EX-99.C.8 23 g91404iexv99wcw8.htm APPRAISAL OF COX COMMUNICATIONS, INC. EX-(C)(8)
 

Exhibit (c)(8)

BOND AND PECARO

FAIR MARKET VALUATION

OF

COX ENTERPRISES, INC.

AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2003

 


 

FAIR MARKET VALUATION OF

COX ENTERPRISES, INC.

AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2003


COX COMMUNICATIONS, INC.

     The pace of cable deals hastened slightly in 2003, with a continued absence of many multi-system operators (“MSO”s) participating in transactions. There were 34 cable television system transactions reported during the year, compared to 23 in 2002. Consequently, cable deal volume rose 10.0% to $1.5 billion. The systems served 654,760 subscribers and were traded at a modest 9.4 times projected cash flow.1

     The top cable television transaction during 2003 was Atlantic Broadband’s $765.0 million purchase of certain Charter Communications’ cable systems, reflecting a per subscriber cost of approximately $3,255. Others major deals included Susquehanna’s purchase of cable television systems from RCN for $120.0 million, or $4,051 per subscriber, and Time Warner’s purchase of the Shaw systems for $112.0 million, or $2,545 per subscriber.2

     The number of basic cable television subscribers dropped slightly during 2003 by 0.2% to 73.4 million subscribers, reflecting an estimated 67.7% cable penetration of U.S. television households. Overall cable television revenues rose to $51.3 billion, about a 6.0% increase over last year.3

     During 2003, cable television companies invested an estimated $10.6 billion in infrastructure upgrades and improvements. By the end of 2003, more than 90% of cable homes were passed with cable plant with a capacity of at least 550 MHz, and almost 90 million cable homes were passed with cable


1   “Private Equity Investors Keep Cable Deal Market Afloat,” Paul Kagan Cable TV Investor, January 31, 2004, pg. 9.
2   “Top 10 Deals of 2003 (By Basic Subs),” Paul Kagan Cable TV Investor, January 31, 2004, pg. 9.
3   “Cable Televison Industry Overview 2003,” National Cable Television Association, pg. 20.

 


 

plant with a capacity of 750 MHz or higher.4 As of December 1, 2003, approximately 70 million U.S. homes were capable of receiving the increased picture quality of high-definition television (HDTV), which was launched over the last two years.5 More than 20 percent of households with cable television began using cable modems during 2003, translating to about 15 million high-speed Internet customers.6 By the end of the third quarter of 2003, about 2.5 million homes were being served by cable telephone service.7

Cox Communications, Inc.

     On February 1, 1995, Cox Communications, Inc. (“CCI”) Class A common stock became publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. At year-end 2003, CEI owned approximately 63.4% of the 620,556,374 outstanding shares of CCI.

     As of December 31, 2003, CEI’s majority interest CCI has been valued at $21,308,200,000. This valuation reflects the financial performance and prospects for the CCI cable television systems, as well as CCI’s investments such areas as programming, cable operations, and telecommunications technology.

     In December 2003, CCI’s Roanoke, Virginia cable television system began offering Cox Digital Telephone. This marks the company’s 12th telephone market, joining Phoenix and Tucson, Arizona; Orange County and San Diego, California; Connecticut and Rhode Island; Wichita, Kansas; New Orleans, Louisiana; Omaha, Nebraska; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma; and Hampton Roads, Virginia. The telephone launch the Roanoke market also marked CCI’s first offering of Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) technology, which allows phone calls to be transported over Cox’s private, IP-based data network.


4   Ibid, pg. 2.
5   Ibid, pg. 3.
6   Ibid, pg. 8.
7   Ibid, pg. 9.

 


 

     Telephone continued to grow revenues, contributing an estimated 11.5% of service revenues in 2003. High-speed data revenues rose 70.6%, contributing 18.4% of service revenues in 2003, up from 12.7% 2002. In CCI service areas, Cox High Speed Internet was the leading Internet service provider with a 31% penetration level, compared to AOL’s 26%.

     At the end of the third quarter of 2003, an estimated 2.1 million customers, or approximately 32% of all CCI customers, were bundling telephone, video, or high-speed Internet products. Bundling penetration was higher in phone markets, averaging 42%, and reaching as high as 60% in the Omaha and Orange County markets. CCI maintained positive net free cash flow for 2003.

Valuation Method

     The principal method used in the appraisal of the properties is the discounted cash flow method of valuation, a variation of the income approach.

     The income approach quantifies a series of expected economic benefits associated with an income producing asset or a business entity. The fair market value of such a property may be expressed by discounting these future benefits.

     The cost approach is not applicable to many of the CCI properties. The important intangible assets owned by these businesses, such as franchises and associated subscriber relationships, cannot be purchased and, as such, have no readily discernable replacement cost. The market approach may be useful in the valuation of cable television properties, but due to differences among systems and markets the opportunities to employ this approach in a meaningful manner are limited.

     The discounted cash flow methodology rests upon a quantitative model which incorporates variables such as market households, homes passed, subscriber penetration and

 


 

rates, anticipated operating profit margins, and various discount rates. The variables used the analysis reflect historical system and market trends, as well as anticipated performance and market conditions.

     In a typical analysis of this type, a discounted cash flow projection period of ten years is considered to be an appropriate time horizon. Cable television operators typically expect to recover their investments within a ten year period. It is during this period that projections regarding subscriber penetration, revenues, and operating profit margins can be made with the highest degree of accuracy.

     Over this ten year period, projected subscriber penetration levels, service rates, and operating profit margins were used to project system operating profits. Federal, state, and local taxes were deducted from projected operating profits to determine after-tax net income. Depreciation expenses were added back to the after-tax income stream and projected capital expenditures were subtracted to calculate net after-tax cash flows. The stream of annual cash flows was adjusted to present value.

     Additionally, it was necessary to project the residual value at the end of the ten year projection period. In order to determine this value, an operating cash flow multiple was applied to the final operating cash flow projection. The terminal value represents the hypothetical value of the cable television property at the end of the projection period. Taxes were deducted from the indicated terminal value. The net terminal value was then discounted to present value.

     An abbreviated form of the discounted cash flow method of analysis is the revenue or cash flow multiple approach. Under this approach, current or projected revenues or cash flows of a cable television system, or some combination of these, forms the basis for a calculation of approximate market value.

     Where a history of revenues and cash flows permitted projection of discounted cash flows for CCI’s programming and telephony investments, such a method was employed. In instances where investments were recent and there was not yet a sound basis upon which to

 


 

project such cash flows, a cost method, or a variation thereof, was used.

Summary of Cox Communications, Inc. Financial Results

     Total CCI revenue s reached $5,758.9 million during 2003, with expenses up 117% and IBD continuing to surge, up 19.0% from 2002 levels to $2,116.9 million.

     CCI’s bundled services, including Cox Digital Telephone, Cox High-Speed Internet access, and digital cable, all continued to grow over the past year. New service revenue generating units (“RGU”s) jumped 28.2% from 3.9 million to approximately 5.1 million during 2003, and are forecast to increase by another 23.5% to reach 6.3 on RGUs in 2004.

     The CCI 2004 budget anticipates a 12.9% revenue increase, with a 16.1% growth in IBD from $2,116.9 million to $2,458.1 million. A preliminary five year management forecast projects total CCI revenues to grow at a compound annual rate of 12.0% to $10,162.0 million, mainly driven by compound annual rates of almost 20% for data and telephone services. IBD is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 14.6% to reach $4,184.0 million by 2008.

     Cable Systems

     The CCI cable systems enjoyed a stellar year in 2003. All but one system reported double-digit growth in revenues, and almost one third of the cable systems enjoyed IBD growth in excess of 20% over 2002 levels.

     As shown in Table 5, the Phoenix cable television system again led the CCI systems in revenue, earning $671.0 a 22.7% increase over last year. The Phoenix cable television system also enjoyed the largest IBD gain, up 38.8% over 2002 levels to reach $268.2 million. Both the number of high-speed data and telephony customers rose by about 50.0% to 312,049 and 213,505 respectively.

 


 

     The San Diego cable television system continued as the second highest contributor of revenues and IBD to the division. Revenues rose 13.0% to $552.4 million and IBD reached $236.7 million, a 17.4% increase. High-speed data, telephone, and digital cable services continued to grow, with a combined growth of 22.5% over 2002 levels.

     The Hampton Roads cable television system completed its 750 MHz upgrade during 2003. The number of high-speed data customers enjoyed a 45.1% rise, and telephone customers grew 38.0% over the year. The system earned revenues of $452.7 million, up 15.8%, and IBDA grew 21.5% from $162.6 million in 2002 to $197.5 million in 2003.

     The Orange County cable television system completed it consolidation of the Palos Verdes system, and launched high definition television (HDTV), Home Network, CSAP, and Fast Connect during 2003. Revenues rose 13.7% and IBD was up 21.3%.

     During 2003, the Northern Virginia cable television system deployed switch and closed rings preparation for its 2004 telephone launch. The number of high-speed Internet and digital cable customers grew by 59.4% and 51.9% respectively. Revenues rose 14.9% to $223.3 million and IBD was up 13.1%.

     In November 2003, CCI agreed to sell certain non-clustered cable systems in Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas, and Arkansas to Allegiance Communications, LLC. As of December 31, 2003, the transaction had not closed.

Other Cable Properties

     CCI owns a 25% interest in Discovery Communications, Inc., operator of The Discovery Channel, The Learning Channel, the Travel Channel, Animal Planet, Discovery Health, and ancillary cable television programming businesses. The Discovery Channel and The Learning Channel distribute science and technology, education, travel, and adventure programming to cable television

 


 

systems throughout the United States and internationally.

     CCI continued to develop cable television news channels in several market areas including Hampton Roads, Las Vegas, New Orleans, Oklahoma City, Phoenix, Rhode Island, San Diego, and Tulsa. CCI owns partial interests in these enterprises.

     Other CCI investments include common stock and warrants Meta TV, Gateway, LLC, @Security, Liberate Technologies Ltd., and Syndeo. During 2003, CCI invested $1.5 million for a 4.3% interest in Nuera Communications , a company that develops voice-over IP switch technology.

     CCI holds a 12.5% interest in the Women’s United Soccer Association (WUSA); due to a lack of financial support, the league suspended operations on September 15, 2003.

 


 

Table 5
Cox Communications, Inc. Revenues and Income
(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

                                                 
                            Income Before Depreciation
    Operating Revenues
  And Amortization
Cable
  2002
  2003
  Change
  2002
  2003
  Change
System
                                               
Eastern Region
                                               
Baton Rouge
  $ 117,758     $ 133,146       13.1 %   $ 40,966     $ 48,239       17.8 %
Cleveland
    41,289       46,233       12.0 %     15,789       17,342       9.8 %
Gainesville/Ocala
    52,407       61,262       16.9 %     19,583       24,138       23.3 %
Gulf Coast
    99,419       113,102       13.8 %     40,181       47,392       17.9 %
Hampton Roads
    390,977       452,681       15.8 %     162,564       197,496       21.5 %
Middle Georgia
    51,538       57,608       11.8 %     18,995       23,095       21.6 %
New England
    363,398       417,612       14.9 %     147,595       170,604       15.6 %
New Orleans
    208,333       240,758       15.6 %     73,967       84,778       14.6 %
Northern Virginia
    198,741       228,291       14.9 %     73,715       83,399       13.1 %
North Carolina
    54,425       62,010       13.9 %     22,985       24,302       5.7 %
Roanoke
    39,695       44,312       11.6 %     17,429       19,544       12.1 %
Central Region
                                               
Middle America Cox (91.25%)
    471,591       525,276       11.4 %     205,516       224,753       9.4 %
Oklahoma City
    237,394       271,273       14.3 %     99,060       119,001       20.1 %
Tulsa
    111,504       127,961       14.8 %     39,881       48,733       22.2 %
Omaha
    193,644       227,143       17.3 %     83,874       103,287       23.1 %
Peak Utah/Nevada
    2,513       0       (100.0) %     589               (100.0) %
West Texas
    134,293       150,043       11.7 %     52,296       58,981       12.8 %
Kansas
    207,619       228,792       10.2 %     92,800       99,509       7.2 %
Greater Oklahoma
    39,579       42,880       8.3 %     14,584       16,611       13.9 %

 


 

Table 5

(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

                                                 
System (continued)
                                               
Western Region
                                               
California Central
  $ 65,323     $ 72,760       11.4 %   $ 23,134     $ 27,058       17.0 %
Humboldt
    18,124       20,528       13.3 %     7,283       8,515       16.9 %
Las Vegas System
    295,923       344,174       16.3 %     130,954       154,133       17.7 %
Orange County/Palos Verdes
    310,976       353,430       13.7 %     122,698       148,802       21.3 %
Phoenix
    546,694       671,030       22.7 %     193,162       268,175       38.8 %
San Diego
    488,837       552,431       13.0 %     201,550       236,680       17.4 %
Tucson/Sierra Vista
    80,754       94,632       17.2 %     30,152       34,450       14.3 %
 
   
 
     
 
           
 
     
 
       
Total System Value
  $ 4,822,748     $ 5,539,368       14.9 %   $ 1,931,302     $ 2,289,017       18.5 %
Other
  $ 215,850     $ 219,500       1.7 %   $ (152,063)     $ (170,062)       11.8 %
 
   
 
     
 
           
 
     
 
       
Total CCI
  $ 5,038,598     $ 5,758,868       14.3 %   $ 1,779,239     $ 2,118.955       19.1 %

 


 

Table 6
Cox Communications, Inc. Valuation
(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

         
    2003
    Valuation
Cable System
       
Eastern Region
       
Baton Rouge
  $ 815,000  
Cleveland
    300,000  
Gainesville/Ocala
    405,000  
Gulf Coast
    770,000  
Hampton Roads
    3,000,000  
Louisiana
    1,300,000  
Middle Georgia
    360,000  
New England
    2,700,000  
Northern Virginia
    1,450,000  
Roanoke
    425,000  
 
   
 
 
 
    285,000  
 
   
 
 
         
    2003
    Valuation
Central Region
       
Middle America Cox
    3,300,000  
Oklahoma City
    1,750,000  
Tulsa
    800,000  
Omaha
    1,500,000  
West Texas
    960,000  
Kansas
    1,650.000  
Greater Oklahoma
    325,000  

 


 

Table 6
(continued)

(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

                 
            2003
            Valuation
Cable System (continued)
               
Western Region
               
California Central
          $ 430,000  
Humboldt
            135,000  
PSDL, Inc.
               
Las Vegas System
  $ 2,650,000          
Hospitality Network
    190,000          
XO Nevada (Formerly NextLink)
    0          
 
   
 
         
Subtotal Pre-Debt Las Vegas Value
  $ 2,840,000          
Less: Debt
    (650,800 )        
 
   
 
         
Subtotal After-Debt Las Vegas Value
  $ 2,189,200          
CCI’s 80% Ownership
            1,751,400  
Orange County/Palos Verdes
            2,200,000  
Phoenix
            4,000,000  
San Diego
            3,600,000  
Tucson/Sierra Vista
            590,000  
 
           
 
 
Subtotal Cable Systems
          $ 34,801,400  
Less: Unallocated Division Overhead
            (1,851,700 )
 
           
 
 
Total CCI Continuing Operations
          $ 32,949,700  

 


 

Table 6
(continued)

(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

         
    2003
    Valuation
Other Communications Properties
       
Investments – Programming
       
Digital Cable Radio (13.6%)
  $ 2,800  
Discovery Communications (25%)
    3,000,000  
InDemand/PPVN/Viewer’s Choice (15.6%)
    0  
Sunshine Network (5.3%)
    500  
Investments – Telecommunications and Technology
       
Sprint PCS
  $ 1,700  
Sprint PCS Warrants and Convertible Preferred Stock
    0  
Sprint PCS PRIZES
    0  
Sprint PHONES
    0  
Sprint Discount Debentures
    0  
Investments – Other
       
Liberate Technologies LTD (1%)
  $ 3,500  
TiVO, Inc. (0.4%)
    1,600  
Legacylink.com LTD
    0  
Lightspan (2.3%)
    1,500  
@Security (6.8%)
    4,800  
TV Gateway LC (Guideco) (31.0%)
    9,700  
Katalyst (5.5%)
    0  
WUSA (12.5%)
    0  
CoaxMedia (2.3%)
    0  

 


 

Table 6
(continued)

(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

         
    2003
    Valuation
Investments – Other (continued)
       
META TV (20.1%)
  $ 11,400  
CWK Network (7.9%)
    1,000  
Syndeo (2.7%)
    2,500  
Nuera Communications (4.3%)
    1,500  
Investments – Cable News Channels
       
National Cable Communications (20.0%)
  $ 44,000  
News Channel 15 (San Diego) (50.0%)
    7,800  
Arizona News Channel, LLC (50.0%)
    8,000  
Newswatch 15 (New Orleans) (50.0%)
    7,500  
News Now 53 (Oklahoma City) (50.0%)
    1,500  
Local News On Cable (Hampton Roads) (33.3%)
    1,500  
Ad Link (10.0%)
    5,500  
New England News Channel (65.0%)
    2,600  
Las Vegas One (33%)
    1,000  
Spanish Arizona News Channel (MAS Arizona) (50.0%)
    0  
Newschannel Tulsa (50.0%)
    400  
 
   
 
 
Total Other Cable Properties
  $ 3,122,300  
Subtotal CCI
  $ 36,072,000  

 


 

Table 6
(continued)

(Dollar Amounts Shown in Thousands)

         
    2003
    Valuation
Plus: Hawker Aircraft
  $ 11,300  
Plus: Woodside Terrace Building – Mansell Road
    21,000  
Less: Sprint PRIZES
    (14,600 )
Less: Premium PHONES
    (100 )
Less: Discount Debentures
    (30,800 )
Less: Prepaid Forwards
    0  
Less: Net Asset Adjustment
    (750,500 )
Less: Outstanding Debt (excluding Las Vegas Debt)
    (6,266,200 )
 
   
 
 
Total CCI Valuation
  $ 29,042,100  
Less: Minority Ownership of 227,267,405 Shares
    (7,733,900 )
 
   
 
 
Total CEI Cox Communications Value
  $ 21,308,200  

 


 

APPENDIX A

QUALIFICATIONS OF JAMES R. BOND, JR., TIMOTHY S. PECARO,
AND SANDA YEE BLANK

 


 

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE AND QUALIFICATIONS

JAMES R. BOND, JR.

James R. Bond, Jr. is a principal in the consulting firm of Bond & Pecaro, Inc., a Washington-based consulting firm specializing valuations, asset appraisals and related financial services for the communications industry. In this capacity, he is routinely retained to examine and study economic issues which affect media businesses.

Before the formation of Bond & Pecaro, Inc., Mr. Bond was a Vice President with Frazier, Gross Kadlec, Inc. Mr. Bond joined that firm in 1978, was appointed Manager of Asset Appraisal Services in 1979, and in 1982 was named Vice President. During this experience he engaged in the development and preparation of asset appraisal reports and economic analyses for owners of broadcast and cable television properties.

Mr. Bond has been retained to appraise, for a fee, the assets of over 2,500 radio, television, radio common carrier, and cable television properties. He is a member of the Society of Broadcast Engineers (SBE), the Cable Television Tax Professionals Institute (CTTPI), and the Society of Cable Television Engineers (SCTE). He is a member and past director of the Broadcast Cable Financial Management Association (BCFM), and has served on that organization’s Taxation Advisory and Industry Education Committees. He also serves on the National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) Tax Advisory Panel and Depreciation Task Force. Mr. Bond is a Certified Senior Radio Broadcast Engineer (SBE), a Certified Senior Television Broadcast Engineer (SBE), and holds an FCC First Class Radiotelephone Operator License.

He has testified as an expert witness in connection with numerous telecommunications valuation matters before federal, state and local courts.

Mr. Bond received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Radio, Television and Motion Pictures from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in 1976. Mr. Bond also holds a Masters Degree in Business Administration from the University of Virginia in Charlottesville, Virginia.

 


 

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE AND QUALIFICATIONS

TIMOTHY S. PECARO

Timothy S. Pecaro is a principal in the firm of Bond & Pecaro, Inc., a Washington-based consulting firm specializing in valuations, asset appraisals, and related financial services for the communications industry. Before the formation of Bond & Pecaro, Inc., Mr. Pecaro was a Vice President with Frazier, Gross & Kadlec, Inc. Mr. Pecaro joined that firm in 1980 and was named Manager of the firm’s Asset Appraisal Services Division in 1982. He became Director of Asset Appraisal Services in 1983 and Vice President of the firm in 1984.

Mr. Pecaro has actively participated the development, research, and preparation of appraisal reports for owners of radio, television, cable, newspaper, radio common carrier, Internet, tower, and telecommunications properties. He has also developed several research studies and has participated special research at the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).

Mr. Pecaro has appraised the assets of more than 3,000 communications facilities. He has also been retained to provide special market studies and individual research projects for the management of media properties and related industries. He is a director of the Broadcast Cable Financial Management Association, former Co-chairman of the association’s Cable Committee, and a member of the Cable and Tax Committees. Mr. Pecaro is also a member of The National Association of Broadcasters (NAB) Tax Advisory Panel and Depreciation Task Force. Mr. Pecaro has testified as an expert witness connection with telecommunications valuation matters before federal, state, and local courts; the FCC; and the Joint Committee on Taxation. He has also spoken on communications financial issues at the annual conferences of the National Association of Broadcasters, the Broadcast Cable Financial Management Association, and Telocator. Additionally, Mr. Pecaro has been a guest lecturer at the University of Missouri School of Journalism.

Prior to his association with Frazier, Gross Kadlec, Mr. Pecaro was employed at WMAQ and WKQX(FM) Chicago, Illinois, two of the NBC owned and operated radio stations.

Mr. Pecaro received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Radio/Television Communication Arts from Monmouth College in 1976. He graduated Cum Laude with highest honors in his major field of study.

 


 

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE AND QUALIFICATIONS

SANDA YEE BLANK

Sanda Blank is an associate in the firm of Bond & Pecaro, Inc., a Washington-based consulting firm specializing in valuations, asset appraisals, and related financial services for the communications industry.

Ms. Blank has actively participated numerous fair market valuations and asset appraisals of television, radio, cable television, and newspaper properties.

After completing two years of undergraduate study at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, Ms. Blank received a Bachelor of Arts degree in English Literature from Cornell University in Ithaca, New York.