-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, FiHmBXvnSWZvSjLFl/52jTcXecvLOFEEa16QJyR4968pYXMSZ3AzPVh5CbSe7trt djXlpwtTPwdm8CAbksOHhg== 0001144204-11-005533.txt : 20110202 0001144204-11-005533.hdr.sgml : 20110202 20110202165404 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001144204-11-005533 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 4 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20110202 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20110202 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20110202 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 11567221 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 v209508_8k.htm
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report:  February 2, 2011
(Date of earliest event reported)

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio
0-4604
31-0746871
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
(Commission
File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)

6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio
45014-5141
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (513) 870-2000

N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
 
¨
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
¨
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))
 
 

 

Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 2, 2011, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2010 Results,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On February 2, 2011, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

 
2

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
 
(c)   Exhibits
 
Exhibit 99.1 – News release dated February 2, 2011, “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2010 Results”

Exhibit 99.2 – Supplemental Financial Data for the period ending December 31, 2010 distributed February 2, 2011.

Signature
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
 
 
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
   
Date: February 2, 2011
/S/Steven J. Johnston
 
Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA
 
Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Secretary and Treasurer
 
 
3

 
EX-99.1 2 v209508_ex99-1.htm Unassociated Document
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
 
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel, 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
 
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik, 513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com
 
Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2010 Results
 
Cincinnati, February 2, 2011  Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
 
·
Fourth-quarter 2010 net income of $126 million, or 77 cents per share, compared with $245 million, or $1.50 per share, in the fourth quarter of 2009; operating income* of $113 million, or 70 cents per share, up 32 percent compared with $86 million, or 53 cents per share.
·
Full-year 2010 net income of $377 million, or $2.31 per share, compared with $432 million, or $2.65, in 2009. Operating income of $274 million, or $1.68 per share, up 27 percent compared with $215 million, or $1.32.
·
$55 million decrease in full-year 2010 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of three major items: a $114 million decrease from net realized investment gains, partially offset by a $53 million improvement in property casualty underwriting results and $9 million growth in investment income. Net income and operating income for the fourth quarter of 2010 benefited from property casualty insurance results that were up by $26 million after taxes.
·
$30.91 book value per share at December 31, 2010, up 6 percent for the year and less than 1 percent for the quarter.
·
11.1 percent value creation ratio for the year 2010.
 
Financial Highlights
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
Revenue Highlights
                                   
Earned premiums
  $ 783     $ 752       4     $ 3,082     $ 3,054       1  
Investment income, pre-tax
    130       131       (1 )     518       501       3  
Total revenues
    936       1,133       (17 )     3,772       3,903       (3 )
Income Statement Data
                                               
Net income
  $ 126     $ 245       (49 )   $ 377     $ 432       (13 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    13       159       (92 )     103       217       (53 )
Operating income*
  $ 113     $ 86       32     $ 274     $ 215       27  
Per Share Data (diluted)
                                               
Net income
  $ 0.77     $ 1.50       (49 )   $ 2.31     $ 2.65       (13 )
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.07       0.97       (92 )     0.63       1.33       (53 )
Operating income*
  $ 0.70     $ 0.53       32     $ 1.68     $ 1.32       27  
                                                 
Book value
                          $ 30.91     $ 29.25       6  
Cash dividend declared
  $ 0.40     $ 0.395       1     $ 1.59     $ 1.57       1  
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
    163,392,133       163,092,882       0       163,274,491       162,866,863       0  
 
Insurance Operations Fourth-Quarter Highlights
 
·
93.1 percent fourth-quarter 2010 property casualty combined ratio and 6 percent increase in net written premiums, including personal lines segment growth of 10 percent. Full-year 2010 property casualty combined ratio at 101.7 percent, with 2 percent increase in net written premiums, including personal lines segment growth of 9 percent.
·
$107 million fourth-quarter and $414 million full-year 2010 property casualty new business written by agencies, up $13 million and $9 million, respectively. The full-year increase included $15 million from personal lines.
·
8 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to fourth-quarter results, up 2 cents from 2009. Full-year contribution to operating income from life insurance was 23 cents per share, up 1 cent.
 
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
 
·
1 percent decline in fourth-quarter 2010 after-tax investment income. 2 percent growth on a full-year basis, driven by pre-tax interest income growth of 5 percent.
·
6 percent full-year increase in fair value of invested assets plus cash at December 31, 2010, including fourth-quarter equity portfolio growth of 10 percent partially offset by a decline for the bond portfolio of 1 percent.
·
$1.042 billion parent company cash and marketable securities at December 31, 2010, up almost 5 percent from a year ago.
  
*
The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 10 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
**
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement (see Page 7).
 
1

 
Higher Operating Income and Book Value
 
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “Results from our property casualty insurance business trended positively in the fourth quarter, significantly improving our full-year 2010 performance. We achieved our best quarterly results of the year, with the highest written premium growth, lowest catastrophe losses and best combined ratio.
 
“Healthy underwriting gains for the fourth quarter surpassed the gain in 2009’s final quarter and partially offset underwriting losses in earlier 2010 quarters. Underwriting results continued to benefit in the fourth quarter and full year 2010 from our commitment to maintain consistent, careful reserving practices and from our initiatives to grow and to improve price precision.
 
“The full-year combined ratio improved 2.8 percentage points from last year. While weather-related catastrophes accounted for 0.6 percentage points of the improvement, the remainder reflects adequate reserving and quality underwriting that we believe will continue to improve. Prudent expense management has always been part of our culture, and we managed to trim expenses in some areas while investing in other areas of strategic importance, such as information technology, loss control and expansion into new markets. The net effect was a property casualty underwriting expense ratio that was even with 2009, in line with flat earned premiums for the year.
 
“Investment income, our primary source of profits, held steady. Along with the underwriting gains, they contributed to operating income that reached the highest quarterly level since fourth quarter 2007. Net income, which includes net realized investment gains, declined compared with the 2009 fourth quarter and full year, largely because we chose to take large gains in the 2009 periods from opportunistic sales of equity securities in our investment portfolio.
 
“During the 2010 fourth quarter, unrealized investment gains due to capital appreciation of our equity portfolio rose 30 percent. We chose to hold most of these unrealized gains in the portfolio, raising our property casualty surplus 4 percent and taking book value per share to its highest level since 2008’s first quarter, as equity gains largely offset lower valuations in our bond portfolio. Book value rose $1.66 per share since December 2009, and we paid shareholders $1.59 in cash dividends, which have steadily increased for 50 consecutive years.
 
“While our higher mix of equities relative to other insurer portfolios can contribute to variability of several balance sheet-related measures, we have the financial strength to absorb short-term effects, allowing equity gains to contribute to higher shareholders’ equity and book value over time. Our larger allocation to equities has the added benefit of potentially increasing dividends, and therefore investment income.”
 
Executing on Our Plans
 
Stecher noted, “We are rising to the challenges of the current environment, as demonstrated by our fourth-quarter progress on both the insurance and the investment sides of our business. To help offset the unfavorable premium revenue effect of commercial insurance pricing declines in the low single digits, we continued our expansion initiatives in the fourth quarter by appointing our first Connecticut and Oregon agencies and adding new agency relationships there and in many of our 37 other states. We expanded our product offerings in targeted markets and excess and surplus lines, and improved our mix of business in personal lines by continuing to refine our rates. We completed the 30-state rollout of our new policy administration system for commercial packages, on time and on budget.
 
“In 2010 and going forward, we continue to develop business data to support underwriting, pricing and business decisions. Pricing precision helps maintain adequate pricing for individual risks even when overall market pricing is declining. While we generally market on an account basis, preferring to package most or all of a policyholder’s property casualty coverages, we seek to write each line of business to be independently profitable. We now use predictive analytics tools to model and manage our capital and enterprise risk, and to increase pricing precision and improve loss ratios in lines of business including workers’ compensation, homeowners and, most recently, personal auto. In 2011, we will integrate predictive tools for general liability and commercial property into our policy administration systems. With improved data capabilities and tools, we expect to enhance our planning support for agency-level profitability and enhance internal processes for added efficiency, cost savings and accountability.
 
“These ongoing efforts are strengthening our competitive position, adding to the advantages we provide to our independent agent representatives and their clients. Being agency-centered was the strategy of our founders when the first Cincinnati policy was issued in January 1951. Sixty years later, we see that same strategy bringing great opportunity for growth, profits and shareholder value as the economy and the commercial insurance marketplace begin to improve.”

 
2

 
 
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 648     $ 635       2     $ 2,692     $ 2,665       1  
Agency new business written premiums
    107       94       14       414       405       2  
Other written premiums
    (33 )     (49 )     33       (143 )     (159 )     10  
Net written premiums
    722       680       6       2,963       2,911       2  
Unearned premium change
    23       33       (30 )     (39 )     0    
nm
 
Earned premiums
    745       713       4       2,924       2,911       0  
Fee revenues
    1       1       0       4       3       33  
Total premiums and fee revenues
    746       714       4       2,928       2,914       0  
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    455       464       (2 )     2,015       2,086       (3 )
Underwriting expenses
    240       239       0       960       956       0  
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 51     $ 11       364     $ (47 )   $ (128 )     63  
                                                 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    77.6 %     77.0 %     0.6       73.6 %     72.2 %     1.4  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    0.9       (1.6 )     2.5       5.6       5.9       (0.3 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (17.4 )     (10.3 )     (7.1 )     (9.8 )     (6.2 )     (3.6 )
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    (0.2 )     (0.1 )     (0.1 )     (0.5 )     (0.2 )     (0.3 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    60.9       65.0       (4.1 )     68.9       71.7       (2.8 )
Underwriting expenses
    32.2       33.6       (1.4 )     32.8       32.8       0.0  
Combined ratio
    93.1 %     98.6 %     (5.5 )     101.7 %     104.5 %     (2.8 )
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years
                                               
reserve development
    (16.7 )     (12.0 )     (4.7 )     (4.7 )     (0.5 )     (4.2 )
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior
                                               
years reserve development
    109.8 %     110.6 %     (0.8 )     106.4 %     105.0 %     1.4  
 
·
6 percent and 2 percent increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2010 property casualty net written premiums. Full-year growth of $52 million largely reflects targeted growth initiatives including $59 million from personal lines and $19 million from excess and surplus lines, partially offset by a decline in commercial lines net written premiums.
·
$9 million increase to $414 million in 2010 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution from new agency appointments and other growth initiatives in recent years. $29 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since the beginning of 2009.
·
1,245 agency relationships in 1,544 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at December 31, 2010, compared with 1,180 agency relationships in 1,463 reporting locations at year-end 2009. Ninety-three new agency appointments were made during 2010, exceeding the initial full-year target of 65. The company now markets in 39 states including Oregon, where its first agency was appointed in November.
·
5.5 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2010 improvement and 2.8 percentage-point full-year improvement in the combined ratio, driven primarily by a higher level of benefit from favorable prior accident year reserve development.
·
Underwriting results benefited from favorable prior accident year reserve development of $131 million for the fourth quarter and $304 for the full year, compared with $74 million and $188 million for the same periods of 2009.
·
Expense management efforts helped keep the full-year underwriting expense ratio even despite flat earned premiums.
 
The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses for 2010 and 2009.
 
(In millions, net of reinsurance)
       
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
         
   Commercial
   
Personal
   
E&S
         
Commercial
   
Personal
   
E&S
       
Dates
 
Cause of loss
 
Region
 
lines
   
lines
   
lines
   
Total
   
lines
   
lines
   
lines
   
Total
 
2010
                                                       
First quarter catastrophes
          $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 13     $ 5     $ -     $ 18  
Second quarter catastrophes
        (5 )     (3 )     -       (8 )     52       41       1       94  
Third quarter catastrophes
            (1 )     (1 )     -       (2 )     24       12       -       36  
Oct. 4-6
 
Flood, hail, wind
 
South
    6       1       -       7       6       1       -       7  
Oct. 26-28
 
Flood, hail, tornado, wind  
 
Midwest
    6       4       -       10       6       4       -       10  
All other fourth quarter 2010 catastrophes
        -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Development on 2009 and prior catastrophes
        -       (2 )     -       (2 )     (12 )     (5 )     -       (17 )
Calendar year incurred total
      $ 6     $ (1 )   $ -     $ 5     $ 89     $ 58     $ 1     $ 148  
                                                                         
2009
                                                                       
First quarter catastrophes
          $ (1 )   $ -     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 20     $ 49     $ -     $ 69  
Second quarter catastrophes
        (10 )     (2 )     -       (12 )     37       50       -       87  
Third quarter catastrophes
            3       (1 )     -       2       9       7       -       16  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
            -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes
        (2 )     1       -       (1 )     (12 )     5       -       (7 )
Calendar year incurred total
      $ (10 )   $ (2 )   $ -     $ (12 )   $ 54     $ 111     $ -     $ 165  
 
 
3

 
 
Insurance Operations Highlights
 
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 474     $ 478       (1 )   $ 1,978     $ 2,013       (2 )
Agency new business written premiums
    76       67       13       289       298       (3 )
Other written premiums
    (26 )     (42 )     38       (112 )     (130 )     14  
Net written premiums
    524       503       4       2,155       2,181       (1 )
Unearned premium change
    22       29       (24 )     (1 )     18    
nm
 
Earned premiums
    546       532       3       2,154       2,199       (2 )
Fee revenues
    -       -    
nm
      2       2       0  
Total premiums and fee revenues
    546       532       3       2,156       2,201       (2 )
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    319       356       (10 )     1,437       1,515       (5 )
Underwriting expenses
    175       180       (3 )     704       719       (2 )
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 52     $ (4 )  
nm
    $ 15     $ (33 )  
nm
 
                                                 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    78.5 %     79.5 %     (1.0 )     74.5 %     72.5 %     2.0  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    1.0       (1.5 )     2.5       4.7       3.0       1.7  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (21.0 )     (10.8 )     (10.2 )     (11.9 )     (6.1 )     (5.8 )
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    0.0       (0.3 )     0.3       (0.6 )     (0.5 )     (0.1 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    58.5       66.9       (8.4 )     66.7       68.9       (2.2 )
Underwriting expenses
    32.1       33.9       (1.8 )     32.7       32.7       0.0  
Combined ratio
    90.6 %     100.8 %     (10.2 )     99.4 %     101.6 %     (2.2 )
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years
                                               
reserve development
    (20.0 )     (12.6 )     (7.4 )     (7.8 )     (3.6 )     (4.2 )
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior
                                               
years reserve development
    110.6 %     113.4 %     (2.8 )     107.2 %     105.2 %     2.0  
 
·
1 percent decline in full-year 2010 commercial lines net written premiums reflected low-single-digit pricing declines for renewals and a 3 percent decline in new business.  Fourth-quarter net written premium growth benefited from a larger adjustment for estimated premiums of policies in effect but not yet processed.
·
$9 million increase to $76 million in fourth-quarter 2010 new business premiums, returning to approximately the fourth-quarter average of $78 million for 2005 through 2008.
·
$2 million full-year fee revenues, primarily from premium installment fees collected. Similar fees apply to personal lines. Fee revenues are included in underwriting profit or loss but are not included in the combined ratio.
·
10.2 percentage-point fourth-quarter 2010 combined ratio improvement primarily due to a greater amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior accident years. Loss reserving practices remain consistent with the past.
·
2.2 percentage-point full-year 2010 combined ratio improvement primarily due to a greater amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior accident years. The combined ratio was below 100 percent despite 4.1 percentage points in catastrophe losses that were 1.4 percentage points higher than the average for the previous 10 years.

 
4

 
 
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 166     $ 153       8     $ 685     $ 642       7  
Agency new business written premiums
    23       20       15       90       75       20  
Other written premiums
    (6 )     (6 )     0       (25 )     (26 )     4  
Net written premiums
    183       167       10       750       691       9  
Unearned premium change
    3       5       (40 )     (29 )     (6 )     (383 )
Earned premiums
    186       172       8       721       685       5  
Fee revenues
    1       -    
nm
      2       1       100  
Total premiums and fee revenues
    187       172       9       723       686       5  
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    130       102       27       537       551       (3 )
Underwriting expenses
    60       54       11       240       215       12  
Underwriting (loss) profit
  $ (3 )   $ 16       (119 )   $ (54 )   $ (80 )     33  
                                                 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                 
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    77.2 %     69.6 %     7.6       70.4 %     70.9 %     (0.5 )
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    0.5       (1.7 )     2.2       8.8       15.4       (6.6 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (7.0 )     (9.0 )     2.0       (4.1 )     (6.6 )     2.5  
Prior accident years catastrophe losses
    (0.8 )     0.3       (1.1 )     (0.7 )     0.7       (1.4 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    69.9       59.2       10.7       74.4       80.4       (6.0 )
Underwriting expenses
    32.0       31.7       0.3       33.3       31.4       1.9  
Combined ratio
    101.9 %     90.9 %     11.0       107.7 %     111.8 %     (4.1 )
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years
                                               
reserve development
    (7.3 )     (10.4 )     3.1       4.0       9.5       (5.5 )
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior
                                               
years reserve development
    109.2 %     101.3 %     7.9       103.7 %     102.3 %     1.4  
 
·
10 percent and 9 percent growth in fourth-quarter and full-year 2010 personal lines net written premiums, largely driven by higher renewal and new business written premiums that reflected improved pricing.
·
11.0 point rise in fourth-quarter combined ratio primarily due to a higher level of large losses and weather-related losses.
·
4.1 percentage-point full-year combined ratio improvement driven by lower losses, primarily from weather-related catastrophes, but also other losses that included the effect of improved pricing.
 
Life Insurance Operations
(In millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
                                     
Term life insurance
  $ 24     $ 22       9     $ 96     $ 86       12  
Universal life insurance
    6       8       (25 )     35       28       25  
Other life insurance, annuity, and disability income products
    8       9       (11 )     27       29       (7 )
Earned premiums
    38       39       (3 )     158       143       10  
Investment income, net of expenses
    32       32       0       129       122       6  
Other income
    -       -    
nm
      1       -    
nm
 
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
    70       71       (1 )     288       265       9  
Contract holders benefits
    41       42       (2 )     170       160       6  
Underwriting expenses
    10       15       (33 )     61       50       22  
Total benefits and expenses
    51       57       (11 )     231       210       10  
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
    19       14       36       57       55       4  
Income tax
    7       5       40       20       19       5  
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
  $ 12     $ 9       33     $ 37     $ 36       3  
 
·
$15 million or 10 percent growth in full-year 2010 earned premiums, including 12 percent for term life insurance, our largest life insurance product line. 6 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $74.124 billion at December 31, 2010, from $69.815 billion at year-end 2009.
·
$20 million or 11 percent growth to $201 million in full-year 2010 fixed annuity deposits received. Cincinnati Life does not offer variable or indexed products.
·
$82 million or 12 percent full-year 2010 growth to $748 million in GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company.

 
5

 
 
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
 
Investment Operations
(In millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
  $ 130     $ 131       (1 )   $ 518     $ 501       3  
Investment interest credited to contract holders
    (19 )     (18 )     (5 )     (79 )     (69 )     (13 )
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
                                               
Realized investment gains and losses, net
    15       261       (94 )     185       440       (58 )
Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
    4       4       0       10       27       (63 )
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
    -       (18 )  
nm
      (36 )     (131 )     264  
Total realized investment gains and losses, net
    19       247       (92 )     159       336       (53 )
Investment operations income
  $ 130     $ 360       (64 )   $ 598     $ 768       (22 )
 
(In millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change %
 
Investment income:
                                   
Interest
  $ 105     $ 105       0     $ 423     $ 402       5  
Dividends
    26       27       (4 )     99       100       (1 )
Other
    1       1       0       4       7       (43 )
Investment expenses
    (2 )     (2 )     0       (8 )     (8 )     0  
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
    130       131       (1 )     518       501       3  
Income taxes
    (32 )     (32 )     0       (126 )     (118 )     (6 )
Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
  $ 98     $ 99       (1 )   $ 392     $ 383       2  
                                                 
Effective tax rate
    24.2 %     24.1 %             24.4 %     23.6 %        
                                                 
Average yield pre-tax
    4.4 %     4.7 %             4.5 %     4.7 %        
Average yield after-tax
    3.3 %     3.6 %             3.4 %     3.6 %        
 
·
1 percent fourth-quarter 2010 decline in pre-tax investment income lagged 3 percent growth for the full year. A year-over-year decline in bond yields drove the current quarter decline while relatively higher growth in average invested assets offset lower bond yields for the full-year period.
·
$224 million or 22 percent full-year 2010 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including $70 million for the equity portfolio. $185 million of realized gains were harvested from the investment portfolio during 2010, including $174 from the equity portfolio.
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
At December 31,
   
At December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
 
Balance sheet data
           
Invested assets
  $ 11,508     $ 10,643  
Total assets
    15,095       14,440  
Short-term debt
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       790  
Shareholders' equity
    5,032       4,760  
Book value per share
    30.91       29.25  
Debt-to-total-capital ratio
    14.3 %     15.0 %
 
   
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
2010
   
2009
 
Performance measure
                       
Value creation ratio
    1.7 %     4.2 %     11.1 %     19.7 %
 
·
$11.893 billion in cash and invested assets at December 31, 2010, up 6 percent from $11.200 billion at December 31, 2009.
·
$8.383 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2010, with an average rating of A2/A. 7 percent full-year 2010 growth in fair value.
·
$3.041 billion equity portfolio was 26.4 percent of invested assets, including $755 million in pre-tax net unrealized gains at December 31, 2010. 13 percent full-year 2010 growth in fair value.
·
$3.777 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2010, up 4 percent from $3.648 billion a year ago despite returning $210 million or 6 percent through dividends to the parent company. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2010, of 0.8-to-1, unchanged from the 12 months ended December 31, 2009.
·
Value creation ratio of 11.1 percent for the year 2010 is the sum of 5.4 percent from shareholder dividends plus 5.7 percent from growth in book value per share.
 
6

 
For additional information or to register for our conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
 
Mailing Address:
P.O. Box 145496
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
Street Address:
6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
 
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 23. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
·
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
·
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
·
Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
·
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
·
Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
·
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
·
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
·
Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
 
o
Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
o
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
o
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
·
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
·
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
·
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
·
Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
·
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
 
o
Downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
o
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
 
o
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
 
o
Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
·
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
 
o
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
o
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
o
Increase our expenses
 
o
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance-related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
o
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
o
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
o
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
·
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
·
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
·
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
·
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
·
Difficulties with technology or data security breaches that could negatively affect our ability to conduct business and our relationships with agents, policyholders and others
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
 
* * *
 
7

 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)

 
December 31,
   
December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
 
             
ASSETS
           
Investments
           
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2010—$7,888; 2009—$7,514)
  $ 8,383     $ 7,855  
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2010—$2,286; 2009—$2,016)
    3,041       2,701  
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2010—$0; 2009—$6)
    -       6  
Other invested assets
    84       81  
Total investments
    11,508       10,643  
Cash and cash equivalents
    385       557  
Investment income receivable
    119       118  
Finance receivable
    73       75  
Premiums receivable
    1,015       995  
Reinsurance receivable
    572       675  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    18       15  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    488       481  
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation: 2010—$352; 2009—$335)
    229       251  
Other assets
    67       45  
Separate accounts
    621       585  
Total assets
  $ 15,095     $ 14,440  
                 
LIABILITIES
               
Insurance reserves
               
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,200     $ 4,142  
Life policy reserves
    2,034       1,783  
Unearned premiums
    1,553       1,509  
Other liabilities
    556       670  
Deferred income tax
    260       152  
Note payable
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       790  
Separate accounts
    621       585  
Total liabilities
    10,063       9,680  
                 
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2010—500 million shares, 2009—500 million shares; issued: 2010—196 million shares, 2009—196 million shares)
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,091       1,081  
Retained earnings
    3,980       3,862  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    769       624  
Treasury stock at cost (2010—34 million shares, 2009—34 million shares)
    (1,201 )     (1,200 )
Total shareholders' equity
    5,032       4,760  
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
  $ 15,095     $ 14,440  
 
 
8

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)

(In millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended December 31,
 
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
2010
   
2009
 
                         
REVENUES
                       
Earned premiums
  $ 783     $ 752     $ 3,082     $ 3,054  
Investment income, net of expenses
    130       131       518       501  
Realized investment gains and losses
    19       247       159       336  
Fee revenues
    1       1       4       3  
Other revenues
    3       2       9       9  
Total revenues
    936       1,133       3,772       3,903  
   
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
 
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
    494       505       2,180       2,242  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    249       254       1,021       1,004  
Other operating expenses
    5       6       16       20  
Interest expense
    14       13       54       55  
Total benefits and expenses
    762       778       3,271       3,321  
                                 
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
    174       355       501       582  
                                 
PROVISION FOR INCOME TAXES
                               
Current
    10       73       94       79  
Deferred
    38       37       30       71  
Total provision for income taxes
    48       110       124       150  
                                 
NET INCOME
  $ 126     $ 245     $ 377     $ 432  
                                 
PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Net income—basic
  $ 0.78     $ 1.50     $ 2.32     $ 2.66  
Net income—diluted
  $ 0.77     $ 1.50     $ 2.31     $ 2.65  

 
9

 
 
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
(See attached tables for 2010 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
 
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
 
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
 
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
 
 
(Dollars are per share)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2010
   
2009
   
2010
   
2009
 
Value creation ratio
                       
   End of period book value
  $ 30.91     $ 29.25     $ 30.91     $ 29.25  
   Less beginning of period book value
    30.80       28.44       29.25       25.75  
   Change in book value
    0.11       0.81       1.66       3.50  
   Dividend declared to shareholders
    0.40       0.395       1.59       1.57  
   Total contribution to value creation ratio
  $ 0.51     $ 1.21     $ 3.25     $ 5.07  
                                 
Contribution to value creation ratio from change in book value*
    0.4 %     2.8 %     5.7 %     13.6 %
Contribution to value creation ratio from dividends declared to shareholders**
    1.3       1.4       5.4       6.1  
   Value creation ratio
    1.7 %     4.2 %     11.1 %     19.7 %

*
Change in book value divided by the beginning of period book value
**
Dividend declared to shareholders divided by beginning of period book value
 
 
10

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Net Income Reconciliation

 
(In millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
December 31, 2010
   
December 31, 2010
 
Net income
  $ 126     $ 377  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    13       103  
Operating income
    113       274  
Less catastrophe losses
    (3 )     (96 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 116     $ 370  
                 
Diluted per share data:
               
Net income
  $ 0.77     $ 2.31  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.07       0.63  
Operating income
    0.70       1.68  
Less catastrophe losses
    (0.02 )     (0.59 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.72     $ 2.27  

Property Casualty Reconciliation
 
   
Three months ended December 31, 2010
 
   
Consolidated*
   
Commercial
   
Personal
 
Statutory ratio:
                 
Statutory combined ratio
    94.2 %     91.9 %     102.5 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    0.7       1.0       (0.3 )
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    93.5 %     90.9 %     102.8 %
                         
Commission expense ratio
    19.9 %     19.0 %     21.7 %
Other expense ratio
    13.4       14.4       10.9  
Statutory expense ratio
    33.3 %     33.4 %     32.6 %
                         
GAAP ratio:
                       
GAAP combined ratio
    93.1 %     90.6 %     101.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    0.7       1.0       (0.3 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (17.4 )     (21.0 )     (7.0 )
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior
                       
years reserve development
    109.8 %     110.6 %     109.2 %
 
   
Twelve months ended December 31, 2010
 
   
Consolidated*
   
Commercial
   
Personal
 
Statutory ratio:
                 
Statutory combined ratio
    101.8 %     99.6 %     107.1 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.1       4.1       8.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    96.7 %     95.5 %     99.0 %
                         
Commission expense ratio
    18.7 %     18.1 %     19.6 %
Other expense ratio
    14.2       14.8        13.1  
Statutory expense ratio
    32.9 %     32.9 %     32.7 %
                         
GAAP ratio:
                       
GAAP combined ratio
    101.7 %     99.4 %     107.7 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.1       4.1       8.1  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (9.8 )     (11.9 )     (4.1 )
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior
                       
years reserve development
    106.4 %     107.2 %     103.7 %

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Consolidated property casualty data include results from our excess and surplus line of business.

 
11

 
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Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
for the period ending December 31, 2010
 
6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
www.cinfin.com
 
Investor Contact:
Media Contact:
Shareholder Contact:
Dennis E. McDaniel
Joan O. Shevchik
Jerry L. Litton
(513) 870-2768
(513) 603-5323
(513) 870-2639
 
   
A.M. Best
 
Fitch
 
Moody’s
 
Standard &
Poor’s
                 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
               
Corporate Debt
 
a
 
BBB+
 
A3
 
BBB
                 
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
               
Insurer Financial Strength
               
                 
Property Casualty Group
               
Standard Market Subsidiaries:
 
A+
 
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A
Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
               
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
 
A
 
 
 
                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
  
A
  
A+
  
  
A
 
Ratings are as of February 1, 2011, under continuous review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the current ratings, select Financial Strength Ratings on www.cinfin.com.
 
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included in our periodic filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The results of operations for interim periods may not be indicative of results to be expected for the full year.
 
 

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
Fourth Quarter 2010
 
   
Page
 
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
3
     
Consolidated
 
 
Quick Reference
4
 
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2010
5
 
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2010
6
 
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation
7
 
CFC Insurance Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data
8
     
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
 
(Includes Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company (CSU))
 
 
Statutory Statements of Income
9
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Losses Incurred Detail
10
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Ratio Detail
11
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies – Loss Claim Count Detail
12
 
Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State
13
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business
14
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business
15
 
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis
16
     
Reconciliation Data
 
 
10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
17
 
6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
18
 
6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
19
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
20
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
21
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
22
     
Life Insurance Operations
 
 
Statutory Statements of Income
23
 
 

 
 
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

 
3

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quick Reference - Fourth Quarter 2010
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of December 31, 2010)

   
12/31/2010
   
Year over year
change %
       
12/31/2010
   
Year over year
change %
 
Revenues:
             
Benefits and expenses:
           
                             
Commercial lines net written premiums
  $ 524       4    
Commercial lines loss and loss expenses
  $ 319       (10 )
Personal lines net written premiums
    183       10    
Personal lines loss and loss expenses
    130       27  
Excess & surplus lines net written premiums
    15       36    
Excess & surplus lines loss and loss expenses
    6       20  
Property casualty net written premiums
    722       6    
Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits
    41       (2 )
Life and accident and health net written premiums
    47       7    
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    249       (2 )
Annuity net written premiums
    48       (29 )  
Other operating expenses
    5       (17 )
Life, annuity and accident and health net written premiums
    95       (15 )  
Interest expenses
    14       0  
Commercial lines net earned premiums
    546       3    
Total benefits & expenses
    762       (2 )
Personal lines net earned premiums
    186       8    
Income before income taxes
    174       (51 )
Excess & surplus lines net earned premiums
    13       44    
Total income tax
    48       (56 )
Property casualty net earned premiums
    745       4                      
Fee revenue
    1       0    
Balance Sheet:
               
Life and accident and health net earned premiums
    38       (3 )                    
Investment income
    130       (1 )  
Fixed maturity investments
  $ 8,383          
Realized gains on investments
    19       (92 )  
Equity securities
    3,041          
Other revenue
    3       50    
Short-term investments
    -          
Total revenues
    936       (17 )  
Other invested assets
    84          
                   
  Total invested assets
  $ 11,508          
                                     
Income:
                   
Equity in net assets of subsidiaries
  4,695           
                                     
                   
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,200          
Operating income
  $ 113       31    
Total debt
    790          
Net realized investment gains and losses
    13       (92 )  
Shareholders' equity
    5,032          
Net income
    126       (49 )                    
                   
Key ratios:
               
Per share (diluted):
                                   
                   
Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio
    90.6 %        
Operating income
  $ 0.70       32    
Personal lines GAAP combined ratio
    101.9          
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.07       (92 )  
Property casualty GAAP combined ratio
    93.1          
Net income
    0.77       (49 )                    
Book value
    30.91       6    
Commercial lines STAT combined ratio
    91.9 %        
Weighted average shares – diluted
    163,392,133       0    
Personal lines STAT combined ratio
    102.5          
                   
Property casualty STAT combined ratio
    94.2          
                                     
                   
Value creation ratio
    1.7 %        
 
 
4

 
 
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2010

(In millions)
 
CFC
   
CONSOL P&C
   
CLIC
   
CFC-I
   
CINFIN
   
ELIM
   
Total
 
Revenues:
                                         
Premiums earned:
                                         
Property casualty
  $ -     $ 3,090     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 3,090  
Life
    -       -       204       -       -       -       204  
Accident health
    -       -       7       -       -       -       7  
Premiums ceded
    -       (166 )     (53 )     -       -       -       (219 )
Total earned premium
    -       2,924       158       -       -       -       3,082  
Investment income
    41       348       129       -       -       -       518  
Realized gain on investments
    17       140       3       (1 )     -       -       159  
Fee revenue
    -       4       -       -       -       -       4  
Other revenue
    15       1       1       7       -       (15 )     9  
Total revenues
  $ 73     $ 3,417     $ 291     $ 6     $ -     $ (15 )   $ 3,772  
                                                         
Benefits & expenses:
                                                       
Losses & policy benefits
  $ -     $ 2,020     $ 233     $ -     $ -     $ (5 )   $ 2,248  
Reinsurance recoveries
    -       (5 )     (63 )     -       -       -       (68 )
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    -       960       61       -       -       -       1,021  
Other operating expenses
    23       -       -       4       -       (11 )     16  
Interest expense
    53       -       -       1       -       -       54  
Total expenses
  $ 76     $ 2,975     $ 231     $ 5     $ -     $ (16 )   $ 3,271  
                                                         
Income (loss) before income taxes
  $ (3 )   $ 442     $ 60     $ 1     $ -     $ 1     $ 501  
                                                         
Provision (benefit) for income taxes:
                                                       
Current operating income
  $ (15 )   $ 55     $ (4 )   $ 1     $ -     $ -     $ 37  
Capital gains/losses
    6       50       1       -       -       -       57  
Deferred
    2       4       25       (1 )     -       -       30  
Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
  $ (7 )   $ 109     $ 22     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 124  
                                                         
Operating income (loss)
  $ (7 )   $ 243     $ 36     $ 2     $ -     $ 1     $ 275  
                                                         
Net income - current year
  $ 4     $ 333     $ 38     $ 1     $ -     $ 1     $ 377  
                                                         
Net income (loss) - prior year
  $ 80     $ 329     $ 22     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 2     $ 432  

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
5

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2010
 
(In millions)
 
CFC
   
CONSOL P&C
   
CLIC
   
CFC-I
   
CINFIN
   
ELIM
   
Total
 
Revenues:
                                         
Premiums earned:
                                         
Property casualty
  $ -     $ 787     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 787  
Life
    -       -       52       -       -       -       52  
Accident health
    -       -       2       -       -       -       2  
Premiums ceded
    -       (42 )     (16 )     -       -       -       (58 )
Total earned premium
    -       745       38       -       -       -       783  
Investment income
    10       88       32       -       -       -       130  
Realized gain (loss) on investments
    3       12       4       -       -       -       19  
Fee revenue
    -       1       -       -       -       -       1  
Other revenue
    4       -       1       2       -       (4 )     3  
Total revenues
  $ 17     $ 846     $ 75     $ 2     $ -     $ (4 )   $ 936  
                                                         
Benefits & expenses:
                                                       
Losses & policy benefits
  $ -     $ 482     $ 59     $ -     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 540  
Reinsurance recoveries
    -       (28 )     (18 )     -       -       -       (46 )
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    -       239       10       -       -       -       249  
Other operating expenses
    6       -       -       1       -       (2 )     5  
Interest expense
    13       -       -       1       -       -       14  
Total expenses
  $ 19     $ 693     $ 51     $ 2     $ -     $ (3 )   $ 762  
                                                         
Income (loss) before income taxes
  $ (2 )   $ 153     $ 24     $ -     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 174  
                                                         
Provision (benefit) for income taxes:
                                                       
Current operating income
  $ (15 )   $ 19     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 4  
Capital gains/losses
    1       4       1       -       -       -       6  
Deferred
    12       19       7       -       -       -       38  
Total provision (benefit) for income taxes
  $ (2 )   $ 42     $ 8     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 48  
                                                         
Operating income (loss)
  $ (2 )   $ 103     $ 13     $ -     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 113  
                                                         
Net income - current year
  $ -     $ 111     $ 16     $ -     $ -     $ (1 )   $ 126  
                                                         
Net income - prior year
  $ 28     $ 200     $ 17     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 245  

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
6

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation
 
   
Years ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions except per share data)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
   
2003
   
2002
   
2001
 
                                                             
Net income
  $ 377     $ 432     $ 429     $ 855     $ 930     $ 602     $ 584     $ 374     $ 238     $ 193  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       15       -       -  
Net income before one-time item
    377       432       429       855       930       602       584       359       238       193  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    103       217       85       245       434       40       60       (27 )     (62 )     (17 )
Operating income before one-time item
    274       215       344       610       496       562       524       386       300       210  
Less catastrophe losses
    (96 )     (107 )     (132 )     (17 )     (113 )     (82 )     (96 )     (63 )     (57 )     (42 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 370     $ 322     $ 476     $ 627     $ 609     $ 644     $ 620     $ 449     $ 357     $ 252  
                                                                                 
Diluted per share data
                                                                               
Net income
  $ 2.31     $ 2.65     $ 2.62     $ 4.97     $ 5.30     $ 3.40     $ 3.28     $ 2.10     $ 1.32     $ 1.07  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.09       -       -  
Net income before one-time item
    2.31       2.65       2.62       4.97       5.30       3.40       3.28       2.01       1.32       1.07  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.63       1.33       0.52       1.43       2.48       0.23       0.34       (0.15 )     (0.35 )     (0.10 )
Operating income before one-time item
    1.68       1.32       2.10       3.54       2.82       3.17       2.94       2.16       1.67       1.17  
Less catastrophe losses
    (0.59 )     (0.66 )     (0.81 )     (0.10 )     (0.65 )     (0.46 )     (0.54 )     (0.35 )     (0.31 )     (0.23 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 2.27     $ 1.98     $ 2.91     $ 3.64     $ 3.47     $ 3.63     $ 3.48     $ 2.51     $ 1.98     $ 1.40  
                                                                                 
Return on equity
                                                                               
Return on average equity
    7.7 %     9.7 %     8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.3 %     4.1 %     3.2 %
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       (0.3 )     -       -  
Return on average equity before one-time item
    7.7 %     9.7 %     8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.0 %     4.1 %     3.2 %
                                                                                 
Value creation ratio
                                                                               
Book value per share growth
    5.7 %     13.6 %     (27.9 )%     (9.3 )%     12.9 %     (2.0 )%     1.4 %     11.7 %     (6.5 )%     (0.5 )%
Shareholder dividend declared as a percentage of beginning book value
    5.4       6.1       4.4       3.6       3.8       3.4       3.0       2.9       2.4       2.2  
Value creation ratio
    11.1 %     19.7 %     (23.5 )%     (5.7 )%     16.7 %     1.4 %     4.4 %     14.5 %     (4.1 )%     1.7 %
                                                                                 
Investment income
                                                                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  $ 518     $ 501     $ 537     $ 608     $ 570     $ 526     $ 492     $ 465     $ 445     $ 421  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
7

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance Subsidiaries
Selected Balance Sheet Data

(In millions)
 
12/31/2010
   
9/30/2010
   
6/30/2010
   
3/31/2010
   
12/31/2009
   
9/30/2009
   
6/30/2009
   
3/31/2009
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated
                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 5,818     $ 5,924     $ 5,804     $ 5,759     $ 5,663     $ 5,521     $ 5,169     $ 4,804  
Equities (fair value)
    2,175       1,927       1,862       2,013       1,910       2,477       2,247       1,986  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       -       -       -       5       10       11       13  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    314       494       363       287       242       301       25       (36 )
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    608       476       457       635       592       594       487       347  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    3,756       3,799       3,781       3,689       3,639       3,656       3,674       3,555  
Equity GAAP
    4,656       4,652       4,429       4,506       4,405       4,283       3,795       3,512  
Surplus - STAT
    3,777       3,641       3,537       3,692       3,648       3,472       3,241       3,105  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 2,315     $ 2,267     $ 2,259     $ 2,055     $ 1,927     $ 1,868     $ 1,694     $ 1,534  
Equities (fair value)
    103       108       100       114       108       123       103       89  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       -       -       -       -       1       1       -  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    148       215       154       110       72       67       (43 )     (94 )
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (4 )     1       (7 )     7       1       11       (8 )     (27 )
Equity - GAAP
    748       775       729       700       666       653       563       454  
Surplus - STAT
    303       316       307       310       300       283       270       254  
                                                                 
   
12/31/2008
   
9/30/2008
   
6/30/2008
   
3/31/2008
   
12/31/2007
   
9/30/2007
   
6/30/2007
   
3/31/2007
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 4,309     $ 4,183     $ 4,304     $ 4,351     $ 4,295     $ 4,366     $ 4,367     $ 4,362  
Equities (fair value)
    2,432       3,210       3,537       4,226       4,595       5,201       5,411       5,472  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    19       162       -       51       50       19       72       3  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (108 )     (132 )     (33 )     39       58       23       (30 )     44  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    627       1,012       1,227       1,831       2,077       2,657       2,917       3,017  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    3,494       3,507       3,534       3,448       3,398       3,461       3,374       3,373  
Equity GAAP
    3,667       3,947       4,011       4,498       4,784       5,282       5,404       5,272  
Surplus - STAT
    3,360       3,687       3,650       4,027       4,307       4,782       4,937       4,741  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,467     $ 1,483     $ 1,551     $ 1,534     $ 1,465     $ 1,475     $ 1,415     $ 1,384  
Equities (fair value)
    122       200       265       307       371       459       478       539  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       -       -       -       51       18       29       16  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    (115 )     (79 )     (35 )     -       6       4       (4 )     20  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    (7 )     61       92       127       162       225       254       305  
Equity - GAAP
    471       530       617       661       685       724       730       739  
Surplus - STAT
    290       371       420       453       477       485       491       483  
 
 
8

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended December 31,
   
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
   
Change
   
Change
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change
   
Change
 
Underwriting income
                                               
Net premiums written
  $ 721     $ 680     $ 41       6     $ 2,963     $ 2,911     $ 52       2  
Unearned premiums increase
    (24 )     (33 )     9       27       39       -       39    
nm
 
Earned premiums
  $ 745     $ 713     $ 32       4     $ 2,924     $ 2,911     $ 13    
nm
 
                                                                 
Losses incurred
  $ 356     $ 356     $ -    
nm
    $ 1,652     $ 1,706     $ (54 )     (3 )
Allocated loss expenses incurred
    50       53       (3 )     (6 )     178       183       (5 )     (3 )
Unallocated loss expenses incurred
    48       55       (7 )     (13 )     185       197       (12 )     (6 )
Other underwriting expenses incurred
    236       227       9       4       960       936       24       3  
Workers compensation dividend incurred
    4       4       -    
nm
      14       17       (3 )     (18 )
                                                                 
Total underwriting deductions
  $ 694     $ 695     $ (1 )  
nm
    $ 2,989     $ 3,039     $ (50 )     (2 )
Net underwriting gains (losses)
  $ 51     $ 18     $ 33       183     $ (65 )   $ (128 )   $ 63       49  
                                                                 
Investment income
                                                               
Gross investment income earned
  $ 91     $ 91     $ -    
nm
    $ 360     $ 346     $ 14       4  
Net investment income earned
    90       90       -    
nm
      355       341       14       4  
Net realized capital gains
    6       127       (121 )     (95 )     90       143       (53 )     (37 )
Net investment gains (excl. subs)
  $ 96     $ 217     $ (121 )     (56 )   $ 445     $ 484     $ (39 )     (8 )
Dividend from subsidiary
    -       -       -    
nm
      -       -       -    
nm
 
Net investment gains (net of tax)
  $ 96     $ 217     $ (121 )     (56 )   $ 445     $ 484     $ (39 )     (8 )
                                                                 
Other income
  $ 1     $ (9 )   $ 10    
nm
    $ 4     $ (5 )   $ 9    
nm
 
                                                                 
Net income before federal income taxes
  $ 148     $ 226     $ (78 )     (35 )   $ 384     $ 351     $ 33       9  
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred
  $ 19     $ 7     $ 12       171     $ 53     $ 1     $ 52    
nm
 
Net income (statutory)
  $  129     $  219     $  (90 )     (41 )   $  331     $  350     $  (19 )     (5 )

*
Dollaramounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*
Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed withthe appropriate regulatory bodies.
*
ExcludesCSU Producers Resources Inc.

 
9

 

 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Losses Incurred Detail

    
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(In millions)
 
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Consolidated Loss Detail
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 15     $ 17     $ 11     $ 6     $ 9     $ 18     $ 21     $ 9     $ 17     $ 30     $ 34     $ 48     $ 49     $ 57  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    43       36       30       35       37       43       39       28       64       67       100       110       142       147  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    47       46       52       52       48       56       47       62       104       109       150       164       200       212  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    45       66       30       37       89       51       70       56       68       125       134       177       178       265  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 150     $ 165     $ 123     $ 130     $ 183     $ 168     $ 177     $ 155     $ 253     $ 331     $ 418     $ 499     $ 569     $ 681  
IBNR incurred
    18       16       11       12       19       12       39       18       23       58       41       69       59       89  
Catastrophe losses incurred
    5       28       99       15       (12 )     6       118       53       114       171       143       177       148       165  
Remaining incurred
    184       228       241       228       166       182       191       232       468       422       694       605       876       771  
Total losses incurred
  $ 357     $ 437     $ 474     $ 385     $ 356     $ 368     $ 525     $ 458     $ 858     $ 982     $ 1,296     $ 1,350     $ 1,652     $ 1,706  
Commercial Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 10     $ 17     $ 11     $ 6     $ 9     $ 13     $ 21     $ 9     $ 17     $ 30     $ 34     $ 43     $ 44     $ 52  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    38       28       22       32       34       33       36       26       54       62       82       96       120       130  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    31       37       40       40       35       44       39       47       80       86       117       129       148       164  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    41       62       29       32       83       49       63       51       61       114       123       163       164       245  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 120     $ 144     $ 102     $ 110     $ 161     $ 139     $ 159     $ 133     $ 212     $ 292     $ 356     $ 431     $ 476     $ 591  
IBNR incurred
    19       10       7       9       28       11       37       18       17       56       27       67       45       95  
Catastrophe losses incurred
    5       17       57       10       (10 )     (7 )     57       14       66       71       84       64       89       54  
Remaining incurred
    97       141       152       152       88       113       113       156       304       268       444       382       542       470  
Total losses incurred
  $ 241     $ 312     $ 318     $ 281     $ 267     $ 256     $ 366     $ 321     $ 599     $ 687     $ 911     $ 944     $ 1,152     $ 1,210  
Personal Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 5     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5     $ 5     $ 5  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    5       5       7       3       3       10       3       2       10       5       15       14       20       17  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    14       7       10       10       13       12       8       15       20       23       27       35       41       48  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    3       4       1       3       5       2       7       5       4       11       8       14       11       19  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 27     $ 16     $ 18     $ 16     $ 21     $ 29     $ 18     $ 22     $ 34     $ 39     $ 50     $ 68     $ 77     $ 89  
IBNR incurred
    1       4       2       1       (10 )     -       -       (1 )     2       (1 )     7       (1 )     8       (11 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (1 )     11       43       5       (2 )     13       61       39       48       100       59       113       58       111  
Remaining incurred
    86       84       83       75       76       65       76       75       159       151       243       216       328       292  
Total losses incurred
  $ 113     $ 115     $ 146     $ 97     $ 85     $ 107     $ 155     $ 135     $ 243     $ 289     $ 359     $ 396     $ 471     $ 481  
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     $  -     -     $  -  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    -       3       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       3       -       3       -  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    2       2       3       2       -       -       -       -       5       -       6       -       9       -  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    1       -       -       2       1       -       -       -       2       -       3       -       3       1  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 3     $ 5     $ 3     $ 4     $ 1     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 7     $ -     $ 12     $ -     $ 15     $ 1  
IBNR incurred
    (2 )     2       2       2       1       1       2       1       5       3       7       3       4       5  
Catastrophe losses incurred
    1       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       1       -  
Remaining incurred
    1       3       4       1       2       4       2       1       4       3       7       7       9       9  
Total losses incurred
  $ 3     $ 10     $ 9     $ 7     $ 4     $ 5     $ 4     $ 2     $ 16     $ 6     $ 26     $ 10     $ 29     $ 15  

*
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
10

 
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Ratio Detail

 
   
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Consolidated Loss Ratio
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2.0 %     2.3 %     1.5 %     0.8 %     1.3 %     2.5 %     2.8 %     1.3 %     1.2 %     2.0 %     1.6 %     2.2 %     1.7 %     2.0 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    5.7       4.8       4.0       4.9       5.2       5.9       5.3       3.8       4.6       4.5       4.6       5.0       4.9       5.1  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    6.7       6.2       7.2       7.4       6.7       7.5       6.4       8.4       7.2       7.5       6.9       7.4       6.8       7.3  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    5.9       8.9       4.2       5.3       12.4       7.0       9.6       7.6       4.7       8.5       6.2       8.0       6.1       9.0  
Large losses subtotal
    20.3 %     22.2 %     16.9 %     18.4 %     25.6 %     22.9 %     24.1 %     21.1 %     17.7 %     22.5 %     19.3 %     22.6 %     19.5 %     23.4 %
IBNR incurred
    2.5       2.3       1.6       1.7       2.7       1.7       5.3       2.5       1.6       3.9       1.8       3.2       2.0       3.0  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1       (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       7.9       11.6       6.5       8.1       5.1       5.7  
Remaining incurred
    24.4       30.5       33.0       32.1       23.3       24.7       26.1       31.7       32.6       29.0       31.9       27.5       30.0       26.5  
Total loss ratio
    47.9 %     58.8 %     65.1 %     54.3 %     49.9 %     50.2 %     71.6 %     62.5 %     59.8 %     67.0 %     59.5 %     61.4 %     56.6 %     58.6 %
Commercial Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1.8 %     3.1 %     2.0 %     1.1 %     1.7 %     2.4 %     3.7 %     1.7 %     1.6 %     2.7 %     2.1 %     2.6 %     2.0 %     2.4 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    7.0       5.1       4.1       6.1       6.4       6.1       6.5       4.7       5.1       5.6       5.1       5.8       5.6       5.9  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    5.8       6.7       7.4       7.7       6.5       7.8       7.0       8.4       7.5       7.7       7.3       7.8       6.9       7.5  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    7.4       11.4       5.4       6.2       15.5       8.8       11.4       9.1       5.8       10.3       7.7       9.8       7.6       11.1  
Large losses subtotal
    22.0 %     26.3 %     18.9 %     21.1 %     30.1 %     25.1 %     28.6 %     23.9 %     20.0 %     26.3 %     22.2 %     26.0 %     22.1 %     26.9 %
IBNR incurred
    3.3       1.9       1.3       1.8       5.3       2.0       6.7       3.3       1.6       5.0       1.7       4.0       2.1       4.3  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    1.0       3.2       10.5       1.8       (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.3       2.5       6.2       6.4       5.2       3.8       4.1       2.5  
Remaining incurred
    17.8       25.7       28.3       29.0       16.6       20.3       20.4       27.9       28.6       24.1       27.6       22.9       25.2       21.4  
Total loss ratio
    44.1 %     57.1 %     59.0 %     53.7 %     50.2 %     46.2 %     66.0 %     57.6 %     56.4 %     61.8 %     56.7 %     56.7 %     53.5 %     55.1 %
Personal Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2.7 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     2.9 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     1.0 %     0.7 %     0.7 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    2.3       2.8       4.4       1.5       1.6       5.7       1.9       0.8       3.0       1.4       2.9       2.8       2.8       2.5  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    7.8       4.0       5.6       5.5       7.5       7.0       4.8       8.6       5.6       6.7       5.0       6.7       5.7       6.9  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    1.8       2.0       0.6       1.9       3.2       1.3       3.7       3.0       1.2       3.3       1.5       2.7       1.6       2.9  
Large losses subtotal
    14.6 %     8.8 %     10.6 %     8.9 %     12.3 %     16.9 %     10.4 %     12.4 %     9.8 %     11.4 %     9.4 %     13.2 %     10.8 %     13.0 %
IBNR incurred
    0.8       2.4       0.9       0.3       (5.7 )     (0.2 )     0.1       (0.6 )     0.6       (0.3 )     1.2       (0.3 )     1.1       (1.6 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (0.3 )     6.0       23.8       3.0       (1.4 )     7.9       35.4       22.6       13.5       29.0       11.0       22.0       8.1       16.1  
Remaining incurred
    45.3       46.0       47.1       43.1       44.2       38.5       44.2       43.9       45.1       44.1       45.4       42.2       45.4       42.7  
Total loss ratio
    60.4 %     63.2 %     82.4 %     55.3 %     49.4 %     63.1 %     90.1 %     78.3 %     69.0 %     84.2 %     67.0 %     77.1 %     65.4 %     70.2 %
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    0.0       19.4       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       7.1       0.0       5.1       0.0  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    17.5       16.7       22.8       16.9       4.4       0.0       0.0       0.0       19.9       0.0       18.7       0.0       18.4       1.5  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    1.8       2.5       2.7       20.7       5.5       0.0       0.0       0.0       11.6       0.0       13.1       0.0       14.2       1.9  
Large losses subtotal
    19.3 %     38.6 %     25.5 %     37.6 %     9.9 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     31.5 %     0.0 %     38.9 %     0.0 %     37.7 %     3.4 %
IBNR incurred
    (13.2 )     14.9       23.5       18.4       11.4       5.6       26.7       22.4       23.7       24.9       18.5       16.5       9.6       14.8  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (0.1 )     4.6       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       1.7       0.0       1.2       0.0  
Remaining incurred
    14.7       14.2       32.5       9.4       21.1       46.7       32.8       29.1       18.3       31.3       18.8       38.0       17.4       32.3  
Total loss ratio
    20.7 %     72.3 %     81.5 %     65.4 %     42.4 %     52.3 %     59.5 %     51.5 %     73.5 %     56.2 %     77.9 %     54.5 %     65.9 %     50.5 %

*
Certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
11

 

 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Loss Claim Count Detail

 
   
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Consolidated Loss Claim Count
                                                                                   
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    3       3       2       1       2       4       4       2       3       6       6       10       9       12  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    23       20       18       19       19       26       22       16       37       38       57       64       80       83  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    123       112       117       123       107       130       114       149       240       263       352       393       475       500  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    80       101       73       77       122       81       108       89       150       197       251       278       331       400  
Large losses total
    229       236       210       220       250       241       248       256       430       504       666       745       895       995  
Commercial Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2       3       2       1       2       3       4       2       3       6       6       9       8       11  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    20       15       12       17       17       20       19       15       29       34       44       54       64       71  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    79       88       88       95       77       101       92       112       183       204       271       305       350       382  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    70       93       70       67       108       74       93       77       137       170       230       244       300       352  
Large losses total
    171       199       172       180       204       198       208       206       352       414       551       612       722       816  
Personal Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1       -       -       -       -       1       -       -       -       -       -       1       1       1  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    3       3       6       2       2       6       3       1       8       4       11       10       14       12  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    38       19       24       24       29       29       22       37       48       59       67       88       105       117  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    9       7       2       5       13       7       15       12       7       27       14       34       23       47  
Large losses total
    51       29       32       31       44       43       40       50       63       90       92       133       143       177  
Excess & Surplus Lines Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    -       2       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       2       -       2       -  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    6       5       5       4       1       -       -       -       9       -       14       -       20       1  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    1       1       1       5       1       -       -       -       6       -       7       -       8       1  
Large losses total
    7       8       6       9       2       -       -       -       15       -       23       -       30       2  
 
The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*
Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
12

 

 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Agency Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2010
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Commercial Lines
   
Personal Lines
         
Consolidated
   
Comm'l
   
Personal
   
E & S
   
Consol
 
Risk
State
 
Comm
Casualty
   
Comm
Property
   
Comm
Auto
   
Workers'
Comp
   
Spec
Packages
   
Surety &
Exec Risk
   
Mach. &
Equipment
   
Personal
Auto
   
Home
Owner
   
Other
Personal
   
E & S
Lines
   
2010
Total
   
2009
Total
   
Change
%
   
Change
%
   
Change
%
   
Change
%
 
                                                                                                       
 AL
  $ 15.9     $ 18.0     $ 7.4     $ 1.1     $ 8.5     $ 2.2     $ 1.0     $ 16.3     $ 25.4     $ 5.7     $ 2.1     $ 103.7     $ 104.0       (3.2 )     0.8       120.6       (0.2 )
 AZ
    9.4       6.0       8.8       1.3       0.9       1.0       0.6       1.2       1.1       0.4       0.8       31.5       31.7       (6.1 )     61.0       165.0       (0.8 )
 AR
    8.3       11.0       5.6       3.3       4.7       1.5       0.6       3.2       3.6       1.1       1.2       44.1       42.5       0.1       17.5       53.5       3.8  
 CO
    3.3       4.0       2.3       0.3       0.1       0.7       0.3       -       0.2       -       0.5       11.6       2.4       400.8       23.8    
nm
      375.7  
 CT
    0.1       0.1       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.5       0.5       3.3       17.2    
nm
      6.2  
 DE
    2.5       2.0       1.6       3.1       0.3       0.2       0.2       -       -       -       -       9.8       7.8       25.3       6.1    
nm
      25.3  
 FL
    20.8       20.8       8.5       1.1       1.9       2.4       0.9       9.4       13.1       2.6       1.9       83.5       90.2       (6.7 )     (15.0 )  
nm
      (7.5 )
 GA
    24.0       22.4       17.1       11.9       7.7       5.8       1.3       32.1       29.3       8.7       4.5       164.6       159.1       1.1       4.9       44.5       3.5  
 ID
    7.4       4.9       4.9       0.1       0.8       0.9       0.3       1.2       0.7       0.2       0.4       21.8       22.5       (10.4 )     221.7       110.5       (2.8 )
 IL
    56.2       43.3       27.3       51.2       12.3       6.9       3.1       27.2       21.1       7.0       4.7       260.4       262.2       (3.7 )     9.9       21.1       (0.7 )
 IN
    40.2       34.7       20.9       23.8       8.2       6.8       2.4       29.0       27.4       7.4       6.7       207.5       208.7       (5.1 )     7.4       34.5       (0.6 )
 IA
    18.4       14.6       9.0       21.2       4.3       3.0       1.3       3.7       4.0       1.8       0.9       82.2       84.1       (4.2 )     9.7       113.5       (2.2 )
 KS
    7.4       8.5       4.6       7.8       3.4       1.6       0.5       4.5       5.6       1.3       0.5       45.9       45.0       0.1       6.8       21.3       1.9  
 KY
    20.5       21.8       13.7       3.1       6.0       3.7       1.1       23.2       17.8       4.9       2.3       118.2       112.2       0.7       11.3       54.6       5.3  
 MD
    12.2       6.9       10.9       9.3       1.3       2.0       0.5       0.7       2.0       0.6       1.3       47.5       46.9       (1.1 )     25.2       61.6       1.4  
 MI
    30.5       22.1       13.6       14.8       10.7       6.2       2.0       13.2       14.7       3.5       2.7       134.0       132.2       (1.6 )     10.3       26.8       1.4  
 MN
    17.9       16.1       7.8       6.9       3.5       2.4       1.3       7.3       6.6       3.3       1.8       75.0       74.4       (3.4 )     14.7       25.6       0.8  
 MO
    20.3       20.4       12.9       12.8       6.2       2.6       1.4       4.0       5.5       1.3       3.2       90.7       89.4       (2.6 )     24.1       57.3       1.4  
 MT
    10.5       6.8       5.8       0.1       1.2       0.7       0.5       1.6       1.4       0.3       0.3       29.1       30.9       (9.6 )     39.3       7.2       (5.7 )
 NE
    6.2       6.0       3.4       6.6       1.4       1.0       0.5       0.7       0.9       0.3       0.5       27.5       27.1       1.1       (4.2 )     93.9       1.6  
 NH
    2.9       1.9       1.2       2.4       0.9       0.6       0.2       0.8       0.8       0.4       0.4       12.4       11.7       1.7       18.8       72.3       5.7  
 NM
    2.6       1.1       1.6       0.7       0.2       0.7       0.1       -       -       -       0.5       7.4       6.8       5.7       56.4       141.2       9.6  
 NY
    28.4       10.1       10.8       2.3       1.5       3.1       0.8       -       0.1       -       0.8       57.9       59.6       (3.3 )     10.9       68.6       (2.8 )
 NC
    30.9       28.3       18.8       19.5       13.6       8.1       2.0       12.1       9.0       4.3       2.3       149.0       143.4       (4.4 )     74.1       21.7       3.9  
 ND
    5.1       3.8       2.5       -       1.0       0.7       0.3       0.5       0.5       0.2       0.2       14.8       14.4       1.3       9.7       78.8       2.6  
 OH
    129.6       91.2       61.0       -       21.0       23.4       5.3       121.1       89.3       32.4       7.2       581.2       580.6       (2.3 )     2.8       34.0       0.1  
 OR
    0.1       0.1       0.1       0.1       -       0.1       -       -       -       -       0.1       0.6       0.4       1.6    
nm
   
nm
      18.9  
 PA
    42.3       30.0       28.1       45.4       10.2       6.2       2.1       7.5       6.3       3.5       2.7       184.4       181.5       0.5       5.0       92.8       1.6  
 SC
    10.8       8.6       7.1       3.6       2.6       2.2       0.4       1.6       1.3       0.5       0.9       39.8       38.1       (2.5 )     177.3       54.8       4.2  
 SD
    2.1       1.8       1.3       2.2       0.5       0.8       0.1       -       -       -       0.2       9.1       12.2       (26.6 )     (35.8 )     194.7       (25.1 )
 TN
    21.2       19.6       13.7       9.2       10.0       5.1       1.3       9.8       10.4       3.7       1.5       105.6       100.0       2.7       14.9       39.0       5.6  
 TX
    12.8       11.8       7.7       1.9       0.5       1.0       0.9       -       -       -       3.7       40.4       17.7       118.6       (46.1 )     343.4       129.0  
 UT
    10.0       4.9       5.9       0.1       0.8       2.1       0.4       3.5       1.4       0.3       1.2       30.4       30.0       (10.0 )     146.4       10.3       1.5  
 VT
    4.5       3.7       2.8       7.0       0.9       1.1       0.3       0.9       1.0       0.3       0.5       23.0       21.8       3.6       22.9       40.1       5.8  
 VA
    28.6       23.2       17.9       17.7       5.0       6.5       1.4       9.7       8.1       3.0       2.1       123.2       120.3       1.3       5.0       51.6       2.5  
 WA
    2.8       1.6       1.9       -       -       0.5       0.1       -       -       -       0.6       7.6       5.1       49.0       231.2       47.0       48.9  
 WV
    6.3       4.7       4.3       1.3       2.1       0.9       0.3       -       0.6       0.2       1.4       22.1       23.8       (9.6 )     (10.4 )     43.4       (7.5 )
 WI
    23.3       15.9       10.7       24.5       4.1       2.7       1.7       8.7       7.5       3.5       1.9       104.4       106.4       (3.8 )     4.8       24.3       (1.9 )
 WY
    0.8       0.5       0.2       -       -       0.1       -       -       -       -       0.1       1.7       1.4       14.3       7.9    
nm
      20.7  
 All Other
    2.6       2.1       2.2       3.2       0.3       1.3       0.1       -       0.1       -       -       12.0       12.7       (6.4 )     (0.3 )  
nm
      (6.1 )
 Total
  $ 699.6     $ 555.6     $ 386.2     $ 320.8     $ 158.6     $ 118.9     $ 37.4     $ 355.0     $ 316.8     $ 102.8     $ 64.6     $ 3,116.4     $ 3,061.7       (1.1 )     7.9       55.1       1.8  
 Other Direct
    -       0.9       -       3.3       -       -       -       -       0.2       -       -       4.4       7.2       (14.0 )     (89.1 )  
nm
      (38.3 )
 Total Direct
  $ 699.6     $ 556.5     $ 386.2     $ 324.1     $ 158.6     $ 118.9     $ 37.4     $ 355.0     $ 317.0     $ 102.8     $ 64.6     $ 3,120.8     $ 3,068.9       (1.1 )     7.6       55.1       1.7  
 
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to the nearest hundred thousand; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Percentage changes are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
13

 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 
 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions) 
 
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Commercial casualty:
                               
`
                                                 
Written premiums
  $ 166     $ 161     $ 168     $ 191     $ 156     $ 168     $ 171     $ 209     $ 359     $ 379     $ 520     $ 548     $ 686     $ 704  
Earned premiums
    175       182       172       164       166       180       180       187       336       366       518       546       693       712  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    49.6 %     56.5 %     48.3 %     58.3 %     64.7 %     45.0 %     54.2 %     55.2 %     53.2 %     54.7 %     54.4 %     51.5 %     53.2 %     54.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    49.6 %     56.5 %     48.3 %     58.3 %     64.7 %     45.0 %     54.2 %     55.2 %     53.2 %     54.7 %     54.4 %     51.5 %     53.2 %     54.6 %
                                                                                                                 
Commercial property:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 122     $ 122     $ 124     $ 129     $ 115     $ 124     $ 113     $ 132     $ 253     $ 245     $ 375     $ 370     $ 497     $ 485  
Earned premiums
    124       123       121       121       122       122       120       121       242       241       365       362       489       485  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    55.7 %     70.8 %     90.1 %     71.0 %     34.9 %     42.8 %     88.3 %     69.0 %     80.5 %     78.6 %     77.3 %     66.6 %     71.8 %     58.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    2.3       9.0       36.7       8.3       (5.1 )     0.6       23.5       7.4       22.5       15.4       18.0       10.4       14.0       6.6  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    53.4 %     61.8 %     53.4 %     62.7 %     40.0 %     42.2 %     64.8 %     61.6 %     58.0 %     63.2 %     59.3 %     56.2 %     57.8 %     52.1 %
                                                                                                                 
Commercial auto:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 92     $ 91     $ 99     $ 103     $ 93     $ 92     $ 94     $ 110     $ 202     $ 204     $ 293     $ 296     $ 385     $ 388  
Earned premiums
    97       96       96       95       98       99       98       99       191       197       287       296       384       394  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    55.1 %     61.3 %     72.9 %     61.0 %     69.3 %     67.9 %     62.5 %     59.7 %     67.0 %     61.1 %     65.1 %     63.4 %     62.6 %     64.9 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    0.4       (0.5 )     4.2       (1.0 )     0.4       (0.8 )     3.3       (0.1 )     1.6       1.6       0.9       0.8       0.8       0.7  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    54.7 %     61.8 %     68.7 %     62.0 %     68.9 %     68.7 %     59.2 %     59.8 %     65.4 %     59.5 %     64.2 %     62.6 %     61.8 %     64.2 %
                                                                                                                 
Workers' compensation:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 75     $ 68     $ 72     $ 95     $ 71     $ 69     $ 79     $ 104     $ 167     $ 183     $ 235     $ 252     $ 310     $ 323  
Earned premiums
    81       77       79       74       74       82       88       83       153       171       230       253       311       326  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    82.8 %     112.2 %     89.9 %     91.4 %     137.1 %     110.2 %     130.2 %     117.5 %     90.6 %     124.0 %     97.8 %     119.5 %     93.9 %     123.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    82.8 %     112.2 %     89.9 %     91.4 %     137.1 %     110.2 %     130.2 %     117.5 %     90.6 %     124.0 %     97.8 %     119.5 %     93.9 %     123.5 %
                                                                                                                 
Specialty package:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 37     $ 37     $ 36     $ 39     $ 37     $ 38     $ 35     $ 38     $ 75     $ 73     $ 112     $ 110     $ 149     $ 148  
Earned premiums
    37       38       37       37       37       37       37       35       74       72       112       110       149       147  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    34.9 %     89.1 %     85.6 %     89.0 %     40.5 %     33.5 %     114.3 %     96.0 %     87.3 %     105.4 %     87.9 %     81.0 %     74.8 %     70.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    6.9       18.7       20.2       1.1       (10.2 )     (18.2 )     68.8       13.7       10.8       41.9       13.4       21.5       11.9       13.4  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    28.0 %     70.4 %     65.4 %     87.9 %     50.7 %     51.7 %     45.5 %     82.3 %     76.5 %     63.5 %     74.5 %     59.5 %     62.9 %     57.2 %
                                                                                                                 
Surety and executive risk:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 23     $ 23     $ 24     $ 23     $ 23     $ 28     $ 25     $ 25     $ 47     $ 50     $ 70     $ 78     $ 93     $ 101  
Earned premiums
    24       22       25       24       27       27       25       25       49       50       71       77       95       104  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    119.5 %     73.9 %     36.2 %     51.1 %     95.7 %     85.6 %     67.0 %     30.3 %     43.6 %     48.8 %     53.2 %     61.7 %     69.9 %     70.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    119.5 %     73.9 %     36.2 %     51.1 %     95.7 %     85.6 %     67.0 %     30.3 %     43.6 %     48.8 %     53.2 %     61.7 %     69.9 %     70.5 %
                                                                                                                 
Machinery and equipment:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 9     $ 9     $ 9     $ 8     $ 8     $ 9     $ 7     $ 8     $ 17     $ 15     $ 26     $ 24     $ 35     $ 32  
Earned premiums
    8       9       8       8       8       8       8       7       16       15       25       23       33       31  
Loss and loss expense ratio
    17.7 %     11.9 %     51.9 %     6.1 %     (47.6 ) %     38.4 %     39.7 %     59.3 %     29.3 %     49.3 %     23.4 %     45.6 %     21.9 %     21.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.3 )     (1.7 )     1.8       (1.0 )     (3.5 )     (0.1 )     1.2       4.5       0.4       2.8       (0.3 )     1.8       (0.3 )     0.5  
Loss and loss expense excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    18.0 %     13.6 %     50.1 %     7.1 %     (44.1 ) %     38.5 %     38.5 %     54.8 %     28.9 %     46.5 %     23.7 %     43.8 %     22.2 %     21.1 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
 
14

 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 
 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
                                                                                     
Personal auto:
                                                                                   
Written premiums
  $ 84     $ 98     $ 97     $ 73     $ 77     $ 90     $ 89     $ 68     $ 170     $ 157     $ 268     $ 246     $ 352     $ 324  
Earned premiums
    87       86       83       81       80       80       80       79       164       159       250       239       337       319  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    78.6 %     68.1 %     73.6 %     58.2 %     71.8 %     64.9 %     75.7 %     63.6 %     66.0 %     69.7 %     66.7 %     68.1 %     69.8 %     69.0 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.1 )     0.1       4.0       (0.1 )     (0.8 )     0.6       3.1       0.3       2.0       1.7       1.3       1.4       1.0       0.8  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    78.7 %     68.0 %     69.6 %     58.3 %     72.6 %     64.3 %     72.6 %     63.3 %     64.0 %     68.0 %     65.4 %     66.7 %     68.8 %     68.2 %
                                                                                                                 
Homeowner:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 75     $ 83     $ 81     $ 60     $ 68     $ 75     $ 76     $ 56     $ 141     $ 132     $ 224     $ 208     $ 299     $ 275  
Earned premiums
    75       72       72       70       69       68       70       70       142       140       214       207       289       276  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    72.1 %     84.5 %     123.8 %     76.0 %     53.0 %     96.4 %     147.8 %     132.9 %     100.2 %     140.3 %     94.9 %     126.0 %     89.0 %     107.8 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.9 )     13.4       52.8       6.9       (2.6 )     18.0       77.6       51.5       30.1       64.5       24.5       49.4       17.9       36.4  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    73.0 %     71.1 %     71.0 %     69.1 %     55.6 %     78.4 %     70.2 %     81.4 %     70.1 %     75.8 %     70.4 %     76.6 %     71.1 %     71.4 %
                                                                                                                 
Other personal:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 24     $ 27     $ 26     $ 22     $ 22     $ 25     $ 25     $ 21     $ 48     $ 45     $ 75     $ 70     $ 99     $ 92  
Earned premiums
    24       24       24       23       23       22       22       22       47       44       71       67       95       90  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    32.1 %     50.3 %     53.0 %     51.5 %     33.8 %     33.8 %     42.6 %     37.8 %     52.3 %     40.2 %     51.6 %     38.0 %     46.6 %     36.9 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    0.9       4.3       5.3       2.8       0.5       3.4       18.7       11.0       4.1       14.8       4.2       11.0       3.3       8.3  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    31.2 %     46.0 %     47.7 %     48.7 %     33.3 %     30.4 %     23.9 %     26.8 %     48.2 %     25.4 %     47.4 %     27.0 %     43.3 %     28.6 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 
 
15

 
 
Cincinnati Insurance Companies Consolidated
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis

 
         
Paid
                     
Loss
                     
Loss
       
   
Paid
   
loss
   
Total
   
Case
   
IBNR
   
expense
   
Total
   
Case
   
IBNR
   
expense
   
Total
 
(In millions)
 
losses
   
expense
   
paid
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
incurred
   
incurred
   
incurred
   
incurred
 
Gross loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2010
                                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 295     $ 117     $ 412     $ (78 )   $ 13     $ (8 )   $ (73 )   $ 217     $ 13     $ 109     $ 339  
Commercial property
    274       44       319       45       (3 )     2       44       319       (3 )     46       362  
Commercial auto
    221       38       259       (8 )     (6 )     (5 )     (19 )     213       (6 )     33       240  
Workers' compensation
    228       39       267       24       6       5       35       252       6       44       302  
Specialty packages
    83       19       102       12       (3 )     -       9       95       (3 )     19       111  
Surety and executive risk
    58       13       71       3       4       1       8       61       4       14       79  
Machinery and equipment
    7       1       8       (1 )     -       -       (1 )     6       -       1       7  
Total commercial lines
    1,166       271       1,437       (3 )     11       (5 )     3       1,163       11       266       1,440  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    205       30       235       (3 )     3       -       -       202       3       30       235  
Homeowners
    217       32       249       16       (5 )     -       11       233       (5 )     32       260  
Other personal
    43       5       48       (8 )     2       -       (6 )     35       2       5       42  
Total personal lines
    465       67       532       5       -       -       5       470       -       67       537  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    6       2       8       18       6       10       34       24       6       12       42  
Total excess & surplus lines
    6       2       8       18       6       10       34       24       6       12       42  
Total property casualty
  $ 1,637     $ 340     $ 1,977     $ 20     $ 17     $ 5     $ 42     $ 1,657     $ 17     $ 345     $ 2,019  
                                                                                         
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2010
                                                                         
Commercial casualty
  $ 78     $ 4     $ 82     $ (48 )   $ (36 )   $ (28 )   $ (112 )   $ 30     $ (36 )   $ (24 )   $ (30 )
Commercial property
    5       3       8       7       (4 )     -       3       12       (4 )     3       11  
Commercial auto
    1       -       1       -       (1 )     -       (1 )     1       (1 )     -       -  
Workers' compensation
    10       1       11       -       (1 )     -       (1 )     10       (1 )     1       10  
Specialty packages
    -       1       1       -       (1 )     -       (1 )     -       (1 )     1       -  
Surety and executive risk
    3       1       4       8       -       -       8       11       -       1       12  
Machinery and equipment
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total commercial lines
    97       10       107       (33 )     (43 )     (28 )     (104 )     64       (43 )     (18 )     3  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Homeowners
    3       3       6       2       (6 )     -       (4 )     5       (6 )     3       2  
Other personal
    -       -       -       -       (2 )     -       (2 )     -       (2 )     -       (2 )
Total personal lines
    3       3       6       2       (8 )     -       (6 )     5       (8 )     3       -  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    -       -       -       -       1       -       1       -       1       -       1  
Total excess & surplus lines
    -       -       -       -       1       -       1       -       1       -       1  
Total property casualty
  $ 100     $ 13     $ 113     $ (31 )   $ (50 )   $ (28 )   $ (109 )   $ 69     $ (50 )   $ (15 )   $ 4  
                                                                                         
Net loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2010
                                                                         
Commercial casualty
  $ 217     $ 113     $ 330     $ (30 )   $ 49     $ 20     $ 39     $ 187     $ 49     $ 133     $ 369  
Commercial property
    269       41       310       38       1       2       41       307       1       43       351  
Commercial auto
    220       38       258       (8 )     (5 )     (5 )     (18 )     212       (5 )     33       240  
Workers' compensation
    218       38       256       24       7       5       36       242       7       43       292  
Specialty packages
    83       18       101       12       (2 )     -       10       95       (2 )     18       111  
Surety and executive risk
    55       12       67       (5 )     4       1       -       50       4       13       67  
Machinery and equipment
    7       1       8       (1 )     -       -       (1 )     6       -       1       7  
Total commercial lines
    1,069       261       1,330       30       54       23       107       1,099       54       284       1,437  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    205       30       235       (3 )     3       -       -       202       3       30       235  
Homeowners
    213       29       242       14       1       1       16       227       1       30       258  
Other personal
    43       5       48       (8 )     4       -       (4 )     35       4       5       44  
Total personal lines
    461       64       525       3       8       1       12       464       8       65       537  
                                                                                         
Commercial casualty & property
    6       2       8       18       5       10       33       24       5       12       41  
Total excess & surplus lines
    6       2       8       18       5       10       33       24       5       12       41  
Total property casualty
  $ 1,536     $ 327     $ 1,863     $ 51     $ 67     $ 34     $ 152     $ 1,587     $ 67     $ 361     $ 2,015  
 
 
16

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
10-Year Property Casualty Data - All Lines

 
 
 
Years ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
   
2003
   
2002
   
2001
 
Premiums
                                                           
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 2,952     $ 2,919     $ 3,040     $ 3,149     $ 3,172     $ 3,097     $ 3,026     $ 2,789     $ 2,496     $ 2,188  
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       402  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    11       (8 )     (30 )     (32 )     6       (21 )     (29 )     26       117       -  
Reported written premiums – statutory**
    2,963       2,911       3,010       3,117       3,178       3,076       2,997       2,815       2,613       2,590  
Unearned premium change
    (39 )     -       -       8       (14 )     (18 )     (78 )     (162 )     (222 )     (517 )
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 2,924     $ 2,911     $ 3,010     $ 3,125     $ 3,164     $ 3,058     $ 2,919     $ 2,653     $ 2,391     $ 2,073  
                                                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    1 %     (4 ) %     (3 ) %     (1 ) %     2 %     2 %     8 %     12 %     14 %     13 %
Written premiums – statutory
    2 %     (3 ) %     (3 ) %     (2 ) %     3 %     3 %     6 %     8 %     1 %     38 %
Earned premiums
    - %     (3 ) %     (4 ) %     (1 ) %     3 %     5 %     10 %     11 %     15 %     13 %
                                                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    101.8 %     104.4 %     100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     94.2 %     98.4 %     99.5 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       4.1  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      1.2       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -  
Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)
    101.8 %     104.4 %     100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     95.0 %     99.6 %     103.6 %
Less catastrophe losses
    5.1       5.7       6.8       0.8       5.5       4.1       5.1       3.6       3.6       3.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    96.7 %     98.7 %     93.6 %     89.5 %     88.4 %     84.9 %     84.3 %     91.4 %     96.0 %     100.5 %
                                                                                 
Reported commission expense ratio*
    18.7 %     19.0 %     18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     15.9 %     13.9 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       2.6  
Written premium adjustment statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      0.8       -  
Commission expense ratio (adjusted)
    18.7 %     19.0 %     18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     16.7 %     16.5 %
                                                                                 
Reported other expense ratio*
    14.2 %     13.7 %     13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     8.9 %     9.6 %     8.7 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       1.5  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      0.4       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -  
Other expense ratio (adjusted)
    14.2 %     13.7 %     13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     9.7 %     10.0 %     10.2 %
                                                                                 
Reported statutory expense ratio*
    32.9 %     32.7 %     32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     26.5 %     25.5 %     22.6 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       4.1  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      1.2       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -  
Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)
    32.9 %     32.7 %     32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     27.3 %     26.7 %     26.7 %
                                                                                 
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    101.7 %     104.5 %     100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     94.7 %     99.7 %     104.9 %
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -  
GAAP combined ratio before one-time item
    101.7 %     104.5 %     100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     95.5 %     99.7 %     104.9 %
                                                                                 
Written premiums to surplus
                                                                               
Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.781       0.800       0.905       0.731       0.668       0.739       0.721       1.002       1.067       0.864  
Written premium adjustment
    0.003       (0.002 )     (0.009 )     (0.007 )     0.001       (0.005 )     (0.007 )     0.010       0.050       0.159  
Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.784       0.798       0.896       0.724       0.669       0.734       0.714       1.012       1.117       1.023  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
**Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy.
 
 
17

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

 
   
Years ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
 
Premiums
                                   
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 2,144     $ 2,190     $ 2,341     $ 2,444     $ 2,435     $ 2,306  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    11       (9 )     (30 )     (31 )     7       (16 )
Reported written premiums – statutory
  $ 2,155     $ 2,181     $ 2,311     $ 2,413     $ 2,442     $ 2,290  
Unearned premium change
    (1 )     18       5       (2 )     (40 )     (36 )
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 2,154     $ 2,199     $ 2,316     $ 2,411     $ 2,402     $ 2,254  
                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    (2 )%     (6 )%     (4 )%     0 %     6 %     4 %
Written premiums – statutory
    (1 )%     (6 )%     (4 )%     (1 )%     7 %     5 %
Earned premiums
    (2 )%     (5 )%     (4 )%     0 %     7 %     6 %
                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    99.6 %     101.8 %     96.6 %     89.2 %     90.8 %     87.1 %
Less catastrophe losses
    4.1       2.5       4.5       0.7       3.7       3.4  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    95.5 %     99.3 %     92.1 %     88.5 %     87.1 %     83.7 %
                                                 
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    99.4 %     101.6 %     97.0 %     89.2 %     91.3 %     87.4 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies
 
 
18

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

 
   
Years ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
 
Premiums
                                   
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 750     $ 690     $ 685     $ 705     $ 737     $ 791  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    -       1       -       (1 )     (1 )     (5 )
Reported written premiums – statutory
  $ 750     $ 691     $ 685     $ 704     $ 736     $ 786  
Unearned premium change
    (29 )     (6 )     4       10       26       18  
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 721     $ 685     $ 689     $ 714     $ 762     $ 804  
                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    9 %     1 %     (3 )%     (4 )%     (7 )%     (3 )%
Written premiums – statutory
    9 %     1 %     (3 )%     (4 )%     (6 )%     (3 )%
Earned premiums
    5 %     (1 )%     (4 )%     (6 )%     (5 )%     1 %
                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    107.1 %     111.4 %     111.6 %     94.1 %     103.6 %     94.3 %
Less catastrophe losses
    8.1       16.1       14.5       1.3       11.3       6.3  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    99.0 %     95.3 %     97.1 %     92.8 %     92.3 %     88.0 %
                                                 
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    107.7 %     111.8 %     111.9 %     93.9 %     103.6 %     94.4 %
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
19

 

 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 648     $ 677     $ 685     $ 682     $ 635     $ 669     $ 666     $ 695     $ 1,367     $ 1,361     $ 2,044     $ 2,030     $ 2,692     $ 2,665  
Agency new business written premiums
    107       109       106       92       94       107       107       97       198       204       307       311       414       405  
Other written premiums
    (33 )     (50 )     (42 )     (18 )     (49 )     (46 )     (50 )     (14 )     (60 )     (64 )     (110 )     (110 )     (143 )     (159 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 722     $ 736     $ 749     $ 756     $ 680     $ 730     $ 723     $ 778     $ 1,505     $ 1,501     $ 2,241     $ 2,231     $ 2,963     $ 2,911  
Unearned premium change
    23       7       (21 )     (48 )     33       3       10       (46 )     (69 )     (36 )     (62 )     (33 )     (39 )     -  
Earned premiums
  $  745     $ 743     $ 728     $ 708     $ 713     $ 733     $ 733     $ 732     $ 1,436     $ 1,465     $ 2,179     $ 2,198     $ 2,924     $ 2,911  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    2 %     1 %     3 %     (2 ) %     (5 ) %     (3 ) %     (10 ) %     (5 ) %     0 %     (8 ) %     1 %     (6 ) %     1 %     (6 ) %
Agency new business written premiums
    14       2       (1 )     (5 )     (6 )     15       7       28       (3 )     17       (1 )     16       2       10  
Other written premiums
    33       (9 )     16       (29 )     4       13       (4 )     58       6       21       0       19       10       15  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    6       1       4       (3 )     (5 )     0       (8 )     0       0       (4 )     0       (3 )     2       (3 )
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
  $ 400     $ 421     $ 382     $ 334     $ 381     $ 390     $ 412     $ 401     $ 716     $ 813     $ 1,137     $ 1,203     $ 1,537     $ 1,584  
Loss expenses paid
    93       84       72       80       96       83       84       78       151       162       235       245       328       340  
Loss and loss expenses paid
  $ 493     $ 505     $ 454     $ 414     $ 477     $ 473     $ 496     $ 479     $ 867     $ 975     $ 1,372     $ 1,448     $ 1,865     $ 1,924  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    47.7 %     58.8 %     65.1 %     54.3 %     49.9 %     50.2 %     71.6 %     62.5 %     59.8 %     67.0 %     59.5 %     61.4 %     56.5 %     58.6 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    6.7       5.9       5.7       6.0       7.4       6.1       6.7       4.9       5.8       5.8       5.9       5.9       6.1       6.3  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    6.5       6.9       5.2       6.7       7.7       6.4       6.3       6.8       6.0       6.6       6.2       6.5       6.3       6.8  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    33.3       32.9       31.3       34.1       34.1       34.2       32.0       30.9       32.7       31.4       32.8       32.4       32.9       32.7  
Statutory combined ratio
    94.2 %     104.5 %     107.3 %     101.1 %     99.1 %     96.9 %     116.6 %     105.1 %     104.3 %     110.8 %     104.4 %     106.2 %     101.8 %     104.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1       (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       8.0       11.6       6.5       8.1       5.1       5.7  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    93.5 %     100.7 %     93.7 %     99.0 %     100.8 %     96.0 %     100.5 %     97.9 %     96.3 %     99.2 %     97.9 %     98.1 %     96.7 %     98.7 %
Commission expense ratio
    19.9 %     18.7 %     17.9 %     18.4 %     20.4 %     20.1 %     18.2 %     17.7 %     18.1 %     17.9 %     18.3 %     18.7 %     18.7 %     19.0 %
Other expense ratio
    13.4       14.2       13.4       15.7       13.7       14.1       13.8       13.2       14.6       13.5       14.5       13.7       14.2       13.7  
Statutory expense ratio
    33.3 %     32.9 %     31.3 %     34.1 %     34.1 %     34.2 %     32.0 %     30.9 %     32.7 %     31.4 %     32.8 %     32.4 %     32.9 %     32.7 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    93.1 %     103.9 %     107.6 %     102.6 %     98.6 %     95.1 %     116.6 %     107.5 %     105.2 %     112.1 %     104.7 %     106.4 %     101.7 %     104.5 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    0.7       3.8       13.6       2.1       (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       8.0       11.6       6.5       8.1       5.1       5.7  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    92.4 %     100.1 %     94.0 %     100.5 %     100.3 %     94.2 %     100.5 %     100.3 %     97.2 %     100.5 %     98.2 %     98.3 %     96.6 %     98.8 %

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
20

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines
 
 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 474     $ 479     $ 492     $ 533     $ 478     $ 489     $ 488     $ 557     $ 1,025     $ 1,045     $ 1,504     $ 1,535     $ 1,978     $ 2,013  
Agency new business written premiums
    76       74       73       66       67       76       79       76       139       155       213       231       289       298  
Other written premiums
    (26 )     (42 )     (33 )     (11 )     (42 )     (37 )     (43 )     (7 )     (44 )     (51 )     (86 )     (88 )     (112 )     (130 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 524     $ 511     $ 532     $ 588     $ 503     $ 528     $ 524     $ 626     $ 1,120     $ 1,149     $ 1,631     $ 1,678     $ 2,155     $ 2,181  
Unearned premium change
    22       36       6       (65 )     29       27       32       (69 )     (59 )     (37 )     (23 )     (11 )     (1 )     18  
Earned premiums
  $ 546     $ 547     $ 538     $ 523     $ 532     $ 555     $ 556     $ 557     $ 1,061     $ 1,112     $ 1,608     $ 1,667     $ 2,154     $ 2,199  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    (1 ) %     (2 ) %     1 %     (4 ) %     (7 ) %     (3 ) %     (12 ) %     (5 ) %     (2 ) %     (8 ) %     (2 ) %     (7 ) %     (2 ) %     (7 ) %
Agency new business written premiums
    13       (3 )     (8 )     (13 )     (19 )     0       (9 )     15       (10 )     1       (8 )     1       (3 )     (4 )
Other written premiums
    38       (14 )     23       (57 )     7       10       (5 )     76       14       28       2       21       14       17  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    4       (3 )     2       (6 )     (9 )     (2 )     (12 )     0       (3 )     (6 )     (3 )     (5 )     (1 )     (6 )
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
  $ 284     $ 290     $ 266     $ 230     $ 267     $ 267     $ 275     $ 271     $ 497     $ 546     $ 786     $ 813     $ 1,070     $ 1,080  
Loss expenses paid
    75       65       58       63       76       66       67       60       120       126       186       192       261       268  
Loss and loss expenses paid
  $ 359     $ 355     $ 324     $ 293     $ 343     $ 333     $ 342     $ 331     $ 617     $ 672     $ 972     $ 1,005     $ 1,331     $ 1,348  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    44.2 %     57.1 %     59.0 %     53.8 %     50.2 %     46.2 %     66.0 %     57.6 %     56.4 %     61.8 %     56.7 %     56.7 %     53.5 %     55.1 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    7.9       6.9       6.5       7.1       8.7       7.1       7.8       5.8       6.8       6.8       6.8       6.9       7.1       7.3  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    6.4       6.7       4.8       6.6       7.9       6.0       5.7       6.4       5.7       6.0       6.0       6.0       6.1       6.5  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    33.4       34.8       31.7       31.9       35.1       35.6       32.5       29.2       31.8       30.8       32.7       32.2       32.9       32.9  
Statutory combined ratio
    91.9 %     105.5 %     102.0 %     99.3 %     102.0 %     94.9 %     112.0 %     99.0 %     100.7 %     105.4 %     102.2 %     101.8 %     99.6 %     101.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    1.0       3.2       10.4       1.8       (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.2       2.5       6.2       6.4       5.2       3.8       4.1       2.5  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    90.9 %     102.3 %     91.6 %     97.5 %     103.8 %     96.1 %     101.8 %     96.5 %     94.5 %     99.0 %     97.0 %     98.0 %     95.5 %     99.3 %
Commission expense ratio
    19.0 %     19.0 %     17.6 %     17.2 %     20.0 %     20.3 %     18.1 %     16.4 %     17.4 %     17.2 %     17.9 %     18.2 %     18.1 %     18.6 %
Other expense ratio
    14.4       15.8       14.1       14.7       15.1       15.3       14.4       12.8       14.4       13.5       14.8       14.0       14.8       14.3  
Statutory expense ratio
    33.4 %     34.8 %     31.7 %     31.9 %     35.1 %     35.6 %     32.5 %     29.2 %     31.8 %     30.7 %     32.7 %     32.2 %     32.9 %     32.9 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    90.6 %     103.4 %     101.7 %     102.1 %     100.8 %     92.4 %     110.9 %     102.2 %     101.9 %     106.6 %     102.4 %     101.9 %     99.4 %     101.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    1.0       3.2       10.4       1.8       (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.2       2.5       6.2       6.4       5.2       3.8       4.1       2.5  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    89.6     100.2 %     91.3 %     100.3 %     102.6 %     93.6 %     100.7 %     99.7 %     95.7 %     100.2 %     97.2 %     98.1 %     95.3 %     99.1 %
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
 
21

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
 
 
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
(Dollars in millions)   
12/31/10
   
9/30/10
   
6/30/10
   
3/31/10
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
6/30/10
   
6/30/09
   
9/30/10
   
9/30/09
   
12/31/10
   
12/31/09
 
Premiums
 
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   
 
   
    
                                                 
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 166     $ 189     $ 187     $ 143     $ 153     $ 177     $ 176     $ 137     $ 330     $ 313     $ 519     $ 490     $ 685     $ 642  
Agency new business written premiums
    23       25       24       18       20       21       19       14       42       34       67       55       90       75  
Other written premiums
    (6 )       (6 )       (7 )       (6 )       (6 )       (8 )       (5 )     (6 )     (13 )     (13 )     (19 )     (21 )     (25 )     (26 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 183     $ 208     $ 204     $ 155     $ 167     $ 190     $ 190     $ 145     $ 359     $ 334     $ 567     $ 524     $ 750     $ 691  
Unearned premium change
    3       (26 )       (25 )       19       5       (20 )       (18 )     26       (6 )     9       (32 )     (11 )     (29 )     (6 )
Earned premiums
  $ 186     $ 182     $ 179     $ 174     $ 172     $ 170     $ 172     $ 171     $ 353     $ 343     $ 535     $ 513     $ 721     $ 685  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    8 %     7 %     6 %     4 %     (2 ) %     (4 ) %     (5 ) %     (6 ) %     5 %     (6 ) %     6 %     (5 ) %     7 %     (4 ) %
Agency new business written premiums
    15       19       26       29       82       91       90       75       24       79       22       83       20       79  
Other written premiums
    0       25       (40 )     0       25       33       0       (50 )     0       (30 )     10       5       4       10  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    10       9       7       7       5       3       (1 )     (3 )     7       (2 )     8       0       9       1  
Paid losses and loss expenses
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
  $ 116     $ 128     $ 114     $ 103     $ 112     $ 121     $ 137     $ 130     $ 217     $ 267     $ 345     $ 389     $ 461     $ 501  
Loss expenses paid
    17       17       14       17       19       18       18       18       30       35       48       52       65       71  
Loss and loss expenses paid
  $ 133     $ 145     $ 128     $ 120     $ 131     $ 139     $ 155     $ 148     $ 247     $ 302     $ 393     $ 441     $ 526     $ 572  
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    60.5 %     63.2 %     82.4 %     55.3 %     49.4 %     63.1 %     90.1 %     78.3 %     69.0 %     84.2 %     67.0 %     77.1 %     65.4 %     70.2 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    2.5       1.9       2.0       1.9       2.7       2.4       2.4       1.9       2.0       2.2       1.9       2.2       2.1       2.4  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    6.9       7.2       6.7       7.2       7.1       7.8       8.2       8.3       6.9       8.3       7.1       8.1       6.9       7.8  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    32.6       28.4       30.1       42.1       30.2       29.5       29.8       35.4       35.3       32.1       32.8       31.2       32.7       31.0  
Statutory combined ratio
    102.5 %     100.7 %     121.2 %     106.5 %     89.4 %     102.8 %     130.5 %     123.9 %     113.2 %     126.8 %     108.8 %     118.7 %     107.1 %     111.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (0.3 )       6.0       23.8       3.0       (1.4 )       7.9       35.4       22.6       13.6       29.0       11.0       22.0       8.1       16.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    102.8 %     94.7 %     97.4 %     103.5 %     90.8 %     94.9 %     95.1 %     101.3 %     99.6 %     97.8 %     97.8 %     96.7 %     99.0 %     95.3 %
Commission expense ratio
    21.7 %     17.1 %     18.1 %     22.4 %     20.9 %     19.1 %     18.0 %     22.5 %     20.0 %     20.0 %     19.0 %     19.6 %     19.6 %     20.0 %
Other expense ratio
    10.9       11.3       12.0       19.7       9.3       10.4       11.7       12.9       15.3       12.2       13.8       11.6       13.1       11.0  
Statutory expense ratio
    32.6 %     28.4 %     30.1 %     42.1 %     30.2 %     29.5 %     29.7 %     35.4 %     35.3 %     32.2 %     32.8 %     31.2 %     32.7 %     31.0 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    101.9 %     103.4 %     123.4 %     102.5 %     90.9 %     102.3 %     133.2 %     120.7 %     113.1 %     126.9 %     109.8 %     118.7 %     107.7 %     111.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (0.3 )     6.0       23.8       3.0       (1.4 )     7.9       35.4       22.6       13.6       29.0       11.0       22.0       8.1       16.1  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    102.2 %     97.4 %     99.6 %     99.5 %     92.3 %     94.4 %     97.8 %     98.1 %     99.5 %     97.9 %     98.8 %     96.7 %     99.6 %     95.7 %
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
22

 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended December 31,
   
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2010
   
2009
   
Change
   
% Change
   
2010
   
2009
   
Change
   
% Change
 
                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 93     $ 110     $ (17 )     (15 )   $ 369     $ 338     $ 31       9  
Net investment income
    33       33       -    
nm
      134       126       8       6  
Amortization of interest maintenance reserve
    -       (1 )     1    
nm
      (2 )     (6 )     5       67  
Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded
    2       2       -    
nm
      7       7       -    
nm
 
Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts
    1       -       1    
nm
      2       1       1       100  
Total revenues
  $ 129     $ 144     $ (15 )     (10 )   $ 510     $ 466     $ 44       9  
                                                                 
Death benefits and matured endowments
  $ 17     $ 11     $ 6       55     $ 57     $ 53     $ 4       8  
Annuity benefits
    10       7       3       43       38       30       8       27  
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts
    1       -       1    
nm
      2       2       -    
nm
 
Surrender benefits and group conversions
    5       6       (1 )     (17 )     23       21       2       10  
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds
    3       3       -    
nm
      11       11       -    
nm
 
Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts
    74       92       (18 )     (20 )     296       275       21       8  
Payments on supplementary contracts with life contingencies
    -       -       -    
nm
      -       -       -    
nm
 
Total benefit expenses
  $ 110     $ 119     $ (9 )     (8 )   $ 427     $ 392     $ 35       9  
                                                                 
Commissions
  $ 12     $ 13     $ (1 )     (8 )   $ 46     $ 42     $ 4       10  
General insurance expenses and taxes
    9       9       -    
nm
      38       36       2       6  
Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums
    (1 )     (1 )     -    
nm
      (6 )     (5 )     (1 )     (20 )
Net transfers from Separate Accounts
    -       -       -    
nm
      (2 )     (4 )     2       50  
Other deductions
    -       -       -    
nm
      -       -       -    
nm
 
Total operating expenses
  $ 20     $ 21     $ (1 )     (5 )   $ 76     $ 69     $ 7       10  
                                                                 
Federal and foreign income tax benefit
    (1 )     (1 )     -    
nm
      (6 )     (6 )     -    
nm
 
                                                                 
Net gain from operations before realized capital gains
  $ -     $ 5     $ (5 )  
nm
    $ 13     $ 11     $ 2       18  
                                                                 
Net realized gains net of capital gains tax
    -       11       (11 )  
nm
      2       4       (2 )     (50 )
                                                                 
Net income (statutory)
  $ -     $ 16     $ (16 )  
nm
    $ 15     $ 15     $ -    
nm
 
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
 
23

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