corporate | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | | | Interest Rate Swaps | | Foreign Currency Swaps | | Credit Default Swaps | | Total | | Balance, beginning of period | $ | 394 |
| | $ | 422 |
| | $ | 434 |
| | $ | 1,074 |
| | $ | 1,105 |
| | $ | 526 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 30 |
| | $ | (56 | ) | | $ | (130 | ) | | $ | 3,803 |
| | Realized investment gains (losses) included in earnings | (3 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 2 |
| | 22 |
| | 0 |
| | 4 |
| | 58 |
| | 48 |
| | 131 |
| | Unrealized gains (losses) included in other comprehensive income (loss) | 10 |
| | 27 |
| | 26 |
| | 143 |
| | 0 |
| | 78 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (6 | ) | | 0 |
| | 278 |
| | Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Purchases | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Issuances | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Sales | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (34 | ) | | (256 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (290 | ) | | Settlements | (16 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (33 | ) | | 0 |
| | (49 | ) | | Transfers into Level 3 | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 206 |
| (2) | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 206 |
| | Transfers out of Level 3 | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | Balance, end of period | $ | 385 |
| | $ | 449 |
| | $ | 460 |
| | $ | 1,423 |
| | $ | 1,073 |
| | $ | 370 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 34 |
| | $ | (37 | ) | | $ | (82 | ) | | $ | 4,079 |
| | Changes in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities still held at the end of the period included in realized investment gains (losses) | $ | (3 | ) | | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | (27 | ) | | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 58 |
| | $ | 48 |
| | $ | 80 |
| |
(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net (2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nine Months Ended September 30, 2011 | | Fixed Maturities | | Perpetual Securities | | Equity Securities | | Derivatives (1) | | | (In millions) | Mortgage- and Asset- Backed Securities | | Public Utilities | | Collateralized Debt Obligations | | Sovereign and Supranational | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | Other Corporate | | Banks/ Financial Institutions | | | | Interest Rate Swaps | | Foreign Currency Swaps | | Credit Default Swaps | | Total | Balance, beginning of period | $ | 267 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 5 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 386 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 241 |
| | $ | (343 | ) | | $ | 560 |
| Realized investment gains (losses) included in earnings | (7 | ) | | 0 |
| | (2 | ) | | 0 |
| | 1 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (177 | ) | | (113 | ) | | (298 | ) | Unrealized gains (losses) included in other comprehensive income (loss) | 20 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 14 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (40 | ) | | 0 |
| | (6 | ) | Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Purchases | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| Issuances | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| Sales | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (3 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (3 | ) | Settlements | (8 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 262 |
| | 254 |
| Transfers into Level 3(2) | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 59 |
| | (90 | ) | | 0 |
| | (31 | ) | Transfers out of Level 3(3) | (4 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (376 | ) | | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | 0 |
| | (380 | ) | Balance, end of period | $ | 268 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 25 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 4 |
| | $ | 59 |
| | $ | (66 | ) | | $ | (194 | ) | | $ | 96 |
| Changes in unrealized gains (losses) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities still held at the end of the period included in realized investment gains (losses) | $ | (7 | ) | | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 1 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | 0 |
| | $ | (177 | ) | | $ | (46 | ) | | $ | (229 | ) |
(1) Derivative assets and liabilities are presented net (2) Due to a lack of visibility to observe significant inputs to price (3) A result of changing our pricing methodology to using a third party pricing vendor for estimating fair value instead of obtaining pricing of the securities from brokers or arrangers |
Discounted Cash Flow Pricing Model Sensitivity Analysis |
The estimated effect of potential changes in interest rates, credit spreads and interest rate volatility on these fair values as of such date is as follows: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Interest Rates | | | | Credit Spreads | | | | Interest Rate Volatility | | Factor Change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | Factor change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | Factor change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | +50 bps | | | | $ | (986 | ) | | | | +50 bps | | | | $ | (1,005 | ) | | | | +50 % | | | | $ | (27 | ) | | | -50 bps | | | | 1,025 |
| | | | -50 bps | | | | 1,020 |
| | | | -50 % | | | | 5 |
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The fair values of our held-to-maturity fixed-maturity securities valued by our DCF pricing model totaled $24.1 billion at September 30, 2012. The estimated effect of potential changes in interest rates, credit spreads and interest rate volatility on these fair values as of such date is as follows:
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Interest Rates | | | | Credit Spreads | | | | Interest Rate Volatility | | Factor Change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | Factor change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | Factor change | | Change in fair value (in millions) | | +50 bps | | | | $ | (1,461 | ) | | | | +50 bps | | | | $ | (1,364 | ) | | | | +50 % | | | | $ | (126 | ) | | | -50 bps | | | | 1,423 |
| | | | -50 bps | | | | 1,341 |
| | | | -50 % | | | | 152 |
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Fair Value Inputs Assets Quantitative Information |
The following tables summarize the significant unobservable inputs used in the valuation of our Level 3 available-for-sale investments and derivatives. Included in the tables are the inputs or range of possible inputs that have an effect on the overall valuation of the financial instruments. | | | | | | | | | | | | | September 30, 2012 | (In millions) | | Fair Value | | Valuation Technique(s) | | Unobservable Input | | Range (Weighted Average) | | Assets: | | | | | | | | | | Securities available for sale, carried at fair value: | | | | | | | | | | Fixed maturities: | | | | | | | | | | Mortgage- and asset-backed securities | | $ | 385 |
| | Consensus pricing | | Offered quotes | | N/A | (e) | Public utilities | | 449 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Historical volatility | | 5.30% | | Sovereign and supranational | | 460 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Historical volatility | | 5.30% | | Banks/financial institutions | | 613 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Historical volatility | | 5.30% | | | | 810 |
| | Consensus pricing | | Offered quotes | | N/A | (e) | Other corporate | | 626 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Historical volatility | | 5.30% | |
| | 447 |
| | Consensus pricing | | Offered quotes | | N/A | (e) | Perpetual securities: | | | | | | | | | | Banks/financial institutions | | 370 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Historical volatility | | 5.30% | | Equity securities | | 4 |
| | Net asset value | | Offered quotes | | $0-$1,051 ($9) | | Other assets: | | | | | | | |
| | Interest rate swaps | | 39 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Base correlation | | 47% - 59% | (a) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 84 - 192 bps | | | | | | | | Recovery rate | | 20% - 70% (40%) | | Foreign currency swaps | | 109 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 16 - 115 bps | | | | | | | | Foreign exchange rates | | 20.22% | (d) | | | 69 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 21 - 128 bps | | | | 134 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | Foreign exchange rates | | 20.22% | (d) | Total assets | | $ | 4,515 |
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(a) Weighted-average range of base correlations for our bespoke tranches for attachment and detachment points corresponding to market indices (b) Inputs derived from U.S. long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps (c) Inputs derived from Japan long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps (d) Based on 10 year volatility of JPY/USD exchange rate (e) N/A represents securities where we receive unadjusted broker quotes and for which there is no transparency into the providers' valuation techniques or unobservable inputs. |
Fair Value Inputs Liabilities Quantitative Information |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | September 30, 2012 | (In millions) | | Fair Value | | Valuation Technique(s) | | Unobservable Input | | Range (Weighted Average) | | Liabilities: | | | | | | | | | | Interest rate swaps | | $ | 5 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Base correlation | | 47% - 59% | (a) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 84 - 192 bps | | | | | | | | Recovery rate | | 20% - 70% (40%) | | Foreign currency swaps | | 72 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 24 - 140 bps | | | | | | | | Foreign exchange rates | | 20.22% | (d) | | | 17 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 49 - 259 bps | | | | 260 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Interest rates (USD) | | 1.70% - 2.63% | (b) | | | | | | | Interest rates (JPY) | | .77% - 1.75% | (c) | | | | | | | Foreign exchange rates | | 20.22% | (d) | Credit default swaps | | 82 |
| | Discounted cash flow | | Base correlations | | 47% - 59% | (a) | | | | | | | CDS spreads | | 84 - 192 bps | | | | | | | | Recovery rate | | 20% - 70% (40%) | | Total liabilities | | $ | 436 |
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(a) Weighted-average range of base correlations for our bespoke tranches for attachment and detachment points corresponding to market indices (b) Inputs derived from U.S. long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps (c) Inputs derived from Japan long-term rates to accommodate long maturity nature of our swaps (d) Based on 10 year volatility of JPY/USD exchange rate |