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Revenue
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2019
Revenue Recognition [Abstract]  
Revenue REVENUE
Performance Obligations. A performance obligation is a promise in a contract to transfer a distinct good or service to the customer, and is the unit of account for revenue. A contract’s transaction price is allocated to each distinct performance obligation within that contract and recognized as revenue when, or as, the performance obligation is satisfied. The majority of our contracts have a single performance obligation as the promise to transfer the individual goods or services is not separately identifiable from other promises in the contracts and is, therefore, not distinct. Some of our contracts have multiple performance obligations, most commonly due to the contract covering multiple phases of the product lifecycle (development, production, maintenance and support). For contracts with multiple performance obligations, we allocate the contract’s transaction price to each performance obligation using our best estimate of the standalone selling price of each distinct good or service in the contract. The primary method used to estimate standalone selling price is the expected cost plus a margin approach, under which we forecast our expected costs of satisfying a performance obligation and then add an appropriate margin for that distinct good or service.
Contract modifications are routine in the performance of our contracts. Contracts are often modified to account for changes in contract specifications or requirements. In most instances, contract modifications are for goods or services that are not distinct and, therefore, are accounted for as part of the existing contract.
Our performance obligations are satisfied over time as work progresses or at a point in time. Revenue from products and services transferred to customers over time accounted for 75% of our revenue for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2019, and 78% and 76% of our revenue for the three- and six-month periods ended July 1, 2018, respectively. Substantially all of our revenue in the defense segments is recognized over time, because control is transferred continuously to our customers. Typically, revenue is recognized over time using costs incurred to date relative to total estimated costs at completion to measure progress toward satisfying our performance obligations. Incurred cost represents work performed, which corresponds with, and thereby best depicts, the transfer of control to the customer. Contract costs include labor, material, overhead and, when appropriate, G&A expenses.
Revenue from goods and services transferred to customers at a point in time accounted for 25% of our revenue for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2019, and 22% and 24% of our revenue for the three- and six-month periods ended July 1, 2018, respectively. The majority of our revenue recognized
at a point in time is for the manufacture of business-jet aircraft in our Aerospace segment. Revenue on these contracts is recognized when the customer obtains control of the asset, which is generally upon delivery and acceptance by the customer of the fully outfitted aircraft.
On June 30, 2019, we had $67.7 billion of remaining performance obligations, which we also refer to as total backlog. We expect to recognize approximately 60% of our remaining performance obligations as revenue by year-end 2020, an additional 25% by year-end 2022 and the balance thereafter. On December 31, 2018, we had $67.9 billion of remaining performance obligations, at which time we expected to recognize approximately 45% of these remaining performance obligations as revenue in 2019, an additional 35% by year-end 2021 and the balance thereafter.
Contract Estimates. The majority of our revenue is derived from long-term contracts and programs that can span several years. Accounting for long-term contracts and programs involves the use of various techniques to estimate total contract revenue and costs. For long-term contracts, we estimate the profit on a contract as the difference between the total estimated revenue and expected costs to complete a contract and recognize that profit over the life of the contract.
Contract estimates are based on various assumptions to project the outcome of future events that often span several years. These assumptions include labor productivity and availability; the complexity of the work to be performed; the cost and availability of materials; the performance of subcontractors; and the availability and timing of funding from the customer.
The nature of our contracts gives rise to several types of variable consideration, including claims and award and incentive fees. We include in our contract estimates additional revenue for submitted contract modifications or claims against the customer when we believe we have an enforceable right to the modification or claim, the amount can be estimated reliably and its realization is probable. In evaluating these criteria, we consider the contractual/legal basis for the claim, the cause of any additional costs incurred, the reasonableness of those costs and the objective evidence available to support the claim. We include award or incentive fees in the estimated transaction price when there is a basis to reasonably estimate the amount of the fee. These estimates are based on historical award experience, anticipated performance and our best judgment at the time. Because of our certainty in estimating these amounts, they are included in the transaction price of our contracts and the associated remaining performance obligations.
As a significant change in one or more of these estimates could affect the profitability of our contracts, we review and update our contract-related estimates regularly. We recognize adjustments in estimated profit on contracts under the cumulative catch-up method. Under this method, the impact of the adjustment on profit recorded to date on a contract is recognized in the period the adjustment is identified. Revenue and profit in future periods of contract performance are recognized using the adjusted estimate. If at any time the estimate of contract profitability indicates an anticipated loss on the contract, we recognize the total loss in the period it is identified.
The impact of adjustments in contract estimates on our operating earnings can be reflected in either operating costs and expenses or revenue. The aggregate impact of adjustments in contract estimates increased our revenue, operating earnings and diluted earnings per share as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
 
June 30, 2019
 
July 1, 2018
June 30, 2019
 
July 1, 2018
Revenue
$
72

 
$
91

$
168

 
$
206

Operating earnings
71

 
83

139

 
180

Diluted earnings per share
$
0.19

 
$
0.22

$
0.38

 
$
0.47


No adjustment on any one contract was material to the unaudited Consolidated Financial Statements for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2019, or July 1, 2018.
Revenue by Category. Our portfolio of products and services consists of approximately 11,000 active contracts. The following series of tables presents our revenue disaggregated by several categories.
Revenue by major products and services was as follows:
 
Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
 
June 30, 2019
 
July 1, 2018
June 30, 2019
 
July 1, 2018
Aircraft manufacturing and
    completions
$
1,597

 
$
1,362

$
3,288

 
$
2,728

Aircraft services
537

 
531

1,044

 
982

Pre-owned aircraft
2

 
2

44

 
10

Total Aerospace
2,136


1,895

4,376

 
3,720

Military vehicles
1,090

 
990

2,224

 
1,946

Weapons systems, armament and
    munitions
461

 
443

862

 
826

Engineering and other services
108

 
101

209

 
202

Total Combat Systems
1,659


1,534

3,295

 
2,974

IT services
2,158

 
2,442

4,327

 
3,580

Total Information Technology
2,158


2,442

4,327

 
3,580

C4ISR solutions
1,277

 
1,147

2,435

 
2,245

Total Mission Systems
1,277


1,147

2,435

 
2,245

Nuclear-powered submarines
1,538

 
1,438

2,915

 
2,734

Surface ships
528

 
473

974

 
956

Repair and other services
259

 
257

494

 
512

Total Marine Systems
2,325


2,168

4,383

 
4,202

Total revenue
$
9,555


$
9,186

$
18,816

 
$
16,721



Revenue by contract type was as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2019
Aerospace
 
Combat Systems
 
Information Technology
 
Mission Systems
 
Marine Systems
 
Total
Revenue
Fixed-price
$
1,925

 
$
1,427

 
$
875

 
$
752

 
$
1,575

 
$
6,554

Cost-reimbursement

 
221

 
858

 
484

 
745

 
2,308

Time-and-materials
211

 
11

 
425

 
41

 
5

 
693

Total revenue
$
2,136


$
1,659


$
2,158


$
1,277


$
2,325


$
9,555

Three Months Ended July 1, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-price
$
1,696

 
$
1,330

 
$
1,059

 
$
658

 
$
1,372

 
$
6,115

Cost-reimbursement

 
197

 
930

 
451

 
795

 
2,373

Time-and-materials
199

 
7

 
453

 
38

 
1

 
698

Total revenue
$
1,895


$
1,534


$
2,442


$
1,147


$
2,168


$
9,186

Six Months Ended June 30, 2019
Aerospace
 
Combat Systems
 
Information Technology
 
Mission Systems
 
Marine Systems
 
Total
Revenue
Fixed-price
$
3,965

 
$
2,843

 
$
1,796

 
$
1,403

 
$
2,991

 
$
12,998

Cost-reimbursement

 
432

 
1,699

 
947

 
1,385

 
4,463

Time-and-materials
411

 
20

 
832

 
85

 
7

 
1,355

Total revenue
$
4,376

 
$
3,295

 
$
4,327

 
$
2,435

 
$
4,383

 
$
18,816

Six Months Ended July 1, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-price
$
3,364

 
$
2,583

 
$
1,446

 
$
1,278

 
$
2,677

 
$
11,348

Cost-reimbursement

 
376

 
1,507

 
891

 
1,523

 
4,297

Time-and-materials
356

 
15

 
627

 
76

 
2

 
1,076

Total revenue
$
3,720

 
$
2,974

 
$
3,580

 
$
2,245

 
$
4,202

 
$
16,721

Our segments operate under fixed-price, cost-reimbursement and time-and-materials contracts. Our production contracts are primarily fixed-price. Under these contracts, we agree to perform a specific scope of work for a fixed amount. Contracts for research, engineering, repair and maintenance, and other services are typically cost-reimbursement or time-and-materials. Under cost-reimbursement contracts, the customer reimburses contract costs incurred and pays a fixed, incentive or award-based fee. These fees are determined by our ability to achieve targets set in the contract, such as cost, quality, schedule and performance. Under time-and-materials contracts, the customer pays a fixed hourly rate for direct labor and generally reimburses us for the cost of materials.
Each of these contract types presents advantages and disadvantages. Typically, we assume more risk with fixed-price contracts. However, these types of contracts offer additional profits when we complete the work for less than originally estimated. Cost-reimbursement contracts generally subject us to lower risk. Accordingly, the associated base fees are usually lower than fees earned on fixed-price contracts. Under time-and-materials contracts, our profit may vary if actual labor-hour rates vary significantly from the negotiated rates. Also, because these contracts can provide little or no fee for managing material costs, the content mix can impact profitability.
Revenue by customer was as follows:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2019
Aerospace
 
Combat Systems
 
Information Technology
 
Mission Systems
 
Marine Systems
 
Total
Revenue
U.S. government:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Department of Defense (DoD)
$
52

 
$
910

 
$
926

 
$
884

 
$
2,243

 
$
5,015

Non-DoD

 
3

 
1,178

 
133

 
1

 
1,315

Foreign Military Sales (FMS)
14

 
90

 
4

 
12

 
47

 
167

Total U.S. government
66


1,003


2,108


1,029


2,291


6,497

U.S. commercial
1,242

 
59

 
45

 
39

 
30

 
1,415

Non-U.S. government
141

 
587

 
5

 
181

 
2

 
916

Non-U.S. commercial
687

 
10

 

 
28

 
2

 
727

Total revenue
$
2,136


$
1,659


$
2,158


$
1,277


$
2,325


$
9,555

Three Months Ended July 1, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DoD
$
89

 
$
660

 
$
1,024

 
$
764

 
$
2,032

 
$
4,569

Non-DoD

 
3

 
1,339

 
130

 
1

 
1,473

FMS
19

 
83

 
7

 
14

 
39

 
162

Total U.S. government
108


746


2,370


908


2,072


6,204

U.S. commercial
917

 
58

 
41

 
36

 
91

 
1,143

Non-U.S. government
143

 
712

 
31

 
161

 
4

 
1,051

Non-U.S. commercial
727

 
18

 

 
42

 
1

 
788

Total revenue
$
1,895

 
$
1,534

 
$
2,442

 
$
1,147

 
$
2,168

 
$
9,186

Six Months Ended June 30, 2019
Aerospace
 
Combat Systems
 
Information Technology
 
Mission Systems
 
Marine Systems
 
Total
Revenue
U.S. government:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DoD
$
175

 
$
1,703

 
$
1,850

 
$
1,668

 
$
4,218

 
$
9,614

Non-DoD

 
6

 
2,370

 
268

 
1

 
2,645

FMS
29

 
169

 
9

 
21

 
91

 
319

Total U.S. government
204

 
1,878

 
4,229

 
1,957

 
4,310

 
12,578

U.S. commercial
2,571

 
109

 
85

 
74

 
66

 
2,905

Non-U.S. government
200

 
1,288

 
13

 
347

 
4

 
1,852

Non-U.S. commercial
1,401

 
20

 

 
57

 
3

 
1,481

Total revenue
$
4,376

 
$
3,295

 
$
4,327

 
$
2,435

 
$
4,383

 
$
18,816

Six Months Ended July 1, 2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
DoD
$
130

 
$
1,267

 
$
1,457

 
$
1,506

 
$
3,982

 
$
8,342

Non-DoD

 
4

 
1,976

 
248

 
1

 
2,229

FMS
35

 
152

 
15

 
21

 
68

 
291

Total U.S. government
165

 
1,423

 
3,448

 
1,775

 
4,051

 
10,862

U.S. commercial
1,759

 
116

 
81

 
63

 
144

 
2,163

Non-U.S. government
153

 
1,409

 
51

 
333

 
6

 
1,952

Non-U.S. commercial
1,643

 
26

 

 
74

 
1

 
1,744

Total revenue
$
3,720

 
$
2,974

 
$
3,580

 
$
2,245

 
$
4,202

 
$
16,721

Contract Balances. The timing of revenue recognition, billings and cash collections results in billed accounts receivable, unbilled receivables (contract assets), and customer advances and deposits (contract liabilities) on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. In our defense segments, amounts are billed as work progresses in accordance with agreed-upon contractual terms, either at periodic intervals (e.g., biweekly or monthly) or upon achievement of contractual milestones. Generally, billing occurs subsequent to revenue recognition, resulting in contract assets. However, we sometimes receive advances or deposits from our customers, particularly on our international contracts, before revenue is recognized, resulting in contract liabilities. These assets and liabilities are reported on the Consolidated Balance Sheet on a contract-by-contract basis at the end of each reporting period. In our Aerospace segment, we generally receive deposits from customers upon contract execution and upon achievement of contractual milestones. These deposits are liquidated when revenue is recognized. Changes in the contract asset and liability balances during the six-month period ended June 30, 2019, were not materially impacted by any other factors except for the delays in payment on an international wheeled armored vehicle contract in our Combat Systems segment, which contributed to growth in contract assets as further discussed in Note G.
Revenue recognized for the three- and six-month periods ended June 30, 2019, and July 1, 2018, that was included in the contract liability balance at the beginning of each year was $1.2 billion and $2.9 billion, and $1.1 billion and $2.6 billion, respectively. This revenue represented primarily the sale of business-jet aircraft.