EX-99 2 dex99.htm ALCOA INC. PRESENTATION DATED MARCH 2009 Alcoa Inc. Presentation dated March 2009
Presentation
March 2009
Exhibit 99


2
Forward Looking Statements
Today’s
discussion
may
include
“forward-looking
statements”
within
the
meaning
of
the
Private
Securities
Litigation
Reform
Act
of
1995.
Such
statements
relate
to
future
events
and
expectations
and
involve
known
and
unknown
risks
and
uncertainties.
Alcoa’s
actual
results
or
actions
may
differ
materially
from
those
projected
in
the
forward-looking
statements.
For
a
summary
of
the
specific
risk
factors
that
could
cause
results
to
differ
materially
from
those
expressed
in
the
forward-looking
statements,
please
refer
to
Alcoa’s
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December
31,
2008
filed
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission.


3
Highlights
Comprehensive plan to optimize cost structure
Proposed actions strengthen world class market positions
Bauxite mining #1
Alumina refining #1
Smelting capacity #1
Downstream businesses #1 / #2
Broad-based management commitment to plan execution
Complementary offerings and reduced dividend further enhance
financial flexibility
Attractive long-term aluminum fundamentals
Businesses with #1 / #2
market share will
account for 90% of
Alcoa's overall revenue


4
Accelerated portfolio actions
Curtailments
Headcount reduction
Managing Along the Three Strategic Priorities
Strategic Priority
“Downturn Actions”
Profitable Growth
Value Creation
Disciplined
Execution
Leverage technology
Market share growth
Procurement savings
Corporate overhead reduction
Line-item quantification
Clear accountability
Cash and profitability focus
Capital spend reduction
Ongoing business improvement
Attractive asset values globally
Longer-Term Opportunities
Portfolio optimization
Return focused
Competitive cost structure
Balance sheet strength


5
Getting Ahead of the Curve
Since July 2008, Alcoa has implemented a number of actions to reduce cost and
preserve/strengthen financial flexibility
7/11/08
Downsized
Electrical
and
Electronic
Solutions
Honduran &
Mexican
operations
through
headcount
reduction of
1,240
9/30/08
Curtailed
150,000 mt
at Rockdale
smelter and
further
reduced
headcount
by 660 in
addition to
160 in June
10/7/08
Announced
halt
of
all
non-critical
capital
spend
10/23/08
Reduced
production
at Point
Comfort
refinery
by 25%
(550,000
mt)
11/10/08
Curtailed
additional
350,000 mt
aluminum
production
over global
smelting
system
1/6/09
Announced
initial 
actions
to
address
economic
downturn
9/17/08
Suspended
share
repurchase
program
10/6/08
Downsized
Power &
Propulsion
through
headcount
reduction of
250
12/22/08
Cash-free  
swap
of        
soft alloy
extrusion   
share for  
Elkem
smelter      
share
Today
Taking
decisive
action
to
reposition
Alcoa


6
Managing for Value Creation –
Repositioning Alcoa
Procurement
Efficiencies
Capex
Reductions
Working Capital
Initiatives
Completing
existing growth
capex
in 2009
Reducing to
maintenance
levels in 2010
Metrics to maintain
and control at the
business unit level
Improvement
levers for
Inventory, A/R and
A/P
Leverage market
environment
Joint business /
procurement effort
BENEFITS
Expanded Action Plans
Initiatives
Total
Financial
Impact
>$2,000M
cost
savings by 2010
$850M
of capex
in
2010
$800M
cash
improvement in
2009
Overhead
Rationalizations
Phase I:
20% Reduction
Phase II:
Zero Based
Budgeting
Match to footprint
$400M
cost
savings by 2010
Improved cash generation
Lower, more competitive cost structure
Increased operating leverage


7
Over $2 billion of Procurement Savings
Reduction Targets by Spend Category
2009E
2010E
5%
29%
34%
8%
21%
6%
7%
15%
6%
4%
5%
18%
2%
2%
1%
4%
Business Unit Metals
Transportation
Non Smelter Energy
Corporate Services & IT
Indirect – Maintenance Repair & Overhaul
Indirect – Services
Strategic Raw Material – Flat Rolled Products
Strategic Raw Material – Alumina and Primary Metals


8
Procurement Success in Key Inputs
Average
2H’08
Target
Year-End
2009 
Lowest
Price
Achieved
-48%
-58%
Target
Year-End
2009
Lowest
Price
Achieved
-23%
-37%
Average
2H’08
Alcoa Global Caustic Price
($ / dry mt)
($ / mt)
~$100M
targeted cost
savings in
2010
~$300M
targeted cost
savings in
2010
~10% of refining costs
~13% of smelting costs
Alcoa Global Coke Price


9
100%
80%
2008A
2010E
$400M of Savings in Overhead Rationalizations
Streamlined Footprint
Headcount reductions
Consolidation of workflow
Benefit reductions
Renegotiation
of
3
rd
party
contracts
Reduction in travel
Elimination of consulting
~$400M


10
Total Capex
$850
$1,800
$3,438
2008A
2009E
2010E
2010 Capital Expenditures of $850M
-48%
($ in millions)
Completion of growth initiatives enables
capex
reductions
Juruti
bauxite mine
São Luís
refining
Investments
in
1
quartile
facilities
from
2004-2009 better position Alcoa for the
upturn
Juruti
bauxite mine
1,700 kmt
additional refining
capacity
(1)
407 kmt
additional smelting
capacity
(2)
China, Russia, Engineered Products
& Solutions
-53%
(1) 600 kmtpa
at Pinjarra
and 1,100 kmt
at São Luís
(2) 63 kmtpa
at São Luís
and 344 kmt
at Fjarðaál
Key Opportunities
st


11
Working Capital Reduction of $800M
~$800M
increase in cash
in
2009
Targeting Reduction Through Benchmarking
-28%
Total working capital (Days)
Days Reduction
Inventory (Days)
Accounts Receivable (Days)
Accounts Payable (Days)
100%
72%
Dec '08A
Dec '09E


12
Improving global cost positions
Negotiating power contracts
Headcount reductions
Lowering raw material costs
Operational Initiatives Strengthen Core Businesses
Alumina and
Primary Metals
Flat Rolled
Products
Engineered
Products and
Solutions
Leading franchises in challenged end-markets
Poised to leverage market positions
Rationalization of capacity
World-class technologies with leading market positions
Significant incremental value creation opportunities
Portfolio optimization


13
62%
68%
75%
100%
3Q '08A
Target
1Q '09E
1Q '09E
4Q '09E
60%
71%
75%
100%
3Q '08A
Target
1Q '09E
1Q '09E
4Q '09E
~30th
~50th
Improving Global Cost Positions
Cost of Aluminum Produced
Cost of Alumina Produced
-32%
-38%
(Cash Cost $ / mt)
(Cash Cost $ / mt)
Current global cost
curve position
(percentile)
Note:  Decrease in each chart represents the average cost point for that quarter
-29%
-40%


14
Historically Consistent Refining EBITDA / MT Margins
Refining EBITDA / MT
Note:   Refining EBITDA is the sum of after-tax operating income, income taxes and depreciation, depletion and amortization less equity
income for Alumina.  Please refer to reconciliation in appendix
-49%
8 months
$50
$47
$73
$64
$45
$52
$71
$75
$111
$104
$83
$1,362
$1,365
$1,549
$1,447
$1,350
$1,433
$1,719
$1,900
$2,570
$2,572
$2,638
$1,312
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Refining EBITDA / mt
Average LME aluminum price / mt


15
Historically Consistent Smelting EBITDA / MT Margins
Smelting EBITDA / MT
Note:   Smelting EBITDA is the sum of after-tax operating income, income taxes and depreciation, depletion and amortization less equity
income for Primary Metals.  Please refer to reconciliation in appendix
$290
$324
$499
$463
$335
$333
$412
$425
$788
$634
$400
$1,362
$1,365
$1,549
$1,447
$1,350
$1,433
$1,719
$1,900
$2,570
$2,572
$1,312
$2,638
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Smelting EBITDA / mt
Average LME aluminum price / mt
-49%
8 months


16
Rolled Products: Strength in Attractive Mid-Stream
Sectors
Packaging/Can Sheet
Aerospace Sheet, Plate &
Hard Alloy
Lithographic Sheet
Marine Plate
Automotive Brazing
Hard Alloy, Oil & Gas


17
Alcoa Power and Propulsion
#1 in Turbine Airfoils for Aerospace
#1 in Airfoils for Industrial Gas Turbines
#1 producer of Aluminum Structural Forgings
#1 producer in Aluminum Truck Wheels
#1 in Aerospace Fastening Systems
Successful acquisition integration
Broadest
range
of
patented
&
proprietary
products
Share gain through superior products, customer
engagement and regional expansion
Continuous operational productivity improvement
Annual Growth (04-08)
Sales            14% p.a.
Net Margin   27% p.a.
Note:
Financial
results
indexed
2004
=
100
Annual Growth (04-08)
Sales            14% p.a.
Net Margin   44% p.a.
Engineered Products and Solutions Poised for Further
Value Creation
Alcoa Fastening Systems
Sales
Net Margin
2004A
2008A
Sales
Net Margin
2004A
2008A


18
Long Term Outlook Remains Positive
(1)
Source: Alcoa analysis
Environment
Total energy consumption to
increase by 54% until 2025 –
>60% from developing
countries
Person Transport rates +40%
by 2030
Greenhouse gas regulation
Light
Weight
High
Strength
Durable
Highly
Conductive
Non-
Corrosive
Malleable
Recyclable
Relative
Price
37
70
2008
2018
Demographics
Urbanization
Aluminum Benefits
Aluminum Demand (million mt)
(1)
Mega
Trends
(1)
Global population
2006:  6.6 billion
2025:  7.9 billion
2050:  9.1 billion
Aluminum Outlook
Population living in cities
2006:  > 50%
2030:  > 60%
6% CAGR


19
Financial Plan Enhances Flexibility
Capital markets transactions
150 million shares of common equity ($860 million at 3/13/09 closing price)
$250 million convertible notes
Quarterly dividend
cut
to
$0.03
per
share
conserves
over
$400
million
of
cash
annually
Shining Prospect joint venture unwind to generate over $1 billion in net proceeds
Strengthens Balance Sheet and Positions Alcoa to Capitalize on
Strategic Opportunities


20
Pro Forma Balance Sheet / Liquidity Overview
Capitalization Summary
Liquidity Snapshot
(1) Per Alcoa 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2008
(2) Pro forma for the financing plan, including $855 million of remaining net proceeds from the unwind of the Shining Prospect JV and
additional debt incurred of $565 million as of March 13, 2009
Up to $5.2 billion of liquidity
$1.9 billion 364-day facility
$3.3 billion 5-year facility
Manageable near-term debt maturities
$56 million maturing in 2009
$511 million maturing in 2010
Pro Forma
12/31/2008
(1)
12/31/2008
(2)
Short-term debt
$2,013 
$650 
Long-term debt
8,565 
8,565 
Convertible debt
250 
Total debt
$10,578 
$9,465 
Minority interest
$2,597 
$2,597 
Shareholders' equity
11,735 
12,564 
Total capitalization
$24,910 
$24,626 
Debt to capitalization
42.5%
38.4%


21
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Impacts Reposition Alcoa
Operational
Financial
Procurement Efficiencies
>$2,000M cost savings by 2010
Overhead Rationalizations
$400M cost savings by 2010
Capex
Reductions
$850M annual capex
post 2009
Working Capital Initiatives
$800M improvement in cash in 2009
Equity and Equity-Linked Financings
>$1,100M gross proceeds
Dividend Reduction
>$400M annual cash savings
Asset Dispositions
$1,100M net proceeds


22
Highlights
Comprehensive plan to optimize cost structure
Proposed actions strengthen world class market positions
Bauxite mining #1
Alumina refining #1
Smelting capacity #1
Downstream businesses #1 / #2
Broad-based management commitment to plan execution
Complementary offerings and reduced dividend further enhance
financial flexibility
Attractive long-term aluminum fundamentals
Businesses with #1 / #2
market share will
account for 90% of
Alcoa's overall revenue



24
Reconciliation of Refining EBITDA / MT
($ in millions)
Alumina
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
After-tax operating income (ATOI)
$318
$307
$585 
$471 
$315 
$415 
$632 
$682 
$1,050 
$956 
$727 
Add:
Depreciation, depletion, and
amortization
159
161
163 
144 
139 
147 
153 
172 
192 
267 
268 
Equity (income) loss
(1)
(3)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(1)
(7)
Income taxes
174
159
279 
184 
130 
161 
240 
246 
428 
340 
277 
EBITDA
$650
$627
$1,024 
$798 
$583 
$723 
$1,024 
$1,100 
$1,672 
$1,562 
$1,265 
Production (thousand metric tons) (kmt)
12,938
13,273
13,968 
12,527 
13,027 
13,841 
14,343 
14,598 
15,128 
15,084 
15,256 
EBITDA/Production
$50
$47
$73 
$64 
$45 
$52 
$71 
$75 
$111 
$104 
$83 
EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP. Accordingly, it should not be considered as a substitute for net earnings
(loss), operating earnings (loss), ATOI, cash flow provided by operating activities or other income or cash flow data prepared in
accordance with GAAP. However, Alcoa’s management believes that EBITDA may provide additional information with respect to the
Company’s performance or ability to meet its financial obligations. The ratio of EBITDA to production is an additional measure of financial
performance. Because EBITDA excludes some, but not all, items that affect net earnings and may vary among companies, the EBITDA
presented by Alcoa may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies.


25
Reconciliation of Smelting EBITDA / MT
($ in millions)
Primary Metals
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
After-tax operating income (ATOI)
$372
$535
$1,000 
$905 
$650 
$657 
$808 
$822 
$1,760 
$1,445 
$931 
Add:
Depreciation, depletion, and
amortization
176
216
311 
327 
300 
310 
326 
368 
395 
410 
503 
Equity (income) loss
(27)
(42)
(50)
(52)
(44)
(55)
(58)
12 
(82)
(57)
(2)
Income taxes
196
214
505 
434 
266 
256 
314 
307 
726 
542 
172 
EBITDA
$717
$923
$1,766 
$1,614 
$1,172 
$1,168 
$1,390 
$1,509 
$2,799 
$2,340 
$1,604 
Production (thousand metric tons) (kmt)
2,471
2,851
3,539 
3,488 
3,500 
3,508 
3,376 
3,554 
3,552 
3,693 
4,007 
EBITDA/Production
$290
$324
$499 
$463 
$335 
$333 
$412 
$425 
$788 
$634 
$400 
EBITDA is not a measure of financial performance under GAAP. Accordingly, it should not be considered as a substitute for net earnings
(loss), operating earnings (loss), ATOI, cash flow provided by operating activities or other income or cash flow data prepared in
accordance with GAAP. However, Alcoa’s management believes that EBITDA may provide additional information with respect to the
Company’s performance or ability to meet its financial obligations. The ratio of EBITDA to production is an additional measure of financial
performance. Because EBITDA excludes some, but not all, items that affect net earnings and may vary among companies, the EBITDA
presented by Alcoa may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies.