EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESENTATION SLIDES AND HANDOUTS Presentation Slides and Handouts
Value Driven
Edison Electric Institute Conference
Orlando, Florida
November 5-6, 2007
John F. Young
Executive Vice President & Chief
Financial Officer
Exhibit 99.1


2
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that are subject to risks and uncertainties.  The factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements include those discussed herein
as well as those discussed in (1) Exelon’s 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K in (a) ITEM 1A. Risk
Factors, (b) ITEM 7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations and (c) ITEM 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data: Note 18; (2) Exelon’s
Third Quarter 2007 Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q in (a) Part II, Other Information, ITEM 1A. Risk
Factors and
(b)
Part
I,
Financial
Information,
ITEM
1.
Financial
Statements:
Note
13;
and
(3)
other
factors discussed in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Exelon Corporation,
Exelon Generation
Company,
LLC,
Commonwealth
Edison
Company,
and
PECO
Energy
Company
(Companies).  Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation.  None of the Companies undertakes
any obligation to publicly release any revision to its forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of this presentation.
This presentation includes references to adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings that exclude the
impact of certain factors. We believe that these adjusted operating earnings are representative of the
underlying operational results of the company. Please refer to the Appendix to the presentation for a
reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings to GAAP earnings.


3
Agenda
Industry & Market Dynamics
PECO
ComEd
Exelon Generation
Exelon
Appendix
O&M and Capital Expenditure Expectations
Pennsylvania Legislative/Regulatory Snapshot
ComEd Transmission Settlement and Distribution Case Summaries
Generation Portfolio Characteristics and Hedging Targets
Required Break-Even Cost by Technology (Illustrative)
Nuclear Fleet Details
Exelon and Climate Change
Today’s discussion will focus on Exelon’s five-year outlook


4
Energy dependency /
geopolitical concerns
Declining US reserve
margins
Environmental /
climate change
concerns
Continued strong
global growth in
energy consumption
Continued high fossil
fuel prices
Massive capital
investment
Increasing cost of
new build
Technology
improvements
Increasing heat rates
Increasing capacity
prices
With Numerous Forces Driving
the Industry…
Political /
regulatory
pressures
>80% EPS from unregulated
generation
Largest, lowest-cost nuclear fleet in
competitive markets
Complementary and flexible fossil
and hydro fleet
Executing regulatory recovery plan
at ComEd
Managing transition to competitive
markets in Pennsylvania
Increasingly strong cash flows and
balance sheet
Exelon Position
Macro Trends
Market Response


5
PECO
ExGen
ComEd
PECO
ExGen
Operating EPS
(3)
:
$2.41
Operating EPS Guidance
(3)
:
$4.15 –
$4.30
(1)
Total Shareholder
Return
for
the
period
12/31/01
10/31/07.
(2)
~65% EPS growth assumes $10/tonne carbon and equates to ~10%+ CAGR; ~13%+ CAGR assuming $20/tonne carbon; 1 tonne = 2,205 lbs.
(3)  See Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
ExGen
ComEd
2002
2007
2012
…Exelon Is Uniquely Positioned for
Continued Strong Value Creation
~10%+ Compound Annual Growth Rate in EPS from 2007 to 2012


6


7
4.2
4.3
5.0
2.7
2.0
Competitive Transition Charge (CTC)
Rate Base (Transmission, Distribution & Gas)
PECO –
Moving Forward
(1)
Rate base details provided in Appendix.
(2)
2007 Operating Earnings Guidance; see Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(3)
Provided solely to illustrate possible future outcomes that are based on a number of different assumptions, all of which are subject to uncertainties and should not be relied
upon as a forecast of future results.
Transitioning through an orderly
structure to market-based rates
Increasing CTC amortization
results in declining rate base
and net income through 2010
Working proactively with the Governor,
Legislature, and PAPUC for post-
transition rates and structure
Supporting plans to implement energy
efficiency and renewable programs
Preparing power procurement filing for
2008 to address post-transition plan
beginning in 2011
Net Income
ROE
Equity
$435 –
$470M
Not applicable due to
transition rate structure
$360 –
$400M
6.9
6.3
5.0
~$250 –
$270M
~10 –
11%
~50%
2007 (Guidance)
(2)
2008 (Preliminary)
2012 (Illustrative)
(3)
PECO provides a predictable source of earnings to Exelon through
the remainder
of the transition period
Actively Engaged in Transition
Average Annual Rate Base
(1)
($ in Billions)


8


9
6.0
6.6
8.4
1.8
2.0
2.3
Transmission
Distribution
ComEd –
Moving Forward
(1)
2007 Operating Earnings Guidance; see Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(2)
Equity based
on
definition
provided
in
most
recent
ICC
distribution
rate
case
order
(book
equity
less
goodwill).
Projected
book
equity
ratio
in
2007
is
58%.
(3)
Provided solely to illustrate possible future outcomes that are based on a number of different assumptions, all of which are subject to uncertainties and should not be
relied upon as a forecast of future results.
(4)
Assumes full $361M revenue increase granted in current distribution rate case.
Executing Regulatory
Recovery Plan
Net Income
ROE
Equity
(2)
$220M –
$260M
(4)
$130M –
$165M
~5.5 –
6.5%
~3.8 –
4.8%
45%
44%
After
2007,
ComEd’s
earnings
are
expected
to
increase
as
regulatory
lag
is
reduced
over
time through regular rate requests, putting ComEd on a path toward appropriate returns
Implementing progressive formula
transmission rate upon FERC
approval of settlement
Supporting recently filed
distribution rate case
Actively promoting/implementing
efficiency, renewable energy, and
demand-side management
programs
Studying innovative future test
year approach for distribution rate
filing in 2009
7.8
8.6
10.7
Average Annual Rate Base
($ in Billions)
~$490M –
$530M
~10 –
11%
~45%
2007 (Guidance)
(1)
2008 (Preliminary)
2012 (Illustrative)
(3)


10


11
Average Capacity Factor
Large, low-cost, low-emissions,
exceptionally well-run nuclear fleet
Complementary and flexible fossil and
hydro fleet
Improving power market fundamentals
(commodity prices, heat rates, and
capacity values)
End of below-market contracts in
Pennsylvania beginning 2011
Potential carbon restrictions
Value Proposition
Exelon Generation
Continue to focus on operating excellence,
cost management, and market discipline
Support competitive markets
Pursue nuclear & hydro plant relicensing
and strategic investment in material
condition
Maintain industry-leading talent
Protect Value
Pursue nuclear plant uprates (~200MW by
2012) and investigate potential for more
Pursue nuclear Construction and
Operating License in Texas and Mountain
Creek expansion
Capture increased value of low-carbon
generation portfolio
Grow Value
Exelon Generation is the premier unregulated generation company –
positioned to
capture market opportunities and manage risk
z


12
World-Class Nuclear Operator
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Exelon
Industry
Note: Exelon data prior to 2000 represent ComEd-only nuclear fleet.
Sources: Platt’s,
Nuclear
News,
Nuclear
Energy
Institute
and
Energy
Information
Administration
(Department
of
Energy).
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Operator (# of Reactors)
Range
5-Year Average
EXC 93.2%
Average Capacity Factor
Range of Fleet 2-Yr Avg Capacity Factor (2002-2006)
Sustained production excellence


13
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Reserve Margins Declining
Natural Gas Prices Remaining High
PJM-West
PJM-East
NI-Hub
ERCOT
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
$10
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
NYMEX
Positively Exposed to Market Dynamics
Note:  Illustrative estimate. Overnight, all-in capital cost without interest during construction.
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
EIA Carbon Case
2010: $31/tonne
Europe Carbon-Trading
2012: $35.50/tonne
Carbon Credit ($/Tonne)
Carbon Legislation Progressing
Lieberman-Warner
Possible $20 to $40/tonne
Bingaman-Specter
2012: $12/tonne
Various
3rd
party
estimates
Construction Costs Escalating
Note: Refer to the Appendix for additional information.
New Generation Installed Cost
Combined Cycle
Gas Turbine
Coal
Nuclear
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2006
2007
2006
2007
2006
2007


14
Long-Run Marginal Cost of Electricity
IGCC –
No CO2
Recapture
Pulverized Coal
CCGT
Nuclear
Excluding energy efficiency, nuclear is the least expensive
generation option in a carbon-constrained environment
CCGT = Combined Cycle Gas Turbine; IGCC = Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
CO2 Price ($/Metric Ton)


15
Exelon Generation –
Long-Term Value
Exelon Generation is poised for significant earnings growth driven by improving market
fundamentals, the
end
of
the
Pennsylvania
transition
period,
and
carbon
legislation
2007 Guidance
(1)
2012
2008
(1) 2007 Operating Earnings Guidance; see Appendix for reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
$2,320M -
$2,385M
2009 –
2012 Earnings Drivers
End of PECO PPA (2011+)
Carbon (2012+)
Market conditions  
-
Heat rate
-
Capacity prices
-
New build costs
Nuclear uprates
Higher O&M costs
Higher nuclear fuel costs
Higher interest and
depreciation expense
2008 Earnings Drivers
Market conditions
-
Capacity prices
-
Marginal losses
More nuclear outages
Higher nuclear fuel costs
Higher O&M costs
State Line buyout
Higher interest and
depreciation expense


16
125
127
129
131
133
135
137
139
141
143
145
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Based on the refueling cycle, we
will conduct 12 refueling outages
in 2008, versus 9 in 2007, and
10 to 11 in a typical year
Impact of Refueling Outages
Note:  Net nuclear generation data based on ownership interest; includes Salem.
18 or 24 months
Duration: ~24 days
Nuclear Refueling Cycle
2008 is an exception:
Salem steam generator
replacement
3 more outages than 2007
~2,600 GWh less than 2007
$100-$110M negative after-tax
impact
2008 Refueling Outage Impact
Refueling Outage Duration
Nuclear Output
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Sept '07
YTD
Exelon
Industry
Actual
Target
Estimate


17
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Effectively Managing Nuclear Fuel Costs
Enrichment
38%
Fabrication
17%
Nuclear Waste
Fund
23%
Tax/Interest
2%
Conversion
3%
Uranium
17%
Components of Fuel Expense in 2007
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Nuclear Fuel Expense (Amortization + Spent Fuel)
Nuclear Fuel Capex
Projected Total Nuclear Fuel Spend
Projected Exelon Average Uranium Cost vs. Market
Projected Exelon Uranium Demand
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Exelon Average Reload Price
Projected Market Price (Term)
Note: Excludes costs reimbursed under the settlement agreement with the DOE.
Market source: UxC
composite forecasts.
Refer to Appendix for uranium price sensitivities.
2007 –
2011:
100% hedged in volume
2012:
~40% hedged in volume
All charts exclude Salem, except Projected Total Nuclear Fuel Spend.


18
2008 “Open”
EBITDA
2008
EBITDA
2008
Open EBITDA
(No Carbon)
$ Millions
~$4,100
~$3,900
2007
EBITDA
(2)
Un-hedged (“Open”) EBITDA plus upside from energy, capacity, and carbon drives
Exelon Generation’s value
(1) Un-hedged EBITDA assumes that existing hedges (including the PECO load, Illinois auction load, ComEd financial swap, and other sales) are priced at market prices as of 7/31/07.
(2) Refer to the Appendix for a reconciliation of Net Income to EBITDA.
(3) 1 tonne = 2,205 lbs.
~$5,350
Hedged –
2008
Un-Hedged –
2008
(1)
Hedged –
2007
169.20
Eastern MAAC Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
82.30
Rest-of-Market Capacity Price ($/MW-day)
5.6
NI-Hub Implied Heat Rate (mmBtu/MWh)
6.6
PJM W-Hub Implied Heat Rate (mmBtu/MWh)
47.00
NI-Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
62.90
PJM W-Hub ATC Price ($/MWh)
8.50
Henry Hub Gas Price ($/mmBtu)
2008 Open EBITDA
(1)
Assumptions
~$1,000M
+ $10/Tonne Carbon Price
(3)
~$80M
+/-
$10/MW-Day Capacity Price
~$750M
+/-
500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate
~$560M
+/-
$1/mmBtu Gas Price
(Pre-Tax Impact)
2008 Open EBITDA
(1)
Sensitivities


19


20
Exelon’s Strategic Direction
Deliver superior operating
performance
Support competitive markets
Protect the value of our generation
Build healthy, self-sustaining
delivery companies
Take the organization to the next
level of performance
Advance an environmental strategy
that leverages our carbon position
Rigorously evaluate new growth
opportunities
Align our financial management
policies with the changing profile of
our company
+
Protect Today’s Value
Grow Long-Term Value


21
Advancing Exelon’s Low-Carbon
Strategy
Advocating in favor of climate change legislation that is national,
mandatory and economy-wide
Taking voluntary action to reduce our greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions 8% by 2008
(1)
Continuing to invest in our low-carbon generation portfolio
Developing a comprehensive low-carbon energy strategy
Expanding our low-carbon resources
Providing customers with green products and services
Being a model of green operations
(1) From 2001 levels


22
Potential Nuclear New Build
Intend to file Construction and Operating License (COL) for plant in
Texas by end of 2008
Preserves option to participate in Energy Policy Act incentives
Texas is attractive market for new nuclear
Growing demand for baseload
power, robust market prices
State and local support for new nuclear
Existing Exelon presence in Texas
Exelon’s phased approach allows for go/no-go decisions at major
funding/commitment milestones
Exelon’s conditions for new build remain unchanged: the economics
must be right
Nuclear new build would capitalize on improving fundamentals, high gas prices,
and Exelon’s core strength in nuclear operations


23
Disciplined Financial Management
In December 2006, the Exelon Board approved a new “Value
Return Policy”
The Policy:
Established a base dividend at $1.76/share, growing modestly over
time
Returns excess cash and/or balance sheet capacity through share
repurchases
Consistent with the Policy, we executed a $1.25 billion accelerated
share repurchase agreement in September
We expect to ask the Exelon Board to consider a normal increase
in the dividend for 2008 and to consider expanding the 2007 share
repurchase program in the first quarter of 2008
Exelon has an increasingly strong balance sheet that will be deployed both
to protect and grow shareholder value


24
2007 Exelon Investor Conference
Conference Topics
2008 earnings guidance by
operating company
2008 sources & uses of cash
Operational & regulatory
updates
Strategic outlook
The Waldorf Astoria
New York, NY
December 19
th
Conference Agenda
7:15 AM:  Registration & Breakfast
8:00 AM:  Conference Program


25
Exelon –
Value Driven
Continued strong financial and operating performance
>80% EPS from unregulated generation
Largest, lowest-cost nuclear fleet in competitive markets
Executing regulatory recovery plan to put ComEd on a
path toward appropriate returns and solid credit metrics
Managing transition to competitive markets in
Pennsylvania
Increasingly strong cash flows and balance sheet
Implementing value return policy
With numerous forces driving the industry, Exelon is uniquely positioned for
continued strong value creation


26


27
Appendix


28
’06 Earnings
(1)
:   
$1,275M
’07E Earnings
(2)
$2,320 -
$2,385M     
’06
EPS
(1)
:
$1.88
’07
EPS
Guidance
(2)
:
$3.45
-
$3.55         
Total Debt
(3)
:
$1.8B
Credit Rating
(4)
:
BBB+
The Exelon Companies
Nuclear, Fossil, Hydro & Renewable Generation
Power Marketing
‘06 Operating Earnings
(1)
:          
$2.2B
‘07E Operating Earnings
(2)
:       $2.8 -
$2.9B
‘07 EPS Guidance
(2)
:                   $4.15 -
$4.30
Assets (12/31/06):                       
$44.3B
Total Debt (12/31/06):                   
$13.0B
Credit Rating
(4)
:                                   BBB
(1) 2006 Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Operating Earnings and Operating EPS.
(2) Estimated 2007 Adjusted (Non-GAAP) Operating Earnings and 2007 Operating Earnings Guidance per Exelon share.
(3) As of 12/31/06.
(4) Standard & Poor’s senior unsecured debt ratings for Exelon and Generation and senior secured debt ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 10/31/07.
Pennsylvania
Utility
Illinois
Utility
’06 Earnings
(1)
:   
$528M
$455M
’07E Earnings
(2)
:           $130 -
$165M
$435 -
$470M
’06 EPS
(1)
:
$0.78
$0.67
’07
EPS
Guidance
(2)
:
$0.20
-
$0.25
$0.65
-
$0.70
Total Debt
(3)
:
$4.6B
$4.2B
Credit Ratings
(4)
:                  BBB
A


29
Multi-Regional, Diverse Company
Note: Megawatts based on Generation’s ownership as of
10/1/07, using annual mean ratings for nuclear units (excluding
Salem) and summer ratings for Salem and the fossil and hydro
units;
capacity
excludes
New
Boston
Unit
1
and
State
Line
PPA. 
Mid-Atlantic contracts include wind and cogeneration projects.
Midwest Capacity
Owned:
11,373 MW
Contracted:
4,271 MW
Total:
15,644 MW
ERCOT/South Capacity
Owned:
2,222 MW
Contracted:
2,917 MW
Total:
5,139 MW
New England Capacity
Owned:
181MW
Total Capacity
Owned:
24,746 MW
Contracted:
7,524 MW
Total:
32,270 MW
Electricity Customers:
1.6M
Gas Customers: 
0.5M
Electricity Customers:  3.8M
Generating Plants             
Nuclear
Hydro
Coal/Oil/Gas Base-load
Intermediate
Peaker
Mid-Atlantic Capacity
Owned:
10,970 MW
Contracted:
336 MW
Total:
11,306 MW


30
YTD ‘07 Highlights
Solid financial operating EPS results
-
Higher generation margins
-
Favorable weather
-
Strong nuclear performance
Illinois settlement
Value return plan implementation
ComEd regulatory recovery plan execution
Strong Financial Performance
Year-to-Date EPS Results
$3.26
$2.53
Weather Normalized
(2)
$3.31
$2.50
Operating
Adjusted (non-GAAP)
EPS
(1)
Sep-07
Sep-06
Operating EPS
$4.15 -
$4.30
(1) Refer to reconciliation of adjusted (non-GAAP) operating EPS to GAAP EPS.
(2) Excludes
$0.03
per
share
unfavorable
impact
versus
normal
in
2006
and
$0.05
per
share
favorable impact versus normal in 2007, based on Exelon models.
(3) Operating EPS growth rate through 2007 calculated using midpoint of 2007 Operating
EPS guidance range.
YTD 2007 weather-normalized operating earnings are 29% higher than 2006
$3.22
$3.10
$2.78
$2.61
$2.41
$2.24
$1.93
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007E


31
Illinois Settlement
Continued ComEd membership in PJM
Competitive procurement for supply
Filed competitive
declaration
for
100
-
400
kW
customers
Statute mandates cost recovery for purchased power
Reduced uncertainty around conditions for ICC approval
for strategic transactions such as reorganizations or
mergers
Immediate rate relief for customers
Provisions to help stabilize rates
Energy efficiency and demand response programs and
renewable portfolio standards
Eliminated the IL Attorney General’s challenges to the
2006 auction
Financial swap at market prices
No generation tax
Customer Focused
Protects Value of
Generation
Protects Competitive
Markets
Provides Strategic
Flexibility


32
O&M and CapEx Expectations
Exelon
(1)
NM
(2)
1-2%
3-4%
NM
(2)
~15%
2008-2012 CAGR
$3,110
$390
$1,000
$870
$730
2008E
$2,740
$350
$1,060
$720
$580
2007E
Other
Nuclear
Fuel
Capital
2-3%
2-3%
2-3%
2-3%
2008-2012 CAGR
$4,240
$650
$1,010
$2,620
2008E
$4,090
$620
$1,030
$2,450
2007E
Exelon
(1)
O&M
Note:  Reflects operating O&M data and excludes Decommissioning Trust Fund impact.
(1)  Includes eliminations and other corporate entities.
(2)  Due to varying capital investment for the period 2008-2012, the CAGR is not meaningful.
($ in Millions)


33
Industry Is Facing a Capital
Investment Challenge
Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates
~$750B
Generation for 230+ GWs
Transmission
Distribution
$50B Conservation & Energy Efficiency
$50B (excl. Carbon) Environmental Retrofits
$300B
$350B
$150B
~$900B
Current Industry Market Cap ($B)
Investment required over the next 15 years exceeds the current
market capitalization of the entire electric industry
CapEx Spend Next 15 Years ($B)


34
Ability to Fund Major Investment
Cost as % of
Market Cap
Market Cap
(1)
($B)
1.2
247
BP
1.1
278
Royal Dutch Shell
0.6
510
Exxon Mobil
15.0
20
“Average”
Investor Owned Utility
(excl. Exelon)
10.7
28
3
rd
Largest Investor Owned Utility
9.4
32
2
nd
Largest Investor Owned Utility
5.5
55
Exelon
$3B Power Plant
(2)
$3B Deep Water
Drilling Platform
(1)
Market Cap as of 10/31/07.
(2)
Represents approximate equity investment after taking into account government loan guarantees; includes cost escalation and interest during construction.
Large
and
strong
balance
sheets
will
be
required
for
the
utility
and
generation infrastructure investment that must occur


35


36
PECO Average Electric Rates
(1) System
Average
Rates
based
upon
Restructuring
Settlement
Rate
Caps
on
Energy
and
Capacity
increased
from
original
settlement
by
1.6%
to
reflect
the
roll-in
of
increased
Gross
Receipts
Tax
and
$0.02/kWh
for
Universal
Service
Fund
Charge
and
Nuclear
Decommissioning
Cost
Adjustment.
System
Average
Rates
also
adjusted
for
sales
mix
based
on
current
sales
forecast.
Assumes
continuation
of
current
Transmission
and
Distribution
Rates.
(2) Energy/Capacity
Price
is
an
average
of
the
results
for
residential
(10.51¢/kWh)
and
small
commercial
customers
(10.58¢/kWh)
from
the
second
round
of
PPL Auction
held 10/07.  Assumes continuation of current Transmission and Distribution Rates.
2011
2008 –
2010
Energy / Capacity
Competitive Transition
Charge (CTC)
Transmission
Distribution
11.52¢
(1)
Unit Rates (¢/kWh)
+18%
13.65¢
(2)
CTC terminates at year-end 2010
Energy / Capacity price expected
to increase; price will reflect
associated full requirements costs
Using latest PPL auction for
2010 as a proxy (10.5¢/kWh)
results in a system average
rate increase of ~18%
PECO’s 2011 full requirements
price expected to differ from PPL
due, in part, to the timing of the
procurement and locational
differences
Rates will vary by customer class
and will depend on legislation and
approved procurement model
Electric
Restructuring
Settlement
Projected Rate Increase
Based on PPL Auction
Results (IIIustrative)
Post Transition
2.63
2.63
0.48
0.48
2.41
6.00
10.54


37
PECO Average Annual Rate Base
2.6
2.7
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.3
2.7
2.0
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.1
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
Gas
CTC
Electric Transmission
Electric Distribution
6.9
6.3
5.8
5.2
4.9
5.0
($ in Billions)


38
Pennsylvania Snapshot
Governor Rendell proposed an Energy Independence
Strategy (EIS) in February 2007
Aimed at reducing energy costs, increasing clean
energy sources, reducing reliance on foreign fuels
and expanding energy production in PA 
Funded through a systems benefit charge
Special legislation session on Energy Policy began
September 17th
Runs through mid-December
Current State of Play
Legislators concerned with cost of funding Governor's
initiatives, no new taxes
Rate freeze and/or generation tax legislation being
considered
Industry coalition working together to develop a
comprehensive package
Position of Stakeholders
Stakeholder outreach
Working with industry coalition
Negotiating legislative proposals with
Administration and legislative leadership
Smart meters and real time pricing
Energy efficiency and demand side
management programs
Procurement
Contracts for large industrials
Utilities owning generation
Rate increase deferral/phase-in
Participating directly or through industry
associations in legislative hearings and
informational meetings
Evaluating alternative proposals
PECO Actions


39
Key Themes of Legislative Proposals
Competitive procurement process utilizing auctions, RFPs, spot purchases
and bilateral contracts
Full and current cost recovery for default service provider (DSP)
DSP must offer residential and small commercial customers a rate
that
changes no more frequently than annually with reconciliation for
under or
over-recovery
Must file a rate phase-in plan for all customers with the option to phase-in
rate increase if class average total rate increases by more than
15%
Phase-in plans are to be opt-in for customer, provide utility with full
recovery of carrying costs with return on deferred balance
Securitization of deferred balance and carrying charges authorized
Utility may propose an early phase-in plan
Energy efficiency goal of usage reduction of 2% by 2013
Peak demand reduction goal of 3% by 2012
Utilities may file for cost recovery
Full deployment of smart meters within 6-10 years
Full recovery for net costs of smart meter deployment through base rates or
on full and current basis through automatic recovery mechanism
Must submit a time-of-use rate plan with voluntary customer participation by
the end of rate cap period
Procurement
Smart Meters
Rate Phase-in
Program
Demand Side
Response & Energy
Efficiency (DSR/EE)


40


41
41
ComEd Transmission Case Settlement
(1)
($ in millions)
FERC Filing
3/1/07
Preliminary Order
6/5/07
Settlement Filing
10/5/07
(1)
Total Revenue Requirement (in year 1)
(2)
$415
$387
$364
Revenue Requirement increase (in year 1)
$146
$116
(3)
$93
Rate Base (in year 1)
$1,826
$1,744
$1,672
(4)
Common Equity Ratio
58%
58%
58%
(5)
Return on Equity (ROE)
(6)
12.20%
11.70% + 0.50% RTO adder
12.20%
11.70% + 0.50% RTO adder
11.50%
11.0% + 0.50% RTO adder
Return on Rate Base (ROR)
9.87%
9.87%
9.40%
(1) Subject to final FERC approval.
(2) Included a request for project incentives of $16 million.
(3) Rates effective 5/1/07, subject to refund.
(4) Excludes pension asset; 6.51% debt return allowed in operating expenses.
(5) Equity cap of 58% for 2 years, declining to 55% by 2011.
(6) ROE is fixed and not subject to annual updating. 
RTO = Regional Transmission Organization
(Docket Nos. ER07-583-000 & EL07-41-000)
Rate settlement establishes reasonable framework for timely recovery of transmission
investment on an annual basis through formula rates


42
42
Formula Transmission Rate Annual
Update Process
(1)
Annual filing by May 15
th
will update the current year revenue
requirement and true-up prior year to actual:
Update current year
Estimate current year revenue requirement using updated costs based on prior
year actual data per FERC Form 1 plus projected plant additions for the current
calendar year
True-up prior year
Perform a true-up of the prior year’s rates by comparing prior year actual data
per FERC Form 1 to the estimate used for that year; over/under-recoveries for
the prior year are collected in the current year
Rates take effect on June 1
st
Interested parties have 180 days to submit information requests and 
raise concerns; unresolved concerns go before FERC for resolution
(1) Subject to final FERC approval.
The combination of annual updating and true-up virtually eliminates regulatory lag


43
ComEd Delivery Service
Rate Case Filing
$361
(6)
Total ($2,049 revenue requirement)
$(51)
Other adjustments
(5)
$48
O&M expenses
$99
Administrative & General expenses
(4)
$50
Capital Structure
(3)
: ROE -
10.75% /
Common Equity -
45.11% / ROR -
8.55%
$215
(2)
Rate Base: $7,071
(1)
Requested Revenue
Requirement Increase
($ in millions)
(1) Based on 2006 test year, including pro forma capital additions through 3Q 2008; represents a $1,550 million increase from 2006 ICC order.
(2) Includes increased depreciation expense associated with capital additions.
(3) Requested cap structure does not include goodwill; ICC docket 05-0597 allowed 10.045% ROE, 42.86% equity ratio and 8.01% ROR (return on rate base).
(4) Primarily includes increases in pension and other post-retirement benefits costs and effects of a reclassification of rental revenue of $20 million, which is offset in
“Other adjustments”.
(5) Includes taxes other than income, regulatory expenses, and reductions for other revenues and load growth.
(6) Or approximately $359 million adjusted for normal weather.
Revenue increase needed to recover significant distribution system investment and
represents an important step in ComEd’sregulatory
recovery plan


44
ComEd Delivery Service
Rate Case Filing –
Tentative Schedule
Filed –
October 17, 2007
Rebuttal Testimony –
February 2008
Hearings –
May 2008
Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) Order –
July 2008
Final Order Expected –
September 2008
Note:  Dates
are
based
on
typical
approach
to
rate
cases
but
the
Illinois
Commerce
Commission
(ICC)
will
set the actual schedule.


45
Financial Swap Agreement
3,000
$53.48
January 1, 2013 -
May 31, 2013
3,000
$52.37
January 1, 2012 -
December 31, 2012
3,000
$51.26
January 1, 2011 -
December 31, 2011
3,000
$50.15
June 1, 2010 -
December 31, 2010
2,000
$50.15
January 1, 2010 -
May 31, 2010
2,000
$49.04
June 1, 2009 -
December 31, 2009
1,000
$49.04
January 1, 2009 -
May 31, 2009
1,000
$47.93
June 1, 2008 -
December 31, 2008
Notional Quantity (MW)
Fixed Price ($/MWH)
Portion of Term
Financial Swap Agreement between ComEd and Exelon Generation promotes
price stability for residential and small business customers
Designed to dovetail with ComEd’s remaining auction contracts for energy,
increasing in volume as the auction contracts expire
Will cover about 60% of the energy that ComEd’s residential and small business
customers use
Includes ATC baseload energy only
Does not include capacity, ancillary services or congestion


46


47
Market Price Sensitivities
~$80M
+/-
500 Btu/KWh ATC Heat Rate
~$10M
+/-
$1/mmBtu Gas Price
(Pre-Tax Impact)
2008 EBITDA Sensitivities
($80M)
($40M)
($20M)
($5M)
-
Expense (Pre-Tax Impact)
($335M)
($160M)
($100M)
($60M)
-
Capital Expenditures
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
-
$50/lb
$40M
$15M
$10M
$5M
-
Expense (Pre-Tax Impact)
$280M
$85M
$30M
$20M
-
Capital Expenditures
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
+ $50/lb
(1) Excludes Salem.
Uranium Sensitivity
(1)


48
Total Portfolio Characteristics
40,900
41,100
23,300
23,100
5,100
126,500
120,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2007
2008
Actual Hedges & Open Position
ComEd Swap
IL Auction
PECO Load
189,300
190,700
140,700
138,100
31,600
33,800
18,400
17,400
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
2007
2008
Forward / Spot Purchases
Fossil & Hydro
Nuclear
189,300
190,700
Expected Total Supply (GWh)
Expected Total Sales (GWh)
The value of our portfolio resides in our nuclear fleet


49
Hedging Targets
Target Ranges
50% -
70%
70% -
90%
90%
-
98%
Above the
range*
Current Position
Upper end
of range
Midpoint of
range
(1) Percent financially hedged is our estimate of the gross margin that is not at risk due to a market price drop and assuming normal generation operating conditions.
The formula
is:
gross
margin
at
the
5th
percentile
/
expected
gross
margin.
Power Team employs commodity hedging
strategies to optimize Exelon Generation’s
earnings:
Maintain length for opportunistic sales
Use cross commodity option strategies to
enhance hedge activities
Time hedging around view of market
fundamentals
Supplement portfolio with load following
products
Use physical and financial fuel products to
manage variability in fossil generation output
Financial Hedging Range
(1)
* Due to ComEd financial swap
Flexibility in our targeted financial hedge ranges allows us to be opportunistic while
mitigating downside risk
Prompt Year
(2008)
Second Year
(2009)
Third Year
(2010)


50
Financial Swap Agreement
3,000
$53.48
January 1, 2013 -
May 31, 2013
3,000
$52.37
January 1, 2012 -
December 31, 2012
3,000
$51.26
January 1, 2011 -
December 31, 2011
3,000
$50.15
June 1, 2010 -
December 31, 2010
2,000
$50.15
January 1, 2010 -
May 31, 2010
2,000
$49.04
June 1, 2009 -
December 31, 2009
1,000
$49.04
January 1, 2009 -
May 31, 2009
1,000
$47.93
June 1, 2008 -
December 31, 2008
Notional Quantity (MW)
Fixed Price ($/MWH)
Portion of Term
Market-based contract for ATC baseload energy only
Does not include capacity, ancillary services or congestion
Preserves competitive markets
Fits with Exelon Generation’s hedging policy and strategy
Small portion of Exelon Generation’s supply


51
Reliability Pricing Model Auction
40.80
197.67
111.92
148.80
102.04
191.32
191.32
Rest of Market
Eastern MAAC
                                    MAAC + APS
2007/2008
2008/2009
2009/2010
0
1,500 MW
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
MAAC + APS
(7)
9,750 -
9,950 MW
(3)
9,500 MW
9,550 -
9,850 MW
(3)
9,500 MW
9,500 -
9,800 MW
(3)
9,500 MW
Eastern MAAC
4,750 -
4,950 MW
(6)
12,700 MW
6,600 -
6,800 MW
14,500 MW
(5)
6,600 -
6,800 MW
16,000 MW
(4)
Rest of Market
Obligation
Capacity
(2)
Obligation
Capacity
(2)
Obligation
Capacity
(2)
2009 / 2010
2008 / 2009
2007 / 2008
Exelon Generation
Participation
within
PJM
Reliability
Pricing
Model
(1)
(6) In 09/10, obligation is reduced due to roll-off of part of ComEd auction load obligation in May 2009.
(3)  EMAAC obligation consists of load from PECO and BGS commitments.
(7) MAAC = Mid-Atlantic Area Council; APS = Allegheny Power System.
(5) 08/09 Capacity supply decreased due to roll-off of several purchase power agreements (PPAs).
(4) Removing State Line from the supply in October 2007 reduces this by 515 MW.
(2)  All
capacity
values
are
in
installed
capacity
terms
(summer
ratings).
(1)  All values are approximate and not inclusive of wholesale transactions.
PJM RPM Auction Results ($/MW-day)


52
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Carbon Value
Midwest
~90,000 GWhs in Midwest nuclear
portfolio
~55% of time coal on the margin
~40% of time gas on the margin
Mid-Atlantic
~50,000 GWhs in Mid-Atlantic
nuclear portfolio
~45% of time coal on the margin
~50% of time gas on the margin
Assumes Open Position
(1)
Carbon Credit ($/Tonne)
(1) Carbon sensitivity excludes ComEd SWAP and upside of Kincaid/Elwood due to contract expiration in 2012.  Assumes below $45/tonne carbon cost, no carbon
reduction technology (e.g., sequestration) is economical.
(2) As of 10/31/07.
(3) The
EIA
Carbon
Stabilization
Case
(Case
4)
dated
March
2006,
EIA
report
number
SR/OIAF/2006-1.
(4) Low
Carbon
Economy
Act
initial
“Technology
Accelerator
Payment”
(TAP)
price
in
2012.
Allowance
price
increases
at
5%
above
the
rate
of
inflation
thereafter.
Carbon Value
Climate change legislation is expected to drive substantial gross margin expansion
at Exelon Generation
Europe Carbon Trading
2012: $35.50/tonne
(2)
Bingaman-Specter
(4)
2012: $12/tonne
EIA Carbon Case
(3)
2010: $31/tonne
Lieberman-Warner
Possible $20 to $40/tonne


53
Required Break-Even Cost
by Technology (Illustrative)
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nuclear
Coal
Integrated Gasification 
Combined Cycle
Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
In 2008$
CO2 @
$10/tonne
Fixed / Variable 
Cost Recovery
Note:
See following page for assumptions. Break-even price determined by using mid-point of capital cost.
(1) 2008 ERCOT Forward Price = $64.00/MWh ATC as of 10/31/07.
2008 ERCOT
Forward
Price
(1)


54
Required Break-Even Cost
by Technology –
Illustrative Assumptions
Combined Cycle
Gas Turbine
(CCGT)
Integrated
Gasification
Combined Cycle
(IGCC)
Coal
(Pulverized)
Nuclear
(Dual-Unit)
Assumption
Construction time (years)
Permitting time (years)
CO2 -
$/tonne
2008 Market fuel cost
(held flat for fossil fuels)
Fuel type
Range of all-in capital cost ($/kw)
(overnight, without interest during construction)
Capacity net MWe
10
10
10
N/A
$7.68/ MMBtu
$2.22/ MMBtu
$2.22/MMBtu
$10.00/MWh
2
3
2
3
2
4
3
5
Gas
Coal
Coal
Nuclear
800 –
1,200
2,800 –
3,000
2,100 –
2,400
2,800 –
3,400
500
500
500
3,000
Global Assumptions:
In 2008$; 40-year life assumed; 9-12% after-tax weighted avg. cost of capital; 32% effective tax rate; ~1%-3% cost escalation.
Fuel assumptions are PRB (coal) and Houston Ship Channel (gas).


55
Exelon Nuclear Fleet Overview
2011
42.6% Exelon, 56.4 %
PSEG
2016, 2020
969
(1)
W
PWR
2
Salem, NJ
Life of plant capacity
100% AmerGen
2014; renewal to
be filed 2008
837
B&W
PWR
1
TMI-1, PA
Dry cask
100% AmerGen
2009; renewal filed
2005
625
GE
BWR
1
Oyster Creek, NJ
Dry cask
50% Exelon, 50%
PSEG
Renewed: 2033,
2034
1135
(1)
GE
BWR
2
Peach Bottom, PA
Dry cask
75% Exelon, 25% Mid-
American Holdings
Renewed: 2032
1303
(1)
GE
BWR
2
Quad Cities, IL
Dry cask
100%
Renewed: 2029,
2031
871, 871
GE
BWR
2
Dresden, IL
2012
100%
2022, 2023
1138, 1150
GE
BWR
2
LaSalle, IL
Dry cask in process
100%
2024, 2029
1151, 1151
GE
BWR
2
Limerick, PA
Re-rack completed
2011
2013
Spent Fuel Storage/
Date to lose full core
discharge capacity
GE
W
W
Vendor
BWR
PWR
PWR
Type
1
2
2
Units
100% AmerGen
2026
1048
Clinton, IL
100%
2024, 2026
1183, 1153
Byron, IL
100%
2026, 2027
1194, 1166
Braidwood, IL
Ownership
License
Expiration /
Status
Net Annual
Mean Rating
MW
Plant, Location
Fleet also includes 4 shutdown units:  Peach Bottom 1, Dresden 1, Zion 1 & 2.
(1) Capacity based on ownership interest.


56
Energy Policy Act –
Nuclear Incentives
$18 per MWh, 8 year PTC for
first 6,000 MWe of new capacity
Cap of $125M per 1,000 MWe of
capacity per year
Protects against a decrease in
market prices and revenues
earned
Benefit will be allocated/ prorated
among those who:
File COL by year-end 2008
Begin construction (first
safety-related concrete) by
1/1/2014
Place unit into service by
1/1/2021
Production Tax Credit (PTC)
Results in ability to obtain
non-recourse project
financing
Up to 80% of the project
cost, repayment within 30
years or 90% of the project
life
Timing of application subject
to DOE solicitations for
projects
Loan guarantee volume
dependent upon
congressional appropriations
action
Government Loan
Guarantee
“Insurance”
protecting against
regulatory delays in
commissioning a completed
plant
First two reactors would
receive immediate “standby
interest coverage”
including
replacement power up to
$500M
The next four reactors
would be covered up to
$250M after six months of
delay
Regulatory Delay “Backstop”
Energy Policy
Act
provides
financial
incentives
and
reduced
risk
by
way
of
production tax credits and loan guarantees


57
Announced Nuclear Projects
Announced intent
Greenfield
San Joaquin Valley  CA
EPR
1
Fresno Nuclear Energy
Announced intent
Greenfield
Bruneau
ID
EPR
1
Alternative Energy Hldings
Letter of intent
Operating
Turkey Pt   FL
TBD
TBD
FPL
Letter of intent
Operating
Susquehanna  PA
EPR
1
PPL
Letter of intent
Operating
Fermi  MI
TBD
1
DTE Energy
Letter of intent
Greenfield
Victoria or Matagorda TX
TBD
TBD
Exelon
Letter of intent
Operating
Comanche Peak TX
APWR
2
TXU
Letter of intent
Operating
Callaway  MO
EPR
1
Unistar/Ameren
Letter of intent
Operating
Nine Mile Pt  NY
EPR
1
Unistar
COL submitted Sept 2007
Operating
South Texas Project  TX
ABWR
2
NRG Energy
Letter of intent
Greenfield
Amarillo  TX
EPR
2
Amarillo Power
COL Jan 2008
Operating
Harris  NC
AP1000
2
Progress
COL 2008
Operating
Vogtle
GA
AP1000
2
Southern
COL May 2008
Operating
River Bend  LA
ESBWR
1
Entergy
Letter of intent
Characterized
Lee  SC
AP1000
2
Duke
COL July 2008
Greenfield
Levy Co.  FL
AP1000
2
Progress
Letter of intent
Operating
Summer  SC
AP1000
2
South Carolina E&G
ESP approved; COL February 2008
Operating
Grand Gulf  MS
ESBWR
1
Entergy/NuStart
COL submitted Oct 2007.  Reference plant for AP1000
Characterized
Bellefonte  AL
AP1000
2
TVA/NuStart
Reference plant for ESBWR COL application; planned for 2007
Operating
North Anna  VA
ESBWR
1
Dominion
Partial COL submitted; remainder expected in 2007
Operating
Calvert Cliffs  MD
EPR
1
Unistar
Status
Type of site
Site
Technology
Units
Applicant
21 projects totaling ~39,000 MWs have been announced


58
Advanced Nuclear Designs –
U.S. Market
Luminant
(formerly TXU)
Will apply for design
certification in 2008
1700 MW
Mitsubishi
APWR
(Advanced PWR)
NRG
Evolutionary improvement
from current BWR.  Design
certification in 1997.  In
operation in Japan since 1996.
1350 MW
GE-Hitachi
ABWR
(Advanced BWR)
UniStar
PPL
Ameren
Alternate Energy Holdings
Design certification to be filed
1Q 2008.  AREVA in UniStar
joint venture with Constellation
to deploy EPR in US.  Under
construction in Finland, France
1600 MW
AREVA
EPR 
(Evolutionary PWR)
TVA/NuStart
SCE&G
Progress
Duke
Southern
PWR, passive safety features, 
Design certification received
December 2005
1150 MW
Westinghouse
AP1000 
(Advanced Passive
1000)
Dominion
Entergy/NuStart at Grand Gulf
Entergy at River Bend
Passive safety features,
simplified from ABWR design. 
NRC design certification
expected 2010
1500 MW
GE-Hitachi
ESBWR
(Economic
Simplified Boiling
Water Reactor)
Selected in US by:
Status
Capacity
Vendor
Reactor
Sources:  World Nuclear Association; Nuclear Fuel Cycle Monitor,
September 17, 2007.


59
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Building a new nuclear plant is not a one-step process or
decision:  It is a sequence of 3 successive decisions
Years (estimates)
1
2
3
First Decision: File an application for a COL
Second Decision: Procure major long-lead
procurement components and commodities
Third Decision: Proceed
with construction
Source: Exelon estimates.
Roadmap to Nuclear Commercial
Operation


60
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Uranium Price Volatility
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Spring 2003
McArthur River
flood
December 2003
GNSS/Tenex
termination;
ConverDyn
UF6 release
and shutdown
Early 2004
ERA / Ranger
water problems
Early 2006
First Cigar Lake flood;
Cyclone Monica halts 
ERA /  Ranger
operations for
approximately two
weeks
October 2006
Second Cigar
Lake flood
March 2007
ERA / Ranger flooding
(cyclone George)
Long-term Uranium Price Trend
Seven-Month Uranium Price Trend
Long-term equilibrium price expected to be $40-$60/lb


61
Current Market Prices
1.
2004, 2005 and 2006 are actual settled prices.
2.
Real Time LMP (Locational Marginal Price).
3.
Next day over-the-counter market.
4.
Average NYMEX settled prices.
5.
2007 information is a combination of actual prices through 10/31/07 and market prices for the balance of the year.
6.
2008 and 2009 are forward market prices as of 10/31/07.
PRICES (as of October 31, 2007)
Units
2004
2005
2006
1
2007
5
2008
6
2009
6
PJM West-Hub ATC
($/MWh)
42.35
60.92
51.07
2
59.56
65.94
68.01
PJM NI-Hub ATC
($/MWh)
30.15
46.39
41.42
45.77
50.17
51.55
NEPOOL MASS Hub ATC
($/MWh)
52.13
76.65
59.68
65.61
77.03
78.98
ERCOT North On-Peak
($/MWh)
49.53
76.90
60.87
3
60.08
74.76
78.95
Henry Hub Natural Gas
($/MMBTU)
5.85
8.85
4
6.74
4
7.07
8.48
8.69
WTI Crude Oil
($/bbl)
41.48
4
56.62
4
66.38
4
69.67
88.79
83.19
PRB 8800
($/Ton)
5.97
8.06
13.04
9.70
11.50
12.30
NAPP 3.0
($/Ton)
60.25
52.42
43.87
47.97
54.50
53.50
ATC HEAT RATES (as of October 31, 2007)
PJM West-Hub / Tetco
M3
(MMBTU/MWh)
6.40
6.30
6.98
7.56
7.01
7.04
PJM NI-Hub / Chicago City Gate
(MMBTU/MWh)
5.52
5.52
6.32
6.55
5.94
5.91
ERCOT North / Houston Ship Channel
(MMBTU/MWh)
7.53
8.21
8.28
7.73
7.83
7.92
4
3
2
2
2
1
1
2
2
3
2
2
2


62
62
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8
8.1
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
9.4
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
As of October 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
Forward NYMEX Natural Gas
PJM-West and NI-Hub On-Peak  Forward Prices
PJM-West On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
NI-Hub On-Peak Implied Heat Rate
8.84
9.04
9.24
9.44
9.64
9.84
10.04
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
2008
2009
2009
2008
2008 PJM-West
2009 PJM-West
2009 Ni-Hub
2008 Ni-Hub
2008
2009


63
63
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
60
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
As of October 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
PJM-West ATC Forward Prices
2008
2009
PJM-West Wrap Forward Prices
2008
2009
NI-Hub ATC Forward Prices
NI-Hub Wrap Forward Prices
2009
2008
2009
2008


64
64
49
51
53
55
57
59
61
63
65
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
7.7
7.8
7.9
8
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
72
74
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
7
7.5
8
8.5
9
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
2008
2009
2009
2008
2008
2009
As of October 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.
2008
2009
Houston Ship Channel Natural Gas
Forward Prices
ERCOT North ATC Forward Prices
ERCOT North ATC v. Houston Ship Channel
Implied Heat Rate
ERCOT North Wrap Forward Prices


65
65
65
67
69
71
73
75
77
79
81
83
85
1/2/07
2/2/07
3/2/07
4/2/07
5/2/07
6/2/07
7/2/07
8/2/07
9/2/07
10/2/07
Market Price Snapshot
ERCOT North On-Peak Forward Prices
2008
2009
As of October 31, 2007. Source: OTC quotes and electronic trading system. Quotes are daily.


66
Exelon –
Climate Change


67
Recognized Environmental Leadership
Named
to
the
2006/2007
and
2007/2008
Dow
Jones
Sustainability North America Index
Named to Climate Disclosure Leadership Index of the Carbon
Disclosure Project in 2005, 2006 and 2007
Signatory to the Global Roundtable on Climate Change and the
Ceres/Investor Network on Climate Risk statements
Member of the United States Climate Action Partnership (USCAP)
Corporate headquarters awarded Leadership in Energy and
Environmental Design (LEED
®
) Platinum Commercial Interiors
certification by the U.S. Green Building Council


68
Exelon’s Climate Actions
Achieved SF6 leak rate of under 10% for 2006
Provides customer-based energy-efficiency
programs (compact fluorescent light bulbs, demand
response programs) –
will ramp up to one of the
country’s leading programs in four years
ComEd is the largest private user of biodiesel in
Illinois thereby helping to create a healthy
biodiesel market
First utility in PA to file to meet Tier 1
requirements under Alternative Energy Portfolio
Standards (AEPS)
Achieved SF6 leak rate of under 10% for 2006
Supporting implementation of smart meters
system-wide and time-of-use programs
Nation’s largest low-carbon generation
Retired older, inefficient plant
Invested in landfill gas power generation
expansion
Committed to going beyond world-class nuclear performance and compliance with
regulations, Exelon is taking voluntary action to address climate change
Largest marketer of wind power east of the
Mississippi River
Signed 20-year deal to purchase output from
largest solar photovoltaic installation in PJM
region


69
Exelon and Federal Climate
Change Legislation
Actively involved in the climate debate in Washington, D.C.
Lobbying in favor of enacting legislation that is national,
mandatory
and economy-wide
Favors a cap-and-trade system over a carbon tax
Believes that any allocation scheme should include allowances
for
distribution
companies
to
help
offset
the
cost
of
carbon
for
the
end-user
To
limit
near-term
economic
impacts,
supports
a
“safety
valve”
for
cost of carbon that needs to increase over time


70
Reduction Goals
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
Historical U.S. emissions (EPA, 1990-2005)
Business-as-usual projection (AEO2007)
Sanders-Boxer / Waxman
Kerry-Snowe
McCain-Lieberman
Bingaman-Specter assuming "safety valve" not hit
Lieberman-Warner draft principles
Olver-Gilchrest
Bingaman-Specter assumes multiple low-carbon
policies, including:
Car & light truck fuel economy of 41 mpg by 2027
Federal RPS of 15% by 2020
Optimistic assumptions about new technologies
coming online
Under these policies, the safety valve is not triggered.
Without these policies the safety valve is expected to
be reached in the early years and the target will be
exceeded. The program ends in 2030 unless the
President sets additional long-term targets.
Comparison of Economy-wide Cap-and-Trade Emissions Targets
Includes Legislation Introduced in the 110th Congress as of September 2007


71
CO2 Reductions Demand Multiple
Generation Technologies
Source:  Electric Power Research Institute
EIA Base Case 2007
The technical potential exists
for the U.S. electricity sector
to significantly reduce CO2
emissions over the coming
decades
No one technology will be a
silver bullet –
a portfolio of
technologies will be needed
Much of the needed
technology is not available
yet –
substantial R&D and
demonstration are required
To stabilize emissions at 1990 levels, multiple technologies and
intensive R&D will be required
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Advanced Coal Generation
Distributed Energy Resources
Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles
Carbon Capture & Storage
Nuclear Generation
Renewables
Efficiency
Technology


72
Key Climate Bills
Several bills and white papers and drafts are gaining support in
Washington:
Bingaman-Specter (S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007)
Economy-wide: All major GHG producing sectors
o
Point of regulation: Oil and natural gas refineries and coal-fired generators
Increasing auction of allowances
o
Allowance allocations include: 9% to states, 53% to industry declining 2% per year starting in 2017, 5% set
aside for agricultural
o
Safety Valve: Price of allowances capped at $12/tonne of CO2 (“technology accelerator payment”) starting
in 2012 and increasing 5% per year above inflation rate
Lieberman-Warner (S. 2191, America’s Climate Security Act of 2007)
Major vehicle for action in the U.S. Senate Environment and Public Works Committee
Economy-wide: All major GHG producing sectors
o
Point of regulation: Electric power sector-
large generators; Industrial sector: Large facilities emitting
more
than
10,000
tonnes
per
year
o
Increasing auction of allowances
o
Allowance allocations include: 4% to states, 19% to power plants
(transitions to zero in 2034), 20% to
industry, 10% to electricity load-serving entities
o
Creates Carbon Market Efficiency Board to allow for borrowing of
future year allowances with payback;
limited authority to oversee market
Dingell-Boucher White Paper
Reduce emissions by 60% to 80% by 2050
Best achieved by a cap-and-trade system


73
Key Assumptions, Projected 2007
Credit Measures &
GAAP Reconciliation


74
Projected 2007 Key Credit Measures
62% –
52%
52%
53%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 49%
12% –
20%
18%
17%
FFO / Debt
2.5x –
3.5x
A
4.4x
4.4x
FFO / Interest
PECO:
52% –
42%
58%
61%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 43%
25% –
40%
12%
10%
FFO / Debt
3.5x –
5.5x
BBB
3.0x
3.0x
FFO / Interest
ComEd:
52% –
42%
40%
58%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 38%
25% –
40%
79%
41%
FFO / Debt
3.5x –
5.5x
BBB+
12.4x
6.5x
FFO / Interest
Generation:
63%
28%
5.6x
Without PPA &
Pension / OPEB
55% –
45%
70%
Rating Agency Debt Ratio
Adjusted Book Debt Ratio: 54%
20% –
30%
22%
FFO / Debt
3.2x –
4.5x
BBB
4.6x
FFO / Interest
Exelon Cons:
“BBB”
Target
Range
(3)
S&P Credit
Ratings
(2)
With PPA &
Pension / OPEB
(1)
Notes: Projected credit measures reflect impact of Illinois electric rates and policy settlement.  Exelon, ComEd and PECO metrics exclude securitization debt.  See following slide for
FFO
(Funds
from
Operations)/Interest,
FFO/Debt
and
Adjusted
Book
Debt
Ratio
reconciliations
to
GAAP.
(1)
Reflects S&P updated guidelines, which include imputed debt and interest related to purchased power agreements (PPA), unfunded pension and other postretirement benefits
(OPEB) obligations, and capital adequacy for energy trading.  Debt is imputed for estimated pension and OPEB obligations by operating company.
(2)
Current senior unsecured ratings for Exelon and Generation and senior secured ratings for ComEd and PECO as of 10/31/07.
(3)
Based on S&P Business Profiles: 7 for Exelon, 8 for Generation and ComEd, and 4 for PECO.
Exelon’s balance sheet is strong


75
FFO Calculation and Ratios (updated)
FFO Calculation
= FFO
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Paydown
+ Gain on
Sale,
Extraordinary
Items
and
Other
Non-Cash
Items
(3)
+ Change in Deferred Taxes
+ Depreciation,
amortization
(including
nucl
fuel
amortization),
AFUDC/Cap.
Interest
Add back non-cash items:
Net Income
= Adjusted Interest
+ 7% of Present Value (PV) of Operating Leases
+ Interest on imputed debt related to PV of Purchased Power Agreements
(PPA), unfunded Pension and Other Postretirement Benefits (OPEB)
obligations,
and
Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
,
as
applicable
-
PECO Transition Bond Interest Expense
Net Interest Expense (Before AFUDC & Cap. Interest)
Adjusted Interest
FFO+ Adjusted Interest
FFO Interest Coverage
+ Capital
Adequacy
for
Energy
Trading
(2)
FFO
= Adjusted Debt
+ PV of Operating Leases
+ 100%
of
PV
of
Purchased
Power
Agreements
(2)
+ Unfunded
Pension
and
OPEB
obligations
(2)
+ A/R Financing
Add off-balance sheet debt equivalents:
-
PECO Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Adjusted Debt
(1)
FFO Debt Coverage
= Total Rating Agency Capitalization
+ Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
-
Goodwill
Total Adjusted Capitalization
= Rating Agency Debt
+ ComEd Transition Bond Principal
Balance
+ Off-balance
sheet
debt
equivalents
(2)
Adjusted Book Debt
Rating Agency Capitalization
Rating Agency Debt
= Total Adjusted Capitalization
+ Adjusted Book Debt
+ Preferred Securities of Subsidiaries
+ Total Shareholders' Equity
Capitalization:
= Adjusted Book Debt
-
Transition Bond Principal Balance
+ STD
+ LTD
Debt:
Total Adjusted Capitalization
Adjusted Book Debt
Debt to Total Cap
Note: Updated to reflect revised S&P guidelines and company forecast.  FFO and Debt related to non-recourse debt are excluded from the calculations.
(1) Use current year-end adjusted debt balance.
(2) Metrics are calculated in presentation unadjusted and adjusted for debt equivalents and related interest for PPAs, unfunded Pension and OPEB obligations, and Capital
Adequacy for Energy Trading.
(3) Reflects depreciation adjustment for PPAs and decommissioning interest income and contributions.


76
GAAP EPS Reconciliation 2000-2002
2000 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.44
Change in common shares
(0.53)
Extraordinary items
(0.04)
Cumulative effect of accounting change
--
Unicom pre-merger results
0.79
Merger-related costs
0.34
Pro forma merger accounting adjustments
(0.07)
2000 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$1.93
2001 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.21
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 133
(0.02)
Employee severance costs
0.05
Litigation reserves
0.01
Net loss on investments
0.01
CTC prepayment
(0.01)
Wholesale rate settlement
(0.01)
Settlement of transition bond swap
--
2001 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.24
2002 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.22
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 141 and No. 142
0.35
Gain on sale of investment in AT&T Wireless
(0.18)
Employee severance costs
0.02
2002 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.41


77
2004 GAAP Reported EPS
$2.78
Charges associated with debt repurchases
0.12
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.10)
Employee severance costs
0.07
Cumulative effect of adopting FIN 46-R
(0.05)
Settlement associated with the storage of spent nuclear fuel
(0.04)
Boston Generating 2004 impact
(0.03)
Charges associated with investment in Sithe Energies, Inc.
0.02
Charges related to the now terminated merger with PSEG
0.01
2004 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.78
2003 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.38
Boston Generating impairment
0.87
Charges associated with investment in Sithe Energies, Inc.
0.27
Employee severance costs
0.24
Cumulative effect of adopting SFAS No. 143
(0.17)
Property tax accrual reductions
(0.07)
Enterprises’
Services goodwill impairment
0.03
Enterprises’
impairments due to anticipated sale
0.03
March 3 ComEd Settlement Agreement
0.03
2003 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.61
GAAP EPS Reconciliation 2003-2005
2005 GAAP Reported EPS
$1.36
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.10)
Charges related to the now terminated merger with PSEG
0.03
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
1.78
2005 financial impact of Generation’s investment in Sithe
(0.03)
Cumulative effect of adopting FIN 47
2005 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
0.06
$3.10


78
GAAP Earnings Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2006
776
-
-
776
-
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
(52)
-
-
(52)
-
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
(89)
-
-
-
(89)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(95)
-
-
(95)
-
Recovery of severance costs at ComEd
$(83)
-
1
36
24
-
$(144)
Other
$2,175
1
18
58
24
(58)
$1,592
Exelon
$455
-
4
10
-
-
$441
PECO
$528
-
4
4
-
3
$(112)
ComEd
ExGen
(in millions)
9
Severance charges
8
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
$1,275
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings (Loss)
1
Impairment of Generation’s investments in TEG and TEP
-
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(61)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$1,407
2006 GAAP Reported Earnings (Loss)
Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding.


79
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Year Ended December 31, 2006
$3.22
(0.11)
0.67
$0.78
$1.88
2006 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
$2.35
(0.21)
0.65
(0.17)
$2.08
2006 GAAP Reported EPS
-
-
-
-
-
0.05
0.04
-
Other
(1)
(0.14)
1.15
(0.08)
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
ComEd
(1)
-
-
-
(0.13)
0.01
0.01
-
(0.09)
ExGen
(1)
-
-
-
-
0.01
0.01
-
-
PECO
(1)
Exelon
1.15
Impairment of ComEd’s goodwill
(0.08)
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
0.03
Severance charges
(0.13)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(0.14)
Recovery of severance costs at ComEd
0.09
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
0.04
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.09)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
Note: Amounts may not add due to rounding.
(1) Amounts shown per Exelon share and represent contributions to Exelon's EPS.


80
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006
$2.50
Q3 2006 YTD Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
(0.08)
Recovery of debt costs at ComEd
1.15
Impairment of ComEd's goodwill
0.02
Severance charges
(0.13)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
0.09
Charges related to now terminated merger with PSEG
0.08
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
(0.11)
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$1.48
Q3 2006 YTD GAAP Reported EPS


81
GAAP EPS Reconciliation
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
$3.31
Q3 2007 YTD Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating EPS
(0.01)
Sale of Generation's investments in TEG and TEP
0.14
2007 Illinois electric rate settlement
(0.01)
Settlement of a tax matter at Generation related to Sithe
(0.03)
Nuclear decommissioning obligation reduction
(0.10)
Investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
0.12
Mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
$3.20
Q3 2007 YTD GAAP Reported EPS


82
2007/2008 Earnings Outlook
Exelon’s outlook for 2007/2008 adjusted (non-GAAP) operating
earnings excludes the earnings impacts of the following:
mark-to-market adjustments from economic hedging activities
significant impairments of intangible assets, including goodwill
significant changes in decommissioning obligation estimates
investments in synthetic fuel-producing facilities
costs associated with the Illinois electric rate settlement, including
ComEd’s previously announced customer rate relief programs
gains or losses on the State Line Energy, L.L.C. and Tenaska Georgia
Partners, LP transactions (2007 only)
other unusual items which the Company is unable to forecast
significant future changes to GAAP
Both our operating earnings and GAAP earnings guidance are
based on the assumption of normal weather


83
Net income (loss)
+/-
Cumulative effect of changes in accounting principle
+/-
Discontinued operations
+/-
Minority interest
+   Income taxes
Income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes and
minority
interest
+  Interest expense
+  Interest expense to affiliates
-
Interest income from affiliates
+  Depreciation and amortization
Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA)
Reconciliation of Net Income to
EBITDA


84
Exelon Investor Relations Contacts
Inquiries concerning this presentation should
be directed to:
Exelon Investor Relations
10 South Dearborn Street
Chicago, Illinois 60603
312-394-2345
312-394-4082 (Fax)
For copies of other presentations,
annual/quarterly reports, or to be added to our
email distribution list please contact:
Felicia McGowan, Executive Admin Coordinator
312-394-4069
Felicia.McGowan@ExelonCorp.com
Investor Relations Contacts:
Chaka Patterson, Vice President
312-394-7234
Chaka.Patterson@ExelonCorp.com
JaCee Burnes, Director
312-394-2948
JaCee.Burnes@ExelonCorp.com
Marybeth Flater, Manager
312-394-8354
Marybeth.Flater@ExelonCorp.com
Len Epelbaum, Principal Analyst
312-394-7356
Len.Epelbaum@ExelonCorp.com