0001144204-11-024311.txt : 20110427 0001144204-11-024311.hdr.sgml : 20110427 20110427164704 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001144204-11-024311 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 4 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20110427 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20110427 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20110427 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 11784179 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 v219608_8k.htm
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report:  April 27, 2011
(Date of earliest event reported)

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio
0-4604
31-0746871
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
(Commission
File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio
45014-5141
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (513) 870-2000

N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
 
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
 
¨
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
¨
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))
 
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On April 27, 2011, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports First-Quarter 2011 Results,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On April 27, 2011, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
 
 
 

 
 
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
 
(c) 
Exhibits
 
Exhibit 99.1
News release dated April 27, 2011, “Cincinnati Financial Reports First-Quarter 2011 Results”
   
Exhibit 99.2
Supplemental Financial Data for the period ending March 31, 2011 distributed April 27, 2011.

Signature
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
 
 
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
   
Date: April 27, 2011
/S/Steven J. Johnston
 
Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA
 
Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Secretary
and Treasurer
 
 
 

 
EX-99.1 2 v219608_ex99-1.htm Unassociated Document

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
 
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel, 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
 
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik, 513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Reports First-Quarter 2011 Results
 
Cincinnati, April 27, 2011 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
·
First-quarter 2011 net income of $62 million, or 38 cents per share, compared with $68 million, or 42 cents per share, in 2010.
·
Operating income* of $55 million, or 33 cents per share, compared with $63 million, or 39 cents per share.
·
$6 million decrease in first-quarter 2011 net income was driven by a $7 million after-tax decrease in the contribution from property casualty underwriting operations. The after-tax effect of property casualty catastrophe losses, mostly weather-related, was $17 million higher in the first quarter of 2011 compared with the same period of 2010.
·
$31.40 book value per share at March 31, 2011, up 2 percent from December 31, 2010.
·
2.9 percent value creation ratio for the first quarter of 2011, compared with 3.4 percent for the 2010 first quarter.
 
Financial Highlights
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
Revenue Highlights
                 
Earned premiums
  $ 782     $ 746       5  
Investment income, pre-tax
    131       130       1  
Total revenues
    929       887       5  
Income Statement Data
                       
Net income
  $ 62     $ 68       (9 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    7       5       40  
Operating income*
  $ 55     $ 63       (13 )
Per Share Data (diluted)
                       
Net income
  $ 0.38     $ 0.42       (10 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.05       0.03       67  
Operating income*
  $ 0.33     $ 0.39       (15 )
                         
Book value
  $ 31.40     $ 29.86       5  
Cash dividend declared
  $ 0.40     $ 0.395       1  
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
    163,669,998       163,310,451       0  
 
Insurance Operations First-Quarter Highlights
·
103.9 percent first-quarter 2011 property casualty combined ratio, up from 102.6 percent for the first quarter of 2010.
·
3 percent growth in property casualty net written premiums, which included personal lines segment growth of 12 percent.
·
$102 million first-quarter 2011 property casualty new business written by agencies, up $10 million from first-quarter 2010. $8 million of the increase was standard market business contributed by agencies appointed since the beginning of 2010.
·
4 cents per share contribution from life insurance to first-quarter operating income, down 1 cent from first-quarter 2010.
 
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
·
1 percent first-quarter 2011 growth in pre-tax investment income as higher dividends offset lower interest income that reflected continued depressed yields in the bond market.
·
2 percent sequential-quarter increase in fair value of invested assets plus cash at March 31, 2011, including equity portfolio growth of 2 percent and bond portfolio growth of 2 percent.
·
$1.126 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at March 31, 2011, up 8 percent from year-end.
 
*
The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 11 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
**
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement (see Page 8).
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
1
 
 
 

 

Strong Investment Performance
 
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “Cincinnati Financial increased our book value, invested assets, unrealized gains, and the surplus of our insurance companies during the first quarter of 2011. A higher mix of equities compared with most of our peers in the insurance industry gives our portfolio more opportunity to hold its market value when interest rates rise and reduce bond values. Unrealized gains for our investment portfolio increased over 10 percent with the equity security portion increasing over 15 percent.
 
“Another advantage of our equity portfolio is the dividend income it generates. Our pre-tax dividend income rose 8 percent for the first quarter, offsetting lower interest income from bonds and allowing us to increase total investment income by 1 percent.”
 
Mixed Property Casualty Underwriting Performance
 
Stecher noted, “Growth of our property casualty insurance business was satisfactory in the first quarter, with a 3 percent increase in net written premiums. Underwriting was unprofitable, leading to lower earnings. Losses from natural catastrophes were at the second highest level for a first quarter in at least a dozen years. These claims are opportunities to prove the value of our policies and claims service – and to grow our business over time. While catastrophes cause volatility of earnings in the property casualty insurance industry, investors, agents and policyholders can rely on Cincinnati Financial to maintain consistency in estimating loss reserves. During the first quarter, we increased property casualty net loss and loss expense reserves over 1 percent, nearly $50 million, from year-end 2010.
 
“Of the seven first-quarter 2011 storms across our operating territory, the largest was a $13 million event in late February that affected our policyholders in several Midwest states. In total, catastrophes accounted for 5.5 percentage points of our 103.9 percent first-quarter combined ratio, including approximately 1 percentage point for catastrophe losses we assumed under a reinsurance agreement for the earthquake in Japan.
 
“Earned premiums and new business written premiums rose in each of our property casualty segments as growth initiatives continued. While we are seeing signs of marketplace improvement, our commercial lines pricing continues to decline in the low single digits, and we continue to walk away from underpriced business. A modest increase in commercial lines renewal written premiums reflected improving exposure levels as many businesses we insure continued to recover. Rates continued to firm for personal lines, where our net written premiums and new business written premiums rose at double-digit rates; and pricing is starting to firm for excess and surplus lines, where net written premiums rose over 30 percent and new business rose more than 10 percent. Earned premiums for our largest life insurance product, term life insurance, also grew almost 10 percent.
 
“Along with better market conditions, we believe improved pricing precision is our most effective strategy to improve profitability. We are using predictive data to develop and refine pricing and underwriting tools that seek to determine an appropriate price for each risk, higher or lower depending on measurable risk characteristics. These tools have been implemented for our major personal lines and workers’ compensation policies, and we now are piloting modeled pricing for the coverages in our commercial insurance packages including property, general liability and business auto.”
 
Responsiveness to Our Independent Agency Customers
 
“Our agents continue to give us opportunities to quote and write their best accounts, selling the value of a Cincinnati policy even when other quotes may be less. In turn, we are responding to their needs. They need efficiency and speed to serve their clients, so we continue to improve our processing systems and streamline our workflows. They need a strong Cincinnati field staff, so we continue to add loss control associates and to split marketing territories, increasing service for policyholders and support for agents in areas with high growth potential. They need outstanding claims service, so we continue to add staff expertise through field specialists and headquarters services. They need training resources to get new producers started and to assure the continuity and succession of their business and ours, so we continue to expand our agent curriculums.
 
Stecher concluded, “This past Monday, our board announced several leadership changes that provide for succession and assure continuity for our organization. As chairman, I’ll miss the daily experiences driving our key initiatives and working directly with the people whose contributions are making us a stronger competitor. Over the past three years, we have put in place a strong foundation and a vision of our future. Our next president and CEO, Steve Johnston, is uniquely qualified to take the lead in the next phase, where we will increase growth and profitability by further advancing our new technology and analytics capabilities. At the same time, Steve and his team will rededicate themselves to enhancing our proven advantages of solid agency relationships, superior claims service and exceptional financial strength.”
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
2
 
 
 

 

Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 745     $ 708       5  
Fee revenues
    1       1       0  
Total revenues
    746       709       5  
                         
Loss and loss expenses
    530       475       12  
Underwriting expenses
    245       252       (3 )
Underwriting loss
  $ (29 )   $ (18 )     (61 )
                         
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Loss and loss expenses
    71.1 %     67.0 %     4.1  
Underwriting expenses
    32.8       35.6       (2.8 )
Combined ratio
    103.9 %     102.6 %     1.3  
                         
                   
Change %
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 708     $ 682       4  
Agency new business written premiums
    102       92       11  
Other written premiums
    (31 )     (18 )     (72 )
Net written premiums
  $ 779     $ 756       3  
                         
Loss and loss expense ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    73.3 %     69.5 %     3.8  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    5.7       3.1       2.6  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (7.7 )     (4.6 )     (3.1 )
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    (0.2 )     (1.0 )     0.8  
Total loss and loss expenses
    71.1 %     67.0 %     4.1  
                         
Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses
    106.1 %     105.1 %     1.0  
 
·
$23 million or 3 percent increase in first-quarter 2011 property casualty net written premiums. Growth largely reflected targeted growth initiatives including $18 million from personal lines and $5 million from excess and surplus lines.
·
$10 million increase to $102 million new business written by agencies in the first quarter of 2011 reflected the contribution from growth initiatives in recent years. $8 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since the beginning of 2010.
·
1,263 agency relationships in 1,569 reporting locations marketing our standard market property casualty insurance products at March 31, 2011, compared with 1,245 agency relationships in 1,544 reporting locations at year-end 2010. Forty new agencies were appointed during the first three months of 2011.
·
1.3 percentage-point higher first-quarter combined ratio, driven primarily by a $26 million pretax increase in losses from natural catastrophe events, mostly weather-related.
·
Underwriting results benefited from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $58 million for the first quarter, compared with $39 million for the same period of 2010.
·
The lower first-quarter 2011 underwriting expense ratio reflected expense management efforts and higher earned premiums, compared with the first-quarter 2010 ratio, which also included an increase to provisions for commitments and contingent liabilities.
 
The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses for the first quarters of 2011 and 2010. 

(In millions, net of reinsurance)
         
Three months ended March 31,
 
                       
Excess
       
           
Commercial
   
Personal
   
and surplus
       
Dates
 
Cause of loss
 
Region
 
lines
   
lines
   
lines
   
Total
 
2011
                               
Jan. 31 - Feb 3
 
Flood, freezing, ice, snow, wind
 
South, Midwest
  $ 5     $ 5     $ -     $ 10  
Feb. 27 - 28
 
Flood, hail, tornado, wind
 
Midwest
    5       8       -       13  
Mar. 11
 
Earthquake
 
Japan
    8       -       -       8  
All other 2011 catastrophes
            5       6       -       11  
Development on 2010 and prior catastrophes
    4       (5 )     -       (1 )
Calendar year incurred total
          $ 27     $ 14     $ -     $ 41  
                                         
2010
                                       
Jan. 7
 
Freezing, wind
 
South, Midwest
  $ 4     $ 2     $ -     $ 6  
Feb. 4
 
Ice, snow, wind
 
East, Midwest
    4       1       -       5  
Feb. 9
 
Ice, snow, wind
 
East, Midwest
    6       2       -       8  
All other 2010 catastrophes
            2       1       -       3  
Development on 2009 and prior catastrophes
    (6 )     (1 )     -       (7 )
Calendar year incurred total
          $ 10     $ 5     $ -     $ 15  
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
3
 
 
 

 

Insurance Operations Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
    
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
                    
Earned premiums
  $ 540     $ 523       3  
Fee revenues
    1       1       0  
Total revenues
    541       524       3  
                         
Loss and loss expenses
    374       353       6  
Underwriting expenses
    188    
181
      4  
Underwriting loss
  $ (21 )   $ (10 )     (110 )
                         
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Loss and loss expenses
    69.2 %     67.4 %     1.8  
Underwriting expenses
    34.8       34.7       0.1  
Combined ratio
    104.0 %     102.1 %     1.9  
                         
                   
Change %
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 542     $ 533       2  
Agency new business written premiums
    71       66       8  
Other written premiums
    (25 )     (11 )     (127 )
Net written premiums
  $ 588     $ 588       0  
                         
Loss and loss expense ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    74.5 %     71.1 %     3.4  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    4.3       3.0       1.3  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.2 )     (5.5 )     (4.7 )
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    0.6       (1.2 )     1.8  
Total loss and loss expenses
    69.2 %     67.4 %     1.8  
                         
Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses
    109.3 %     105.8 %     3.5  
 
·
No change in first-quarter commercial lines net written premiums as recorded increases in renewal and new business written premiums were offset by an adjustment for estimated premiums of policies in effect but not yet processed.
·
$9 million or 2 percent increase in renewal written premiums largely reflected the effects of improving economic conditions on insured exposure levels, partially offset by a low-single-digit average pricing decline for the first quarter of 2011 that was similar to the full-year 2010 average pricing decline.
·
$5 million increase to $71 million in first-quarter 2011 new business premiums, in line with the first-quarter average of $71 million for 2008 and 2009.
·
104.0 percent first-quarter 2011 combined ratio was 1.9 percentage points higher, driven by a 3.1 point increase in catastrophe losses that included 1.5 points from assumed reinsurance losses related to the Japan earthquake event.
·
74.5 percent ratio for current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes matched 74.5 percent for full-year 2010.
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
4
 
 
 

 
  
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 190     $ 174       9  
Fee revenues
    -       -    
nm
 
Total revenues
    190       174       9  
                         
Loss and loss expenses
    141       112       26  
Underwriting expenses
    52       67       (22 )
Underwriting loss
  $ (3 )   $ (5 )     40  
                         
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Loss and loss expenses
    74.1 %     64.4 %     9.7  
Underwriting expenses
    27.3       38.1       (10.8 )
Combined ratio
    101.4 %     102.5 %     (1.1 )
                         
                         
                   
Change %
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 156     $ 143       9  
Agency new business written premiums
    22       18       22  
Other written premiums
    (5 )     (6 )     17  
Net written premiums
  $ 173     $ 155       12  
                         
Loss and loss expense ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    67.9 %     63.7 %     4.2  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    10.0       3.3       6.7  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (1.2 )     (2.3 )     1.1  
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    (2.6 )     (0.3 )     (2.3 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    74.1 %     64.4 %     9.7  
                         
Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses
    95.2 %     101.8 %     (6.6 )
 
·
$18 million or 12 percent growth in first-quarter 2011 personal lines net written premiums, largely driven by higher renewal and new business written premiums that reflected improved pricing.
·
1.1 percentage-point improvement in first-quarter 2011 combined ratio primarily due to a 10.8 point reduction in the underwriting expense ratio that offset a 4.7 point increase in large losses and a 4.4 point rise in weather-related catastrophe losses.
·
67.9 percent ratio for current accident year losses and loss expenses before catastrophes was a 2.5 percentage-point improvement over full-year 2010, largely reflecting improved pricing.
·
10.8 percentage-point improvement in the underwriting expense ratio was primarily due to first-quarter 2010 provisions for commitments and contingent liabilities in addition to lower agency profit-sharing expenses.
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
5
 
 
 

 
  
Excess and Surplus Lines Insurance Operations
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
                   
Earned premiums
  $ 15     $ 11       36  
                         
Loss and loss expenses
    15       10       50  
Underwriting expenses
    5       4       25  
Underwriting loss
  $ (5 )   $ (3 )     (67 )
                         
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Loss and loss expenses
    102.7 %     91.4 %     11.3  
Underwriting expenses
    30.3       35.7       (5.4 )
Combined ratio
    133.0 %     127.1 %     5.9  
                         
                   
Change %
 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 10     $ 6       67  
Agency new business written premiums
    9       8       13  
Other written premiums
    (1 )     (1 )     0  
Net written premiums
  $ 18     $ 13       38  
                         
Loss and loss expense ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    98.8 %     88.0 %     10.8  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    1.7       0.0       1.7  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    1.1       3.6       (2.5 )
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    1.1       (0.2 )     1.3  
Total loss and loss expenses
    102.7 %     91.4 %     11.3  
                         
Current accident year combined ratio before catastrophe losses
    129.1 %     123.7 %     5.4  
 
·
$5 million or 38 percent growth in first-quarter 2011 excess and surplus lines net written premiums, largely driven by the initial opportunity to renew many accounts for the first time, in addition to $1 million growth in new business written.
·
5.9 percentage-point rise in first-quarter combined ratio primarily due to new large losses greater than $250,000 and reserves for estimated losses incurred but not reported (IBNR).
 
Life Insurance Operations
 
(In millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
                   
Term life insurance
  $ 25     $ 23       9  
Universal life insurance
    5       9       (44 )
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income products
    7       7       0  
Earned premiums
    37       39       (5 )
Investment income, net of expenses
    33       32       3  
Other income
    1       -    
nm
 
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
    71       71       0  
Contract holders benefits
    45       42       7  
Underwriting expenses
    16       16       0  
Total benefits and expenses
    61       58       5  
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
    10       13       (23 )
Income tax
    3       5       (40 )
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
  $ 7     $ 8       (13 )
 
·
$2 million or 5 percent decrease in first-quarter 2011 earned premiums, as lower universal life premiums offset 9 percent growth for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. Face amount of life policies in force rose 1 percent to $75.026 billion at March 31, 2011, from $74.124 billion at year-end 2010.
·
$60 million in first-quarter 2011 fixed annuity deposits received compared with $65 million in first quarter 2010 and $201 million in full-year 2010. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed products.
·
$1 million decline in first-quarter 2011 profit was primarily due to less favorable mortality experience.
·
$8 million or 1 percent first-quarter 2011 growth to $756 million in GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company.
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
6
 
 
 

 

Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
 
Investment Operations
 
(In millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
   
Change %
 
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
  $ 131     $ 130       1  
Investment interest credited to contract holders
    (20 )     (19 )     (5 )
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
                       
Realized investment gains and losses
    38       3    
nm
 
Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
    4       6       (33 )
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
    (30 )     (1 )  
nm
 
Total realized investment gains and losses
    12       8       50  
Investment operations profit
  $ 123     $ 119       3  
                         
(In millions)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
    2011       2010    
Change %
 
Investment income:
                       
Interest
  $ 106     $ 107       (1 )
Dividends
    26       24       8  
Other
    1       1       0  
Investment expenses
    (2 )     (2 )     0  
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
    131       130       1  
Income taxes
    (32 )     (32 )     0  
Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
  $ 99     $ 98       1  
                         
Effective tax rate
    24.5 %     24.5 %        
                         
Average yield pre-tax
    4.6 %     4.8 %        
Average yield after-tax
    3.4 %     3.6 %        
 
·
1 percent growth in first-quarter 2011 in both pretax and after-tax investment income. 8 percent growth in pretax dividend income more than offset a 1 percent decline in pretax interest income.
·
$129 million or 10 percent first-quarter 2011 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including $122 million for the equity portfolio. $35 million of realized gains from sales were harvested from the equity portfolio.
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
At March 31,
   
At December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
Balance sheet data
           
Invested assets
  $ 11,704     $ 11,508  
Total assets
    15,369       15,095  
Short-term debt
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       790  
Shareholders' equity
    5,118       5,032  
Book value per share
    31.40       30.91  
Debt-to-total-capital ratio
    14.1 %     14.3 %
                 
   
Three months ended March 31,
 
    2011     2010  
Performance measure
               
Value creation ratio
    2.9 %     3.4 %
 
·
$12.083 billion in consolidated cash and invested assets at March 31, 2011, up 2 percent from $11.893 billion at year-end.
·
$8.536 billion bond portfolio at March 31, 2011, with an average rating of A2/A and with a 2 percent rise in fair value during the first quarter of 2011.
·
$3.100 billion equity portfolio was 26.5 percent of invested assets, including $877 million in pre-tax net unrealized gains at March 31, 2011. 2 percent first-quarter 2011 growth in fair value.
·
$3.833 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at March 31, 2011, up $56 million from $3.777 billion at year-end 2010, after declaring $60 million in dividends to the parent company. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended March 31, 2011, of 0.8-to-1, unchanged from the 12 months ended December 31, 2010.
·
Value creation ratio of 2.9 percent for the first quarter of 2011 is the sum of 1.3 percent from shareholder dividends plus 1.6 percent from growth in book value per share.
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
7
 
 
 

 
 
For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
 
Mailing Address:
Street Address:
 
 
P.O. Box 145496
6200 South Gilmore Road
 
 
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
 
 
Safe Harbor Statement
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2010 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 24.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
·
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
·
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
·
Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
·
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
·
Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
·
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
·
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
·
Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
 
o
Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
o
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
o
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
·
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
·
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
·
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
·
Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
·
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
 
o
Downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
o
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
 
o
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
 
o
Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
·
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
 
o
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
o
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
o
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
o
Increase our provision for federal income taxes due to changes in tax law
 
o
Increase our other expenses
 
o
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
o
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
o
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
·
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
·
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
·
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
·
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
·
Difficulties with technology or data security breaches that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others
 
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
 
* * *
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
8
 
 
 

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
(In millions except per share data)
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
ASSETS
           
Investments
           
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2011—$8,033; 2010—$7,888)
  $ 8,536     $ 8,383  
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2011—$2,223; 2010—$2,286)
    3,100       3,041  
Other invested assets
    68       84  
Total investments
    11,704       11,508  
Cash and cash equivalents
    379       385  
Investment income receivable
    117       119  
Finance receivable
    76       73  
Premiums receivable
    1,062       1,015  
Reinsurance receivable
    573       572  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    16       18  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    503       488  
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2011—$368; 2010—$352)
    243       229  
Other assets
    66       67  
Separate accounts
    630       621  
Total assets
  $ 15,369     $ 15,095  
                 
LIABILITIES
               
Insurance reserves
               
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,239     $ 4,200  
Life policy reserves
    2,106       2,034  
Unearned premiums
    1,586       1,553  
Other liabilities
    555       556  
Deferred income tax
    296       260  
Note payable
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       790  
Separate accounts
    630       621  
Total liabilities
    10,251       10,063  
                 
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2011 and 2010—500 million shares; issued: 2011 and 2010—196 million shares)
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,090       1,091  
Retained earnings
    3,977       3,980  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    855       769  
Treasury stock at cost (2011—33 million shares and 2010—34 million shares)
    (1,197 )     (1,201 )
Total shareholders' equity
    5,118       5,032  
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
  $ 15,369     $ 15,095  
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
9
 
 
 

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
       
Revenues
           
Earned premiums
  $ 782     $ 746  
Investment income, net of expenses
    131       130  
Realized investment gains and losses
    12       8  
Fee revenues
    1       1  
Other revenues
    3       2  
Total revenues
    929       887  
                 
Benefits and Expenses
               
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
    575       516  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    261       268  
Other operating expenses
    4       4  
Interest expense
    13       14  
Total benefits and expenses
    853       802  
                 
Income Before Income Taxes
    76       85  
                 
Provision for Income Taxes
    14       17  
                 
Net Income
  $ 62     $ 68  
                 
Per Common Share:
               
Net income —basic
  $ 0.38     $ 0.42  
Net income —diluted
  $ 0.38     $ 0.42  
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
10
 
 
 

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
(See attached tables for 2011 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
 
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
 
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
 
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Balance Sheet Reconciliation
 
(Dollars are per share)
 
Three months ended March 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
Value creation ratio
           
End of period book value
  $ 31.40     $ 29.86  
Less beginning of period book value
    30.91       29.25  
Change in book value
    0.49       0.61  
Dividend declared to shareholders
    0.40       0.395  
Total contribution to value creation ratio
  $ 0.89     $ 1.005  
                 
Contribution to value creation ratio from change in book value*
    1.6 %     2.1 %
Contribution to value creation ratio from dividends declared to shareholders**
    1.3       1.3  
Value creation ratio
    2.9 %     3.4 %
 
*
Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
**
Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
11
 
 
 

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Net Income Reconciliation
 
(In millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended
 
   
March 31, 2011
 
Net income
  $ 62  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    7  
Operating income
    55  
Less catastrophe losses
    (27 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 82  
         
Diluted per share data:
       
Net income
  $ 0.38  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.05  
Operating income
    0.33  
Less catastrophe losses
    (0.16 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.49  

Property Casualty Reconciliation
 
   
Three months ended March 31, 2011
 
   
Consolidated
   
Commercial
   
Personal
   
E&S
 
Premiums:
                       
Written premiums
  $ 779     $ 588     $ 173     $ 18  
Unearned premiums change
    (34 )     (48 )     17       (3 )
Earned premiums
  $ 745     $ 540     $ 190     $ 15  
Statutory ratio:
                               
Statutory combined ratio
    103.3 %     102.1 %     104.4 %     130.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.5       4.9       7.4       2.8  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    97.8 %     97.2 %     97.0 %     127.6 %
                                 
Commission expense ratio
    18.4 %     18.5 %     17.9 %     22.2 %
Other expense ratio
    13.8       14.4       12.4       5.4  
Statutory expense ratio
    32.2 %     32.9 %     30.3 %     27.6 %
                                 
GAAP ratio:
                               
GAAP combined ratio
    103.9 %     104.0 %     101.4 %     133.0 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.5       4.9       7.4       2.8  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (7.7 )     (10.2 )     (1.2 )     1.1  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    106.1 %     109.3 %     95.2 %     129.1 %

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
 
CINF 1Q11 Earnings Release
12

 
 

 
GRAPHIC 3 logo.jpg GRAPHIC begin 644 logo.jpg M_]C_X``02D9)1@`!`0$!+`$L``#_X0!F17AI9@``24DJ``@````$`!H!!0`! M````/@```!L!!0`!````1@```"@!`P`!`````@```#$!`@`0````3@`````` M```L`0```0```"P!```!````4&%I;G0N3D54('8U+C`P`/_;`$,``0$!`0$! M`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$! M`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`?_;`$,!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$! M`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`0$!`?_``!$(`'T` MGP,!(@`"$0$#$0'_Q``?```!!0$!`0$!`0```````````0(#!`4&!P@)"@O_ MQ`"U$``"`0,#`@0#!04$!````7T!`@,`!!$%$B$Q008346$'(G$4,H&1H0@C M0K'!%5+1\"0S8G*""0H6%Q@9&B4F)R@I*C0U-CH.$A8:'B(F*DI.4E9:7F)F:HJ.DI::GJ*FJ MLK.TM;:WN+FZPL/$Q<;'R,G*TM/4U=;7V-G:X>+CY.7FY^CIZO'R\_3U]O?X M^?K_Q``?`0`#`0$!`0$!`0$!`````````0(#!`4&!P@)"@O_Q`"U$0`"`0($ M!`,$!P4$!``!`G<``0(#$00%(3$&$D%1!V%Q$R(R@0@40I&AL<$)(S-2\!5B M7J"@X2%AH>(B8J2DY25EI>8F9JBHZ2EIJ>HJ:JRL[2UMK>X MN;K"P\3%QL?(RKR\_3U]O?X^?K_V@`,`P$` M`A$#$0`_`/ZA_$>I:BOB'756_O55=9U0*HNIP`!?3@``28``X`'`%8W]IZE_ MT$;[_P`"[C_XY5SQ)_R,6O\`_8:U7_TNGK%H`O?VGJ7_`$$;[_P+N/\`XY1_ M:>I?]!&^_P#`NX_^.51KS'4/C9\&M)\80_#W5?BW\,=,\?7$T-M;^!]0\>^% M;+QA/<7&S[/!#X:N=5CUJ6:?S(_)B2R9Y?,38K;UR`>N?VGJ7_01OO\`P+N/ M_CE']IZE_P!!&^_\"[C_`..5Y1X@^,OP?\)W4=CXI^*WPV\-7LHNS%9^(/'7 MA?1KJ06&HWFD7QCM]1U2VF<6>K:=J&EW95#]GU&QO+*;9PC%JLI>]AEM5 M!GC>,`'LW]IZE_T$;[_P+N/_`(Y1_:>I?]!&^_\``NX_^.5P7BWX@^`O`$-E M<^._&_A#P5;ZE++!IT_BWQ+HWAN&_FMT22>&REUF]LDNI84DC>6.!I'C1T9P MH92;NH>,/"6D^&_^$RU7Q1X=TSPA]BM=2_X2K4-;TRR\-_V=?"%K+4/[JFK>(KW3M/N+RUT+2WO;FWLTU'5YX8]/LGNYX;9;FXC:>6.(.Z_F; MKO\`P5)U'P[X%_:N^(>H_`+XDR>'?V-_$OC'P?\`&&;3_'OA.[E@\0>"O!OA MGQSJ$&B(UU`+^PO]'\2QVNDZC,;2.?6;*:QNH[*&XM+R;[Y\,_&3X0^--&G\ M1>#OBK\-_%GA^VOK;3+G7?#/CGPQKVC6^I7LGE6>GSZGI>J75E%?7/"OPRTW]H#6;GX9^-O$>E_LX?!;X"?&[QS=>'O'?AB[%[H7[0.K M'0_#>B:!NNDBNM=T+5(+Z/Q##?S:=;0V]M%<6=Q=/[T;2M#U^[T/1_$.F^,;#Q=X8\8#3;F[TK6KO0-9TEH0S:!XCTS5_#6M6 M5Y:V]Q9ZMIEPJ>?:O;W,OY;^*?\`@G1\$OVE-)_:7TOP;^TUHVJZ=\?_`('_ M`+.?P*^(`^&^G>"?$*^%]*^`6LS>(/#6NZ>=*\17L-EK7BN^;5?[4CU>.YMG MM62.PC62QEGG^[OAWXR^#?PJO/'6C:C^T+\%UM(]>OKN/P1I>M>`O`^C?#N> M;6M0N_%-N^BQ^)K^\CU?7?'&O:MJGB2_U:XBGDUC4(;!;6U$$4+`'UW_`&GJ M7_01OO\`P+N/_CE']IZE_P!!&^_\"[C_`..5QND^,O"&O^'3XOT+Q7X;UKPF ML%]=-XHTG7-+U'PZMMIC3)J5P=;L[J;31!I[VUPM],;GR[1K>99VC,3A:OA+ MX@>`_'\%Y=>!/&WA'QK;:=-%;ZA<^$O$FC>)(+&>9&DA@O)M'O;V.UFEC5I( MHYV1Y$5F52H)`!WG]IZE_P!!&^_\"[C_`..4?VGJ7_01OO\`P+N/_CE8%AK& MDZK+J<&EZIIVI3:+J+:/K,-A>VUY+I.K):6>H/I>IQV\LCV&HI8:CI]\UE=" M*Y6TOK.Y,0AN8'?RZ;]HG]GZVFFM[CXZ?!VWN+>62&>";XF^"HIH9HG,6$"75]:>$O%WA_Q'$9!<@X(!''49K@Z[#P#_P`C9I/_`&__`/IMO*`, MGQ)_R,6O_P#8:U7_`-+IZQ:VO$G_`",6O_\`8:U7_P!+IZQ:`/R'_P""XO[5 MGQ&_9"_X)Z_$SX@_"34KW0/B)XOU_P`*_"KP[XLT]7%]X//C2YNO[7\16%PJ M.MEJEMH&F:K:Z/?ML:QU>]L;NW=;J&"NU_X)E_LS_"'1/^":G[._@C7/`WA7 MQCIWQJ^"?A'XE_&(^)]#L==?XF^+_BWX>LO&7BS5_&LNKQ7MQXEO;BZUHV$5 MWJ\MU/!IVGZ=:6[06]E:PP_2G[;G[(_@/]N3]FCXD_LV?$.\N]'TGQS86DND M^)=.@BN=1\)^*]$OH-7\,^)K.UG>.*[;2]5M8&N[!Y8%U'39+W3_`+3;?:OM M$7R/^QIX6_;[_9/_`&??`O[+GC3X(?"_XTR?!O1;7X?_``T^-/A?XWP^#O"W MB3P)HLD%EX3E\>>%_$?A#4/&/A;4]"T)XM.NXO#>G>,X;Z+1T^SBVDGC:4`_ M&+_@OM^RMX!_9(_X)0_L^_!GP,TVJ>'?!/[:7B;4/!FHZS&+K7=#\-_%&/\` M:)^)/_"*_P!K7$ES?W=OHPUVQT22]FN!-K*:'8ZC?1BZ.V/[@_X*<_\`!/SP MW^W-\)_V$/@_X7ET3X>?$NW^'GC:?X8>-;32;&T&F:AX4^"VD>)=#\(ZG>6E MG]OM/!6J:MIMI'>V^FO&VESBWU>SADFLS;7/:_\`!7K]@W]M+]OC]E/X2_`/ MPC<_!_7/'FB?%NV^,/CKQSK/B/4?A_X-TQ[?1/B#H5CX"\'>'[?PYXKUW5++ M1[3QA8VL'B/7+VUO-2M]);4+RWCO-2DL=/\`N"7P/^TS<>/?V(]>'PC\$0Z- M\$]`\4Z9\6FD^+L;7UE=^(_A_!X!@?P5!'X+:+Q/;V,L$FM7+:K-X7EFLI8+ M6",7@F2,`_`WX(?\%#_$/QM_96^('_!/G]N?2(]%_;2_9P^+?[..@Q0>/;:T MGU#XK>'/"_[2GPBT^?54;41+'J7CSP_ICLVN7%F9CXJ\+SP>,]/FOK:;7Y;3 MVGQ?\4M5_;)_X.'_``]^R[\3Y)M6_9Z_8Z\':GXT\)?"34$:;P5XC^*&G?#; M2/$%KX[\3:#)*=.UG6-&UOQQ9W7AZ\OK:X73(?"^FPVD$(O-3:Z^ZO\`@IG_ M`,$G=`_:Y^+/[/?[5/PG@T7PU^T1\%?BO\*M6\437+1:;I_Q5^%_AKQQHFJ: MGI6N7BIM3Q3X2TZWN[_PIJLX9KNR2Z\,WS/#+HL^CR?M._\`!.SXKZ+^W]\. M?^"G'['5SX)U+XO:/HK^#?C7\$/B)K.H>$?#'QA\)W'AN[\'RZCHOC;3-,UL M^'/%]KX?ETV&WBU71KG1)[_PYH.J3RI):WUIJH!]T_'C]BKX/?'/XK?`'XZ7 MVBZ=X=^+W[/GQ+\/^./#?CG2=,MXM8UW0-.%Y;ZMX`\2SP-;2ZOX-;F MQ2+3K2-;*XU7QY\,+C4Y[0+"!;2ZC/8N9&)_H1\-^)OVL_ M'^O>'Y-:^%_A#]G_`,%:1<0:KXKBU/QWI'Q3^(7C)[,),/!WANU\/Z;;>#?" M>B:I'?BS/J'C#PJE[XB\*:QI%SJL%]X&TO2+TS6W MA@PZC%8ZI_H5S>K]F?4(H6DD`/R0^(WPO^.__!*#XU^(/^"IO[+.F3>(_P!G M#Q;^TO\`M(_##]IOX%:-:Q:7X<\.^%/#W[27Q(\':!;6FFZ7;16&D^%9=*T? M3%\(:U]F(\$>-X8+.8RZ!XA72Y/UUT?XE?LZ_MC>'_\`@J+\;?AE9^$?'?PX M^+'_``3[^!7B%Y;S1-(N+PZO:^"_VL'N=+\663Q3O:^+O"VK:'IUEJ5M>/)> M:9JN@V+03,MC87`_23]F?X/^/!\&OBW\)?VFOA;X"BT3Q[\5/V@?$D_A[3O% MJ?$;PWXJ\!_'+XI^//B`="U^"]\,^'?LUYIVE^+DT'6+4VUY9WDT+W=E=B-Q M%#^;'[+?_!*;X@_L+>%/^"G?PP^!\&B^._A]^U-X9\/Z7^SS:^)O%P\/WGAN M#5O"/Q:\.ZSX<\;ZH^EZS=K!X$N_&&E"VUFWTV^G\2Z.8)EBCU5=0A@`/S+_ M`&=_B#\4O^"`?[3_`(3^#_QAUG7O&W_!-O\`:X72_%/@/QY?J]U_PJSQ3K.G M:6=0O[Z*WB%K;:SX;^TV6F_$'3[&"WA\4^%4TGQMI5I'J-A=:%#_`$*?LE^- M?AE\'/V2/C?\5M#M-#3P%HG[1O[=7CFV/@VWL#:>)K.+]JGXS'0(M".EK]GU M:YUVTAT?1?#8MC,+M)=(T^Q)MUM8E[CXN?LB>%_VT?V,K;]F_P#:J\":7H-_ MJ?@W1M-O$\-Z_!XLF\`>.O#VF)8Z1XU\"^*IM(T:2:\TV\C-[92W.D:>;[3K MBYT;6+%K*]OK67X5_9G_`&"_VB?@=^QS^R;^Q!XQ\)?#_P")/PM^'/QQ^)GB MK]H+5#X^?1CXU^'UE\9OB3\0?A1IVA:`_A^_&IV^MZMJGP_\;^+-)U/6-':T MLM$N_";F_EO;EX@#Y#_X)F?&#XZ_LN?\%8_VP?V*/VK_`!##J?B']K$VO[5' M@/55-Q#HEUX_U708M?UO1_"T5Q,R+I[^#VU+PC(0SK'/\&;+3;1(0C0CQ;_@ MX&_95^$?[)W_``2V^!?P^^&7A?0+&ZB_:T\,WWBGQC:^']+TOQ+XZ\1ZW\-_ MC?K&O>(_$M_:1->7U[J>IW#RK%=7MTEE:Q6>GVS+:6-M'']J?\%'?^"5/Q=\ M?_M"?LE_M%?\$]O`GPB^%OQ._9W\0R^(=?\`$OB7QG?^#]+\7V5MK.E:QH/A MFXTS2/#/B/4+I-.FL]=MKJYDGLK:?2?%VJ6+0W993;^I_P#!9_\`8H_:R_X* M,?LS_!WX)?"7PA\,/#&O:+\0_#?Q<\=:KXU^)UW:Z3HVK:9X,\:^%[GP=H/] ME^"M3N]?5;KQ:UV-?N;?1H'M;.)4L6FN94M0#W;XH?LD_!"Q^`/Q1_:-T;P' MX2T/QMKG_!.7XI_";QTNE^%]'M+?X@:1JO@3PUXQT/4_%1@@BCU+5O"=[X3O MK;3+VZMKB\FM/$4\,]X(=,TZ&/XM_P"#8&UM8O\`@F[JMS%;01W-U^T5\3?M M-Q'#&D]QY6A>!(XO/E51)+Y48"1^8S;$`5<*`*_6KQ]X1^-/B+]BOQ/\+-(^ M'_AP?%[Q%\$=9^$T7AO4/B!#!X5LM4U;P/>>#AK=QXQ@\.W,TND6\TRZAY)](U&S\2V'AZS&FSVFH>'/#VH:??6,FC322.8[JUGBFB,L6MKQ)_P`C%K__`&&M5_\`2Z>L6@#\T/\`@JGXM\<>"_@!\,-5^'_C M#QMX)U>[_:S_`&6]!UC5?`?BKQ'X2U6X\$:]\7/#^E^/--U#4?#.HZ;>OX=O M/"EQJBZ]%<3FQBTY9KRX\H6RW$7RE'X@_:=^#OQ>DU.7QW\5?CA^RC^TA^UM MK/A6"_M?''BG5O&O[(?Q$\(?M%ZKX=TC3(M8MM<76-7_`&<_B7\/?#EKI=SX M5U6_N=&\/^)+RWA%D-(\3?9]1_=IE5AAE5@.0&`(SZ\@T!$`VA5`R#@*,9!! M!QC&00"#UR`>U`'\S/CWXK?M<:7^S9\=O"OB#Q;XY\9>*OAU\-/V=_B?X,_: MP_9T^,GQ8?2?B?\`"?5_V@-(M/$6M>-?`MMJ4.O?"'XPP>`[#Q/<^/=%\/WC MZ)K/AF/63!9V>E>&=.M;/[+_`&]?B/K=IX5\$>-O@7\3?&NIVNM_M8?L9>$+ M.3P)\>/'GA_P[XHT"Z\1:A!\0/"@UWP[XDN=.L=%UKPOJFG_`/"=WUM:7$`B MFM-=\0+<7^FPW-O^S2Q1H&"1HH?';Q[ M/X3\9Q0Q_$'X):5\$_'Z^+S\!O$NK^)/$&GZEXPTNUOG\$?"H^.K^[O-0\8> M!/&.I>(K&RNK:R-O#Z?\3OC-\./$_\`PCW[.WA/QQ\5 M_P!BR3Q9KEG8_%KX=>,]6\2VGQ'TC0O#+ZC"O@W]H'X7WFB2MX(\6Z3IUEJN MKZEI-WX3OY[^UU2RM3^V_EIDG8F3D$[1D@]03C)SWSU[TJHB\JBJ<8^50.,Y MQP.F><>M`'XL?!7XB>*/%7QP^*O@C]H7XH_$_P"%_P`*I?V1/V7-3_9EGU#X MF>,O!>K^(/\`A.O`VJ7OQD\;VGBAM;35O'GQBT7QW-I&B7RZUJGB/7M`ABTF MTM=+^R>(;R?7,SX'>+O%,W[7G[5VC>./B[\0KCX1^"_VHO@[X=^'FH:O\>OB MVFNQ>(]3^%GP#NM`\`>%/AN=7D\+^(_`WCKQ_K7Q#L?B)IEW;7%AHMX]_:-H MFGP:;<:AX?\`VY:*)RA>.-C&0T99%8QL.C(2#M([%<$5W_P\^&NK_$?5+S3M M%;3[5K"T^VW-Y?F1((PTJQ11_P"CPSSM+,S,4VQ%0(W+NIVA@#\<;KQWXKUC M]N?]JWX8_M!?$;Q=\*?A%8?`_P"$+_LP#1?&^M?#72]?@\1V?BB/XP>-/#FN MZ-J&CGQ/\3-`\6KHFC#3IVUN]\,Z7'HC:?IT%OXCO#JOQU\0_BK^U?H_P3_; M_P!:_P"$Z^*-E^UG\,OVG/!_@_\`8T\!0:EKT/\`PEOPIMY_A=;_``;GL/AL M!:Z+\0=.^,-EJ7C6\^*6KZSHNKRC4#XEAU;4=%7P-9)X>_I8^(_PQUCXN2Z;?&_MY+NRNK%I98E:&013)_I4$$TZ-BPCV,LJ[78AU7SLQQEUD*( M9%!"N54NH/4*Q&X`]P",T`?@'X^\??M4_#GQ!^U_H&E>-OB7KO@+X^?`7]H3 MXF>"?'-CXXU_Q+#^RW\7O@#X@\9>&OB!X`\(:Y?ZE>W?A"S\9>'+_P"'=W\. M=+TN?3SIWBFYNM1T+3(T@F!\:^!DO[5_QS\2>`/"?A+]I[XC?#W6H?\`@G+_ M`,$Y?C/XI\>^._B_\3M6T_PUX^3Q5XJUSX_:U<^`]1O=4\,>+_&'C+PGH>FZ M%X[TKQ5/H]K:0:I8ZIJ[&2Z_TC^F+8F"-JX.21M&"3U)&,'/?/6D$<8SA$&1 M@X51D>AP.GMTH`_$;1OVC_BMJ?Q=_;*^$WQ8\4^-O"WP^_:"_9DO/VG?V4?% MVF:VGA'5/AQI&B^%+SX>^)?"/AOQ7X9UF>^T+7!::-X#^+&C"6ZTNZ&O:SXZ MG6QN-MV9?FCXY>/OVS/A%\&?VJ/@?\4?'GQL8/^&A?`4MMXE\*>-Y+=)M1UVUU_3=2 MCFOM.\62+=_TH>7&>J)P-H^5>%].G3VZ4I1&P"BD`8`*@X&0<#(X&54XZ94> M@H`_`?PCX]\>:A^V[^U%X>\2_%SXCQ_L]^$?`W[#FI1:C)^T/\7=*N_!]UKO MP7^,FO:Q./#US)J#ZQ9ZUY%_H^L/KUTC M_07[#OQ$^.NH_M`:AX%^*^MP_%[PM>?"#Q]\2?AC^T-X"^)'C"^\)>,?"6M_ M%7PI#IGA?XT?!?Q%/=Z=\+_C;X8M[K^RO#T^B2VVGZCX?TGQKI%E:JN@W4-G M^NOE1`@B.,$8P=BY&.F#CMVH2../<4C1"QRQ157<1P"V`,D#C)S0`^NP\`_\ MC9I/_;__`.FV\KCZ[#P#_P`C9I/_`&__`/IMO*`,GQ)_R,6O_P#8:U7_`-+I MZQ:VO$G_`",6O_\`8:U7_P!+IZQ:`"BBB@`HHHH`***[/X>^%Y/&/C'0?#ZH MS07E]$U^R@YBTVW/GW\F5^Z1;1R*A.!YC("1G(`.A\7?#6X\,>!_!/B]FO6; MQ*EP=1@GBB2'3I'47&E)&R'S&^WV0FN%$@RHB()4_+7T3^RIH]DFB>(]?`E_ MM";4UTAR9/W/V.WMK6\C`BQQ)YUQ(6?< MUL%O-&AC55$=YI*B>TMX1PJ">.)K`'@+%<-TZUG_``8\%6O@SP9:+;7T][_P MD$=CXAF,\<:_TNRWV\?ED[XH]@VNWS'/(H`\A_:NTVV;2O"FKD/]LBU" M\TU3O_=_9I[;[4X*8Y?S;>/:^1A=PP<@CXGK]'_C_P"$[?Q)X#O;^:\FM7\+ M1W6N01Q1HZWF?LT_$&ZAU)]12RTN:VM&FT^ M'[797O\`:=T-VVS\R"["V>["_P"D3YB&[D<&@#YXHKM_&?P[\5>`6TY?$]E# M9G51=FR\F]M;SS!9&V%QN^RRR^7L-W!C?MW[CMSM;'$4`%%%%`!78>`?^1LT MG_M__P#3;>5Q]=AX!_Y&S2?^W_\`]-MY0!D^)/\`D8M?_P"PUJO_`*73UBUW MNH^$]>U;7=>NK>Q:&P_MG5RVIW[QZ?IJK'>W#.1>7;10RLJ@GRH&EG;HD3-@ M5]>?`GP/X7?P3XAL[J'3-78\:R/`EW*`?"L>EWTNFW.KQP%]/M+JWL[F=64B&>Z262W5TW;P)5AE M"N%*;D*E@Q4&A7Z51_L__"F.)HCX#GKFLWX MI?#GPPGPPN=&TC1],LI-(^R?\(^\K31O!?W-[!;!#?%VGEFOS<-;L]]-)!+/ M+%)=N!&)8P#\YZ*FN+>>TGFM;J&2WN;>1X9X)D:.6*6-BKHZ,`RLK`@@BH:` M"OH;]FW2]2D^(5CJR:?>OI<%GJ]M-J*VTS6,5PUCE8)+H(8$F821E8V<.0ZX M'S#/@%K;O=W,%M'PT\T4(8@D*99%C#,`"=JE@3BOU7\#>"-'\!:(NBZ,DJQ2 M3?;+MY9Y)S-?26\$$\R&4DQQO]G4K$/E3MR30!U=T"UM`!R36+X1AEM_"GAB">*2&>#P]HL,T,J-'+%+'IMLDD4D;@,DD;J5=&` M96!4@$$5T-<#X@^*WPN\)>(=,\)>*OB3X!\,^*]:^Q_V-X9\0>,?#NC>(=6_ MM&[:PT_^S-%U+4;;4K_[=?(]E9_9;:7[5=HUO!OF4H`"Q\2--OM8\!^*]+TR MV>[U"^T6[MK2VC*!YYY$PD:EV1`S'@;F4>]?%7PF^"=K\0+;7I=8U:_T:YT+ M5AI<]G;VUO,YD6,M.KR2R$1R1R*T>`CKE2>:_0NOG3X`?\?/Q3_['W4/_1EQ M0!W_`()^$W@_P/9PP6=A#JE[;WKZA#K.KV>G7&K0W#1I&!;W<5G!)!%$$)A1 M#NC,DAWL7->F444`?&?[6G^M\!?]<_$W_H6@5\=U]B?M:?ZWP%_US\3?^A:! M7QW0`5K0Z!KMS%'/;Z+JT\$JAXIH=-O)8I$/1HY$A9'4]F4D'UJE:V5Y?2"& MRM+F\F;[L5K!+<2-TZ1Q(['J.@[CUK]2/A9:W-E\.O!]I>6\]I=0:):1SVUS M$\$\+@-E)89562-QD95U!'<4`?G7J/P[U_2?!5KXWU-%LK*]UE-&MK"XCGBU M%I#%J$CW$L,L:>3"IT]U0,2THD21?E!JEX!_Y&S2?^W_`/\`3;>5]\_'/P7K MWCOPA8:-X=@@N+V'Q%97\JW%S%:QI:PV&J6\DADE(#%9+J$;$#.0254[37SU MX4_9Y^(6DZYI^I7JZ&D$`N3*J:FTDJ^=9W$"`*MKL8B25=V)"`,D$XQ0!7\2 MZ79G4]5NM<\076HR?:-4D6TL(KB>1$AM1YEL]]J9MXK5A)I\Z[K>VOXE+QN% M?+JOTC\&H].L_"FN2:=;3V]N/%WB:219[D75Q/);31VS3NXC@B1Y8K:/]U%% M'$A&!N.YV^>/%&DZI+>ZQ+#I]W-$)O$!,D,$DR`-#J[*=\:LN&4AE.<$$$9R M,_0OPAC>/P9KRR(\;?\`"4^+SM=2K8-[(0<,`<$<@]".E`'B6F_&?QG)XDNK MRYOE?3$\2VMD=)6WMA;II;7NLP26\;B(2^>;>VAQ7-QI,L22RK"A2UU:QO)BTCG:"L$$A`_B8!1R17PGI.F:E M<7-[/!I]]-"_B>$I-%:3R1.(M2\0+(5D2-D81L=KE3\C<-@\5^CR?=7_`'1_ M(4`?GQXK^'&J6<&F:3XJ2TTWQ`=,MET;5()X;B&Z@M1X=T=-.UIH1DQK?WUU M]GU,F2XMHE2&9)[(0"S\&U'3;[2;N2QU"WDMKF+:6C?!#(ZAXYHI%+1S03(1 M)#/$SQ31LKQNR$$_HE\3/"%YXN\3:!:Z?,L%W;Z3<7&^[AF&G&WMO$&@7DZO M>0+/)'>%;;%M;&U9)U,KM<0^3MDY'1_@3J$^IVT7C3_A'=>\-PM>2"WBNM7C MU6UDEMH$MELKN*UL)%M?M$3O/92W9M!YC7$4'VDLQ`/)?V68TD\=ZV'1'`\) M79`=0P!_MG1.0"#@\GDQFF^W:C=;[ M5YH+AXMEY=W$:YFMX7WJ@?Y,!@I8'4\<>)5\%^"O&'C%[-]03PGX6\0>)6L( MY5ADOET+2;O5<F<%(GN1:F%97!6-G#L"`10!\1_#;_`(*)_"#XF_\`!1'] MH7_@G/HHL!\3_P!GSX,_#GXO:QK$7B>RO#KB^-;QX=>\,6_AV*Q2ZL-1\!6> MI^!M1UVYEU*Z5X?'FB1BUMG2;/\`F$_\'$/[3?BGXJ?\%K?VD/&&H^'/^$9O M?V?OB%X9^$GANPAU?4)SJ&F_!>6WBT?Q$)IH+:729_$SK_;3VUA&T%G)>^;; M7%RS&YEX_P#X)Q_\%'?CQIW_``6\^&W[9[:H+CXB_M-_M'ZMX1\>VMV#?:;+ MH7[2^OR>!KC2FMY9(OM.E^"#XET35/#UBTL<<ZW=PP6\LMGHVF10V M&GP>3;0HMO;1J@VECEV9B`?[J/P\\3R^-_`'@;QG/:1Z?-XN\'^&?$\UA%*T M\5E+K^BV6JR6D<[I&\T=L]V84E:.-I%0.R*25">$O`^C^#'UV329+Z1O$.K3 M:S??;9HI@EU,79UM_*MX/+A!=MJ.9&'&7..?S$_X(8_M*_$']J[_`()/_L@_ M'KXP:WI.K>/_`!'X,\8Z/XGU33-)LO#NF"/X?_%#QU\/]#B73K*."QM39^%_ M"^B6]S-$H%U<12WDSM//*Q^7O^"O?_!PI^RY_P`$P=$OO!OA:;PU^T%^U1!_ MPA6M6GP`@\0>*/"MG<^!?%.HZO87OB>;XG:1X"\;>#[*[T/VM?AU\#?&O[&GP\A\)_M%?M%_!KX6 M>`+K1OBYK-EJWP@\,_$+Q!X4\!ZN^M7$WP\NHOBAJ=OK6IZEXHL[I8?`,2VL MUOX=>V?[,VLS_P!]5`'R]^T3X(\3^-M1\#6?AK2I]0>%/$/VJ<%(K2S69]#$ M;7=U,R0P!_+D**S[Y!&_EHY1@)/`?P=\"^#]#6[\>V^@:SKXO&AGD,]SJ=G; MF=2;73TT]AY4UV$65FQ8O(Y!:,LL8>OHZ^TVUU$VQNOM)%K.MQ$D-[>6L;2H M04-Q':SPI=(I4$17(EB!R=F34MK8V5BKI96=K9I+(TLB6MO%;K)*YR\CK$B! MY&/+.P+,>230!@Z?-IUA,FFZ)X:NK:V6V%PEQ9Z5:Z7IBK)#YT<0>=[-C-+A M(V2.W!4TZ^AT^;S`7GFLOMX,.QPR1Q&YM524N8W65VE10C(87WADHO MINK2&S;_`(2*[A,$3I=);V&E"*^D8N5F=;BTNI8#&&4*EO.B-L!<,2V=RB@# MS?Q1HWB>UT^6\\*V^B:]KK7D16W\06%A;VQM'+B<&YLEL)M\,940EI68X^?> M2:UO!/\`PD[:1,OB[1M%T74?MDH2UT2X>YLI;5H8-L[>9),4E>4S(T?FN-B( M<#//944`]D2V$,-W&3> MRBZ5);<2,+ABZNQ_E_\`V^O^#IO]F[]A+]N?P[^S=?\`PCU[XW?`BU^''_"3 M?$'X[?!OQEX.\4:NOBS5VU6+0M$^&_AF76-.\+>*=(T2_P!&ET+QI?ZQX[\. MWUKJ]UJ$6G6$@\,!/$VW_P`%R_&OB#3OB+XC\('P-XP\?^'G^#7PB\4VNC^, M?BA=/&WQA;Q28_!%GJ?B9+WQ3K]EX7\-:;)?ZA\+;R'['IM\@UZR$ MD=OJ?\/^"J7[)WP,^)WBSPGX:@^(GP&^$/A^XU/P5I-SX=T[ MPWH#^+/BO,-!TD^(-4\0)K.O[[.ZTK0=2DLM#LM9O[W2+3_A&=*/F"4`_H-\ M8?\`!Z)^SAX,^%^IGX4?`;]H?XU?%V]^+?B?5+"S^,VF_"[X1^"=&^$6N?$' M7]7T?0HO$'P\\7_$+5[[7_"/@&?0_#.DI=^$R+_48I-0UK7[W[$S:O\`V=_` M#XS^%OVB_@?\)/CSX)2:'PG\8/AYX2^(N@VEW>:1?W^G:?XMT2SUJ'2M4N=` MU'5]'.KZ3]L.FZO%I^IWMO;:E:W5LMPYB8U_D)_\%8?^"<7PZ_8ST'X2?%#X M0ZIKC>"OB/\`$+XT?"[4O#GB/4EU:]T;7OA7<^%K[3]5L=2:"WN+BRU_1?%O MV>XM9T=K"]T!IUN)4U98+3^I?_@CI_P6A^%NA2>`O@W\`F\3>+M"\&?`/QO\ M0/VD_A+XHTE_#*7^N>&?B+X7'AO5)7\:Z>`?W9U_,_P#\'&W_``6ITW_@F=\%++X'?"Z'3]9_ M:N^/?A*?5?".E>)O#/\`PDG@/2?A9/KK>$/&>J>*S8^+O#>M:7J>JV,FNV_@ MB>VMM1L[G5=%U#[8J1V;1R_T(?!_XS?#3X]>!M*^(WPH\5Z?XM\*ZM'$4N[, MR0WFG7;VUO>2:3KNE720ZEH6M6MO=VTEWI&JVMI?P1SP2O!Y,\,DG^0)_P`' M!WQB^*GQ4_X*V?MFZ+\2/B#XM\<:1\(_C1XW^&OPPTWQ/K=]J]GX"^'^G:Y= M:G8>#?"L%Y-+'HOAVSU'5-1O;?2K)8K2*YO;F58P\SD@'Y,?"GXD>)/@W\4/ MAQ\7O!IL!XN^%GCSPC\1O"QU2U-]I@\1>"=?T_Q+HIU&R$L!O+$:EIEM]KM1 M-"9X/,B$L9?>.!HHH`_IT\)?M%_%OQM_P:T_$[X>ZQXJD@\._L^_\%'?AE\. MOAG#HEO;Z#J.E>#_`!GX)\6?$W7M+U+4])6TOM;2^\8>+->OA/JLUS*D$\5@ MC_8[.VAB_F.DDDE=I)7>61R6>21F=W8]69V)9B>Y))-?9'A/]LWQ9X2_83^+ MW["%MX/\/7?@SXO_`!_^&W[0.J>.+B[U)?$VD:Y\-?"^O>%[#0=/LHY!I4NE MZG;:[+O\` M<3K_``O?V#_'GA3X6?MP?LWR:/X6\ M)_%?PGKWB#5&LM-MKS4;Q=/TFPN[LVMA:75[<"+RK6WGG>.)O[!_AW_`,$J[K4/@IX2?4?&OA[XA_M#?M,^`OAW\.K3Q-K-IIFAZ[H, M'PNM?C7K:G0=/L-"76;J_OO&O@W3M;UNZUG0K#P]I:7RVW]H@']??_!2#]H3 MQU^R=^P9^UI^TK\,K;0+SX@_!'X&^//B-X/M?%5A=:GX*OA#IOBWX6:C?^$=!^)NA3:SH?C'Q1JOQ(UC3 MU^'T]K,VI>)K*\@@L[B/2[:2^NDLH;B*;\;_`-I?]NS]L#]I7P_J#?M)?\%( M?BM\;X?$EIKG]I?"G2?$OQ=U+PU9:MIKS0Z5I?B'PQJFE?#GX1P:!K+EY(-0 M\%7'C"&QMI5GDT>25VA7\W]*ETR#4].FUJRO-1T>&^M)=5T_3M0ATG4+[3HY MXVO;.QU6XT[6(--N[FV$L-M?S:3J<5G,Z7$FGWB1FWD`/]O_`%3_`(*;?\$Y M=%DBBU7]O#]D"RDG0R1)+^T7\).=?L=$M[FTLKC6+K1_#FMZCJ$.E MV]YJ%A:3Z@]N+2&YO;."259;F%7_`,1Z?QU\!8Y_&ITWX!ZTUKK-CI]OX)CU M[XR:MJ5SX*O(%U)-2U"]N=%\(^&(?%CZ@+G3I(+:XL])M[";3"=MW#?36Z?U M5?\`!H;X[^&^K?\`!3;Q@WA?X2Z5\-+[PK^P+\:&\8:[I/B[QGXF/C5X?BM^ MS,1JEUI?BG4]4M]#N;>6QU2\-OH+6UG.=5-O]E1+*VR`?Z9M%?S5?%#]L;XT M1Z=\&/BU\1KKQ=XGC_:T^`'BC]I#X"_"OX6?M6:_^S?K7ACPH/B)\#-"^'7P M0^%O@/PK\*-:;X__`+0OC+PG\:/!FOV$OQ'\>7FC^)_&\/BCPA8>&_!'@VXA M<_LA^RY\5/&>K>,_VB?V=_B;XE'CGQ[^S/XV\(Z3%\0I-.T[2-3\?_#;XG^! M],\??#GQ%XITO0].TKP[8>-;&&ZU[P;XJ'A[3].T?6-0\)#Q78:/H%KXCAT+ M3@#ZP;7M#1F1]9TE'5BK*VHV:LK*<,K*9@0P((((!!&#S3?^$@T'_H-Z1_X, MK+_X]7Y0>)/^1BU__L-:K_Z73UBT`?D=_P`%W_VG/%7@']JS3/#VA_LR?'+X ML^%(/@E\+)H?B/\`#+PAXC\9>%KGQ!IOC?XJZG>^$"GA_P`+ZQ')J*V/B?3; MB>3^TE^R0QSI):3W$]I!)_*[^V9\<-3^/G_!27]A?]HS0OV?_P!H3P)X8^$? M@;X"Z#\6H?%/P@\8Z3J.F:YX5^,_Q%\:>(IH1-I-O/J>FV_A#Q3H=M;ZC>V^ MF37:V\L'V.*"&%Y?]!.B@#_.)_X*-_M5_$#]M?X%_!/X5>'?V5_VDO#GB+X8 M?%OXM_$;7_$/B;P%JUS8Z]%\1M&\&:;;PV2:7I\]RE[;W7AF\NKU[B..%TO( M!"S,)`OQ/^Q]XN_:A_8\\;^-/B;X(^`?Q4U+QAJ_P\O?!>@6>K_"SQ?>^%Y9 M-8\3^%KS5?\`A*+6/3K#59M/30-+U:33O[$U/3KZ+Q(FAS7,T^D1ZG87G^J= M10!_F/?M#_MI?\%+?V@K_P`/:G'\/?B]\$;[0]"\-Z!>7'[/_ACX\?#5O%EM MX4\+:/X0T6[\7I9:_>1:[J-IHVB64,5[<(LT(#P6YALQ%:Q?GMXA^$'[37B[ M6]4\3>*_A?\`';Q/XDUN[EU#6?$'B'P3\0-:UO5[^7JB@#_`!_/^&?OCU_T1+XN_P#AMO&7_P`I:/\`AG[X]?\` M1$OB[_X;;QE_\I:_V`Z*`/\`'\_X9^^/7_1$OB[_`.&V\9?_`"EH_P"&?OCU M_P!$2^+O_AMO&7_REK_8#HH`_P`@.V^`_P"T%97-O>6?P:^,EI>6D\5S:W5M M\._&T%S;7,$BRP7%O/%HZ2PSPRHDD4L;+)'(JNC*R@B;4O@A^T7K%_=ZKJ_P MA^-6JZG?SR75_J.I>`/'-]?WMU,Q:6YN[RYTF6XN9Y6):2::1Y'8DLQ/-?Z^ MU%`'^/Y_PS]\>O\`HB7Q=_\`#;>,O_E+1_PS]\>O^B)?%W_PVWC+_P"4M?[` M=%`'^/Y_PS]\>O\`HB7Q=_\`#;>,O_E+7]6/_!GO\,_'_@3_`(*A_%35?B'X M`\8^#-`O/V)OBQI`U/QEX5UOPYI%S>W?Q=_9_FCTU;[6[&RLY;NYM;6[E2S6 M5II8+>XD6-HX9"O]J5%`'&^+OV"M?MH['X?2Z?X`^/\`\'_A]\(/&OP3_9_M M-<_:(NO@5XA^'7P]\6>//AU\1_#WAOQ)-H/P0^(^MMXF^$7BOX5?#B]^%OQV M\$>-=.\7:':?#_PHDGP]D\16NO>*O%GZ"?LJ?!N\^#FE>.O$OQ,^)VB_$[X[ M?&CQ/IOC#XJ^,[)[&STZ6;P]X5T;P3X-\(^'+9$M)Y/#_@KP=X>T[3UU.XLM G.N/$WB";Q+XTN-&T";Q++H6F_%M=AX!_Y&S2?^W_`/\`3;>4`?_9 ` end EX-99.2 4 v219608_ex99-2.htm Unassociated Document
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
for the period ending March 31, 2011

6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
www.cinfin.com

Investor Contact:
 
Media Contact:
 
Shareholder Contact:
Dennis E. McDaniel
 
Joan O. Shevchik
 
Jerry L. Litton
(513) 870-2768
  
(513) 603-5323
  
(513) 870-2639

Insurer Financial Strength
 
A.M. Best
 
Fitch
 
Moody’s
 
Standard &
Poor’s
                 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
               
Corporate Debt
 
a
 
BBB+
 
A3
 
BBB
                 
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
               
Insurer Financial Strength
               
                 
Property Casualty Group
               
Standard Market Subsidiaries:
 
A+
 
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
               
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
 
A
 
 
 
                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
  
A
  
A+
  
  
A
 
Ratings are as of April 27, 2011, under continuous review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the current ratings, select Financial Strength Ratings on www.cinfin.com.
 
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included with our periodic filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The results of operations for interim periods may not be indicative of results to be expected for the full year.
 
 
 

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
First Quarter 2011

 
Page
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
3
   
Consolidated
 
Quick Reference
4
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Three Months Ended March 31, 2011
5
CFC Insurance Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data
6
Investments
7
   
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
 
Statutory Statements of Income
8
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Losses Incurred Detail
9
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Ratio Detail
10
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Claim Count Detail
11
Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State
12
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business
13
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business
14
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis
15
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves
16
   
Reconciliation Data
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
17
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
18
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
19
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Excess & Surplus Lines
20
   
Life Insurance Operations
 
Statutory Statements of Income
21
 
 
 

 
 
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
 
 
3

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quick Reference - First Quarter 2011
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of March 31, 2011)

   
3/31/2011
   
Year over year
change %
 
Revenues:
           
             
Commercial lines net written premiums
  $ 588       0  
Personal lines net written premiums
    173       12  
Excess & surplus lines net written premiums
    18       38  
Property casualty net written premiums
    779       3  
Life and accident and health net written premiums
    43       6  
Annuity net written premiums
    60       (7 )
Life, annuity and accident and health net written premiums
    103       (2 )
Commercial lines net earned premiums
    540       3  
Personal lines net earned premiums
    190       9  
Excess & surplus lines net earned premiums
    15       36  
Property casualty net earned premiums
    745       5  
Fee revenue
    1       0  
Life and accident and health net earned premiums
    37       (5 )
Investment income
    131       1  
Realized gains on investments
    12       50  
Other revenue
    3       50  
Total revenues
    929       5  
                 
Income:
               
                 
Operating income
  $ 55       (13 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    7       40  
Net income
    62       (9 )
                 
Per share (diluted):
               
                 
Operating income
  $ 0.33       (15 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.05       67  
Net income
    0.38       (10 )
Book value
    31.40       5  
Weighted average shares – diluted
    163,669,998    
nm
 

   
3/31/2011
   
Year over year
change %
 
Benefits and expenses:
           
             
Commercial lines loss and loss expenses
  $ 374       6  
Personal lines loss and loss expenses
    141       26  
Excess & surplus lines loss and loss expenses
    15       50  
Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits
    45       7  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    261       (3 )
Other operating expenses
    4       25  
Interest expenses
    13       (7 )
Total benefits & expenses
    853       6  
Income before income taxes
    76       (11 )
Total income tax
    14       (18 )
                 
Balance Sheet:
               
                 
Fixed maturity investments
  $ 8,536          
Equity securities
    3,100          
Other invested assets
    68          
Total invested assets
  $ 11,704          
                 
Equity in net assets of subsidiaries
  $ 4,761          
                 
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,239          
Total debt
    839          
Shareholders' equity
    5,118          
                 
Key ratios:
               
                 
Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio
    104.0 %        
Personal lines GAAP combined ratio
    101.4          
Excess & surplus lines GAAP combined ratio
    133.0          
Property casualty GAAP combined ratio
    103.9          
                 
Commercial lines STAT combined ratio
    102.1 %        
Personal lines STAT combined ratio
    104.4          
Excess & surplus lines STAT combined ratio
    130.4          
Property casualty STAT combined ratio
    103.3          
                 
Value creation ratio
    2.9 %        
 
 
4

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

(In millions)
 
CFC
   
CONSOL P&C
   
CLIC
   
CFC-I
   
ELIM
   
Total
 
Revenues:
                                   
Premiums earned:
                                   
Property casualty
  $ -     $ 785     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 785  
Life
    -       -       48       -       -       48  
Accident health
    -       -       2       -       -       2  
Premiums ceded
    -       (40 )     (13 )     -       -       (53 )
Total earned premium
    -       745       37       -       -       782  
Investment income
    10       88       33       -       -       131  
Realized gain (loss) on investments
    3       38       (29 )     -       -       12  
Fee revenue
    -       1       -       -       -       1  
Other revenue
    4       -       1       2       (4 )     3  
Total revenues
  $ 17     $ 872     $ 42     $ 2     $ (4 )   $ 929  
                                                 
Benefits & expenses:
                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ -     $ 543     $ 53     $ -     $ -     $ 596  
Reinsurance recoveries
    -       (13 )     (8 )     -       -       (21 )
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    -       245       16       -       -       261  
Other operating expenses
    7       -       -       1       (4 )     4  
Interest expense
    13       -       -       -       -       13  
Total expenses
  $ 20     $ 775     $ 61     $ 1     $ (4 )   $ 853  
                                                 
Income (loss) before income taxes
  $ (3 )   $ 97     $ (19 )   $ 1     $ -     $ 76  
                                                 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes:
                                               
Current operating income
  $ (3 )   $ 13     $ 10     $ -     $ -     $ 20  
Capital gains/losses
    1       13       (9 )     -       -       5  
Deferred
    (1 )     (3 )     (7 )     -       -       (11 )
Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
  $ (3 )   $ 23     $ (6 )   $ -     $ -     $ 14  
                                                 
Operating income (loss)
  $ (2 )   $ 49     $ 7     $ 1     $ -     $ 55  
                                                 
Net income (loss) - current year
  $ -     $ 74     $ (13 )   $ 1     $ -     $ 62  
                                                 
Net income - prior year
  $ 2     $ 59     $ 7     $ -     $ -     $ 68  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
 
5

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance Subsidiaries
Selected Balance Sheet Data
                                                 
(In millions)
 
12/31/2011
   
9/30/2011
   
6/30/2011
   
3/31/2011
   
12/31/2010
   
9/30/2010
   
6/30/2010
   
3/31/2010
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated
                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5,850     $ 5,818     $ 5,924     $ 5,804     $ 5,759  
Equities (fair value)
    -       -       -       2,203       2,175       1,928       1,862       2,013  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    -       -       -       320       314       494       363       287  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    -       -       -       670       604       476       457       635  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    -       -       -       3,788       3,756       3,799       3,781       3,689  
Equity GAAP
    -       -       -       4,721       4,656       4,652       4,429       4,506  
Surplus - STAT
    -       -       -       3,833       3,777       3,641       3,537       3,692  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 2,449     $ 2,315     $ 1,867     $ 1,859     $ 2,055  
Equities (fair value)
    -       -       -       102       103       108       100       114  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    -       -       -       149       148       215       154       110  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    -       -       -       25       (4 )     1       (7 )     7  
Equity - GAAP
    -       -       -       756       748       775       729       700  
Surplus - STAT
    -       -       -       308       303       316       307       310  
                                                                 
   
12/31/2009
   
9/30/2009
   
6/30/2009
   
3/31/2009
   
12/31/2008
   
9/30/2008
   
6/30/2008
   
3/31/2008
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 5,663     $ 5,521     $ 5,521     $ 5,169     $ 4,309     $ 4,183     $ 4,304     $ 4,351  
Equities (fair value)
    1,910       2,477       2,477       2,247       2,432       3,210       3,537       4,186  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    5       10       10       11       19       162       -       51  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    202       301       301       25       (108 )     (132 )     (33 )     39  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    592       590       590       487       627       1,016       1,187       1,831  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    3,639       3,656       3,656       3,674       3,494       3,507       3,534       3,448  
Equity GAAP
    4,405       4,283       4,283       3,795       3,667       3,947       4,011       4,498  
Surplus - STAT
    3,648       3,472       3,472       3,241       3,360       3,687       3,650       4,027  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,927     $ 1,868     $ 1,868     $ 1,694     $ 1,467     $ 1,483     $ 1,551     $ 1,534  
Equities (fair value)
    108       119       119       103       122       200       265       307  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       1       1       1       -       -       -       -  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    72       67       67       (43 )     (115 )     (79 )     (35 )     -  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    1       11       11       (8 )     (7 )     61       92       127  
Equity - GAAP
    666       653       653       563       471       530       617       661  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    300       283       283       270       290       371       420       453  
 
 
6

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Investments Results

(In millions)
 
Cost or
   
Gross unrealized
   
Fair
       
At March 31, 2011
 
amortized cost
   
gains
   
losses
   
value
   
OTTI in AOCI
 
Fixed maturities:
                             
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
  $ 3,058     $ 112     $ 10     $ 3,160     $ -  
Convertibles and bonds with warrants attached
    73       -       -       73       -  
United States government
    4       1       -       5       -  
Government-sponsored enterprises
    226       -       2       224       -  
Foreign government
    3       -       -       3       -  
Corporate securities
    4,669       408       6       5,071       -  
Subtotal
    8,033       521       18       8,536     $ -  
Equity securities:
                                       
Common equities
    2,149       858       11       2,996          
Preferred equities
    74       30       -       104          
Subtotal
    2,223       888       11       3,100    
NA
 
Total
  $ 10,256     $ 1,409     $ 29     $ 11,636          
                                         
At December 31, 2010
                                       
Fixed maturities:
                                       
States, municipalities and political subdivisions
  $ 3,043     $ 110     $ 10     $ 3,143     $ -  
Convertibles and bonds with warrants attached
    69       -       -       69       -  
United States government
    4       1       -       5       -  
Government-sponsored enterprises
    201       -       1       200       -  
Foreign government
    3       -       -       3       -  
Short-term investments
    -       -       -       -       -  
Collateralized mortgage obligations
    -       -       -       -       -  
Corporate securities
    4,568       404       9       4,963       -  
Subtotal
    7,888       515       20       8,383     $ -  
Equity securities:
                                       
Common equities
    2,211       757       28       2,940          
Preferred equities
    75       27       1       101          
Subtotal
    2,286       784       29       3,041    
NA
 
Total
  $ 10,174     $ 1,299     $ 49     $ 11,424          

   
At March 31,
   
At December 31,
 
   
2011
   
2010
 
Weighted average yield-to-book value
    5.4 %     5.5 %
Weighted average maturity
 
6.0
yrs  
6.2
yrs
Effective duration
 
4.9
yrs  
5.0
yrs
 
 
7

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended March 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2011
   
2010
   
Change
   
% Change
 
Underwriting income
                       
Net premiums written
  $ 778     $ 756     $ 22       3  
Unearned premiums increase
    33       48       (15 )     (31 )
Earned premiums
  $ 745     $ 708     $ 37       5  
                                 
Losses incurred
  $ 435     $ 385     $ 50       13  
Allocated loss expenses incurred
    45       43       2       5  
Unallocated loss expenses incurred
    50       47       3       6  
Other underwriting expenses incurred
    236       254       (18 )     (7 )
Workers compensation dividend incurred
    14       3       11       367  
                                 
Total underwriting deductions
  $ 780     $ 732     $ 48       7  
Net underwriting losses
  $ (35 )   $ (24 )   $ (11 )     (46 )
                                 
Investment income
                               
Gross investment income earned
  $ 91     $ 90     $ 1       1  
Net investment income earned
    90       89       1       1  
Net realized capital gains
    22       2       20    
nm
 
Net investment gains (excl. subs)
  $ 112     $ 91     $ 21       23  
Dividend from subsidiary
    -       -       -       -  
Net investment gains (net of tax)
  $ 112     $ 91     $ 21       23  
                                 
Other income
  $ 1     $ -     $ 1    
nm
 
                                 
Net income before federal income taxes
  $ 78     $ 67     $ 11       16  
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred
  $ 13     $ 17     $ (4 )     (24 )
Net income (statutory)
  $ 65     $ 50     $ 15       30  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
*Excludes CSU Producers Resources Inc.
 
 
8

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Losses Incurred Detail

(In millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Consolidated Loss Detail
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                                   $ 11     $ 15     $ 17     $ 11     $ 6                 $ 17                $ 34                 $ 49  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            50       43       36       29       35               64               100               142  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            54       47       46       53       52               104               150               200  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                            34       45       66       30       37               68               134               178  
Large losses subtotal
                          $ 149     $ 150     $ 165     $ 123     $ 130             $ 253             $ 418             $ 569  
IBNR incurred
                            32       18       16       11       12               23               41               59  
Catastrophe losses incurred
                            41       5       28       100       15               114               143               148  
Remaining incurred
                            213       184       228       239       228               468               694               876  
Total losses incurred
                          $ 435     $ 357     $ 437     $ 473     $ 385             $ 858             $ 1,296             $ 1,652  
Commercial Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          $ 11     $ 10     $ 17     $ 11     $ 6             $ 17             $ 34             $ 44  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            40       38       28       22       32               54               82               120  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            37       31       37       40       40               80               117               148  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                            31       41       62       29       32               61               123               164  
Large losses subtotal
                          $ 119     $ 120     $ 144     $ 102     $ 110             $ 212             $ 356             $ 476  
IBNR incurred
                            24       19       10       7       9               17               27               45  
Catastrophe losses incurred
                            26       5       17       57       10               66               84               89  
Remaining incurred
                            131       97       141       152       152               304               444               542  
Total losses incurred
                          $ 300     $ 241     $ 312     $ 318     $ 281             $ 599             $ 911             $ 1,152  
Personal Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          $ -     $ 5     $ -     $ -     $ -             $ -             $ -             $ 5  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            9       5       5       7       3               10               15               20  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            14       14       7       10       10               20               27               41  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                            3       3       4       1       3               4               8               11  
Large losses subtotal
                          $ 26     $ 27     $ 16     $ 18     $ 16             $ 34             $ 50             $ 77  
IBNR incurred
                            4       1       4       2       1               2               7               8  
Catastrophe losses incurred
                            14       (1 )     11       43       5               48               59               58  
Remaining incurred
                            80       86       84       83       75               159               243               328  
Total losses incurred
                          $ 124     $ 113     $ 115     $ 146     $ 97             $ 243             $ 359             $ 471  
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -             $ -             $ -             $ -  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            1       -       3       -       -               -               3               3  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            3       2       2       3       2               5               6               9  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                            -       1       -       -       2               2               3               3  
Large losses subtotal
                          $ 4     $ 3     $ 5     $ 3     $ 4             $ 7             $ 12             $ 15  
IBNR incurred
                            4       (2 )     2       2       2               5               7               4  
Catastrophe losses incurred
                            1       1       -       -       -               -               -               1  
Remaining incurred
                            2       1       3       4       1               4               7               9  
Total losses incurred
                            $ 11     $ 3     $ 10     $ 9     $ 7             $ 16             $ 26             $ 29  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
9

 
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Ratio Detail

    
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Consolidated Loss Ratio
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                              1.4 %     2.0 %     2.3 %     1.5 %     0.8 %               1.2 %               1.6 %               1.7 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                          6.7       5.7       4.8       4.0       4.9               4.6               4.6               4.9  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                          7.3       6.7       6.2       7.2       7.4               7.2               6.9               6.8  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                              4.6       5.9       8.9       4.2       5.3                 4.7                 6.2                 6.1  
Large losses subtotal
                          20.0 %     20.3 %     22.2 %     16.9 %     18.4 %             17.7 %             19.3 %             19.5 %
IBNR incurred
                          4.4       2.5       2.3       1.6       1.7               1.6               1.8               2.0  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
                          5.5       0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1               7.9               6.5               5.1  
Remaining incurred
                              28.5       24.4       30.5       33.0       32.1                 32.6                 31.9                 30.0  
Total loss ratio
                              58.4 %     47.9 %     58.8 %     65.1 %     54.3 %               59.8 %               59.5 %               56.6 %
Commercial Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                             
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          1.9 %     1.8 %     3.1 %     2.0 %     1.1 %             1.6 %             2.1 %             2.0 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                          7.5       7.0       5.1       4.1       6.1               5.1               5.1               5.6  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                          6.9       5.8       6.7       7.4       7.7               7.5               7.3               6.9  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                              5.7       7.4       11.4       5.4       6.2                 5.8                 7.7                 7.6  
Large losses subtotal
                          22.0 %     22.0 %     26.3 %     18.9 %     21.1 %             20.0 %             22.2 %             22.1 %
IBNR incurred
                          4.4       3.3       1.9       1.3       1.8               1.6               1.7               2.1  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
                          4.9       1.0       3.2       10.5       1.8               6.2               5.2               4.1  
Remaining incurred
                              24.2       17.8       25.7       28.3       29.0                 28.6                 27.6                 25.2  
Total loss ratio
                              55.5 %     44.1 %     57.1 %     59.0 %     53.7 %               56.4 %               56.7 %               53.5 %
Personal Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                             
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          0.0 %     2.7 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %             0.0 %             0.0 %             0.7 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                          4.8       2.3       2.8       4.4       1.5               3.0               2.9               2.8  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                          7.1       7.8       4.0       5.6       5.5               5.6               5.0               5.7  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                              1.7       1.8       2.0       0.6       1.9                 1.2                 1.5                 1.6  
Large losses subtotal
                          13.6 %     14.6 %     8.8 %     10.6 %     8.9 %             9.8 %             9.4 %             10.8 %
IBNR incurred
                          2.3       0.8       2.4       0.9       0.3               0.6               1.2               1.1  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
                          7.4       (0.3 )     6.0       23.8       3.0               13.5               11.0               8.1  
Remaining incurred
                              41.6       45.3       46.0       47.1       43.1                 45.1                 45.4                 45.4  
Total loss ratio
                              64.9 %     60.4 %     63.2 %     82.4 %     55.3 %               69.0 %               67.0 %               65.4 %
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                             
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                          0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %             0.0 %             0.0 %             0.0 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                          0.0       0.0       19.4       0.0       0.0               0.0               7.1               5.1  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                          25.8       17.5       16.7       18.8       16.9               19.9               18.7               18.4  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                              2.7       1.8       2.5       2.7       20.7                 11.6                 13.1                 14.2  
Large losses subtotal
                          28.5 %     19.3 %     38.6 %     21.5 %     37.6 %             31.5 %             38.9 %             37.7 %
IBNR incurred
                          26.1       (13.2 )     14.9       23.5       18.4               23.7               18.5               9.6  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
                          2.8       (0.1 )     4.6       0.0       0.0               0.0               1.7               1.2  
Remaining incurred
                              20.2       14.7       14.2       32.5       9.4                 18.3                 18.8                 17.4  
Total loss ratio
                              77.6 %     20.7 %     72.3 %     77.5 %     65.4 %               73.5 %               77.9 %               65.9 %
*Certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
10

 
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Claim Count Detail

    
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Consolidated Loss Claim Count
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                                  2       3       3       2       1                 3                 6                 9  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            30       23       20       18       19               37               57               80  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            122       123       112       117       123               240               352               475  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                                  68       71       101       73       77                 143                 237                 308  
Large losses total
                                  222       220       236       210       220                 423                 652                 872  
Commercial Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                            2       2       3       2       1               3               6               8  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            24       20       15       12       17               29               44               64  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            85       79       88       88       95               183               271               350  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                                  59       70       93       70       67                 137                 230                 300  
Large losses total
                                  170       171       199       172       180                 352                 551                 722  
Personal Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                            -       1       -       -       -               -               -               1  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            6       3       3       6       2               8               11               14  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            29       38       19       24       24               48               67               105  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                                  8       -       7       2       5                 7                 14                 23  
Large losses total
                                  43       42       29       32       31                 63                 92                 143  
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
                            -       -       -       -       -               -               -               -  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
                            -       -       2       -       -               -               2               2  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
                            8       6       5       5       4               9               14               20  
Case reserve development above $250,000
                                  1       1       1       1       5                 6                 7                 8  
Large losses total
                                  9       7       8       6       9                 15                 23                 30  
The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
11

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Agency Direct Written Premiums by Agency State by Line of Business for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2011

(Dollars in millions)
 
Commercial Lines
   
Personal Lines
         
Consolidated
   
Comm'l
   
Personal
   
E & S
   
Consol
 
Risk
State
 
Comm
Casualty
   
Comm
Property
   
Comm
Auto
   
Workers'
Comp
   
Spec
Packages
   
Surety &
Exec Risk
   
Mach. & 
Equipment
   
Personal
Auto
   
Home
Owner
   
Other 
Personal
   
E & S
Lines
   
2011
Total
   
2010
Total
   
Change 
%
   
Change
%
   
Change
%
   
Change
%
 
                                                                                                       
OH
  $ 33.2     $ 22.4     $ 15.0     $ -     $ 5.0     $ 5.9     $ 1.4     $ 25.8     $ 19.0     $ 7.2     $ 2.3     $ 136.9     $ 138.7       (5.1 )     4.1       40.5       (1.3 )
IL
    15.7       10.6       8.4       14.3       2.8       1.8       0.7       6.3       4.7       1.7       1.2       68.0       68.9       (3.5 )     9.8       3.2       (1.1 )
IN
    13.2       10.0       6.8       7.8       2.0       1.4       0.7       6.5       6.1       1.6       1.6       57.8       52.8       8.2       11.1       29.8       9.4  
PA
    13.2       8.2       8.3       14.0       2.5       1.6       0.6       1.8       1.4       0.9       0.8       53.4       52.2       1.1       10.9       36.2       2.2  
GA
    6.5       5.3       4.7       3.3       1.9       1.5       0.3       7.8       7.2       2.2       1.0       41.6       41.4       (5.4 )     7.9       40.6       0.5  
NC
    7.9       6.6       5.4       5.2       3.8       1.7       0.4       3.5       2.5       1.2       0.5       38.9       35.7       1.8       52.1       47.5       8.9  
MI
    8.0       5.6       3.8       4.3       2.5       1.5       0.4       3.6       3.2       0.8       0.7       34.2       32.4       1.0       20.2       59.3       5.5  
VA
    7.6       6.2       5.1       5.1       1.3       1.4       0.3       2.1       1.7       0.6       0.6       32.1       35.4       (11.4 )     0.5       40.2       (9.3 )
KY
    5.8       6.0       3.9       1.0       1.7       0.7       0.3       5.4       4.1       1.2       0.8       30.8       28.5       6.5       9.8       35.5       8.3  
WI
    6.9       4.3       3.0       8.3       1.0       0.9       0.4       1.8       1.7       0.7       0.3       29.4       30.7       (6.0 )     5.6       55.5       (4.1 )
TN
    6.5       5.2       3.7       2.8       2.6       1.3       0.4       2.6       2.7       0.9       0.2       28.8       28.7       (3.0 )     15.4       (30.5 )     0.1  
AL
    4.3       5.4       2.2       0.2       2.3       0.7       0.3       3.8       5.9       1.4       0.6       27.0       24.2       11.6       9.0       94.5       11.7  
FL
    5.9       5.8       2.2       0.4       0.5       0.6       0.2       2.2       3.0       0.6       0.6       22.1       22.8       (2.8 )     (8.3 )     90.2       (3.1 )
IA
    5.4       3.7       2.4       5.6       1.0       0.8       0.2       0.9       0.9       0.4       0.4       21.6       22.3       (4.9 )     16.6       0.7       (3.1 )
MN
    5.6       4.2       2.5       2.2       1.0       0.6       0.4       1.8       1.7       0.5       0.5       20.9       21.3       (3.9 )     6.1       4.2       (2.0 )
MO
    4.6       4.5       3.1       2.5       1.6       0.4       0.3       0.9       1.2       0.3       1.1       20.7       21.1       (7.0 )     17.0       101.0       (1.8 )
NY
    6.7       2.3       2.6       0.7       0.4       0.4       0.2       -       -       -       0.2       13.5       14.6       (7.7 )     (8.8 )     38.9       (7.3 )
MD
    3.5       1.8       3.1       2.2       0.4       0.4       0.1       0.3       0.5       0.1       0.3       12.8       12.1       3.9       26.9       21.8       5.6  
KS
    2.3       2.4       1.4       2.5       0.8       0.3       0.1       1.0       1.2       0.3       0.2       12.5       12.5       (2.8 )     5.9       110.3       (0.4 )
AR
    2.0       2.9       1.7       1.0       1.3       0.3       0.2       0.8       0.9       0.3       0.4       11.7       11.2       (0.2 )     21.5       72.3       4.5  
TX
    3.7       3.0       2.5       0.5       0.1       0.2       0.2       -       -       -       1.3       11.6       6.8       66.1       21.0       110.9       70.1  
AZ
    2.6       1.9       1.8       0.6       0.2       0.3       0.2       0.4       0.4       0.1       0.3       8.8       8.7       (3.1 )     34.5       16.4       0.5  
SC
    2.2       1.8       1.4       0.8       0.5       0.5       0.1       0.5       0.3       0.2       0.2       8.5       9.4       (16.1 )     93.0       (20.3 )     (10.0 )
MT
    3.2       1.4       1.8       -       0.3       0.2       0.1       0.4       0.3       0.1       0.1       7.9       7.7       (0.6 )     42.0       (3.7 )     2.4  
NE
    1.8       1.6       1.0       1.5       0.4       0.5       0.1       0.2       0.2       0.1       0.4       7.8       7.9       (3.8 )     8.5       113.6       (0.4 )
UT
    2.3       1.3       1.5       -       0.1       0.4       0.1       1.0       0.4       0.1       0.3       7.6       7.0       (0.4 )     83.5       (16.3 )     9.1  
ID
    2.1       1.4       1.6       0.1       0.3       0.3       0.1       0.4       0.2       0.1       0.1       6.4       5.5       13.0       85.6       12.9       17.4  
WV
    1.5       1.2       1.2       0.4       0.6       0.2       0.1       -       0.1       0.1       0.4       5.6       5.4       3.2       3.2       25.6       4.5  
VT
    1.0       0.8       0.6       2.0       0.3       0.3       -       0.2       0.3       0.1       0.1       5.6       5.4       (0.4 )     70.3       29.6       4.3  
ND
    1.9       1.0       0.8       -       0.2       0.2       0.1       0.1       0.1       -       -       4.6       4.0       11.8       24.8       144.3       13.2  
NH
    0.8       0.6       0.3       0.9       0.2       0.4       -       0.2       0.2       0.1       0.2       3.8       3.4       7.6       36.2       21.5       11.2  
CO
    1.0       1.0       0.9       0.1       -       0.3       0.1       -       -       -       0.2       3.6       2.3       53.5       6.2       99.6       54.6  
SD
    0.7       0.6       0.4       1.0       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       0.1       3.1       2.6       16.7       103.1       391.2       18.9  
WA
    0.8       0.5       0.8       -       -       0.2       0.1       -       -       -       0.1       2.5       1.5       67.0    
nm
      119.8       69.2  
NM
    0.8       0.4       0.5       0.2       -       0.3       -       -       -       -       0.1       2.3       1.9       19.5    
nm
      (16.0 )     17.6  
DE
    0.5       0.5       0.4       0.4       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       -       1.9       2.3       (15.2 )     11.0    
nm
      (15.1 )
OR
    0.3       0.1       0.2       -       -       0.0       -       -       -       -       -       0.7       -       499.6    
nm
   
nm
      536.7  
WY
    0.2       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.1       0.5       0.1       349.1       4.4       nm       354.7  
CT
    0.1       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.4       -       336.8       17.8    
nm
      337.7  
All Other
    0.5       0.6       0.5       0.9       -       0.4       -       -       -       -       -       3.2       3.6       (13.6 )     170.6    
nm
      (8.6 )
Total
  $ 192.8     $ 143.0     $ 107.8     $ 92.8     $ 39.7     $ 29.1     $ 9.3     $ 82.3     $ 72.0     $ 23.7     $ 18.7     $ 811.3     $ 793.3       (0.6 )     10.1       41.3       2.3  
Other Direct
    -       0.3       -       1.0       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       1.3       0.9       13.7       (155.9 )  
nm
      46.2  
Total Direct
  $ 192.8     $ 143.3     $ 107.8     $ 93.8     $ 39.7     $ 29.1     $ 9.3     $ 82.3     $ 72.0     $ 23.7     $ 18.7     $ 812.6     $ 794.2       (0.6 )     10.3       41.3       2.3  

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to the nearest hundred thousand; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Percentage changes are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 
 
12

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 
                   
Three months ended
                     
Six months ended
    Nine months ended    
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
     9/30/11  
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Commercial casualty:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 189     $ 166     $ 161     $ 168     $ 191             $ 359           $ 520             $ 686  
Earned premiums
                            172       175       182       172       164               336             518               693  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            80       87       104       82       96               178             282               369  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            46.5 %     49.6 %     56.5 %     48.3 %     58.3 %             53.2 %           54.4 %             53.2 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            -       -       -       -       -               -             -               -  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               (32.3 )     (50.5 )     (18.5 )     (25.3 )     (12.7 )              (19.2 )           (18.9 )              (26.9 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               78.8 %     100.1 %     75.0 %     73.6 %     71.0 %              72.4 %           73.3 %              80.1 %
Commercial property:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 132     $ 126     $ 122     $ 124     $ 129             $ 253           $ 375             $ 497  
Earned premiums
                            126       124       123       121       121               242             365               489  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            115       69       87       109       86               195             282               351  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            91.4 %     55.7 %     70.8 %     90.1 %     71.0 %             80.5 %           77.3 %             71.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            18.6       2.3       9.0       36.7       8.3               22.5             18.0               14.0  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               11.4       (0.9 )     -       (5.5 )     (1.8 )              (3.7 )           (2.4 )              (2.0 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                              61.4 %     54.3 %     61.8 %     58.9 %     64.5 %              61.7 %           61.7 %              59.8 %
Commercial auto:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 107     $ 92     $ 91     $ 99     $ 103             $ 202           $ 293             $ 385  
Earned premiums
                            96       97       96       96       95               191             287               384  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            50       53       59       70       58               128             187               240  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            52.2 %     55.1 %     61.3 %     72.9 %     61.0 %             67.0 %           65.1 %             62.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            (0.1 )     0.4       (0.5 )     4.2       (1.0 )             1.6             0.9               0.8  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               (24.6 )     (20.8 )     (5.3 )     (1.0 )     (7.1 )              (4.0 )           (4.4 )              (8.5 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               76.9 %     75.5 %     67.1 %     69.7 %     69.1 %              69.4 %           68.6 %              70.3 %
Workers' compensation:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 90     $ 75     $ 68     $ 72     $ 95             $ 167           $ 235             $ 310  
Earned premiums
                            76       81       77       79       74               153             230               311  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            70       67       86       72       67               139             225               292  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            91.5 %     82.8 %     112.2 %     89.9 %     91.4 %             90.6 %           97.8 %             93.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            -       -       -       -       -               -             -               -  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               (4.1 )     (9.8 )     (15.3 )     (13.3 )     (11.9 )              (12.6 )           (13.5 )              (12.6 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               95.6 %     92.6 %     127.5 %     103.2 %     103.3 %              103.2 %           111.3 %              106.5 %
Specialty package:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 37     $ 37     $ 37     $ 36     $ 39             $ 75           $ 112             $ 149  
Earned premiums
                            37       37       38       37       37               74             112               149  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            32       13       33       32       33               65             98               111  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            85.5 %     34.9 %     89.1 %     85.6 %     89.0 %             87.3 %           87.9 %             74.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            7.7       6.9       18.7       20.2       1.1               10.8             13.4               11.9  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               13.6       (19.4 )     9.4       (3.5 )     10.0                3.2             5.3                (0.8 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               64.2 %     47.4 %     61.0 %     68.9 %     77.9 %              73.3 %           69.2 %              63.7 %
Surety and executive risk:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 24     $ 23     $ 23     $ 24     $ 23             $ 47           $ 70             $ 93  
Earned premiums
                            25       28       22       25       24               49             71               95  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            24       29       17       8       13               21             38               67  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            96.1 %     119.5 %     73.9 %     36.2 %     51.1 %             43.6 %           53.2 %             69.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            -       -       -       -       -               -             -               -  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               41.4       43.8       (17.3 )     (17.7 )     4.0                (6.9 )           (10.2 )              3.4  
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               54.7 %     75.7 %     91.2 %     53.9 %     47.1 %              50.5 %           63.4 %              66.5 %
Machinery and equipment:
                                                                                                             
Written premiums
                          $ 9     $ 9     $ 9     $ 9     $ 8             $ 17           $ 26             $ 35  
Earned premiums
                            8       8       9       8       8               16             25               33  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            3       1       1       5       -               5             6               7  
Loss and loss expense ratio
                            36.9 %     17.7 %     11.9 %     51.9 %     6.1 %             29.3 %           23.4 %             21.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            0.2       (0.3 )     (1.7 )     1.8       (1.0 )             0.4             (0.3 )             (0.3 )
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                               8.5       (3.3 )     (6.8 )     1.9       (17.2 )              (7.5 )           (7.3 )              (6.3 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                               28.2 %     21.3 %     20.4 %     48.2 %     24.3 %              36.4 %           31.0 %              28.5 %
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 
13

 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

                     
Three months ended
                     
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
                                                                                                 
Personal auto:
                                                                                               
Written premiums
                          $ 82     $ 84     $ 98     $ 97     $ 73             $ 170             $ 268             $ 352  
Earned premiums
                            89       87       86       83       81               164               250               337  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            57       68       59       61       47               108               167               235  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            63.8 %     78.6 %     68.1 %     73.6 %     58.2 %             66.0 %             66.7 %             69.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            0.9       (0.1 )     0.1       4.0       (0.1 )             2.0               1.3               1.0  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                            (5.7 )     (2.5 )     (0.4 )     (1.4 )     (4.7 )             (3.0 )             (2.1 )             (2.2 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                            68.6 %     81.2 %     68.4 %     71.0 %     63.0 %             67.0 %             67.5 %             71.0 %
                                                                                                                 
Homeowner:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
                          $ 68     $ 75     $ 83     $ 81     $ 60             $ 141             $ 224             $ 299  
Earned premiums
                            76       75       72       72       70               142               214               289  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            69       55       61       89       53               142               203               258  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            90.3 %     72.1 %     84.5 %     123.8 %     76.0 %             100.2 %             94.9 %             89.0 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            16.3       (0.9 )     13.4       52.8       6.9               30.1               24.5               17.9  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                            (3.2 )     (6.9 )     (3.0 )     (0.6 )     1.6               0.5               (0.7 )             (2.3 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                            77.2 %     79.9 %     74.1 %     71.6 %     67.5 %             69.6 %             71.1 %             73.4 %
                                                                                                                 
Other personal:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
                          $ 23     $ 28     $ 27     $ 26     $ 22             $ 48             $ 75             $ 99  
Earned premiums
                            25       24       24       24       23               47               71               95  
Loss and loss expenses incurred
                            15       7       12       13       12               25               37               44  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
                            61.2 %     32.1 %     50.3 %     53.0 %     51.5 %             52.3 %             51.6 %             46.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            3.0       0.9       4.3       5.3       2.8               4.1               4.2               3.3  
Contribution from prior period reserve development
                            1.5       (30.1 )     (24.5 )     (22.0 )     (7.8 )             (14.9 )             (18.2 )             (21.3 )
Loss and loss expenses before catastrophe losses and prior period reserve development
                            56.7 %     61.3 %     70.5 %     69.7 %     56.5 %             63.1 %             65.6 %             64.6 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
 
14

 
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies Consolidated
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis

                                 
Change in
                               
(In millions)
 
Paid
losses
   
Paid
loss
expense
   
Total
paid
   
Change in
case
reserves
   
Change in
IBNR
reserves
   
loss 
expense
reserves
   
Total
reserves
   
Case
incurred
   
IBNR
incurred
   
Loss  
expense
incurred
   
Total
incurred
 
Gross loss and loss expense incurred at March 31, 2011
                                                                 
Commercial casualty
  $ 67     $ 29     $ 96     $ (28 )   $ 18     $ -     $ (10 )   $ 39     $ 18     $ 29     $ 86  
Commercial property
    77       11       88       14       16       2       32       91       16       13       120  
Commercial auto
    64       10       74       (18 )     (4 )     (2 )     (24 )     46       (4 )     8       50  
Workers' compensation
    53       11       64       8       -       -       8       61       -       11       72  
Specialty packages
    24       5       29       2       1       -       3       26       1       5       32  
Surety and executive risk
    13       3       16       (3 )     5       5       7       10       5       8       23  
Machinery and equipment
    2       -       2       1       -       -       1       3       -       -       3  
Total commercial lines
    300       69       369       (24 )     36       5       17       276       36       74       386  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    53       8       61       (4 )     (1 )     1       (4 )     49       (1 )     9       57  
Homeowners
    47       7       54       8       6       1       15       55       6       8       69  
Other personal
    9       1       10       2       3       -       5       11       3       1       15  
Total personal lines
    109       16       125       6       8       2       16       115       8       18       141  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    4       1       5       3       4       3       10       7       4       4       15  
Total excess & surplus lines
    4       1       5       3       4       3       10       7       4       4       15  
Total property casualty
  $ 413     $ 86     $ 499     $ (15 )   $ 48     $ 9     $ 43     $ 398     $ 48     $ 96     $ 542  
                                                                                         
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred at March 31, 2011
                                                                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 1     $ -     $ 1     $ 4     $ 1     $ -     $ 5     $ 5     $ 1     $ -     $ 6  
Commercial property
    3       -       3       2       -       -       2       5       -       -       5  
Commercial auto
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Workers' compensation
    2       -       2       -       -       -       -       2       -       -       2  
Specialty packages
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Surety and executive risk
    4       -       4       (5 )     -       -       (5 )     (1 )     -       -       (1 )
Machinery and equipment
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total commercial lines
    10       -       10       1       1       -       2       11       1       -       12  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Homeowners
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Other personal
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total personal lines
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total excess & surplus lines
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total property casualty
  $ 10     $ -     $ 10     $ 1     $ 1     $ -     $ 2     $ 11     $ 1     $ -     $ 12  
                                                                                         
Net loss and loss expense incurred at March 31, 2011
                                                                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 66     $ 29     $ 95     $ (32 )   $ 17     $ -     $ (15 )   $ 34     $ 17     $ 29     $ 80  
Commercial property
    74       11       85       12       16       2       30       86       16       13       115  
Commercial auto
    64       10       74       (18 )     (4 )     (2 )     (24 )     46       (4 )     8       50  
Workers' compensation
    51       11       62       8       -       -       8       59       -       11       70  
Specialty packages
    24       5       29       2       1       -       3       26       1       5       32  
Surety and executive risk
    9       3       12       2       5       5       12       11       5       8       24  
Machinery and equipment
    2       -       2       1       -       -       1       3       -       -       3  
Total commercial lines
    290       69       359       (25 )     35       5       15       265       35       74       374  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    53       8       61       (4 )     (1 )     1       (4 )     49       (1 )     9       57  
Homeowners
    47       7       54       8       6       1       15       55       6       8       69  
Other personal
    9       1       10       2       3       -       5       11       3       1       15  
Total personal lines
    109       16       125       6       8       2       16       115       8       18       141  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    4       1       5       3       4       3       10       7       4       4       15  
Total excess & surplus lines
    4       1       5       3       4       3       10       7       4       4       15  
Total property casualty
  $ 403     $ 86     $ 489     $ (16 )   $ 47     $ 10     $ 41     $ 387     $ 47     $ 96     $ 530  
 
 
15

 

Cincinnati Insurance Companies Consolidated
Loss and Loss Expense Reserves

(In millions)
 
Loss reserves
   
Loss
   
Total
       
   
Case
   
IBNR
   
expense
   
gross
   
Percent
 
At March 31,
 
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
of total
 
2011
                             
Commercial casualty
  $ 938     $ 339     $ 532     $ 1,809       48.3 %
Commercial property
    143       28       35       206       5.5  
Commercial auto
    240       37       58       335       8.9  
Workers' compensation
    484       465       147       1,096       29.3  
Specialty packages
    82       3       11       96       2.6  
Surety and executive risk
    127       7       62       196       5.2  
Machinery and equipment
    2       3       1       6       0.2  
Total
  $ 2,016     $ 882     $ 846     $ 3,744       100.0 %
                                         
Personal auto
  $ 123     $ (2 )   $ 28     $ 149       40.5 %
Homeowner
    81       27       18       126       34.1  
Other personal
    38       46       10       94       25.4  
Total
  $ 242     $ 71     $ 56     $ 369       100.0 %
                                         
Excess and surplus lines
  $ 31     $ 15     $ 20     $ 66          
                                         
At December 31,
                                       
2010
                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 966     $ 321     $ 533     $ 1,820       48.8 %
Commercial property
    130       13       32       175       4.7  
Commercial auto
    258       41       60       359       9.6  
Workers' compensation
    476       465       147       1,088       29.2  
Specialty packages
    80       2       10       92       2.5  
Surety and executive risk
    130       2       57       189       5.1  
Machinery and equipment
    1       3       1       5       0.1  
Total
  $ 2,041     $ 847     $ 840     $ 3,728       100.0 %
                                         
Personal auto
  $ 126     $ (1 )   $ 28     $ 153       43.4 %
Homeowner
    73       21       17       111       31.4  
Other personal
    37       43       9       89       25.2  
Total
  $ 236     $ 63     $ 54     $ 353       100.0 %
                                         
Excess and surplus lines
  $ 29     $ 10     $ 17     $ 56          
 
 
16

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Premiums
                                                                                             
Agency renewal written premiums
                        $ 708     $ 648     $ 677     $ 685     $ 682             $ 1,367             $ 2,044             $ 2,692  
Agency new business written premiums
                          102       107       109       106       92               198               307               414  
Other written premiums
                            (31 )     (33 )     (50 )     (42 )     (18 )              (60 )              (110 )              (143 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                        $ 779     $ 722     $ 736     $ 749     $ 756             $ 1,505             $ 2,241             $ 2,963  
Unearned premium change
                            (34 )     23       7       (21 )     (48 )             (69 )             (62 )             (39 )
Earned premiums
                          $ 745     $ 745     $ 743     $ 728     $ 708              $ 1,436             $ 2,179             $ 2,924  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                             
Agency renewal written premiums
                          4 %     2 %     1 %     3 %     (2 ) %             0 %             1 %             1 %
Agency new business written premiums
                          11       14       2       (1 )     (5 )             (3 )             (1 )             2  
Other written premiums
                          (72 )     33       (9 )     16       (29 )             6               0               10  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                            3       6       1       4       (3 )              0                0                2  
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                             
Losses paid
                        $ 404     $ 400     $ 421     $ 382     $ 334             $ 716             $ 1,137             $ 1,537  
Loss expenses paid
                            85       93       84       72       80                151                235                328  
Loss and loss expenses paid
                          $ 489     $ 493     $ 505     $ 454     $ 414              $ 867              $ 1,372              $ 1,865  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                             
Loss ratio
                          58.4 %     47.7 %     58.8 %     65.1 %     54.3 %             59.8 %             59.5 %             56.5 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
                          6.0       6.7       5.9       5.7       6.0               5.8               5.9               6.1  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
                          6.7       6.5       6.9       5.2       6.7               6.0               6.2               6.3  
Net underwriting expense ratio
                            32.2       33.3       32.9       31.3       34.1                32.7                32.8                32.9  
Statutory combined ratio
                          103.3 %     94.2 %     104.5 %     107.3 %     101.1 %             104.3 %             104.4 %             101.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            5.5       0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1                8.0                6.5                5.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                            97.8 %     93.5 %     100.7 %     93.7 %     99.0 %              96.3 %              97.9 %              96.7 %
Commission expense ratio
                          18.4 %     19.9 %     18.7 %     17.9 %     18.4 %             18.1 %             18.3 %             18.7 %
Other expense ratio
                            13.8       13.4       14.2       13.4       15.7                14.6                14.5                14.2  
Statutory expense ratio
                            32.2 %     33.3 %     32.9 %     31.3 %     34.1 %              32.7 %              32.8 %              32.9 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                             
GAAP combined ratio
                          103.9 %     93.1 %     103.9 %     107.6 %     102.6 %             105.2 %             104.7 %             101.7 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                            5.5       0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1                8.0                6.5                5.1  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                            98.4 %     92.4 %     100.1 %     94.0 %     100.5 %              97.2 %              98.2 %              96.6 %
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
17

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
                    $ 542     $ 474     $ 479     $ 492     $ 533           $ 1,025           $ 1,504           $ 1,978  
Agency new business written premiums
                      71       76       74       73       66             139             213             289  
Other written premiums
                      (25 )     (26 )     (42 )     (33 )     (11 )           (44 )           (86 )           (112 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                          $ 588     $ 524     $ 511     $ 532     $ 588             $ 1,120             $ 1,631             $ 2,155  
Unearned premium change
                      (48 )     22       36       6       (65 )           (59 )           (23 )           (1 )
Earned premiums
                    $ 540     $ 546     $ 547     $ 538     $ 523           $ 1,061           $ 1,608           $ 2,154  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
                            2 %     (1 ) %     (2 ) %     1 %     (4 ) %             (2 ) %             (2 ) %             (2 ) %
Agency new business written premiums
                            8       13       (3 )     (8 )     (13 )             (10 )             (8 )             (3 )
Other written premiums
                            (127 )     38       (14 )     23       (57 )             14               2               14  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                      0       4       (3 )     2       (6 )           (3 )           (3 )           (1 )
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
                          $ 290     $ 284     $ 290     $ 266     $ 230             $ 497             $ 786             $ 1,070  
Loss expenses paid
                      69       75       65       58       63             120             186             261  
Loss and loss expenses paid
                    $ 359     $ 359     $ 355     $ 324     $ 293           $ 617           $ 972           $ 1,331  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
                            55.5 %     44.2 %     57.1 %     59.0 %     53.8 %             56.4 %             56.7 %             53.5 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
                            7.0       7.9       6.9       6.5       7.1               6.8               6.8               7.1  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
                            6.7       6.4       6.7       4.8       6.6             5.7               6.0               6.1  
Net underwriting expense ratio
                      32.9       33.4       34.8       31.7       31.9             31.8             32.7             32.9  
Statutory combined ratio
                            102.1 %     91.9 %     105.5 %     102.0 %     99.3 %           100.7 %             102.2 %             99.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                      4.9       1.0       3.2       10.4       1.8             6.2             5.2             4.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                      97.2 %     90.9 %     102.3 %     91.6 %     97.5 %           94.5 %           97.0 %           95.5 %
Commission expense ratio
                            18.5 %     19.0 %     19.0 %     17.6 %     17.2 %           17.4 %             17.9 %             18.1 %
Other expense ratio
                      14.4       14.4       15.8       14.1       14.7             14.4             14.8             14.8  
Statutory expense ratio
                      32.9 %     33.4 %     34.8 %     31.7 %     31.9 %           31.8 %           32.7 %           32.9 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
                            104.0 %     90.6 %     103.4 %     101.7 %     102.1 %           101.9 %             102.4 %             99.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                      4.9       1.0       3.2       10.4       1.8             6.2             5.2             4.1  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                      99.1 %     89.6 %     100.2 %     91.3 %     100.3 %           95.7 %           97.2 %           95.3 %
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
18

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
   
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
                                $ 156     $ 166     $ 189     $ 187     $ 143               $ 330               $ 519               $ 685  
Agency new business written premiums
                            22       23       25       24       18               42               67               90  
Other written premiums
                                  (5 )     (6 )     (6 )     (7 )     (6 )               (13 )               (19 )               (25 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                          $ 173     $ 183     $ 208     $ 204     $ 155             $ 359             $ 567             $ 750  
Unearned premium change
                                  17       3       (26 )     (25 )     19                 (6 )               (32 )               (29 )
Earned premiums
                                $ 190     $ 186     $ 182     $ 179     $ 174               $ 353               $ 535               $ 721  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
                            9 %     8 %     7 %     6 %     4 %             5 %             6 %             7 %
Agency new business written premiums
                            22       15       19       26       29               24               22               20  
Other written premiums
                            17       0       25       (40 )     0               0               10               4  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                                  12       10       9       7       7                 7                 8                 9  
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
                          $ 109     $ 116     $ 128     $ 114     $ 103             $ 217             $ 345             $ 461  
Loss expenses paid
                                  15       17       17       14       17                 30                 48                 65  
Loss and loss expenses paid
                                $ 124     $ 133     $ 145     $ 128     $ 120               $ 247               $ 393               $ 526  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
                            64.9 %     60.5 %     63.2 %     82.4 %     55.3 %             69.0 %             67.0 %             65.4 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
                            2.3       2.5       1.9       2.0       1.9               2.0               1.9               2.1  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
                            6.9       6.9       7.2       6.7       7.2               6.9               7.1               6.9  
Net underwriting expense ratio
                                  30.3       32.6       28.4       30.1       42.1                 35.3                 32.8                 32.7  
Statutory combined ratio
                            104.4 %     102.5 %     100.7 %     121.2 %     106.5 %             113.2 %             108.8 %             107.1 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                                  7.4       (0.3 )     6.0       23.8       3.0                 13.6                 11.0                 8.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                                  97.0 %     102.8 %     94.7 %     97.4 %     103.5 %               99.6 %               97.8 %               99.0 %
Commission expense ratio
                            17.9 %     21.7 %     17.1 %     18.1 %     22.4 %             20.0 %             19.0 %             19.6 %
Other expense ratio
                                  12.4       10.9       11.3       12.0       19.7                15.3                 13.8                 13.1  
Statutory expense ratio
                                  30.3 %     32.6 %     28.4 %     30.1 %     42.1 %               35.3 %               32.8 %               32.7 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
                            101.4 %     101.9 %     103.4 %     123.4 %     102.5 %             113.1 %             109.8 %             107.7 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                                  7.4       (0.3 )     6.0       23.8       3.0                 13.6                 11.0                 8.1  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                                  94.0 %     102.2 %     97.4 %     99.6 %     99.5 %               99.5 %               98.8 %               99.6 %
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
19

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Excess & Surplus Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/11
   
9/30/11
   
6/30/11
   
3/31/11
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
6/30/11
   
6/30/10
   
9/30/11
   
9/30/10
     
12/31/11
   
12/31/10
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
                                $ 10     $ 8     $ 9     $ 7     $ 6           $ 12           $ 21           $ 29  
Agency new business written premiums
                            9       8       9       10       8             18             27             35  
Other written premiums
                                  (1 )     (1 )     (2 )     (2 )     (1 )           (3 )           (5 )           (6 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                          $ 18     $ 15     $ 16     $ 15     $ 13           $ 27           $ 43           $ 58  
Unearned premium change
                                  (3 )     (1 )     (3 )     (4 )     (2 )           (5 )           (8 )           (9 )
Earned premiums
                                $ 15     $ 14     $ 13     $ 11     $ 11           $ 22           $ 35           $ 49  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                         
Agency renewal written premiums
                            67 %     100 %     200 %     200 %     500 %           500 %           320 %           190 %
Agency new business written premiums
                            13       14       0       25       14             13             8             9  
Other written premiums
                            0       0    
nm
   
nm
      0             (200 )           (400 )           (100 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
                                  38       50       33       40       86             59             48             49  
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                         
Losses paid
                          $ 4     $ 1     $ 3     $ 1     $ 1           $ 2           $ 5           $ 6  
Loss expenses paid
                                  1       1       1       0       0             1             2             2  
Loss and loss expenses paid
                                $ 5     $ 2     $ 4     $ 1     $ 1           $ 3           $ 7           $ 8  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                         
Loss ratio
                            77.6 %     20.8 %     72.3 %     81.5 %     65.4 %           73.5 %           73.1 %           58.1 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
                            19.1       16.1       23.5       20.4       21.0             20.7             21.8             20.1  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
                            6.1       2.7       7.9       6.5       5.1             5.8             6.5             5.5  
Net underwriting expense ratio
                                  27.6       39.0       30.8       33.5       38.5             35.8             33.9             35.2  
Statutory combined ratio
                            130.4 %     78.6 %     134.5 %     141.9 %     130.0 %           135.8 %           135.3 %           118.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                                  2.8       (0.1 )     4.6       0.0       0.0             0.0             1.7             1.2  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                                  127.6 %     78.7 %     129.9 %     141.9 %     130.0 %           135.8 %           133.6 %           117.7 %
Commission expense ratio
                            22.2 %     30.7 %     27.0 %     26.0 %     28.2 %           27.0 %           27.0 %           27.9 %
Other expense ratio
                                  5.4       8.3       3.8       7.5       10.3             8.8             6.9             7.3  
Statutory expense ratio
                                  27.6 %     39.0 %     30.8 %     33.5 %     38.5 %           35.8 %           33.9 %           35.2 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                         
GAAP combined ratio
                            133.0 %     75.3 %     129.8 %     137.5 %     127.1 %           132.4 %           131.4 %           115.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
                                  2.8       (0.1 )     4.6       0.0       0.0             0.0             1.7             1.2  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
                                  130.2 %     75.4 %     125.2 %     137.5 %     127.1 %           132.4 %           129.7 %           114.2 %
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
* nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
* Statutory data does not include CSU Producers Resources Inc.
 
 
20

 
 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended March 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2011
   
2010
   
Change
   
% Change
 
                         
Net premiums written
  $ 102     $ 104     $ (2 )     (2 )
Net investment income
    34       33       1       3  
Amortization of interest maintenance reserve
    -       (1 )     1    
nm
 
Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded
    2       2       -    
nm
 
Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts
    1       1       -    
nm
 
Total revenues
  $ 139     $ 139     $ -    
nm
 
                                 
Death benefits and matured endowments
  $ 16     $ 13     $ 3       23  
Annuity benefits
    13       9       4       44  
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts
    -       1       (1 )  
nm
 
Surrender benefits and group conversions
    6       5       1       20  
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds
    3       3       -    
nm
 
Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts
    77       84       (7 )     (8 )
Total benefit expenses
  $ 115     $ 115     $ -    
nm
 
                                 
Commissions
  $ 12     $ 12     $ -    
nm
 
General insurance expenses and taxes
    10       10       -    
nm
 
Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums
    -       (1 )     1    
nm
 
Total operating expenses
  $ 22     $ 21     $ 1       5  
                                 
Federal and foreign income tax benefit
    8       (4 )     12    
nm
 
                                 
Net gain from operations before realized capital gains
  $ (6 )   $ 7     $ (13 )  
nm
 
                                 
Net realized gains net of capital gains tax
    (20 )     2       (22 )  
nm
 
                                 
Net income (loss) (statutory)
  $ (26 )   $ 9     $ (35 )  
nm
 
* Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
21