EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm WEBSITE PRESENTATION DATED MAY 7, 2009 Website presentation dated May 7, 2009
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Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
Supervisory Capital Assessment Program
Results and Information
May 7, 2009
The SCAP scenarios do not constitute a forecast or otherwise reflect Fifth Third’s outlook for 2009 or 2010 expected results.
This assessment was a "what-if" exercise intended to help supervisors gauge the extent of additional capital needs
across a range of potential economic outcomes.
Results reflect a requirement to change the composition of capital to build a buffer under an economic scenario that
is more adverse than expected.
Please refer to the cautionary statement on page 9, which contains important information regarding certain forward-looking
information and risk factors related to current and future results.
Exhibit 99.2


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Summary –
Supervisory Capital Assessment Program (SCAP)
Fifth Third does not require additional overall capital; Fifth Third is committed to improve composition of capital
Fifth Third committed to strengthen Tier 1 common equity by a net amount of $1.1 billion
Pending processing joint venture reduced requirement by $1.6 billion
$1.2 billion in expected Tier 1 common equity benefit in 2Q09
$0.4 billion in absorption of assumed disallowed deferred tax assets related to future assumed losses
under the more adverse scenario through December 2010
$0.1 billion in pre-provision net revenue (PPNR) reduction under SCAP assessment, largely reflecting previously
disclosed effect of $92 million in one-time items reducing PPNR in 1Q09
Gross requirement of $2.6 billion before inclusion of above items
Tier 1 capital and total capital ratios expected to remain well above regulatory well-capitalized thresholds and above
Fifth Third target levels even under more adverse scenarios and without reflecting the benefit of further capital actions
Tier 1 common equity ratio currently expected to remain well above 4% under more likely conditions
Fifth Third does not expect to access additional government capital programs
Variety of private market options available to increase Tier 1 common equity
As
soon
as
practicable
and
subject
to
regulatory
approval,
Fifth
Third
expects
to
redeem
Capital
Purchase
Program
(CPP) preferred stock determined to be in excess of our Tier 1 target range of 8%-9%
Fifth Third has pro-actively addressed capital
In June 2008, Fifth Third established a capital plan based on the possibility that 2009 economic conditions and loan
losses could be worse than 2008 expectations. We have since acted to implement all three elements of the plan –
raising $1.1 billion of convertible preferred equity, reducing our common stock dividend, and agreeing to partner with
Advent International to create a processing joint venture
Fifth
Third’s
1Q09
credit
results
and
current
2Q09
expectations
both
reflect
significantly
better
Tier
1
common
equity
and loan loss experience than assumed under the more adverse scenario for 1H09
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.


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Fifth Third Bank | All Rights Reserved
SCAP objectives and methodology
Designed to evaluate the level and quality of capital to be maintained over specified economic scenarios through 2010
Capital standards applied consistently to all banks
Measured
against
existing
regulatory
capital
standards
as
well
as
a
new
standard,
“Tier
1
common
equity,”
determined
to be 4% of risk-weighted assets
Tier 1 common equity defined as Tier 1 capital, less preferred stock, qualifying trust preferred stock and other capital
elements less pertinent to Fifth Third; also excludes deferred tax assets that do not meet Tier 1 guidelines
SCAP methodology
Forward looking process to evaluate 2009, 2010 resources to absorb losses, loan losses and ending reserve for loan
losses using the following macroeconomic assumptions
Loan pool loss factors were compared with government guidance
Losses
absorbed
by:
pre-provision
net
revenue
(PPNR),
reserve
for
loan
and
lease
losses,
existing
Tier
1
common
equity and activities benefiting capital not reflected in 1Q09 results
Fifth
Third
believes
it
is
further
along
than
many
peers
in
loss
recognition,
given
early
loss
experience
in
our
geographies
and
aggressive actions including our fourth quarter 2008 credit actions, which we expect to be reflected in lower future potential
for loss
SCAP white paper: “While…approach likely captures the bulk of the losses that might be realized on these assets, it is
important to note that it does not include the substantial losses that have already been taken.”
Fifth
Third
believes
the
losses
it
and
supervisors
assumed
for
the
more
adverse
scenario
were
very
conservative
and
unlikely to occur
2009
2010
2009
2010
Unemployment
8.4%
8.8%
8.9%
10.3%
Real GDP growth
(2.0%)
2.1%
(3.3%)
0.5%
Housing prices
(14%)
(4%)
(22%)
(7%)
Baseline scenario
More adverse scenario
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.


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SCAP disclosure table: Fifth Third
At December 31, 2008
$ Billions
As % of RWA
Tier 1 Capital
$11.9
10.6%
Tier 1 Common Equity
$4.9
4.4%
Risk-Weighted Assets
$112.6
Memo: UST Preferred Equity
$3.4
Estimated for 2009 and 2010 for the More Adverse Scenario
$ Billions
As % of loans
$ Billions
As annualized
% of loans
$ Billions
As annualized
% of loans
Total Estimated Losses (Before purchase accounting adjustments)
$9.1
$1.6
3.7%
$1.1
2.7%
First Lien Mortgages
$1.1
10.3%
$0.2
4.4%
Second/Junior Lien Mortgages
$1.1
8.7%
$0.2
2.8%
Commercial and Industrial Loans
$2.8
11.0%
$0.4
3.5%
Commercial Real Estate Loans
$2.9
13.9%
$0.5
4.8%
Credit Card Loans
$0.4
22.3%
$0.1
7.3%
Securities (AFS and HTM)
$0.05
NA
NA
Trading & Counterparty
NA
NA
NA
Other
$0.9
NA
$0.2
2.2%
Memo: Purchase Accounting Adjustments
NA
Resources Other Than Capital to Absorb Losses
$5.5
SCAP Buffer Added for More Adverse Scenario
(SCAP Buffer is defined as additional Tier 1 common/contingent common)
Indicated SCAP buffer as of December 31, 2008
$2.6
Less: Capital Actions and Effects of Q1 2009 Results
$1.5
SCAP Buffer
$1.1
1H09 more adverse scenario
1H09 actual/forecast
Supplementary information regarding Fifth Third's submission
Supervisory Capital Assessment Program
Estimates for Fifth Third Bancorp for the More Adverse Economic Scenario
Fifth Third Bancorp
More Adverse Scenario
The estimates below represent a hypothetical "what-if" scenario that involves an economic outcome that is more
adverse than expected. These estimates are not forecasts of expected losses or revenues.
Includes assumed ending 2010 allowance of 3% of loans
Benefit from processing joint venture: $1.6 billion
Tier 1 common equity benefit from closing of transaction: $1.2
billion
Absorption of assumed disallowed deferred tax assets under more
adverse scenario: $0.4 billion
Negative effect of previously disclosed one-time items reducing PPNR:
($0.1 billion)
(1)
Includes other consumer and non-consumer loans and miscellaneous commitments and obligations
(2)
Resources
to
absorb
losses
include
pre-provision
net
revenue
less
the
change
in
the
allowance
for
loans
and
lease
losses
(3)
Capital Actions include completed or contracted transactions since Q4:2008
Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding
Fifth Third’s forecast losses through
1H09 –
one-quarter of the
assessment period –represent only
12% of losses assumed under
SCAP more adverse scenario for
two-year period
Fifth Third does not expect loan
loss rates to approach levels
indicated under the SCAP more
adverse scenario
(a) Represents Fifth Third’s assumed losses for 1H09 under SCAP economic assumptions provided
for more adverse
scenario.
Supervisory
estimates
of
more
adverse
scenario
losses
were
not
allocated
by period.
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.
2
3
(a)
1


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Capital planning assumptions
$1.1 billion of incremental Tier 1 common equity, required to bring Tier 1 common equity ratio to 4% under
more adverse scenario
Regulatory
capital
levels
would
remain
well
above
“well-capitalized”
levels
Institutions have six months to achieve capital commitment through private market transactions or through
contingent common equity provided by the U.S. Treasury
Capital requirement of $1.1 billion expected to be met by private market alternatives available to Fifth
Third
Mandatory convertible preferred security is available to bank holding companies as a backstop to private
alternatives
If necessary, institutions have until November 9, 2009 to utilize this program to provide backstop to
private capital activities
Instrument provided to eligible banking organizations would be in the form of preferred stock that is
convertible into common equity
Fifth Third does not currently expect to issue this instrument and, if issued, would not expect it to
convert during two-year par purchase period under the expectation that the more adverse scenario is
not likely
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.


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Tier 1 common equity private market alternatives
A number of viable private market alternatives are available that, if pursued and successful, would provide
sources for increasing Tier 1 common equity
Currently
expect
results
to
be
significantly
better
than
assumed
under
the
more
adverse
scenario,
which
we expect to further support ability to address capital improvement opportunities in the future, including
future repayment of CPP preferred stock
Actions will be evaluated in the context of Fifth Third’s expected financial results, effect on financial
results, internal capital targets, and regulatory capital standards
Potential available options include:
Sale of certain non-strategic assets
Unrecognized gains in shares held in publicly traded companies
Sale of available-for-sale securities with current unrealized gains
Transactions involving issuance of cash, common stock or other securities in exchange for outstanding
securities of Fifth Third
E.g., Series G convertible preferred shares, trust preferred shares, subordinated debt
Pursuing
such
transactions
will
be
based
upon
market
conditions,
the
price
of
the
securities
issued or redeemed, the amount of such securities that may be redeemed for a mutually
acceptable price, and other factors including the cost and dilution of such actions and potential
regulatory approval requirements
Potential dilution expected to be moderate
To the extent common stock is utilized, current expectations would be for such activities to result in an
incremental
potential
increase
to
Fifth
Third’s
common
share
count
of
up
to
50-100
million
shares*
(not
including
the
effect
of
any
conversion
of
shares
of
a
maximum
96
million
shares
at
a
price
of
$11.575
that already underlie Series G convertible preferred stock)
* Based on May 6, 2009 closing price of $5.28
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.


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Capital targets
Expect to exceed 4% minimum Tier 1 common ratio for as long as the standard may apply
Expect
Tier
1
common
to
remain
above
5%
throughout
2009,
without
including
the
effect
of
our
capital
actions
Establishing tangible common equity to risk-weighted assets (TCE/RWA) target of 5-6%
Excludes unrealized securities gains and losses; includes GAAP deferred tax assets
Expect TCE/RWA to remain above 5% throughout 2009, without including the effect of our capital actions
Withdrawing target for tangible equity to tangible assets ratio given its reduced relevance with respect to evolving
market expectations and regulatory standards
Fifth Third capital targets, current capital levels and assumed capital levels under the SCAP more adverse
scenario:
* JV: pro forma for processing joint venture expected to close in 2Q09
** Before effect of capital actions in next six months
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.
"Well-capitalized"
minimum
Target
3/31/09 (JV*)
SCAP more adverse
scenario 2010**
Effect of capital
actions in next
six months
Tier 1 common equity ratio
>4%
>4%       
4.5%  (5.5%)
3.1%
~+1%
TCE/RWA
NA
5% -
6% 
4.5%  (5.5%)
3.2%
~+1%
Tier 1 capital
6%
8% -
9%       
10.9%  (11.9%)
9.4%
minimal change
Total capital
10%
11.5% -
12.5%       
15.1%  (16.0%)
13.6%
minimal change


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Reg
G reconciliation
This ratio has been included to facilitate a greater understanding of Fifth Third's capital structure and
financial condition.
3/31/2009
Total shareholders' equity (GAAP)
$12,102
Less: Preferred stock (GAAP)
$4,252
Less: Goodwill (GAAP)
$2,623
Less: Intangible Assets (GAAP)
$154
Less: Accumulated other comprehensive income (GAAP)
$151
Tangible Common Equity excluding unrealized gains/losses
$4,922
Risk-Weighted Assets
$109,087
Tangible Common Equity (excluding unrealized gains/losses) / Risk-Weighted Assets
4.51%
These scenarios do not constitute forecasts. Please refer to cautionary statement regarding forward looking statements on page 9.


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Cautionary statement
This report may contain forward-looking statements about Fifth Third Bancorp within the meaning of Sections 27A of the Securities Act of
1933, as amended, and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Rule 3b-6
promulgated thereunder, that involve inherent risks and uncertainties. This report may contain certain forward-looking statements with respect
to the financial condition, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business of Fifth Third Bancorp including statements
preceded by, followed by or that include the words or phrases such as “believes,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “plans,” “trend,” “scenario,”
“objective,” “continue,” “remain” or similar expressions or future or conditional verbs such as “will,” “would,” “should,” “could,” “might,” “can,”
“may” or similar expressions. There are a number of important factors that could cause future results to differ materially from historical
performance and these forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause such a difference include, but are not limited to: (1) general
economic conditions and weakening in the economy, specifically the real estate market, either national or in the states in which Fifth Third
does business are less favorable than expected; (2) deteriorating credit quality; (3) political developments, wars or other hostilities may disrupt
or increase volatility in securities markets or other economic conditions; (4) changes in the interest rate environment reduce interest margins;
(5) prepayment speeds, loan origination and sale volumes, charge-offs and loan loss provisions; (6) Fifth Third’s ability to maintain required
capital levels and adequate sources of funding and liquidity; (7) maintaining capital requirements may limit Fifth Third’s operations and
potential growth; (8) changes and trends in capital markets; (9) problems encountered by larger or similar financial institutions may adversely
affect the banking industry and/or Fifth Third (10) competitive pressures among depository institutions increase significantly; (11) effects of
critical accounting policies and judgments; (12) changes in accounting policies or procedures as may be required by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB) or other regulatory agencies; (13) legislative or regulatory changes or actions, or significant litigation, adversely affect
Fifth Third or the businesses in which it is engaged; (14) ability to maintain favorable ratings from rating agencies; (15) fluctuation of Fifth
Third’s stock price; (16) ability to attract and retain key personnel; (17) ability to receive dividends from its subsidiaries; (18) potentially dilutive
effect of future acquisitions on current shareholders' ownership of Fifth Third; (19) effects of accounting or financial results of one or more
acquired entities; (20) difficulties in combining the operations of acquired entities; (21) lower than expected gains related to any potential sale
of businesses; (22) the failure to consummate the sale of a majority interest in Fifth Third’s merchant acquiring and financial institutions
processing business (the “Processing Business”) or difficulties in separating the Processing Businesses from Fifth Third; (23) loss of income
from any potential sale of businesses that could have an adverse effect on Fifth Third’s earnings and future growth; (24) ability to secure
confidential information through the use of computer systems and telecommunications networks; and (25) the impact of reputational risk
created by these developments on such matters as business generation and retention, funding and liquidity. Additional information concerning
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements is available in the
Bancorp's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008, filed with the United States Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) and in certain quarterly and current reports on Form 10-Q and Form 8-K subsequently filed with the SEC. Copies of this
filing are available at no cost on the SEC's Web site at www.sec.gov or on the Fifth Third’s Web site at www.53.com. Fifth Third undertakes no
obligation to release revisions to these forward-looking statements or reflect events or circumstances after the date of this report.