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Property Casualty Loss and Loss Expenses
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2012
Property Casualty Loss and Loss Expenses

NOTE 5 – PROPERTY CASUALTY LOSS AND LOSS EXPENSES

 

This table summarizes activity for our consolidated property casualty loss and loss expense reserves:

 

    Three months ended September 30,     Nine months ended September 30,  
(In millions)   2012     2011     2012     2011  
Gross loss and loss expense reserves, beginning of period   $ 4,337     $ 4,479     $ 4,280     $ 4,137  
Less reinsurance receivable     332       508       375       326  
Net loss and loss expense reserves, beginning of period     4,005       3,971       3,905       3,811  
Net incurred loss and loss expenses related to:                                
Current accident year     611       675       1,991       2,115  
Prior accident years     (86 )     (68 )     (287 )     (221 )
Total incurred     525       607       1,704       1,894  
Net paid loss and loss expenses related to:                                
Current accident year     364       360       778       878  
Prior accident years     229       205       894       814  
Total paid     593       565       1,672       1,692  
                                 
Net loss and loss expense reserves, end of period     3,937       4,013       3,937       4,013  
Plus reinsurance receivable     343       450       343       450  
Gross loss and loss expense reserves, end of period   $ 4,280     $ 4,463     $ 4,280     $ 4,463  

 

We use actuarial methods, models and judgment to estimate, as of a financial statement date, the property casualty loss and loss expense reserves required to pay for and settle all outstanding insured claims, including incurred but not reported (IBNR) claims, as of that date. The actuarial estimate is subject to review and adjustment by an inter-departmental committee that includes actuarial management that is familiar with relevant company and industry business, claims and underwriting trends, as well as general economic and legal trends, that could affect future loss and loss expense payments. The amount we will actually have to pay for claims can be highly uncertain. This uncertainty, together with the size of our reserves, makes the loss and loss expense reserves our most significant estimate. The reserve for loss and loss expenses in the condensed consolidated balance sheets also included $64 million at September 30, 2012, and $58 million at September 30, 2011, for certain life and health loss and loss expense reserves.

 

For the three months ended September 30, 2012, we experienced $86 million of favorable development on prior accident years. There was $12 million from favorable development of catastrophe losses compared with $3 million of adverse development of catastrophe losses that occurred for the three months ended September 30, 2011. Overall favorable development for commercial lines reserves illustrated the potential for revisions inherent in estimating reserves, especially for long-tailed lines such as commercial casualty and workers’ compensation. We recognized favorable reserve development on net loss and loss expenses of $25 million for the commercial casualty line and favorable development on net loss and loss expenses of $23 million for the workers’ compensation line, due to reduced uncertainty of prior accident years loss and loss adjustment expense for these lines.

 

For the nine months ended September 30, 2012, we experienced $287 million of favorable development on prior accident years. There was $39 million from favorable development of catastrophe losses compared with $2 million of adverse development that occurred for the nine months ended September 30, 2011. We recognized favorable reserve development on net loss and loss expenses of $130 million for the commercial casualty line and favorable development on net loss and loss expenses of $50 million for the workers’ compensation line, due to reduced uncertainty of prior accident years loss and loss adjustment expense for these lines.