EX-99.F 42 midyear.htm MIDYEARREPORT.HTM midyear.htm
 


 

 
The Honourable Ken Krawetz
Deputy Premier
Minister of Finance
 
 
 
crest.htm
SASKATCHEWAN PROVINCIAL BUDGET
10-11
 
BALANCED. FORWARD-LOOKING. RESPONSIBLE.
 
MID-YEAR REPORT

 

 
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

   
Mid-Year Report
Government of Saskatchewan
November 25, 2010
 


 
  

 
 


TABLE OF CONTENTS
 

 
MID-YEAR REPORT
 
   
  Introduction
1
 
  Economic Update  2  
  Financial Overview 10  
 
Borrowing and Debt
 
 17
 
 
 
GENERAL REVENUE FUND (GRF) FINANCIAL TABLES
 
   
  GRF – Statement of Revenue 20  
  GRF – Statement of Expense 21  
 
GRF – Statement of Debt
 
 
22  
SUMMARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION
 
   
 
Summary Financial Statement Update
 
 
23  
SUMMARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT TABLES
 
   
  Summary Statement of Surplus  26  
  Summary Statement of Debt  28  
 
 

 
 
 

 
Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
  MID-YEAR REPORT
 
 

 
Introduction
 
At mid-year, 2010-11 provincial revenue is projected to be $10.68 billion – an increase of $726.2 million from the budget estimate – on the basis of quite robust year-to-date performance in Corporation Income Tax revenue and Crown Land Sales revenue, combined with the special CIC dividend for the Children’s Hospital.
 
Corporation Income Tax revenue is now expected to be $340.4 million higher than the budget estimate, reflecting stronger-than-expected assessment data for the 2009 taxation year, higher federal forecasts of the national corporate tax base and continued strength in Saskatchewan profits and taxable income.
 
Crown Land sales are expected to be $252.7 million higher than the budget estimate (at the first quarter projection), reflecting continued interest in oil and gas prospects within the province, with two of six sales left in the fiscal year.
 
The special CIC dividend is up $195.0 million from the budget, to fund the Children’s Hospital.
 
This increased revenue projection is more than adequate to fund the projected $415.0 million increase in expense.
 
 
Over 87 per cent of this spending increase -- $364 million – is related to costs associated with flooding combined with the $195.0 million flow-through of Children’s Hospital funding.
 
The spring and summer flooding had a significant negative impact on the agricultural sector, which, in turn, has a negative effect on real GDP in 2010.
 
However, strength in other areas of the economy, particularly the oil and potash sectors, is adequate to offset the large contraction in agriculture, leaving real GDP growth at 1.0 per cent in 2010.
 
And, other economic indicators point to a positive outlook for 2010.  Employment is up almost 6,000 for the first ten months of 2010 and the province’s population continues to grow.  On a year-to-date basis, gains have been made in average weekly earnings, international exports, retail sales, wholesale trade, value of building permits and the number of housing starts.
 
As a result, 2010 nominal GDP remains at about the same level forecast in the budget.
 
Real GDP is expected to rebound to a robust rate of 4.2 per cent in 2011, up from the budget forecast of 3.3 per cent.
 
 
 
 
Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   1


 
 
Economic Update
 
INTRODUCTION
 
The 2010-11 Budget economic forecast for 2010 was based on modest economic growth in Canada and the United States, an increase in potash shipments and a normal crop harvest in the province during the year.
 
Available data suggest that growth in Canada and the U.S. will be slightly higher in 2010 and Saskatchewan potash shipments abroad are on the mend.
 
However, recent crop production numbers for the province point to crop production in 2010 considerably below the ten-year average.
 
This combination of factors is expected to lead to a reduced pace of real growth for the province this year.
 
Nonetheless, strengthening prices and strong performances in the other sectors of the economy are adequate to maintain nominal GDP at the level forecast in the budget.
 
 


  CANADIAN AND U.S. GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS                          
                                       
     
2010-11 Budget
   
2010-11 Mid-Year
 
     
2010
   
2011
   
2012
   
2010
   
2011
   
2012
 
 
Can. Real GDP Growth (%)
    2.2       3.5       3.6       2.9       2.3       2.9  
 
U.S. Real GDP Growth (%)
    2.2       2.9       3.8       2.6       2.2       3.1  
 
 

THE ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
 
Canadian and U.S. Growth
 
The outlook for Canadian and U.S. growth in 2010 has improved, but the outlook for 2011 has weakened.  The 2010-11 Budget had Canadian and U.S. growth pegged at 2.2 per cent and 2.2 per cent for 2010 and 3.5 per cent and 2.9 per cent for 2011, respectively.
 
The 2010-11 Mid-year Report sees Canadian and U.S. growth slightly higher for 2010 at 2.9 per cent and 2.6 per cent and lower for 2011 at 2.3 per cent and 2.2 per cent, respectively.
 
Canadian growth slowed to an annualized rate of only 2.0 per cent in the second quarter of 2010, from 5.8 per cent in the first quarter, due to easing domestic demand and exports.  As well, real GDP fell 0.1 per cent in July over the previous month.
 
However, more recent economic reports suggest that the economic recovery has continued and will continue as Canada’s real GDP advanced by 0.3 per cent in August.
 
 
 
 
2   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 
 

 
The U.S. economy similarly slowed in the second quarter, posting an annualized rate of growth of only 1.7 per cent, after advancing by 3.7 per cent in the first quarter.
 
U.S. growth came in stronger at 2.5 per cent in the third quarter, underpinned by a sizeable but temporary inventory build-up, underscoring the downside risk to fourth quarter growth.  Both countries face considerable headwinds from the external sector and the limits of household balance sheets, hence, the slower growth forecast for 2011.
 
Prospects for the Rest of the World
 
Leading economic indicators suggest economic recovery in countries abroad that are either global growth drivers and/or important markets for Saskatchewan remains relatively intact in 2010.
 
my1.jpg
 
 


  CANADIAN INTEREST RATE ASSUMPTIONS                                
                                       
     
2010-11 Budget
   
2010-11 Mid-Year
 
     
2010
   
2011
   
2012
   
2010
   
2011
   
2012
 
 
Short-term Interest Rate (%)
    0.27       1.59       3.08       0.61       1.58       3.13  
 
Long-term Interest Rate (%)*
    3.65       4.07       4.64       3.10       2.66       3.29  
 
* 10-year Government of Canada Bond
                                         

However, softer export performance and fiscal consolidation are expected to dampen U.K. and Euro Zone growth prospects in 2011.  Like Canada and the U.S., Japan is also expected to move to a slower growth trajectory in 2011.
 
Countries in the Asia-Pacific region and Latin America are expected to post comparatively stronger growth rates, thereby underpinning demand for, and prices of, commodities.  China and India, for example, are expected to continue to top the growth charts in 2010 and 2011.
 
Interest Rates
 
Monetary policy is expected to remain exceptionally accommodative well into 2011. The Bank of Canada is leaving interest rates on hold until next year.
 
The U.S. Federal Reserve, on the other hand, has embarked on a “quantitative easing” pathway to promote even more accommodative monetary conditions.
 
my2.jpg
 

 
  Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   3

 

 
  CANADIAN DOLLAR ASSUMPTIONS                                
                                       
     
2010-11 Budget
   
2010-11 Mid-Year
 
     
2010
   
2011
   
2012
   
2010
   
2011
   
2012
 
 
Canadian Dollar (US cents)
    95.5       95.5       94.5       97.1       98.0       94.9  

Canadian Dollar
 
Credit/quantitative easing in the U.S. are expected to reinforce the weakening trend in the U.S. dollar.
 
This, combined with stronger commodity prices, positive Canada-U.S. interest rate spreads and Canada’s slight economic performance edge over the U.S. should continue to support the Canadian dollar in 2011.
 
my3.jpg
 
Oil Prices and Drilling
 
Largely reflecting strong growth in emerging markets and U.S. dollar weakness, world oil prices have risen. The price of a barrel of WTI oil averaged US$77.65 in the first nine months of 2010, up 36.2 per cent from the same period in 2009. It is expected to average US$79.32 per barrel in all of 2010 and US$83.50 per barrel in 2011.
Improved prices bode well for oil drilling.  In the first nine months, 1,816 oil wells have been drilled, up 83.8 per cent from the same period last year.
 
my4.jpg
 
Potash Price and Sales
 
The price of potash is expected to average C$584.46 per K2O tonne in 2010, C$583.14 per K2O tonne in 2011 and C$610.90 per K2O tonne in 2012.
 
my5.jpg
 
 
4   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
Potash sales are forecast to more than double to 8.8 million tonnes in 2010 from a low of 3.7 million tonnes in 2009.  Potash sales are expected to continually increase over the forecast period.
 
Grain Prices and Production
 
In Saskatchewan, the 2010 harvest is estimated at 19.0 million tonnes, about 30 per cent less than the 2010-11 Budget assumption of 27.2 million tonnes, 36 per cent below last year’s level and 22 per cent below the ten-year average.
 
my6.jpg
 
 
As of October, 2010, the price of wheat for the 2010-11 crop year was projected at $215.00 per tonne, up from the 2010-11 Budget assumption of $163.67 per tonne.

 
  COMMODITY PRICE ASSUMPTIONS -- CALENDAR YEAR                    
                                       
     
2010-11 Budget
   
2010-11 Mid-Year
 
     
2010
   
2011
   
2012
   
2010
   
2011
   
2012
 
 
WTI Oil (US$ per barrel)
    75.00       85.00       87.00       79.32       83.50       85.00  
 
Natural Gas (C$ per GJ)
    4.25       5.00       5.50       3.75       4.25       5.00  
 
Potash (C$ per K2O tonne)1
    527.29       535.26       549.38       584.46       583.14       610.90  
 
Potash (US$ per KCl tonne)1
    307.17       311.82       316.69       342.97       348.60       353.64  
 
Wheat (C$ per tonne)2
    163.67       174.57       186.04       215.00       180.57       180.74  
 
Canola (C$ per tonne)2
    412.02       417.47       418.79       374.20       366.88       365.86  
 
Barley (C$ per tonne)2
    151.35       154.46       163.57       145.50       148.72       148.25  
 
1   The potash industry quotes prices in US dollars per KCl tonne. Provincial royalty calculations, however, are based on the Canadian dollar price per K2O tonne.
 
 
 Crop year basis.
                                               
 
Source: Ministry of Energy and Resources, Ministry of Agriculture (as at October 2010).
 
 
At the same time, canola and barley prices were expected to decline from the budget assumptions.
 
Subsequently, canola prices have risen quite significantly.  The current November canola price is $495.00 per tonne and the 2010 year-to-date average is now at $405.09 per tonne.
 
Barley prices have also risen recently, although not as dramatically as canola.  The Current CWB Barley Pool B October PRO (less transport) is now $157.68 per tonne.
 
And, wheat prices continue to climb, although at a more modest rate.  The CWB price for #1 CWRS 13.5 October PRO (less transport) is $248.27 per tonne and for #1 Durum 13.0 October PRO (less transport) is $215.10 per tonne.
 
 
SASKATCHEWAN’S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
 
In the 2010-11 Budget, the Ministry of Finance had forecast Saskatchewan real GDP to grow by 2.6 per cent in 2010.  Nominal GDP was forecast to grow by 3.8 per cent.
 

 
  Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   5

 

 

SASKATCHEWAN ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                 
                       
                       
                     
Change from
   
2007
 
2008
 
2009
   
July 1, 2010
July 1, 2009
 
Population
1,000,257
1,013,792
1,029,124
 
1,045,622
16,498
                       
 
Per Cent Change
             
2010
January
 
(Unless Noted Otherwise)
             
(year-to-date)
through
 
Employment growth (000s)
10.2
 
11.0
 
7.9
   
5.9
 
Oct
 
Unemployment rate (%)
4.2
 
4.1
 
5.3
   
5.2
 
Oct
 
Consumer Price Index
2.9
 
3.2
 
1.1
   
1.2
 
Oct
 
Average employment weekly earnings
5.4
 
4.8
 
2.5
   
4.9
 
Aug
 
Value of manufacturing sales
5.6
 
26.5
 
-13.3
   
-5.4
 
Sep
 
Value of international exports
19.5
 
52.9
 
-26.8
   
10.3
 
Sep
 
Value of retail sales
13.6
 
11.8
 
-0.5
   
2.8
 
Sep
 
Value of wholesale trade
19.0
 
38.9
 
-22.1
   
5.7
 
Sep
 
Number of new vehicles sold
14.1
 
8.6
 
-9.3
   
5.7
 
Sep
 
Value of building permits
44.6
 
32.8
 
-13.5
   
9.6
 
Sep
 
Number of housing starts
61.7
 
13.7
 
-43.4
   
59.2
 
Sep

These forecasts were based on a set of assumptions, including those concerning the production/sales of various commodities, commodity prices, Canadian and U.S. economic growth and the value of the Canadian dollar.
 
All of these assumptions have been updated and incorporated into the latest forecast.  The most significant change in assumption has been the crop production assumption.
 
In the 2010-11 Budget, an average-size crop had been assumed for 2010.  Yet excess moisture and flooding in parts of the province this year left many acres unseeded.  The result is lower-than-expected grain production and a much bigger draw-down of farm inventories.
 
Despite the set-back in agriculture this year, the outlook for the Saskatchewan economy remains positive.
 
Oil producers have increased their investment this year, beyond what had been assumed in the 2010-11 Budget, while potash sales are forecast to rise to 8.8 million K2O tonnes, up from the budget assumption of 7.8 million tonnes.
 
Employment is up almost 6,000 through the first ten months of 2010 and the province’s population continues to grow.
 
All considered, Saskatchewan real GDP is now forecast to grow by 1.0 per cent this year.  Nominal GDP is forecast to grow by 3.6 per cent.
 
 
 
 
6   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
ESTIMATED IMPACT OF FORECAST ASSUMPTION REVISIONS ON THE 2010-11 BUDGET FORECAST FOR 2010
               
       
Real GDP Growth
Nominal GDP Growth
  2010-11 Budget Forecast (per cent)
2.6
 
3.8
 
               
      Forecast Assumptions
Impact of Revised Assumptions
(percentage points)
     
Crop production
-3.3
 
-4.5
 
     
Oil investment
1.9
 
1.6
 
     
Potash sales
0.4
 
0.6
 
     
WTI oil price
0.1
 
1.0
 
     
Potash price
0.0
 
0.1
 
     
Grain price
0.0
 
0.7
 
     
Canadian dollar
-0.1
 
-0.3
 
     
Other
-0.6
 
0.6
 
      Total Impact
-1.6
 
-0.2
 
               
  2010-11 Mid-Year Forecast (per cent)
1.0
 
3.6
 

The nominal GDP growth forecast would have been revised down much more were it not for higher price assumptions for oil, potash and wheat in 2010.
 
As such, the current level of nominal GDP is forecast to remain at about the 2010-11 Budget forecast level.  And, the latest  hike in grain prices provides some upside to the nominal GDP forecast.
 
Crop production is expected to return to a more normal level in 2011.  Given the extent of the reduction to the 2010 crop production assumption, a return to a more normal level in 2011 is significant.
 
This, along with continued investment in both the oil and potash sectors, bodes well for the provincial economy next year.  As such, Saskatchewan real GDP is forecast to grow by 4.2 per cent in 2011.
 
The nominal GDP growth forecast for 2011 has come down from 10.0 per cent to 6.8 per cent as commodity price increases that had previously been anticipated for 2011 have eased.
 
ECONOMIC FORECAST SUMMARY
       
(Per cent Change Unless Otherwise Noted)
         
               
   
2010-11 Budget
2010-11 Mid-Year
   
2010
2011
2012
2010
2011
2012
 
Real GDP
2.6
3.3
2.0
1.0
4.2
2.2
 
Nominal GDP
3.8
10.0
6.2
3.6
6.8
5.9
 
CPI
2.1
2.8
3.1
1.2
2.3
2.5
 
Employment growth (000s)
4.1
3.9
4.6
5.9
5.3
3.0
 
Unemployment rate (%)
5.0
4.9
4.6
5.3
5.2
5.1
 
Retail Sales
5.7
4.3
5.1
3.3
2.9
4.4

 
Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   7

 

 
my7.jpg

The private sector (on average) is forecasting 2.5 per cent real GDP growth for the province this year.  Individually, private sector forecasts range from 0.5 per cent to 6.3 per cent.
 
For 2011, the private sector (on average) is forecasting 3.6 per cent real GDP growth for Saskatchewan.
 
my8.jpg
 
The private sector is forecasting growth for all provincial economies this year and next.
 
Saskatchewan’s economy is ranked fifth in terms of real GDP growth this year, according to the private sector, but is expected to lead the way in 2011.
 


PRIVATE SECTOR REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS FOR SASKATCHEWAN
 
             
 
(Per Cent Change)
2010
 
2011
 
Release Date
(2010)
 
IHS Global Insight
2.8
 
2.4
 
Nov
 
Conference Board of Canada
0.5
 
4.4
 
Nov
 
The Centre for Spatial Economics
1.3
 
4.9
 
Jul
 
TD Bank
2.0
 
3.0
 
Sep
 
RBC
6.3
 
4.8
 
Sep
 
BMO
2.6
 
3.8
 
Nov
 
CIBC
2.1
 
3.2
 
Oct
 
Scotia Bank
2.9
 
3.3
 
Nov
 
Laurentian Bank
2.3
 
2.9
 
Nov
 
Average of Private Sector Forecasts
2.5
 
3.6
   
             
 
Ministry of Finance
1.0
 
4.2
   


 
 
8   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 


 
CONCLUSION
 
The effects of flooding in 2010 have been quite significant, particularly for the agricultural sector.  Nonetheless, continuing strength in the rest of the economy has been more than adequate to offset the set-back in agriculture.
 
Overall, the Saskatchewan economy is expected to expand, albeit modestly, in real terms in 2010.
 
Strength in the non-agricultural sectors of the economy, combined with rising oil, potash and grain prices, and increased investment contribute to more robust growth in nominal terms than in real terms.
 
The level of nominal GDP remains at about the 2010-11 budget level.
 
And, Saskatchewan’s economy is expected to once again post robust growth in 2011 and, according to private sector forecasters, out-pace all other provincial economies next year.
 
 

 
 

 
 
  Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   9

 

 
Financial Overview

 
OVERVIEW
 
 
The 2010-11 Budget estimated a General Revenue Fund (GRF) surplus of $20.0 million.
 
At mid-year:
 
·  
revenue is up $726.2 million, or 7.3 per cent, from budget; and,
 
·  
expense is up $415.0 million, or 4.1 per cent, from budget.
 
The resulting pre-transfer balance is $137.0 million, up $311.2 million from budget.
 

  2010-11 GRF FORECAST OVERVIEW                    
                                 
     
Budget
   
1st Quarter
   
Mid-Year
   
Change from
 
 
(millions of dollars)
 
Estimate
   
Forecast
   
Projection
   
Budget
   
1st Quarter
 
 
Revenue
  $ 9,949.9     $ 10,144.8     $ 10,676.1     $ 726.2     $ 531.3  
 
Expense
    10,124.1       10,285.8       10,539.1       415.0       253.3  
 
Pre-Transfer Surplus
    (174.2 )     (141.0 )     137.0       311.2       278.0  
 
Transfer to GFSF
    -       -       (68.5 )     (68.5 )     (68.5 )
 
Transfer from GFSF
    194.2       161.0       -       (194.2 )     (161.0 )
 
Net Transfer from (to) GFSF
    194.2       161.0       (68.5 )     (262.7 )     (229.5 )
 
GRF Surplus
  $ 20.0     $ 20.0     $ 68.5     $ 48.5     $ 48.5  
                                           
 
GFSF Balance*
  $ 510.8     $ 797.3     $ 1,026.8     $ 516.0     $ 229.5  
                                           
 
Government Public Debt
  $ 4,145.3     $ 4,140.5     $ 4,140.5     $ (4.8 )   $ -  
 
* First Quarter Forecast and Mid-Year Projection reflect actual 2010-11 opening balance of $958.3M.
 

The budgeted Growth and Financial Security Fund (GFSF) transfer to the GRF is eliminated.  Instead, the GRF will transfer $68.5 million to the GFSF, representing one-half of the pre-transfer surplus.
 
As a result, the projected GRF surplus at mid-year is $68.5 million, an increase of $48.5 million since budget.
 
The projected year-end GFSF balance is $1,026.8 million.
 

 
10   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 


GRF REVENUE
 
The 2010-11 Budget estimated GRF revenue at $9,949.9 million.
 
At first quarter, GRF revenue was forecast to increase $194.9 million, primarily due to higher-than-budgeted Crown Land Sales revenue.
 
The mid-year financial update includes a further increase of $531.3 million, largely as the result of a $195.0 million CIC Special Dividend to fund the Children’s Hospital and a $340.4 million increase in Corporation Income Tax revenue.
 
In total, GRF revenue is projected to be $10,676.1 million, an increase of $726.2 million (7.3 per cent) from the budget estimate.
 
Taxation revenue is projected to be up a total of $169.0 million compared to the budget estimate.
 
  2010-11 REVENUE CHANGE            
                 
  (millions of dollars)  
Change
   
Total
 
  Revenue - Budget Estimate         $ 9,949.9  
  Forecast Changes              
   
Corporation Income Tax
    + 340.4          
   
Crown Land Sales
    + 252.7          
   
CIC Special Dividend
    + 195.0          
   
Interest, Premium, Discount and Exchange
    + 50.3          
   
Oil
    + 45.2          
   
Potash
    + 36.6          
   
Individual Income Tax
    - 169.0          
   
Other net changes
    - 25.0          
    Total Change from Budget             + 726.2  
    Revenue - Mid-Year Projection           $ 10,676.1  
 
Corporation Income Tax is projected to be $340.4 million higher than budget, reflecting stronger-than-anticipated assessment data for the 2009 taxation year, higher federal forecasts of the national corporate tax base and continued strength in Saskatchewan corporate profits and taxable income.
 
Individual Income Tax is down $169.0 million due to weaker-than-anticipated assessment data for the 2009 taxation year.  While taxable income growth in 2009 was positive, it was less than forecast as a result of a decline in investment income, resulting in a negative prior-year adjustment.
 
Tobacco Tax revenue is forecast to increase $4.6 million primarily due to a one-time payment from a legal settlement for past smuggling activities.  Fuel Tax revenue is projected to decline $7.0 million due to lower-than-expected consumption as a result of wet weather conditions in the spring and summer.

 
    Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   11

 

 
Non-renewable resource revenue is projected to be $315.9 million higher than the budget estimate.
 
Crown Land Sales are forecast to increase $252.7 million from budget as a result of continued interest in oil and gas prospects within the province.
 
Oil revenue is projected to increase $45.2 million primarily as the result of a higher forecast for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil prices, partially offset by a higher exchange rate.  At mid-year, the average fiscal-year WTI oil price forecast is US$80.51 per barrel, up from the budget estimate of US$77.50.  The average fiscal-year exchange rate is now forecast at 97.81 US cents, up from 95.50 US cents at budget.
 


2010-11 KEY RESOURCE FORECAST ASSUMPTIONS
   
         
   
Budget
1st Quarter
Mid-Year
 
WTI Oil Price (US$ per barrel)
       77.50
           78.23
          80.51
 
Exchange Rate (US cents)
       95.50
           95.95
          97.81
 
Light-Heavy Differential (% of WTI)
            22
               21
               19
 
Well-head Oil Price (C$ per barrel)
       63.40
           64.21
          64.68
 
Oil Production (millions of barrels)
       148.6
           149.7
          149.2
 
Total Oil Revenue ($Millions)
    1,098.3
        1,085.4
       1,143.5
 
Fieldgate Natural Gas Price (C$ per gigajoule)
         4.40
            3.93
            3.50
 
Total Natural Gas Revenue ($Millions)
         42.2
            34.5
            27.4
 
Potash Average Price (C$ per K2O tonne)
          529
             596
             584
 
Potash Average Price (US$ per KCI tonne)
          308
             349
             349
 
Potash Sales (million K2O tonnes)
           8.1
              8.6
              9.0
 
Total Potash Revenue ($Millions)
       221.0
           205.0
          257.6

Potash revenue is projected to be $36.6 million above budget reflecting higher-than-budgeted prices and sales volumes.  At mid-year, potash prices are forecast to average C$584 per K2O tonne (US$349 per KCl tonne) in 2010-11, up from the budget forecast of C$529 (US$308).  Total sales are forecast at 9.0 million K2O tonnes, up 0.9 million K2O tonnes from the budget assumption of 8.1 million K2O tonnes.
 
These increases are partially offset by a $14.8 million decrease in natural gas revenue.  The average fiscal-year price for natural gas has fallen from $4.40 per gigajoule (GJ) at budget to the current forecast of $3.50 per GJ.  Other non-renewable resource revenue is forecast to decline $3.8 million from budget mainly due to a lower uranium price forecast.
 
Transfers from Crown Entities are projected to be $184.1 million higher than the budget estimate primarily due to the unbudgeted, $195.0 million special dividend from CIC to fund the Children’s Hospital.
 
 Other own-source revenue is forecast to increase $84.7 million from the budget estimate.  The increase is primarily due to a $50.3 million increase in interest, premium, discount and exchange
 

 
12   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
earnings, largely as the result of gains on the redemption of sinking fund assets.  In addition, sales, services and service fees revenue is forecast to increase $24.0 million, primarily due to an increase in federal compensation payments related to forgone revenue as a result of the sale of Crown mineral rights under the Treaty Land Entitlement Framework Agreement.
 
Transfers from the Government of Canada are projected to decrease $27.5 million from budget due to:
 
·  
a $16.4 million decrease in the Canada Health Transfer as a result of an increase in the value of Saskatchewan tax points;
 
·  
a $0.2 million increase in the Canada Social Transfer due to revised population figures; and,
 
·  
an $11.3 million decline in other federal transfers. The revised forecast includes a $19.3 million increase in federal funding for the Provincial Disaster Assistance Program (PDAP), bringing total federal PDAP contributions to $21.3 million.  However, this increase is more than offset by declines in other cost-sharing agreements, including infrastructure and stimulus funding streams due to weather-related delays and other changes.
 
 

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   13

 

 

GRF EXPENSE
 
The 2010-11 Budget estimated GRF expense at $10,124.1 million.
 
At first quarter, GRF expense was forecast to increase $161.7 million, predominantly related to costs associated with the spring and summer flooding.
 
The mid-year financial update includes an additional $253.3 million, of which $195.0 million is related to the decision to pre-fund the Children’s Hospital and is entirely offset by a higher-than-budgeted CIC Special Dividend.
 
In total, GRF expense is projected to be $10,539.1 million, an increase of $415.0 million from budget.  Over 87 per cent of this increase is attributed to the Children’s Hospital funding and weather-related costs.
 

  2010-11 EXPENSE CHANGE, BY MAJOR PROGRAM        
                 
  (millions of dollars)  
Change
   
Total
 
  Expense - Budget Estimate         $ 10,124.1  
  Forecast Changes              
   
Children's Hospital
    + 195.0          
   
Agriculture - Excess Moisture Program and AgriStability
    + 144.0          
   
Provincial Disaster Assistance Program
    + 25.1          
   
Other Net Changes
    + 50.9          
  Total Change from Budget             + 415.0  
  Expense - Mid-Year Projection             + 10,539.1  

Major changes from budget occur in the following Ministries.
 
·  
Health is up $202.6 million from budget, primarily due to funding for the Saskatchewan Children’s Hospital and Multiple Sclerosis (MS) clinical trials.
 
·  
Agriculture is up $144.0 million from budget, primarily due to the provincial contribution to the Canada-Saskatchewan Excess Moisture Program as well as higher-than-expected costs for the Province’s portion of the AgriStability Program, based on the most recent federal government forecasts for the 2010 crop year.
 
·  
Corrections, Public Safety and Policing is up $28.8 million from budget, primarily due to increases for claims under the Provincial Disaster Assistance Program and adult corrections inmate count management.
 
·  
Enterprise and Innovation Programs is up $14.1 million from budget, primarily due to an increase in the Ethanol Fuel Tax Rebate Program based on reinstating the original program for 2010-11.
 
·  
Advanced Education, Employment and Immigration is up $11.3 million 

 
14   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
  
from budget due to the expansion of 170 Registered Nursing training seats.
 
·  
Social Services is up $10.4 million from budget, mainly due to higher-than-expected Saskatchewan Assistance Program caseloads.
 
·  
Education is up $8.5 million from budget, primarily due to an increase in the School Operating grant related to the 2009 property tax reconciliation.
 
·  
Environment is up $8.0 million from budget due to funding through Saskatchewan Watershed Authority related to flooding assistance measures in the Fishing Lake area.
 
·  
Justice and Attorney General is up $3.4 million from budget, primarily due to increased workloads in Court Services and the Public Guardian and Trustee.
 
·  
First Nations and Métis Relations is down $10.7 million from budget, primarily due to reductions in payments under the gaming agreements, reflecting lower Saskatchewan Indian Gaming Authority earnings in 2009-10 and 2010-11 projections, and lower 2010 Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation net profits.
 
·  
Finance Debt Servicing is down $5.0 million from budget due to lower-than-expected interest rates on in-year financing.
 
·  
Tourism, Parks, Culture and Sport is down $2.2 million from budget, primarily due to a reduction for the Building Communities Program related to the timing of approved projects and a decrease in gaming payments to the Community 
 

  2010-11 EXPENSE CHANGE, BY MINISTRY            
                 
  (millions of dollars)  
Change
   
Total
 
  Expense - Budget Estimate         $ 10,124.1  
  Forecast Changes              
   
Health
    + 202.6          
   
Agriculture
    + 144.0          
   
Corrections, Public Safety and Policing
    + 28.8          
   
Enterprise and Innovation Programs
    + 14.1          
   
Advanced Education, Employment and Immigration
    + 11.3          
   
Social Services
    + 10.4          
   
Education
    + 8.5          
   
Environment
    + 8.0          
   
Justice and Attorney General
    + 3.4          
   
First Nations and Métis Relations
    - 10.7          
   
Finance Debt Servicing
    - 5.0          
   
Tourism, Parks, Culture and Sport
    - 2.2          
   
Other Net Changes
    + 1.8          
  Total Change from Budget             + 415.0  
  Expense - Mid-Year Projection           $ 10,539.1  

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   15

 


  
Initiatives Fund resulting from lower Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation net profits.
 
GROWTH AND FINANCIAL SECURITY FUND
 
The 2010-11 Budget included a transfer of $194.2 million from the GFSF.
 
Due to the projected improvement in the GRF, the GFSF is now projected to receive a transfer of $68.5 million from the GRF.  The transfer is one-half of the projected $137.0 million GRF pre-transfer surplus, as required by The Growth and Financial Security Act.
 
The 2010-11 year-end balance in the GFSF is projected to be $1,026.8 million, an increase of $68.5 million from 2009-10 year-end balance of $958.3 million as reported in the Public Accounts.
 

 
16   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
 
Borrowing and Debt
 
GENERAL REVENUE FUND DEBT
 
The GRF borrows for government and Crown corporations.  Public debt is composed of gross debt less sinking funds.
 
Government public debt at March 31, 2011 is forecast to be $4.1 billion, unchanged from March 31, 2010.
 
Crown corporations are responsible for the principal and interest payments on their debt.  Crown corporation debt is incurred in the normal course of business, primarily for investment in infrastructure and business development initiatives which provide revenue streams to service the debt.
 

GRF DEBT                              
As at March 31                              
                                   
             
1st Quarter
   
Mid-Year
             
             
Forecast
   
Projection
   
Change from
 
  (millions of dollars)  
31-Mar-10
   
31-Mar-11
   
31-Mar-10
   
1st Quarter
 
  GRF Government General Public Debt   $ 4,140.5     $ 4,140.5     $ 4,140.5     $ -     $ -  
  GRF Crown Corporation Public Debt                                        
   
Crown Corporation General
    818.7       730.1       844.3       25.6       114.2  
   
Government Business Enterprise Specific
    3,033.4       3,697.3       3,526.0       492.6       (171.3 )
  GRF Crown Corporation Public Debt     3,852.1       4,427.4       4,370.3       518.2       (57.1 )
                                             
  GRF Public Debt   $ 7,992.6     $ 8,567.9     $ 8,510.8     $ 518.2     $ (57.1 )
  Guaranteed Debt   $ 17.1     $ 57.1     $ 44.2     $ 27.1     $ (12.9 )
 
Crown corporation debt is divided into two components:  Crown corporation general debt and Government business enterprise (GBE) specific debt.
 
Crown corporation general public debt is forecast to be $844.3 million, an increase of $25.6 million from March 31, 2010.  GBE specific public debt is forecast to be $3.5 billion, an increase of $492.6 million from March 31, 2010.
 
Taken together, Crown corporation public debt is currently forecast to be $4.4 billion, an increase of $518.2 million from March 31, 2010.
 

 
  Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   17

 

 
BORROWING
 
The Province’s 2010-11 borrowing requirements are projected to be $185.7 million lower than estimated in the budget due to lower requirements for Crown corporations ($203.5 million), partly offset by higher requirements for government purposes ($17.8 million).
 
GRF Borrowing Requirements                  
                       
       
Budget
   
Mid-Year
   
Change from
 
  (thousands of dollars)  
Estimate
   
Projection
   
Budget
 
  Borrowing for Crown Corporations                  
                       
  Municipal Financing Corporation                  
   
of Saskatchewan
  $ 20,000     $ 20,000     $ -  
  Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation     7,000       -       (7,000 )
  Saskatchewan Opportunities Corporation     15,000       13,000       (2,000 )
  Saskatchewan Power Corporation     454,100       336,600       (117,500 )
  Saskatchewan Telecommunications                        
   
Holding Corporation
    317,400       211,400       (106,000 )
  Saskatchewan Water Corporation     17,000       17,100       100  
  SaskEnergy Incorporated     105,000       133,900       28,900  
  Borrowing for Crown Corporations   $ 935,500     $ 732,000     $ (203,500 )
  Borrowing for Government     132,222       150,000       17,778  
  Total Borrowing Requirements   $ 1,067,722     $ 882,000     $ (185,722 )
 
The decrease in borrowing by Crown corporations is largely attributable to delays in capital spending at SaskTel and SaskPower .
 
Government borrowing requirements have increased slightly due to a change in the mix of long-term and short-term debt.
 
 

 
18   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 




GENERAL REVENUE FUND
FINANCIAL TABLES
 
 

 
 
 
 
Statement of Revenue
 
Statement of Expense
 
Statement of Debt
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   19

 


 
GENERAL REVENUE FUND
                             
                               
Statement of Revenue
                             
                               
   
(thousands of dollars)
 
   
Budget
   
1st Quarter
   
Mid-Year
   
Change from
 
   
Estimate
   
Forecast
   
Projection
   
Budget
   
1st Quarter
 
                               
Corporation Income
  $ 762,500     $ 762,500     $ 1,102,900     $ 340,400     $ 340,400  
Fuel
    452,700       452,700       445,700       (7,000 )     (7,000 )
Individual Income
    1,964,700       1,964,700       1,795,700       (169,000 )     (169,000 )
Provincial Sales
    1,186,300       1,186,300       1,186,300       -       -  
Tobacco
    235,100       235,100       239,700       4,600       4,600  
Other
    257,900       257,900       257,900       -       -  
Taxes
  $ 4,859,200     $ 4,859,200     $ 5,028,200     $ 169,000     $ 169,000  
                                         
Crown Land Sales
  $ 202,800     $ 455,500     $ 455,500     $ 252,700     $ -  
Natural Gas
    42,200       34,500       27,400       (14,800 )     (7,100 )
Oil
    1,098,300       1,085,400       1,143,500       45,200       58,100  
Potash
    221,000       205,000       257,600       36,600       52,600  
Resource Surcharge
    398,700       398,700       398,700       -       -  
Other
    145,000       144,100       141,200       (3,800 )     (2,900 )
Non-Renewable Resources
  $ 2,108,000     $ 2,323,200     $ 2,423,900     $ 315,900     $ 100,700  
                                         
Crown Investments Corporation of Saskatchewan
  $ 266,000     $ 266,000     $ 266,000     $ -     $ -  
   - Special Dividend
    10,000       10,000       205,000       195,000       195,000  
Saskatchewan Liquor and Gaming Authority
    445,600       436,300       436,300       (9,300 )     -  
Other Enterprises and Funds
    46,900       44,600       45,300       (1,600 )     700  
Transfers from Crown Entities
  $ 768,500     $ 756,900     $ 952,600     $ 184,100     $ 195,700  
                                         
Fines, Forfeits and Penalties
  $ 11,800     $ 11,800     $ 12,800     $ 1,000     $ 1,000  
Interest, Premium, Discount and Exchange
    134,300       134,300       184,600       50,300       50,300  
Motor Vehicle Fees
    152,400       152,400       160,600       8,200       8,200  
Other Licences and Permits
    27,100       27,100       28,300       1,200       1,200  
Sales, Services and Service Fees
    108,300       108,300       132,300       24,000       24,000  
Transfers from Other Governments
    15,600       15,600       15,600       -       -  
Other
    65,000       65,000       65,000       -       -  
Other Revenue
  $ 514,500     $ 514,500     $ 599,200     $ 84,700     $ 84,700  
Own-Source Revenue
  $ 8,250,200     $ 8,453,800     $ 9,003,900     $ 753,700     $ 550,100  
                                         
Canada Health Transfer
  $ 811,800     $ 811,800     $ 795,400     $ (16,400 )   $ (16,400 )
Canada Social Transfer
    342,400       342,400       342,600       200       200  
Other
    545,500       536,800       534,200       (11,300 )     (2,600 )
Transfers from the Government of Canada
  $ 1,699,700     $ 1,691,000     $ 1,672,200     $ (27,500 )   $ (18,800 )
Revenue
  $ 9,949,900     $ 10,144,800     $ 10,676,100     $ 726,200     $ 531,300  


 
20   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 




GENERAL REVENUE FUND
 
                               
Statement of Expense
 
                               
   
(thousands of dollars)
 
   
Budget
   
1st Quarter
   
Mid-Year
   
Change from
 
   
Estimate
   
Forecast
   
Projection
   
Budget
   
1st Quarter
 
Ministries and Agencies
                             
Advanced Education, Employment
                             
     and Immigration*
  $ 846,131     $ 846,131     $ 857,381     $ 11,250     $ 11,250  
Agriculture
    385,776       529,776       529,776       144,000       -  
Corrections, Public Safety and Policing
    336,205       359,201       365,006       28,801       5,805  
Education
    1,135,599       1,135,599       1,144,102       8,503       8,503  
 - Teachers' Pensions and Benefits
    176,815       176,815       177,692       877       877  
Energy and Resources
    37,720       37,720       38,320       600       600  
Enterprise and Innovation Programs
    9,547       11,822       23,600       14,053       11,778  
Enterprise Saskatchewan
    37,036       37,036       37,036       -       -  
Environment
    174,299       174,299       182,299       8,000       8,000  
Executive Council
    12,177       12,177       12,070       (107 )     (107 )
Finance
    60,353       60,353       60,353       -       -  
 - Public Service Pensions and Benefits
    264,474       264,474       264,474       -       -  
Finance Debt Servicing
    435,000       435,000       430,000       (5,000 )     (5,000 )
First Nations and Métis Relations
    85,740       75,040       75,040       (10,700 )     -  
Government Services
    12,472       12,472       12,472       -       -  
Health
    4,202,106       4,202,106       4,404,656       202,550       202,550  
Highways and Infrastructure
    402,939       402,939       402,939       -       -  
Information Technology Office
    16,472       16,472       16,472       -       -  
Innovation Saskatchewan
    1,318       1,318       1,318       -       -  
Justice and Attorney General
    140,350       143,739       143,739       3,389       -  
Municipal Affairs
    382,207       382,207       382,207       -       -  
Office of the Provincial Capital Commission
    10,082       10,082       10,082       -       -  
Office of the Provincial Secretary
    3,417       3,417       3,417       -       -  
Public Service Commission
    36,873       36,873       36,873       -       -  
Saskatchewan Research Council
    16,633       16,633       16,633       -       -  
Social Services
    753,703       753,703       764,113       10,410       10,410  
Tourism, Parks, Culture and Sport
    110,071       109,494       107,920       (2,151 )     (1,574 )
                                         
Legislative Assembly and its Officers
                                       
Chief Electoral Officer
    1,679       1,679       1,927       248       248  
Children's Advocate
    1,621       1,697       1,697       76       -  
Conflict of Interest Commissioner
    156       256       256       100       -  
Information and Privacy Commissioner
    927       977       977       50       -  
Legislative Assembly
    23,950       23,950       23,950       -       -  
Ombudsman
    2,221       2,294       2,294       73       -  
Provincial Auditor
    8,017       8,017       8,017       -       -  
                                         
Expense
  $ 10,124,086     $ 10,285,768     $ 10,539,108     $ 415,022     $ 253,340  
* Includes the appropriations for which administration has been transferred to the Ministry of Labour Relations and the Ministry of Social Services.
 


 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   21

 



GENERAL REVENUE FUND
                       
                         
Statement of Debt
                       
                         
   
(thousands of dollars)
 
         
As at March 31, 2011
   
Mid-Year
 
         
1st Quarter
   
Mid-Year
   
Change from
 
   
31-Mar-10
   
Forecast
   
Projection
   
31-Mar-10
 
                         
Government General Public Debt
  $ 4,140,482     $ 4,140,482     $ 4,140,482     $ -  
                                 
Crown Corporation General Public Debt
                               
Information Services Corporation
                               
   of Saskatchewan
  $ 13,547     $ 13,547     $ 13,547     $ -  
Municipal Financing Corporation
                               
   of Saskatchewan
    6,356       11,356       11,356       5,000  
Saskatchewan Housing Corporation
    31,649       30,294       30,140       (1,509 )
Saskatchewan Opportunities Corporation
    34,536       37,385       39,178       4,642  
Saskatchewan Power Corporation
    398,953       197,876       206,860       (192,093 )
Saskatchewan Telecommunications
                               
   Holding Corporation
    29,500       30,200       90,900       61,400  
Saskatchewan Water Corporation
    50,973       62,328       67,062       16,089  
SaskEnergy Incorporated
    253,237       347,137       385,311       132,074  
Crown Corporation General Public Debt
  $ 818,751     $ 730,123     $ 844,354     $ 25,603  
                                 
Government Business Enterprise Specific Public Debt
                         
Municipal Financing Corporation
                               
   of Saskatchewan
  $ 90,154     $ 104,767     $ 104,756     $ 14,602  
Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation
    6,000       13,000       6,000       -  
Saskatchewan Power Corporation
    2,117,440       2,622,085       2,608,324       490,884  
Saskatchewan Telecommunications
                               
   Holding Corporation
    255,616       471,372       321,036       65,420  
SaskEnergy Incorporated
    564,207       486,094       485,896       (78,311 )
Government Business Enterprise Specific Public Debt
  $ 3,033,417     $ 3,697,318     $ 3,526,012     $ 492,595  
                                 
Public Debt
  $ 7,992,650     $ 8,567,923     $ 8,510,848     $ 518,198  
                                 
Public Debt by Category
                               
Government General Gross Debt
  $ 6,427,008     $ 6,092,265     $ 6,092,265     $ (334,743 )
Government General Sinking Funds
    (2,286,526 )     (1,951,783 )     (1,951,783 )     334,743  
Government General Public Debt
  $ 4,140,482     $ 4,140,482     $ 4,140,482     $ -  
                                 
Crown Corporation Gross Debt
  $ 4,263,017     $ 4,870,816     $ 4,816,917     $ 553,900  
Crown Corporation Sinking Funds
    (410,849 )     (443,375 )     (446,551 )     (35,702 )
Crown Corporation Public Debt
  $ 3,852,168     $ 4,427,441     $ 4,370,366     $ 518,198  
                                 
Public Debt
  $ 7,992,650     $ 8,567,923     $ 8,510,848     $ 518,198  
                                 
Guaranteed Debt
  $ 17,058     $ 57,053     $ 44,248     $ 27,190  


 
22   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 
 
 
SUMMARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT
INFORMATION
 
 
INTRODUCTION
 
 
Summary financial information provides an accounting of the full nature and extent of the financial affairs and resources which the Government controls.  This information consolidates the financial transactions of the GRF, Crown corporations, agencies, boards and commissions.
 

2010-11 SUMMARY FINANCIAL SURPLUS/(DEFICIT)            
                   
  (millions of dollars)            
  Summary Financial Surplus/(Deficit) - Budget Estimate         $ (622.7 )
  Changes from Budget              
  Treasury Board Organizations              
    GRF Surplus     + 48.5          
    GFSF Transfer     + 262.7          
    Regional Health Authorities     + 209.7          
    Other net changes     + 23.8          
     
Treasury Board Organizations
            + 544.7  
  CIC Board Organizations                
    Increase in GRF dividend     - 195.0          
    CIC (non-consolidated)     + 59.4          
    SaskTel     + 48.9          
    Interagency Accounting Adjustments     - 70.6          
    Other net changes     + 15.9          
     
CIC Board Organizations
            - 141.4  
  Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations                
    Saskatchewan Crop Insurance Corporation     - 100.3          
    Other net changes     - 5.9          
     
Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations
            - 106.2  
  Total Change from Budget             + 297.1  
  Summary Financial Surplus/(Deficit) - Mid-Year Projection           $ (325.6 )

SUMMARY STATEMENT OF SURPLUS
 
The summary statement balance is currently projected to be a deficit of $325.6 million, an improvement of $297.1 million from the budgeted deficit of $622.7 million.
 

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   23

 



SUMMARY STATEMENT OF DEBT
 
GRF debt includes all debt borrowed for government purposes and most debt borrowed for Crown corporations.  Some Crown corporations and other government organizations have additional debt that they have borrowed on their own.  The Summary Statement of Debt reports the combined debt of the GRF and all organizations controlled by the Government.
 

SUMMARY STATEMENT DEBT                  
As at March 31                  
                     
           
Mid-Year
   
Change
 
           
Projection
   
from
 
 
(millions of dollars)
 
31-Mar-10
   
31-Mar-11
   
31-Mar-10
 
 
GRF Crown Corporation Public Debt
  $ 3,852.1     $ 4,370.3     $ 518.2  
 
GRF Government General Public Debt
    4,140.5       4,140.5       -  
 
GRF Public Debt
  $ 7,992.6     $ 8,510.8     $ 518.2  
 
Other Debt
    234.4       164.5       (69.9 )
 
Summary Statement Public Debt
  $ 8,227.0     $ 8,675.3     $ 448.3  
 
Guaranteed Debt
  $ 23.4     $ 31.2     $ 7.8  

 
 

 
24   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 


 
 
SUMMARY FINANCIAL STATEMENT
TABLES
 

 
 

 
 
Summary Statement of Surplus
 
Summary Statement of Debt
 
 
 
 
 

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   25

 

 

GOVERNMENT OF SASKATCHEWAN
             
                   
Summary Statement of Surplus
                 
                   
   
(millions of dollars)
 
                   
   
Estimated
   
Projection
       
      2010-11       2010-11    
Change
 
                       
Treasury Board Organizations 1
                     
                       
General Revenue Fund (GRF)
  $ 20.0     $ 68.5     $ 48.5  
Growth and Financial Security Fund
    (194.2 )     68.5       262.7  
Agricultural Credit Corporation of Saskatchewan
    1.5       1.1       (0.4 )
Boards of Education
    31.9       31.9          
Community Initiatives Fund
    (1.5 )     (1.2 )     0.3  
Enterprise Saskatchewan
    (7.9 )     (7.1 )     0.8  
Global Transportation Hub Authority
    2.2       (0.4 )     (2.6 )
Liquor and Gaming Authority
    445.6       436.3       (9.3 )
Regional Colleges
    6.3       27.2       20.9  
Regional Health Authorities
    (76.0 )     133.7       209.7  
Saskatchewan Agricultural Stabilization Fund
    (8.4 )     (7.6 )     0.8  
Saskatchewan Cancer Agency
    (10.2 )     (5.5 )     4.7  
Saskatchewan Financial Services Commission Fund
    7.9       7.7       (0.2 )
Saskatchewan Health Information Network
    18.1       15.7       (2.4 )
Saskatchewan Housing Corporation
    (5.9 )     (5.9 )     -  
Saskatchewan Institute of Applied Science and Technology
    (1.3 )     3.5       4.8  
Saskatchewan Research Council
    0.3       -       (0.3 )
Saskatchewan Student Aid Fund
    (7.7 )     (8.0 )     (0.3 )
Saskatchewan Watershed Authority
    (2.0 )     (3.1 )     (1.1 )
Other Organizations
    (8.7 )     (0.7 )     8.0  
Interagency Accounting Adjustments 2
    (145.7 )     (145.7 )     -  
Adjustment to account for pension costs on an accrual basis
    (289.2 )     (297.7 )     (8.5 )
    $ (224.9 )   $ 311.2     $ 536.1  
Dividends included in GRF surplus
    (452.6 )     (444.0 )     8.6  
Surplus (Deficit) of Treasury Board Organizations
  $ (677.5 )   $ (132.8 )   $ 544.7  
                         
CIC Board Organizations 3
                       
                         
Crown Investments Corporation (non-consolidated) 4
  $ (70.3 )   $ (10.9 )   $ 59.4  
CIC Asset Management Inc.
    5.2       4.2       (1.0 )
Information Services Corporation
    10.9       15.1       4.2  
SaskEnergy Incorporated
    58.1       54.0       (4.1 )
Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation
    25.2       22.0       (3.2 )
Saskatchewan Government Insurance
    42.7       37.4       (5.3 )
Saskatchewan Opportunities Corporation
    2.8       6.0       3.2  
Saskatchewan Power Corporation
    134.2       156.0       21.8  
Saskatchewan Telecommunications Holding Corporation
    115.2       164.1       48.9  
Saskatchewan Transporation Company
    (0.7 )     (0.3 )     0.4  
Saskatchewan Water Corporation
    0.2       0.1       (0.1 )
Interagency Accounting Adjustments 2
    (73.6 )     (144.2 )     (70.6 )
    $ 249.9     $ 303.5     $ 53.6  
Dividends included in GRF surplus
    (276.0 )     (471.0 )     (195.0 )
Retained Surplus of CIC Board Organizations
  $ (26.1 )   $ (167.5 )   $ (141.4 )
                         
Surplus (Deficit) Prior to Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations
  $ (703.6 )   $ (300.3 )   $ 403.3  


 
26   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update

 

 


GOVERNMENT OF SASKATCHEWAN
 
                   
Summary Statement of Surplus
 
                   
   
(millions of dollars)
 
                   
   
Estimated
   
Projection
       
      2010-11       2010-11    
Change
 
                       
Surplus (Deficit) Prior to Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations
  $ (703.6 )   $ (300.3 )   $ 403.3  
                         
Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations 5
                       
                         
Saskatchewan Auto Fund
  $ 0.3     $ 23.1     $ 22.8  
Saskatchewan Crop Insurance Corporation
    51.3       (49.0 )     (100.3 )
Crop Reinsurance Fund of Saskatchewan
    20.7       19.9       (0.8 )
Workers' Compensation Board (Saskatchewan)
    8.6       (19.3 )     (27.9 )
Surplus (Deficit) of Not-for-Profit Insurance Organizations
  $ 80.9     $ (25.3 )   $ (106.2 )
                         
Surplus (Deficit)
  $ (622.7 )   $ (325.6 )   $ 297.1  
1  The budgets of these organizations are subject to Treasury Board review and include any transfers from the GRF.
 
2  Interagency accounting adjustments are to ensure financial transactions between agencies are effectively eliminated.
 
3  Budgets of these organizations are subject to CIC Board review and include grants from CIC.
 
4  CIC figures exclude the dividend revenue it receives from its subsidiaries ($262.1M Budget Estimate).
 
5  These insurance organizations establish rates and fees that will allow them to be actuarially sound over the long term.
 
Year ends of organizations may be different from the Government's March 31 year end.
         

 
   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update   27

 



 
GOVERNMENT OF SASKATCHEWAN
                             
                               
Summary Statement of Debt
                             
                               
   
(thousands of dollars)
 
         
Mid-Year Projection
   
Mid-Year
 
            31-Mar-11    
Change from
 
   
31-Mar-10
   
GRF Debt
   
Other Debt
   
Debt
   
31-Mar-10
 
Treasury Board Organizations
                             
Government Public Debt
  $ 4,140.5     $ 4,140.5     $ -     $ 4,140.5     $ -  
Boards of Education
  $ 87.3     $ -     $ 76.0     $ 76.0     $ (11.3 )
Growth and Financial Security Fund
    (43.7 )     -       (45.2 )     (45.2 )     (1.5 )
Municipal Financing Corporation
                                       
   of Saskatchewan
    96.5       116.1       -       116.1       19.6  
Regional Health Authorities
    74.7       -       89.0       89.0       14.3  
Saskatchewan Housing Corporation
    41.7       30.1       8.9       39.0       (2.7 )
Other Treasury Board Organizations
    1.6       -       2.1       2.1       0.5  
Public Debt of Other
                                       
   Treasury Board Organizations
  $ 258.1     $ 146.2     $ 130.8     $ 277.0     $ 18.9  
Public Debt of Treasury Board Organizations
  $ 4,398.6     $ 4,286.7     $ 130.8     $ 4,417.5     $ 18.9  
                                         
CIC Board Organizations
                                       
Information Services Corporation
                                       
   of Saskatchewan
  $ 13.5     $ 13.5     $ -     $ 13.5     $ -  
Saskatchewan Gaming Corporation
    20.2       6.0       8.6       14.6       (5.6 )
Saskatchewan Immigrant Investor Fund
    -       -       14.1       14.1       14.1  
Saskatchewan Opportunities Corporation
    34.5       39.2       -       39.2       4.7  
Saskatchewan Power Corporation
    2,595.2       2,815.2       -       2,815.2       220.0  
Saskatchewan Telecommunications
    291.7       411.9       6.2       418.1       126.4  
Saskatchewan Water Corporation
    51.0       67.1       -       67.1       16.1  
SaskEnergy Incorporated
    822.3       871.2       4.8       876.0       53.7  
Public Debt of CIC Board Organizations
  $ 3,828.4     $ 4,224.1     $ 33.7     $ 4,257.8     $ 429.4  
                                         
Public Debt
  $ 8,227.0     $ 8,510.8     $ 164.5     $ 8,675.3     $ 448.3  
                                         
Guaranteed Debt
    23.4       44.2       (13.0 )     31.2       7.8  
 

 
28   Mid-Year Report 2010-11 | Budget Update