EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm THIRD QUARTER 2009 CREDIT TRENDS Third Quarter 2009 Credit Trends
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
3Q09 Credit Trends
October 22, 2009
Please refer to earnings release dated October 22, 2009
for full results including those reported on a U.S. GAAP basis
Exhibit 99.3


2
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Total net charge-offs YTD 2009 were
$1.9B, much lower than the assumption
under the SCAP adverse scenario
Loan losses are not expected to approach
the losses assumed under the SCAP
adverse scenario
Through four of eight quarters, we
currently expect to have incurred
approximately 28% of total assumed
losses under the adverse scenario
$1.9
2009 YTD
FITB
SCAP Adverse Scenario
Net charge-offs ($B)
$9.1
Net loan losses vs. SCAP adverse scenario
2009 FY


3
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Credit by portfolio*
C&I
33%
Home equity
11%
Card
6%
Commercial
construction
17%
Commercial
mortgage
16%
Residential
mortgage
12%
Auto
4%
Other
consumer
1%
Net charge-offs by loan type
Net charge-offs by geography
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale.
MI
20%
FL
25%
KY
5%
NC
1%
IN
5%
OH
16%
IL
10%
TN
1%
Other / National
17%
($ in millions)
C&I
Commercial
mortgage
Commercial
construction
Commercial
lease
Total
commercial
Residential
mortgage
Home equity
Auto
Credit card
Other
consumer
Total consumer
Total loans &
leases
Loan balances
$26,175
$12,105
$4,147
$3,584
$46,011
$8,229
$12,377
$8,972
$1,973
$857
$32,408
$78,419
% of total
33%
15%
5%
5%
59%
10%
16%
11%
3%
1%
41%
NPAs
$790
$968
$751
$51
$2,560
$484
$72
$23
$80
$1
$660
$3,220
NPA ratio
3.02%
8.00%
18.11%
1.43%
5.56%
5.89%
0.58%
0.25%
4.07%
0.10%
2.04%
4.09%
Net charge-offs
$256
$118
$126
$0
$500
$92
$80
$34
$45
$5
$256
$756
Net charge-off ratio
3.70%
3.82%
11.56%
-0.04%
4.17%
4.38%
2.54%
1.52%
9.08%
2.62%
3.13%
3.75%


4
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Portfolio performance drivers
Performance Largely Driven By
No Participation In
Discontinued or Suspended Lending
* Residential construction-related consumer mortgages intended to be held in portfolio until permanent financing complete. Jumbo mortgage originations currently
being held due to market conditions.
Geography
Florida and Michigan most stressed
Remaining Midwest and Southeast performance 
reflect economic trends
Products
Homebuilder/developer charge-offs $108 million in
3Q09
Total charge-off ratio 3.7% (3.3% ex-HBs)
Commercial charge-off ratio 4.2% (3.4% ex-
HBs)
Brokered home equity charge-offs 6.0% in 3Q09
Direct home equity portfolio 1.9%
3Q09 NCO Ratios
Coml
Cons
Total
FL/MI
6.6%
5.6%
6.1%
Other
3.3%
2.2%
2.9%
Subprime
Option ARMs
Discontinued in 2007
Brokered home equity ($2.0B)
Suspended in 2008
Homebuilder/residential development ($1.8B)
Other non-owner occupied commercial RE
excluding homebuilder/developer ($8.2B)
Saleability
All mortgages originated for intended sale*
Total
4.2%
3.1%
3.7%


5
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Non-performing assets and net charge-offs:
Product view*
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on loans sold or transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
During 1Q09 the Bancorp modified its nonaccrual policy to exclude TDR loans less than 90 days past due because they were performing in accordance with restructured
terms. For comparability purposes, prior periods were adjusted to reflect this reclassification.
Total NPAs
Total NCOs
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
C&I/Lease
Auto/Other
CRE
Res RE
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
C&I/Lease
Auto/Other
CRE
Res RE


6
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Other SE
National
Other MW
Michigan
Florida
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Other SE
National
Other MW
Michigan
Florida
Total NPAs
Total NCOs
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on loans sold or transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
During 1Q09 the Bancorp modified its nonaccrual policy to exclude TDR loans less than 90 days past due because they were performing in accordance with restructured
terms. For comparability purposes, prior periods were adjusted to reflect this reclassification.
Non-performing assets and net charge-offs:
Geographic view*


7
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Nonperforming assets*
Total NPAs of $3.2B
Homebuilder/developer NPAs of $600M;
represent 19% of total NPAs
Commercial NPAs of $2.6B; growth driven by 
CRE, particularly in MI and FL
Consumer NPAs of $660M; up 5% from the  
previous quarter
16%
9%
16%
9%
5%
1%
12%
16%
16%
12%
17%
48%
1%
1%
7%
3%
4%
7%
21%
9%
10%
5%
2%
7%
7%
39%
17%
6%
10%
2%
9%
5%
31%
2%
18%
C&I^ (26%)
CRE (54%)
Residential (17%)
Other Consumer (3%)
Residential
$556M
17%
C&I*
$841M
26%
Other
$104M
3%
CRE
$1.7B
54%
^ C&I includes commercial lease
ILLINOIS
INDIANA
FLORIDA
TENNESSEE
KENTUCKY
OHIO
MICHIGAN
NORTH
CAROLINA
OTHER /
NATIONAL
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale.


8
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Commercial & industrial*
Loans by geography
Credit trends
Loans by industry
Comments
18%
of
3Q09
losses
on
loans
to
auto
dealers
and
companies
in
real estate related industries
Loans to auto dealers of $1.2B, of which $0.8B are C&I  
loans; YTD NCO ratio on C&I portion: 6.8%
Loans to real estate related industries of $3.5B; YTD
NCO ratio of 3.8%
Low exposure to FL (7% of loans, 7% of losses in 3Q09)
Shared
National
Credit
losses
of
$60
million
in
3Q09
versus
$17
million in 2Q09
OH
22%
IN
7%
Other
25%
NC
1%
TN
3%
IL
13%
KY
6%
FL
7%
MI
16%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on loans sold or
transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
Auto Retailers
3%
Wholesale
Trade
7%
Other
36%
Real Estate
8%
Manufacturing
19%
Finance &
Insurance
15%
Auto
Manufacturing
2%
Construction
5%
Retail Trade
3%
Accomodation
2%
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$29,424
$29,197
$28,617
$28,409
$26,175
90+ days delinquent
$108
$76
$131
$142
$256
as % of loans
0.37%
0.26%
0.46%
0.50%
0.98%
NPAs
$557
$548
$675
$634
$790
as % of loans
1.89%
1.88%
2.36%
2.23%
3.02%
Net charge-offs
$85
$151
$103
$177
$256
as % of loans
1.19%
5.03%
1.45%
2.53%
3.70%
C&I


9
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Commercial mortgage*
Accomodation
3%
Retail Trade
4%
Construction
10%
Auto
Manufacturing
0%
Finance &
Insurance
1%
Manufacturing
4%
Real Estate
52%
Other
21%
Wholesale
Trade
2%
Auto Retailers
3%
Loans by geography
Credit trends
Loans by industry
Comments
Owner occupied YTD NCO ratio of 1.6%, other non-owner
occupied YTD NCO ratio of 6.1%
In 4Q08 reduced concentrations in most stressed markets (FL
and MI)
Loans
from
FL/MI
represented
55%
of
total
losses
in
3Q09,
39%
of total loans
OH
28%
IN
7%
NC
7%
IL
10%
KY
4%
TN
2%
Other
3%
FL
13%
MI
26%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on loans sold or
transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$13,355
$12,502
$12,560
$12,407
$12,105
90+ days delinquent
$157
$136
$124
$131
$184
as % of loans
1.17%
1.09%
0.99%
1.06%
1.52%
NPAs
$749
$502
$718
$791
$968
as % of loans
5.61%
4.02%
5.72%
6.37%
8.00%
Net charge-offs
$94
$151
$77
$85
$118
as % of loans
2.82%
2.84%
2.50%
2.73%
3.82%
Commercial mortgage


10
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Commercial construction*
Accomodation
1%
Auto Retailers
1%
Finance &
insurance
3%
Construction
35%
Manufacturing
1%
Real estate
46%
Retail Trade
1%
Other
11%
Wholesale
Trade
1%
Loans by geography
Credit trends
Loans by industry
Comments
Declining valuations in residential and land developments
In 4Q08 reduced concentrations in most stressed markets
(Florida and Michigan)
Continued stress expected through 2009
OH
29%
IN
7%
IL
9%
KY
3%
TN
4%
NC
8%
Other
6%
FL
19%
MI
15%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on
loans sold or transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$6,002
$5,114
$4,745
$4,491
$4,147
90+ days delinquent
$84
$73
$49
$60
$168
as % of loans
1.40%
1.44%
1.02%
1.34%
4.04%
NPAs
$659
$400
$597
$735
$751
as % of loans
10.98%
7.82%
12.59%
16.36%
18.11%
Net charge-offs
$88
$151
$76
$79
$126
as % of loans
5.71%
10.00%
6.21%
6.76%
11.56%
Commercial construction


11
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Homebuilders/developers*
Loans by geography
Credit trends
Loans by industry
Comments
Making no new loans to builder/developer sector
Residential & land valuations under continued stress
4% of commercial loans; 2% of total loans
Balance by product approximately 46% Construction, 
41% Mortgage, 13% C&I
MI
19%
OH
25%
IN
6%
IL
5%
KY
3%
TN
5%
NC
16%
Other
3%
FL
18%
C&I
13%
Commercial
construction
46%
Commercial
mortgage
41%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale. Net charge-offs exclude losses on
loans sold or transferred to held-for-sale in 4Q08.
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$3,065
$2,481
$2,322
$2,102
$1,846
90+ days delinquent
$105
$74
$37
$53
$79
as % of loans
3.41%
2.98%
1.59%
2.51%
4.29%
NPAs
$702
$366
$554
$613
$600
as % of loans
22.89%
14.74%
23.87%
29.14%
32.51%
Net charge-offs
$163
$128
$64
$76
$108
as % of loans
19.75%
19.71%
10.73%
14.06%
21.92%
Homebuilders/developers


12
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Residential mortgage
1
liens: 100% ; weighted average LTV: 78%
Weighted average origination FICO: 727
Origination FICO distribution:  <660 10%; 660-689 8%; 690-719
12%;
720-749
13%;
750+
30%;
Other
^
27%
(note: loans <660 includes CRA loans and FHA/VA loans)
Origination LTV distribution: <=70 26%; 70.1-80 41%; 80.1-90
11%; 90.1-95 5%; >95% 17%
Vintage distribution: 2009 3%; 2008 14%; 2007 17%; 2006 16%;
2005 26%; 2004 and prior 24%
% through broker: 13%; performance similar to direct
Loans by geography
Credit trends
Portfolio details
Comments
29% FL concentration driving 66% of total losses
FL lots ($299M) running at 32% annualized loss rate (YTD)
Mortgage company originations targeting 95% salability
OH
23%
IN
5%
KY
4%
NC
6%
Other
9%
FL
29%
TN
2%
MI
14%
IL
8%
^ Includes acquired loans where FICO at origination is not available
During 1Q09 the Bancorp modified its nonaccrual policy to exclude TDR loans less than 90 days past due because they were performing in accordance with restructured
terms. For comparability purposes, prior periods were adjusted to reflect this reclassification.
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$9,351
$9,385
$8,875
$8,489
$8,229
90+ days delinquent
$185
$198
$231
$242
$198
as % of loans
1.98%
2.11%
2.60%
2.85%
2.41%
NPAs
$339
$397
$475
$475
$484
as % of loans
3.62%
4.23%
5.35%
5.59%
5.89%
Net charge-offs
$77
$68
$75
$112
$92
as % of loans
3.16%
2.90%
3.27%
5.17%
4.38%
Residential mortgage
st


13
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Home equity
1
liens:
25%;
2
liens:
75%
Weighted average origination FICO: 757
Origination FICO distribution: <660 4%; 660-689 8%; 690-719 13%; 720-749
17%; 750+ 48%; Other 10%
Weighted
average
CLTV:
76%
(1
liens
61%;
2
liens
82%)
Origination
CLTV distribution: <=70 37%; 70.1-80 21%; 80.1-90 18%; 90.1-95 8%; >95
16%
Vintage distribution: 2009 4%; 2008 12%; 2007 12%; 2006 17%; 2005 16%;
2004 and prior 39%
% through broker channels: 16% WA FICO: 739 brokered, 760 direct; WA
CLTV: 90% brokered; 73% direct
Portfolio details
Comments
Brokered loans by geography
Direct loans by geography
Credit trends
Approximately 16% of portfolio concentration in broker product driving
approximately 38% total loss
Portfolio
experiencing
increased
loss
severity
(losses
on
2
liens
approximately 100%)
Aggressive home equity line management strategies in place
Note: Brokered and direct home equity net charge-off ratios are calculated based on end of period loan balances
^ Includes acquired loans where FICO at origination is not available
MI
21%
OH
32%
IN
9%
IL
12%
KY
9%
Other
1%
FL
9%
NC
5%
TN
2%
MI
21%
OH
25%
IN
10%
IL
11%
KY
7%
Other
20%
FL
3%
NC
1%
TN
2%
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$10,232
$10,439
$10,486
$10,386
$10,349
90+ days delinquent
$41
$58
$61
$63
$66
as % of loans
0.40%
0.55%
0.59%
0.61%
0.64%
Net charge-offs
$26
$27
$42
$49
$49
as % of loans
1.00%
1.04%
1.62%
1.91%
1.89%
Home equity - direct
($ in millions)
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
Balance
$2,368
$2,313
$2,225
$2,125
$2,028
90+ days delinquent
$31
$37
$42
$34
$38
as % of loans
1.33%
1.58%
1.91%
1.58%
1.87%
Net charge-offs
$30
$26
$30
$39
$30
as % of loans
5.05%
4.52%
5.46%
7.41%
5.96%
Home equity - brokered
st
st
nd
nd
nd


14
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Florida market*
Deterioration in real estate values having effect on credit trends as evidenced by increasing NPA/NCOs in real estate related products
Homebuilders, developers tied to
weakening real estate market
Increasing severity of loss due to
significant declines in valuations
Valuations; relatively small home
equity portfolio
21%
20%
10%
30%
12%
6%
1%
COML
MORTGAGE
C&I
RESI
MORTGAGE
OTHER
CONS
COML
CONST
COML
LEASE
HOME
EQUITY
AUTO
CREDIT
CARD
Total Loans
NPAs
NCOs
29%
28%
27%
15%
1%
10%
20%
24%
32%
1%
2%
8%
3%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale.
($ in millions)
Loans
(bn)
% of
FITB
NPAs
(mm)
% of
FITB
NCOs
(mm)
% of
FITB
Commercial loans
1.7
       
7%
135
      
17%
19
        
7%
Commercial mortgage
1.6
       
13%
265
      
27%
37
        
31%
Commercial construction
0.8
       
19%
245
      
33%
45
        
35%
Commercial lease
0.0
       
1%
2
          
5%
-
       
0%
Commercial
4.1
       
9%
647
      
25%
101
      
20%
Mortgage
2.4
       
29%
261
      
54%
61
        
66%
Home equity
1.0
       
8%
8
          
11%
16
        
20%
Auto
0.5
       
5%
2
          
10%
4
          
12%
Credit card
0.1
       
6%
4
          
6%
6
          
13%
Other consumer
0.0
       
2%
0
          
25%
1
          
9%
Consumer
4.0
       
12%
275
      
42%
88
        
34%
Total
8.1
       
10%
922
      
29%
189
      
25%


15
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Michigan market*
Deterioration in home price values coupled with weak economy impacting credit trends due to frequency of defaults and severity
Homebuilders, developers tied to
weak real estate market
Negative impact from housing
valuations, economy,
unemployment
Economic weakness impacts
commercial real estate market
33%
4%
7%
19%
1%
24%
9%
1%
2%
COML
MORTGAGE
C&I
RESI
MORTGAGE
OTHER
CONS
COML
CONST
COML
LEASE
HOME
EQUITY
AUTO
CREDIT
CARD
Total Loans
NPAs
NCOs
7%
12%
3%
1%
40%
18%
6%
13%
25%
38%
18%
1%
4%
1%
9%
4%
* NPAs exclude loans held-for-sale.
($ in millions)
Loans
(bn)
% of
FITB
NPAs
(mm)
% of
FITB
NCOs
(mm)
% of
FITB
Commercial loans
4.3
       
16%
127
      
16%
62
        
24%
Commercial mortgage
3.1
       
26%
202
      
21%
28
        
24%
Commercial construction
0.6
       
15%
92
        
12%
19
        
15%
Commercial lease
0.2
       
7%
6
          
12%
-
       
0%
Commercial
8.2
       
18%
427
      
17%
109
      
22%
Mortgage
1.2
       
14%
47
        
10%
10
        
11%
Home equity
2.6
       
21%
21
        
30%
18
        
22%
Auto
1.0
       
11%
3
          
15%
4
          
10%
Credit card
0.3
       
17%
19
        
23%
9
          
19%
Other consumer
0.1
       
8%
0
          
6%
1
          
14%
Consumer
5.2
       
16%
90
        
14%
42
        
16%
Total
13.4
     
17%
517
      
16%
151
      
20%


16
Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Cautionary statement
This
report
may
contain
statements
that
we
believe
are
“forward-looking
statements”
within
the
meaning
of
Section
27A
of
the
Securities
Act of 1933, as amended, and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended,
and Rule 3b-6 promulgated thereunder. These statements relate to our financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future
performance
or
business.
They
usually
can
be
identified
by
the
use
of
forward-looking
language
such
as
“will
likely
result,”
“may,”
“are
expected to,”
“is anticipated,”
“estimate,”
“forecast,”
“projected,”
“intends to,”
or may include other similar words or phrases such as
“believes,”
“plans,”
“trend,”
“objective,”
“continue,”
“remain,”
or
similar
expressions,
or
future
or
conditional
verbs
such
as
“will,”
“would,”
“should,”
“could,”
“might,”
“can,”
or similar verbs. You should not place undue reliance on these statements, as they are subject to risks and
uncertainties,
including
but
not
limited
to
the
risk
factors
set
forth
in
our
most
recent
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
and
our
most
recent
quarterly report on Form 10-Q. When considering these forward-looking statements, you should keep in mind these risks and
uncertainties,
as
well
as
any
cautionary
statements
we
may
make.
Moreover,
you
should
treat
these
statements
as
speaking
only
as
of
the
date they are made and based only on information then actually known to us.
There are a number of important factors that could cause future results to differ materially from historical performance and these forward-
looking statements. Factors that might cause such a difference include, but are not limited to: (1) general economic conditions and
weakening in the economy, specifically the real estate market, either nationally or in the states in which Fifth Third, one or more acquired
entities and/or the combined company do business, are less favorable than expected; (2) deteriorating credit quality; (3) political
developments, wars or other hostilities may disrupt or increase volatility in securities markets or other economic conditions; (4) changes in
the interest rate environment reduce interest margins; (5) prepayment speeds, loan origination and sale volumes, charge-offs and loan
loss provisions; (6) Fifth Third’s ability to maintain required capital levels and adequate sources of funding and liquidity; (7) maintaining
capital requirements may limit Fifth Third’s operations and potential growth; (8) changes and trends in capital markets; (9) problems
encountered by larger or similar financial institutions may adversely affect the banking industry and/or Fifth Third (10) competitive
pressures
among
depository
institutions
increase
significantly;
(11)
effects
of
critical
accounting
policies
and
judgments;
(12)
changes
in
accounting policies or procedures as may be required by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) or other regulatory agencies;
(13)
legislative
or
regulatory
changes
or
actions,
or
significant
litigation,
adversely
affect
Fifth
Third,
one
or
more
acquired
entities
and/or
the
combined
company
or
the
businesses
in
which
Fifth
Third,
one
or
more
acquired
entities
and/or
the
combined
company
are
engaged;
(14)
ability
to
maintain
favorable
ratings
from
rating
agencies;
(15)
fluctuation
of
Fifth
Third’s
stock
price;
(16)
ability
to
attract
and
retain
key personnel; (17) ability to receive dividends from its subsidiaries; (18) potentially dilutive effect of future acquisitions on current
shareholders’
ownership of Fifth Third; (19) effects of accounting or financial results of one or more acquired entities; (20)  lower than
expected gains related to any sale or potential sale of businesses; (21) difficulties in separating Fifth Third Processing Solutions from Fifth
Third; (22) loss of income from any sale or potential sale of businesses that could have an adverse effect on Fifth Third’s earnings and
future growth;(23) ability to secure confidential information through the use of computer systems and telecommunications networks; and
(24)
the
impact
of
reputational
risk
created
by
these
developments
on
such
matters
as
business
generation
and
retention,
funding
and
liquidity.
You
should
refer
to
our
periodic
and
current
reports
filed
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission,
or
“SEC,”
for
further
information
on other factors which could cause actual results to be significantly different from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking
statements.