EX-99.1 2 ex99_1.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 Exhibit 99.1
G
M
P
rowing Dividends
anaging Risk and
erforming to Expectations
 
 

 
Safe Harbor Statement
This report contains statements that may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.  You can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as “may,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “intend,” “will,” “expect,” “forecast,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “continue” or similar words.  We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995 and are including this statement for the purposes of complying with these safe harbor provisions.  You should read statements that contain these words carefully because they discuss the Company’s future expectations, contain projections of the Company’s future results of operations or financial condition, or state other “forward-looking” information.
 
 

 
Company Fundamentals
•   GMP serves 90,000
customers in Vermont’s
fastest growing regions
•   Vertically integrated
•   No unregulated ventures
•   Current dividend payout
ratio is among the lowest
for comparable utilities
•   S&P Credit Rating BBB;
Moody’s Credit Rating
Baa2
 
 

 

 
Cents per
% of Total
Source
 kwh
Purchases
GMP and NYPA Hydro
4.2
6.2
Market Purchases
6.8
9.6
Nuclear
4.0
40.6
Wind
4.0
0.1
Hydro Quebec
7.0
33.9
Wood
10.7
1.3
Qualifying Facilities
12.5
6.5
Oil & Gas
23.2
1.8
Average all sources
6.3
 
•    9% owned generation; 91% purchased generation
Energy Sources in 2005
 
 

 
Retail Revenue by Customer Class
Mwh Sales by Customer Class
Load and Revenue
 
 

 
Customers Served Per Non-Generation Employee
Vermont’s Five Largest Utilities - 2004
 
 

 
Overall Satisfaction with Response to Contact - 4th Quarter 2005
GMP
All IOUs
Completely or Very Satisfied
94%
62%
Completely or Very Dissatisfied
3%
13%
Customer Satisfaction & Service Quality Performance
 
 

 
Source:  Edison Electric Institute, FERC Form1
New England 2004 Retail Rates
 
 

 
Cents/kWh
CPI Index
Green Mountain Power Overall Rates
Compared to Consumer Price Index
 
 

 
Current Approved Rate Plan
•  Allowed ROE at 10.5%
•  Rate increases of 1.9% and 0.9% for
2005 and 2006
•  Recovery of Pine St. remediation & other
regulatory assets
 
 

 
Regulatory and Political Outlook
•   Positive regulatory relationship
•   Three-year rate plan (2004-2006)
•   New thinking on value of fuel clauses
       –    Alternative Rate Plan
       –    Earnings sharing
•   Ten to Fifteen percent rate increase requirement in 2007,
if current wholesale pricing applies
•   Deferral of higher energy prices needed for 2006 for
opportunity to earn our allowed rate of return
•   Current Approved Rate Plan permits deferral of higher
costs caused by storms / other factors
•   Governor Douglas (R), a two-term popular incumbent,
strong favorability rating
•   Experienced utility regulators
 
 

 
Management Strategy
•  Conservative Capital Structure
•  Superior Dividend Growth
•  Invest in Transmission
•  Grow Utility Services Business
•  Improve Cash Flow
 
 

 
Financial Overview


 
2005
 
2004
 
2003
Retail Revenues
$217,562
 
$207,922
 
$201,569
Power Supply (net wholesale sales)
121,691
 
121,367
 
118,405
Gross Margin
95,871
 
86,555
 
83,164
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Operating Expense
76,340
 
66,903
 
63,697
Other Income
1,725
 
2,087
 
2,079
Interest Exp
6,760
 
6,506
 
7,060
Net Income (continuing operations)
$11,046
 
$11,059
 
$10,328
Net Income (discontinuing operations)
$134
 
$525
 
$79
 
 
 
 
 
 
EPS - Diluted - continuing operations
$2.09
 
$2.10
 
$2.01
EPS - Diluted - discontinued operations
$0.03
 
$0.10
 
$0.01
EPS - Diluted
$2.12
 
$2.20
 
$2.02
Dividends per Share
$1.00
 
$0.88
 
$0.76
Weighted Average Common Shares
5,284
 
5,254
 
5,140
 
 

 
Capital Structure
•  Targeted 53% common equity
•  No preferred equity, no hybrids, limited
use of short-term debt
•  Limited debt maturities (millions):     

2004
 
2005
 
2006
 
2007
 
2008
$0
 
$0
 
$14
 
$0
 
$0
 
 

 
Cash From Cont. Ops. / EPS
In $000s
Capital Structure & Cash Flow
 
 

 
Annual Dividend
5 Year Cumulative Total Return
Retained Earnings
GMP has received EEI’s award forhighest 5 year total shareholder return for 2004 and 2005.
GMP intends to increase its annual dividendpayout ratio to the middle of a range of between 50 and 70 percent of earnings so long as financial and operating results permit.
How Shareholders Have Fared
 
 

 
VELCO Total Capital
(In $000s)
VELCO Transmission Growth Strategy
•  Current
capitalization
structure for VELCO
•  Potential to increase
equity
•  Invest approximately
$25 million through
2008
•  Superior
risk-adjusted return
 
 

 
Utility Service Revenues
Utility Services Growth Strategy
•   Reduces rates for
customers
•   Superior growth
•   More efficient use
of workforce
 
 

 
Appendix A:  Effective Risk Mitigation Strategies

Power Supply
   Green Mountain Power Corporation’s power supply contracts have features that reduce outage cost exposure.
   All Company power contract costs are being recovered in rates and most contracts are effective for extended periods:
   –    Morgan Stanley contract effective through 2006 (15% of total power supply)
   –    Vermont Yankee contract expires in 2012 (35%-40% of total power supply)
   –    Hydro-Quebec contract expires 2015 (30% - 35% of total power supply)
   Rapid increase in energy prices has reduced margins on sales, and increased the costs of delivering energy to customers.
IBM
   IBM represents approximately 16 percent of Company retail revenues but is our lowest margin customer. In a worst case hypothetical situation, were IBM to shutdown immediately, our rate increase needs across all customer classes are estimated to decline, because IBM’s rates are well below current wholesale energy prices.
   While IBM has reduced its workforce over the past five years from 8,500 to 6,000, Company results and rate needs have not been impacted, in part due to low unemployment and steady growth in our service territory.
Regulatory
   The Company believes that the 2004-2006 rate plan demonstrates an improved regulatory environment and provides longer-term financial stability. Alternative regulation with some type of fuel adjustment mechanism is a plausible future outcome in Vermont.