EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL PRESENTATION SLIDES Earnings conference call presentation slides
Earnings Conference Call •
4
th
Quarter 2009
January 22, 2010
EXHIBIT 99.2


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties. The factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements
include those discussed herein as well as those discussed in (1) Exelon’s 2008 Annual Report
on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
of
Financial
Condition
and
Results
of
Operations
and
(c)
ITEM
8.
Financial
Statements
and
Supplementary
Data:
Note
18;
(2)
Exelon’s
Third
Quarter
2009
Quarterly
Report
on
Form
10-Q
in
(a)
Part
II,
Other
Information,
ITEM
1A.
Risk
Factors
and
(b)
Part
I,
Financial
Information,
ITEM 1. Financial Statements: Note 14 and (3) other factors discussed in filings with the
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) by Exelon Corporation, Commonwealth Edison
Company,
PECO
Energy
Company
and
Exelon
Generation
Company,
LLC
(Companies).
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which
apply only as of the date of this presentation. None of the Companies undertakes any
obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings and non-
GAAP cash flows that exclude the impact of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted
operating earnings and cash flows are representative of the underlying operational results of
the Companies. Please refer to the attachments to the earnings release and the appendix to
this presentation for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to GAAP
earnings.
Please
refer
to
the
footnotes
of
the
following
slides
for
a
reconciliation
non-GAAP
cash flows to GAAP cash flows.


3
Nuclear
Uprates
Deploying Capital for Shareholder Value
Smart Grid
Carbon
Price
Recovery
Transmission
-
1,300–1,500 MW of new Exelon nuclear capacity by 2017, the
equivalent of a new nuclear plant at roughly half the cost of a
new plant and no incremental operating costs
-
Approximately $725 million in investments to build smart grid
infrastructure over the coming years with a regulated return on
investment
-
Lowest carbon intensity in the sector, significant upside if and
when legislation enacted or regulations promulgated, and
enhancing industry-leading position with Exelon 2020
-
Positioned to benefit from our fundamental view of recovery in
natural gas and coal prices, heat rates, and demand growth
-
Leveraging transmission expertise to build Exelon
Transmission Company with the goal of improving reliability,
reducing congestion and moving renewable energy to
population centers


4
Key Financial Messages
Operating results
Operating
earnings
of
$0.92/share
for
4Q09
and
$4.12/share
for
2009
(1)
93.6% nuclear capacity factor for 2009
2009
cash
flow
from
operations
(2)
of
$5.78
billion,
$1
billion
over
original
plan
Far exceeded cost savings expectations in 2009 to offset
unfavorable drivers
Realized an additional $200 million of cost savings over plan
Reaffirming 2010 operating earnings guidance of $3.60 -
$4.00/share
(1)
Committed to 2010 O&M target of $4.35 billion, offsetting inflation and $35 million
of higher pension and OPEB expense with additional cost savings
Initial signs that load stabilization will begin in 2010
91-94%
of
2010
expected
generation
hedged
(3)
(1)    Refer to Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(2)    Cash Flow from Operations primarily includes net cash flows provided by operating activities (excluding counterparty collateral activity) and net cash flows used in
investing activities other than capital expenditures.
(3)    As of December 31, 2009.
Note: Data contained on this slide is rounded.


5
$0.80
$0.12
$0.66
$0.12
$0.16
$0.16
2008
2009
Operating EPS
$3.46
$3.16
$0.49
$0.54
$0.33
$0.54
2008
2009
HoldCo/Other
ExGen
PECO
ComEd
4
th
Quarter (4Q)
(1)
Exceeding cost savings target allowed Exelon to deliver results well within our
original
guidance
range
of
$4.00
-
$4.30/share
(1)  Refer to Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
$1.07
$0.88
GAAP EPS
Full Year (FY)
(1)
$4.12
$4.20
$4.13
$4.09
$0.92
$1.07


6
Exelon Generation                         
Operating EPS Contribution
2009
2008
Key Drivers –
4Q09 vs. 4Q08
(1)
Lower nuclear volume: $(0.04)
Unfavorable market/portfolio
conditions: $(0.03)
Higher nuclear fuel costs: $(0.02)
Higher O&M due to pension and
OPEB expense and 2008 nuclear
insurance credit, partially offset by
cost savings initiatives: $(0.02)
(1) Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(2) Outage days exclude Salem. 
136
80
Refueling
23
22
Non-refueling
4Q09
4Q08
Outage Days
(2)
4Q
FY
$0.80
$0.66
$3.16
$3.46


7
2010
2011
2012
Hedging Update
2010
2011
2012
Percentage of Expected
Generation
Hedged
(1)
91-94%
69-72%
37-40%
Midwest
89-92
71-74
43-46
Mid-Atlantic
93-96
65-68
25-28
South
97-100
66-69
39-42
95% case
5% case
$6,500
$6,100
$4,800
$7,800
$6,200
$8,000
By design, our hedging program allows us to weather short-term, adverse market
conditions, while positioning us to participate in long-term upside potential
Exelon
Generation
Gross
Margin
Upside/Risk
(2)
Expected Generation Hedged
(1)
Percent of expected generation hedged represents how many equivalent MW have been hedged at forward market prices as of December 31, 2009; all hedge products used
are converted to an equivalent average MW volume and the calculation considers whether hedges are power sales or financial products.  Reflects decision to permanently
retire Cromby Station and Eddystone Units 1&2 as of May 31, 2011, pending PJM approval.
(2)
Represents an approximate range of expected gross margin, taking into account hedges in place, between the 5th and 95th percent confidence levels assuming all unhedged
supply is sold into the spot market.  Approximate gross margin ranges are based upon an internal simulation model and are subject to change based upon market inputs,
future transactions and potential modeling changes. These ranges of approximate gross margin in 2011 and 2012 do not represent earnings guidance or a forecast of future
results as Exelon has not completed its planning or optimization processes for those years. The price distributions that generate this range are calibrated to market quotes for
power, fuel, load following products, and options as of December 31, 2009.
($ millions)


8
Key Drivers –
4Q09 vs. 4Q08
(1)
Lower O&M due to cost savings
initiatives, partially offset by higher
pension and OPEB expense:
+$0.03
Reduced load: $(0.01)
Weather: $(0.01)
’08 tax method change: $(0.02)
ComEd Operating EPS Contribution
(1) Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
2009
2008
4Q
FY
$0.16
$0.16
$0.54
$0.33
4Q09
Actual
Normal
Heating Degree Days     2,264
2,278


9
ComEd Load Trends
Weather-Normalized Load
Key Economic Indicators
Note: C&I = Commercial & Industrial
Weather-Normalized Load Year-over-Year
(4)
Chicago
U.S.
Unemployment
rate
(1)
10.9%
10.0%
2009 annualized growth in
gross
domestic/metro
product
(2)
(3.1)%
(2.5)%
10/09
Home
price
index
(3)
(10.1)%
(7.3)%
(1)  Source: Illinois Dept. of Employment Security (November 2009) and U.S.
Dept. of Labor (December 2009)
(2)
Source: Moody’s Economy.com (December 2009)
(3)
Source: S&P Case-Shiller Index
(4)
Not adjusted for leap year effect
4Q09       2009
(4)
2010E
Customer Growth
(0.5)%
(0.4)%
0.1%
Average Use-Per-Customer
(1.1)%
(1.0)%
0.0%
Total Residential
(1.6)%
(1.4)%
0.0%
Small C&I
0.1%
(2.2)%
0.8%
Large C&I
(4.0)%
(6.7)%
1.5%
All Customer Classes
(1.6)%
(3.3)%
0.8%
-10.0%
-7.5%
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10E
2Q10E
3Q10E
4Q10E
-10.0%
-7.5%
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
All Customer Classes
Large C&I
Residential
Gross Metro Product


10
PECO Operating EPS Contribution
Key Drivers –
4Q09 vs. 4Q08
(1)
Higher other revenue net fuel, including
gas distribution revenues: +$0.02
Lower bad debt expense: +$0.02
Reduced load: $(0.01)
Weather: $(0.01)
Competitive Transition Charge (CTC)
amortization: $(0.02)
2009
2008
(1) Refer to the Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
4Q
FY
$0.12
$0.12
$0.54
$0.49
4Q09
Actual
Normal
Heating Degree Days   1,567
1,634


11
PECO Load Trends
Weather-Normalized Electric Load
Key Economic Indicators
Weather-Normalized Load Year-over-Year
(3)
Philadelphia
U.S.
Unemployment rate
(1)
8.5%               10.0%
2009 annualized growth in
gross domestic/metro product
(2)
(3.6)%             (2.5)%
(1)  Source:
U.S
Dept.
of
Labor
(PHL
-
November
2009,
US
December
2009)
(2)  Source: Moody’s Economy.com (December 2009)
(3)  Not adjusted for leap year effect
Note: C&I = Commercial & Industrial
4Q09        2009
(3)
2010E
Customer Growth
(0.4)%
(0.2)%
(0.1)%
Average Use-Per-Customer
0.2%
(2.1)%
(1.2)%
Total Residential
(0.2)%
(2.3)%
(1.3)%
Small C&I
(2.5)%
(2.7)%
(0.7)%
Large C&I
(1.4)%
(3.0)%
(2.4)%
All Customer Classes
(1.3)%
(2.6)%
(1.5)%
-10.0%
-7.5%
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
1Q10E
2Q10E
3Q10E
4Q10E
-10.0%
-7.5%
-5.0%
-2.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
All Customer Classes
Large C&I
Residential
Gross Metro Product


12
Pension and OPEB Expense and Contributions
Pension
Assets
$7,840
Obligations
$11,480
2010E
2009
$210
$250
$205
$200
$440
$260
$155
$155
2010E
2009
(1)
(2)
(3)
OPEB
Assets
$1,475
Obligations
$3,660
Key Metrics
2009 asset return
12/31/09 discount rate
Assumed long-term EROA
Pension and OPEB expense is
increasing by $35 million pre-tax
Pre-Tax Expense
(4)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
Pension
OPEB
Pension and OPEB Plans Key Metrics – 12/31/09E   ($ in millions)
(1)
Includes settlement charges.
(2)
Contributions reflect the application of recently issued U.S. Treasury Department guidance and cover both the qualified and non-qualified plans.  2009 contributions include a
$350 million discretionary contribution.  2010 pension contributions are based on minimum regulatory requirements and additional amounts required to avoid benefit
restrictions.  Management may elect to make additional discretionary contributions.
(3)
Approximately $100 million of the 2009/2010 OPEB contributions is discretionary. Management has not yet made a decision regarding its 2010 OPEB contributions.
Contributions shown above include amounts paid out of corporate assets.
(4)
Assumes an ~20% overall capitalization rate for pension and OPEB costs.
Note: OPEB = other postretirement benefits; EROA = expected return on assets.  Data contained on this slide is rounded.
21%
5.83%
8.50%
Cash Contributions
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
Pension
OPEB


13
Delivering on Cost Savings Commitments
Holding O&M below 2008 levels for second consecutive year
Committed to 2010 O&M target of $4.35 billion, offsetting inflation and $35 million of higher
pension and OPEB expense with additional cost savings
Reduced positions by 500 (400 in corporate support and 100 at ComEd) in 2009
Freezing executive salaries and reducing other compensation benefits for 2010
Note: Data contained on this slide is rounded.
($ millions)
$0.7
$0.6
PECO
(1)
$1.0
$1.0
ComEd
(1)
$2.7
$2.7
Generation
2010E
2009A
$ billions
(2)
(2)
(2)
O&M Expense
(1)
(1)
Reflects operating O&M data and excludes decommissioning effect. ComEd and PECO operating O&M exclude energy efficiency and smart
meter costs recoverable under a rider.
(2)
Exelon Consolidated includes operating O&M expense from Holding Company.
$4,500
$4,300
$4,350
$450
$415
$245
2008A
2009A
2010E
Total O&M
Pension/OPEB Expense


14
2010 Operating Earnings Guidance
2010E
2009A
$0.54
$3.16
$4.12
(1)
ComEd
PECO
Exelon
Generation
2010 Earnings Drivers
ComEd
PECO
Exelon
Generation
Holdco
Holdco
Exelon
$0.54
Exelon
$3.60 -
$4.00
(1)
$0.60 -
$0.70
$0.40 -
$0.50
$2.55 -
$2.80
Reaffirming
2010
operating
earnings
guidance
of
$3.60
$4.00/share
(1)
expect
1Q10
results
between
$0.85
$0.95/share
(1)
Depreciation and Amortization
O&M
Cost Savings Initiative
Inflation
Pension/OPEB
ComEd
RNF
PECO RNF
Generation RNF
(1) Refer to Earnings Release Attachments for additional details and to the Appendix for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.


15
Appendix


16
2010 Projected Sources and Uses of Cash
(325)
n/a
(100)
(225)
Utility Growth CapEx
(4)
($ millions)
Exelon
(9)
Beginning Cash Balance
(1)
$1,050
Cash Flow from Operations
(1)(2)
1,025
900
2,325
4,250
CapEx (excluding Nuclear Fuel, Nuclear
Uprates and Solar Project, Utility Growth
CapEx)
(625)
(400)
(750)
(1,825)
Nuclear Fuel
n/a
n/a
(850)
(850)
Dividend
(3)
(1,400)
Nuclear Uprates and Solar Project
n/a
n/a
(375)
(375)
Net Financing (excluding Dividend):
Planned Debt Issuances
(5,6)
250
--
300
550
Planned Debt Retirements
(7)
(225)
(400)
--
(1,025)
Other
(8)
25
175
--
125
Ending Cash Balance
(1)
$175
(1)
Excludes counterparty collateral activity.
(2)
Cash Flow from Operations primarily includes net cash flows provided by operating activities and net cash flows used in investing activities other than capital expenditures.  Cash Flow from
Operations for PECO and Exelon includes $572 million for competitive transition charges. Net cash flow from operations includes $225 million of timing differences from 2009.
(3)
Assumes 2010 dividend of $2.10/share.  Dividends are subject to declaration by the Board of Directors.
(4)
Represents new business and smart grid/smart meter investment.
(5)
Excludes Exelon Generation’s $213 million and ComEd’s $191 million tax-exempt bonds that are backed by letters of credit (LOCs).  Excludes PECO’s $225 million Accounts Receivable
(A/R) Agreement with Bank of Tokyo.  Assumes PECO’s A/R Agreement is extended in accordance with its terms beyond September 16, 2010.
(6)
Exelon
Generation’s
$300
million
financing
includes
a
$50
million
DOE
loan
for
the
City
Solar
Project
and
$250
million
of
debt
to
refinance
a
portion
of
Exelon
Corp’s
$400
million
maturity.
(7)
PECO’s planned debt retirement of $400 million represents the final retirement of the PECO Energy Transition Trust.
(8)
“Other”
includes PECO Parent Receivable, proceeds from options and expected changes in short-term debt.
(9)
Includes cash flow activity from Holding Company, eliminations, and other corporate entities.


17
Sufficient Liquidity
(1)  Excludes previous commitment from Lehman Brothers Bank and commitments from Exelon’s Community and Minority Bank Credit Facility.
(2)  Available Capacity Under Facilities represents the unused bank commitments under the borrower’s credit agreements net of outstanding letters of credit and facility
draws.  The amount of commercial paper outstanding does not reduce the available capacity under the credit agreements.
(3)  Includes other corporate entities.
(45)
--
--
(45)
Outstanding Facility Draws
(447)
(171)
(10)
(261)
Outstanding Letters of Credit
$7,317
$4,834
$574
$952
Aggregate Bank Commitments
(1)
6,825
4,663
564
646
Available Capacity Under Facilities
(2)
--
--
--
--
Outstanding Commercial Paper
$6,825
$4,663
$564
$646
Available Capacity Less Outstanding
Commercial Paper
Exelon
(3)
($ millions)
Exelon has no commercial paper outstanding and its bank facilities are largely untapped
Available Capacity Under Bank Facilities as of January 14, 2010


18
Projected 2010 Key Credit Measures
13.8x
8.1x
FFO / Interest
Generation /
Corp:
62%
34%
FFO / Debt
53%
68%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
BBB
A-
A-
BBB-
S&P Credit
Ratings
(3)
BBB+
A
BBB
BBB+
Fitch Credit
Ratings
(3)
A3
A2
Baa1
Baa1
Moody’s Credit
Ratings
(3)
3.7x
3.8x
FFO / Interest
ComEd:
18%
14%
FFO / Debt
42%
49%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
5.2x
5.0x
FFO / Interest
PECO:
28%
23%
FFO / Debt
46%
50%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
29%
47%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
87%
44%
FFO / Debt
18.6x
9.9x
FFO / Interest
Generation:
46%
37%
7.2x
Without PPA &
Pension / OPEB
(2)
57%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
25%
FFO / Debt
6.0x
FFO / Interest
Exelon
Consolidated:
With PPA & Pension /
OPEB
(1)
Notes:
Exelon
and
PECO
metrics
exclude
securitization
debt.
See
following
slide
for
FFO
(Funds
from
Operations)/Interest,
FFO/Debt
and
Adjusted
Book
Debt
Ratio
reconciliations
to
GAAP.
(1)
FFO/Debt metrics include the following standard adjustments:  imputed debt and interest related to purchased power agreements (PPA), unfunded pension and other postretirement
benefits (OPEB) obligations, capital adequacy for energy trading, operating lease obligations, and other off-balance sheet debt.  Debt is imputed for estimated pension and OPEB
obligations by operating company.
(2)
Excludes items listed in note (1) above.
(3)
Current senior unsecured ratings for Exelon and Exelon Generation and senior secured ratings for ComEd and PECO as of January 20, 2010.


19
FFO Calculation and Ratios
FFO Calculation
= FFO
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Paydown
+ Gain
on
Sale,
Extraordinary
Items
and
Other
Non-Cash
Items
(3)
+ Change in Deferred Taxes
+ Depreciation,
Amortization
(including
nucl
fuel
amortization),
AFUDC/Cap.
Interest
Add back non-cash items:
Net Income
Adjusted Interest
FFO + Adjusted Interest
= Adjusted Interest
+ 7% of Present Value (PV) of Operating Leases
+ Interest on imputed debt related to PV of Purchased Power Agreements
(PPA), unfunded Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits (OPEB)
obligations,
and
Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
,
as
applicable
-
PECO Transition Bond Interest Expense
Net Interest Expense (Before AFUDC & Cap. Interest)
FFO Interest Coverage
+ Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
FFO
= Adjusted Debt
+ PV of Operating Leases
+ 100%
of
PV
of
Purchased
Power
Agreements
(2)
+ Unfunded
Pension
and
OPEB
obligations
(2)
+ A/R Financing
Add off-balance sheet debt equivalents:
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Adjusted Debt
(1)
FFO Debt Coverage
Rating Agency Capitalization
Rating Agency Debt
Total Adjusted Capitalization
Adjusted Book Debt
= Total Rating Agency Capitalization
+ Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
Total Adjusted Capitalization
= Rating Agency Debt
+ ComEd Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
Adjusted Book Debt
= Total Adjusted Capitalization
+ Adjusted Book Debt
+ Preferred Securities of Subsidiaries
+ Total Shareholders' Equity
Capitalization:
= Adjusted Book Debt
-
Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Debt to Total Cap
(1)
Uses current year-end adjusted debt balance.
(2)
Metrics are calculated in presentation unadjusted and adjusted for debt equivalents and related interest for PPAs, unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations, and Capital
Adequacy for Energy Trading.
(3)
Reflects depreciation adjustment for PPAs and decommissioning interest income and contributions.


20
Q4 GAAP EPS Reconciliation
0.04
-
-
-
0.04
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
(0.01)
-
-
(0.01)
-
City of Chicago settlement with ComEd
(0.02)
(0.01)
-
-
(0.01)
Costs associated with early debt retirements
(0.02)
-
-
-
(0.02)
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
(0.05)
-
-
-
(0.05)
Retirement of fossil generating units
0.02
-
-
-
0.02
Unrealized gains related
to nuclear decommissioning trust funds
$0.88
$(0.03)
$0.12
$0.15
$0.64
4Q 2009 GAAP Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$0.92
$(0.02)
$0.12
$0.16
$0.66
2009 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Three Months Ended December 31, 2009
NOTE:  All amounts shown are per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS.  Amounts may not add due to rounding.
0.03
-
-
-
0.03
Settlement of tax matter at Generation related to Sithe
(0.02)
-
-
(0.02)
-
City of Chicago settlement with ComEd
(0.02)
(0.02)
-
-
-
NRG acquisition costs
$1.07
$(0.03)
$0.12
$0.14
$0.84
4Q 2008 GAAP Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$1.07
$(0.01)
$0.12
$0.16
$0.80
2008 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.04)
-
-
-
(0.04)
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
0.15
-
-
-
0.15
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
(0.10)
-
-
-
(0.10)
Unrealized losses related
to nuclear decommissioning trust funds
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Three Months Ended December 31, 2008


21
YTD GAAP EPS Reconciliation
0.16
-
-
-
0.16
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
(0.05)
-
-
-
(0.05)
Retirement of fossil generating units
(0.01)
-
-
(0.01)
-
City of Chicago settlement with ComEd
(0.10)
-
-
(0.01)
(0.09)
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
(0.11)
(0.04)
-
-
(0.07)
Costs associated with early debt retirements
(0.20)
-
-
-
(0.20)
Impairment of certain generating assets
(0.03)
-
(0.00)
(0.02)
(0.01)
2009 severance charges
0.05
-
-
-
0.05
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(0.03)
(0.03)
-
-
-
NRG acquisition costs
0.19
-
-
-
0.19
Unrealized gains related
to nuclear decommissioning trust funds
0.10
(0.02)
-
0.06
0.06
Non-cash remeasurement of income tax uncertainties and reassessment
of state deferred income taxes
$4.09
$(0.21)
$0.53
$0.56
$3.21
FY 2009 GAAP Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$4.12
$(0.12)
$0.54
$0.54
$3.16
2009 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2009
NOTE:  All amounts shown are per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS.  Amounts may not add due to rounding.
(0.02)
-
-
(0.02)
-
City of Chicago settlement with ComEd
(0.02)
(0.02)
-
-
-
NRG acquisition costs
0.03
-
-
-
0.03
Settlement of tax matter at Generation related to Sithe
0.02
-
-
-
0.02
Decommissioning obligation reduction
$4.13
$(0.10)
$0.49
$0.30
$3.44
YTD 2008 GAAP Earnings (Loss) Per Share
$4.20
$(0.08)
$0.49
$0.33
$3.46
2008 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss) Per Share
(0.22)
-
-
(0.01)
(0.21)
2007 Illinois electric
rate
settlement
0.41
-
-
-
0.41
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
(0.27)
-
-
-
(0.27)
Unrealized losses related
to nuclear decommissioning trust funds
Exelon
Other
PECO
ComEd
ExGen
Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2008


22
Exelon Generation 2010 EPS Contribution
(1) 
Estimated contribution to Exelon’s operating earnings guidance.
$ / Share
$(0.32)
$0.06
RNF
O&M
Other
Depreciation &
Amortization
$(0.09)
Key Items:
Inflation                                      $(0.05)
Pension/OPEB                         $(0.03)
Cost Savings Initiative              $0.11
2009A
2010E
(1)
$2.55 -
$2.80
$3.16
Key Items:
Market/Portfolio
Conditions/Generation      $(0.29)
Nuclear Fuel Expense       $(0.12)
PECO CTC                       
$(0.11)
Capacity Market Prices       $0.19
$(0.01)
$(0.04)
Interest
Expense


23
ComEd 2010 EPS Contribution
(1)
Estimated contribution to Exelon’s operating earnings guidance.
(2)
Excludes estimated impact of Rider EDA (Energy Efficiency and Demand Response Adjustment) of $0.05/share and Rider AMI (Advanced Metering Infrastructure) of $0.01/share in 2010.
(3)
Primarily recovery of 2008 and 2009 uncollectible expense.  Approximately $0.06/share we anticipate will be included in 1Q10 earnings.
2009A
Depreciation &
Amortization
Interest
Expense
$0.60 -
$0.70
$0.54
$0.15
$0.04
$(0.02)
2010E
(1)
$ / Share
$(0.02)
$(0.03)
Other
RNF
(2)
O&M
(2)
Key Items:
Uncollectible Rider
(3)
$0.05
Weather                              $0.04
Key Items:
Cost Savings Initiative              $0.05
Bad Debt
(3)
$0.05
Inflation                                     $(0.02)
Pension/OPEB                          $(0.01)


24
PECO 2010 EPS Contribution
$ / Share
RNF
$(0.12)
$0.54
(1)
Depreciation &
Amortization
2010E
(2)
Key Items:
CTC                          $0.11
Weather                    $0.04
Load                         $(0.03) 
Key Items:
Inflation                            $(0.02)
Bad Debt                         $(0.02)
$0.08
O&M
(3)
$0.04
$0.40 -
$0.50
(1)
Key Items:
CTC Amortization  $(0.11)
Interest
$(0.09)
Key Items:
CTC Interest Expense    $0.06
2009A
(1)
Excludes preferred dividends.
(2)
Estimated contribution to Exelon’s operating earnings guidance.
(3)
Excludes estimated impact of energy efficiency and smart meter costs recoverable under a rider of $0.10/share.


25
25
Key Assumptions for 2010
Earnings Guidance
(1)
2008 Actual
2009 Actual
2010 Est.
Nuclear
Capacity
Factor
(%)
(2)
93.9
93.6
93.5
Total Generation Sales Excluding Trading (GWh)
176,174
173,065
171,400
Total Generation Sales to PECO (GWh)
40,966
39,897
39,900
Total
Generation
Market
and
Retail
Sales
(GWh)
(3)
135,208
133,168
131,500
Henry Hub Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
8.85
3.92
6.21
PJM West Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
68.52
38.30
48.40
Tetco M3 Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
9.83
4.64
6.95
PJM West Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh)
6.97
8.25
6.96
NI Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
49.00
28.85
32.57
Chicago City Gate Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
8.79
3.92
6.23
NI Hub Implied ATC Heat Rate (mmbtu/MWh)
5.57
7.36
5.22
PJM East Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
169.09
173.73
181.34
PJM West Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
82.39
106.13
144.40
Electric
Delivery
Growth
(%)
(4)
PECO
0.6
(2.6)
(1.3)
ComEd
(0.1)
(3.3)
0.8
Effective Tax Rate (%)
(5)
36.1
37.2
35.8
(1)
Reflects assumptions used in original 2010 Earnings Guidance provided on November 2, 2009; 2010 prices reflect observable prices as of September 30, 2009.
(2)
Excludes Salem.
.
(3)
Includes Illinois auction sales and ComEd swap.
(4)
Weather-normalized retail load growth.
(5)
Starting on January 1, 2011, effective tax rate is expected to increase to 37.1% due to lower tax benefit related to the PECO PPA roll off.


26
4Q07
4Q08
4Q09
ComEd and PECO Accounts Receivable
ComEd Accounts
Receivable
(1)
Both ComEd and PECO have experienced an improvement in accounts receivable aging
4Q07
4Q08
4Q09
PECO Accounts
Receivable
(1)
% of AR
$755M
$749M
$850M
$832M
$864M
$759M
(1)   Accounts receivable amounts include unbilled receivables and are gross of allowance for uncollectible accounts at ComEd and PECO and long-term receivables at PECO.
>60 days
31-60 days
0-30 days


27
ComEd Customer Usage Breakdown
Customer Usage by Revenue Class
Top 380 Customer Usage by Segment
Other
2%
Residential
31%
Small C&I
36%
380 Large
C&I
18%
Other Large
C&I
13%
3%
Leisure & Hospitality
9%
Trade, Transportation & Utilities
11%
Finance, Professional &
Business Services
12%
Health & Educational Services
13%
Government
52%
Manufacturing
ComEd’s
territory
is
largely
manufacturing
focused,
which
is
beginning
to
see
increases
in
production due to improved economic conditions


28
PECO Customer Usage Breakdown
Other
3%
Other Large
C&I
24%
150 Large
C&I
17%
Small C&I
22%
Residential
34%
Customer Usage by Revenue Class
Top 150 Customer Usage by Segment
7%
Other
13%
Transportation, Communication &
Utilities
18%
Health & Educational Services
18%
Manufacturing
22%
Petroleum
2%
Retail Trade
9%
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
12%
Pharmaceuticals
PECO’s
load
is
relatively
diversified
by
customer
class
and
industry,
a
slow
recovery
in
the
second half of 2010 is expected


29
2010 Earnings Outlook
Exelon’s 2010 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings outlook
excludes the earnings effects of the following:
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Unrealized gains and losses from nuclear decommissioning trust fund investments
Significant impairments of assets, including goodwill
Changes in decommissioning obligation estimates
Costs
associated
with
the
2007
Illinois
electric
rate
settlement
agreement
Costs associated with ComEd’s 2007 settlement with the City of Chicago
Costs associated with the retirement of fossil generating units
Other
unusual
items
Significant future changes to GAAP
Operating earnings guidance assumes normal weather for the
year


30
30
Important Information
The following slides are intended to provide additional information regarding the hedging
program at Exelon Generation and to serve as an aid for the purposes of modeling Exelon
Generation’s gross margin (operating revenues less purchased power and fuel expense). The
information on the following slides is not intended to represent earnings guidance or a
forecast of future events.  In fact, many of the factors that ultimately will determine Exelon
Generation’s actual gross margin are based upon highly variable market factors outside of our
control.  The information on the following slides is as of December 31, 2009. Going forward, we
plan to update the information on a quarterly basis.
Certain information on the following slides is based upon an internal simulation model that
incorporates assumptions regarding future market conditions, including power and
commodity prices, heat rates, and demand conditions, in addition to operating performance
and dispatch characteristics of our generating fleet.  Our simulation model and the
assumptions therein are subject to change.  For example, actual market conditions and the
dispatch profile of our generation fleet in future periods will likely differ – and may differ
significantly – from the assumptions underlying the simulation results included in the slides. 
In addition, the forward-looking information included in the following slides will likely change
over time due to continued refinement of our simulation model and changes in our views on
future market conditions.


31
31
Portfolio Management Objective
Align Hedging Activities with Financial Commitments
Power Team utilizes several product
types and channels to market
Wholesale and retail sales
Block products
Load-following products
and load auctions
Put/call options
Exelon’s hedging program is designed to
protect the long-term value of our
generating fleet and maintain an
investment-grade balance sheet
Hedge enough commodity risk to meet future cash
requirements if prices drop
Consider:
financing
policy
(credit
rating
objectives,
capital structure, liquidity); spending (capital and
O&M); shareholder value return policy
Consider market, credit, operational risk
Approach to managing volatility
Increase hedging as delivery approaches
Have enough supply to meet peak load
Purchase fossil fuels as power is sold
Choose hedging products based on generation
portfolio
sell
what
we
own
Heat rate options
Fuel products
Capacity
Renewable credits
% Hedged
High End of Profit
Low End of Profit
Open Generation
with LT Contracts
Portfolio
Optimization
Portfolio
Management
Portfolio Management Over Time


32
32
32
Percentage of Expected
Generation Hedged
How many equivalent MW have been
hedged at forward market prices;  all hedge
products used are converted to an
equivalent average MW volume
Takes ALL
hedges into account whether
they are power sales or financial products
Equivalent MWs Sold
Expected Generation
=
Our normal practice is to hedge commodity risk on a ratable basis
over the three years leading to the spot market
Carry operational length into spot market to manage forced outage and load-following
risks
By
using
the
appropriate
product
mix,
expected
generation
hedged
approaches
the
mid-90s percentile as the delivery period approaches
Participation in larger procurement events, such as utility auctions, and some flexibility
in the timing of hedging may mean the hedge program is not strictly ratable from
quarter to quarter
Exelon Generation Hedging Program


33
33
33
2010
2011
2012
Estimated
Open
Gross
Margin
($
millions)
(1,2)
$5,900
$5,800
$5,750
Open gross margin assumes all expected generation is
sold at the Reference Prices listed below
Reference Prices
(1)
Henry Hub Natural Gas ($/MMBtu)
NI-Hub ATC Energy Price ($/MWh)
PJM-W ATC Energy Price ($/MWh)    
ERCOT North ATC Spark Spread ($/MWh)
(3)
$5.79
$33.83
$48.04
$(0.53)
$6.33
$34.75
$49.42
$(0.44)
$6.53
$36.13
$50.43
$0.89
Exelon Generation Open Gross Margin and
Reference Prices
(1)
Based on December 31, 2009 market conditions.  
(2)
Gross margin is defined as operating revenues less fuel expense and purchased power expense, excluding the impact of decommissioning and other incidental revenues. Open
gross margin is estimated based upon an internal model that is developed by dispatching our expected generation to current market power and fossil fuel prices.  Open gross
margin assumes there is no hedging in place other than fixed assumptions for capacity cleared in the RPM auctions and uranium costs for nuclear power plants.  Open gross
margin contains assumptions for other gross margin line items such as various ISO bill and ancillary revenues and costs and PPA capacity revenues and payments.  The
estimation of open gross margin incorporates management discretion and modeling assumptions that are subject to change.
(3)
ERCOT North ATC spark spread using Houston Ship Channel Gas, 7,200 heat rate, $2.50 variable O&M.


34
34
34
2010
2011
2012
Expected Generation
(GWh)
(1)
167,100
163,000
162,600
Midwest
99,000
98,400
97,400
Mid-Atlantic
59,600
57,200
56,600
South
8,500
7,400
8,600
Percentage of Expected Generation Hedged
(2)
91-94%
69-72%
37-40%
Midwest
89-92
71-74
43-46
Mid-Atlantic
93-96
65-68
25-28
South
97-100
66-69
39-42
Effective Realized Energy Price
($/MWh)
(3)
Midwest
$46.50
$45.00
$46.00
Mid-Atlantic
$35.50
$60.00
$53.50
ERCOT North ATC Spark Spread
$(1.00)
$(0.50)
$(7.00)
Generation Profile
(1)
Expected generation represents the amount of energy estimated to be generated or purchased through owned or contracted for capacity.  Expected generation is based
upon a simulated dispatch model that makes assumptions regarding future market conditions, which are calibrated to market quotes for power, fuel, load following products,
and options.  Expected generation assumes 10 refueling outages in 2010 and 11 refueling outages in 2011 and 2012 at Exelon-operated nuclear plants and Salem. 
Expected generation assumes capacity factors of 93.5%, 92.8% and 92.8% in 2010, 2011 and 2012 at Exelon-operated nuclear plants. These estimates of expected
generation in 2011 and 2012 do not represent guidance or a forecast of future results as Exelon has not completed its planning or optimization processes for those years.
(2)
Percent of expected generation hedged is the amount of equivalent sales divided by the expected generation.  Includes all hedging products, such as wholesale and retail
sales of power, options, and swaps.  Uses expected value on options. Reflects decision to permanently retire Cromby Station and Eddystone Units 1&2 as of May 31, 2011,
pending PJM approval.
(3)
Effective realized energy price is representative of an all-in hedged price, on a per MWh basis, at which expected generation has been hedged.  It is developed by
considering the energy revenues and costs associated with our hedges and by considering the fossil fuel that has been purchased to lock in margin. It excludes uranium
costs and RPM capacity revenue, but includes the mark-to-market value of capacity contracted at prices other than RPM clearing prices including our load obligations.  It can
be compared with the reference prices used to calculate open gross margin in order to determine the mark-to-market value of Exelon Generation's energy hedges.


35
35
35
Gross Margin Sensitivities with Existing Hedges ($ millions)
(1)
Henry Hub Natural Gas
+ $1/MMBtu
-
$1/MMBtu
NI-Hub ATC Energy Price
+$5/MWH
-$5/MWH
PJM-W ATC Energy Price
+$5/MWH
-$5/MWH
Nuclear Capacity Factor
+1% / -1%
2010
$40
$(40)
$30
$(25)
$20
$(15)
+/-
$50
2011
$190
$(160)
$165
$(155)
$135
$(130)
+/-
$50
2012
$395
$(395)
$275
$(270)
$230
$(230)
+/-
$50
Exelon Generation Gross Margin Sensitivities
(with Existing Hedges)
(1) 
Based on December 31, 2009 market conditions and hedged position. Gas price sensitivities are based on an assumed gas-power relationship derived from an
internal model that is updated periodically. Power prices sensitivities are derived by adjusting the power price assumption while keeping all other prices inputs
constant. Due to correlation of the various assumptions, the hedged gross margin impact calculated by aggregating individual sensitivities may not be equal to the
hedged gross margin impact calculated when correlations between the various assumptions are also considered.


36
36
36
95% case
5% case
$6,500
$6,100
$4,800
$7,800
$6,200
$8,000
Exelon Generation Gross Margin Upside / Risk
(with Existing Hedges)
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
2010
2011
2012
(1) 
Represents an approximate range of expected gross margin, taking into account hedges in place, between the 5th and 95th percent confidence levels assuming all unhedged
supply is sold into the spot market.  Approximate gross margin ranges are based upon an internal simulation model and are subject to change based upon market inputs, future
transactions and potential modeling changes. These ranges of approximate gross margin in 2011 and 2012 do not represent earnings guidance or a forecast of future results as
Exelon has not completed its planning or optimization processes for those years. The price distributions that generate this range are calibrated to market quotes for power, fuel,
load following products, and options as of December 31, 2009.


37
37
37
Midwest
Mid-Atlantic
ERCOT
Step 1
Start
with
fleetwide
open
gross
margin 
$5.90 billion
Step 2
Determine the mark-to-market value
of energy hedges
99,000GWh * 90% *
($46.50/MWh-$33.83/MWh)
= $1.13 billion
59,600GWh * 94% *
($35.50/MWh-$48.04/MWh)
= $(0.70 billion)
8,500GWh * 98% *
($(1.00)/MWh-
$(0.53)/MWh)
= $0.00 billion
Step 3
Estimate
hedged
gross
margin
by
adding open gross margin to mark-to-
market value of energy hedges
Open gross margin:
MTM value of energy hedges:
Estimated hedged gross margin:
Illustrative Example
of Modeling Exelon Generation 2010 Gross Margin
(with Existing Hedges)
$1.13
billion
+
$(0.70
billion)
+
$0.00
billion
$5.90 billion
$6.33 billion


38
38
38
38
38
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
38
Market Price Snapshot
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak Forward Prices
PJM-West and Ni-Hub Wrap Forward Prices
2011
$6.41
2012  $6.54
Rolling 12 months, as of January 14, 2010. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
Forward NYMEX Coal
2011
$68.00
2012
$75.45
2011
Ni-Hub
$44.27
2012 Ni-Hub
$44.58
2012 PJM-West  $59.90
2011 PJM-West
$59.57
2011 Ni-Hub
$25.95
2012 Ni-Hub
$27.87
2012 PJM-West
$41.99
2011 PJM-West
$41.17


39
39
39
39
39
5.5
6.5
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
10
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
5
5.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
1/09
2/09
3/09
4/09
5/09
6/09
7/09
8/09
9/09
10/09
11/09
12/09
1/10
39
Market Price Snapshot
2012
$9.10
2011
$8.73
2011
$54.83
2012
$58.40
2011
$6.28
2012
$6.43
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate
2011
$7.02
2012
$9.64
ERCOT North On Peak Spark Spread
Assumes a 7.2 Heat Rate, $1.50 O&M, and $.15 adder
Rolling 12 months, as of January 14, 2010. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.