EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES Presentation Slides
Sustainable Value
Merrill Lynch
2008 Power & Gas Leaders Conference
New York, NY
September 23, 2008
Matthew Hilzinger
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Exhibit 99.1


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties.  The factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements
include those discussed herein as well as those discussed in (1)
Exelon’s 2007 Annual Report
on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial
Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 19; (2) Exelon’s Second Quarter 2008 Quarterly
Report on Form 10-Q in (a) Part II, Other Information, ITEM 1A. Risk Factors and (b) Part I,
Financial Information, ITEM 1. Financial Statements: Note 12; and (3) other factors discussed
in
filings
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission
by
Exelon
Corporation,
Exelon
Generation Company, LLC, Commonwealth Edison Company, and PECO Energy Company
(Companies).  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation.  None of the Companies
undertakes any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to
reflect events or circumstances after the date of this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude
the impact of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are
representative of the underlying operational results of the Companies. Please refer to the
appendix to this presentation for a reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to
GAAP earnings.


3
Key Messages
Rock solid in these turbulent financial times
Operations are stronger than ever
Strong balance sheet and ample access to liquidity
Fiscally disciplined with rigorous risk management and hedging programs
2009 operating EPS range is expected to be generally flat relative to 2008
Driven by a higher anticipated contribution at ComEd, offset by a lower forecasted
contribution at Exelon Generation
Pursuing initiatives to address rising O&M and other costs
Uniquely positioned to create sustainable value
Largest nuclear fleet in the country –
low-cost, low-emission
Operating at world-class levels
All in competitive markets


4
Rock Solid in These Turbulent Times
Nuclear –
profitable under almost any conceivable set of market conditions
Hedging program largely protects against commodity movements in the near term
~96% financially hedged in 2008
Hedged Against
Short-Term Volatility
in Commodities
Maintaining and committed to strong investment grade ratings (Moody’s Baa1
issuer rating and S&P BBB+ corporate credit rating) 
$7.3 billion in aggregate credit facility commitments that extend largely through
2012 –
$6.9 billion available as of 9/18/08
Over
20
banks
committed
to
the
facility
no
bank
has
more
than
10%
of
the
aggregate commitments
Ample Liquidity
Power
marketing
activities
are
governed
by
tight
risk
management
policies –
proprietary trading activities are minimal
Diversified, high quality counterparties
Daily monitoring of positions, exposure and financial condition of counterparties
Collateral required from non-investment grade counterparties
Financially
Disciplined
World-class
nuclear
operations
92.4%
capacity
factor
in
1
st
half
2008
Constructive rate cases at ComEd and PECO
Final ComEd rate order provides for $273.6 million increase in annual
distribution revenues
Preliminary PECO agreement provides for $76.5 million increase in annual
gas revenues, if approved
Strong Operations
Exelon Position
Market
turmoil
may
present
more
attractive
M&A
opportunities
and
Exelon’s
strong
position allows us to be opportunistic about growth


5
Exelon Generation Credit Exposure
Net Exposure After Credit Collateral
(1)
(in millions)
Investment grade
$341
Non-investment grade
108
No external ratings
53
Total
$502
Exelon Generation transacts with a diverse group of counterparties, predominantly all
investment grade, and has ample liquidity to support its operations
Exelon Generation -
Ample Liquidity
Aggregate credit facility commitments of $4.8
billion
that
extend
through
2012
$4.7
billion
available as of 9/18/08
Strong
balance
sheet
A3/BBB+
Senior
Unsecured Rating
Net Exposure by Type of Counterparty
(1)
Coal
29%
Financial Institutions
11%
Investor-Owned Utilities,
Marketers, and
Power Producers
59%
Other
1%
(1)
As of June 30, 2008.  Does not include credit risk exposure from uranium  procurement contracts or exposure through Regional Transmission Organizations and
Independent  System Operators.  Additionally, does not include receivables related to the supplier forward agreement  with ComEd  and the PPA with PECO.  


6
2008 -
2009 Operating EPS Drivers
2009E
2008E
$0.45 -
$0.50
$3.45 -
$3.55
$4.15 -
$4.30
ComEd
PECO
Exelon
Generation
+
+
2009 Earnings Drivers
Exelon’s 2009 operating EPS range is forecasted to be generally flat relative to 2008,
driven by a higher expected ComEd contribution offset by
a lower expected ExGen contribution
ComEd
PECO
Exelon
Generation
Holdco
Holdco
Exelon
(1) Primarily reflects 2008 option and uranium settlement gains at Exelon Generation.
3Q08 operating EPS forecasted to
be at the bottom of 26-29% range
$0.30 -
$0.35
Market conditions
ComEd
distribution revenue
PECO gas revenue
Cost initiatives
Pension/OPEB
Inflation
Higher nuclear fuel costs
Nuclear volume
Higher depreciation / amortization
PECO CTC
Discrete
ExGen
gains
(1)
O&M and other


7
Environmental / climate
change concerns
Slowing US economy
and increasing
inflationary cost
pressures
Energy dependence /
geopolitical concerns
Continued strong global
growth in energy
consumption
Declining US reserve
margins
Massive capital
investment
Tightening regulatory
environments
Increasing cost of new
build
Technology
improvements
Increasing commodity
prices
Increasing capacity
prices
Macro Trends
Market Response
Well Positioned to Provide Sustainable Value
Continued strong financial and operating
performance, and long-term earnings growth
driven by unregulated generation
Largest, lowest-cost nuclear fleet in the US, all
in competitive markets
Executing regulatory recovery plan to put
ComEd on a path toward appropriate returns
and solid credit metrics
Managing transition to competitive markets in
Pennsylvania
Increasingly strong cash flows and investment-
grade balance sheet
Alignment of and consistency between value
return, hedging, capital structure and capital
investment policies
Well-positioned to capture growth opportunities
and pursue low carbon energy strategy
Exelon’s Position


8
Appendix


9
ComEd Executing on Regulatory
Recovery Plan
The ICC issued a final Order in ComEd’s distribution rate case –
granting a revenue increase of $273.6 million to take effect on
September 16, 2008:
(14)
345
359
Depreciation and Amortization
$(87)
274
361
Total Revenue Increase
3  
129
132
Other Revenues
(11)
987
998
O&M Expenses
(22)
10.30% ROE /   
45.04% Equity
10.75% ROE /
45.11% Equity
ROE / Cap Structure
$(43)
$6,694
$7,071
Rate Base
Impact on
Revenue
Increase
ICC Order
ComEd
Original
Request
($ in millions)


10
Illinois Power Agency Proposes ComEd
Procurement Plan
In September 2008, the Illinois Power Agency proposed its first
ComEd procurement plan, which will provide for base-load energy
procurement for up to a three-year period
Auction Contracts
Financial Swap
3/08
RFP
Jun 2007
Jun 2008
Jun 2009
Jun 2010
Jun 2011
Jun 2012
Jun 2013
NOTE: For illustrative purposes
only.  Assumes constant load profile
each year. 
2009
2009
Future Procurement by Illinois Power Agency
2010
2010
2011
2012
2011


11
PECO Pursuing Regulatory Path
PECO’s procurement plan
for obtaining default service Post 2010
includes a portfolio of full requirements and spot products competitively
procured through multiple RFP solicitations
Mitigation plan
includes early staggered procurement, post-rate cap 
phase-in, gradual phase-out of declining block rate design, customer
education, enhanced retail choice program, and low-income rate design
changes
A Compact Fluorescent Light bulb rebate program for over 3 million bulbs
An enhanced web-based energy audit / bill analyzer program
Voluntary Residential Direct Load Control (air conditioning cycling)
program for 75,000 customers
Full and current cost recovery for the 3 programs
Early phase-in proposal
provides a voluntary opt-in program for customers
to pre-pay towards 2011 prices
Requested expedited PA PUC approval to allow for implementation July 1,
2009
PECO’s 3Q08 regulatory filings address procurement, rate mitigation, and energy
efficiency –
allowing PECO to execute on its regulatory strategy while continuing to
support comprehensive energy legislation
Early Phase-in Filing
Energy Efficiency
and Demand Side
Response
Default Service
Procurement and
Mitigation Filing


12
Large and Diverse Bank Group
Exelon has
a
large
and
diverse
bank
group
with
over
$7.3
billion
in
aggregate
credit
facility commitments
over
20 banks committed to the facility with no bank having more
than 10% of bank commitments.
Bank of America, N.A. / Merrill Lynch USA
(2)
The Royal Bank of Scotland PLC (RBS)
Barclays Bank PLC
JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A.
The Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotia)
Wachovia Bank, N.A.
Citibank, N.A.
Commerzbank
AG
BNP Paribas
Deutsche Bank AG, New York Branch
Credit Suisse, Cayman Islands Branch
Morgan Stanley Bank
UBS Loan Finance LLC
The Bank of New York / Mellon Bank, N.A.
Mizuho Corporate Bank, LTD
Goldman Sachs
(3)
The Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, LTD
KeyBank
N.A.
U.S. Bank, N.A.
SunTrust Bank
Union Bank of California, N.A.
The Northern Trust Company
Malayan
Banking
Berhad
(May
Bank)
National City Bank
Banks Committed to Exelon’s Facilities
(1)
(1)
As of September 18, 2008.
(2)
Assumes that Bank of America assumes Merrill Lynch’s previous commitment.
(3)
Includes funding commitments by Williams Street Commitment Corporation, Williams Street Credit Corporation, Goldman Sachs Credit Partners, L.P. 


13
Projected 2008 Key Credit Measures
A3
A2
Baa2
Baa1
Moody’s
Credit
Ratings
(3)
BBB+
A
BBB+
BBB
S&P Credit
Ratings
(3)
3.2x
3.2x
FFO / Interest
ComEd:
16%
14%
FFO / Debt
55%
58%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
4.7x
4.6x
FFO / Interest
PECO:
22%
19%
FFO / Debt
50%
54%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
53%
66%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
71%
43%
FFO / Debt
17.3x
8.4x
FFO / Interest
Exelon
Generation:
65%
32%
6.5x
Without PPA &
Pension / OPEB
(2)
71%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
25%
FFO / Debt
5.3x
FFO / Interest
Exelon
Consolidated:
With PPA & Pension
/ OPEB
(1)
Notes: Projected credit measures reflect impact of Illinois electric rates and policy settlement.  Exelon, ComEd and PECO metrics exclude securitization debt.  See following slide for
FFO
(Funds
from
Operations)/Interest,
FFO/Debt
and
Adjusted
Book
Debt
Ratio
reconciliations
to
GAAP.
(1)
Reflects S&P updated guidelines, which include imputed debt and interest related to purchased power agreements (PPA), unfunded pension and other postretirement benefits
(OPEB) obligations, capital adequacy for energy trading, operating lease obligations, and other off-balance sheet debt.  Debt is imputed for estimated pension and OPEB
obligations by operating company.
(2)
Excludes items listed in note (1) above.
(3)
Current senior unsecured ratings for Exelon and Generation and senior secured ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 9/18/08.


14
FFO Calculation and Ratios
FFO Calculation
= FFO
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Paydown
+ Gain
on
Sale,
Extraordinary
Items
and
Other
Non-Cash
Items
(3)
+ Change in Deferred Taxes
+ Depreciation,
amortization
(including
nucl
fuel
amortization),
AFUDC/Cap.
Interest
Add back non-cash items:
Net Income
Adjusted Interest
FFO + Adjusted Interest
= Adjusted Interest
+ 7% of Present Value (PV) of Operating Leases
+ Interest
on
imputed
debt
related
to
PV
of
Purchased
Power
Agreements
(PPA), unfunded Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits (OPEB)
obligations,
and
Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
,
as
applicable
-
PECO Transition Bond Interest Expense
Net Interest Expense (Before AFUDC & Cap. Interest)
FFO Interest Coverage
+ Capital Adequacy for Energy Trading 
(2)
FFO
= Adjusted Debt
+ PV of Operating Leases
+ 100%
of
PV
of
Purchased
Power
Agreements
(2)
+ Unfunded
Pension
and
OPEB
obligations
(2)
+ A/R Financing
Add off-balance sheet debt equivalents:
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Adjusted Debt
(1)
FFO Debt Coverage
Rating Agency Capitalization
Rating Agency Debt
Total Adjusted Capitalization
Adjusted Book Debt
= Total Rating Agency Capitalization
+ Off-balance sheet debt equivalents 
(2)
-
Goodwill
Total Adjusted Capitalization
= Rating Agency Debt
+ ComEd Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
Adjusted Book Debt
= Total Adjusted Capitalization
+ Adjusted Book Debt
+ Preferred Securities of Subsidiaries
+ Total Shareholders' Equity
Capitalization:
= Adjusted Book Debt
-
Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Debt to Total Cap
Note: Reflects S&P guidelines and company forecast.  FFO and Debt related to non-recourse debt are excluded from the calculations.
(1) Uses current year-end adjusted debt balance.
(2) Metrics are calculated in presentation unadjusted and adjusted for debt equivalents and related interest for PPAs, unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations, and Capital
Adequacy for Energy Trading.
(3) Reflects depreciation adjustment for PPAs and decommissioning interest income and contributions.


15
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and Ni-Hub On-Peak Forward Prices
PJM-West and Ni-Hub Wrap Forward Prices
2010 Ni-Hub
2011 Ni-Hub
2011 PJM-West
2010 PJM-West
2010
2011
Market Price Snapshot
Rolling 12 months, as of September 17, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2010 Ni-Hub
2011 Ni-Hub
2011 PJM-West
2010 PJM-West
Forward NYMEX Coal
2010
2011
55
65
75
85
95
105
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08


2011
2010
2010
2011
2010
2011
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak Forward Prices
ERCOT North On-Peak v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate
2010
2011
ERCOT On Peak Spark Spread
Assumes a 7.2 Heat Rate, $1.50 O&M, and $.15 adder
Market Price Snapshot
Rolling 12 months, as of September 17, 2008. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
9.6
9.8
10
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
11.5
12
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5
13.5
14.5
15.5
16.5
17.5
18.5
9/07
10/07
11/07
12/07
1/08
2/08
3/08
4/08
5/08
6/08
7/08
8/08
9/08
16


17
2008/2009 Earnings Outlook
Exelon’s outlook for 2008/2009 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating
earnings excludes the earnings impacts of the following:
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Unrealized gains and losses from nuclear decommissioning trust fund investments
Significant impairments of assets, including goodwill
Significant changes in decommissioning obligation estimates
Costs associated with the Illinois electric rate settlement agreement, including ComEd’s
previously announced customer rate relief programs
Costs associated with ComEd’s settlement with the City of Chicago
Other unusual items
Significant future changes to GAAP
Both our operating earnings and GAAP earnings guidance are
based on the assumption of normal weather for the remainder of
2008 and for full year 2009