EX-99.2 4 v163779_ex99-2.htm Unassociated Document
 
 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
THIRD QUARTER 2009 INVESTOR PACKET
TABLE OF CONTENTS
 
Earnings Press Release
 
1
Selected Balance Sheet Data
 
6
Selected Income Statement Data
 
7
Quarterly Investment Income
 
8
Statutory Combined Ratio Summary by LOB Quarter
 
9
Statutory Combined Ratio Summary by LOB YTD September
 
10
Consolidated Balance Sheets
 
11
Consolidated Statements of Income
 
12
Consolidated Statements of Stockholder’s Equity
 
13
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
 
14
Statutory Balance Sheets
 
15
Statutory Statements of Income
 
16
Investment Portfolio – Appendix
   
Alternative Investments Exhibit
 
17
Municipal Bond Portfolio Exhibit
 
18
Structured Securities Exhibit
 
19
RMBS & RABS Exhibit
 
20
RMBS & RABS by Vintage Year Exhibit
 
21
RMBS and RABS by Type Exhibit
 
22
Alt-A by Vintage Year Exhibit
 
23
CMBS Exhibit
 
24
CMBS by Vintage Year Exhibit
 
25
CMBS by Type Exhibit
 
26
Fixed Maturities Severity & Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses Exhibit
 
27
Credit Quality of AFS Securities Exhibit
 
28
Credit Quality of HTM Securities Exhibit
 
29
 
 
 

 
 
Selected Balance Sheet Data (unaudited)
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)

   
September 30,
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2008
 
               
Unrealized/
               
Unrecognized/
               
Unrecognized/
 
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrecognized
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrealized
   
Balance
   
Market
   
Unrealized
 
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
   
Value
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Invested Assets:
                                                     
Corporate bonds1,2
  $ 1,122,000       1,134,012       (23,009 )   $ 1,113,483       1,129,880       (58,912 )   $ 1,024,179       1,024,181       (124,294 )
Gov't\ Municipal bonds2
    2,170,426       2,194,067       96,828       1,908,528       1,892,175       (14,648 )     2,011,262       2,011,275       35,240  
Total bonds
    3,292,426       3,328,079       73,819       3,022,011       3,022,055       (73,560 )     3,035,441       3,035,456       (89,054 )
Equities
    89,892       89,892       13,087       197,201       197,201       39,756       132,131       132,131       6,184  
Short-term investments
    236,896       236,896       -       181,839       181,839       -       198,111       198,111       -  
Trading securities
    -       -       -       7,666       7,666       (2,075 )     2,569       2,569       (1,216 )
Other investments
    147,482       147,482       (20,381 )     208,947       208,947       16,617       172,057       172,057       (5,585 )
Total invested assets
    3,766,696       3,802,349       66,525       3,617,664       3,617,708       (19,262 )     3,540,309       3,540,324       (89,671 )
                                                                         
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
    3.82                       3.70                       3.98                  
                                                                         
Total assets
    5,158,303                       5,046,663                       4,945,556                  
                                                                         
Liabilities:
                                                                       
Reserve for losses
    2,318,856                       2,262,342                       2,256,329                  
Reserve for loss expenses
    399,999                       380,807                       384,644                  
Unearned premium reserve
    895,446                       907,846                       844,334                  
                                                                         
Total liabilities
    4,171,974                       4,068,899                       4,055,063                  
                                                                         
Stockholders' equity
    986,329                       977,764                       890,493                  
                                                                         
Total debt to capitalization ratio
    21.0 %                     21.9 %                     23.5 %                
Adjusted total debt to capitalization ratio 3
    15.0 %                     15.8 %                     17.0 %                
                                                                         
Book value per share
    18.58                       18.53                       16.84                  
                                                                         
Book value per share excluding
                                                                       
unrealized gain or loss on bond portfolio
    18.12                       19.44                       17.94                  
                                                                         
NPW per insurance segment employee
    772                       807                       797                  
                                                                         
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio
    1.6 x                     1.6 x                     1.7 x                
                                                                         
Statutory surplus
    903,488                       932,846                       884,431                  

1
Includes mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities.
2
Certain prior year amounts were reclassified to conform with currrent year presentation.
3
The adjusted debt to capitalization ratio reflects a reduction in debt for amounts held in an  irrevocable trust for the benefit of senior note holders as well as the median rating agency equity treatment of 75% applied to our $100 million Junior Subordinated Notes issued September 25, 2006.

 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Selected Income Statement Data (unaudited)
September 2009
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)

   
THREE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30,
   
NINE MONTHS ENDED SEPTEMBER 30,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2009
   
2008
 
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
         
Per diluted share
 
Consolidated
                                               
Revenue
  $ 390,175           $ 389,211             1,124,216           $ 1,232,995        
Operating income
    23,845       0.44       22,916       0.44       49,211       0.92       68,721       1.29  
Net realized losses, after tax
    (3,239 )     (0.06 )     (14,676 )     (0.28 )     (26,197 )     (0.49 )     (12,441 )     (0.23 )
Income from continuing operations
    20,606       0.38       8,240       0.16       23,014       0.43       56,280       1.06  
Discontinued operations, net of tax
    (7,599 )     (0.14 )     752       0.01       (7,196 )     (0.13 )     1,866       0.03  
Net income
    13,007       0.24       8,992       0.17       15,818       0.30       58,146       1.09  
Operating return on equity
    9.9 %             9.2 %             7.0 %             8.9 %        
                                                                 
Insurance Operations
                                                               
Gross premiums written
    446,419               470,493               1,312,630               1,362,270          
Net premiums written
    376,718               402,739               1,117,764               1,184,087          
Net premiums earned
    355,906               374,708               1,078,090               1,135,349          
Underwriting (loss) profit   - before tax
    (142 )             (1,194 )             2,927               1,539          
                                                 - after tax
    (92 )     (0.00 )     (776 )     (0.01 )     1,903       0.04       1,000       0.02  
GAAP combined ratio
    100.0 %             100.3 %             99.7 %             99.9 %        
                                                                 
Commercial lines
                                                               
Net premiums earned
    301,279               321,849               918,069               979,137          
GAAP combined ratio
    99.3 %             99.5 %             98.9 %             99.1 %        
Personal lines
                                                               
Net premiums earned
    54,627               52,859               160,021               156,212          
GAAP combined ratio
    104.2 %             105.6 %             104.5 %             104.4 %        
                                                                 
Investments
                                                               
Net investment income    - before tax
    36,585               36,134               78,670               112,515          
                                         - after tax
    28,382       0.53       28,543       0.54       65,392       1.23       87,996       1.65  
Effective tax rate
    22.4 %             21.0 %             16.9 %             21.8 %        
Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
                                    2.4 %             3.2 %        
Annual after-tax, after-interest expense yield
                                    2.0 %             2.8 %        
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
                                    3.82               3.70          
                                                                 
Other expenses (net of other income)
                                                               
Interest expense    - before tax
    (4,751 )             (5,036 )             (14,618 )             (15,472 )        
                                   - after tax
    (3,089 )     (0.06 )     (3,274 )     (0.06 )     (9,502 )     (0.18 )     (10,057 )     (0.19 )
                                                                 
Other - after tax
  $ (1,356 )     (0.03 )   $ (1,577 )     (0.03 )     (8,582 )     (0.17 )   $ (10,218 )     (0.19 )
                                                                 
Diluted weighted avg shares outstanding
    53,548               52,994               53,312               53,397          
 
 

 
 
Quarterly
GAAP Investment Income
(unaudited)
($ in thousands)

   
For the three months ended
   
%
   
Year to Date
   
%
 
   
September
   
September
   
Increase
   
September
   
September
   
Increase
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
(Decrease)
   
2009
   
2008
   
(Decrease)
 
Investment Income:
                                   
Interest:
                                   
Fixed Maturity Securities
  $ 34,747       36,851       (5.7 )   $ 106,980       109,681       (2.5 )
Short-term
    237       976       (75.7 )     1,161       3,703       (68.6 )
Alternative Investments
    2,660       3,183       (16.4 )     (26,744 )     5,360       N/M  
Dividends
    551       1,004       (45.1 )     1,562       3,683       (57.6 )
Change in Fair Value
    -       (4,817 )     100 %     262       (6,448 )     104.1  
Miscellaneous
    53       112       (52.7 )     293       235       24.7  
      38,248       37,309       2.5       83,514       116,214       (28.1 )
                                                 
Investment Expense
    1,663       1,175       41.5       4,844       3,699       31.0  
                                                 
Net Investment Income Before Tax
    36,585       36,134       1.2       78,670       112,515       (30.1 )
                                                 
Tax
    8,203       7,591       8.1       13,278       24,519       (45.8 )
                                                 
Net Investment Income After Tax
  $ 28,382       28,543       (0.6 )   $ 65,392       87,996       (25.7 )
                                                 
Net Investment Income per Share
    0.53       0.54       (1.9 )     1.23       1.65       (25.5 )
                                                 
Effective Tax Rate
    22.4 %     21.0 %             16.9 %     21.8 %        
                                                 
Average Yields:
                                               
                                                 
Fixed Maturity Securities
                                               
Pre Tax
                            4.2 %     4.6 %        
After Tax
                            3.3 %     3.6 %        
                                                 
Portfolio
                                               
Pre Tax
                            2.9 %     4.1 %        
After Tax
                            2.4 %     3.2 %        

   
For the three months ended
   
Year to Date
 
   
September
   
September
   
September
   
September
 
 
 
2009
   
2008
   
2009
   
2008
 
Net Realized Gains (Losses)                        
Fixed Maturities
    (4,392 )     (27,541 )     (38,038 )     (40,771 )
Equity Securities
    259       8,393       (225 )     25,061  
Other
    (850 )     (3,429 )     (2,039 )     (3,429 )
Total
    (4,983 )     (22,577 )     (40,302 )     (19,139 )
Net of Tax
    (3,239 )     (14,676 )     (26,197 )     (12,441 )
 
(1) Certain prior year amounts were reclassified to conform with current year presentaion.
N/M - Not meaningful
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
2009 Statutory Results by Line of Business
3rd Qtr 2009 (unaudited)
($ in thousands)

   
Net
         
Net
                     
Underwriting
   
Dividends to
                   
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Loss
   
LAE
   
Expense
   
Policyholders
   
Combined Ratio
   
Combined Ratio
   
Underwriting
 
   
Written
   
Change
   
Earned
   
Change
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
2009
   
2008
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Personal Lines:
                                                                 
                                                                   
Homeowners
  $ 23,538       20.0 %   $ 18,613       8.0 %     59.5 %     9.4 %     31.2 %     0.0 %     100.1 %     105.1 %   $ (1,564 )
Auto
    35,617       4.9 %     33,318       0.1 %     67.4 %     10.9 %     32.6 %     0.0 %     110.9 %     113.0 %     (4,380 )
Other (including flood)
    3,134       17.9 %     2,696       14.8 %     49.3 %     (15.3 )%     (31.5 )%     0.0 %     2.5 %     (40.7 )%     2,766  
Total
  $ 62,290       10.8 %   $ 54,627       3.3 %     63.8 %     9.1 %     28.9 %     0.0 %     101.8 %     103.4 %   $ (3,178 )
                                                                                         
Commercial Lines:
                                                                                       
                                                                                         
Fire/IM
  $ 55,522       0.7 %   $ 49,879       2.3 %     41.0 %     5.0 %     35.2 %     0.0 %     81.2 %     98.8 %   $ 7,386  
Workers compensation
    66,101       (23.7 )%     64,742       (17.4 )%     65.0 %     16.2 %     28.2 %     1.5 %     110.9 %     91.0 %     (7,416 )
General liability
    88,886       (12.8 )%     88,280       (9.8 )%     51.6 %     18.5 %     33.8 %     0.0 %     103.9 %     98.5 %     (3,682 )
Auto
    80,183       (0.5 )%     75,513       0.1 %     60.7 %     9.4 %     28.4 %     0.0 %     98.5 %     98.1 %     (223 )
BOP
    15,839       5.3 %     15,805       8.3 %     54.2 %     12.4 %     34.6 %     0.0 %     101.2 %     116.4 %     (196 )
Bonds
    5,271       6.2 %     4,634       (2.1 )%     24.9 %     6.2 %     58.4 %     0.0 %     89.5 %     74.7 %     116  
Other
    2,627       10.2 %     2,426       4.1 %     (0.4 )%     1.0 %     46.5 %     0.0 %     47.1 %     46.7 %     1,191  
Total
  $ 314,429       (9.3 )%   $ 301,279       (6.4 )%     54.3 %     12.8 %     32.1 %     0.3 %     99.5 %     96.7 %   $ (2,824 )
                                                                                         
Grand Total
  $ 376,718       (6.5 )%   $ 355,907       (5.1 )%     55.8 %     12.3 %     31.4 %     0.3 %     99.8 %     97.6 %   $ (6,002 )

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

   
2009
   
2008
 
Losses Paid
  $ 177,750     $ 195,616  
LAE Paid
    38,686       34,311  
Total Paid
  $ 216,436     $ 229,927  
 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
2009 Statutory Results by Line of Business
September 2009 YTD (unaudited)
($ in thousands)

   
Net
         
Net
                     
Underwriting
   
Dividends to
                   
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Premiums
   
Percent
   
Loss
   
LAE
   
Expense
   
Policyholders
   
Combined Ratio
   
Combined Ratio
   
Underwriting
 
   
Written
   
Change
   
Earned
   
Change
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
Ratio
   
2009
   
2008
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
Personal Lines:
                                                                 
                                                                   
Homeowners
  $ 59,769       14.5 %   $ 53,337       5.0 %     64.7 %     9.3 %     33.6 %     0.0 %     107.6 %     102.2 %   $ (6,189 )
Auto
    103,251       0.4 %     99,204       0.4 %     64.2 %     13.1 %     31.1 %     0.0 %     108.4 %     112.2 %   $ (9,575 )
Other (including flood)
    8,244       16.5 %     7,480       13.2 %     58.7 %     (14.5 )%     (32.2 )%     0.0 %     12.0 %     (24.2 )%     6,832  
Total
  $ 171,265       5.6 %   $ 160,021       2.4 %     64.1 %     10.5 %     29.0 %     0.0 %     103.6 %     103.0 %   $ (8,932 )
                                                                                         
Commercial Lines:
                                                                                       
                                                                                         
Fire/IM
  $ 155,972       2.4 %   $ 147,735       0.3 %     45.3 %     5.0 %     36.7 %     (0.2 )%     86.8 %     96.5 %   $ 16,414  
Workers compensation
    202,973       (17.4 )%     201,709       (13.9 )%     57.9 %     15.0 %     26.9 %     1.4 %     101.2 %     94.6 %     (2,666 )
General liability
    281,119       (11.7 )%     274,357       (8.9 )%     52.3 %     18.5 %     33.3 %     (0.1 )%     104.0 %     99.6 %     (13,232 )
Auto
    236,229       (1.3 )%     226,698       (2.5 )%     60.6 %     8.6 %     28.8 %     (0.1 )%     97.9 %     98.1 %     2,062  
BOP
    47,991       7.3 %     46,565       8.0 %     66.5 %     12.3 %     34.1 %     0.0 %     112.9 %     111.8 %     (6,474 )
Bonds
    14,463       (0.1 )%     13,817       (2.9 )%     26.7 %     5.2 %     59.3 %     0.0 %     91.2 %     77.8 %     828  
Other
    7,751       6.3 %     7,189       3.6 %     0.7 %     0.8 %     44.2 %     0.0 %     45.7 %     46.1 %     3,656  
Total
  $ 946,500       (7.4 )%   $ 918,069       (6.3 )%     54.4 %     12.5 %     31.8 %     0.2 %     98.9 %     97.4 %   $ 588  
                                                                                         
Grand Total
  $ 1,117,764       (5.6 )%   $ 1,078,090       (5.1 )%     55.8 %     12.2 %     31.4 %     0.2 %     99.6 %     98.2 %   $ (8,344 )

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

   
2009
   
2008
 
Losses Paid
  $ 572,020     $ 569,035  
LAE Paid
    116,193       104,782  
Total Paid
  $ 688,213     $ 673,817  
 
 

 
 

ITEM 1.  FINANCIAL STATEMENTS 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
Unaudited
       
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
 
2009
   
2008
 
ASSETS
           
Investments:
           
Fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity – at carry value
(fair value of:  $1,839,893 – 2009; $1,178 – 2008)
  $ 1,804,240       1,163  
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
(amortized cost of:  $1,454,184 – 2009; $3,123,346 – 2008)
    1,488,186       3,034,278  
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
(cost of:  $76,805 – 2009;  $125,947 – 2008)
    89,892       132,131  
Short-term investments – at cost which approximates fair value
    236,896       198,111  
Equity securities, trading – at fair value
    -       2,569  
Other investments
    147,482       172,057  
Total investments
    3,766,696       3,540,309  
Cash and cash equivalents
    742       3,606  
Interest and dividends due or accrued
    35,494       36,538  
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible
               
accounts of:  $5,983 – 2009; $4,237 – 2008
    491,169       480,894  
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
    5,202       6,513  
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses
    256,571       224,192  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    108,055       96,617  
Current federal income tax
    12,788       26,593  
Deferred federal income tax
    115,009       150,759  
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated depreciation and amortization of:  $138,756 – 2009; $129,333 – 2008
    45,771       51,580  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    223,694       212,319  
Goodwill
    7,849       7,849  
Assets of discontinued operations
    44,245       56,468  
Other assets
    45,018       51,319  
Total assets
  $ 5,158,303       4,945,556  
                 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Reserve for losses
  $ 2,318,856       2,256,329  
Reserve for loss expenses
    399,999       384,644  
Unearned premiums
    895,446       844,334  
Notes payable
    261,599       273,878  
Commissions payable
    43,666       48,560  
Accrued salaries and benefits
    104,362       118,422  
Liabilities of discontinued operations
    27,192       34,138  
Other liabilities
    120,854       94,758  
Total liabilities
    4,171,974       4,055,063  
                 
Stockholders' Equity:
               
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
Authorized shares:  5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
               
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
               
Authorized shares:  360,000,000
               
Issued: 95,634,290 – 2009; 95,263,508 – 2008
    191,269       190,527  
Additional paid-in capital
    228,204       217,195  
Retained earnings
    1,125,415       1,128,149  
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
    (11,138 )     (100,666 )
Treasury stock – at cost (shares:  42,559,858 – 2009;  42,386,921 – 2008)
    (547,421 )     (544,712 )
Total stockholders' equity
    986,329       890,493  
Commitments and contingencies
               
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
  $ 5,158,303       4,945,556  
 
 
 

 
 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
Quarter ended
   
Nine Months ended
 
   
September 30,
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2009
   
2008
   
2009
   
2008
 
Revenues:
                       
Net premiums written
  $ 376,718       402,739       1,117,764       1,184,087  
Net increase in unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance premiums
    (20,812 )     (28,031 )     (39,674 )     (48,738 )
Net premiums earned
    355,906       374,708       1,078,090       1,135,349  
Net investment income earned
    36,585       36,134       78,670       112,515  
Net realized (losses) gains:
                               
Net realized investment (losses) gains
    (741 )     12,277       3,515       25,499  
Other-than-temporary impairments
    (5,833 )     (34,854 )     (45,467 )     (44,638 )
Other-than-temporary impairments on fixed maturity securities recognized in other comprehensive income
    1,591       -       1,650       -  
Total net realized investment losses
    (4,983 )     (22,577 )     (40,302 )     (19,139 )
Other income
    2,667       946       7,758       4,270  
Total revenues
    390,175       389,211       1,124,216       1,232,995  
                                 
Expenses:
                               
Losses incurred
    198,495       215,095       602,161       635,140  
Loss expenses incurred
    43,537       39,453       131,114       125,288  
Policy acquisition costs
    114,520       119,825       342,148       370,468  
Dividends to policyholders
    991       1,151       2,268       3,265  
Interest expense
    4,751       5,036       14,618       15,472  
Other expenses
    6,054       7,175       18,815       20,776  
Total expenses
    368,348       387,735       1,111,124       1,170,409  
                                 
Income from continuing operations, before federal income tax
    21,827       1,476       13,092       62,586  
                                 
Federal income tax expense (benefit):
                               
Current
    (426 )     10,252       3,818       34,140  
Deferred
    1,647       (17,016 )     (13,740 )     (27,834 )
Total federal income tax (benefit) expense
    1,221       (6,764 )     (9,922 )     6,306  
                                 
Net income from continuing operations
    20,606       8,240       23,014       56,280  
                                 
(Loss) income from discontinued operations
    (11,746 )     1,090       (11,302 )     2,667  
Federal income tax (benefit) expense
    (4,147 )     338       (4,106 )     801  
Total (loss) income from discontinued operations, net of tax
    (7,599 )     752       (7,196 )     1,866  
                                 
Net income
  $ 13,007       8,992       15,818       58,146  
                                 
Earnings per share:
                               
Basic net income from continuing operations
    0.39       0.16       0.44       1.07  
Basic net income from discontinued operations
    (0.14 )     0.01       (0.14 )     0.04  
Basic net income
  $ 0.25       0.17       0.30       1.11  
                                 
Diluted net income from continuing operations
    0.38       0.16       0.43       1.06  
Diluted net income discontinued operations
    (0.14 )     0.01       (0.13 )     0.03  
Diluted net income
  $ 0.24       0.17       0.30       1.09  
                                 
Dividends to stockholders
  $ 0.13       0.13       0.39       0.39  

 
 

 


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. 
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
     
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
     
   
Nine Months Ended September 30,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2009
   
2008
 
Common stock:
                       
Beginning of year
  $ 190,527             189,306        
Dividend reinvestment plan
                           
(shares:  96,265 – 2009; 59,704 – 2008)
    193             119        
Convertible debentures
                           
(shares:  45,759 – 2008)
    -             92        
Stock purchase and compensation plans
                           
(shares:  274,517 – 2009; 336,191 – 2008)
    549             672        
End of period
    191,269             190,189        
                             
Additional paid-in capital:
                           
Beginning of year
    217,195             192,627        
Dividend reinvestment plan
    1,136             1,267        
Convertible debentures
    -             645        
Stock purchase and compensation plans
    9,873             18,004        
End of period
    228,204             212,543        
                             
Retained earnings:
                           
Beginning of year
    1,128,149             1,105,946        
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to fair value election under ASC 825, net of deferred income tax effect of $3,344
    -             6,210        
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of other-than-temporary impairment guidance under ASC 320, net of deferred income tax effect of $1,282
    2,380             -        
Net income
    15,818       15,818       58,146       58,146  
Cash dividends to stockholders ($0.39 per share – 2009; $0.39 per share – 2008)
    (20,932 )             (20,922 )        
End of period
    1,125,415               1,149,380          
                                 
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income:
                               
Beginning of year
    (100,666 )             86,043          
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to fair value election under ASC 825, net of deferred income tax effect of $(3,344)
    -               (6,210 )        
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of other-than-temporary impairment guidance under ASC 320, net of deferred income tax effect of $(1,282)
    (2,380 )             -          
Other comprehensive income (loss), increase (decrease) in:
                               
Unrealized (losses) gains on investment securities:
                               
Non-credit portion of other-than-temporary impairment losses recognized in other comprehensive income, net of deferred income tax effect of $(537)
    (998 )             -          
Other net unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities, net of deferred income tax effect of:  $49,285 – 2009; $(59,737) – 2008
    91,529               (110,940 )        
Total unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities
    90,531       90,531       (110,940 )     (110,940 )
Defined benefit pension plans, net of deferred income tax effect of:  $742 – 2009; $48 – 2008
    1,377       1,377       88       88  
End of period
    (11,138 )             (31,019 )        
Comprehensive income (loss)
            107,726               (52,706
                                 
Treasury stock:
                               
Beginning of year
    (544,712 )             (497,879 )        
Acquisition of treasury stock
                               
(shares:  172,937 – 2009; 1,979,043 – 2008)
    (2,709 )             (45,450 )        
End of period
    (547,421 )             (543,329 )        
Total stockholders’ equity
  $ 986,329               977,764          
 
 
 

 


SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
           
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
 
Nine Months ended
 
   
September 30,
 
($ in thousands)
 
2009
   
2008
 
Operating Activities
           
Net income
  $ 15,818       58,146  
                 
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    21,045       21,329  
Stock-based compensation expense
    9,178       14,094  
Undistributed losses of equity method investments
    26,744       812  
Net realized losses
    40,302       19,139  
Postretirement life curtailment benefit
    (4,217 )     -  
Deferred tax
    (17,666 )     (27,360 )
Unrealized loss on trading securities
    (262 )     6,448  
Goodwill impairment
    12,214       -  
                 
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Increase in reserves for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses
    46,320       88,638  
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums
    39,121       48,609  
Decrease in net federal income tax recoverable
    13,252       7,842  
Increase in premiums receivable
    (10,275 )     (46,697 )
(Increase) decrease in deferred policy acquisition costs
    (11,375 )     2,331  
Decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
    1,038       623  
Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
    1,311       2,363  
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
    (10,920 )     (6,473 )
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses
    (4,242 )     (15,849 )
Purchase of trading securities
    -       (6,587 )
Sale of trading securities
    2,831       17,586  
Other-net
    (2,905 )     7,097  
Net adjustments
    151,494       133,945  
Net cash provided by operating activities
    167,312       192,091  
                 
Investing Activities
               
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    (158,827 )     -  
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    (757,538 )     (437,003 )
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
    (75,856 )     (50,551 )
Purchase of other investments
    (13,466 )     (44,380 )
Purchase of short-term investments
    (1,600,685 )     (1,591,302 )
Sale of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    5,819       -  
Sale of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    470,202       112,890  
Sale of short-term investments
    1,561,901       1,599,629  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    197,095       4,530  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    88,402       229,598  
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
    125,211       63,143  
Proceeds from other investments
    23,149       11,263  
Purchase of property and equipment
    (4,139 )     (5,535 )
Net cash used in investing activities
    (138,732 )     (107,718 )
                 
Financing Activities
               
Dividends to stockholders
    (19,833 )     (19,391 )
Acquisition of treasury stock
    (2,709 )     (45,450 )
Principal payment of notes payable
    (12,300 )     (12,300 )
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
    2,914       5,747  
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
    (1,125 )     1,570  
Principal payments of convertible bonds
    -       (8,754 )
Net cash used in financing activities
    (33,053 )     (78,578 )
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
    (4,473 )     5,795  
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents from discontinued operations
    (1,609 )     4,334  
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations
    (2,864 )     1,461  
Cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations, beginning of year
    3,606       1,965  
Cash and cash equivalents from continuing operations, end of period
  $ 742       3,426  

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Balance Sheets
($ in thousands)

   
Sep-30
   
Sep-30
   
*
Dec-31
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2008
 
                   
ASSETS
                 
Bonds
  $ 3,224,083       3,088,962       3,104,395  
Common stocks
    89,892       226,686       134,700  
Affiliated mortgage loan
    39,559       -       40,000  
Other investments
    162,798       209,174       172,346  
Short-term investments
    198,818       105,743       137,878  
Total investments
    3,715,150       3,630,565       3,589,319  
                         
Cash on hand and in banks
    (31,778 )     (33,563 )     (36,472 )
Interest and dividends due and accrued
    35,649       35,533       36,523  
Premiums receivable
    487,220       536,602       476,768  
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and expenses
    5,202       2,587       6,513  
Federal income tax recoverable
    369       -       12,069  
Deferred tax recoverable
    88,821       89,759       86,208  
EDP equipment
    2,361       3,656       3,815  
Equities and deposits in pools and associations
    8,297       9,522       8,517  
Receivable for sold securities
    5,150       1,262       13,278  
Other assets
    29,462       29,201       28,719  
Total assets
  $ 4,345,903       4,305,124       4,225,257  
                         
LIABILITIES
                       
Reserve for losses
  $ 2,061,817       2,020,278       2,031,947  
Reinsurance payable on paid loss and loss expense
    924       1,127       716  
Reserve for loss expenses
    397,863       378,283       382,796  
Unearned premiums
    787,390       807,904       747,717  
Reserve for commissions payable
    43,666       48,842       48,560  
Ceded balances payable
    12,437       11,144       8,421  
Federal income tax payable
    -       15,626       -  
Premium and other taxes payable
    21,372       20,469       20,721  
Reserve for dividends to policyholders
    3,657       4,884       5,023  
Reserves for unauthorized reinsurance
    1,416       1,258       1,416  
Payable for securities
    24,962       1,378       -  
Funds withheld on account of others
    5,154       5,839       4,977  
Accrued salaries and benefits
    68,323       41,726       74,287  
Other liabilities
    13,434       13,520       14,245  
Total liabilities
    3,442,415       3,372,278       3,340,826  
                         
                         
POLICYHOLDERS' SURPLUS
                       
Capital
    28,325       28,325       28,325  
Paid in surplus
    255,792       235,792       235,792  
Unassigned surplus
    619,371       668,729       620,314  
Total policyholders' surplus
    903,488       932,846       884,431  
Total liabilities and policyholders' surplus
  $ 4,345,903       4,305,124       4,225,257  

*December 31, 2008 results include a retroactive affiliate transaction involving SICA, SIGI, and Wantage Avenue Holding Company.

 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Statements Of Income
($ in thousands)

   
Three Months Ended
         
Nine Months Ended
       
   
September
         
September
       
   
2009
         
2008
         
2009
         
2008
       
UNDERWRITING
                                               
                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 376,718             402,939             1,117,764             1,184,287        
                                                         
Net premiums earned
    355,906             374,908             1,078,090             1,135,548        
                                                         
Net losses paid
    177,750             195,616             572,020             569,035        
Change in reserve for losses
    20,698               19,686               29,869               66,318          
Net losses incurred
    198,448       55.8 %     215,302       57.4 %     601,889       55.8 %     635,353       56.0 %
Net loss expenses paid
    38,686               34,311               116,193               104,782          
Change in reserve for loss expenses
    4,925               5,111               15,067               20,158          
Net loss expenses incurred
    43,611       12.3 %     39,422       10.5 %     131,260       12.2 %     124,940       11.0 %
Net underwriting expenses incurred
    120,436       32.0 %     117,920       29.3 %     355,291       31.8 %     367,173       31.0 %
Total deductions
    362,495               372,644               1,088,440               1,127,467          
Statutory underwriting (loss) gain
    (6,589 )             2,264               (10,350 )             8,082          
                                                                 
Net loss from premium balances charged off
    (1,078 )             (950 )             (3,446 )             (2,436 )        
Finance charges and other income
    2,656               569               7,720               3,035          
Total other income (expense)
    1,578       -0.6 %     (381 )     0.1 %     4,274       -0.4 %     599       -0.1 %
Policyholders' dividends incurred
    (991 )     0.3 %     (1,151 )     0.3 %     (2,268 )     0.2 %     (3,265 )     0.3 %
Total underwriting (loss) gain
    (6,002 )     99.8 %     732       97.6 %     (8,344 )     99.6 %     5,416       98.2 %
                                                                 
INVESTMENT
                                                               
Net investment income earned
    35,481               45,210               95,980               123,450          
Net realized (loss)
    (4,878 )             (20,107 )             (41,392 )             (13,960 )        
Total income before income tax
    24,601               25,835               46,244               114,906          
Federal income tax expense
    3,269               14,946               17,362               44,894          
                                                                 
Net income
  $ 21,332               10,889               28,882               70,012          
                                                                 
Policyholders' Surplus
                                                               
Surplus, beginning of period
  $ 873,365               999,676               884,431               1,034,294          
                                                                 
Net income
    21,332               10,889               28,882               70,012          
Change in deferred tax
    (919 )             12,106               14,638               19,359          
Change in unrealized gains (losses)
    10,450               (33,394 )             (11,245 )             (62,396 )        
Dividends to stockholders
    (12,515 )             (24,502 )             (24,518 )             (77,045 )        
Paid in surplus
    -               -               20,000               -          
Change in cum. effect of acctg principle
    2,540               -               2,540               -          
Change in non-admitted assets
    9,235               (31,761 )             (11,299 )             (51,101 )        
Surplus adjustments
    -               (168 )             59               (277 )        
                                                                 
Net change in surplus for period
    30,123               (66,830 )             19,057               (101,448 )        
                                                                 
Surplus, end of period
  $ 903,488               932,846               903,488               932,846          
                                                                 
Statutory underwriting (loss) gain:
  $ (6,002 )             732               (8,344 )             5,416          
                                                                 
Adjustments under GAAP:
                                                               
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    5,678               (1,542 )             11,376               (2,331 )        
Other, net
    182               (384 )             (105 )             (1,546 )        
GAAP underwriting (loss) gain
  $ (142 )             (1,194 )             2,927               1,539          

Note:  Some amounts or ratios may not foot due to rounding.
Certain amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.

 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Alternative Investments
as of September 30, 2009
(unaudited)

   
Inception
 
Current
         
Invest.
   
3rd QTR
   
YTD
   
Remaining
 
Fund
 
Year
 
Market Value
   
Cost
   
Multiple(1)
   
Income
   
Income
   
Commitment
 
Real Estate
                                       
LEH RE II
 
2005
  $ 10,722,260     $ 12,011,057       0.93     $ (464,216 )   $ (4,730,377 )   $ 4,090,036  
GS Whitehall 2007
 
2007
  $ 4,286,568     $ 14,250,000       0.30     $ (600,066 )   $ (4,260,853 )   $ 750,000  
LEH RE III
 
2008
  $ 3,562,971     $ 6,227,933       0.57     $ (151,426 )   $ (1,630,791 )   $ 8,772,067  
Total - Real Estate
      $ 18,571,799     $ 32,488,990             $ (1,215,708 )   $ (10,622,021 )   $ 13,612,103  
Mezzanine Financing
                                                   
GS Mezz III
 
2003
  $ 3,499,312     $ 2,403,021       1.11     $ (344,591 )   $ (849,119 )   $ 5,637,326  
LEH Euro Mezz
 
2004
  $ 3,798,334     $ 2,377,268       1.11     $ 487,024     $ (413,708 )   $ -  
GS Mezz 2006
 
2006
  $ 4,163,620     $ 9,224,574       0.54     $ 364,281     $ (3,055,557 )   $ 5,228,783  
GS Mezz V
 
2007
  $ 6,901,493     $ 7,094,103       0.98     $ 783,413     $ 171,440     $ 17,752,669  
Total - Mezz. Financing
      $ 18,362,759     $ 21,098,966             $ 1,290,127     $ (4,146,944 )   $ 28,618,778  
Distressed Debt
                                                   
Varde LP
 
1997
  $ 12,297,684     $ 4,000,000       3.07     $ 1,103,215     $ 713,183     $ -  
Varde VIII
 
2006
  $ 11,490,782     $ 10,000,000       1.15     $ 559,268     $ 1,126,823     $ -  
GS Distressed Opp III
 
2007
  $ 6,276,991     $ 10,000,056       0.65     $ 336,346     $ (2,143,877 )   $ 4,610,862  
Total - Distressed Debt
      $ 30,065,457     $ 24,000,056             $ 1,998,829     $ (303,871 )   $ 4,610,862  
Private Equity
                                                   
Prospector
 
1997
  $ 1,777,514     $ 1,778,000       2.89     $ (225 )   $ (455 )   $ -  
Trilantic Capital Partners III
 
2004
  $ 7,158,008     $ 3,672,851       1.38     $ 168,556     $ (219,317 )   $ 1,175,644  
NB Co-Invest
 
2006
  $ 6,726,007     $ 7,815,857       0.90     $ 277,608     $ (2,282,621 )   $ 4,769,210  
GS PEP Asia
 
2007
  $ 1,091,993     $ 1,478,654       0.74     $ (51,398 )   $ (198,634 )   $ 5,505,139  
Trilantic Capital Partners IV
 
2007
  $ 3,342,178     $ 3,987,076       0.84     $ (19,443 )   $ (241,935 )   $ 7,111,275  
Total - Private Equity
      $ 20,095,701     $ 18,732,438             $ 375,098     $ (2,942,961 )   $ 18,561,269  
Private Equity, Secondary Market
                                               
NB SOF
 
2005
  $ 7,132,956     $ 6,607,465       1.05     $ (44,867 )   $ (1,516,695 )   $ 899,494  
GS Vintage IV
 
2007
  $ 8,977,394     $ 11,994,286       0.77     $ (617,289 )   $ (3,590,798 )   $ 6,781,085  
NB SOF II
 
2008
  $ 1,978,602     $ 1,774,610       1.11     $ 20,995     $ 247,727     $ 10,223,752  
GS Vintage V
 
2008
  $ 1,957,161     $ 2,200,000       0.89     $ (68,630 )   $ (252,702 )   $ 7,800,000  
Total - Pvt. Eq. Sec. Mkt.
      $ 20,046,113     $ 22,576,361             $ (709,791 )   $ (5,112,468 )   $ 25,704,331  
Energy/Power Generation
                                                   
ArcLight I
 
2002
  $ 939,793     $ 939,793       1.71     $ 255,211     $ (1,641,685 )   $ 1,655,505  
ArcLight II
 
2003
  $ 6,743,410     $ 1,639,149       1.27     $ 276,947     $ (1,123,165 )   $ 2,295,492  
ArcLight III
 
2006
  $ 12,649,466     $ 12,172,972       1.03     $ 139,999     $ 276,194     $ 1,681,702  
Quintana Energy
 
2006
  $ 5,727,876     $ 6,927,238       0.83     $ 71,170     $ (524,151 )   $ 3,072,762  
ArcLight IV
 
2007
  $ 6,408,026     $ 6,658,531       0.97     $ 112,822     $ 48,250     $ 2,154,097  
Total - Energy/Power Generation
  $ 32,468,571     $ 28,337,683             $ 856,149     $ (2,964,557 )   $ 10,859,558  
Venture Capital
                                                   
Venture V
 
2001
  $ 5,625,290     $ 6,273,978       0.92     $ 65,067     $ (651,606 )   $ 2,000,000  
Total - Venture Capital
      $ 5,625,290     $ 6,273,978             $ 65,067     $ (651,606 )   $ 2,000,000  
TOTAL - ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS
      $ 145,235,689     $ 153,508,473             $ 2,659,771     $ (26,744,428 )   $ 103,966,902  
 
(1) Market value +  capital returned  divided  by capital called

 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Municipal Bond Portfolio
State and Repayment Source Composition
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Structured Securities
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

 
 
•Market Value = $706,333 ; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($41,661)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 42%; Available for Sale (AFS) 58%
 
•Structured Security Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•Structured Securities = 18.6% of the Total Portfolio
 
Ratings Migration (1)
September 30, 2009

Original Rating
   
Current Rating
   
Downgraded
 
Rating
 
Amount
   
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below Inv
Grade
   
$
   
%
 
AAA
    691,931       605,405       13,589       18,738       19,336       34,863       86,526       12.5 %
AA
    36,305       5,255       14,845                       16,205       16,205       44.6 %
A
    13,531                       12,116               1,415       1,415       10.5 %
BBB
    25,164                               7,000       18,164       18,164       72.2 %
Below Inv Grade
    5,000                                       5,000       -       0.0 %
Total Par Value
    771,931       610,660       28,434       30,854       26,336       75,647       122,310       15.8 %

Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to September 30, 2009

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) Securities
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
•Market Value = $466,150; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($12,829)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 35%; Available for Sale (AFS) 65%
 
•RMBS & RABS Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•RMBS & RABS Securities = 12.3% of the Total Portfolio
 
Ratings Migration (1)
September 30, 2009

Original Rating
   
Current Rating
   
Downgraded
 
Rating
 
Amount
   
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below Inv
Grade
   
$
   
%
 
AAA
    477,154       420,228       13,589       1,351       1,047       40,939       56,926       11.9 %
AA
    3,934       256                               3,678       3,678       93.5 %
A
    3,531                       2,116               1,415       1,415       40.1 %
BBB
    1,414                                       1,414       1,414       100.0 %
Total Par Value
    486,033       420,484       13,589       3,467       1,047       47,446       63,433       13.1 %

Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to September 30, 2009

 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) - by Vintage Year
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

Market Value

Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
   
% of
Total
RMBS &
RABS
   
% of Total
Fixed
Income
Portfolio
   
% of Total
GAAP
Equity
 
1983
  $ 12     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 12       0 %     0 %     0 %
2002
    48,585       -       -       715       1,087       50,387       11 %     2 %     5 %
2003
    54,620       -       791       -       -       55,411       12 %     2 %     6 %
2004
    65,774       3,273       -       -       -       69,047       15 %     2 %     7 %
2005
    33,683       7,808       943       -       1,323       43,756       9 %     1 %     4 %
2006
    34,437       -       -       -       18,422       52,859       11 %     2 %     5 %
2007
    8,702       -       -       -       1,708       10,410       2 %     0 %     1 %
2008
    39,615       -       -       -       -       39,615       8 %     1 %     4 %
2009
    144,653       -       -       -       -       144,653       32 %     4 %     15 %
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
  $ 430,082     $ 11,080     $ 1,733     $ 715     $ 22,540     $ 466,150       100 %     14 %     47 %
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    92 %     2 %     1 %     0 %     5 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    13 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     14 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    43 %     2 %     0 %     0 %     2 %     47 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    102.3       81.5       50.0       68.3       47.5       95.9                          
                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
 
                                                                         
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
                         
1983
  $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -                          
2002
    1,552       -       -       (340 )     (471 )     741                          
2003
    1,185       -       (1,308 )     -       -       (123 )                        
2004
    930       (322 )     -       -       -       608                          
2005
    (3,566 )     (2,107 )     (409 )     -       -       (6,082 )                        
2006
    527       -       -       -       (8,356 )     (7,829 )                        
2007
    158       -       -       -       (3,076 )     (2,917 )                        
2008
    873       -       -       -       -       873                          
2009
    1,900       -       -       -       -       1,900                          
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ 3,560     $ (2,429 )   $ (1,717 )   $ (340 )   $ (11,903 )   $ (12,829 )                        

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) - by Type
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

Market Value

RMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
   
% of
Total
RMBS &
RABS
   
% of Total
Fixed
Income
Portfolio
   
% of Total
GAAP
Equity
 
Agency
  $ 395,345     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 395,345       85 %     12 %     40 %
FHA/VA
    4,223       -       -       -       -       4,223       1 %     0 %     0 %
Total Agency
    399,568       -       -       -       -       399,568       86 %     12 %     40 %
Alt-A
    14,037       1,412       -       -       9,291       24,741       5 %     1 %     2 %
Alt-A CDO
    -       -       -       -       1,289       1,289       0 %     0 %     0 %
Home Equity ABS
    -       -       -       715       1,087       1,802       0 %     0 %     0 %
Non-Agency & Other Prime
    16,476       9,668       1,733       -       10,873       38,751       9 %     1 %     5 %
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
  $ 430,082     $ 11,080     $ 1,733     $ 715     $ 22,540     $ 466,150       100 %     14 %     47 %
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    92 %     2 %     1 %     0 %     5 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    13 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     14 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    43 %     2 %     0 %     0 %     2 %     47 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    102.3       81.5       50.0       68.3       47.5       95.9                          
                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
 
                                                                         
RMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
                         
Agency
  $ 10,342     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 10,342                          
FHA/VA
    137       -       -       -       -       137                          
Total Agency
    10,479       -       -       -       -       10,479                          
Alt-A
    (2,475 )     (139 )     -       -       (5,094 )     (7,708 )                        
Alt-A CDO
    -       -       -       -       (223 )     (223 )                        
Home Equity ABS
    -       -       -       (340 )     (471 )     (811 )                        
Non-Agency & Other Prime
    (4,444 )     (2,289 )     (1,717 )     -       (6,115 )     (14,566 )                        
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ 3,560     $ (2,429 )   $ (1,717 )   $ (340 )   $ (11,903 )   $ (12,829 )                        

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
ALT-A by Vintage Year
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

Market Value

Vintage Yr
 
ALT-A Fixed-15
   
Alt-A Fixed-30
   
Alt-A Hybrid ARM
   
Alt-A CDO
   
Total
   
% of
Total Alt-
A
   
% of
Total
Fixed
Income
Portfolio
   
% of
Total
GAAP
Equity
 
2002
  $ 4,580     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 4,580       18 %     0 %     1 %
2003
    -       1,546       427       -       1,973       8 %     0 %     0 %
2004
    -       1,538       1,542       -       3,080       12 %     0 %     0 %
2005
    -       3,006       2,811       -       5,817       22 %     0 %     1 %
2006
    -       6,767       2,524       1,289       10,580       42 %     1 %     1 %
Total ALT-A, Market Value
  $ 4,580     $ 12,857     $ 7,304     $ 1,289     $ 26,030       100 %     1 %     3 %
% of Total ALT-A
    18 %     50 %     28 %     5 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    0 %     1 %     0 %     0 %     1 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    1 %     1 %     1 %     0 %     3 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    96.8       75.6       67.5       14.5       62.8                          
                                                                 
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                                                         
                                                                 
Vintage Yr
 
ALT-A Fixed-15
   
Alt-A Fixed-30
   
Alt-A Hybrid ARM
   
Alt-A CDO
   
Total
                         
2002
  $ (149 )   $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (149 )                        
2003
    -       (324 )     (37 )     -       (361 )                        
2004
    -       (82 )     (171 )     -       (253 )                        
2005
    -       (469 )     (1,382 )     -       (1,851 )                        
2006
    -       (3,233 )     (1,861 )     (223 )     (5,317 )                        
Total ALT-A, Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (149 )   $ (4,108 )   $ (3,451 )   $ (223 )   $ (7,931 )                        

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 

 
•Market Value = $185,413; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($26,205)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 54%; Available for Sale (AFS) 46%
 
•CMBS Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•CMBS Securities = 4.9% of the Total Portfolio

Ratings Migration (1)
September 30, 2009

Original Rating
   
Current Rating
   
Downgraded
 
Rating
 
Amount
   
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Inv
Grade
   
$
     
%
 
AAA
    190,580       161,113             9,424       17,227       2,816       29,467       15.5 %
AA
    8,635       5,000                             3,635       3,635       42.1 %
A
    -                                             -       0.0 %
BBB
    17,000                             7,000       10,000       10,000       58.8 %
Below Inv Grade
    5,000                                     5,000       -       0.0 %
Total Par Value
    221,215       166,113       -       9,424       24,227       21,451       43,102       19.5 %
                                                                 
Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to September 30, 2009
 

 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Vintage Year
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

Market Value

Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
   
% of Total
CMBS
   
% of Total
Fixed
Income
Portfolio
   
% of
Total
GAAP
Equity
 
1996
  $ 2,310       -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 2,310       1 %     0 %     0 %
1999
    3,734       -       -       -       -       3,734       2 %     0 %     0 %
2000
    27,278       -       -       -       -       27,278       15 %     1 %     3 %
2001
    16,577       -       -       -       -       16,577       9 %     0 %     2 %
2002
    10,956       -       -       -       -       10,956       6 %     1 %     1 %
2003
    2,008       -       -       -       -       2,008       1 %     0 %     0 %
2004
    9,698       -       -       -       -       9,698       5 %     0 %     1 %
2005
    868       -       1,195       934       253       3,249       2 %     0 %     0 %
2006
    54,673       -       -       3,378       -       58,052       32 %     3 %     7 %
2007
    34,124       -       1,542       1,505       4,216       41,386       22 %     1 %     4 %
2009
    10,164       -       -       -       -       10,164       5 %     0 %     1 %
Total CMBS-Market Value
  $ 172,390     $ -     $ 2,737     $ 5,817     $ 4,469     $ 185,413       100 %     6 %     19 %
% of Total CMBS
    94 %     0 %     1 %     3 %     2 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    5 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     6 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    18 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     19 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    103.8       0.0       61.9       24.0       20.8       83.8                          
                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                                                     
                                                                         
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
                         
1996
  $ (63 )     -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (63 )                        
1999
    166       -       -       -       -       166                          
2000
    876       -       -       -       -       876                          
2001
    714       -       -       -       -       714                          
2002
    706       -       -       -       -       706                          
2003
    37       -       -       -       -       37                          
2004
    198       -       -       -       -       198                          
2005
    (153 )     -       (3,229 )     (3,869 )     (2,563 )     (9,814 )                        
2006
    1,047       -       -       (11,202 )     -       (10,155 )                        
2007
    567       -       (3,458 )     (495 )     (5,648 )     (9,034 )                        
2009
    164       -       -       -       -       164                          
Total CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ 4,258     $ -     $ (6,688 )   $ (15,566 )   $ (8,210 )   $ (26,205 )                        

Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Type
September 30, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)

Market Value

CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
   
% of Total
CMBS
   
% of Total
Fixed
Income
Portfolio
   
% of
Total
GAAP
Equity
 
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 107,216     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 107,216       58 %     3 %     11 %
Conduit
    11,563       -       -       -     $ -       11,563       6 %     1 %     1 %
Fusion (1)
    43,765       -       1,542       934     $ 742       46,983       25 %     1 %     5 %
Lease-Backed
    3,734       -       -       -     $ -       3,734       2 %     0 %     0 %
Re-Securitization
    868       -       1,195       3,378     $ 253       5,694       3 %     0 %     1 %
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    5,245       -       -       1,505     $ 3,473       10,223       6 %     1 %     1 %
Total CMBS-Market Value
  $ 172,390     $ -     $ 2,737     $ 5,817     $ 4,469     $ 185,413       100 %     6 %     19 %
% of Total CMBS
    94 %     0 %     1 %     3 %     2 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    5 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     6 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    18 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     19 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    103.8       0.0       61.9       24.0       20.8       83.8                          

Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)

CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
   
BBB
   
Below
Investment
Grade
   
Total
   
 
   
 
   
 
 
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 3,942     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 3,942                          
Conduit
    381       -       -       -       -       381                          
Fusion (1)
    (301 )     -       (3,458 )     (3,869 )     (4,121 )     (11,749 )                        
Lease-Backed
    166       -       -       -       -       166                          
Re-Securitization
    (153 )     -       (3,229 )     (11,202 )     (2,563 )     (17,147 )                        
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    223       -       -       (495 )     (1,527 )     (1,798 )                        
Total CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ 4,258     $ -     $ (6,688 )   $ (15,566 )   $ (8,210 )   $ (26,205 )                        

(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans.
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Fixed Maturity Securities
Severity and Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses
September 30, 2009
($ in millions)
(unaudited)

   
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
   
Fair
 
Fair Value as a Percentage of Amortized Cost
 
(Loss) Gain
   
Value
 
85% but less than 100% of amortized cost
  $ (9.0 )     264.4  
75% or more but less than 85% of amortized cost
    (8.5 )     36.9  
Less than 75% of amortized cost
    (47.7 )     36.5  
Gross unrealized/unrecognized losses on fixed maturity securities
    (65.2 )     337.8  
Gross unrealized/unrecognized gains on fixed maturity securities
    139.0       2,990.3  
Net unrealized/unrecognized losses on fixed maturity securities
  $ 73.8       3,328.1  

Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Loss Position
 
75% or more but
less than 85% of
Amortized Cost
   
Less than
75% of
Amortized Cost
 
0 – 3 months
  $ (0.8 )     (0.1 )
4 – 6 months
    -       (0.7 )
7 – 9 months
    -       (4.1 )
10 – 12 months
    (3.3 )     (17.6 )
Greater than 12 months
    (4.4 )     (25.2 )
Gross unrealized/unrecognized losses
  $ (8.5 )     (47.7 )

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Credit Quality of Available-for-Sale Securities
September 30, 2009
($ in millions)
(unaudited)

   
September 30, 2009
   
December 31, 2008
 
   
Fair Value
   
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
   
Credit
Quality
   
Fair
Value
   
Unrealized
Gain (Loss)
   
Credit
Quality
 
AFS Portfolio:
                                   
U.S. government obligations1
  $ 352.9       4.3    
AAA
      252.2       16.6    
AAA
 
State and municipal obligations
    407.0       26.8    
AA+
      1,758.0       18.6    
AA+
 
Corporate securities
    318.1       16.6    
A+
      366.5       (22.9 )  
A
 
Mortgage-backed securities
    386.4       (13.5 )  
AA+
      596.2       (86.1 )  
AA+
 
Asset-backed securities ("ABS")
    23.8       (0.2 )  
AA
      61.4       (15.3 )  
AA
 
Total AFS portfolio
  $ 1,488.2       34.0    
AA+
      3,034.3       (89.1 )  
AA+
 
                                               
State and Municipal Obligations:
                                             
Government obligations
  $ 231.3       14.9    
AA+
      574.1       16.2    
AA+
 
Special revenue obligations
    175.7       11.9    
AA+
      1,183.9       2.4    
AA+
 
Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 407.0       26.8    
AA+
      1,758.0       18.6    
AA+
 
                                               
Corporate Securities:
                                             
Financial
  $ 61.2       2.8    
AA-
      101.0       (13.1 )  
A+
 
Industrials
    50.2       2.8    
A
      67.7       (2.1 )  
A-
 
Utilities
    19.1       1.1    
BBB+
      47.6       (0.8 )  
A
 
Consumer discretion
    21.7       1.8    
A-
      33.9       (1.5 )  
A-
 
Consumer staples
    31.6       1.6    
A
      42.0       0.5    
A
 
Health care
    38.6       2.3    
AA+
      22.7       0.7    
A+
 
Materials
    15.7       0.8    
BBB+
      13.2       (3.7 )  
BBB+
 
Energy
    35.5       1.6    
AA-
      19.1       (0.2 )  
A-
 
Information technology
    12.1       0.1    
A
      10.1       (1.9 )  
BBB
 
Telecommunications services
    11.6       0.6    
A
      9.2       (0.8 )  
A-
 
Other
    20.8       1.1    
A
      -       -          
Total corporate securities
  $ 318.1       16.6    
A+
      366.5       (22.9 )  
A
 
                                                 
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                               
Agency CMBS
  $ 84.7       3.1    
AAA
      72.9       2.8    
AAA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    -       -      
-    
      154.3       (34.8 )  
AAA
 
Agency RMBS
    244.1       4.5    
AAA
      245.5       4.2    
AAA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    32.9       (13.4 )  
A-
      74.3       (28.4 )  
AA+
 
Alternative-A ("Alt-A") RMBS
    24.7       (7.7 )  
A-
      49.2       (29.9 )  
AA+
 
Total MBS
  $ 386.4       (13.5 )  
AA+
      596.2       (86.1 )  
AA+
 
                                                 
Asset-backed securities:
                                               
ABS
  $ 23.8       (0.2 )  
AA
      59.3       (15.1 )  
AA+
 
Alt-A ABS
    -       -    
-
      0.9       -    
B
 
Sub-prime ABS2
    -       -    
-
      1.2       (0.2 )  
A
 
Total ABS
  $ 23.8       (0.2 )  
AA
      61.4       (15.3 )  
AA
 

1 U.S. Governemnt includes coporate securities fully guaranteed by the FDIC.
2 We define sub-prime exposure as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Credit Quality of Held-to-Maturity Securities
September 30, 2009
($ in millions)
(unaudited)
 

                                     
   
Fair Value
   
Carry Value
   
Unrecognized
Holding Gain
(Loss)2
   
Unrealized Gain
(Loss) in Other
Comprehensive
Income3
   
Total Unrealized /
Unrecognized
Gain (Loss)
   
Credit
Quality
 
HTM Fixed Maturity Portfolio1:
                                   
U.S. government obligations
  $ 179.7       177.0       2.7       5.9       8.6    
AAA
 
State and municipal obligations
    1,254.4       1,233.5       21.0       36.1       57.1    
AA
 
Corporate securities
    109.6       101.2       8.4       (6.3 )     2.1    
A-
 
Mortgage-backed securities
    262.1       261.9       0.2       (24.7 )     (24.5 )  
AAA
 
Asset-backed securities
    34.0       30.6       3.4       (6.9 )     (3.5 )  
AA
 
Total HTM portfolio
  $ 1,839.8       1,804.2       35.7       4.1       39.8    
AA+
 
                                                 
State and Municipal Obligations:
                                               
Government obligations
  $ 310.2       305.9       4.3       15.7       20.0    
AA+
 
Special revenue obligations
    944.3       927.6       16.7       20.4       37.1    
AA
 
Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 1,254.5       1,233.5       21.0       36.1       57.1    
AA
 
                                                 
Corporate Securities:
                                               
Financial
  $ 34.7       31.6       3.1       (4.2 )     (1.1 )  
A
 
Industrials
    29.1       25.6       3.5       (2.2 )     1.3    
A-
 
Utilities
    16.6       16.4       0.2       (0.1 )     0.1    
A-
 
Consumer discretion
    6.3       6.1       0.3       0.1       0.4    
BBB+
 
Consumer staples
    17.3       16.4       0.8       0.5       1.3    
AA-
 
Materials
    2.1       1.9       0.2       (0.1 )     0.1    
BBB-
 
Energy
    3.5       3.2       0.3       (0.3 )     -    
BB+
 
Total corporate securities
  $ 109.6       101.2       8.4       (6.3 )     2.1    
A-
 
                                                 
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                               
Agency CMBS
  $ 22.5       22.1       0.4       0.3       0.8    
AAA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    78.2       81.4       (3.2 )     (26.9 )     (30.1 )  
AAA
 
Agency RMBS
    155.5       152.5       3.0       3.0       6.0    
AAA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    5.9       5.9       -       (1.1 )     (1.2 )  
AAA
 
Total mortgage-backed securities
  $ 262.1       261.9       0.2       (24.7 )     (24.5 )  
AAA
 
                                                 
Asset-backed securities:
                                               
ABS
  $ 31.6       28.5       3.1       (5.9 )     (2.8 )  
AA
 
Alt-A ABS
    1.3       1.0       0.3       (0.5 )     (0.2 )  
CC
 
Sub-prime ABS4
    1.1       1.1       -       (0.5 )     (0.5 )  
A
 
Total ABS
  $ 34.0       30.6       3.4       (6.9 )     (3.5 )  
AA-
 

1 2008 HTM securities are not presented as they are not material
2 Unrecognized holding gains (losses) are equal to the fair value less the carry value of the security
3 Unrealized gains (losses) are equal to the fair value less the amortized costs of securities transferred from AFS to HTM at the date of transfer, adjusted for subsequent amortization into income
4 We define sub-prime exposure as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650.