EX-99.1 2 a11-8415_1ex99d1.htm EX-99.1 - SPROULE EVALUATION OF CERTAIN PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS RESERVES

EXHIBIT 99.1

 

Sproule Evaluation of Certain Petroleum & Natural Gas Reserves of Suncor Energy Inc. (As

of December 31, 2009) dated January 7, 2011

 



 

Ref.: 0468.17530

 

 

January 7, 2011

 

The Board of Directors of Suncor Energy Inc.

Suncor Energy Inc.

P.O. Box 38

112 Fourth Avenue SW

Calgary AB  T2P 2V5

 

Re:

 

Evaluation of Certain Petroleum & Natural Gas Reserves of Suncor Energy Inc.

 

 

(As of December 31, 2009)

 

Dear Sirs:

 

The following is an update of a letter published on September 28, 2010 to reflect a SEC request regarding the reporting of pricing information. Accordingly, Table 2 has been added in this letter to report weighted average prices by geographic area. The September 28, 2010 letter was also an update to an original letter published March 5, 2010 to address earlier SEC comments. The as-of date and results have not changed from that reported in the original letter.

 

At your request, we have independently evaluated certain proved and probable oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves of Suncor Energy Inc. (“Suncor”), as of December 31, 2009, in the properties located in the following regions:

 

East Coast, Canada;

North America Conventional Onshore; and

In Situ, Canada.

 

The purpose of this report is to summarize the results of our independent evaluations, to be included as an exhibit for Suncor’s annual filings in accordance with U.S. and Canadian security laws and pursuant to the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting; Final Rule, December 31, 2008.

 



 

Summary of Conclusions

 

Our evaluation of these reserves was conducted during the period of September 2009 through January 2010. The results of our work are summarized in Table 1.

 

Table 1

Summary of Reserves Evaluated by Sproule

As of December 31, 2009

 

 

 

Company Net Proved Reserves (After Royalty)

 

 

 

Oil &
NGLs

 

SCO

 

Natural
Gas

 

Total
BOE

 

Portion
Evaluated

 

Portion
Reviewed

 

Geographical Area

 

MMbbl

 

MMbbl

 

Bcf

 

MMbbl

 

%

 

%

 

East Coast

 

67

 

0

 

0

 

67

 

100

 

0

 

North America Conventional Onshore

 

38

 

0

 

913

 

190

 

100

 

0

 

In Situ

 

0

 

160

 

0

 

160

 

100

 

0

 

Total

 

105

 

160

 

913

 

417

 

 

 

 

 

Grand Total Suncor *

 

294

 

2565

 

1692

 

3552

 

 

 

 

 

Proportion of Total Suncor Reserves

 

36

%

6

%

54

%

12

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Company Net Probable Reserves (After Royalty)

 

 

 

Oil &
NGLs

 

SCO

 

Natural
Gas

 

Total
BOE

 

Portion
Evaluated

 

Portion
Reviewed

 

Geographical Area

 

MMbbl

 

MMbbl

 

Bcf

 

MMbbl

 

%

 

%

 

East Coast

 

99

 

0

 

0

 

99

 

100

 

0

 

North America Conventional Onshore

 

13

 

0

 

376

 

76

 

100

 

0

 

In Situ

 

0

 

179

 

0

 

179

 

100

 

0

 

Total

 

112

 

179

 

376

 

354

 

 

 

 

 

Grand Total Suncor*

 

246

 

1100

 

830

 

2828

 

 

 

 

 

Proportion of Total Suncor Reserves

 

46

%

16

%

45

%

13

%

 

 

 

 

 


* provided by Suncor

 

Assumptions, Data, Methods & Procedures

 

This report has been prepared by Sproule Associates Limited (“Sproule”) using current geological and engineering knowledge, techniques and computer software. It has been prepared within the Code of Ethics of the Association of Professional Engineers, Geologists and Geophysicists of Alberta (“APEGGA”). For this evaluation, Sproule used the reserves evaluation model, Value Navigator (ValNav). This report adheres, in all material aspects, to the SEC, Modernization of Oil and Gas Reporting; Final Rule, December 31, 2008. Sproule used the methods and procedures that it considered necessary to prepare this report, as follows:

 

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Reserves and Production

The oil and natural gas reserves were estimated volumetrically, from production decline curve analyses, using analogy techniques, or by material balance methods. Volumetric reserves were estimated using the net pay encountered at the wellbore and an assigned drainage area, or, where sufficient well data were available, using reservoir volumes calculated from isopach maps of net pay. Reservoir rock and fluid property data were obtained from available core analyses, well logs, PVT data, gas analyses, and published information, either from the pool in question or from a similar reservoir producing from the same zone. Reservoir pressures were derived from drillstem and AOF test data, pressure surveys, and published reports. Recovery factors for oil reserves were selected either from the results of detailed reservoir analyses, or by comparing the reservoir under study with similar reservoirs that have more firmly established recovery factors from extended production histories. Recovery factors for gas reserves were estimated by taking into consideration well depths, deliverability characteristics, product prices, and operating cost information.

 

The solution gas reserves were estimated based on current producing gas-oil ratios (GORs) and estimates of future oil production or volumetric calculations. Similarly, the natural gas by-product reserves were based on current recoveries and estimates of future gas production.

 

Forecasts of net revenue were prepared by predicting annual production from the reserves, and product prices. Annual production was forecast taking into account historical production trends of Suncor’s producing wells, applicable regulatory conditions, existing or anticipated contract rates, and by comparison with other wells in the vicinity producing from similar reservoirs.

 

Historical Data, Interests and Burdens

All historical production, revenue and expense data, product prices actually received, and other data that were obtained from Suncor or from public sources, were accepted as represented, without any further investigation by Sproule Associates Limited.

 

Property descriptions, details of interests held, and well data, as supplied by Suncor, were accepted as represented. No investigation was made into either the legal titles held or any operating agreements in place relating to the subject properties.

 

Lessor and overriding royalties and other burdens were obtained from Suncor. No further investigation was undertaken by Sproule Associates Limited.

 

Operating Expenses

Suncor provided Sproule with recent revenue statements to determine certain economic parameters.

 

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Capital Expenses

Capital expenses were based the capital program provided by Suncor, or on estimates by Sproule.

 

Abandonment

Well abandonment and disconnect costs were included for the North American Conventional Onshore and the In Situ properties. For these areas, our evaluation does not include well-site or facility reclamation costs. No abandonment costs were incorporated by Sproule for the East Coast property.

 

Economic Assumptions

 

This evaluation utilized constant prices and costs which were consistent with the new SEC guidance, which incorporates a twelve month average pricing mechanism. The prices used were supplied by Suncor, and are as follows:

 

Oil:

 

WTI

 

61.04

 

$U.S./stb

 

 

Edmonton Par

 

63.55

 

$Cdn/stb

 

 

Hardisty Heavy (12° API)

 

54.73

 

$Cdn/stb

 

 

Western Canada Select (WCS)

 

56.60

 

$Cdn/stb

 

 

East Coast Light Oil at Whiffen Head:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hibernia

 

70.53

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

Terra Nova

 

69.95

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

White Rose

 

70.28

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Henry Hub

 

3.82

 

$U.S./MMBtu

 

 

Alberta AECO-C

 

3.92

 

$Cdn/MMBtu

 

 

B.C. Westcoast Station 2

 

3.88

 

$Cdn/MMBtu

 

 

CIG US Rockies Gas

 

3.30

 

$U.S./MMBtu

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural Gas By-Products:

 

 

 

 

 

 

Propane

 

36.45

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

Butanes

 

44.27

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

Pentanes Plus

 

66.66

 

$Cdn/bbl

 

 

Sulphur

 

0.00

 

$Cdn/LT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign Exchange Rate:

 

0.870

 

$US/$Cdn

 

These prices were reviewed by Sproule for reasonableness and were accepted as represented.

 

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The following table provides a summary of the resulting weighted average adjusted prices by geographic area. This has been added as requested in part two of a SEC letter dated December 14, 2010.

 

Table 2

Summary of Weighted Average Adjusted Prices by Geographic Area

As of December 31, 2009

 

 

 

Product Plant-gate Constant Prices

 

Geographical Area, District and

 

Oil

 

Synthetic
Crude Oil

 

Natural
Gas

 

Propane/
Butanes

 

Pentanes Plus

 

Material Properties 

 

$/stb

 

$/stb

 

$/Mcf

 

$/bbl

 

$/bbl

 

East Coast:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hibernia

 

68.63

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Terra Nova

 

67.55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

White Rose

 

68.03

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

North America Conventional Onshore (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

US Rockies (2)

 

54.05

 

 

 

3.23

 

53.57

 

 

 

Colorado Denver—Julesburg Basin

 

54.05

 

 

 

3.32

 

53.57

 

 

 

Western Canada (3) 

 

60.59

 

 

 

3.83

 

44.19

 

63.83

 

Ferrier

 

61.09

 

 

 

3.93

 

42.90

 

 

 

Wildcat Hills TV Non Unit

 

 

 

 

 

3.87

 

35.73

 

 

 

Ricinus/Bearberry/Strachan

 

61.11

 

 

 

4.21

 

44.73

 

69.24

 

Medicine Hat

 

 

 

 

 

3.71

 

 

 

 

 

Alderson

 

 

 

 

 

3.74

 

 

 

 

 

Gilby/Wilson

 

56.22

 

 

 

4.15

 

54.03

 

 

 

Laprise

 

 

 

 

 

3.88

 

44.54

 

 

 

Hanlan Unit

 

 

 

 

 

3.52

 

 

 

64.94

 

Hanlan TV

 

 

 

 

 

3.84

 

 

 

62.62

 

Jedney/Bubbles

 

 

 

 

 

4.00

 

41.00

 

 

 

Wildcat Hills Cretaceous

 

63.55

 

 

 

3.87

 

35.73

 

 

 

Peco

 

 

 

 

 

3.51

 

 

 

63.20

 

Boundary Lake

 

55.97

 

 

 

4.04

 

50.87

 

64.01

 

In Situ:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MacKay River

 

 

 

63.59

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


(1)           Material properties reported in each geographic area, constitute a minimum of 80% of the total net present value

(2)           US Rockies provided in US dollars, all other prices are in Canadian dollars

(3)           Properties listed by value ranking

 

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Regulatory Considerations

 

In the conduct of our evaluation, we reviewed the ability of the booked reserves to be developed, produced and/or recovered based on current regulations existing in the jurisdictions where the assets reside. This review yielded no concerns with respect to Suncor’s ability to develop, produce and/or recover the reserves as booked in the selected entities reported and reviewed. Down-spacing requirements or plans have already been approved or have significant offsetting precedents to indicate that such down-spacing requirements have a high degree of certainty to be approved when applied for.

 

Uncertainties of Forward-Looking Statements & Reserves Estimates

 

This report contains forward-looking statements including or incorporating expectations of future production revenues and capital expenditures. Information concerning reserves may also be deemed to be forward-looking as estimates involve the implied assessment that the reserves described can be profitably produced in future. These statements are based on current expectations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ from those anticipated. These risks include, but are not limited to: the underlying risks of the oil and gas industry (i.e., corporate commitment, regulatory approval, operational risks in development, exploration and production); potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of reserves estimations; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production; costs and expenses; health, safety and environmental factors; commodity prices; and exchange rate fluctuation.

 

The analysis of individual entities and properties as reported herein was conducted within the context and scope of an evaluation of a unique group of properties in aggregate. Use of this report outside of this scope may not be appropriate.

 

Actual future production may require that estimated trends be significantly altered. Reserve estimates from volumetric calculations and from analogies are often less certain than reserve estimates based on well performance obtained over a period during which a substantial portion of the reserves was produced.

 

The accuracy of reserves estimates and associated economic analysis is, in part, a function of the quality and quantity of available data and of engineering and geological interpretation and judgment. Given the data provided at the time this report was prepared, the estimates presented herein are considered reasonable. However, they should be accepted with the understanding that reservoir and financial performance subsequent to the date of the estimates may necessitate revision. These revisions may be material.

 

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No limitations and/or restrictions were placed upon Sproule by the officials of Suncor in our independent reserves evaluation.

 

Sproule has no responsibility to update this evaluation for events and circumstances occurring after the date of this report.

 

Suncor provided all technical data, revenue and expense statements, budget and development strategy prior to December 31, 2009. Any information with a date of occurrence after December 31, 2009 was not considered in the evaluation.

 

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Evaluator’s Qualifications

 

The people primarily responsible for the evaluation were Doug W.C. Ho, P.Eng., VP Engineering — Unconventional; Matthew J. O’Blenes, P.Eng, Senior Associate — Canada; Scott W. Pennell, P.Eng., Supervisor — Unconventional Gas; and Cameron P. Six, P.Eng., Manager Engineering — Canada. Sproule’s executive endorsement of the Report was provided by R. Keith MacLeod, P.Eng., President. The persons responsible for the preparation of the report are qualified reserves evaluators and auditors and are completely independent from Suncor in accordance with National Instrument 51-101.

 

Certification

 

Report Preparation

The report entitled “Evaluation of Certain Reserves of Suncor Energy Inc., (As of December 31, 2009)” was prepared by the following Sproule personnel:

 

 

Original Signed by Doug W.C. Ho, P.Eng.

 

 

 

 

 

Doug W. C. Ho, P.Eng.

 

Vice-President, Engineering - Unconventional

 

07/01/2011

dd/mm/yr

 

 

 

 

 

Original Signed by Matthew J. O’Blenes, P.Eng.

 

 

 

 

 

Matthew J. O’Blenes, P.Eng.

 

Senior Associate

 

07/01/2011

dd/mm/yr

 

 

 

 

 

Original Signed by Scott W. Pennell, P.Eng.

 

 

 

Scott W. Pennell, P.Eng.

 

Supervisor, Unconventional Gas

 

07/01/2011

dd/mm/yr

 

 

 

 

 

Original Signed by Cameron P. Six, P.Eng.

 

 

 

 

 

Cameron P. Six, P.Eng.

 

Manager, Engineering - Canada

 

07/01/2011

dd/mm/yr

 

8



 

Sproule Executive Endorsement

 

This report has been reviewed and endorsed by the following Executive of Sproule:

 

 

 

Original Signed by R. Keith MacLeod, P.Eng.

 

 

 

 

 

R. Keith MacLeod, P.Eng.

 

President

 

07/01/2011

dd/mm/yr

 

Permit to Practice

 

Sproule Associates Limited is a member of the Association of Professional Engineers, Geologists and Geophysicists of Alberta and our permit number is P00417.

 

Enclosure(s)

MJO-RKM

P:\Suncor 17530 WC 2009\Report - SEC summary all Regions\Suncor 2009 Summary for SEC Jan. 7  2011.doc

 

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