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Fair Values of Financial Instruments
9 Months Ended
Sep. 27, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Values of Financial Instruments Fair Values of Financial Instruments
GAAP requires assets and liabilities carried at fair value to be classified and disclosed in one of the following categories:

Level 1: Quoted market prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities.
Level 2: Observable market-based inputs or unobservable inputs that are corroborated by market data.
Level 3: Unobservable inputs that are not corroborated by market data.

The below methods and assumptions were used by the Company in estimating the fair values of its financial instruments. There were no transfers of assets or liabilities between levels in any period presented.

Financial Instrument
Fair Value
Level
Methods and Assumptions
Deferred compensation plan assets and liabilitiesLevel 1The fair value of the Company’s nonqualified deferred compensation plan for certain executives and other highly compensated employees is based on the fair values of associated assets and liabilities, which are held in mutual funds and are based on the quoted market values of the securities held within the mutual funds.
Commodity derivative instrumentsLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s commodity derivative instruments are based on current settlement values at each balance sheet date, which represent the estimated amounts the Company would have received or paid upon termination of these instruments. The Company’s credit risk related to the commodity derivative instruments is managed by requiring high standards for its counterparties and periodic settlements. The Company considers nonperformance risk in determining the fair values of commodity derivative instruments.
Nonpublic variable rate debtLevel 2The carrying amounts of the Company’s nonpublic variable rate debt approximate the fair values due to variable interest rates with short reset periods.
Nonpublic fixed rate debtLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s nonpublic fixed rate debt are based on estimated current market prices.
Public debt securitiesLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s public debt securities are based on estimated current market prices.
Acquisition related contingent considerationLevel 3The fair value of the Company’s acquisition related contingent consideration is based on internal forecasts and the weighted average cost of capital (“WACC”) derived from market data.
The following tables summarize the carrying amounts and fair values by level of the Company’s deferred compensation plan, commodity derivative instruments, debt and acquisition related contingent consideration:

September 27, 2020
(in thousands)
Carrying
Amount
Total
Fair Value
Fair Value
Level 1
Fair Value
Level 2
Fair Value
Level 3
Assets:
Deferred compensation plan assets$46,602 $46,602 $46,602 $— $— 
Commodity derivative instruments1,049 1,049 — 1,049 — 
Liabilities:
Deferred compensation plan liabilities46,602 46,602 46,602 — — 
Commodity derivative instruments1,376 1,376 — 1,376 — 
Nonpublic variable rate debt239,882 240,000 — 240,000 — 
Nonpublic fixed rate debt374,747 402,500 — 402,500 — 
Public debt securities348,238 390,200 — 390,200 — 
Acquisition related contingent consideration448,653 448,653 — — 448,653 

December 29, 2019
(in thousands)Carrying
Amount
Total
Fair Value
Fair Value
Level 1
Fair Value
Level 2
Fair Value
Level 3
Assets:
Deferred compensation plan assets$42,543 $42,543 $42,543 $— $— 
Commodity derivative instruments1,007 1,007 — 1,007 — 
Liabilities:
Deferred compensation plan liabilities42,543 42,543 42,543 — — 
Commodity derivative instruments1,174 1,174 — 1,174 — 
Nonpublic variable rate debt307,250 307,500 — 307,500 — 
Nonpublic fixed rate debt374,723 383,900 — 383,900 — 
Public debt securities347,947 367,300 — 367,300 — 
Acquisition related contingent consideration446,684 446,684 — — 446,684 

The acquisition related contingent consideration was valued using a probability weighted discounted cash flow model based on internal forecasts and the WACC derived from market data, which are considered Level 3 inputs. Each reporting period, the Company adjusts its acquisition related contingent consideration liability related to the distribution territories to fair value by discounting future expected sub-bottling payments required under the CBA using the Company’s estimated WACC.

The future expected sub-bottling payments extend through the life of applicable distribution assets acquired from CCR, which is generally 40 years. As a result, the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability is impacted by the Company’s WACC, management’s estimate of the amounts that will be paid in the future under the CBA, and current sub-bottling payments (all Level 3 inputs). Changes in any of these Level 3 inputs, particularly the underlying risk-free interest rate used to estimate the Company’s WACC, could result in material changes to the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability and could materially impact the amount of non-cash income or expense recorded each reporting period.

The acquisition related contingent consideration liability is the Company’s only Level 3 asset or liability. A summary of the Level 3 activity is as follows:

Third QuarterFirst Nine Months
(in thousands)2020201920202019
Beginning balance - Level 3 liability$441,113 $412,450 $446,684 $382,898 
Payments of acquisition related contingent consideration(11,468)(5,948)(31,999)(18,784)
Reclassification to current payables(800)(60)(1,100)(940)
Increase in fair value19,808 18,749 35,068 62,017 
Ending balance - Level 3 liability$448,653 $425,191 $448,653 $425,191 
The increase in the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability during the first nine months of 2020 was primarily driven by changes in future cash flow projections of the distribution territories subject to sub-bottling fees, partially offset by an increase in the discount rate used to calculate the fair value. The increase in the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability during the first nine months of 2019 was primarily driven by a decrease in the discount rate used to calculate the fair value and changes in future cash flow projections of the distribution territories subject to sub-bottling fees. These fair value adjustments were recorded in other expense, net in the condensed consolidated statements of operations.

The anticipated amount the Company could pay annually under acquisition related contingent consideration arrangements is expected to be in the range of $28 million to $53 million.