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Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Liability for Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense [Abstract]  
Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
Note E. Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
The Company's property and casualty insurance claim and claim adjustment expense reserves represent the estimated amounts necessary to resolve all outstanding claims, including IBNR claims as of the reporting date. The Company's reserve projections are based primarily on detailed analysis of the facts in each case, the Company's experience with similar cases and various historical development patterns. Consideration is given to such historical patterns as claim reserving trends and settlement practices, loss payments, pending levels of unpaid claims and product mix, as well as court decisions, economic conditions, including inflation, and public attitudes. All of these factors can affect the estimation of claim and claim adjustment expense reserves.
Establishing claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, including claim and claim adjustment expense reserves for catastrophic events that have occurred, is an estimation process. Many factors can ultimately affect the final settlement of a claim and, therefore, the necessary reserve. Changes in the law, results of litigation, medical costs, the cost of repair materials and labor rates can all affect ultimate claim costs. In addition, time can be a critical part of reserving determinations since the longer the span between the incidence of a loss and the payment or settlement of the claim, the more variable the ultimate settlement amount can be. Accordingly, short-tail claims, such as property damage claims, tend to be more reasonably estimable than long-tail claims, such as workers' compensation, general liability and professional liability claims. Adjustments to prior year reserve estimates, if necessary, are reflected in the results of operations in the period that the need for such adjustments is determined. There can be no assurance that the Company's ultimate cost for insurance losses will not exceed current estimates.
Catastrophes are an inherent risk of the property and casualty insurance business and have contributed to material period-to-period fluctuations in the Company's results of operations and/or equity. The Company reported catastrophe losses, net of reinsurance, of $165 million, $141 million and $156 million for the years ended December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014. Catastrophe losses in 2016 related primarily to U.S. weather-related events and the Fort McMurray wildfires.
In developing claim and claim adjustment expense (“loss” or “losses”) reserve estimates, our actuaries perform detailed reserve analyses that are staggered throughout the year. Every reserve group is reviewed at least once during the year. The analyses generally review losses gross of ceded reinsurance and apply the ceded reinsurance terms to the gross estimates to establish estimates net of reinsurance. In addition to the detailed analyses, we review actual loss emergence for all products each quarter. In developing the loss reserve estimates for property and casualty contracts, we generally project ultimate losses using several common actuarial methods as listed below. We review the various indications from the various methods and apply judgment to select an actuarial point estimate. The indicated required reserve is the difference between the selected ultimate loss and the inception-to-date paid losses. The difference between the selected ultimate loss and the case incurred or reported loss is IBNR. IBNR includes a provision for development on known cases as well as a provision for late reported incurred claims. Further, the Company does not establish case reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses (ALAE), therefore all ALAE reserves are included in our estimate of IBNR. The most frequently utilized methods to project ultimate losses include the following:
paid development;
incurred development;
loss ratio;
Bornhuetter-Ferguson using premiums and paid loss;
Bornhuetter-Ferguson using premiums and incurred loss;
frequency times severity; and
stochastic modeling.
The paid development method estimates ultimate losses by reviewing paid loss patterns and applying them to accident years with further expected changes in paid loss. The incurred development method is similar to the paid development method, but it uses case incurred losses instead of paid losses. The loss ratio method multiplies premiums by an expected loss ratio to produce ultimate loss estimates for each accident year. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson using premiums and paid loss method is a combination of the paid development approach and the loss ratio approach. This method normally determines expected loss ratios similar to the approach used to estimate the expected loss ratio for the loss ratio method. The Bornhuetter-Ferguson using premiums and incurred loss method is similar to the Bornhuetter-Ferguson using premiums and paid loss method except that it uses case incurred losses. The frequency times severity method multiplies a projected number of ultimate claims by an estimated ultimate average loss for each accident year to produce ultimate loss estimates. Stochastic modeling produces a range of possible outcomes based on varying assumptions related to the particular product being modeled.
For many exposures, especially those that can be considered long-tail, a particular accident or policy year may not have a sufficient volume of paid losses to produce a statistically reliable estimate of ultimate losses. In such a case, our actuaries typically assign more weight to the incurred development method than to the paid development method. As claims continue to settle and the volume of paid loss increases, the actuaries may assign additional weight to the paid development method. For most of our products, even the incurred losses for accident or policy years that are early in the claim settlement process will not be of sufficient volume to produce a reliable estimate of ultimate losses. In these cases, we may not assign any weight to the paid and incurred development methods. We will use the loss ratio, Bornhuetter-Ferguson and frequency times severity methods. For short-tail exposures, the paid and incurred development methods can often be relied on sooner, primarily because our history includes a sufficient number of years to cover the entire period over which paid and incurred losses are expected to change. However, we may also use the loss ratio, Bornhuetter-Ferguson and frequency times severity methods for short-tail exposures. For other more complex reserve groups where the above methods may not produce reliable indications, we use additional methods tailored to the characteristics of the specific situation.
Reserves for policyholder benefits for our Life & Group Non-Core segment, which primarily includes long term care, are based on actuarial assumptions which include estimates of morbidity, persistency, discount rates and expenses over the life of the contracts. Under GAAP, the best estimates of the actuarial assumptions at the date the contract was issued are locked-in throughout the life of the contract, unless a premium deficiency develops, which occurred in 2015. As a result, the Company updated the assumptions to represent management’s best estimates at the time of the premium deficiency and these revised assumptions are locked-in unless another premium deficiency is identified.
Certain claim liabilities are more difficult to estimate and have differing methodologies and considerations which are described below.
Our mass tort and A&EP reserving methodologies are similar as both are based on detailed account reviews of all large accounts with estimates based on ultimate payments considering the applicable law and coverage litigation. These reserves are subject to greater inherent variability than is typical of the remainder of the Company’s reserves due to, among other things, a general lack of sufficiently detailed data, expansion of the population being held responsible for these exposures and significant unresolved legal issues such as the existence of coverage and the definition of an occurrence.
Our actuarial reserve analyses result in point estimates. Each quarter, the results of detailed reserve reviews are summarized and discussed with our senior management to determine management's best estimate of reserves. Senior management considers many factors in making this decision. The factors include, but are not limited to, the historical pattern and volatility of the actuarial indications, the sensitivity of the actuarial indications to changes in paid and incurred loss patterns, the consistency of claims handling processes, the consistency of case reserving practices, changes in our pricing and underwriting, pricing and underwriting trends in the insurance market and legal, judicial, social and economic trends. Our recorded reserves reflect our best estimate as of a particular point in time based upon known facts, consideration of the factors cited above and our judgment. The carried reserve may differ from the actuarial point estimate as the result of our consideration of the factors noted above as well as the potential volatility of the projections associated with the specific product being analyzed and other factors affecting claims costs that may not be quantifiable through traditional actuarial analysis.
The loss reserve development tables presented herein illustrate the change over time of reserves established for claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses arising from short duration insurance contracts for certain lines of business within our property & casualty segments. Not all lines of business or segments are presented based on their context to the Company's overall loss reserves, calendar year reserve development, or calendar year net earned premiums. Insurance contracts are considered to be short duration contracts when the contracts are not expected to remain in force for an extended period of time. The Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses tables, reading across, show the cumulative net incurred claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses relating to each accident year at the end of the stated calendar year. Changes in the cumulative amount across time are the result of the Company's expanded awareness of additional facts and circumstances that pertain to the unsettled claims. The Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses tables, reading across, show the cumulative amount paid for claims in each accident year as of the end of the stated calendar year. The Net Strengthening or (Releases) of Prior Accident Year Reserves tables, reading across, show the net increase or decrease in the cumulative net incurred accident year claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses during each stated calendar year and indicates whether the reserves for that accident year were strengthened or released.
The information in the tables is reported on a net basis after reinsurance and does not include unallocated claim and claim adjustment expenses or the effects of discounting. The information contained in the years preceding the current calendar year is unaudited. Information contained in the tables pertaining to our International segment has been presented at the year-end 2016 foreign currency exchange rates for all periods presented to remove the effects of foreign currency exchange rate changes between calendar years. The Company has presented development information for the Hardy business prospectively from the date of acquisition and is presented as a separate table within our International segment. To the extent the Company enters into a commutation, the transaction is reported on a prospective basis. To the extent that the Company enters into a disposition, the effects of the disposition are reported on a retrospective basis by removing the balances associated with the disposed of business.
The amounts reported for the cumulative number of reported claims include direct and assumed open and closed claims by accident year at the claimant level. The number excludes claim counts for claims within a policy deductible where the insured is responsible for payment of losses in the deductible layer. Claim count data for certain assumed reinsurance contracts is unavailable.
In the loss reserve development tables, IBNR includes reserves for incurred but not reported losses and expected development on case reserves. The Company does not case reserve ALAE, therefore all ALAE reserves are also included in the estimate of IBNR.
Liability for Unpaid Claim and Claim Adjustment Expenses Rollforward
The following table presents a reconciliation between beginning and ending claim and claim adjustment expense reserves, including claim and claim adjustment expense reserves of the Life & Group Non-Core segment.
As of or for the years ended December 31
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Reserves, beginning of year:
 
 
 
 
 
Gross
$
22,663

 
$
23,271

 
$
24,089

Ceded
4,087

 
4,344

 
4,972

Net reserves, beginning of year
18,576

 
18,927

 
19,117

Change in net reserves due to acquisition (disposition) of subsidiaries

 

 
(13
)
Net incurred claim and claim adjustment expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
Provision for insured events of current year
5,025

 
4,934

 
5,043

Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years
(342
)
 
(255
)
 
(36
)
Amortization of discount
175

 
166

 
161

Total net incurred (1)
4,858

 
4,845

 
5,168

Net payments attributable to:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year events
(967
)
 
(856
)
 
(945
)
Prior year events
(4,167
)
 
(4,089
)
 
(4,355
)
Total net payments
(5,134
)
 
(4,945
)
 
(5,300
)
Foreign currency translation adjustment and other
(51
)
 
(251
)
 
(45
)
Net reserves, end of year
18,249

 
18,576

 
18,927

Ceded reserves, end of year
4,094

 
4,087

 
4,344

Gross reserves, end of year
$
22,343

 
$
22,663

 
$
23,271


(1)
Total net incurred above does not agree to Insurance claims and policyholders' benefits as reflected on the Consolidated Statements of Operations due to amounts related to retroactive reinsurance deferred gain accounting, uncollectible reinsurance and loss deductible receivables, and benefit expenses related to future policy benefits, which are not reflected in the table above.
The following tables present the gross and net carried reserves.
December 31, 2016
 Specialty
 
 Commercial
 
International
 
Life &
Group Non-Core
 
Corporate
& Other Non-Core
 
Total
(In millions)
 
 
 
 
 
Gross Case Reserves
$
1,871

 
$
4,661

 
$
632

 
$
3,172

 
$
1,524

 
$
11,860

Gross IBNR Reserves
4,278

 
4,233

 
696

 
186

 
1,090

 
10,483

Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
$
6,149

 
$
8,894

 
$
1,328

 
$
3,358

 
$
2,614

 
$
22,343

Net Case Reserves
$
1,681

 
$
4,353

 
$
548

 
$
2,951

 
$
94

 
$
9,627

Net IBNR Reserves
3,723

 
3,952

 
653

 
158

 
136

 
8,622

Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
$
5,404

 
$
8,305

 
$
1,201

 
$
3,109

 
$
230

 
$
18,249



December 31, 2015
 Specialty
 
 Commercial
 
International
 
Life &
Group Non-Core
 
Corporate
& Other Non-Core
 
Total
(In millions)
 
 
 
 
 
Gross Case Reserves
$
2,011

 
$
4,975

 
$
622

 
$
2,973

 
$
1,521

 
$
12,102

Gross IBNR Reserves
4,258

 
4,208

 
725

 
247

 
1,123

 
10,561

Total Gross Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
$
6,269

 
$
9,183

 
$
1,347

 
$
3,220

 
$
2,644

 
$
22,663

Net Case Reserves
$
1,810

 
$
4,651

 
$
531

 
$
2,714

 
$
130

 
$
9,836

Net IBNR Reserves
3,758

 
3,925

 
688

 
216

 
153

 
8,740

Total Net Carried Claim and Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves
$
5,568

 
$
8,576

 
$
1,219

 
$
2,930

 
$
283

 
$
18,576


Net Prior Year Development
Changes in estimates of claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves and premium accruals, net of reinsurance, for prior years are defined as net prior year development. These changes can be favorable or unfavorable. The following tables and discussion present the net prior year development recorded for Specialty, Commercial, International and Corporate & Other Non-Core segments.
Year ended December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)

Specialty
 
 Commercial
 
International
 
Corporate
& Other
Non-Core
 
Total
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserve development
$
(287
)
 
$
55

 
$
(58
)
 
$
2

 
$
(288
)
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable premium development
(18
)
 
(2
)
 
(6
)
 

 
(26
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year development
$
(305
)
 
$
53

 
$
(64
)
 
$
2

 
$
(314
)
Year ended December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)

Specialty
 
 Commercial
 
International
 
Corporate
& Other
Non-Core
 
Total
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserve development
$
(141
)
 
$
(15
)
 
$
(54
)
 
$

 
$
(210
)
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable premium development
(11
)
 
(15
)
 
18

 

 
(8
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year development
$
(152
)
 
$
(30
)
 
$
(36
)
 
$

 
$
(218
)
Year ended December 31, 2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)

Specialty
 
 Commercial
 
International
 
Corporate
& Other
Non-Core
 
Total
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserve development
$
(136
)
 
$
176

 
$
(59
)
 
$
(2
)
 
$
(21
)
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable premium development
(13
)
 
(20
)
 
2

 
(1
)
 
(32
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable net prior year development
$
(149
)
 
$
156

 
$
(57
)
 
$
(3
)
 
$
(53
)

Favorable net prior year development of $45 million, $50 million and $14 million was recorded in the Life & Group Non-Core segment for the years ended December 31, 2016, 2015 and 2014. The favorable net prior year development for the year ended December 31, 2016 was driven by a reserve release resulting from the annual experience study of long term care claim reserves which indicated lower than expected claim severity.
Premium development can occur in the property and casualty business when there is a change in exposure on auditable policies or when premium accruals differ from processed premium.  Audits on policies usually occur in a period after the expiration date of the policy.
Specialty
The following table presents further detail of the net prior year claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserve development (development) recorded for the Specialty segment.
Years ended December 31
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable development:
 
 
 
 
 
Medical Professional Liability
$
(37
)
 
$
(43
)
 
$
39

Other Professional Liability and Management Liability
(130
)
 

 
(87
)
Surety
(63
)
 
(69
)
 
(82
)
Warranty
4

 
(2
)
 
(2
)
Other
(61
)
 
(27
)
 
(4
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable development
$
(287
)
 
$
(141
)
 
$
(136
)

2016
Favorable development for medical professional liability was primarily due to lower than expected severities for individual healthcare professionals, allied facilities and hospitals in accident years 2011 and prior and better than expected severity in medical products liability in accident years 2010 through 2015. This was partially offset by unfavorable development in accident years 2012 and 2013 related to higher than expected large loss emergence in hospitals and higher than expected frequency and severity in accident years 2014 and 2015 in our aging services business.
Favorable development in other professional liability and management liability was primarily due to favorable settlements on closed claims and lower than expected frequency of claims in accident years 2010 through 2014 related to professional services and financial institutions. This was partially offset by unfavorable development related to a specific financial institutions claim in accident year 2014, higher management liability severities in accident year 2015, and deterioration on credit crises-related claims in accident year 2009.
Favorable development in surety coverages was primarily due to lower than expected frequency of large losses in accident years 2014 and prior.
Favorable development for other coverages provided to Specialty customers was due to better than expected claim frequency and claim severity in commercial lines coverages in accident years 2010 through 2015.
2015
Overall, favorable development for medical professional liability was related to lower than expected severity in accident years 2012 and prior. Unfavorable development was recorded related to increased claim frequency and severity in the aging services business in accident years 2013 and 2014.
Favorable development in other professional liability and management liability related to better than expected large loss emergence in financial institutions primarily in accident years 2011 through 2014. Additional favorable development related to lower than expected severity for professional services in accident years 2011 and prior. Unfavorable development was recorded related to increased frequency of large claims on public company management liability in accident years 2012 through 2014.
Favorable development for surety coverages was primarily due to lower than expected frequency of large losses in accident years 2013 and prior.
Favorable development for other coverages was due to better than expected claim frequency in property coverages provided to Specialty customers in accident year 2014.


2014
Unfavorable development for medical professional liability was primarily related to increased frequency of large medical products liability class action lawsuits in accident years 2012 and prior and increased frequency of other large medical professional liability losses in accident years 2011 through 2013.
Overall, favorable development for other professional liability and management liability was related to better than expected severity in accident years 2008 through 2011, including favorable outcomes on individual large claims. Additional favorable development related to lower than expected frequency in accident years 2011 through 2013. Unfavorable development was recorded due to higher than expected severity in financial institution and professional service coverages in accident years 2009 through 2011.
Favorable development for surety coverages was primarily due to better than expected large loss emergence in accident years 2012 and prior.
Specialty - Line of Business Composition
The table below provides the line of business composition of the net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for the Specialty segment.
As of December 31
 
(In millions)
2016
Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses:
 
Medical Professional Liability
$
1,779

Other Professional Liability and Management Liability
3,063

Surety
394

Warranty
37

Other
131

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
$
5,404

Specialty - Medical Professional Liability
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
448

 
$
452

 
$
444

 
$
427

 
$
395

 
$
391

 
$
390

 
$
401

 
$
399

 
$
385

 
$
9

 
12,122

2008
 
 
426

 
451

 
496

 
480

 
468

 
468

 
467

 
455

 
442

 
9

 
14,094

2009
 
 
 
 
462

 
469

 
494

 
506

 
480

 
471

 
463

 
432

 
12

 
15,573

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
483

 
478

 
478

 
486

 
470

 
446

 
403

 
16

 
15,206

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
486

 
492

 
507

 
533

 
501

 
491

 
23

 
17,428

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
526

 
529

 
575

 
567

 
559

 
47

 
18,375

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
534

 
540

 
560

 
567

 
95

 
19,565

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
511

 
548

 
585

 
165

 
19,286

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
480

 
539

 
278

 
16,798

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
469

 
400

 
11,600

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
4,872

 
$
1,054

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
11

 
$
68

 
$
134

 
$
201

 
$
247

 
$
296

 
$
326

 
$
352

 
$
364

 
$
365

2008
 
 
9

 
90

 
207

 
282

 
332

 
377

 
395

 
409

 
428

2009
 
 
 
 
9

 
75

 
180

 
278

 
328

 
353

 
377

 
396

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
11

 
93

 
186

 
273

 
338

 
361

 
371

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

 
121

 
225

 
315

 
379

 
407

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
15

 
121

 
236

 
359

 
428

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

 
121

 
259

 
364

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
25

 
149

 
274

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
22

 
105

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
18

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
3,156

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
1,716

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
30

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
33

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
1,779


Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
 
 
$
4

 
$
(8
)
 
$
(17
)
 
$
(32
)
 
$
(4
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
11

 
$
(2
)
 
$
(14
)
 
$
(63
)
2008
 
 


 
25

 
45

 
(16
)
 
(12
)
 

 
(1
)
 
(12
)
 
(13
)
 
16

2009
 
 
 
 


 
7

 
25

 
12

 
(26
)
 
(9
)
 
(8
)
 
(31
)
 
(30
)
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(5
)
 

 
8

 
(16
)
 
(24
)
 
(43
)
 
(80
)
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
6

 
15

 
26

 
(32
)
 
(10
)
 
5

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
3

 
46

 
(8
)
 
(8
)
 
33

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
6

 
20

 
7

 
33

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
37

 
37

 
74

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
59

 
59

Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
63

 
$
(29
)
 
$
(16
)
 
 
Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
(24
)
 
(14
)
 
(21
)
 
 
Total
 
 
$
39

 
$
(43
)
 
$
(37
)
 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
Specialty - Other Professional Liability and Management Liability
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
804

 
$
817

 
$
806

 
$
754

 
$
734

 
$
724

 
$
704

 
$
681

 
$
662

 
$
662

 
$
13

 
16,011

2008
 
 
916

 
933

 
954

 
924

 
915

 
880

 
850

 
845

 
827

 
35

 
16,326

2009
 
 
 
 
829

 
873

 
903

 
898

 
891

 
900

 
895

 
903

 
50

 
17,263

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
825

 
827

 
850

 
848

 
846

 
836

 
823

 
39

 
17,796

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
876

 
904

 
933

 
948

 
944

 
910

 
107

 
18,620

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
907

 
894

 
876

 
870

 
833

 
107

 
18,228

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
844

 
841

 
879

 
840

 
137

 
17,324

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
841

 
859

 
854

 
306

 
16,886

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
847

 
851

 
478

 
16,391

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
859

 
742

 
15,045

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
8,362

 
$
2,014

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
32

 
$
162

 
$
307

 
$
397

 
$
472

 
$
524

 
$
564

 
$
585

 
$
593

 
$
614

2008
 
 
39

 
181

 
376

 
515

 
600

 
641

 
678

 
719

 
741

2009
 
 
 
 
37

 
195

 
358

 
550

 
638

 
719

 
769

 
798

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
31

 
203

 
404

 
541

 
630

 
670

 
721

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
71

 
313

 
502

 
604

 
682

 
726

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
57

 
248

 
398

 
570

 
648

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
51

 
240

 
426

 
583

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
51

 
212

 
375

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
48

 
209

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
60

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
5,475

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
2,887

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
104

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
72

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
3,063


Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
13

 
$
(11
)
 
$
(52
)
 
$
(20
)
 
$
(10
)
 
$
(20
)
 
$
(23
)
 
$
(19
)
 
$

 
$
(142
)
2008
 
 


 
17

 
21

 
(30
)
 
(9
)
 
(35
)
 
(30
)
 
(5
)
 
(18
)
 
(89
)
2009
 
 
 
 


 
44

 
30

 
(5
)
 
(7
)
 
9

 
(5
)
 
8

 
74

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
2

 
23

 
(2
)
 
(2
)
 
(10
)
 
(13
)
 
(2
)
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
28

 
29

 
15

 
(4
)
 
(34
)
 
34

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(13
)
 
(18
)
 
(6
)
 
(37
)
 
(74
)
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(3
)
 
38

 
(39
)
 
(4
)
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
18

 
(5
)
 
13

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
4

 
4

Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
(52
)
 
$
7

 
$
(134
)
 


Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
(35
)
 
(7
)
 
4

 
 
Total
 
 
$
(87
)
 
$

 
$
(130
)
 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
Specialty - Surety
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
98

 
$
107

 
$
81

 
$
57

 
$
59

 
$
56

 
$
51

 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
50

 
$

 
6,270

2008
 
 
114

 
114

 
73

 
68

 
61

 
52

 
48

 
45

 
44

 

 
7,153

2009
 
 
 
 
114

 
114

 
103

 
85

 
68

 
59

 
52

 
53

 
1

 
6,654

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
112

 
112

 
111

 
84

 
76

 
66

 
63

 
8

 
5,943

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
120

 
121

 
116

 
87

 
75

 
70

 
9

 
5,760

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
120

 
122

 
98

 
70

 
52

 
16

 
5,473

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
120

 
121

 
115

 
106

 
24

 
4,890

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
123

 
124

 
94

 
51

 
4,737

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
131

 
131

 
100

 
4,279

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
124

 
110

 
2,902

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
787

 
$
319

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
12

 
$
30

 
$
40

 
$
45

 
$
46

 
$
46

 
$
46

 
$
48

 
$
49

 
$
50

2008
 
 
9

 
27

 
35

 
39

 
42

 
43

 
43

 
43

 
43

2009
 
 
 
 
13

 
24

 
34

 
41

 
43

 
45

 
46

 
47

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
13

 
34

 
50

 
55

 
57

 
58

 
55

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
19

 
42

 
55

 
58

 
60

 
60

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5

 
32

 
34

 
35

 
35

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
16

 
40

 
69

 
78

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
30

 
38

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
26

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
437

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
350

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
16

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
28

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
394


Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
9

 
$
(26
)
 
$
(24
)
 
$
2

 
$
(3
)
 
$
(5
)
 
$
(2
)
 
$

 
$
1

 
$
(48
)
2008
 
 


 

 
(41
)
 
(5
)
 
(7
)
 
(9
)
 
(4
)
 
(3
)
 
(1
)
 
(70
)
2009
 
 
 
 


 

 
(11
)
 
(18
)
 
(17
)
 
(9
)
 
(7
)
 
1

 
(61
)
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 

 
(1
)
 
(27
)
 
(8
)
 
(10
)
 
(3
)
 
(49
)
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
(5
)
 
(29
)
 
(12
)
 
(5
)
 
(50
)
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
2

 
(24
)
 
(28
)
 
(18
)
 
(68
)
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
(6
)
 
(9
)
 
(14
)
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
(30
)
 
(29
)
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 

 

Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
(75
)
 
$
(65
)
 
$
(64
)
 
 
Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
(7
)
 
(4
)
 
1

 
 
Total
 
 
$
(82
)
 
$
(69
)
 
$
(63
)
 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
Commercial
The following table presents further detail of the development recorded for the Commercial segment.
Years ended December 31
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable development:
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial Auto
$
(46
)
 
$
(22
)
 
$
31

General Liability
(28
)
 
(33
)
 
45

Workers' Compensation
150

 
80

 
139

Property and Other
(21
)
 
(40
)
 
(39
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable development
$
55

 
$
(15
)
 
$
176


2016
Favorable development for commercial auto was primarily due to favorable settlements on claims in accident years 2010 through 2014 and lower than expected severities in accident years 2012 through 2015.
Favorable development for general liability was primarily due to better than expected claim settlements in accident years 2012 through 2014 and better than expected severity on umbrella claims in accident years 2010 through 2013. This was partially offset by unfavorable development related to an increase in reported claims prior to the closing of the three year window set forth by the Minnesota Child Victims Act in accident years 2006 and prior.
Unfavorable development for workers' compensation was primarily due to higher than expected severity for Defense Base Act contractors that largely resulted from a reduction of expected future recoveries from the US Department of Labor under the War Hazard Act. Further unfavorable development was due to the impact of recent Florida court rulings for accident years 2008 through 2015. These were partially offset by favorable development related to lower than expected frequencies related to our ongoing Middle Market and Small Business results for accident years 2009 through 2014.
Favorable development for property and other was primarily due to better than expected loss frequency in accident years 2013 through 2015. This was partially offset by unfavorable development related to higher than expected severity from a fourth quarter 2015 catastrophe event.
2015
Favorable development for commercial auto was primarily due to lower than expected severity in accident years 2009 through 2014.
Favorable development for general liability was primarily due to favorable settlements on claims in accident years 2010 through 2013.
Unfavorable development for workers’ compensation was primarily due to higher than expected severity related to Defense Base Act contractors in accident years 2008 through 2014.
Favorable development for property and other was primarily due to better than expected claim emergence from 2012 and 2014 catastrophe events and better than expected frequency of large claims in accident year 2014.
The year ended December 31, 2015 also included unfavorable loss development related to extra contractual obligation losses and losses associated with premium development.

2014
Unfavorable development for commercial auto was primarily related to higher than expected frequency in accident years 2012 and 2013 and higher than expected severity for liability coverages in accident years 2010 through 2013. Favorable development was recorded related to fewer large claims than expected in accident years 2008 and 2009.
Overall, unfavorable development for general liability was primarily related to higher than expected severity in accident years 2010 through 2013. Favorable development was recorded primarily related to lower than expected frequency of large losses in accident years 2005 through 2009.
Overall, unfavorable development for workers’ compensation was primarily due to increased medical severity in accident years 2010 and prior, higher than expected severity related to Defense Base Act contractors in accident years 2010 through 2013 and the recognition of losses related to favorable premium development in accident year 2013. Favorable development of $26 million was recorded in accident years 1996 and prior related to the commutation of a workers’ compensation reinsurance pool.
Favorable development for property and other first-party coverages was recorded in accident years 2013 and prior, primarily related to fewer claims than expected and favorable individual claim settlements.
Commercial - Line of Business Composition
The table below provides the line of business composition of the net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for the Commercial segment.
As of December 31
 
(In millions)
2016
Net Claim and claim adjustment expenses:
 
Commercial Auto
$
424

General Liability
3,248

Workers' Compensation
4,306

Property and Other
327

Total net liability for claim and claim adjustment expenses
$
8,305

Commercial - Commercial Auto
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
348

 
$
367

 
$
368

 
$
360

 
$
355

 
$
358

 
$
356

 
$
355

 
$
354

 
$
352

 
$

 
67,473

2008
 
 
322

 
323

 
316

 
306

 
309

 
305

 
298

 
298

 
296

 

 
56,407

2009
 
 
 
 
287

 
272

 
274

 
278

 
281

 
277

 
275

 
272

 

 
47,325

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
262

 
274

 
279

 
283

 
291

 
286

 
281

 
1

 
46,324

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
262

 
273

 
279

 
293

 
290

 
285

 
5

 
46,676

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
270

 
282

 
292

 
296

 
300

 
11

 
45,279

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
242

 
259

 
257

 
241

 
20

 
38,513

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
231

 
221

 
210

 
40

 
32,958

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
199

 
197

 
65

 
29,714

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
196

 
105

 
25,196

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
2,630

 
$
247

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
93

 
$
185

 
$
250

 
$
295

 
$
329

 
$
340

 
$
348

 
$
349

 
$
350

 
$
351

2008
 
 
83

 
158

 
210

 
244

 
274

 
289

 
291

 
292

 
293

2009
 
 
 
 
72

 
128

 
188

 
229

 
257

 
269

 
270

 
270

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
72

 
137

 
197

 
240

 
265

 
274

 
279

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
78

 
141

 
193

 
241

 
264

 
275

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
77

 
157

 
214

 
253

 
276

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
73

 
132

 
164

 
195

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

 
100

 
135

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
52

 
95

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
51

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
2,220

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
410

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
4

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
10

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
424


Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
19

 
$
1

 
$
(8
)
 
$
(5
)
 
$
3

 
$
(2
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
(2
)
 
$
4

2008
 
 


 
1

 
(7
)
 
(10
)
 
3

 
(4
)
 
(7
)
 

 
(2
)
 
(26
)
2009
 
 
 
 


 
(15
)
 
2

 
4

 
3

 
(4
)
 
(2
)
 
(3
)
 
(15
)
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
12

 
5

 
4

 
8

 
(5
)
 
(5
)
 
19

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
11

 
6

 
14

 
(3
)
 
(5
)
 
23

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
12

 
10

 
4

 
4

 
30

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
17

 
(2
)
 
(16
)
 
(1
)
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(10
)
 
(11
)
 
(21
)
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(2
)
 
(2
)
Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
37

 
$
(19
)
 
$
(42
)
 


Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
(6
)
 
(3
)
 
(4
)
 
 
Total
 
 
$
31

 
$
(22
)
 
$
(46
)
 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
Commercial - General Liability
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
774

 
$
673

 
$
678

 
$
639

 
$
610

 
$
600

 
$
559

 
$
545

 
$
548

 
$
540

 
$
28

 
53,553

2008
 
 
611

 
604

 
630

 
647

 
633

 
632

 
613

 
600

 
591

 
18

 
44,586

2009
 
 
 
 
591

 
637

 
634

 
633

 
629

 
623

 
619

 
622

 
16

 
43,955

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
566

 
597

 
599

 
649

 
695

 
675

 
659

 
25

 
43,378

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
537

 
534

 
564

 
610

 
611

 
621

 
41

 
38,101

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
539

 
563

 
579

 
570

 
558

 
63

 
34,037

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
615

 
645

 
634

 
643

 
142

 
32,897

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
627

 
634

 
635

 
224

 
26,744

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
573

 
574

 
330

 
21,687

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
622

 
495

 
16,720

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,065

 
$
1,382

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
30

 
$
130

 
$
236

 
$
328

 
$
413

 
$
458

 
$
481

 
$
492

 
$
497

 
$
504

2008
 
 
31

 
129

 
261

 
390

 
473

 
528

 
550

 
560

 
567

2009
 
 
 
 
33

 
112

 
270

 
392

 
486

 
532

 
557

 
584

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
139

 
267

 
414

 
530

 
577

 
608

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
135

 
253

 
389

 
484

 
534

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
27

 
127

 
233

 
340

 
417

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
33

 
135

 
257

 
377

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
29

 
115

 
245

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
31

 
132

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
34

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
4,002

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
2,063

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
1,130

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
55

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
3,248


Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
(101
)
 
$
5

 
$
(39
)
 
$
(29
)
 
$
(10
)
 
$
(41
)
 
$
(14
)
 
$
3

 
$
(8
)
 
$
(234
)
2008
 
 


 
(7
)
 
26

 
17

 
(14
)
 
(1
)
 
(19
)
 
(13
)
 
(9
)
 
(20
)
2009
 
 
 
 


 
46

 
(3
)
 
(1
)
 
(4
)
 
(6
)
 
(4
)
 
3

 
31

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
31

 
2

 
50

 
46

 
(20
)
 
(16
)
 
93

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(3
)
 
30

 
46

 
1

 
10

 
84

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
24

 
16

 
(9
)
 
(12
)
 
19

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
30

 
(11
)
 
9

 
28

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
7

 
1

 
8

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
1

Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
99

 
$
(46
)
 
$
(21
)
 


Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
(54
)
 
13

 
(7
)
 
 
Total
 
 
$
45

 
$
(33
)
 
$
(28
)
 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
Commercial - Workers' Compensation
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
568

 
$
580

 
$
596

 
$
604

 
$
603

 
$
603

 
$
604

 
$
610

 
$
608

 
$
627

 
$
32

 
71,049

2008
 
 
558

 
575

 
593

 
606

 
608

 
612

 
622

 
630

 
638

 
36

 
59,883

2009
 
 
 
 
583

 
587

 
594

 
596

 
600

 
611

 
617

 
625

 
46

 
51,111

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
619

 
641

 
663

 
683

 
697

 
717

 
45

 
48,056

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
593

 
628

 
637

 
648

 
642

 
666

 
52

 
44,571

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
589

 
616

 
648

 
661

 
671

 
86

 
41,683

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
528

 
563

 
584

 
610

 
121

 
38,102

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
459

 
474

 
474

 
157

 
32,996

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
416

 
426

 
206

 
31,296

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
421

 
287

 
27,042

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
5,875

 
$
1,068

 
 

Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
100

 
$
246

 
$
337

 
$
390

 
$
429

 
$
471

 
$
502

 
$
522

 
$
533

 
$
535

2008
 
 
92

 
233

 
323

 
381

 
425

 
461

 
489

 
505

 
520

2009
 
 
 
 
88

 
223

 
315

 
381

 
435

 
468

 
495

 
516

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
94

 
245

 
352

 
433

 
500

 
531

 
565

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
97

 
245

 
353

 
432

 
471

 
515

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
86

 
229

 
338

 
411

 
465

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
79

 
211

 
297

 
366

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
60

 
157

 
213

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
50

 
130

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
52

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
3,877

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
1,998

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
2,334

Other (2)
 
 
(30
)
Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
4

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
4,306

(2) Other includes the effect of discounting lifetime claim reserves.
Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
12

 
$
16

 
$
8

 
$
(1
)
 
$

 
$
1

 
$
6

 
$
(2
)
 
$
19

 
$
59

2008
 
 


 
17

 
18

 
13

 
2

 
4

 
10

 
8

 
8

 
80

2009
 
 
 
 


 
4

 
7

 
2

 
4

 
11

 
6

 
8

 
42

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
43

 
22

 
22

 
20

 
14

 
20

 
141

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
35

 
9

 
11

 
(6
)
 
24

 
73

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
27

 
32

 
13

 
10

 
82

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
35

 
21

 
26

 
82

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
15

 

 
15

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
10

 
10

Total net development for the accident years presented above
 
 
$
125

 
$
69

 
$
125

 


Adjustment for development on a discounted basis
 
 
1

 
(4
)
 
1

 
 
Total net development for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
13

 
15

 
24

 
 
Total
 
 
$
139

 
$
80

 
$
150

 
 
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
International
The following table presents further detail of the development recorded for the International segment.
Years ended December 31
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Pretax (favorable) unfavorable development:
 
 
 
 
 
Medical Professional Liability
$
(5
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
(7
)
Other Professional Liability
12

 
(16
)
 
(26
)
Liability
(30
)
 
(17
)
 
(13
)
Property & Marine
(34
)
 
(29
)
 
(4
)
Other
(1
)
 
17

 
(9
)
Total pretax (favorable) unfavorable development
$
(58
)
 
$
(54
)
 
$
(59
)

2016
Unfavorable development for other professional liability was primarily due to higher than expected large loss emergence in accident years 2011 through 2015 associated with our Commercial Institutions business, partially offset by favorable settlements on claims in accident years 2013 and prior.
Favorable development for liability was primarily due to favorable settlements on claims in accident years 2013 and prior related to our Canadian package business. Additional favorable development in accident years 2013 and 2015 was primarily due to lower than expected frequency of large losses related to our Europe business.
Favorable development for property and marine was due to better than expected severity on the December 2015 UK Floods and better than expected attritional losses and large loss experience on accident years 2013 through 2015 for Hardy business. Additional favorable development was due to a commutation of exposures in marine run-off classes on our Europe business.
2015
Favorable development in medical professional liability was due to better than expected frequency of losses in accident years 2011 to 2013.
Favorable development in other professional liability was due to better than expected large loss emergence in accident years 2011 and prior.
Favorable development in liability was due to better than expected large loss emergence in accident years 2012 and prior.
Favorable development in property and marine was due to better than expected individual large loss emergence and favorable settlements on large claims in accident years 2013 and 2014.
Unfavorable development in other is due to higher than expected large losses in financial institutions and political risk, primarily in accident year 2014.

2014
Overall, favorable development for other professional liability was primarily related to better than expected severity in accident years 2012 and prior. Unfavorable development was recorded in accident year 2008 due to financial crisis claims.
Favorable development for liability was primarily related to better than expected frequency and severity in accident years 2009 and subsequent.
Favorable development for property and marine coverages primarily related to better than expected frequency of large claims in accident years 2012 and prior. Reinsurance commutations in the first quarter of 2014 reduced ceded losses from prior years. Overall the commutations increased net operating income because of the release of the related allowance for uncollectible reinsurance.
Favorable development for other coverages was a result of better than expected frequency in Hardy, primarily in financial institution coverages.
International - Line of Business Composition
The table below provides the composition of the net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for the International segment.
As of December 31
 
(In millions)
2016
Net Claim and claim adjustment expenses:
 
International excluding Hardy
$
881

Hardy
320

Total net liability for claim and claim adjustment expenses
$
1,201

International - Excluding Hardy
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
204

 
$
219

 
$
213

 
$
194

 
$
181

 
$
172

 
$
164

 
$
162

 
$
160

 
$
159

 
$
4

 
27,149

2008
 
 
223

 
226

 
214

 
207

 
207

 
200

 
209

 
210

 
207

 
7

 
25,119

2009
 
 
 
 
249

 
245

 
247

 
247

 
234

 
231

 
222

 
213

 
13

 
21,362

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
226

 
223

 
217

 
211

 
203

 
196

 
190

 
18

 
22,877

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
259

 
260

 
253

 
233

 
223

 
216

 
14

 
25,361

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
259

 
266

 
252

 
245

 
244

 
34

 
25,306

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
281

 
282

 
275

 
256

 
56

 
23,999

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
269

 
284

 
284

 
82

 
24,859

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
282

 
297

 
107

 
22,873

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
276

 
149

 
15,564

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
2,342

 
$
484

 
 
Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2007(1)
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
31

 
$
99

 
$
112

 
$
124

 
$
133

 
$
140

 
$
144

 
$
148

 
$
150

 
$
152

2008
 
 
34

 
84

 
126

 
135

 
143

 
151

 
165

 
172

 
190

2009
 
 
 
 
38

 
90

 
119

 
134

 
149

 
159

 
170

 
181

2010
 
 
 
 
 
 
47

 
93

 
115

 
130

 
143

 
151

 
160

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
44

 
111

 
133

 
146

 
159

 
171

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42

 
109

 
142

 
161

 
176

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
49

 
109

 
135

 
152

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
51

 
119

 
145

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
55

 
130

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
64

Total
 
 
$
1,521

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
821

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
38

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
22

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
881

Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
 
 
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
2008(1)
 
2009(1)
 
2010(1)
 
2011(1)
 
2012(1)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total (2)
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007

 
$
15

 
$
(6
)
 
$
(19
)
 
$
(13
)
 
$
(9
)
 
$
(8
)
 
$
(2
)
 
$
(2
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
(45
)
2008
 
 


 
3

 
(12
)
 
(7
)
 

 
(7
)
 
9

 
1

 
(3
)
 
(16
)
2009
 
 
 
 


 
(4
)
 
2

 

 
(13
)
 
(3
)
 
(9
)
 
(9
)
 
(36
)
2010
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
(3
)
 
(6
)
 
(6
)
 
(8
)
 
(7
)
 
(6
)
 
(36
)
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
(7
)
 
(20
)
 
(10
)
 
(7
)
 
(43
)
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
7

 
(14
)
 
(7
)
 
(1
)
 
(15
)
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
1

 
(7
)
 
(19
)
 
(25
)
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
15

 

 
15

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


 
15

 
15

(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
(2) The amounts included in the loss reserve development tables above are presented at the year-end 2016 foreign currency exchange rates for all periods presented to remove the effects of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations between calendar years. The amounts included within the table on page 102 presenting the detail of the development recorded within the International segment include the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.
International - Hardy
Cumulative Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
 
 
 
 
 
Calendar Year
 
As of December 31, 2016
(In millions, except reported claims data)
Net Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves at Acquisition
 
Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses in 2012(1)(2)
 
Total Acquired Net Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expense Reserves and 2012 Incurreds
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
IBNR
 
Cumulative Number of Claims
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
5

 
$
7

 
$
12

 
$
11

 
$
16

 
$
10

 
$
15

 
$

 
4,249

2008
18

 
(4
)
 
14

 
11

 
12

 
13

 
13

 

 
4,234

2009
11

 
1

 
12

 
6

 
(4
)
 
1

 
(2
)
 

 
3,840

2010
46

 
(10
)
 
36

 
46

 
50

 
44

 
50

 

 
4,495

2011
121

 

 
121

 
130

 
130

 
134

 
132

 
(2
)
 
6,193

2012
33

 
69

 
102

 
102

 
110

 
117

 
110

 
(1
)
 
6,758

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
127

 
144

 
136

 
137

 

 
7,392

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
182

 
180

 
174

 
7

 
7,656

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
187

 
176

 
18

 
7,669

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
225

 
101

 
5,274

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,030

 
$
123

 
 
Cumulative Net Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses are presented in the following table.
As of December 31
Calendar Year
(In millions)
2012(1)(2)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
3

 
$
14

 
$
14

 
$
14

 
$
14

2008
3

 
14

 
10

 
10

 
11

2009
1

 
(2
)
 
(4
)
 
(4
)
 
(4
)
2010
19

 
34

 
41

 
43

 
45

2011
29

 
80

 
119

 
123

 
127

2012
14

 
78

 
98

 
107

 
104

2013
 
 
37

 
100

 
119

 
125

2014
 
 
 
 
55

 
121

 
139

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
29

 
97

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

Total
 
 
$
720

Net liability for unpaid claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses for the accident years presented
 
 
$
310

Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for accident years prior to 2007
 
 
3

Liability for unallocated claim adjustment expenses for accident years presented
 
 
7

Total net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
 
$
320

Net strengthening or (releases) of prior accident year reserves is presented in the following table.
For the years ended December 31
Calendar Year
 
 
(In millions)
2012(1)(2)
 
2013(1)
 
2014(1)
 
2015(1)
 
2016
 
Total (3)
Accident Year
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2007
$
7

 
$
(1
)
 
$
5

 
$
(6
)
 
$
5

 
$
10

2008
(4
)
 
(3
)
 
1

 
1

 

 
(5
)
2009
1

 
(6
)
 
(10
)
 
5

 
(3
)
 
(13
)
2010
(10
)
 
10

 
4

 
(6
)
 
6

 
4

2011

 
9

 

 
4

 
(2
)
 
11

2012
 
 

 
8

 
7

 
(7
)
 
8

2013
 
 
 
 
17

 
(8
)
 
1

 
10

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
(2
)
 
(6
)
 
(8
)
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(11
)
 
(11
)
(1) Data presented for these calendar years is required supplemental information, which is unaudited.
(2) Data presented for this calendar year is post-acquisition of Hardy.
(3) The amounts included in the loss reserve development tables above are presented at the year-end 2016 foreign currency exchange rates for all periods presented to remove the effects of foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations between calendar years. The amounts included within the table on page 102 presenting the detail of the development recorded within the International segment include the impact of fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.
The table below reconciles the net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses for the property and casualty segments to the amount presented in the Consolidated Balance Sheets.
As of December 31
 
(In millions)
2016
Net liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
 
Specialty
$
5,404

Commercial
8,305

International
1,201

Corporate & Other Non-Core
230

Life & Group Non-Core (1)
3,109

Total net claim and claim adjustment expenses
18,249

Reinsurance receivables (2)
 
Specialty
745

Commercial
589

International
127

Corporate & Other Non-Core
2,384

Life & Group Non-Core
249

Total reinsurance receivables
4,094

Total gross liability for unpaid claim and claim adjustment expenses
$
22,343

(1) The Life & Group Non-Core segment amount is primarily related to long term care claim reserves, but does include amounts related to unfunded structured settlements arising from short duration contracts. Long term care policies are long duration contracts.
(2) Reinsurance receivables presented do not include reinsurance receivables related to paid losses.
The table below presents information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2016 and is presented as required supplementary information, which is unaudited.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Ultimate Net Incurred Claim and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses in Year:
 
1
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
 
6
 
7
 
8
 
9
 
10
 
Total
Specialty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Medical Professional Liability
3.1
%
 
18.2
%
 
22.3
%
 
19.6
%
 
12.7
%
 
8.0
%
 
5.0
 %
 
4.8
%
 
3.7
%
 
0.3
%
 
97.7
%
Other Professional Liability and Management Liability
5.7
%
 
20.6
%
 
21.0
%
 
17.0
%
 
10.0
%
 
6.3
%
 
5.6
 %
 
3.8
%
 
1.9
%
 
3.2
%
 
95.1
%
Surety(1)
23.4
%
 
32.8
%
 
20.2
%
 
8.9
%
 
3.7
%
 
1.5
%
 
(0.7
)%
 
2.0
%
 
1.0
%
 
2.0
%
 
94.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial Auto
27.2
%
 
23.1
%
 
18.3
%
 
13.9
%
 
9.1
%
 
3.9
%
 
1.3
 %
 
0.2
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.3
%
 
97.6
%
General Liability
5.0
%
 
16.3
%
 
20.5
%
 
20.1
%
 
15.3
%
 
8.0
%
 
4.2
 %
 
2.7
%
 
1.1
%
 
1.3
%
 
94.5
%
Workers' Compensation
13.5
%
 
21.4
%
 
14.6
%
 
10.5
%
 
7.5
%
 
5.7
%
 
4.6
 %
 
3.0
%
 
2.1
%
 
0.3
%
 
83.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
International
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
International - Excluding Hardy
19.5
%
 
27.4
%
 
12.1
%
 
6.8
%
 
5.9
%
 
4.5
%
 
4.8
 %
 
3.7
%
 
5.0
%
 
1.3
%
 
91.0
%
International - Hardy (2)
25.7
%
 
40.9
%
 
12.1
%
 
4.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
83.1
%
(1) Due to the nature of the Surety business, average annual percentage payout of ultimate net incurred claim and allocated claim adjustment expenses has been calculated using only the payouts of mature accident years presented in the loss reserve development tables.
(2) Average historical claims duration for Hardy is presented prospectively beginning with the first full year subsequent to acquisition, 2013.
A&EP Reserves
In 2010, Continental Casualty Company (CCC) together with several of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries completed a transaction with National Indemnity Company (NICO), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., under which substantially all of the Company’s legacy A&EP liabilities were ceded to NICO through a Loss Portfolio Transfer (LPT). At the effective date of the transaction, the Company ceded approximately $1.6 billion of net A&EP claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves to NICO under a retroactive reinsurance agreement with an aggregate limit of $4 billion. The $1.6 billion of claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves ceded to NICO was net of $1.2 billion of ceded claim and allocated claim adjustment expense reserves under existing third-party reinsurance contracts. The NICO LPT aggregate reinsurance limit also covers credit risk on the existing third-party reinsurance related to these liabilities. The Company paid NICO a reinsurance premium of $2 billion and transferred to NICO billed third-party reinsurance receivables related to A&EP claims with a net book value of $215 million, resulting in total consideration of $2.2 billion.
Subsequent to the effective date of the LPT, the Company recognized adverse prior year development on its A&EP reserves which resulted in additional amounts ceded under the LPT. As a result, the cumulative amounts ceded under the LPT exceeded the $2.2 billion consideration paid, resulting in the NICO LPT moving into a gain position, requiring retroactive reinsurance accounting. Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, this gain is deferred and only recognized in earnings in proportion to actual paid recoveries under the LPT. Over the life of the contract, there is no economic impact as long as any additional losses incurred are within the limit of the LPT. In a period in which the Company recognizes a change in the estimate of A&EP reserves that increases the amounts ceded under the LPT, the proportion of actual paid recoveries to total ceded losses is impacted and the change in the deferred gain is recognized in earnings as if the revised estimate of ceded losses was available at the effective date of the LPT. The effect of the deferred retroactive reinsurance benefit is recorded in Insurance claims and policyholders' benefits in the Consolidated Statement of Operations.
The following table presents the impact of the Loss Portfolio Transfer on the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Years ended December 31
 
 
 
 
 
(In millions)
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Net A&EP adverse development before consideration of LPT
$
200

 
$
150

 
$

Retroactive reinsurance benefit recognized
(107
)
 
(85
)
 
(13
)
Pretax impact of A&EP reserve development and the LPT
$
93

 
$
65

 
$
(13
)

Based upon the Company's 2016 A&EP reserve review, net unfavorable prior year development of $200 million was recognized before consideration of cessions to the LPT. The unfavorable development was driven by an increase in anticipated future expenses associated with determination of coverage, higher anticipated payouts associated with a limited number of historical accounts having significant asbestos exposures and higher than expected severity on pollution claims. An A&EP reserve review was not completed in 2014 because additional information and analysis on inuring third-party reinsurance recoveries were needed to finalize the review. The review was finalized in the second quarter of 2015 and management has adopted the first quarter of the year as the timing for all future annual A&EP claims actuarial reviews, subject to the timing of the corresponding review performed by NICO. Unfavorable development of $150 million was recorded in 2015 to reflect a decrease in anticipated future reinsurance recoveries related to asbestos claims and higher than expected severity on pollution claims. While this unfavorable development was ceded to NICO in 2016 and 2015 under the LPT, the Company’s Net income in both periods was negatively affected due to the application of retroactive reinsurance accounting.
As of December 31, 2016 and 2015, the cumulative amounts ceded under the LPT were $2.8 billion and $2.6 billion. The unrecognized deferred retroactive reinsurance benefit was $334 million and $241 million as of December 31, 2016 and 2015.
NICO established a collateral trust account as security for its obligations to the Company. The fair value of the collateral trust account was $2.8 billion as of December 31, 2016 and 2015. In addition, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. guaranteed the payment obligations of NICO up to the aggregate reinsurance limit as well as certain of NICO’s performance obligations under the trust agreement. NICO is responsible for claims handling and billing and collection from third-party reinsurers related to the Company’s A&EP claims.