EX-99.1 2 presentation.htm PRESENTATION presentation.htm
Howard Weil Energy Conference
April 7, 2008
 
 

 
Don Blankenship
Chairman, President and CEO
 
 

 
3
Safe Harbor Statement
 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: certain statements in this
 presentation are forward-looking as defined by the Private Securities
 Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Due to known and unknown risks, the
 company’s actual results may differ materially from its expectations or
 projections. Factors potentially contributing to such differences are
 described in further detail at the conclusion of this presentation and in
 the company’s annual reports on form 10-K and quarterly reports on
 form 10-Q.
 
 

 
2007 - A Record Year
 
 

 
5
2007 Highlights
 Set Company safety record for lowest injury incident rate
 (NFDL of 2.05)
 Produced 39.5 mm tons
 Increased produced coal revenue by 8%
 Increased cash margin per ton by 32%
 Set Company record for EBITDA of $426 mm
 Increased cash balance by $126 mm
 Ended 2007 with $479 mm in liquidity
 
 

 
6
Massey Energy vs. Industry Historic NFDL rates
2007 Highlights - Safety
 
 

 
7
2007 Highlights - Tons Produced
 
 

 
8
2007 Highlights - Cash Margin per Ton
 
 

 
9
2007 Highlights - EBITDA (Record Year)
 
 

 
10
2007 Highlights - Cash and Liquidity
 
 

 
2008 will be even better
 
 

 
Current Coal Market
 
 

 
13
Coal Marketplace
· Strong steam coal demand and pricing for both
 domestic and international deliveries
 · Southeastern U.S. utility inventory levels remain high,
 but are correcting quickly despite a mild winter
 · Unbalanced international markets driving record prices
 for steam and metallurgical coal
 · New safety regulations, permitting challenges, and
 tightness of labor availability limit coal producers’ ability
 to respond
 
 

 
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Market Outlook - Domestic Steam Coal
 Export market has absorbed excess CAPP
 supply, keeping prices high
 CAPP production declined 4.5% in 2007
 Further upward pressure on prices will
 likely result when utility inventories return to
 normal
 
 

 
15
Utility Inventory Levels
NOTE: 76% participation
SOURCE: Energy Ventures Analysis, February 2008 Coalcast stockpile report
 
 

 
16
Market Outlook - Export Steam Coal
 China demand exceeds its domestic supply
 Demand in India increasing
 Former Soviet Union countries seeking new supply
 Europe becomes a natural market for CAPP coal
 U.S. Dollar remains weak
 Export demand appears to be sustainable
 
 

 
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NOTE: (12,000 Btu, NYMEX, Prompt Quarter)
SOURCE: Coal Daily, Energy Ventures Analysis, ICAP United
Central App Spot Coal Prices
(January 2000 - December 2010E)
 
 

 
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NOTES: 12,000 Btu/ -1.00% Sulfur/ NYMEX
Forward Market - CAPP Steam Coal
 
 

 
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Market Outlook - Metallurgical Coal
 Global Supply Constraints
  Australian flooding - Force Majeure lifted but challenges remain
  Australian port congestion
  South African production stoppages
  High ocean freight rates
 Global demand increasing
  Continuing Asian economic expansion
  Coke oven projects in Brazil
  Eastern Europe
 Domestic met coal demand could be on the rise
  Weak dollar and high ocean freight rates create disadvantage for
 imported steel
  Further investment in domestic coke ovens is possible
 
 

 
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(million metric tonnes)
Forecast 2008 vs. 2007: +5.7%
SOURCE: World Coal Institute, IISI
World Steel Production
 
 

 
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“There appears to be virtually no chance
that the met demand will crash
inside a year, probably two or more.”

 Coal & Energy Price Report
 April 2, 2008
Met Coal Pricing
 Recent spot prices as high as $200 per ton
 
 

 
Massey Opportunities
 
 

 
23
Expansion Plan
 Plan to expand production by about 10
 million tons in 2010 over 2007 production
 level
  Increase met coal production by
 approximately 62% (5 million tons)
  Increase thermal coal production by
 approximately 16% (5 million tons)
  Doing all we can to accelerate the increase
 in production
 
 

 
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“Opening 1 new mine every 17 days.”
Increased production levels should be evident in 2Q08
Expansion Plan - Update
 9 additional mines opened to date in 2008
 Added sections or equipment to existing mines
 Substantially all previously announced projects are
 on schedule
 New projects have been added
 » New surface mine at Knox Creek
 » Re-activated mine at Elk Run
 » Added highwall mining system at Black Castle
 » Construction begun on new mine in Logan County, WV
 
 

 
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Expansion - Mammoth Coal Load-out
 
 

 
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Expansion - Mammoth Coal Load-out
 
 

 
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Expansion - Inman Coal Company
 
 

 
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Expansion - Inman Coal Company
 
 

 
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Expansion - Inman Coal Company
 
 

 
30
Expansion - Empire
 
 

 
31
Expansion - Empire
 
 

 
32
Expansion - Empire
 
 

 
33
Expansion - Empire
 
 

 
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* Expansion CAPEX is in addition to normal “on-going” CAPEX of approximately $240
million annually
Expansion Plan - CAPEX Update
 Additional capital for 2008 authorized by the
 Board of Directors on April 3, 2008
 
 2008 expansion CAPEX* now expected to be
 approximately $310 million
 
 

 
35
2008 Market Opportunities
 Expand production as quickly as possible
 
 Un-sold or Un-priced Met Coal
 
 

 
36
Price Realization Update
 2008 average price realization now expected
 to be in the range of $61 - $63 per ton
 2009 average price realization forecast in the
 range of $65 - $74 per ton
 
 

 
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Forecast Range
2008 Outlook - Cash Margin per Ton
 
 

 
38
 
2007
Actual
2008
Forecast
2009
Forecast
2010
Forecast
Tons Shipped
(Millions)
39.9
41.5 - 43.0
46.0 - 48.0
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Price per Ton
$51.55
$61.00 -
$63.00
$65.00 -
$74.00
$75.00 -
$87.00
Cash Cost per Ton
$43.10
$45.00 -
$47.50
np
np
Other Income
($Millions)
$88.9
$20 - $100
np
np
CAPEX
($Millions)
$271
$550
np
np
“np” - no guidance provided for this period
Guidance Update (April 3, 2008)
 
 

 
“What else am I missing?”
 
 

 
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* TTM 12/31/2007
Source: Thomson Financial
Valuation Disconnect
 
 

 
41
Risk of Central Appalachia
 
 

 
42
Risk Value of Central Appalachia/Massey
 Product diversity
 Transportation infrastructure
 Broad market access
 » Domestic rail
 » Domestic river
 » Export
 Regulatory environment
 » Creates barriers to entry for smaller producers
 Scarcity of reserves
 
 

 
43
Risk Value of Central Appalachia/Massey
 Massey has dominant market position
 Massey has premier reserve base in Central App.
 
 

 
44
Massey Production
Non-Massey CAPP Production
Note: Projection based on Energy Ventures Analysis CAPP forecast and assumed Massey
internal growth to 52 million tons by 2012
SOURCE: Energy Ventures Analysis
Execution Risk?
 Massey has endured and grown while many others have failed
 
 

 
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Execution Risk?
 Greatest risk to production is labor
 turnover/shortage
 Massey has taken proactive steps to reduce
 voluntary turnover in this strong market
 » 3-year individual employment agreements
 » Enhanced bonus and incentives
 » Best benefits package in the industry
 Voluntary quits are down 5% year-to-date
 » Voluntary quits for underground miners down 24% YTD.
 
 

 
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* Average percentage deviation of actual results compared to analyst quarterly mean estimates
for EBITDA. Measured over 8 quarters in 2006 and 2007
SOURCE: Thomson Financial
Execution Risk?
 Massey results have been more consistent with analyst
 EBITDA forecasts than most coal producers
 
 

 
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Litigation Risk?
 First place team always has a “target” on their
 back
 
 Conforming or giving in on all issues is not in
 shareholders’ best interest in the long term
 
 Massey has resources to manage known liabilities
 
 

 
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Summary
 Coal market outlook is strong
 Expansion plans are on track and accelerating
 Execution on plan will result in significant projected cash flow
 generation and growth
 Investors have not recognized full value and opportunity of
 Massey
 Massey remains focused on long-term enhancement of
 shareholder value
 
 

 
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Disclaimer
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: Certain statements in this press release are forward-looking as defined by
the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are based on facts and
conditions as they exist at the time such statements are made as well as predictions as to future facts and
conditions the accurate prediction of which may be difficult and involve the assessment of events beyond the
Company’s control. Caution must be exercised in relying on forward-looking statements including disclosures that
use words such as “believe”, “anticipate”, “expects”. Due to known and unknown risks, the Company’s actual
results may differ materially from its expectations or projections including disclosures that use words such as
“believe,” “anticipate,” “expect,” “estimate,” “intend,” “plan,” “will,” “project,” and similar statements that are subject
to risks. Factors potentially contributing to such differences include, among others: market demand for coal,
electricity and steel which could adversely affect the Company’s operating results and cash flows; future economic
or capital market conditions; deregulation of the electric utility industry; competition in coal markets; inherent risks
of coal mining beyond the Company’s control, including weather and geologic conditions; the Company’s ability to
expand mining capacity; the Company’s production capabilities; the Company’s plan and objectives for future
operations and expansion or consolidation; failure to receive anticipated new contracts; customer cancellations
of, or breaches to, existing contracts; customer delays or defaults in making payments; the Company’s ability to
manage production costs; the Company’s ability to timely obtain necessary supplies and equipment; the
Company’s ability to attract, train and retain a skilled workforce; fluctuations in the demand for, price and
availability of, coal due to labor and transportation costs and disruptions, governmental policies and regulatory
actions, legal and administrative proceedings, settlements, investigations and claims, foreign currency changes
and other factors; and greater than expected environmental and safety regulation, costs and liabilities. The
forward-looking statements are also based on various operating assumptions regarding, among other things,
overhead costs and employment levels that may not be realized. While most risks affect only future costs or
revenues anticipated by the Company, some risks might relate to accruals that have already been reflected in
earnings. The Company’s failure to receive payments of accrued amounts could result in a charge against future
earnings.
Additional information concerning these and other factors can be found in press releases as well as Massey's
public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company’s Form 10-K for the year
ended December 31, 2007, which was filed on February 29, 2008.
 
 

 
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 EBITDA is defined as income before interest and taxes, depreciation, depletion and amortization. Although EBITDA is not a measure of performance calculated in
 accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, management believes that it is useful to an investor in evaluating the company because it is widely used
 in the coal industry as a measure to evaluate a company’s operating performance before debt expense and as a measure of its cash flow. EBITDA does not purport to
 represent operating income, net income or cash generated by operating activities and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of
 performance in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. In addition, because EBITDA is not calculated identically by all companies, the
 presentation here may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliations of EBITDA can be found in the company’s earnings
 press release for the relevant periods.
 Average cash cost per ton is calculated as the sum of Cost of produced coal revenue and Selling, general and administrative expense (excluding Depreciation,
 depletion and amortization), divided by Total produced tons sold. Although Average cash cost per ton is not a measure of performance calculated in accordance
 with generally accepted accounting principles, management believes that it is useful to an investor in evaluating Massey Energy because it is widely used in the coal
 industry as a measure to evaluate a company's control over its cash costs. Average cash cost per ton should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for
 measures of performance calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. In addition, because Average cash cost per ton is not calculated
 identically by all companies, the presentation here may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliations of Average cash
 cost per ton can be found in the company’s earnings press release for the relevant periods.
 Other income is calculated as the sum of Purchased coal revenue and Other revenue less Cost of purchased coal revenue and Other expense. Although Other
 income is not a measure of performance calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, management believes that it is useful to investors
 in evaluating the Company because it is a widely used measure of gross income from non-core sources. Other income should not be considered in isolation or as a
 substitute for measures of performance in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. In addition, because Other income is not calculated identically
 by all companies, the presentation here may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliations of Other income can be found
 in the company’s earnings press release for the relevant periods.
 Operating cash margin per ton is calculated as the difference between Produced coal revenue per ton sold (Produced coal revenue divided by Total produced tons
 sold) and Average cash cost per ton (computed as noted above). Although Operating cash margin per ton is not a measure of performance calculated in accordance
 with generally accepted accounting principles, management believes that it is useful to an investor in evaluating Massey Energy because it is widely used in the coal
 industry as a measure to evaluate a company's profitability from produced tons sold. Operating cash margin per ton should not be considered in isolation or as a
 substitute for measures of performance calculated in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. In addition, because Operating cash margin per ton
 may not be calculated identically by all companies, the presentation here may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. The table
 below reconciles the generally accepted accounting principle measure of Produced coal revenue to Operating cash margin per ton. Reconciliations of Operating
 cash margin per ton can be found in the company’s earnings press release for the relevant periods.
Non-GAAP Information
 
 

 
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