EX-99.2 4 dex992.htm SLIDES PRESENTED DURING ALCOA INC. SECOND QUARTER 2003 EARNINGS CALL Slides presented during Alcoa Inc. second quarter 2003 earnings call

Exhibit 99.2

 

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2nd Quarter 2003

Analyst Conference

 

July 28, 2003

New York, NY


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Forward-Looking Statements

 


 

Today’s discussion may include “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements relate to future events and expectations and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Alcoa’s actual results or actions may differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For a summary of the specific risk factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements, please refer to Alcoa’s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002, in addition to the Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2003 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.


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Richard B. Kelson

Executive VP and CFO


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2nd Quarter Highlights

 


 

n   Continued world-class safety performance

 

n   Income from continuing operations $ 0.27 per diluted share up from $0.23 in the first quarter

 

n   Revenue growth over both prior- and year-ago quarters

 

n   Sequential profitability increases in all downstream segments

 

n   Strengthened balance sheet by generating $1.2 billion in cash


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2nd Quarter Highlights

 


 

n   Disciplined capital spending, a 33% reduction from prior-year period

 

n   Working capital reduction with revenue increase

 

n   Cost savings of $16 million, remain solidly on track toward the $1.0 billion cost challenge

 

n   Divestiture of Assets held for Sale progressing well

 

    First major sale (PET in Latin America) recently announced


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Safety

 


 

n   LWD Incident Rate

 

    Continued strong performance in 2Q 2003

 

[GRAPH]

 

* Reynolds, Howmet/Huck included beginning in 2002

** IVEX, Fairchild, Kama, and other 2002/2003 new acquisitions


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2nd Quarter 2003

Financial Overview

 

In Millions    2Q03    1Q 03    Fav/(Unfav)

LME 3-Month Average ($/ton)

   $1,380    $1,392    ($12)

Sales

   $5,460    $5,112    $348

Cost of Goods Sold

   $4,347    $4,073    ($274)

% of Sales

   79.6%    79.7%    0.1%

SG&A

   $343    $294    ($49)

% of Sales

   6.3%    5.8%    (0.5)%

Effective Tax Rate

   26.0%    30.0%    4.0%

Minority Interests

   $75    $59    ($16)

GAAP Net Income

   $216    $151    $65

GAAP Income From Continuing

              

Operations

   $227    $195    $32

 


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Significant Cash Generation…

 


 

n   Cash from operations of $1.2 billion in the quarter, up sequentially and year-over-year

 

    Strongest cash flow since 4Q 2000, excluding forward metal sale

 

n   Working capital reduction of $210 million sequentially, with revenue increase of $348 million

 

n   Capital spending discipline, $401 million year to date, 29% year-over-year decline

 

    $1 billion remains target for full year


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Leading to Debt Reduction

 


 

[GRAPH]

 

n   Debt-to-capital reduced by 300 basis points to 40.4% from 43.4% at end of 1Q 2003

 

n   Debt paid down by $722 million

 

n   Focusing on what is within our control to improve our financial flexibility


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2nd Quarter Market Conditions Global View

 


 

n   Market Conditions

 

[GRAPH]

 

     Change from
2Q02


    Change from
1Q03


 

Realized Prices

            

Alumina

   9 %   0 %

Primary

   1 %   -2 %

3rd Party Revenue

            

Commercial Trans

   5 %   4 %

Automotive

   0 %   -4 %

Industrial Products

   19 %   -3 %

B&C

   -11 %   9 %

Aerospace*

   39 %   10 %

IGT

   -42 %   -1 %

Packaging

   13 %   12 %

 

*   Excluding Fairchild, aerospace revenue increased by 2% and 1% from 2Q 02 and 1Q 03, respectively.


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Alumina & Chemicals

 


 

Alignment: Bauxite mining, alumina refining and chemicals production

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:
[GRAPH]   [GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positives


 

Negatives


Spot prices continue high

   


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Primary Metals

 


 

Alignment: 3.9 million mt of smelting capacity, with 585 kmt currently idled

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:
[GRAPH]   [GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positivies


 

Negatives


    Preparation for Intalco shutdown
    Electrical outage at Sao Luis


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Flat Rolled Products

 


 

Alignment: Aluminum sheet and plate for aerospace applications, rigid container sheet for beverage cans and mill products

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:

[GRAPH]

 

[GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positives


  

Negatives


Seasonal can sheet strength expected to continue in 3Q    Seasonal softening expected in Europe
     Seasonal automotive OEM shutdowns


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Engineered Products

 


 

Alignment: Hard and soft alloy extrusions, aluminum forgings, Alcoa Fasteners & Howmet products

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:

[GRAPH]

 

[GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positives


 

Negatives


Continued cost benefits from recent restructuring   Lower aerospace volume
Some seasonal strengthening in residential building & construction   Seasonal automotive OEM shutdowns


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Packaging & Consumer

 


 

Alignment: Reynolds consumer products, closures, flexible packaging, and packaging graphics design

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:

[GRAPH]

 

[GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positives


 

Negatives


Seasonal strength in consumer products somewhat offset by weakness in Latin America    

 


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Other

 


 

Alignment: Alcoa Fujikura, residential building products and automotive structures

 

Markets:   ATOI Performance:

[GRAPH]

 

[GRAPH]

 

Current Business Conditions:

 

Positives


 

Negatives


Some seasonal strengthening in residential building & construction   Seasonal automotive OEM shutdowns


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2002 Actions Continue to be Reflected in 2Q Costs

 


 

[GRAPH]

 

We expect to surpass the $1 billion Cost Challenge


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Return on Capital

 


 

[GRAPH]

 

All indicators are based on the Bloomberg ROC Methodology.

 

1Q 03 Quarter Annualized ROC excludes $47 million after-tax cumulative effect of accounting change due to adoption of FAS 143.


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Summary

 


 

Second quarter accomplishments are indicative of our focus going forward:

 

  n   Top-line growth and strong cash generation

 

  n   Cost savings – driven by ABS

 

  n   Working capital reduction

 

  n   Disciplined capital expenditures

 

  n   Balance sheet improvement


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Alain Belda

Chairman and CEO


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First Half 2003 Achievements

 


 

n   We focused on cost, execution & capital discipline

 

    Offsetting geopolitical issues, rising energy, health & welfare costs

 

n   We managed the portfolio

 

— Fairchild & Ivex integrations demonstrating significant progress

 

— First announcement of asset divestiture program

 

n   We continued to strengthen the balance sheet

 

    Firmly on our way to attain our target capital structure

 

In the 1H/03, Alcoa delivered on goals in a challenging environment


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Two Examples of Actions Taken

 


 

US Smelting

 

n   1.4 million mt of capacity, 8 locations

 

n   Competitive average power cost, $22/Mwh

 

n   Staffing, the critical issue

 

    Roadmap to $120/mt cost takeout progressing well

 

    Achieved $50+/mt as of June 2003, across multiple plants and
            functions   – balance rest of the year

 

Howmet

 

n   Premier global investment casting supplier

 

n   Impacted by IGT and aerospace market downturns

 

n   Rightsizing underway

 

    Commercial wins

 

    Productivity increases

 

    Roadmap to quintile performance defined


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Operating in the Current Business Environment

 


 

n   We have adjusted to the slow global economy

 

n   Offsetting the challenging business conditions with cost controls and the benefits from last year’s restructuring initiatives

 

n   Dealing with aluminum industry dynamics


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Our Top Priorities

 


 

n   Long-term value creation

 

    Values are our foundation

 

    Cost control, capital discipline, customers – ABS is how we do business

 

    Profitable growth

 

n   Deliver on our short term goals

 

    Manage the portfolio

 

    Improve balance sheet

 

    Successful integration and asset divestitures

 

n   Excel under any market conditions

 

    Slow, uneven growth in the U.S.

 

    Lingering weakness in Europe, Latin America, Asia

 

n   Profitable Growth

 

    Multiple opportunities for profitable growth – they must meet our hurdles

 

    Organic and Acquisitions

 

    Outperform the competition and industrial peers


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Profitable Growth Continues

 


 

n   Alcoa Latin America

 

    Camargo Correa Group

 

n   Refining

 

    Pinjarra expansion

 

    Jamaica expansion

 

n   Smelting

 

    Canada

 

    Iceland

 

    China


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The Road Ahead

 


 

n   We don’t expect the business environment to become easier, but we are poised to excel

 

n   Focus is on positioning our portfolio and businesses for the long-term while achieving short term goals

 

n   Continue to meet our priorities and long-term value creation


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For Additional Information, contact:

 


 

William F. Oplinger

Director, Investor Relations

 

Alcoa

390 Park Avenue

New York, N.Y. 10022-4608

Telephone: (212) 836-2674

Facsimile: (212) 836-2813

www.alcoa.com


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Appendix


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Income and EPS Information and Reconciliation

 


 

In Millions    2Q 03

    1Q 03

    2Q 02

GAAP Net Income

   $ 216     $ 151     $ 232

Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

     —       $ 47       —  

Discontinued Operations—operating (income) loss

     —       $ (3 )   $ 5

Discontinued Operations—Loss on Divestitures

   $ 11       —         —  

GAAP Income from continuing operations

   $ 227     $ 195     $ 237

Special Items (2):

                      

Restructurings

   $ 12     $ (3 )     —  

(Gain)/Loss on Divestitures

   $ (10 )     —         —  

Income from Continuing Operations excluding charges for restructurings and divestitures (1)

   $ 229     $ 192     $ 237


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Income and EPS Information and Reconciliation (Continued)

 


 

In Millions    2Q 03

    1Q 03

   2Q 02

GAAP Earnings per share

   $ 0.26     $ 0.17    $ 0.27

Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change

     —       $ 0.06      —  

Discontinued Operations—operating (income) loss

     —         —      $ 0.01

Discontinued Operations—Loss on Divestitures

   $ 0.01       —        —  

GAAP Earnings per share from continuing operations

   $ 0.27     $ 0.23    $ 0.28

Special Items:

                     

Restructurings

   $ 0.01       —        —  

(Gain)/Loss on Divestitures

   $ (0.01 )     —        —  

EPS from Continuing Operations excluding charges for restructurings and divestitures(1)

   $ 0.27     $ 0.23    $ 0.28

Avg. Shares Diluted Outstanding

     847       846      852


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Reconciliation of Return on Capital

 


 

In Millions   

2Q 2003

Bloomberg
Methodology


    2Q 2003
Annualized


   

1Q 2003

Bloomberg
Methodology


    1Q 2003
Annualized
Ex FAS 143


 

Net Income

   $ 346     $ 864     $ 353     $ 792  

Minority Interest

   $ 181     $ 300     $ 153     $ 236  

Interest Expense (After-tax)

   $ 266     $ 240     $ 263     $ 246  
    


 


 


 


Numerator (Sum Total)

   $ 793     $ 1,403     $ 769     $ 1,274  

ST Borrowings

   $ 153     $ 110     $ 147     $ 115  

LT Borrowings

   $ 7,942     $ 8,309     $ 7,896     $ 8,519  

Preferred Equity

   $ 55     $ 55     $ 55     $ 55  

Minority Interest

   $ 1,400     $ 1,443     $ 1,351     $ 1,332  

Common Equity

   $ 10,504     $ 10,181     $ 10,428     $ 9,950  
    


 


 


 


Denominator (Sum Total)

   $ 20,054     $ 20,098     $ 19,877     $ 19,970  

ROC

     3.9 %     7.0 %     3.9 %     6.4 %

 

Notes:

 

  Bloomberg Methodology calculates ROC based on the trailing 4 quarters.

 

  1Q Annualized Ex FAS 143 excludes $47 million after-tax cumulative effect of accounting change.


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Notes to Reconciliation


 

(1)   Alcoa believes that income from continuing operations excluding charges for restructurings and divestitures is a measure that should be presented in addition to income from continuing operations determined in accordance with GAAP. The following matters should be considered when evaluating this non-GAAP financial measure:

 

    Alcoa reviews the operating results of its businesses excluding the impacts of restructurings and divestitures. Excluding the impacts of these charges can provide an additional basis of comparison. Management believes that these charges are unusual in nature, and would not be indicative of ongoing operating results. As a result, management believes these charges should be considered in order to compare past, current, and future periods.

 

    The economic impacts of the restructuring and divestiture charges are described in the footnotes to Alcoa’s financial statements. Generally speaking, charges associated with restructurings include cash and non-cash charges and are the result of employee layoff, plant consolidation of assets, or plant closure costs. These actions are taken in order to achieve a lower cost base for future operating results.

 

    Charges associated with divestitures principally represent adjustments to the carrying value of certain assets and liabilities and do not typically require a cash payment. These actions are taken primarily for strategic reasons as the company has decided not to participate in this portion of the portfolio of businesses.

 

    Alcoa’s growth over the last five years, and the onset of the manufacturing recession led to the aforementioned charges in 2001 and 2002. Before the start of the current manufacturing recession, Alcoa last recorded charges associated with restructuring and divestitures in 1997.

 

    Restructuring and divestiture charges are typically material and are considered to be outside the normal operations of a business. Corporate management is responsible for making decisions about restructurings and divestitures.

 

    There can be no assurance that additional restructurings and divestitures will not occur in future periods. To compensate for this limitation, management believes that it is appropriate to consider both income from continuing operations determined under GAAP as well as income from continuing operations excluding restructuring and divestiture charges.

 

(2)   Special items totaled $15 of income for the second quarter before taxes and minority interests. The amount is comprised of adjustments to the estimated proceeds on several businesses to be divested that resulted in net gains, and was offset by additional layoff charges primarily for businesses serving the aerospace and primary metals markets. After tax and minority interests, special items amounted to a loss of $2 in the quarter.