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Fair Value
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2015
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value
Note D. Fair Value
Fair value is the price that would be received upon sale of an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The following fair value hierarchy is used in selecting inputs, with the highest priority given to Level 1, as these are the most transparent or reliable.
Level 1 - Quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets.
Level 2 - Quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active; and model-derived valuations in which all significant inputs are observable in active markets.
Level 3 - Valuations derived from valuation techniques in which one or more significant inputs are not observable.
Prices may fall within Level 1, 2 or 3 depending upon the methodology and inputs used to estimate fair value for each specific security. In general, the Company seeks to price securities using third-party pricing services. Securities not priced by pricing services are submitted to independent brokers for valuation and, if those are not available, internally developed pricing models are used to value assets using a methodology and inputs the Company believes market participants would use to value the assets. Prices obtained from third-party pricing services or brokers are not adjusted by the Company.
The Company performs control procedures over information obtained from pricing services and brokers to ensure prices received represent a reasonable estimate of fair value and to confirm representations regarding whether inputs are observable or unobservable. Procedures include i) the review of pricing service or broker pricing methodologies, ii) back-testing, where past fair value estimates are compared to actual transactions executed in the market on similar dates, iii) exception reporting, where period-over-period changes in price are reviewed and challenged with the pricing service or broker based on exception criteria, iv) deep dives, where the Company performs an independent analysis of the inputs and assumptions used to price individual securities and v) pricing validation, where prices received are compared to prices independently estimated by the Company.
Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value
Assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis are presented in the following tables.
September 30, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
Assets/Liabilities
at Fair Value
(In millions)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
28

 
$
18,007

 
$
153

 
$
18,188

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

 
13,236

 
61

 
13,297

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed

 
4,837

 
204

 
5,041

Commercial mortgage-backed

 
2,180

 
71

 
2,251

Other asset-backed

 
545

 
471

 
1,016

Total asset-backed

 
7,562

 
746

 
8,308

U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises
28

 
1

 

 
29

Foreign government
28

 
316

 

 
344

Redeemable preferred stock
24

 
11

 

 
35

Total fixed maturity securities
108

 
39,133

 
960

 
40,201

Equity securities
154

 
43

 
15

 
212

Other invested assets

 
45

 

 
45

Short term investments
624

 
773

 

 
1,397

Life settlement contracts, included in Other assets

 

 
74

 
74

Total assets
$
886

 
$
39,994

 
$
1,049

 
$
41,929

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other liabilities
$

 
$
(5
)
 
$

 
$
(5
)
Total liabilities
$

 
$
(5
)
 
$

 
$
(5
)
December 31, 2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total
Assets/Liabilities
at Fair Value
(In millions)
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
32

 
$
18,695

 
$
162

 
$
18,889

States, municipalities and political subdivisions

 
12,646

 
94

 
12,740

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Residential mortgage-backed

 
5,044

 
189

 
5,233

Commercial mortgage-backed

 
2,061

 
83

 
2,144

Other asset-backed

 
580

 
655

 
1,235

Total asset-backed

 
7,685

 
927

 
8,612

U.S. Treasury and obligations of government-sponsored enterprises
28

 
3

 

 
31

Foreign government
41

 
413

 

 
454

Redeemable preferred stock
30

 
12

 

 
42

Total fixed maturity securities
131

 
39,454

 
1,183

 
40,768

Equity securities
145

 
61

 
16

 
222

Other invested assets

 
41

 

 
41

Short term investments
681

 
963

 

 
1,644

Life settlement contracts, included in Other assets

 

 
82

 
82

Total assets
$
957

 
$
40,519

 
$
1,281

 
$
42,757

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other liabilities
$

 
$
3

 
$

 
$
3

Total liabilities
$

 
$
3

 
$

 
$
3

The following tables present a reconciliation for all assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3).
Level 3
(In millions)
Balance as of
July 1,
2015
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Net income (loss)
 
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 
Settlements
 
Transfers into
Level 3
 
Transfers out
of Level 3
 
Balance as of
September 30,
2015
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on Level 3 assets and liabilities held as of September 30, 2015 recognized in Net income (loss)
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
141

 
$

 
$

 
$
27

 
$
(1
)
 
$
(11
)
 
$

 
$
(3
)
 
$
153

 
$

States, municipalities and political subdivisions
85

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
(24
)
 
61

 

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed
207

 
2

 
(2
)
 
4

 

 
(7
)
 

 

 
204

 

Commercial mortgage-backed
87

 
5

 
(4
)
 
8

 

 
(15
)
 

 
(10
)
 
71

 

Other asset-backed
490

 

 
(6
)
 
43

 
(20
)
 
(32
)
 

 
(4
)
 
471

 

Total asset-backed
784

 
7

 
(12
)
 
55

 
(20
)
 
(54
)
 

 
(14
)
 
746

 

Total fixed maturity securities
1,010

 
7

 
(12
)
 
82

 
(21
)
 
(65
)
 

 
(41
)
 
960

 

Equity securities
16

 

 
(1
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
15

 

Life settlement contracts
75

 
5

 

 

 

 
(6
)
 

 

 
74

 
2

Total
$
1,101

 
$
12

 
$
(13
)
 
$
82

 
$
(21
)
 
$
(71
)
 
$

 
$
(41
)
 
$
1,049

 
$
2


Level 3
(In millions)
Balance as of
July 1,
2014
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Net income (loss)
 
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 
Settlements
 
Transfers into
Level 3
 
Transfers out
of Level 3
 
Balance as of
September 30,
2014
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on Level 3 assets and liabilities held as of September 30, 2014 recognized in Net income (loss)
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
194

 
$

 
$
(1
)
 
$
4

 
$

 
$
(3
)
 
$

 
$
(21
)
 
$
173

 
$

States, municipalities and political subdivisions
79

 

 
1

 

 

 

 

 

 
80

 

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed
185

 
1

 

 

 

 
(17
)
 
11

 
(20
)
 
160

 

Commercial mortgage-backed
59

 
2

 
(2
)
 
28

 

 
(21
)
 
31

 

 
97

 

Other asset-backed
626

 
1

 
(4
)
 
80

 

 
(25
)
 

 
(36
)
 
642

 

Total asset-backed
870

 
4

 
(6
)
 
108

 

 
(63
)
 
42

 
(56
)
 
899

 

Total fixed maturity securities
1,143

 
4

 
(6
)
 
112

 

 
(66
)
 
42

 
(77
)
 
1,152

 

Equity securities
2

 

 
(1
)
 
16

 

 

 

 

 
17

 

Life settlement contracts
86

 
1

 

 

 

 
(1
)
 

 

 
86

 
1

Total
$
1,231

 
$
5

 
$
(7
)
 
$
128

 
$

 
$
(67
)
 
$
42

 
$
(77
)
 
$
1,255

 
$
1






Level 3
(In millions)
Balance as of
January 1,
2015
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Net income (loss)
 
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 
Settlements
 
Transfers into
Level 3
 
Transfers out
of Level 3
 
Balance as of
September 30,
2015
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on Level 3 assets and liabilities held as of September 30, 2015 recognized in Net income (loss)
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
162

 
$
(1
)
 
$
(1
)
 
$
39

 
$
(13
)
 
$
(32
)
 
$
37

 
$
(38
)
 
$
153

 
$

States, municipalities and political subdivisions
94

 
1

 

 

 

 
(10
)
 

 
(24
)
 
61

 

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed
189

 
4

 
(4
)
 
76

 

 
(28
)
 

 
(33
)
 
204

 

Commercial mortgage-backed
83

 
7

 
(4
)
 
23

 

 
(17
)
 
17

 
(38
)
 
71

 

Other asset-backed
655

 
3

 
4

 
125

 
(254
)
 
(52
)
 

 
(10
)
 
471

 
(1
)
Total asset-backed
927

 
14

 
(4
)
 
224

 
(254
)
 
(97
)
 
17

 
(81
)
 
746

 
(1
)
Total fixed maturity securities
1,183

 
14

 
(5
)
 
263

 
(267
)
 
(139
)
 
54

 
(143
)
 
960

 
(1
)
Equity securities
16

 

 
(1
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
15

 

Life settlement contracts
82

 
22

 

 

 

 
(30
)
 

 

 
74

 
1

Total
$
1,281

 
$
36

 
$
(6
)
 
$
263

 
$
(267
)
 
$
(169
)
 
$
54

 
$
(143
)
 
$
1,049

 
$

Level 3
(In millions)
Balance as of
January 1,
2014
 
Net realized investment gains (losses) and net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Net income (loss)
 
Net change in unrealized appreciation (depreciation) included in Other comprehensive income (loss)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 
Settlements
 
Transfers into
Level 3
 
Transfers out
of Level 3
 
Balance as of
September 30,
2014
 
Unrealized gains (losses) on Level 3 assets and liabilities held as of September 30, 2014 recognized in Net income (loss)
Fixed maturity securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate and other bonds
$
204

 
$
2

 
$

 
$
30

 
$
(10
)
 
$
(13
)
 
$
8

 
$
(48
)
 
$
173

 
$

States, municipalities and political subdivisions
71

 
1

 
3

 
1

 
(10
)
 

 
14

 

 
80

 

Asset-backed:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential mortgage-backed
331

 
(22
)
 
62

 
47

 
(174
)
 
(57
)
 
32

 
(59
)
 
160

 

Commercial mortgage-backed
151

 
4

 
(2
)
 
28

 
(60
)
 
(23
)
 
43

 
(44
)
 
97

 

Other asset-backed
446

 
2

 

 
457

 
(111
)
 
(115
)
 

 
(37
)
 
642

 
(1
)
Total asset-backed
928

 
(16
)
 
60

 
532

 
(345
)
 
(195
)
 
75

 
(140
)
 
899

 
(1
)
Total fixed maturity securities
1,203

 
(13
)
 
63

 
563

 
(365
)
 
(208
)
 
97

 
(188
)
 
1,152

 
(1
)
Equity securities
11

 
3

 
(5
)
 
16

 
(8
)
 

 

 

 
17

 

Life settlement contracts
88

 
23

 

 

 

 
(25
)
 

 

 
86

 
3

Separate account business
1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
(1
)
 

 

Total
$
1,303

 
$
13

 
$
58

 
$
579

 
$
(373
)
 
$
(233
)
 
$
97

 
$
(189
)
 
$
1,255

 
$
2

Net realized and unrealized gains and losses, including those shown above, are reported in Net income (loss) as follows:
Major Category of Assets and Liabilities
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations Line Items
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Fixed maturity securities trading
 
Net investment income
Equity securities
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Other invested assets - Derivative financial instruments held in a trading portfolio
 
Net investment income
Other invested assets - Derivative financial instruments not held in a trading portfolio
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Other invested assets - Overseas deposits
 
Net investment income
Life settlement contracts
 
Other revenues
Other liabilities - Derivative financial instruments
 
Net realized investment gains (losses)
Securities shown on the previous pages may be transferred in or out of levels within the fair value hierarchy based on the availability of observable market information and quoted prices used to determine the fair value of the security. The availability of observable market information and quoted prices varies based on market conditions and trading volume. During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2015 there were $10 million of transfers from Level 2 to Level 1 and no transfers from Level 1 to Level 2. During the three months ended September 30, 2014 there were no transfers between Level 1 and Level 2. During the nine months ended September 30, 2014, there were $24 million of transfers from Level 2 to Level 1 and $1 million from Level 1 to Level 2. The Company's policy is to recognize transfers between levels at the beginning of quarterly reporting periods.
Valuation Methodologies and Inputs
The following section describes the valuation methodologies and relevant inputs used to measure different financial instruments at fair value, including an indication of the level in the fair value hierarchy in which the instruments are generally classified.
Fixed Maturity Securities
Level 1 securities include exchange traded bonds, highly liquid U.S. and foreign government bonds and redeemable preferred stock, valued using quoted market prices. Level 2 securities include most other fixed maturity securities as the significant inputs are observable in the marketplace. All classes of Level 2 fixed maturity securities are valued using a methodology based on information generated by market transactions involving identical or comparable assets, a discounted cash flow methodology, or a combination of both when necessary. Common inputs for all classes of fixed maturity securities include prices from recently executed transactions of similar securities, marketplace quotes, benchmark yields, spreads off benchmark yields, interest rates and U.S. Treasury or swap curves. Specifically for asset-backed securities, key inputs include prepayment and default projections based on past performance of the underlying collateral and current market data. Fixed maturity securities are generally assigned to Level 3 in cases where broker/dealer quotes are significant inputs to the valuation and there is a lack of transparency as to whether these quotes are based on information that is observable in the marketplace. Level 3 securities also include private placement debt securities whose fair value is determined using internal models with inputs that are not market observable.
Equity Securities
Level 1 equity securities include publicly traded securities valued using quoted market prices. Level 2 securities are primarily non-redeemable preferred stocks and common stocks valued using pricing for similar securities, recently executed transactions and other pricing models utilizing market observable inputs. Level 3 securities are priced using internal models with inputs that are not market observable.
Derivative Financial Investments
Level 2 securities primarily include the embedded derivative on funds withheld liability and currency forwards. The embedded derivative on funds withheld liability is valued using the change in fair value of the assets supporting the funds withheld liability, which are fixed maturity securities valued with observable inputs. Currency forwards are valued using observable market forward rates.
Overseas Deposits
Overseas deposits, which can be redeemed at net asset value in 90 days or less, are classified as Level 2.
Short Term Investments
Securities that are actively traded or have quoted prices are classified as Level 1. These securities include money market funds and treasury bills. Level 2 primarily includes commercial paper, for which all inputs are market observable. Fixed maturity securities purchased within one year of maturity are classified consistent with fixed maturity securities discussed above. Short term investments as presented in the tables above differ from the amounts presented on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets because certain short term investments, such as time deposits, are not measured at fair value.
Life Settlement Contracts
The fair values of life settlement contracts are determined as the present value of the anticipated death benefits less anticipated premium payments based on contract terms that are distinct for each insured, as well as the Company's own assumptions for mortality, premium expense and the rate of return that a buyer would require on the contracts, as no comparable market pricing data is available.
Significant Unobservable Inputs
The following tables present quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs utilized by the Company in the fair value measurements of Level 3 assets. Valuations for assets and liabilities not presented in the table below are primarily based on broker/dealer quotes for which there is a lack of transparency as to inputs used to develop the valuations. The quantitative detail of these unobservable inputs is neither provided nor reasonably available to the Company.
September 30, 2015
Estimated Fair Value
 (In millions)
 
Valuation Technique(s)
 
Unobservable Input(s)
 
Range
 (Weighted Average)
Fixed maturity securities
$
121

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Credit spread
 
2% - 31% (3%)
Life settlement contracts
74

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Discount rate risk premium
 
9%
 
 
 
 
 
Mortality assumption
 
55% - 1676% (164%)
December 31, 2014
Estimated Fair Value
(In millions)
 
Valuation Technique(s)
 
Unobservable Input(s)
 
Range
 (Weighted Average)
Fixed maturity securities
$
101

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Credit spread
 
2% - 13% (3%)
Equity securities
16

 
Market approach
 
Private offering price
 
$12 - $4,391 per share ($600)
Life settlement contracts
82

 
Discounted cash flow
 
Discount rate risk premium
 
9%
 
 
 
 
 
Mortality assumption
 
55% - 1676% (163%)

For fixed maturity securities, an increase to the credit spread assumptions would result in a lower fair value measurement. For equity securities, an increase in the private offering price would result in a higher fair value measurement. For life settlement contracts, an increase in the discount rate risk premium or decrease in the mortality assumption would result in a lower fair value measurement.
Financial Assets and Liabilities Not Measured at Fair Value
The carrying amount and estimated fair value of the Company's financial assets and liabilities which are not measured at fair value on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets are presented in the following tables.
September 30, 2015
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated Fair Value
(In millions)
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage loans
$
640

 
$

 
$

 
$
660

 
$
660

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Short term debt
$
350

 
$

 
$
366

 
$

 
$
366

Long term debt
2,211

 

 
2,478

 

 
2,478


December 31, 2014
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated Fair Value
(In millions)
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Total
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Notes receivable for the issuance of common stock
$
1

 
$

 
$

 
$
1

 
$
1

Mortgage loans
588

 

 

 
608

 
608

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long term debt
$
2,559

 
$

 
$
2,883

 
$

 
$
2,883


The following methods and assumptions were used to estimate the fair value of these financial assets and liabilities.
The fair values of Mortgage loans were based on the present value of the expected future cash flows discounted at the current interest rate for origination of similar quality loans, adjusted for specific loan risk.
The Company's senior notes and debentures were valued based on observable market prices. The fair value for other debt was estimated using discounted cash flows based on current incremental borrowing rates for similar borrowing arrangements.
The carrying amounts reported on the Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets for Cash, Short term investments not carried at fair value, Accrued investment income and certain Other assets and Other liabilities approximate fair value due to the short term nature of these items. These assets and liabilities are not listed in the tables above.