10-Q 1 doc1.txt SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 __________________________ FORM 10-Q QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 FOR THE QUARTERLY PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ------------------ OR TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 FOR THE TRANSITION PERIOD FROM ___________ TO ___________ COMMISSION FILE NUMBER 1-8291 ------ GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION -------------------------------- (EXACT NAME OF REGISTRANT AS SPECIFIED IN ITS CHARTER) VERMONT 03-0127430 ------------------ ---------- (STATE OR OTHER JURISDICTION OF INCORPORATION (I.R.S. EMPLOYER OR ORGANIZATION) IDENTIFICATION NO.) 163 ACORN LANE COLCHESTER, VT 05446 --------------------- ----------- ADDRESS OF PRINCIPAL EXECUTIVE OFFICES (ZIP CODE) REGISTRANT'S TELEPHONE NUMBER, INCLUDING AREA CODE (802) 864-5731 --------------- INDICATE BY CHECK MARK WHETHER THE REGISTRANT (1) HAS FILED ALL REPORTS REQUIRED TO BE FILED BY SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 DURING THE PRECEDING 12 MONTHS (OR FOR SUCH SHORTER PERIOD THAT THE REGISTRANT WAS REQUIRED TO FILE SUCH REPORTS), AND (2) HAS BEEN SUBJECT TO SUCH FILING REQUIREMENTS FOR THE PAST 90 DAYS. YES X NO --- INDICATE BY CHECK MARK WHETHER THE REGISTRANT IS AN ACCELERATED FILER (AS DEFINED IN RULE 12B-2 OF THE EXCHANGE ACT). YES X NO --- Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the issuer's classes of common stock, as of the latest practicable date. CLASS - COMMON STOCK OUTSTANDING AT OCTOBER 29, 2004 --------------------------- ------------------------------------ $3.33 1/3 PAR VALUE 5,121,479 This report contains statements that may be considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. You can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as "may," "could", "should," "would," "intend," "will," "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "continue" or similar words. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Reform Act of 1995 and are including this statement for purposes of complying with these safe harbor provisions. You should read statements that contain these words carefully because they discuss the Company's future expectations, contain projections of the Company's future results of operations or financial condition, or state other "forward-looking" information. There may be events in the future that we are not able to predict accurately or control and that may cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations described in forward-looking statements. Investors are cautioned that all forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those discussed in this document, including the documents incorporated by reference in this document. These differences may be the result of various factors, including changes in general, national, regional, or local economic conditions, changes in fuel or wholesale power supply costs, regulatory or legislative action or decisions, and other risk factors identified from time to time in our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The factors referred to above include many, but not all, of the factors that could impact the Company's ability to achieve the results described in any forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. You should be aware that the occurrence of the events described above and elsewhere in this document, including the documents incorporated by reference, could harm the Company's business, prospects, operating results or financial condition. We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of future events or developments. AVAILABLE INFORMATION Our Internet website address is: www.Greenmountainpower.biz. We make available free of charge through the website our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as soon as reasonably practicable after such documents are electronically filed with, or furnished to, the SEC. The information on our website is not, and shall not be deemed to be, a part of this report or incorporated into any other filings we make with the SEC. PART I FINANCIAL INFORMATION GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION INDEX TO UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SCHEDULES AT AND FOR THE THREE AND NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 AND 2003 ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS PAGE Consolidated Statements of Income and Comprehensive Income (unaudited) 4 Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (unaudited) 5 Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited) 6 Consolidated Statements of Retained Earnings (unaudited) 8 Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (unaudited) 8 ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS 19 ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK 29 AND OTHER RISK FACTORS ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES 31 PART II. OTHER INFORMATION 32 Exhibits and Reports on Form 8-K 32 Signatures 34 Certifications 35 The accompanying notes are an integral part of the consolidated financial statements.
GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED COMPARATIVE INCOME STATEMENTS UNAUDITED --------- THREE MONTHS ENDED NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 -------- -------- --------- --------- (in thousands, except per share data) Retail Revenues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $50,483 $51,023 $153,414 $150,783 Wholesale Revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,443 20,952 19,220 58,593 -------- -------- --------- --------- OPERATING REVENUES . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54,926 71,975 172,634 209,376 -------- -------- --------- --------- OPERATING EXPENSES Power Supply Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Corporation. . . . . . . . . . 8,602 9,297 23,223 28,582 Company-owned generation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,650 1,577 5,095 6,061 Purchases from others . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23,814 39,421 80,916 111,799 Other operating. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,348 4,823 13,094 12,949 Transmission . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,479 3,417 11,217 10,963 Maintenance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,451 2,226 7,147 6,668 Depreciation and amortization. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,479 3,403 10,451 10,354 Taxes other than income. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,361 1,689 4,853 5,294 Income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,147 1,820 4,246 4,746 -------- -------- --------- --------- Total operating expenses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50,331 67,673 160,242 197,416 -------- -------- --------- --------- OPERATING INCOME . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,595 4,302 12,392 11,960 -------- -------- --------- --------- OTHER INCOME Equity in earnings of affiliates and non-utility operations. 410 407 943 1,233 Allowance for equity funds used during construction. . . . . 112 103 336 279 Other income (deductions), net . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (122) (21) 112 92 -------- -------- --------- --------- TOTAL OTHER INCOME. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 400 489 1,391 1,604 -------- -------- --------- --------- INTEREST CHARGES Long-term debt . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,633 1,762 4,900 5,278 Other interest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 67 181 234 Allowance for borrowed funds used during construction. . . . (71) (73) (213) (190) -------- -------- --------- --------- TOTAL INTEREST CHARGES. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,603 1,756 4,868 5,322 -------- -------- --------- --------- INCOME BEFORE PREFERRED DIVIDENDS AND. . . . . . . . . . . . 3,392 3,035 8,915 8,242 DISCONTINUED OPERATIONS Dividends on preferred stock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 1 - 3 -------- -------- --------- --------- Income from continuing operations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,392 3,034 8,915 8,239 Income (loss) from discontinued segment, including provisions for operating losses during phaseout period. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (2) 6 (9) (15) -------- -------- --------- --------- NET INCOME APPLICABLE TO COMMON STOCK. . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,390 $ 3,040 $ 8,906 $ 8,224 ======== ======== ========= =========
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME THREE MONTHS ENDED NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ------ ------ ------ ------ Net income. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $3,390 $3,040 $8,906 $8,224 Other comprehensive income, net of tax. . . . . . - - - - ------ ------ ------ ------ Comprehensive income. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $3,390 $3,040 $8,906 $8,224 ====== ====== ====== ====== Basic earnings per share . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 0.67 $ 0.61 $ 1.76 $ 1.65 Diluted earnings per share . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.65 0.59 1.70 1.60 Cash dividends declared per share. . . . . . . . . $ 0.22 $ 0.19 $ 0.66 $ 0.57 Weighted average common shares outstanding-basic . 5,089 4,982 5,068 4,970 Weighted average common shares outstanding-diluted 5,251 5,141 5,238 5,130
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.
Unaudited GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION For the Nine Months Ended CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS September 30 2004 2003 --------- --------- OPERATING ACTIVITIES: Income from continuing operations before preferred dividends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 8,915 $ 8,227 Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities: Depreciation and amortization. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10,451 10,354 Dividends from associated companies less equity income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (103) 120 Allowance for funds used during construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (549) (469) Amortization of deferred purchased power costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 (1,135) Deferred income taxes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,424 827 Deferred purchased power costs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,435) (130) Rate levelization liability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,876) 119 Environmental and conservation deferrals, net. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,250) (1,646) Changes in: Accounts receivable and accrued utility revenues . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,522 1,367 Prepayments, fuel and other current assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (145) (1,726) Accounts payable and other current liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,520 (4,948) Accrued income taxes payable and receivable. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,416) 2,521 Deferred tax liability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (97) - Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,174 311 --------- --------- Net cash provided by operating activities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20,373 13,792 INVESTING ACTIVITIES: Construction expenditures. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (14,090) (11,986) Investment in associated companies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - (108) Return of Capital from associated companies. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 45 Investment in nonutility property. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (297) (151) --------- --------- Net cash used in investing activities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (14,167) (12,199) --------- --------- FINANCING ACTIVITIES: Payments to acquire treasury stock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - (3) Issuance of common stock . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,890 356 Reduction in long-term debt. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - - Short-term debt. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (500) (1,000) Cash dividends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (3,352) (2,836) --------- --------- Net cash used in financing activities. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,962) (3,483) --------- --------- Net increase in cash and cash equivalents. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,243 (1,890) Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 786 1,909 --------- --------- Cash and cash equivalents at end of period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 5,029 $ 19 ========= ========= SUPPLEMENTAL DISCLOSURE OF CASH FLOW INFORMATION: Cash paid year-to-date for: Interest (net of amounts capitalized). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 4,383 $ 4,588 Income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2,897 2,163 The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.
GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS UNAUDITED --------- SEPTEMBER 30 DECEMBER 31 ------------ 2004 2003 2003 --------------- -------- -------- (in thousands) ASSETS UTILITY PLANT Utility plant, at original cost $ 327,908 $314,685 $324,900 Less accumulated depreciation 120,438 113,056 112,729 --------------- -------- -------- Net utility plant 207,470 201,629 212,171 Property under capital lease 5,162 5,654 5,047 Construction work in progress 17,493 17,795 9,026 --------------- -------- -------- Total utility plant, net 230,125 225,078 226,244 --------------- -------- -------- OTHER INVESTMENTS Associated companies, at equity 5,779 14,108 5,896 Other investments 8,379 7,494 7,810 --------------- -------- -------- Total other investments 14,158 21,602 13,706 --------------- -------- -------- CURRENT ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents 5,029 19 786 Accounts receivable, less allowance for doubtful accounts of $747, $634 and $690 16,664 16,582 17,331 Accrued utility revenues 4,874 5,921 6,729 Fuel, materials and supplies, average cost 4,463 4,567 4,498 Prepayments 1,997 2,352 1,922 Other 1,315 460 422 --------------- -------- -------- Total current assets 34,342 29,901 31,688 --------------- -------- -------- DEFERRED CHARGES Demand side management programs 7,144 6,588 6,713 Purchased power costs 3,170 3,622 2,574 Pine Street Barge Canal 12,954 13,019 12,954 Net power supply deferral 7,114 16,780 19,734 Power supply derivative asset 11,511 5,354 3,990 Other deferred charges 9,012 9,544 9,625 --------------- -------- -------- Total deferred charges 50,905 54,907 55,590 --------------- -------- -------- NON-UTILITY Other current assets - 8 217 Property and equipment 248 249 248 Other assets 542 666 640 --------------- -------- -------- Total non-utility assets 790 923 1,105 --------------- -------- -------- TOTAL ASSETS $ 330,320 $332,411 $328,333 =============== ======== ========
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.
GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS UNAUDITED --------- SEPTEMBER 30 DECEMBER 31 2004 2003 2003 --------- --------- --------- (in thousands except share data) CAPITALIZATION AND LIABILITIES CAPITALIZATION Common stock, $3.33 1/3 par value, authorized 10,000,000 shares (issued 5,930,126, 5,817,246 and 5,860,854) . . . . . . $ 19,767 $ 19,391 $ 19,536 Additional paid-in capital . . . . . . . . . . . 77,741 75,587 76,081 Retained earnings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28,340 21,562 22,786 Accumulated other comprehensive income . . . . . (1,787) (2,374) (1,787) Treasury stock, at cost (827,639 shares) . . . . (16,701) (16,701) (16,701) --------- --------- --------- Total common stock equity. . . . . . . . . . . . 107,360 97,465 99,915 Redeemable cumulative preferred stock. . . . . . - 55 - Long-term debt, less current maturities. . . . . 93,000 93,000 93,000 --------- --------- --------- Total capitalization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 200,360 190,520 192,915 --------- --------- --------- CAPITAL LEASE OBLIGATION . . . . . . . . . . . . 4,967 5,601 4,963 --------- --------- --------- CURRENT LIABILITIES Current maturities of preferred stock. . . . . . - 30 - Current maturities of long-term debt . . . . . . - 8,000 - Short-term debt. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 1,500 500 Accounts payable, trade and accrued liabilities. 12,609 5,506 8,493 Accounts payable to associated companies . . . . 3,212 4,801 6,821 Rate levelization liability. . . . . . . . . . . 1,351 4,210 2,970 Accrued income taxes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . - 7,105 633 Customer deposits. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 954 869 968 Interest accrued . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,769 1,960 1,152 Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1,585 1,203 1,178 --------- --------- --------- Total current liabilities. . . . . . . . . . . . 21,480 35,184 22,715 --------- --------- --------- DEFERRED CREDITS Power supply derivative liability. . . . . . . . 18,626 22,134 23,724 Accumulated deferred income taxes. . . . . . . . 35,542 27,510 34,009 Unamortized investment tax credits . . . . . . . 2,641 2,918 2,848 Pine Street Barge Canal cleanup liability. . . . 6,106 7,525 7,356 Accumulated cost of removal. . . . . . . . . . . 19,618 18,353 18,620 Other deferred liabilities . . . . . . . . . . . 19,031 20,844 19,693 --------- --------- --------- Total deferred credits . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101,564 99,284 106,250 --------- --------- --------- COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES, NOTE 3 NON-UTILITY Net liabilities of discontinued segment. . . . . 1,949 1,822 1,490 --------- --------- --------- Total non-utility liabilities. . . . . . . . . . 1,949 1,822 1,490 --------- --------- --------- TOTAL CAPITALIZATION AND LIABILITIES . . . . . . $330,320 $332,411 $328,333 ========= ========= =========
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF RETAINED EARNINGS THREE MONTHS ENDED NINE MONTHS ENDED In thousands SEPTEMBER 30 SEPTEMBER 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 -------- -------- -------- -------- Balance - beginning of period. . . . . . . . . . . . $26,071 $19,469 $22,786 $16,171 Net Income . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3,390 3,041 8,906 8,227 Cash Dividends-redeemable cumulative preferred stock - (1) - (3) Cash Dividends-common stock. . . . . . . . . . . . . (1,121) (947) (3,352) (2,833) -------- -------- -------- -------- Balance - end of period. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $28,340 $21,562 $28,340 $21,562 ======== ======== ======== ========
The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements. GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION NOTES TO UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 PART I-ITEM 1 1. SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES It is our opinion that the financial information contained in this report reflects all normal, recurring adjustments necessary to present a fair statement of results for the periods reported, but such results are not necessarily indicative of results to be expected for the year due to the seasonal nature of our business and include other adjustments discussed elsewhere in this report necessary to reflect fairly the results of the interim periods. Certain information and footnote disclosures normally included in financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America have been condensed or omitted in this Form 10-Q pursuant to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission. However, the disclosures herein, when read with the Green Mountain Power Corporation (the "Company" or "GMP") annual report for 2003 filed on Form 10-K, are adequate to make the information presented not misleading. The Vermont Public Service Board ("VPSB"), the regulatory commission in Vermont, sets the rates we charge our customers for their electricity. In periods prior to April 2001, we charged our customers higher rates for billing cycles in December through March and lower rates for the remaining months. These were called seasonally differentiated rates. Seasonal rates were eliminated in April 2001, and generated approximately $8.5 million of revenues deferred in 2001, of which $1.1 million and $4.4 million were recognized during 2003 and 2002, respectively. The Company recognizes deferred revenues based on its current forecast of amounts necessary to achieve its allowed rate of return on equity for its utility operations. For the nine months ended September 30, 2004, the Company recognized deferred revenues of $1.9 million. The remaining $1.1 million will be used to offset increased costs or recover regulatory assets during 2004. For the three months ended September 30, 2004, the Company recognized deferred revenues of $385,000 compared with the same period in 2003 when the Company did not defer or recognize any revenues. The Company did not recognize or defer revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2003. In December 2003, the VPSB approved a rate plan for the period 2003 through 2006 (the "2003 Rate Plan"), jointly proposed by the Company and the Vermont Department of Public Service (the "Department" or the "DPS"). The 2003 Rate Plan is summarized below under the heading "Rates." Electricity sales to customers are based on monthly meter readings. Estimated unbilled revenues are recorded at the end of each monthly accounting period. In order to determine unbilled revenues, the Company makes various estimates including 1) energy generated, purchased and resold, 2) losses of energy over transmission and distribution lines, 3) kilowatt-hour usage by retail customer mix - residential, commercial and industrial, and 4) average retail customer pricing rates. The Company sponsors several qualified and nonqualified pension plans and OPEB plans covering current and former employees who meet certain eligibility criteria. The assumptions used to calculate the cost and obligations associated with these plans are determined on January 1 for the upcoming year. These assumptions are disclosed in the Form 10-K. Certain line items on the prior year's financial statements have been reclassified for consistent presentation with the current year. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with generally accepted accounting principles requires the use of estimates and assumptions that affect assets and liabilities, and revenues and expenses. Actual results could differ from those estimates. For incentive stock options issued prior to 2003, the Company applies Accounting Principles Board Opinion No. 25, "Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees" and related interpretations in accounting for its stock option plan and has adopted the disclosure-only provisions of SFAS 123, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation" as amended by SFAS 148, "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation - Transition and Disclosure - and amendment of SFAS 123." For incentive stock options granted on or after January 1, 2003, the Company applies the accounting provisions of SFAS 123. The following table illustrates the effect on net income and earnings per share, as if the fair value method had been applied to all outstanding and unvested awards in each period. The fair value of options at the date of grant was estimated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model. Had the Company expensed stock-based compensation under SFAS 123 for options granted prior to 2003, the Company's diluted earnings would have been reduced by approximately $0.01 and $0.01 per share for the three months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively.
Three Months Ended Nine months ended Pro-forma net income September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ------ ------ ------ ------ In thousands, except per share amounts Net income reported. . . . . . . . . . $3,390 $3,040 $8,906 $8,224 Pro-forma net income . . . . . . . . . 3,370 3,000 8,845 8,103 Earnings per share As reported-basic. . . . . . . . . . $ 0.67 $ 0.61 $ 1.76 $ 1.64 Pro-forma basic. . . . . . . . . . . 0.66 0.60 1.75 1.63 As reported-diluted. . . . . . . . . 0.65 0.58 1.70 1.60 Pro-forma diluted. . . . . . . . . . 0.64 0.57 1.69 1.58
UNREGULATED OPERATIONS Our wholly owned subsidiaries are Northern Water Resources, Inc. ("NWR"); GMP Real Estate Corporation and Green Mountain Power Investment Company ("GMPIC"). Green Mountain Resources, Inc. and Green Mountain Propane Gas Company Limited were dissolved in March and May 2004, respectively, with no gain or loss resulting from dissolution. We also have a rental water heater program that is not regulated by the VPSB. The results of these subsidiaries, and the Company's unre gulated rental water heater program, excluding NWR, are included in earnings of affiliates and non-utility operations in the Other Income (Deductions) section of the Consolidated Statements of Income. NWR's results are included in Gain/(Loss) from Discontinued Operations. 2. INVESTMENT IN ASSOCIATED COMPANIES We recognize net income from our affiliates (companies in which we have ownership interests) listed below based on our percentage ownership (equity method). VERMONT YANKEE NUCLEAR POWER CORPORATION Percent ownership: 33.6% common
Three months ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ------- ------- -------- -------- (in thousands) Gross Revenue. . . . . $44,132 $45,342 $118,329 $142,324 Net Income Applicable. 130 762 $ 401 2,169 to Common Stock Equity in Net Income . 44 145 135 412
On July 31, 2002, Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Corporation ("VYNPC") announced that the sale of its nuclear power plant to Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee ("ENVY") had been completed. The Company's ownership share of VYNPC increased from approximately 19.0 percent in 2002 to approximately 33.6 percent in November 2003, due to VYNPC's purchase of certain minority shareholders' interests during November 2003. The Company's entitlement to energy produced by the ENVY nuclear plant remains at approximately 20 percent of plant production. In 2003, ENVY sought VPSB approval to increase generation at its Vermont Yankee plant by approximately 20 percent or 110 megawatts. On November 5, 2003, the DPS announced that it had agreed to support ENVY's proposed uprate, including ENVY's agreement to provide outage protection indemnification for the Company and Central Vermont Public Service Corporation in the event that the uprate causes temporary reductions in output that would require us to buy higher-cost replacement power. The outage protection coverage will be in place for three years for uprate-related outages. Under this Ratepayer Protection Proposal ("RPP"), we have indemnification rights up to approximately $1.6 million to cover uprate-related reductions in output for the three year period. In early 2004, the PSB issued an order approving the uprate subject to certain conditions. On February 10, 2004, ENVY notified VYNPC that it would reduce plant output after the April 2004 scheduled refueling outage, and continue operations at a reduced rate until ENVY receives Nuclear Regulatory Commission ("NRC") approval for the uprate, which is expected no earlier than November 2004. This has reduced our 106 MW entitlement by about 5 MW during this period. We believe this reduction will be covered by the terms of the RPP discussed above. In April 2004, in response to a NRC inspection conducted during the ENVY plant's scheduled refueling outage, ENVY reported that two short spent fuel rod segments were not in what ENVY believed to be their documented location in the spent fuel pool. According to ENVY, the rods in 1979 were placed in a special stainless steel container in the spent fuel pool. After initial review and visual inspection of the spent fuel pool, ENVY did not locate the fuel rod segments. By letter dated May 5, 2004, ENVY notified VYNPC that based on the terms of the Purchase and Sale Agreement dated August 1, 2001, and facts at that time, it was ENVY's view that costs associated with the spent fuel rod segment inspection effort were the responsibility of VYNPC. VYNPC responded that based on the information at that time, there was no basis for ENVY to claim the inspection was VYNPC's responsibility. Subsequently, ENVY's continuing documentation review led to the discovery of the fuel rod segments in a container in the spent fuel pool. We cannot predict the outcome of this matter at this time. On June 18, 2004, a fire in the electrical conduits leading to a transformer outside the plant resulted in a shutdown of the ENVY plant. The outage ended on July 7, 2004. In response to the Company's request, the VPSB issued a final accounting order allowing the Company to defer its incremental replacement power costs during the outage totaling approximately $500,000. The order also instructs the Company to apply any proceeds received under the RPP to reduce the balance of deferred replacement power costs. Since the Company no longer owns, through VYNPC, an interest in the nuclear plant we are not responsible for any plant repairs or maintenance costs during outages. VERMONT ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY, INC. ("VELCO") Percent ownership: 28.4% common 30.0% preferred VELCO is a corporation engaged in the transmission of electric power within the State of Vermont. VELCO has entered into transmission agreements with the State of Vermont and various electric utilities, including the Company, and under these agreements, VELCO bills all costs, including interest on debt and a fixed return on equity, to those using VELCO's transmission system. The Company is obligated to provide its proportionate share of the equity capital requirements of VELCO through continuing purchases of its common stock, if necessary. The Company plans to make capital investments of up to $20 million in VELCO through 2007 in support of various transmission projects, including an estimated $4.8 million investment in the last quarter of 2004.
Three months ended Nine Months Ended September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ------ ------ ------- ------- (in thousands) Gross Revenue . . . . $6,363 $5,889 $19,239 $17,159 Net Income. . . . . . 779 288 1,397 910 Equity in Net Income. 204 87 335 197
The Company has evaluated its relationship with VELCO and VYNPC under the requirements of FIN 46R and has determined that it is not the primary beneficiary of VELCO or VYNPC. Therefore the financial results of VELCO and VYNPC have not been consolidated into the Company's financial statements. 3. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES ENVIRONMENTAL MATTERS The electric industry typically uses or generates a range of potentially hazardous products in its operations. We must meet various land, water, air and aesthetic requirements as administered by local, state and federal regulatory agencies. We believe that we comply with these requirements and that there are no outstanding material complaints about the Company's compliance with present environmental protection regulations, except for developments related to the Pine Street Barge Canal site. PINE STREET BARGE CANAL SUPERFUND SITE - In 1999, the Company entered into a United States District Court Consent Decree constituting a final settlement with the United States Environmental Protection Agency ("EPA"), the State of Vermont and numerous other parties of claims relating to a federal Superfund site in Burlington, Vermont, known as the "Pine Street Barge Canal." The consent decree resolves claims by the EPA for past site costs, natural resource damage claims and claims for past and future remediation costs. The consent decree also provides for the design and implementation of response actions at the site. We have estimated total future costs of the Company's future obligations under the consent decree to be approximately $6.6 million. The estimated liability is not discounted, and it is possible that our estimate of future costs could change by a material amount. We have recorded a regulatory asset of $13.0 million to reflect unrecovered past and future Pine Street costs. Pursuant to the Company's 2003 Rate Plan, as approved by the VPSB, the Company will begin to amortize past unrecovered costs in 2005. The Company will amortize the full amount of incurred costs over 20 years without a return. The amortization will be allowed in future rates, without disallowance or adjustment, until fully amortized. RATES ----- RETAIL RATE CASES - On December 22, 2003, the VPSB approved our 2003 Rate Plan, jointly proposed earlier in the year by the Company and the Department. The 2003 Rate Plan covers the period from 2003 through 2006 and includes the following principal elements: The Company's rates will remain unchanged through 2004. The 2003 Rate Plan allows the Company to raise rates 1.9 percent, effective January 1, 2005, and an additional 0.9 percent, effective January 1, 2006, if the increases are supported by cost of service schedules submitted 60 days prior to the effective dates. If the Company's cost of service filings in 2004 or 2005 establish that a lesser rate increase is required for the Company to earn its allowed rate of return, the Company will implement the lesser rate increase. The Company may seek additional rate increases or deferral of costs in extraordinary circumstances, such as severe storm repair costs, natural disasters, unanticipated unit outages, or significant losses of customer load. The Company's allowed return on equity is reduced from 11.25 percent to 10.5 percent, for the period January 1, 2003 through December 31, 2006. During the same period, the Company's earnings on utility operations are capped at 10.5 percent. Any excess earnings in 2004 will be applied to recover regulatory assets. Excess earnings in 2005 or 2006 will be refunded to customers as a credit on customer bills or applied to recover regulatory assets, as the Department directs. The Company has carried forward into 2004 $3.0 million in deferred revenue remaining at December 31, 2003, from the Company's 2001 Settlement Order (summarized below). These revenues are being applied in 2004 to offset increased costs or, if applicable, reduce regulatory assets as determined by the DPS. The Company will amortize (recover) certain regulatory assets, including Pine Street Barge Canal environmental site costs and past demand-side management program costs, beginning in January 2005, with those amortizations to be allowed in future rates. Pine Street costs will be recovered over a twenty-year period without a return. As required, the Company filed with the VPSB in early 2004 a new fully allocated cost of service study and rate re-design, which will allocate the Company's revenue requirement among all customer classes on the basis of current costs. The new rate design is subject to VPSB approval and is not expected to adversely affect operating results. The Company and the Department have agreed to work cooperatively to develop and propose an alternative regulation plan as authorized by legislation enacted in Vermont in 2003. If the Company and Department agree on such a plan, and it is approved by the VPSB, the alternative regulation plan would supersede the 2003 Rate Plan. In January 2001, the VPSB approved a rate case settlement (the "2001 Settlement Order") between the Company and the DPS. The 2001 Settlement Order included a rate increase of 3.42 percent effective January 2001, setting the Company's rates at levels that recover the Company's Hydro Quebec/Vermont Joint Owners Contract (the "VJO Contract") costs, and effectively ending regulatory disallowances experienced by the Company from 1998 through 2000. Under the 2001 Settlement Order, the Company agreed to an earnings cap on utility operations of 11.25 percent return on equity, with amounts earned over the limit being used to recover regulatory assets. The 2001 Settlement Order also imposed two additional conditions: The Company and customers shall share equally any premium above book value realized by the Company in any future merger, acquisition or asset sale, subject to an $8.0 million limit on the customers' share, adjusted for inflation; and The Company's further investment in non-utility operations is restricted until new rates go into effect, which will occur in January 2005. POWER CONTRACT COMMITMENTS On February 11, 1999, the Company entered into a contract with Morgan Stanley Capital Group, Inc. (the "Morgan Stanley Contract") designed to manage price risks associated with changing fossil fuel prices. In August 2002, the Morgan Stanley Contract was modified and extended to December 31, 2006. The Morgan Stanley Contract price is substantially below current market prices. The Company is unable to predict the price, contract duration or terms of any future power supply contract that could replace the Morgan Stanley Contract after it expires. The Morgan Stanley Contract currently supplies approximately 15 percent of the Company's estimated customer demand ("load"). Under the Morgan Stanley Contract, on a daily basis, and at Morgan Stanley's discretion, we sell power to Morgan Stanley from part of our portfolio of power resources at predefined operating and pricing parameters. Morgan Stanley sells to the Company, at a predefined price, power sufficient to serve pre-established load requirements. We remain responsible for resource performance and availability. The Morgan Stanley Contract provides no coverage against major unscheduled power supply outages. Beginning January 1, 2004, the Company reduced the power that it sells pursuant to the Morgan Stanley Contract. The output of some of our power-supply resources, including purchases pursuant to our Hydro Quebec and VYNPC contracts, which were sold to Morgan Stanley through 2003, are no longer included in the Morgan Stanley Contract. This reduction in sales to Morgan Stanley is expected to reduce wholesale revenues by approximately $56 million during 2004 when compared with 2003, and correspondingly to reduce power supply expense by a similar amount. We do not expect this change to adversely affect the Company's operating results or its opportunity to earn its allowed rate of return during or after 2004. The Company's current purchases under the VJO Contract with Hydro Quebec are as follows: (1) Schedule B -- 68 megawatts of firm capacity and associated energy to be delivered at the Highgate interconnection for twenty years beginning in September 1995; and (2) Schedule C3 -- 46 megawatts of firm capacity and associated energy to be delivered at interconnections to be determined at any time for 20 years, beginning in November 1995. We sometimes experience energy delivery deficiencies under the VJO Contract as a result of outages or other problems with the transmission interconnection facilities over which we schedule deliveries. When such deficiencies occur, we purchase replacement energy on the wholesale market, usually at prices that are significantly higher than VJO Contract energy costs. Our contracts with Hydro Quebec contain cross default provisions that allow Hydro Quebec to invoke "step-up" provisions under which the other Vermont utilities that are also parties to the contract would be required to purchase their proportionate share of the power supply entitlement of any defaulting utility. The Company is not aware of any instance where this provision has been invoked by Hydro Quebec. Under the Company's 9701 arrangement with Hydro Quebec, Hydro Quebec paid $8.0 million to the Company in 1997. In return for this payment, we provided Hydro Quebec options for the purchase of power. Commencing April 1, 1998, and effective through the term of the VJO Contract, which ends in 2015, Hydro Quebec may purchase up to 52,500 MWh on an annual basis ("option A") at the VJO Contract energy price, which is substantially below current market prices. The cumulative amount of energy that may be purchased under option A may not exceed 950,000 MWh (52,500 MWh in each contract year). Over the same period, Hydro Quebec may exercise an option to purchase up to 200,000 MWh on an annual basis at the VJO Contract energy price ("option B"). The cumulative amount of energy that may be purchased under option B may not exceed 600,000 MWh. As of September 30, 2004, Hydro Quebec had purchased 566,000 MWh under option B. The Company expects Hydro Quebec to call its remaining entitlements of approximately 34,000 MWh under option B during 2005. In 2003, Hydro Quebec exercised option A and option B, and called for delivery to third parties at a net expense to the Company of approximately $4.5 million, including capacity charges. Hydro Quebec exercised options A and B for 2004, and the Company has purchased replacement power at a net cost of $3.2 million. The Company has also covered 54 percent of expected calls during 2005 at a net cost of $1.1 million. Under the VJO Contract, Hydro Quebec has the right to reduce the load factor from 75 percent to 65 percent a total three times over the life of the contract. Hydro Quebec exercised the first of these load reduction options, effective for the year 2003. The net cost of Hydro Quebec's exercise of this option increased power supply expense during 2003 by approximately $1.2 million. During 2003, Hydro Quebec exercised its second option to reduce the load factor for 2004, which we estimate will increase power supply expense in 2004 by approximately $1.0 million. Hydro Quebec exercised its third and final option in 2004 to reduce deliveries occurring principally during 2005, resulting in an estimated cost of replacement power of $1.5 million, based on current wholesale market prices for 2005. The Vermont Joint Owners, including the Company, retain two options to increase the load factor to 80 percent from 75 percent after 2005. It is possible our estimate of future power supply costs could differ materially from actual results. OTHER LEGAL MATTERS In 2002, the owners of property along the shoreline of Joe's Pond, an impoundment located in Danville, Vermont, created by the Company's West Danville hydroelectric generating facility, filed an inquiry with the VPSB seeking review of certain dam improvements made by the Company in 1995, alleging that the Company did not obtain all necessary regulatory approvals for the 1995 improvements and that the Company's improvements and subsequent operation of the dam caused flooding of the shoreline and property damage. The owners are likely to request that penalties be imposed on the Company. Hearings will take place in 2005. The Company is unable to predict whether the VPSB will impose regulatory conditions or penalties in connection with this proceeding. In a separate proceeding, the Company petitioned the VPSB to make additional dam improvements at the facility at an estimated cost of $350,000. The VPSB has approved the Company's petition and the proposed improvements are expected to be completed by November 15, 2004. In a complaint dated October 7, 2004 and filed in Washington County Superior Court, certain Joes Pond homeowners are seeking to recover damages relating to impacts on their lands caused by pond level fluctuations claimed to have been caused by the Company. The Company has not yet filed an answer to the complaint. The Company is unable to predict whether the court will conclude that the Company must pay damages in connection with this proceeding. 4. SEGMENTS AND RELATED INFORMATION The Company's electric utility operation is its only operating segment. The electric utility is engaged in the procurement, generation, distribution and sale of electrical energy in the State of Vermont and also reports the results of its wholly owned unregulated subsidiaries (GMPIC and GMP Real Estate) and the rental water heater program as a separate line item in the Other Income section in the Consolidated Statement of Income. NWR is an unregulated business that invested in energy generation, energy efficiency and wastewater treatment projects. As of September 30, 2004, most of NWR's net assets and liabilities have been sold or otherwise disposed. The remaining net liability reflects expected warranty obligations. 5. DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS AND RISK MANAGEMENT The Company records the annual cost of power obtained under long-term contracts as operating expenses. The Company meets the majority of its customer demand through a series of long-term physical and financial contracts. There are occasions when we may experience a short position for electricity needed to supply customers. During those periods, electricity is purchased at market prices. All of the Company's power supply contract costs are currently being recovered through rates approved by the VPSB. The Company's most significant power supply contracts are the Hydro Quebec Vermont Joint Owners ("VJO") Contract (the "VJO Contract") and the VYNPC contract (the "VYNPC Contract"), which together supply approximately 75 percent of our retail load. We expect approximately 90 percent of our estimated load requirements through 2006 to be met by our contracts and generation and other power supply resources. These contracts and resources significantly reduce the Company's exposure to volatility in wholesale energy market prices. A primary factor affecting future operating results is the volatility of the wholesale electricity market. Implementation of New England's wholesale market for electricity has increased volatility of wholesale power prices. Periods frequently occur when weather, availability of power supply resources and other factors cause significant differences between customer demand and electricity supply. Because electricity cannot be stored, in these situations the Company must buy or sell the difference into a marketplace that has experienced volatile energy prices. Volatility and market price trends also make it more difficult to extend or enter into new power supply contracts at prices that avoid the need for rate relief. The Company has established a risk management program designed to stabilize cash flow and earnings by minimizing power supply risks. Transactions permitted by the risk management program include futures, forward contracts, option contracts, swaps and transmission congestion rights. These transactions are used to hedge the risk of fossil fuel and spot market electricity price increases. Some of these transactions present the risk of potential losses from adverse changes in commodity prices. Our risk management policy specifies risk measures, the amount of tolerable risk exposure, and authorization limits for transactions. Our principal power supply contract counter-parties and generators, Hydro Quebec, ENVY and Morgan Stanley Capital Group, Inc., all currently have investment grade credit ratings. The Morgan Stanley Contract (described above under "Power Contract Commitments") is used to hedge our power supply costs against increases in fossil fuel prices. The Morgan Stanley Contract is a derivative under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133 ("SFAS 133") and is effective through December 31, 2006. Management has estimated the fair value of the future net benefit of this arrangement at September 30, 2004 to be approximately $11.5 million. The Company's 9701 arrangement with Hydro Quebec (described under "Power Contract Commitments") grants Hydro Quebec an option to call power at prices that are expected to be below estimated future market rates. This arrangement is a derivative and is effective through 2015. Management's estimate of the fair value of the future net cost for this arrangement at September 30, 2004 is approximately $18.6 million. We sometimes use forward contracts to hedge forecasted calls by Hydro Quebec under the 9701 arrangement. The table below presents assumptions used to estimate the fair value of the Morgan Stanley Contract and the 9701 arrangement. The forward prices for electricity used in this analysis are consistent with the Company's current long-term wholesale energy price forecast.
Option Value Risk Free Price Average Contract Model Interest Rate Volatility Forward Price Expires ------------- -------------- ----------- -------------- ------- Morgan Stanley Contract Deterministic 2.0% 32%-29% $ 58 2006 9701 Arrangement. . . . Black-Scholes 4.3% 48%-27% $ 58 2015
The table below presents the Company's estimated market risk of the Morgan Stanley and Hydro Quebec derivatives, estimated as the potential loss in fair value resulting from a hypothetical ten percent adverse change in wholesale energy prices, which nets to approximately $776,000. Actual results may differ materially from the table illustration. Under an accounting order issued by the VPSB, changes in the fair value of derivatives are deferred.
Commodity Price Risk September 30, 2004 Fair Value(Cost) Market Risk ----------------- ------------- (in thousands) Morgan Stanley Contract $ 11,511 $ 2,170 9701 Arrangement. . . . (18,626) (2,946) ----------------- ------------- $ (7,115) $ (776)
If a derivative instrument were terminated early because it is probable that a transaction or forecasted transaction will not occur, any gain or loss would be recognized in earnings immediately. For derivatives held to maturity, the earnings impact would be recorded in the period that the derivative is sold or matures. 6. NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS In January 2003 and December 2003, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Interpretation 46 and 46R (Revised), respectively, Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities ("VIEs"). This interpretation clarified application of Accounting Research Bulletin No. 51, "Consolidated Financial Statements," and replaced current accounting guidance relating to consolidation of certain special purpose entities. FIN 46 and FIN 46R define VIEs as entities that are unable to finance their ongoing operations without additional subordinated financing. FIN 46R requires identification of the Company's participation in VIEs and consolidation of those VIEs of which the Company is the primary beneficiary. The Company adopted FIN 46 at December 31, 2003 and FIN 46R at March 31, 2004, and was not required to consolidate any existing interests pursuant to the requirements of FIN 46 or FIN 46R. The Company provides health care, life insurance, prescription drug and other benefits to retired employees who meet certain age and years of service requirements. Under certain circumstances, eligible retirees are required to make contributions for postretirement benefits. On May 19, 2004, the FASB issued FASB Staff Position No. FAS 106-2, Accounting and Disclosure Requirements Related to the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 (the "Act"), ("FAS No. 106-2") which superseded FSP 106-1, which allowed employers to voluntarily recognize the impact of the Act. This was in response to a new law regarding prescription drug benefits under Medicare ("Medicare Part D") and a federal subsidy to sponsors of retiree health care benefit plans that are at least actuarially equivalent to Medicare Part D. Currently, SFAS No. 106, Employers' Accounting for Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions, ("SFAS No. 106") requires that changes in relevant law be considered in current measurement of postretirement benefit costs. The Company had elected to defer recognition of any impact under FSP 106-1. FSP 106-2 provides that if the effect of the Act is not considered a significant event, the measurement date for adoption of FSP 106-2 is delayed until the next regular measurement date, which is December 31, 2004, for the Company. The Company has concluded that the effect is not significant. Therefore, measures of the accumulated postretirement benefit obligation and the net periodic postretirement benefit cost do not reflect the effects of the new law. 7. COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE Earnings per share are based on the weighted average number of common and common stock equivalent shares outstanding during each year. The Company established a stock incentive plan for all directors and employees during the year ended December 31, 2000, and options granted are subject to vesting schedules of between one and four years. On February 9, 2004, the Board of Directors of the Company adopted the 2004 Stock Incentive Plan and such plan was approved by the Company's shareholders at the Company's 2004 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. Restricted stock units issued under the plans are subject to vesting schedules of between several months and two years.
Reconciliation of net income available Three months ended Nine months ended for common shareholders and average shares September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 --------------- ------ ------ ------ (in thousands) Net income before preferred dividends . $ 3,390 $3,041 $8,906 $8,227 Preferred stock dividend requirement. . - 1 - 3 --------------- ------ ------ ------ Net income applicable to common stock. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . $ 3,390 $3,040 $8,906 $8,224 =============== ====== ====== ====== Average number of common shares-basic . 5,089 4,982 5,068 4,970 Dilutive effect of stock options. . . . 162 159 169 160 --------------- ------ ------ ------ Average number of common shares-diluted 5,251 5,141 5,237 5,130 =============== ====== ====== ======
GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION PART I-ITEM 2 MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW - Green Mountain Power Corporation (the "Company") generates virtually all of its earnings from retail electricity sales. Our retail electricity sales grow at an average annual rate of between one and two percent, about average for most electric utility companies in New England. While wholesale revenues are significant, they have relatively minor impact on our operating results and financial condition. The Company is regulated and cannot adjust prices of retail electricity sales without regulatory approval from the Vermont Public Service Board ("VPSB"). The Company increased its dividend in February 2004 from an annual rate of $0.76 per share to $0.88 per share. The Company's dividend payout ratio remains comparatively low, at less than 45 percent of 2003 earnings. We expect to grow our dividend payout ratio to between 50 and 70 percent over the next five years, in line with other electric utilities having similar risk profiles, so long as financial and operating results permit. Fair regulatory treatment is fundamental to maintaining the Company's financial stability. Rates must be set at levels to recover costs, including a market rate of return to equity and debt holders. In December 2003, the Company received approval from the VPSB of a new rate plan covering the period 2003 through 2006, which sets rates at levels the Company believes will provide an improved opportunity to recover our costs, and to earn our allowed rate of return of 10.5 percent. Power supply expenses are equivalent to approximately 65 percent of total revenues. The Company's need to seek rate increases from its customers frequently moves in tandem with increases in our power supply costs. We have entered into long-term power supply contracts for most of our energy needs. All of our power supply contract costs are currently being recovered in the rates we charge our customers. The risks associated with our power supply resources, including outage, curtailment, and other delivery risks, the timing of contract expirations, the volatility of wholesale prices, and other factors impacting our power supply resources and how they relate to customer demand are discussed below under Item 3, "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure about Market Risk, and Other Risk Factors." We also discuss other risks, including load risk related to our largest customer, International Business Machines Corporation ("IBM"), and contingencies that could have a significant impact on future operating results and our financial condition. Growth opportunities beyond the Company's normal investment in its infrastructure include a planned increase in our equity investment in Vermont Electric Power Company, Inc. ("VELCO") and a planned increase in sales of utility services. In this section, we explain the general financial condition and the results of operations for the Company and its subsidiaries. This explanation includes: factors that affect our business; our earnings and costs in the periods presented and why they changed between periods; the source of our earnings; our expenditures for capital projects and what we expect they will be in the future; where we expect to get cash for future capital expenditures; and how all of the above affect our overall financial condition. Management believes the most critical accounting policies include the timing of expense and revenue recognition under the regulatory accounting framework within which we operate; the manner in which we account for certain power supply arrangements that qualify as derivatives; the assumptions that we make regarding defined benefit plans; and revenue recognition, particularly as it relates to unbilled and deferred revenues. These accounting policies, among others, affect the Company's significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of its consolidated financial statements. There are statements in this section that contain projections or estimates that are considered to be "forward-looking" as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"). In these statements, you may find words such as believes, expects, plans, or similar words. These statements are not guarantees of our future performance. There are risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to be different from those projected. Some of the reasons the results may be different include: regulatory and judicial decisions or legislation changes in regional market and transmission rules energy supply and demand and pricing contractual commitments availability, terms, and use of capital general economic and business environment changes in technology nuclear and environmental issues industry restructuring and cost recovery (including stranded costs) weather performance of equity investments in pension assets We address these items in more detail below. These forward-looking statements represent our estimates and assumptions only as of the date of this report. AS YOU READ THIS SECTION IT MAY BE HELPFUL TO REFER TO THE CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND NOTES IN PART I-ITEM 1. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS EARNINGS SUMMARY - OVERVIEW In this section, we discuss our earnings and the principal factors affecting them. We separately discuss earnings for the utility business and for our unregulated businesses.
Total basic earnings per share of Common Stock Three months ended Nine months ended September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ----- ----- ----- ----- Utility business . . . . . $0.66 $0.60 $1.72 $1.61 Unregulated businesses . . 0.01 0.01 0.04 0.04 ----- ----- ----- ----- Earnings from: Continuing operations. . . 0.67 0.61 1.76 1.65 Discontinued operations. . - - - - ----- ----- ----- ----- Basic earnings per share . $0.67 $0.61 $1.76 $1.65 ===== ===== ===== ===== Diluted earnings per share $0.65 $0.59 $1.70 $1.60 ===== ===== ===== =====
OPERATING RESULTS. Consolidated earnings per share, diluted, were $0.65 for the third quarter of 2004 compared with earnings per share, diluted, of $0.59 for the same period in 2003. Earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 were $1.70 per share, diluted, compared with earnings of $1.60 per share, diluted, for the same period in 2003. The Company recorded basic earnings per share from utility operations of $0.66 in the quarter ended September 30, 2004, compared with utility earnings of $0.60 per share in the same quarter of 2003. Earnings in the third quarter of 2004 were higher than the third quarter of 2003 principally due to non-recurring tax benefits related to the 2002 sale of the Vermont Yankee nuclear plant. In the third quarter of 2004, the Company recorded changes based on notification from VYNPC that a portion of the distribution received in 2003 related to the sale should be treated as a return of capital for tax purposes. Lower pretax income also caused income tax expense to decline. Quarterly earnings also benefited from decreased other operating expenses, lower property taxes and an increase in the amount of deferred revenues recognized in 2004. Revenues were deferred during 2001 in accordance with the settlement of the Company's retail rate case approved by the Vermont Public Service Board (the "VPSB") in January 2001 (the "2001 Settlement Order"). The 2001 Settlement Order resulted in the elimination of seasonal rates, generating an additional $8.5 million in cash flow in 2001. The VPSB has issued orders providing that recognition of this additional $8.5 million of revenue be deferred and then recognized to offset increased costs during 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004. As of September 30, 2004, the Company has $1.1 million in remaining unrecognized deferred revenues, which will be used to earn its allowed rate of return or recover regulatory assets if not needed to achieve the Company's allowed rate of return during 2004. In December 2003, the VPSB approved a rate plan between the Vermont Department of Public Service and the Company that allows the Company to raise rates by 1.9 percent, effective January 1, 2005, and an additional 0.9 percent, effective January 1, 2006, if the increases are supported by cost of service schedules submitted 60 days prior to the effective dates. The 1.9 percent increase is expected to provide approximately $4 million in retail operating revenues during 2005, and to replace deferred revenues previously relied upon to achieve our allowed rate of return. Quarterly 2004 gross margins on the sale of electricity fell, when compared with the third quarter of 2003, as a decline in total operating revenues of $17.0 million was not fully offset by a decline in the power supply expenses of $16.2 million. Gross margins declined due to decreased retail sales, reduced energy deliveries from Hydro Quebec and wet weather that increased the amount of purchases from IPP hydro facilities under federal mandates. As disclosed in our 2003 Annual Report, a planned reduction in wholesale sales pursuant to the Morgan Stanley Contract was offset by a reduction in power purchased to fulfill those sales. Diluted earnings per share for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 were $1.70 compared with diluted earnings per share of $1.60 for the same period in 2003. Earnings improved primarily due to increased recognition of deferred revenues, increased retail sales of electricity and reduced income tax expense, that were partially offset by a one time benefit that occurred during 2003 for additional energy deliveries that were sold in the wholesale market at unusually high prices, adding approximately $0.15 per share to 2003 earnings. Operating results also include earnings of approximately $0.01 per share and $0.04 per share for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 from the Company's rental water heater business and did not change materially when compared with the same periods in 2003. OPERATING REVENUES AND MWH SALES Our revenues from operations, megawatt hour ("MWh") sales and average number of customers for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 and 2003 are summarized below:
Three months ended Nine months ended September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 -------- ---------- ---------- ---------- (dollars in thousands) Operating revenues Retail. . . . . . . . $ 49,681 $ 50,287 $ 150,911 $ 148,660 Sales for Resale. . . 4,443 20,952 19,220 58,593 Other . . . . . . . . 802 736 2,503 2,123 -------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total Operating Revenues. $ 54,926 $ 71,975 $ 172,634 $ 209,376 ======== ========== ========== ========== MWh Sales-Retail. . . . . 493,135 495,877 1,466,929 1,455,286 MWh Sales for Resale. . . 93,833 622,979 347,453 1,703,541 -------- ---------- ---------- ---------- Total MWh Sales . . . . . 586,968 1,118,856 1,814,382 3,158,827 ======== ========== ========== ==========
Average Number of Customers Three months ended Nine months ended September 30 September 30 2004 2003 2004 2003 ------ ------ ------ ------ Residential . . . . . . . 75,394 74,570 75,381 73,861 Commercial and Industrial 13,566 13,398 13,508 13,194 Other . . . . . . . . . . 61 65 61 65 ------ ------ ------ ------ Total Number of Customers. . 89,021 88,033 88,950 87,120 ====== ====== ====== ======
REVENUES Total operating revenues in the third quarter of 2004 decreased $17.0 million or 23.7 percent compared with the same period in 2003, primarily as a result of a decrease in wholesale sales to Morgan Stanley under the Morgan Stanley Contract (described in Part I, Item I, No. 3 under "Power Contract Commitments"). Retail operating revenues for the third quarter of 2004 decreased $420,000 compared with the same period in 2003, reflecting the effects of cooler summer weather offset in part by an increase in the number of customers, and a $385,000 increase in recognition of revenues deferred under the 2001 Settlement Order. Total retail megawatt hour sales of electricity declined by 0.6 percent in the third quarter of 2004, compared with the same period in 2003, due to milder weather. Sales to residential and small commercial and industrial customers declined by 4.6 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively, while sales to large commercial and industrial customers increased 3.7 percent, when comparing the third quarter of 2004 to the same period in 2003. We sell wholesale electricity to others for resale. Wholesale revenues in the third quarter of 2004 decreased by $16.5 million or 78.8 percent compared with the same period in 2003, reflecting reduced sales of electricity under the Morgan Stanley Contract designed to manage price risks associated with changing fossil fuel prices. The Company does not expect the reduction in sales under the Morgan Stanley Contract to adversely affect the Company's earnings in 2004 or future years. The Company's major industrial customer, International Business Machines ("IBM"), accounted for 16.6% of retail sales revenue in 2003. The Company currently estimates, based on a number of projected variables, the retail rate increase required from all retail customers by a hypothetical shutdown of the IBM facility to be approximately five percent, inclusive of projected related declines in sales to residential and commercial customers. Retail operating revenues for the first nine months of 2004 reflected a $1.9 million increase in the recognition of deferred revenues from the 2001 Settlement Order, an increase of $1.8 million or 2.0 percent in commercial and industrial revenues, a decrease in estimated revenues from unread meters of $1.2 million, and a decrease of approximately $97,000 in revenues from residential and other customers compared with the same period of 2003. Total retail MWh sales of electricity in the first nine months of 2004 increased 1.0 percent when compared with the same period of 2003, primarily as a result of an increase in commercial and industrial sales. Wholesale revenues decreased $39.4 million or 67.2 percent during the first nine months of 2004, compared with the same period in 2003, as a result of reduced sales under the Morgan Stanley Contract. Wholesale revenues also declined as a result of decreased sales of power arising from added deliveries of electricity under a long-term contract with Hydro Quebec. During the first quarter of 2003, delivery of past power supply contract deficiencies by Hydro Quebec resulted in additional energy availability that the Company sold when market energy prices were unusually high. We estimate that these sales increased quarterly earnings by approximately $0.15 per share in 2003. There are no further deficiencies to be rescheduled and the Company does not expect this benefit to reoccur. OPERATING EXPENSES POWER SUPPLY EXPENSES Power supply expenses decreased $16.2 million or 32.3 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily as a result of a $13.4 million decline in purchases under the Company's power supply contract with Morgan Stanley (described in Part I, Item I, No. 3 under "Power Contract Commitments") and other reduced wholesale sales of energy Power supply expenses from VYNPC decreased $695,000 or 7.5 percent during the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period of 2003, primarily due to decreased output at the ENVY nuclear power plant due to an unplanned outage. See Part I, Item 1, Note 2, Investment in Associated Companies - Vermont Yankee Nuclear Power Corporation, for a more detailed discussion of the effect of these outages. Company-owned generation expenses increased $72,000 or 4.6 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to increased fuel prices for production at peak generation facilities. Peak generation facilities are run only to maintain system reliability or when wholesale energy prices are extremely high. The cost of power that we purchased from other companies decreased $16.3 million or 33.5 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to an $13.4 million decrease in purchases from Morgan Stanley and other reduced wholesale purchases for resale, partially offset by an increase in the amount of high priced energy from IPP hydro facilities under federal mandates and an increase in costs of power purchased from NEPOOL and other sources to replace reduced deliveries from Hydro Quebec. During the third quarter of 2004, $888,000 in power supply expense was recognized to reflect the costs of the Company's 9701 arrangement with Hydro Quebec compared with $990,000 in power supply expense for the same quarter in 2003. The cumulative amount of power purchased at September 30, 2004 by Hydro Quebec under option B is approximately 566,000 MWh, out of a total of 600,000 MWh, which may be called over the life of the arrangement. Hydro Quebec exercised options A and B for 2004 at a net cost to the Company of approximately $3.2 million. The Company has also covered 54 percent of expected calls during 2005 at a net cost of $1.1 million. Under the VJO Contract, Hydro Quebec has the right to reduce the load factor from 75 percent to 65 percent a total three times over the life of the contract. Hydro Quebec exercised the first of these load reduction options, effective for the year 2003. The net cost of Hydro Quebec's exercise of this option increased power supply expense during 2003 by approximately $1.2 million. During 2003, Hydro Quebec exercised its second option to reduce the load factor for 2004, which we estimate will increase power supply expense in 2004 by approximately $1.5 million. Hydro Quebec exercised its final option in 2004 for deliveries occurring principally during 2005, at an estimated cost of $1.5 million based on current wholesale market prices, for 2005. Both the 9701 arrangement and any related forward purchase contracts are considered derivative instruments as defined by SFAS 133. On April 11, 2001, the VPSB issued an accounting order that requires the Company to defer recognition of any earnings or other comprehensive income effect relating to future periods caused by application of SFAS 133, and as a result, we do not anticipate SFAS 133 to affect earnings. The current costs of both the 9701 arrangement and other forward purchase arrangements, including our Morgan Stanley Contract, are being fully recovered in our retail rates. At September 30, 2004, the Company had a net regulatory asset of approximately $7.1 million related to derivatives that the Company believes is probable of recovery. The fair value of the regulatory asset is based on current estimates of future market prices that are likely to change by material amounts. Power supply expenses decreased $37.2 million or 25.4 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily as a result of $39.3 million decline in purchases under the Company's power supply contract with Morgan Stanley. Power supply expenses from Vermont Yankee decreased $5.4 million or 18.8 percent during the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period of 2003, primarily due to a decrease in energy provided under the Power Purchase Agreement between VY and ENVY, due to plant outages. The sale of the VY generating plant is discussed under Part I, Item 1, Note 2, "Investment in Associated Companies". Company-owned generation expenses decreased $966,000 or 15.9 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to decreased output and fuel costs at the Stony Brook generating facility in which we have an 8.8 percent joint ownership interest, and decreases in output and fuel costs used to operate our other peak generation facilities. The cost of power that we purchased from other companies decreased $30.9 million or 27.6 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to a $39.3 million decrease in purchases from Morgan Stanley, that was partially offset by increased expenses to replace the decreased output at the ENVY plant during a scheduled outage, to purchase increased output of high priced energy from IPP hydro facilities under federal mandates, and to replace reduced deliveries from Hydro Quebec and to supply increased retail sales to customers. OTHER OPERATING EXPENSES Other operating expenses decreased $475,000 or 9.8 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 due primarily to decreased administrative and general expenses. Other operating expenses increased $145,000 or 1.1 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 due to increased administrative and general expense. TRANSMISSION EXPENSES Transmission expenses increased by approximately $62,000 or 1.8 percent for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, due to an increase in overhead line maintenance. Transmission expenses increased by approximately $254,000 or 2.3 percent for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 due to an increase in overhead line maintenance and in VELCO's debt service and other expenses for expanded Vermont transmission facilities. The ISO New England (ISO-NE") was created to manage the operations of the New England Power Pool ("NEPOOL"), effective May 1, 1999. ISO-NE operates a market for all New England states for purchasers and sellers of electricity in the deregulated wholesale energy markets. Sellers place bids for the sale of their generation or purchased power resources and if demand is high enough the output from those resources is sold. During 2002, the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC") accepted ISO-NE's request to implement a Standard Market Design ("SMD") governing wholesale energy sales in New England. ISO-NE implemented its SMD plan on March 1, 2003. SMD includes a system of locational marginal pricing of energy, under which prices are determined by zone, and based in part on transmission congestion experienced in each zone. Currently, the State of Vermont constitutes a single zone under the plan, although pricing may eventually be determined on a more localized ("nodal") basis. ISO-NE and NEPOOL have committed to facilitation of a stakeholder process to examine alternative pricing options, including alternatives to nodal pricing. On July 1, 2004, ISO-NE filed its report with FERC concluding that the existing load zones for energy pricing should not be modified at this time because energy prices within these load zones, including Vermont, are relatively uniform. ISO-NE did note, however that the load zones should and will be reviewed at least every two years, or upon the introduction of a significant change in circumstances, i.e., the implementation of a new market, a substantial physical change to the NEPOOL system, or at the direction of the FERC. We believe that nodal pricing could result in a material adverse impact on our power supply and/or transmission costs, if adopted, as long as the transmission facilities in Northwestern Vermont are constrained. On October 31, 2003, ISO-NE, together with New England's principal transmission system owners, including VELCO, filed a request for designation of ISO-NE as a regional transmission organization for New England ("RTO-NE"). On March 24, 2004, the FERC conditionally approved ISO-NE's designation as an RTO. ISO-NE will continue to perform all of its current responsibilities and will also become the transmission provider for the New England region, acquiring operational authority over daily management of the transmission system. Also on October 31, 2003, certain transmission owners in New England, including the Company, reached an agreement to submit a tariff, agreements and other documents to the FERC to include costs associated with certain transmission facilities, known as the Highgate Facilities, of which the Company is a part owner, in region-wide rates as set forth in the RTO-NE proposal. The Company and other transmission owners are currently working with ISO-NE to make operating arrangements in advance of making a filing with the FERC. VELCO, the owner and operator of Vermont's principal electric transmission system assets, has proposed a project to substantially upgrade Vermont's transmission system (the "Northwest Reliability Project"), principally to support reliability and eliminate transmission constraints in northwestern Vermont, including most of the Company's service territory. We own approximately 29 percent of VELCO. The proposed Northwest Reliability Project must be approved by the VPSB. Several Vermont municipalities, citizen groups and individuals have intervened in the VPSB proceedings to oppose or request modifications to the project. Modifications requested include underground placement or relocation of distribution facilities that, if approved, could add significant costs that could be allocated to Vermont utilities, including the Company. If approved as submitted, the project is estimated to cost approximately $130 million through 2007. VELCO intends to finance the costs of constructing the Northwest Reliability Project in part through increased equity investment. The Company plans to invest approximately $20 million in VELCO to support this and other transmission projects through 2007. Under current NEPOOL and ISO-NE rules, which require qualifying large transmission project costs to be shared among all New England utilities, most of the costs of the Northwest Reliability Project will be allocated throughout the New England region, with Vermont utilities responsible for approximately five percent of allocated costs. In August 2003, a coalition of New England public utility commissions and other parties challenged the NEPOOL and ISO-NE transmission cost allocation rules. On December 18, 2003, FERC rejected this challenge. FERC's order is subject to pending requests for rehearing and has been appealed to the US Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit. If the current transmission cost allocation rules are modified or eliminated, Vermont utilities, including the Company, could be required to bear a greater proportion, and potentially all, of the cost of the Northwest Reliability Project. MAINTENANCE EXPENSES Maintenance expenses increased $225,000 or 10.1 percent for the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to an increase in scheduled maintenance on distribution and hydro facilities. The Company is increasing expenditures by approximately $600,000 for tree clearing in rights of way to improve system reliability during 2004. Maintenance expenses increased $479,000 or 7.7 percent for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 for the same reasons. DEPRECIATION AND AMORTIZATION EXPENSES Depreciation and amortization expenses for the quarter ended September 30, 2004 increased $76,000 or 2.2 percent compared with the same period in 2003, reflecting an increase in the depreciation of utility plant, partially offset by a decrease in the amortization of demand side management assets. Depreciation and amortization expenses increased $97,000 or 0.9 percent for the nine months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 for the same reasons. TAXES OTHER THAN INCOME TAXES Other tax expense for the third quarter of 2004 decreased by $328,000 or 19.4 percent compared with the same period in 2003 due to reductions in property taxes. Other tax expense for the first nine months of 2004 decreased by $440,000 or 8.3 percent compared with the same period in 2003 due to reductions in property taxes. INCOME TAXES Income taxes decreased $674,000 or 37.0 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 due to non-recurring tax benefits associated with the 2002 sale of the Vermont Yankee nuclear plant and a decrease in pretax book income from operations. Income taxes decreased $500,000 or 10.5 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003 due to the increased tax benefits mentioned above. TOTAL OTHER INCOME Total other income net of other deductions decreased $89,000 or 18.2 percent during the three months ended September 30, 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, primarily due to decreased earnings of Vermont Yankee. The Vermont Yankee decrease in earnings was caused by a decrease in investment following a return of capital to the Company arising from the sale of the Vermont Yankee nuclear plant to ENVY. Other income decreased by $213,000 or 13.3 percent in first nine months of 2004 when compared with the same period in 2003, for the same reasons, due primarily to receipt of insurance proceeds in 2003. INTEREST CHARGES Interest charges decreased $153,000 or 8.7 percent in the third quarter of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, due to a decrease in long-term debt balances arising from the maturity of $8.0 million first mortgage bonds in December 2003. Interest charges decreased $453,000 or 8.5 percent in the first nine months of 2004 compared with the same period in 2003, for the same reason. LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES In the nine months ended September 30, 2004, we spent $14.7 million principally for expansion and improvements of our transmission, distribution and generation plant, and environmental expenditures. We expect to spend approximately $6.9 million during the remainder of 2004, principally for improvements to transmission, distribution and generation plant, and environmental expenditures. The Company plans to make capital investments of up to $20 million in VELCO through 2007 in support of various transmission projects, including an estimated $4.8 million investment in the last quarter of 2004. The Company also intends to contribute between $2.0 million and $3.0 million in additional funds to its defined benefit plans in 2004. During June 2004, the Company negotiated a 364-day revolving credit agreement (the "Fleet-Sovereign Agreement") with Fleet Financial Services ("Fleet") joined by Sovereign Bank. The Fleet-Sovereign Agreement is for $30.0 million, unsecured, and allows the Company to choose any blend of a daily variable prime rate and a fixed term LIBOR-based rate. There was no balance outstanding on the Fleet-Sovereign Agreement at September 30, 2004. The Fleet-Sovereign Agreement expires June 15, 2005. The annual dividend was $0.76 per share for the year ended December 31, 2003. On February 9, 2004, the annual dividend rate was increased from $0.76 per share to $0.88 per share, a payout ratio of approximately 44 percent based on 2003 earnings. The Company expects to increase the dividend on a consistent basis in the first quarter of each year until the payout ratio falls between 50 percent and 70 percent of anticipated earnings, so long as financial and operating results permit. We believe this payout ratio to be consistent with that of other electric utilities having similar risk profiles. The credit ratings of the Company's first mortgage bonds at September 30, 2004 were:
Moody's Standard & Poor's ------- ----------------- First mortgage bonds Baa1 BBB
Moody's affirmed the Company's senior secured debt rating at Baa1, with a stable outlook on June 18, 2004. Standard and Poor's Ratings Services last affirmed its BBB rating of the Company's senior secured debt, with a stable outlook during August 2003. On November 3, 2004, Standard and Poor's Ratings Services upgraded the Company's issuer credit rating to BBB from BBB-, citing an improved regulatory climate in Vermont. In the event of a change in the Company's first mortgage bond credit rating to below investment grade, scheduled payments under the Company's first mortgage bonds would not be affected. Such a change would require the Company to post what would currently amount to a $4.3 million bond under our remediation agreement with the EPA regarding the Pine Street Barge Canal site. The Morgan Stanley Contract requires credit assurances if the Company's first mortgage bond credit ratings are lowered to below investment grade by any one of the two credit rating agencies listed above. OFF-BALANCE SHEET ARRANGEMENTS - The Company does not use off-balance sheet financing arrangements, such as securitization of receivables or obtaining access to assets through special purpose entities. OTHER COMMITMENTS - We have material power supply commitments that are discussed in detail under the captions "Power Contract Commitments" and "Power Supply Expenses." We also own an equity interest in VELCO, which requires the Company to contribute capital when required and to pay a portion of VELCO's operating costs, including its debt service costs. ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK AND OTHER RISK FACTORS FUTURE OUTLOOK-COMPETITION AND RESTRUCTURING-The electric utility business continues to experience rapid and substantial changes. These changes are the result of the following trends: disparity in electric rates, transmission, and generating capacity among and within various regions of the country; improvements in generation efficiency; increasing demand for customer choice; consolidation through business combinations; new regulations and legislation intended to foster competition, also known as restructuring; changes in rules governing wholesale electricity markets; and increasing volatility of wholesale market prices for electricity. Power supply pricing volatility in some regulatory jurisdictions, such as California, and proposed changes in regional and national wholesale markets appear to have dampened any immediate push towards restructuring in Vermont. We are unable to predict what form future restructuring legislation, if adopted, will take and what impact that might have on the Company, but it could be material. DEFINED BENEFIT PLANS Due to sharp declines in the equity markets during 2001 and 2002, the relative funding level of defined benefit plan obligations has decreased. The Company's defined benefit plan assets are primarily made up of public equity and fixed income investments. Fluctuations in actual equity market returns as well as changes in general interest rates may result in increased or decreased defined benefit plan costs in future periods. The Company's funding policy is to make voluntary contributions to its defined benefit plans before ERISA or Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation requirements mandate such contributions under minimum funding rules, and so long as the Company's liquidity needs do not preclude such investments. The Company made pension plan contributions totaling $3.5 million between September 1, 2002 and December 31, 2003. As a result of our plan asset experience, at December 31, 2002, the Company was required to recognize an additional minimum pension liability of $2.4 million, net of applicable income taxes. The liability was recorded as a reduction to common equity through a charge to Other Comprehensive Income ("OCI"). Favorable pension plan investment returns during 2003 reduced the OCI charge and related net liability by $587,000 at December 31, 2003. The 2002 OCI charge and the 2003 OCI benefit had no effect on net income for either year. MARKET RISK We have created a power supply portfolio that meets approximately 90 percent of our estimated customer demand ("load") requirements through 2006. Our power supply contracts and resources significantly reduce the Company's exposure to volatility in wholesale energy market prices. The Company's power supply contracts are described in more detail in Part I, Item 1, No. 3 above under the heading "Power Contract Commitments." A primary factor affecting future operating results is the volatility of the wholesale electricity market. Implementation of New England's wholesale market for electricity has increased volatility of wholesale power prices. Periods frequently occur when weather, availability of power supply resources and other factors cause significant differences between customer demand and electricity supply. Because electricity cannot be stored, in these situations the Company must buy or sell the difference into a marketplace that has experienced volatile energy prices. Volatility and market price trends also make it more difficult to extend or enter into new power supply contracts at prices that avoid the need for rate relief. The Company has established a risk management program designed to stabilize cash flow and earnings by minimizing power supply risks, including counter party credit risk. Transactions permitted by the risk management program include futures, forward contracts, option contracts, swaps and transmission congestion rights. These transactions are used to hedge the risk of fossil fuel and spot market electricity price increases. Some of these transactions present the risk of potential losses from adverse changes in commodity prices. Our risk management policy specifies risk measures, the amount of tolerable risk exposure, and authorization limits for transactions. Our principal power supply contract counter-parties and generators, Hydro Quebec, Entergy Nuclear Vermont Yankee, LLC and Morgan Stanley Capital Group, Inc., all currently have investment grade credit ratings. The Company has a contract with Morgan Stanley Capital Group, Inc. (the "Morgan Stanley Contract") that is used to hedge our power supply costs against increases in fossil fuel prices. Morgan Stanley purchases approximately 15 percent of the Company's power supply resources at index prices for fossil fuel resources and specified prices for contracted resources and then sells power to the Company at a fixed rate to serve pre-established load requirements. This contract, along with other power supply commitments, allows us to fix the cost of most of our power supply requirements, subject to power resource availability and other risks. The Morgan Stanley Contract is a derivative under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133 ("SFAS 133") and is effective through December 31, 2006. Management has estimated the fair value of the future net benefit of this arrangement at September 30, 2004, is approximately $11.5 million. We currently have an arrangement that grants Hydro Quebec an option (the "9701 arrangement") to call power at prices that are expected to be below estimated future market rates. The 9701 arrangement is described in more detail below under the heading "Power Supply Expenses." This arrangement is a derivative and is effective through 2015. Management's estimate of the fair value of the future net cost for this arrangement at September 30, 2004, is approximately $18.6 million. We sometimes use forward contracts to hedge forecasted calls by Hydro Quebec under the 9701 arrangement. The table below presents the Company's market risk of the Morgan Stanley and Hydro Quebec derivatives, estimated as the potential loss in fair value resulting from a hypothetical ten percent adverse change in wholesale energy prices, which nets to approximately $776,000. Actual results may differ materially from the table illustration. Under an accounting order issued by the VPSB, changes in the fair value of derivatives are deferred.
Commodity Price Risk September 30, 2004 Fair Value(Cost) Market Risk ----------------- ------------- (in thousands) Morgan Stanley Contract $ 11,511 $ 2,170 9701 Arrangement. . . . (18,626) (2,946) ----------------- ------------- $ (7,115) $ (776)
NEW ACCOUNTING STANDARDS See Part I-Item 1, Note 6, "New Accounting Standards" for more information on the adoption of new accounting standards and the impact, if any, on the Company's financial position and operating results. EFFECTS OF INFLATION Financial statements are prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles and report operating results in terms of historic costs. This accounting provides reasonable financial statements but does not always take inflation into consideration. As rate recovery is based on both historical costs and known and measurable changes, the Company is able to receive some rate relief for inflation. It does not receive immediate rate recovery relating to fixed costs associated with Company assets. Such fixed costs are recovered based on historic figures. Any effects of inflation on plant costs are generally offset by the fact that these assets are financed through long-term debt. ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES Pursuant to Rule 13a-15(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Company carried out an evaluation, with the participation of the Company's management, including the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, of the effectiveness of the Company's disclosure controls and procedures (as defined under Rule 13a-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Company's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer concluded that the Company's disclosure controls and procedures are effective in timely alerting them to material information relating to the Company (including its consolidated subsidiaries) required to be included in the Company's periodic SEC filings. There has been no change in the Company's internal control over financial reporting during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2004 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company's internal control over financial reporting. During the quarter, the Company conducted testing and enhancement of its internal controls over financial reporting to enable it to meet the requirements of the Sarbanes Oxley Act as of December 31, 2004. These ongoing efforts, which required significant changes to internal controls, and which are subject to audit at year-end, have improved the design and operational effectiveness of the Company's control processes and systems for financial reporting. It should be noted that the design of any system of controls is based, in part, on certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and that only reasonable assurance can be given that any internal control system will succeed in achieving its stated goals against all potential future conditions, regardless of how remote. GREEN MOUNTAIN POWER CORPORATION -------------------------------- SEPTEMBER 30, 2004 ------------------ PART II - OTHER INFORMATION --------------------------- ITEM 1. Legal Proceedings See Notes 3, 4 and 5 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements ITEM 2. Changes in Securities NONE ITEM 3. Defaults Upon Senior Securities NONE ITEM 4. Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders NONE ITEM 5. Other Information NONE ITEM 6. (A) EXHIBITS ---------- Exhibit 31.1, Certification by Christopher L. Dutton, President and Chief Executive Officer of Green Mountain Power Corporation, pursuant to Rules 13a-14(a) and Rule 15d-14(a) promulgated under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Exhibit 31.2, Certification by Robert J. Griffin, Chief Financial Officer, Vice President and Treasurer of Green Mountain Power Corporation, pursuant to Rules 13a-14(a) and Rule 15d-14(a) promulgated under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as adopted pursuant to Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Exhibit 32.1, Certification by Christopher L. Dutton, President and Chief Executive Officer of Green Mountain Power Corporation, and Robert J. Griffin, Chief Financial Officer, Vice President and Treasurer of Green Mountain Power Corporation, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. (B) REPORTS ON FORM 8-K --------------- The following filings on Form 8-K were filed by the Company on the topics and dates indicated: A report on Form 8-K (Item 12), dated August 4, 2004, was furnished to report that the Company issued a press release regarding its earnings for the quarter ended June 30, 2004 (not incorporated by reference). A report on Form 8-K (Item 2.02), dated November 1, 2004, was furnished to report that the Company issued a press release regarding its earnings for the quarter ended September 30, 2004 (not incorporated by reference). A report on Form 8-K (Item 8.01), dated November 1, 2004, was furnished to report that the Company issued a press release announcing it filed its cost-of-service study supporting the implementation of a January 2005 rate increase of 1.9 percent, pursuant to a plan previously approved by the Vermont Public Service Board ("VPSB"). A report on Form 8-K (Item 8.01), dated November 3, 2004, was furnished to report that Standard and Poor's Ratings Services issued a press release announcing that it had raised the corporate credit rating of Green Mountain Power Corporation (the "Company") to BBB.