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Fair Values of Assets and Liabilities
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2019
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Values of Assets and Liabilities

 Note 15      Fair Values of Assets and Liabilities

The Company uses fair value measurements for the initial recording of certain assets and liabilities, periodic remeasurement of certain assets and liabilities, and disclosures. Derivatives, trading and available-for-sale investment securities, MSRs and substantially all MLHFS are recorded at fair value on a recurring basis. Additionally, from time to time, the Company may be required to record at fair value other assets on a nonrecurring basis, such as loans held for sale, loans held for investment and certain other assets. These nonrecurring fair value adjustments typically involve application of lower-of-cost-or-fair value accounting or impairment write-downs of individual assets.

Fair value is defined as the exchange price that would be received for an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price) in the principal or most advantageous market for the asset or liability in an orderly transaction between market participants on the measurement date. A fair value measurement reflects all of the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability, including assumptions about the risk inherent in a particular valuation technique, the effect of a restriction on the sale or use of an asset and the risk of nonperformance.

The Company groups its assets and liabilities measured at fair value into a three-level hierarchy for valuation techniques used to measure financial assets and financial liabilities at fair value. This hierarchy is based on whether the valuation inputs are observable or unobservable. These levels are:

   

Level 1 — Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities. Level 1 includes U.S. Treasury securities, as well as exchange-traded instruments.

   

Level 2 — Observable inputs other than Level 1 prices, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities. Level 2 includes debt securities that are traded less frequently than exchange-traded instruments and which are typically valued using third party pricing services; derivative contracts and other assets and liabilities, including securities, whose value is determined using a pricing model with inputs that are observable in the market or can be derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data; and MLHFS whose values are determined using quoted prices for similar assets or pricing models with inputs that are observable in the market or can be corroborated by observable market data.

   

Level 3 — Unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the fair value of the assets or liabilities. Level 3 assets and liabilities include financial instruments whose values are determined using pricing models, discounted cash flow methodologies, or similar techniques, as well as instruments for which the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment or estimation. This category includes MSRs and certain derivative contracts.

Valuation Methodologies

The valuation methodologies used by the Company to measure financial assets and liabilities at fair value are described below. In addition, the following section includes an indication of the level of the fair value hierarchy in which the assets or liabilities are classified. Where appropriate, the descriptions include information about the valuation models and key inputs to those models. During the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018, there were no significant changes to the valuation techniques used by the Company to measure fair value.

Available-For-Sale Investment Securities When quoted market prices for identical securities are available in an active market, these prices are used to determine fair value and these securities are classified within Level 1 of the fair value hierarchy. Level 1 investment securities include U.S. Treasury and exchange-traded securities.

For other securities, quoted market prices may not be readily available for the specific securities. When possible, the Company determines fair value based on market observable information, including quoted market prices for similar securities, inactive transaction prices, and broker quotes. These securities are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy. Level 2 valuations are generally provided by a third party pricing service. Level 2 investment securities are predominantly agency mortgage-backed securities, certain other asset-backed securities, obligations of state and political subdivisions and agency debt securities.

Mortgage Loans Held For Sale MLHFS measured at fair value, for which an active secondary market and readily available market prices exist, are initially valued at the transaction price and are subsequently valued by comparison to instruments with similar collateral and risk profiles. MLHFS are classified within Level 2. Included in mortgage banking revenue was a net gain of $18 million and a net loss of $51 million for the three months ended March 31, 2019 and 2018, respectively, from the changes to fair value of these MLHFS under fair value option accounting guidance. Changes in fair value due to instrument specific credit risk were immaterial. Interest income for MLHFS is measured based on contractual interest rates and reported as interest income on the Consolidated Statement of Income. Electing to measure MLHFS at fair value reduces certain timing differences and better matches changes in fair value of these assets with changes in the value of the derivative instruments used to economically hedge them without the burden of complying with the requirements for hedge accounting.

Mortgage Servicing Rights MSRs are valued using a discounted cash flow methodology, and are classified within Level 3. The Company determines fair value of the MSRs by projecting future cash flows for different interest rate scenarios using prepayment rates and other assumptions, and discounts these cash flows using a risk adjusted rate based on option adjusted spread levels. There is minimal observable market activity for MSRs on comparable portfolios and, therefore, the determination of fair value requires significant management judgment. Refer to Note 7 for further information on MSR valuation assumptions.

Derivatives The majority of derivatives held by the Company are executed over-the-counter or centrally cleared through clearinghouses and are valued using market standard cash flow valuation techniques. The models incorporate inputs, depending on the type of derivative, including interest rate curves, foreign exchange rates and volatility. All derivative values incorporate an assessment of the risk of counterparty nonperformance, measured based on the Company’s evaluation of credit risk including external assessments of credit risk. The Company monitors and manages its nonperformance risk by considering its ability to net derivative positions under master netting arrangements, as well as collateral received or provided under collateral arrangements. Accordingly, the Company has elected to measure the fair value of derivatives, at a counterparty level, on a net basis. The majority of the derivatives are classified within Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy, as the significant inputs to the models, including nonperformance risk, are observable. However, certain derivative transactions are with counterparties where risk of nonperformance cannot be observed in the market and, therefore, the credit valuation adjustments result in these derivatives being classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy.

The Company also has other derivative contracts that are created through its operations, including commitments to purchase and originate mortgage loans and swap agreements executed in conjunction with the sale of a portion of its Class B common shares of Visa Inc. (the “Visa swaps”). The mortgage loan commitments are valued by pricing models that include market observable and unobservable inputs, which result in the commitments being classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. The unobservable inputs include assumptions about the percentage of commitments that actually become a closed loan and the MSR value that is inherent in the underlying loan value. The Visa swaps require payments by either the Company or the purchaser of the Visa Inc. Class B common shares when there are changes in the conversion rate of the Visa Inc. Class B common shares to Visa Inc. Class A common shares, as well as quarterly payments to the purchaser based on specified terms of the agreements. Management reviews and updates the Visa swaps fair value in conjunction with its review of Visa Inc. related litigation contingencies, and the associated escrow funding. The expected litigation resolution impacts the Visa Inc. Class B common share to Visa Inc. Class A common share conversion rate, as well as the ultimate termination date for the Visa swaps. Accordingly, the Visa swaps are classified within Level 3. Refer to Note 16 for further information on the Visa Inc. restructuring and related card association litigation.

 

Significant Unobservable Inputs of Level 3 Assets and Liabilities

The following section provides information to facilitate an understanding of the uncertainty in the fair value measurements for the Company’s Level 3 assets and liabilities recorded at fair value on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. This section includes a description of the significant inputs used by the Company and a description of any interrelationships between these inputs. The discussion below excludes nonrecurring fair value measurements of collateral value used for impairment measures for loans and OREO. These valuations utilize third party appraisal or broker price opinions, and are classified as Level 3 due to the significant judgment involved.

Mortgage Servicing Rights The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s MSRs are expected prepayments and the option adjusted spread that is added to the risk-free rate to discount projected cash flows. Significant increases in either of these inputs in isolation would have resulted in a significantly lower fair value measurement. Significant decreases in either of these inputs in isolation would have resulted in a significantly higher fair value measurement. There is no direct interrelationship between prepayments and option adjusted spread. Prepayment rates generally move in the opposite direction of market interest rates. Option adjusted spread is generally impacted by changes in market return requirements.

The following table shows the significant valuation assumption ranges for MSRs at March 31, 2019:

 

     Minimum     Maximum     Weighted
Average (a)
 

Expected prepayment

    8     18     11

Option adjusted spread

    7       10       8  

 

(a)

Determined based on the relative fair value of the related mortgage loans serviced.

Derivatives The Company has two distinct Level 3 derivative portfolios: (i) the Company’s commitments to purchase and originate mortgage loans that meet the requirements of a derivative and (ii) the Company’s asset/liability and customer-related derivatives that are Level 3 due to unobservable inputs related to measurement of risk of nonperformance by the counterparty. In addition, the Company’s Visa swaps are classified within Level 3.

The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s derivative commitments to purchase and originate mortgage loans are the percentage of commitments that actually become a closed loan and the MSR value that is inherent in the underlying loan value. A significant increase in the rate of loans that close would have resulted in a larger derivative asset or liability. A significant increase in the inherent MSR value would have resulted in an increase in the derivative asset or a reduction in the derivative liability. Expected loan close rates and the inherent MSR values are directly impacted by changes in market rates and will generally move in the same direction as interest rates.

The following table shows the significant valuation assumption ranges for the Company’s derivative commitments to purchase and originate mortgage loans at March 31, 2019:

 

     Minimum     Maximum     Weighted
Average (a)
 

Expected loan close rate

    3     100     79

Inherent MSR value (basis points per loan)

    17       202       127  

 

(a)

Determined based on the relative fair value of the related mortgage loans.

The significant unobservable input used in the fair value measurement of certain of the Company’s asset/liability and customer-related derivatives is the credit valuation adjustment related to the risk of counterparty nonperformance. A significant increase in the credit valuation adjustment would have resulted in a lower fair value measurement. A significant decrease in the credit valuation adjustment would have resulted in a higher fair value measurement. The credit valuation adjustment is impacted by changes in market rates, volatility, market implied credit spreads, and loss recovery rates, as well as the Company’s assessment of the counterparty’s credit position. At March 31, 2019, the minimum, maximum and weighted average credit valuation adjustment as a percentage of the derivative contract fair value prior to adjustment was 0 percent, 113 percent and 1 percent, respectively.

The significant unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Visa swaps are management’s estimate of the probability of certain litigation scenarios, and the timing of the resolution of the related litigation loss estimates in excess, or shortfall, of the Company’s proportional share of escrow funds. An increase in the loss estimate or a delay in the resolution of the related litigation would have resulted in an increase in the derivative liability. A decrease in the loss estimate or an acceleration of the resolution of the related litigation would have resulted in a decrease in the derivative liability.

The following table summarizes the balances of assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis:

 

(Dollars in Millions)   Level 1      Level 2      Level 3      Netting     Total  

March 31, 2019

            

Available-for-sale securities

            

U.S. Treasury and agencies

  $ 18,266      $ 653      $      $     $ 18,919  

Mortgage-backed securities

            

Residential agency

           41,879                     41,879  

Commercial agency

           2                     2  

Other asset-backed securities

           395                     395  

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

           6,918                     6,918  

Total available-for-sale

    18,266        49,847                     68,113  

Mortgage loans held for sale

           2,690                     2,690  

Mortgage servicing rights

                  2,656              2,656  

Derivative assets

           1,405        812        (872     1,345  

Other assets

    249        1,724                     1,973  

Total

  $ 18,515      $ 55,666      $ 3,468      $ (872   $ 76,777  

Derivative liabilities

  $ 8      $ 1,242      $ 357      $ (796   $ 811  

Short-term borrowings and other liabilities (a)

    189        1,283                     1,472  

Total

  $ 197      $ 2,525      $ 357      $ (796   $ 2,283  

December 31, 2018

            

Available-for-sale securities

            

U.S. Treasury and agencies

  $ 18,585      $ 672      $      $     $ 19,257  

Mortgage-backed securities

            

Residential agency

           39,752                     39,752  

Commercial agency

           2                     2  

Other asset-backed securities

           403                     403  

Obligations of state and political subdivisions

           6,701                     6,701  

Total available-for-sale

    18,585        47,530                     66,115  

Mortgage loans held for sale

           2,035                     2,035  

Mortgage servicing rights

                  2,791              2,791  

Derivative assets

           1,427        583        (942     1,068  

Other assets

    392        1,273                     1,665  

Total

  $ 18,977      $ 52,265      $ 3,374      $ (942   $ 73,674  

Derivative liabilities

  $ 1      $ 1,291      $ 503      $ (946   $ 849  

Short-term borrowings and other liabilities (a)

    199        1,019                     1,218  

Total

  $ 200      $ 2,310      $ 503      $ (946   $ 2,067  

 

Note:

Excluded from the table above are equity investments without readily determinable fair values. The Company has elected to carry these investments at historical cost, adjusted for impairment and any changes resulting from observable price changes for identical or similar investments of the issuer. The aggregate carrying amount of these equity investments was $86 million at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018. The Company has not recorded impairments or adjustments for observable price changes on these equity investments during the first three months of 2019 and 2018, or on a cumulative basis.

(a)

Primarily represents the Company’s obligation on securities sold short required to be accounted for at fair value per applicable accounting guidance.

The following table presents the changes in fair value for all assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three months ended March 31:

 

(Dollars in Millions)   Beginning
of Period
Balance
     Net Gains
(Losses)
Included in
Net Income
    Purchases      Sales     Issuances     Settlements      End
of Period
Balance
    Net Change in
Unrealized
Gains (Losses)
Relating to Assets
and Liabilities
Held at End of  Period
 

2019

                  

Mortgage servicing rights

  $ 2,791      $ (214 ) (a)    $ 1      $     $ 78  (c)    $      $ 2,656     $ (214 ) (a) 

Net derivative assets and liabilities

    80        363   (b)      1        (7           18        455       424   (d) 

2018

                  

Mortgage servicing rights

  $ 2,645      $ 33   (a)    $ 2      $     $ 100  (c)    $      $ 2,780     $ 33   (a) 

Net derivative assets and liabilities

    107        (251 ) (e)      1        (6           17        (132     (212 )  (f) 

 

(a)

Included in mortgage banking revenue.

(b)

Approximately $280 million included in other noninterest income and $83 million included in mortgage banking revenue.

(c)

Represents MSRs capitalized during the period.

(d)

Approximately $388 million included in other noninterest income and $36 million included in mortgage banking revenue.

(e)

Approximately $(271) million included in other noninterest income and $20 million included in mortgage banking revenue.

(f)

Approximately $(240) million included in other noninterest income and $28 million included in mortgage banking revenue.

 

The Company is also required periodically to measure certain other financial assets at fair value on a nonrecurring basis. These measurements of fair value usually result from the application of lower-of-cost-or-fair value accounting or write-downs of individual assets.

The following table summarizes the balances as of the measurement date of assets measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis, and still held as of the reporting date:

 

    March 31, 2019              December 31, 2018  
(Dollars in Millions)   Level 1      Level 2      Level 3      Total              Level 1      Level 2      Level 3      Total  
 

Loans (a)

  $      $      $ 247      $ 247           $      $      $ 40      $ 40  
 

Other assets (b)

                  15        15                               57        57  

 

(a)

Represents the carrying value of loans for which adjustments were based on the fair value of the collateral, excluding loans fully charged-off.

(b)

Primarily represents the fair value of foreclosed properties that were measured at fair value based on an appraisal or broker price opinion of the collateral subsequent to their initial acquisition.

The following table summarizes losses recognized related to nonrecurring fair value measurements of individual assets or portfolios for the three months ended March 31:

 

(Dollars in Millions)   2019      2018  

Loans (a)

  $ 44      $ 23  

Other assets (b)

    3        5  

 

(a)

Represents write-downs of loans which were based on the fair value of the collateral, excluding loans fully charged-off.

(b)

Primarily represents related losses of foreclosed properties that were measured at fair value subsequent to their initial acquisition.

Fair Value Option

The following table summarizes the differences between the aggregate fair value carrying amount of MLHFS for which the fair value option has been elected and the aggregate unpaid principal amount that the Company is contractually obligated to receive at maturity:

 

    March 31, 2019              December 31, 2018  
(Dollars in Millions)   Fair
Value
Carrying
Amount
     Aggregate
Unpaid
Principal
     Carrying
Amount Over
(Under) Unpaid
Principal
             Fair
Value
Carrying
Amount
     Aggregate
Unpaid
Principal
     Carrying
Amount Over
(Under) Unpaid
Principal
 

Total loans

  $ 2,690      $ 2,596      $ 94           $ 2,035      $ 1,972      $ 63  

Nonaccrual loans

    2        2                    2        2         

Loans 90 days or more past due

                                                 

Fair Value of Financial Instruments

The following section summarizes the estimated fair value for financial instruments accounted for at amortized cost as of March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018. In accordance with disclosure guidance related to fair values of financial instruments, the Company did not include assets and liabilities that are not financial instruments, such as the value of goodwill, long-term relationships with deposit, credit card, merchant processing and trust customers, other purchased intangibles, premises and equipment, deferred taxes and other liabilities. Additionally, in accordance with the disclosure guidance, receivables and payables due in one year or less, insurance contracts, equity investments not accounted for at fair value, and deposits with no defined or contractual maturities are excluded.

 

The estimated fair values of the Company’s financial instruments are shown in the table below:

 

    March 31, 2019     December 31, 2018  
    Carrying
Amount
          Fair Value            Carrying
Amount
          Fair Value  
(Dollars in Millions)   Level 1     Level 2     Level 3     Total           Level 1     Level 2     Level 3     Total  

Financial Assets

                                                                                                       

Cash and due from banks

  $ 18,115       $ 18,115     $     $     $ 18,115         $ 21,453       $ 21,453     $     $     $ 21,453  

Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements

    3,868               3,868             3,868           306               306             306  

Investment securities held-to-maturity

    46,285         4,495       41,228       12       45,735           46,050         4,594       40,359       11       44,964  

Loans held for sale (a)

    35                     35       35           21                     21       21  

Loans

    283,709                     286,873       286,873           282,837                     284,790       284,790  

Other

    2,065               1,008       1,057       2,065           2,412               1,241       1,171       2,412  
 

Financial Liabilities

                           

Time deposits

    47,051               46,912             46,912           44,554               44,140             44,140  

Short-term borrowings (b)

    13,924               13,691             13,691           12,921               12,678             12,678  

Long-term debt

    40,680               40,705             40,705           41,340               41,003             41,003  

Other

    3,463                     1,396       2,067       3,463               1,726                           1,726       1,726  

 

(a)

Excludes mortgages held for sale for which the fair value option under applicable accounting guidance was elected.

(b)

Excludes the Company’s obligation on securities sold short required to be accounted for at fair value per applicable accounting guidance.

The fair value of unfunded commitments, deferred non-yield related loan fees, standby letters of credit and other guarantees is approximately equal to their carrying value. The carrying value of unfunded commitments, deferred non-yield related loan fees and standby letters of credit was $526 million and $532 million at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively. The carrying value of other guarantees was $288 million and $263 million at March 31, 2019 and December 31, 2018, respectively.