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Fair Values of Financial Instruments
3 Months Ended
Mar. 29, 2020
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Values of Financial Instruments Fair Values of Financial Instruments
GAAP requires assets and liabilities carried at fair value to be classified and disclosed in one of the following categories:

Level 1: Quoted market prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities.
Level 2: Observable market-based inputs or unobservable inputs that are corroborated by market data.
Level 3: Unobservable inputs that are not corroborated by market data.

The following methods and assumptions were used by the Company in estimating the fair values of its financial instruments. There were no transfers of assets or liabilities between levels in any period presented.

Financial Instrument
Fair Value
Level
Methods and Assumptions
Deferred compensation plan assets and liabilitiesLevel 1The fair value of the Company’s non-qualified deferred compensation plan for certain executives and other highly compensated employees is based on the fair values of associated assets and liabilities, which are held in mutual funds and are based on the quoted market value of the securities held within the mutual funds.
Commodity hedging agreementsLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s commodity hedging agreements are based on current settlement values at each balance sheet date. The fair values of the commodity hedging agreements at each balance sheet date represent the estimated amounts the Company would have received or paid upon termination of these agreements. The Company’s credit risk related to the derivative financial instruments is managed by requiring high standards for its counterparties and periodic settlements. The Company considers nonperformance risk in determining the fair values of derivative financial instruments.
Nonpublic variable rate debtLevel 2The carrying amounts of the Company’s nonpublic variable rate debt approximate their fair values due to variable interest rates with short reset periods.
Nonpublic fixed rate debtLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s nonpublic fixed rate debt are based on estimated current market prices.
Public debt securitiesLevel 2The fair values of the Company’s public debt securities are based on estimated current market prices.
Acquisition related contingent considerationLevel 3The fair values of acquisition related contingent consideration are based on internal forecasts and the weighted average cost of capital (“WACC”) derived from market data.
The following tables summarize, by assets and liabilities, the carrying amounts and fair values by level of the Company’s deferred compensation plan, commodity hedging agreements, debt and acquisition related contingent consideration:

March 29, 2020
(in thousands)
Carrying
Amount
Total
Fair Value
Fair Value
Level 1
Fair Value
Level 2
Fair Value
Level 3
Assets:
Deferred compensation plan assets$37,135  $37,135  $37,135  $—  $—  
Commodity hedging agreements240  240  —  240  —  
Liabilities:
Deferred compensation plan liabilities37,135  37,135  37,135  —  —  
Commodity hedging agreements4,272  4,272  —  4,272  —  
Nonpublic variable rate debt359,774  360,000  —  360,000  —  
Nonpublic fixed rate debt374,742  373,700  —  373,700  —  
Public debt securities348,073  357,900  —  357,900  —  
Acquisition related contingent consideration437,094  437,094  —  —  437,094  

December 29, 2019
(in thousands)
Carrying
Amount
Total
Fair Value
Fair Value
Level 1
Fair Value
Level 2
Fair Value
Level 3
Assets:
Deferred compensation plan assets$42,543  $42,543  $42,543  $—  $—  
Commodity hedging agreements1,007  1,007  —  1,007  —  
Liabilities:
Deferred compensation plan liabilities42,543  42,543  42,543  —  —  
Commodity hedging agreements1,174  1,174  —  1,174  —  
Nonpublic variable rate debt307,250  307,500  —  307,500  —  
Nonpublic fixed rate debt374,723  383,900  —  383,900  —  
Public debt securities347,947  367,300  —  367,300  —  
Acquisition related contingent consideration446,684  446,684  —  —  446,684  

The acquisition related contingent consideration is valued using a probability weighted discounted cash flow model based on internal forecasts and the WACC derived from market data, which are considered Level 3 inputs. Each reporting period, the Company adjusts its acquisition related contingent consideration liability related to the distribution territories to fair value by discounting future expected sub-bottling payments required under the CBA using the Company’s estimated WACC.

The future expected sub-bottling payments extend through the life of the applicable distribution assets acquired from CCR, which is generally 40 years. As a result, the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability is impacted by the Company’s WACC, management’s estimate of the amounts that will be paid in the future under the CBA, and current sub-bottling payments (all Level 3 inputs). Changes in any of these Level 3 inputs, particularly the underlying risk-free interest rate used to estimate the Company’s WACC, could result in material changes to the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration and could materially impact the amount of noncash income or expense recorded each reporting period.
The acquisition related contingent consideration is the Company’s only Level 3 asset or liability. A reconciliation of the Level 3 activity is as follows:

First Quarter
(in thousands)20202019
Beginning balance - Level 3 liability$446,684  $382,898  
Payments of acquisition related contingent consideration(10,452) (6,237) 
Reclassification to current payables150  2,300  
Increase in fair value712  14,046  
Ending balance - Level 3 liability$437,094  $393,007  

The increase in the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability during the first quarter of 2020 was primarily driven by updates to future cash flow projections, partially offset by an increase in the discount rate used to calculate the fair values. The increase in the fair value of the acquisition related contingent consideration liability during the first quarter of 2019 was primarily driven by a decrease in the discount rate used to calculate the fair values. These fair value adjustments were recorded in other expense, net in the condensed consolidated statements of operations.

The anticipated amount the Company could pay annually under acquisition related contingent consideration arrangements is expected to be in the range of $28 million to $51 million.