EX-99.1 2 eeipptslideshow.htm EEI CONFERENCE POWER POINT SLIDES EEI conference Power point slides
    Growing Dividend
Managing Risk and
    Performing to Expectations
 
 

 
 
Safe Harbor Statement
This report contains statements that may be considered
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.  You can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as “may,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “intend,” “will,” “expect,” “forecast,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “continue” or similar words.  We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995 and are including this statement for the purposes of complying with these safe harbor provisions.  You should read statements that contain these words carefully
because they discuss the Company’s future expectations, contain projections of the Company’s future results of operations or financial condition, or state other “forward-looking” information.
 
 

 
 
Company Fundamentals
GMP serves 90,000
customers in Vermont’s
fastest growing regions
Vertically integrated
No unregulated
ventures
Current dividend
payout ratio is among
the lowest for
comparable utilities
S&P Credit Rating
BBB; Moody’s Credit
Rating Baa2
 
 

 
 
 
Cents per
% of Total
Source
kwh
Purchases
Nuclear
4.4
37
Market Purchases
5.1
19
GMP Hydro
5.2
5
Wind
6.2
0.1
Hydro Quebec
7.5
29
Wood (McNeil)
9.7
1
Oil & Gas
11.3
2.5
Qualifying Facilities
12.7
6
Average all sources
6.2
 
  9% owned generation; 91% purchased generation
* 0.4% of the energy represented in “Market
Purchases”  was generated at GMP’s Wind
Facility in Searsburg for which the associated
renewable energy credits were sold in 2004.
Energy Sources in 2004
 
 

 
 
Retail Revenue by Customer Class
Mwh Sales by Customer Class
Load and Revenue
 
 

 
 
Customers Served Per Non-Generation Employee
Vermont’s Five Largest Utilities - 2004
 
 

 
 
Overall Satisfaction with Response Contact – 3rd Quarter 2005
GMP
All IOUs
Completely or Very Satisfied
92%
60%
Completely or Very Dissatisfied
2%
16%
Customer Satisfaction & Service Quality
Performance
 
 

 
 
Source:  Edison Electric Institute, FERC Form1
New England 2004 Retail Rates
 
 

 
 
Cents/kWh
CPI Index
Green Mountain Power Overall Rates
Compared to Consumer Price Index
 
 

 
 
Current Approved Rate Plan
ROE at 10.5%
Rate increases of 1.9% and 0.9% for
2005 and 2006
Recovery of Pine St. remediation &
other regulatory assets
 
 

 
 
Regulatory and Political Outlook
Positive regulatory relationship
Three-year rate plan (2004-2006)
New thinking on value of fuel clauses
Alternative Rate Plan
Thirteen percent rate increase requirement in
2007, if current wholesale pricing applies
Deferral of higher energy prices needed for
2006 for opportunity to earn our allowed rate
of return
Current Approved Rate Plan permits deferral
of higher costs caused by storms / other
factors
Governor Douglas (R), a two-term popular
incumbent, strong favorability rating
Experienced utility regulators
 
 

 
 
Management Strategy
Conservative Capital Structure
Superior Dividend Growth
Invest in Transmission
Grow Utility Services Business
Improve Cash Flow
 
 

 
 
Financial Overview
 
2004
 
2003
 
2002
Retail Revenues
$206,164
 
$201,569
 
$203,962
Power Supply (net wholesale sales)
121,367
 
118,405
 
123,459
Gross Margin
84,797
 
83,164
 
80,503
           
Other Operating Expense
69,319
 
67,858
 
65,422
Other Income
2,087
 
2,079
 
2,485
Interest Exp
6,506
 
7,057
 
6,170
Preferred Dividends
0
 
3
 
96
Net Income (continuing operations)
$11,059
 
$10,404
 
$11,398
Net Income (discontinuing operations)
$525
 
$79
 
$99
           
EPS - Diluted - continuing operations
$2.10
 
$2.01
 
$1.96
EPS - Diluted - discontinued operations
$0.10
 
$0.01
 
$0.02
EPS - Diluted
$2.20
 
$2.02
 
$1.98
Dividends per Share
$0.88
 
$0.76
 
$0.60
Book Value
$21.32
 
$19.85
 
$18.53
End of Year Shares (in 000’s)
5,140
 
5,033
 
4,955
 
 

 
 
Capital Structure
Targeted 53% common equity
No preferred equity, no hybrids,
limited use of short-term debt
Limited debt maturities (millions):
2004
 
2005
 
2006
 
2007
 
2008
$0
 
$0
 
$14
 
$0
 
$0
 
 

 
 
Capital Structure & Cash Flow
 
 

 
Annual Dividend
5 Year Cumulative Total Return
Retained Earnings
GMP has received EEI’s award for
highest 5 year total shareholder return for
2004 and 2005.
GMP intends to increase its annual dividend
payout ratio to the middle of a range of
between 50 and 70 percent of earnings so
long as financial and operating results permit.
How Shareholders Have Fared
 
 

 
 
VELCO Total Capital
(In $000s)
VELCO Transmission Growth
Strategy
Current
capitalization
structure for VELCO
Potential to
increase equity
Invest up to $32
million through
2008
Superior
risk-adjusted return
 
 

 
 
Utility Service Revenues
Utility Services Growth
Strategy
Reduces rates for
customers
Superior growth
More efficient use
of workforce
 
 

 
 
Appendix A:  Effective Risk
Mitigation Strategies
Power Supply
Green Mountain Power Corporation relies on power supply contracts for 85% of its load
requirements; therefore outage related risks are reduced.
All Company power contract costs are being recovered in rates and most contracts are
effective for extended periods:
Morgan Stanley contract effective through 2006  (15% of total power supply)
Vermont Yankee contract expires in 2012 (35%-40% of total power supply)
Hydro-Quebec contract expires 2015 (30% - 35% of total power supply)
Rapid increase in energy prices has reduced margins on sales, and increased the
costs of delivering energy to customers.
IBM
IBM represents approximately 16 percent of Company retail revenues but is our lowest
margin customer.  In a worst case hypothetical situation, were IBM to shutdown immediately,
our rate increase needs across all customer classes are estimated to decline, because
IBM’s rates are well below current wholesale energy prices.
While IBM has reduced its workforce over the past five years from 8,500 to 6,000, Company
results and rate needs have not been impacted, in part due to low unemployment and
steady growth in our service territory.
Regulatory
The Company believes that the 2004-2006 rate plan demonstrates an improved regulatory
environment and provides longer-term financial stability.  Alternative regulation with some
type of fuel adjustment mechanism is a plausible future outcome in Vermont.
Weather
The Company uses derivatives to lessen risk associated with adverse weather patterns’
effect on earnings.