-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, JH/ExZ0h1zVLp6fopEh8TvQJsYvHpDowcCrgsQRNapxSIRAkxEkVXwfsYxKNvu/Y 00wBDojXpdLdnmtI7AzGug== 0001144204-10-005262.txt : 20100204 0001144204-10-005262.hdr.sgml : 20100204 20100204074511 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001144204-10-005262 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 7 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20100129 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers: Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20100204 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20100204 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000020286 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 310746871 STATE OF INCORPORATION: OH FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 000-04604 FILM NUMBER: 10572422 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 6200 S GILMORE RD CITY: FAIRFIELD STATE: OH ZIP: 45014 BUSINESS PHONE: 5138702000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: P.O. BOX 145496 CITY: CINCINNATI STATE: OH ZIP: 45250 8-K 1 v172791_8k.htm Unassociated Document
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 8-K

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 OR 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

Date of Report:  January 29, 2010
(Date of earliest event reported)

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

Ohio
0-4604
31-0746871
(State or other jurisdiction
of incorporation)
(Commission
File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
     
6200 S. Gilmore Road, Fairfield, Ohio
45014-5141
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:  (513) 870-2000

N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report.)
 
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
 
¨
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
 
¨
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
 
¨
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13a-4(c))
 
Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

On February 4, 2010, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release titled “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results,” furnished as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. On February 4, 2010, the company also distributed the attached information titled “Supplemental Financial Data,” furnished as Exhibit 99.2 hereto and incorporated herein by reference. This report should not be deemed an admission as to the materiality of any information contained in the news release or supplemental financial data.

 
 

 

Item 5.02(d) Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers

On February 1, 2010, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Announces Addition to Board.”  The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.3 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure

On February 1, 2010, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.4 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

On February 1, 2010, Cincinnati Financial Corporation issued the attached news release “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions.” The news release is furnished as Exhibit 99.5 hereto and is incorporated herein by reference.

In accordance with general instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information furnished in this report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.

 
 

 

Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
 
(c)       Exhibits
 
 
Exhibit 99.1 – News release dated February 4, 2010, “Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results

 
Exhibit 99.2 – Supplemental Financial Data for the period ending December 31, 2009 distributed February 4, 2010.

 
Exhibit 99.3– News release dated February 1, 2010, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Announces Addition to Board”

 
Exhibit 99.4– News release dated February 1, 2010, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend”

 
Exhibit 99.5– News release dated February 1, 2010, titled “Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions”

Signature
 
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
 
 
CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
   
Date: February 4, 2010
/S/Steven J. Johnston
 
Steven J. Johnston, FCAS, MAAA, CFA
 
Chief Financial Officer, Senior Vice President, Secretary
and Treasurer
 
 
 

 
EX-99.1 2 v172791_ex99-1.htm Unassociated Document

CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION
 
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel, 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
 
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik, 513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com
 
Cincinnati Financial Reports Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results
 
Cincinnati, February 4, 2010 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today reported:
·
Fourth-quarter 2009 net income of $245 million, or $1.50 per share, compared with $161 million, or 99 cents per share, in the fourth quarter of 2008; operating income* of $86 million, or 53 cents per share, compared with $92 million, or 57 cents per share.
·
Full-year 2009 net income of $432 million, or $2.65 per share, compared with $429 million, or $2.62, in 2008. Operating income of $215 million, or $1.32 per share, compared with $344 million, or $2.10, in 2008.
·
$3 million increase in full-year 2009 net income reflected the after-tax net effect of three major contributing items: a $132 million increase from net realized investment gains, partially offset by a $48 million decrease from investment income and a $74 million decrease from property casualty underwriting results.
·
$29.25 book value per share at December 31, 2009, up 13.6 percent for the year and 2.8 percent from September 30, 2009.
·
Value creation ratio reached 19.7 percent for the year 2009, compared with negative 23.5 percent for the year 2008.
 
Financial Highlights
 
   
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
Revenue Highlights
                                   
Earned premiums
  $ 752     $ 780       (3.6 )   $ 3,054     $ 3,136       (2.6 )
Investment income, pre-tax
    131       125       4.7       501       537       (6.8 )
Total revenues
    1,133       1,018       11.3       3,903       3,824       2.1  
Income Statement Data
                                               
Net income
  $ 245     $ 161       52.1     $ 432     $ 429       0.7  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    159       69       130.5       217       85       155.8  
Operating income*
  $ 86     $ 92       (6.6 )   $ 215     $ 344       (37.6 )
Per Share Data (diluted)
                                               
Net income
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99       51.5     $ 2.65     $ 2.62       1.1  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.97       0.42       131.0       1.33       0.52       155.8  
Operating income*
  $ 0.53     $ 0.57       (7.0 )   $ 1.32     $ 2.10       (37.1 )
                                                 
Book value
                          $ 29.25     $ 25.75       13.6  
Cash dividend declared
    0.395       0.39       1.3       1.57       1.56       0.6  
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
    163,092,882       162,485,576       0.4       162,866,863       163,362,409       (0.3 )
Insurance Operations Highlights
·
98.6 percent fourth-quarter 2009 property casualty combined ratio as net written premiums declined 5.1 percent. Full-year 2009 property casualty combined ratio at 104.5 percent, with 3.3 percent decline in net written premiums.
·
$94 million fourth-quarter and $405 million full-year 2009 property casualty new business written by agencies, down $6 million and up $37 million, respectively. The full-year increase included $25 million from standard market geographic expansion initiatives and $18 million from excess and surplus lines.
·
6 cents per share contribution from life insurance operating income to fourth-quarter results, down 4 cents from 2008. Full-year contribution to operating income from life insurance was 22 cents per share, down 2 cents.
 
Balance Sheet and Investment Highlights
·
$29.25 book value, up 13.6 percent from $25.75 at December 31, 2008. Shareholders’ equity grew to $4.760 billion.
·
Property casualty statutory surplus rose 8.6 percent to $3.648 billion.
·
13.1 percent year-over-year increase in cash plus invested assets at December 31, 2009.
·
Investment income, after income tax effects, was nearly flat for the fourth quarter. Full-year 2009 declined 11.3 percent primarily due to prior period dividend decreases.
·
Strong capital position includes financial flexibility from parent company cash and marketable securities of $997 million.

*
The Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures on Page 11 defines and reconciles measures presented in this release that are not based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles.
**
Forward-looking statements and related assumptions are subject to the risks outlined in the company’s safe harbor statement (see Page 8).

 
1

 
 
Steady Progress
Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “The final quarter of 2009 marked Cincinnati Financial’s third consecutive quarter of increasing financial strength, with growth of total assets, invested assets and book value, as well as statutory surplus for both our property casualty insurance group and for our life insurance company. At year-end 2009, all of these measures reached substantially higher levels than those reported at year-end 2008, reflecting the success of our strategy to manage capital effectively and of our initiative to diversify our investment portfolio and rebalance it on an ongoing basis.
 
“We also are on track to resume favorable investment income comparisons, which were affected by shifts in asset allocations as we restructured the portfolio in 2008 and early 2009. Fourth-quarter pre-tax investment income grew 4.7 percent, a pace that tops any quarter since the fourth quarter of 2007. On the after-tax basis that we believe is appropriate for measuring investment income from the restructured portfolio, our fourth-quarter result was our best this year. We continue to refine our bond portfolio’s laddered maturities and continue to invest in equities, helping shield the portfolio from inflationary pressures.
 
“Sales of securities in the investment portfolio also provided the bulk of the net realized gains that added to fourth-quarter net income, taking full-year net income just above last year’s result. We harvested gains of $162 million as a result of the Wyeth/Pfizer merger and $26 million as a result of the Verisk initial public offering of stock, leaving a healthy $1.026 billion of unrealized gains in the portfolio at December 31.
 
Fourth-Quarter Underwriting Profits
“Property casualty insurance underwriting generated $10 million of pretax profits for the fourth quarter. Milder weather and improved personal lines pricing benefitted results, contributing to a $16 million fourth-quarter personal lines underwriting profit that was partially offset by $4 million of commercial lines underwriting loss. The property casualty combined ratio was 96.8 percent in the second half of 2009, improving the full-year ratio to 104.5 percent.
 
“Our commercial lines operation, which generate approximately 72 percent of our premium revenues, have been affected by lower insured exposures and soft pricing. The average change in renewal pricing for the fourth quarter narrowed to a very low single digit decline. We chose to compete for fewer new large commercial accounts due to stronger price competition that we believe leaves insufficient margin for underwriting profit. Our agents continue to help us evaluate the quality of each account, and we continue to increase our use of predictive analytics as a tool to assure adequate pricing.
 
“Close attention to underwriting and price adequacy, in addition to the weak economy, led to a 5.1 percent decline in net property casualty written premiums for the quarter and 3.3 percent for the year. New business rose 9.9 percent to $405 million, driven by growth from personal lines and excess and surplus lines. Our agents and staff have the discipline and skill to identify quality accounts, controlling near-term growth with the expectation that commercial pricing may not improve this year – but we aren’t standing still. We continue in 2010 to focus sharply on initiatives that position us for the future as marketplace conditions improve.
 
Agent-Centered Initiatives
“Because our relationships with local insurance agencies are our primary strategic advantage, we’re committed to increasing the efficiency and success of those independent businesses. This week, we delivered the next version of our personal lines policy administration system with easy navigation and convenient features. In 2010, we plan to deliver our new system for commercial package and auto policies to 19 more states. Agents in the 11 states that received this system in the fourth quarter of 2009 give it good reviews, appreciating its expanded billing and policy delivery options and real-time capabilities. These systems make it easier for agents to quote, issue and deliver Cincinnati policies. We’ll also continue work in 2010 on tools that make it easy for agents to compare our personal lines rates, and we’ll add to our current online policyholder services for their personal lines clients, providing the ability to view policies and print ID cards as well as pay company-billed premiums.
 
“Superior claims service is the Cincinnati advantage that our agents value most, and we worked in 2009 to strengthen that advantage. We added more workers’ compensation claims specialists in the field, and, effective January 2010, our headquarters staff began operating a workers’ compensation claim reporting center, designed to improve our response time and help policyholders act quickly to limit losses. In 2010, we also will add more loss control specialists to help manage risks that can lead to workers’ compensation and other types of losses.
 
“Other 2010 initiatives will expand operations into new territories and agencies, setting the stage for future premium growth while diversifying geographically to help manage catastrophe risk. Having entered Colorado and Wyoming in 2009 and Texas late in 2008, we’ll continue to develop our agency relationships in those states and research regulatory and competitive conditions in other states to evaluate our opportunities. We generally open a state for commercial lines first, starting a personal lines relationship as we gain more experience in the state. In New York, where our agents have marketed our commercial products since 1998, we are working to add personal lines product offerings in 2010, with timing being largely dependent on regulatory approval.  Over all states of operation, we’re targeting 65 new agency appointments in 2010, the same goal exceeded in 2009 with 87 appointments. We continue to select only agencies that are professionally managed, financially sound

 
2

 
 
community leaders and to consider the marketing reach of each agency, an approach that in many areas allows for exclusivity in our agency representation.

“Finally, in 2010 we’ll continue our initiative to expand our excess and surplus lines business launched at the beginning of 2008. In its second full year of operation, Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters wrote $40 million of business and gave us new opportunities to write the standard market coverages for the same accounts. To meet agent needs, we expanded the lines of business in 2009 to include professional errors and omissions and excess liability. We plan in 2010 to make more excess and surplus products available and to increase our support for targeted standard market products, making them more attractive and easier for our agents to sell.
 
“Our long-term initiatives already are helping us manage risk and increase stability. We were able to negotiate a stronger 2010 reinsurance program at the same pricing as last year’s program as a result of our efforts in 2009 to diversify geographically, to manage catastrophe risk and to assure superior catastrophe claims handling by our own trained claims representatives. Our strong reinsurance program, strong reserves and prudent investment portfolio structure have historically protected our cash flow, allowing us to pay claims without ever having to sell an investment before we’re ready to do so. This approach continues to create shareholder value, as indicated in 2009, our 49th consecutive year of cash dividend increase.”

 
3

 
 
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 635     $ 669       (5.0 )   $ 2,665     $ 2,828       (5.8 )
Agency new business written premiums
    94       100       (6.3 )     405       368       9.9  
Other written premiums
    (49 )     (52 )     6.3       (159 )     (186 )     15.1  
Net written premiums
    680       717       (5.1 )     2,911       3,010       (3.3 )
Unearned premium change
    33       30       8.3       -       -    
nm
 
Earned premiums
    713       747       (4.6 )     2,911       3,010       (3.3 )
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    464       474       (2.3 )     2,086       2,056       1.4  
Underwriting expenses
    239       264       (9.5 )     956       971       (1.5 )
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 10     $ 9       18.9     $ (131 )   $ (17 )  
nm
 
                                                 
                   
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:                                                
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    77.0 %     81.7 %     (4.7 )     72.2 %     72.2 %     0.0  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.6 )     (2.0 )     0.4       5.9       6.8       (0.9 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.3 )     (16.0 )     5.7       (6.2 )     (10.7 )     4.5  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    (0.1 )     (0.1 )     0.0       (0.2 )     0.0       (0.2 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    65.0       63.6       1.4       71.7       68.3       3.4  
Underwriting expenses
    33.6       35.3       (1.7 )     32.8       32.3       0.5  
Combined ratio
    98.6 %     98.9 %     (0.3 )     104.5 %     100.6 %     3.9  
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (12.0 )     (18.1 )     6.1       (0.5 )     (3.9 )     3.4  
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    110.6 %     117.0 %     (6.4 )     105.0 %     104.5 %     0.5  
·
5.1 percent and 3.3 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 property casualty net written premiums, reflecting the effects of insured exposure decreases, soft pricing and disciplined renewal underwriting.
·
$37 million rise to $405 million in 2009 new business written by agencies reflected the contribution from new agency appointment and other growth initiatives in recent years. $26 million of the increase was from standard market property casualty new business produced by agencies appointed since 2005 and $18 million of the increase was from the excess and surplus lines operation that began in 2008. A growth initiative commencing in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly expand our personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities in seven states contributed $13 million in 2009 new business.
·
1,180 agency relationships with 1,463 reporting locations marketing standard market property casualty insurance products at December 31, 2009, up 47 or 4.1 percent and 76 or 5.5 percent, respectively, from year-end 2008.
·
GAAP combined ratio for the second half of 2009 was a profitable 96.8 percent. Combined ratio of 112.1 percent for the first half of 2009 reflected 10.4 percentage points from the combined effect of catastrophe losses and prior accident year reserve development.
·
Full-year 2009 GAAP combined ratio increased compared with 2008 primarily due to a lesser amount of favorable loss reserve development on prior year reserves. Fourth-quarter favorable development was $74 million, down $46 million.
 
The following table shows incurred catastrophe losses each quarter, as of December 31.
(In millions, net of reinsurance)    
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
Commercial
   
Personal
         
Commercial
   
Personal
       
Dates    
 
lines
   
lines
   
Total
   
lines
   
lines
   
Total
 
2009
                                   
First quarter catastrophes
  $ (1 )   $ 0     $ (1 )   $ 20     $ 49     $ 69  
Second quarter catastrophes
    (10 )     (2 )     (12 )     37       50       87  
Third quarter catastrophes
    3       (1 )     2       9       7       16  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
    0       0       0       0       0       0  
Development on 2008 and prior catastrophes
    (2 )     1       (1 )     (12 )     5       (7 )
Calendar year incurred total, net of reinsurance
  $ (10 )   $ (2 )   $ (12 )   $ 54     $ 111     $ 165  
                                                 
2008
                                               
First quarter catastrophes
  $ (2 )   $ 1     $ (1 )   $ 20     $ 22     $ 42  
Second quarter catastrophes
    (7 )     (4 )     (11 )     61       30       91  
Third quarter catastrophes
    1       (4 )     (3 )     25       47       72  
Fourth quarter catastrophes
    0       0       0       0       0       0  
Development on 2007 and prior catastrophes
    (1 )     0       (1 )     (3 )     1       (2 )
Calendar year incurred total, net of reinsurance
  $ (9 )   $ (7 )   $ (16 )   $ 103     $ 100     $ 203  

 
4

 
 
Insurance Operations Highlights
Commercial Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 478     $ 514       (6.9 )   $ 2,013     $ 2,156       (6.6 )
Agency new business written premiums
    67       83       (19.5 )     298       312       (4.6 )
Other written premiums
    (42 )     (45 )     6.2       (130 )     (157 )     16.8  
Net written premiums
    503       552       (8.8 )     2,181       2,311       (5.6 )
Unearned premium change
    29       21       32.6       18       5       265.4  
Earned premiums
    532       573       (7.3 )     2,199       2,316       (5.1 )
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    356       358       (0.7 )     1,515       1,504       0.7  
Underwriting expenses
    180       204       (11.6 )     719       742       (3.1 )
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ (4 )   $ 11    
nm
    $ (35 )   $ 70    
nm
 
                                                 
                   
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                               
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    79.5 %     80.8 %     (1.3 )     72.5 %     72.1 %     0.4  
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.5 )     (1.3 )     (0.2 )     3.0       4.6       (1.6 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.8 )     (16.8 )     6.0       (6.1 )     (11.7 )     5.6  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    (0.3 )     (0.2 )     (0.1 )     (0.5 )     (0.1 )     (0.4 )
Total loss and loss expenses
    66.9       62.5       4.4       68.9       64.9       4.0  
Underwriting expenses
    33.9       35.6       (1.7 )     32.7       32.1       0.6  
Combined ratio
    100.8 %     98.1 %     2.7       101.6 %     97.0 %     4.6  
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (12.6 )     (18.3 )     5.7       (3.6 )     (7.2 )     3.6  
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    113.4 %     116.4 %     (3.0 )     105.2 %     104.2 %     1.0  
·
8.8 percent and 5.6 percent declines in fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 commercial lines net written premiums. Lower renewal premiums reflected modest pricing declines and economically-driven lower insured exposure levels such as business sales or payroll volume. New business premiums reflected decisions to decline business considered underpriced.
·
Fourth-quarter and full-year 2009 GAAP combined ratio increased compared with 2008 primarily due to a lesser amount of favorable loss reserve development for prior year accident years.
·
The effects of modestly lower prices due to soft market conditions combined with normal loss cost inflation continued, putting upward pressure on the combined ratio. Loss reserving practices remain consistent with the past.
 
Personal Lines Insurance Operations
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
                                     
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 153     $ 156       (1.8 )   $ 642     $ 672       (4.5 )
Agency new business written premiums
    20       11       76.7       75       42       80.6  
Other written premiums
    (6 )     (8 )     22.9       (26 )     (29 )     11.1  
Net written premiums
    167       159       4.7       691       685       0.9  
Unearned premium change
    5       12       (56.6 )     (6 )     4    
nm
 
Earned premiums
    172       171       0.5       685       689       (0.6 )
                                                 
Loss and loss expenses
    102       113       (9.6 )     551       547       0.7  
Underwriting expenses
    54       58       (6.5 )     215       224       (4.1 )
Underwriting profit (loss)
  $ 16     $ 0    
nm
    $ (81 )   $ (82 )     1.9  
                                                 
                   
Pt. Change
                   
Pt. Change
 
Ratios as a percent of earned premiums:
                                               
Current accident year before catastrophe losses
    69.6 %     83.3 %     (13.7 )     70.9 %     72.2 %     (1.3 )
Current accident year catastrophe losses
    (1.7 )     (4.2 )     2.5       15.4       14.4       1.0  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (9.0 )     (13.3 )     4.3       (6.6 )     (7.3 )     0.7  
Prior accident year catastrophe losses
    0.3       0.1       0.2       0.7       0.1       0.6  
Total loss and loss expenses
    59.2       65.9       (6.7 )     80.4       79.4       1.0  
Underwriting expenses
    31.7       34.1       (2.4 )     31.4       32.5       (1.1 )
Combined ratio
    90.9 %     100.0 %     (9.1 )     111.8 %     111.9 %     (0.1 )
Contribution from catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    (10.4 )     (17.4 )     7.0       9.5       7.2       2.3  
Combined ratio before catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    101.3 %     117.4 %     (16.1 )     102.3 %     104.7 %     (2.4 )
·
4.7 percent increase in fourth-quarter 2009 personal lines net written premiums, primarily due to improved pricing and strong new business growth. 37.7 percent of full-year 2009 new business increase came from seven states where we began in 2008 to market personal lines or significantly expanded our personal lines product offerings and automation capabilities.
·
Fourth-quarter 2009 results reflect favorable development on prior accident year reserves and negligible catastrophe losses.
 
 
5

 
 
Life Insurance Operations
(In millions)  
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
Earned premiums
  $ 39     $ 33       18.8     $ 143     $ 126       13.0  
Investment income, net of expenses
    32       31       2.9       122       120       2.2  
Other income
    -       1       (155.0 )     -       2       (88.1 )
Total revenues, excluding realized investment gains and losses
    71       65       9.5       265       248       7.0  
Contract holders benefits
    42       27       57.1       160       142       13.3  
Underwriting expenses
    15       12       20.8       50       45       9.1  
Total benefits and expenses
    57       39       45.5       210       187       12.3  
Net income before income tax and realized investment gains and losses
    14       26       (46.0 )     55       61       (9.2 )
Income tax
    5       9       (46.0 )     19       21       (6.1 )
Net income before realized investment gains and losses
  $ 9     $ 17       (45.9 )   $ 36     $ 40       (10.8 )
·
13.3 percent increase to $139 million in full-year 2009 earned premiums for life insurance products. Increase included 13.5 percent rise to $85 million in full-year 2009 term life insurance earned premiums, reflecting marketing advantages of competitive, up-to-date products, personal service and policies backed by financial strength. Earned premiums include life insurance, annuity and accident and health premiums.
·
6.0 percent rise in face amount of life policies in force to $69.815 billion at year-end 2009, from $65.888 billion at year-end 2008.
·
Fixed annuity application-received count for 2009 was up nearly five-fold from 2008, primarily due to a competitive interest crediting rate compared to bank certificate of deposit rates. Total fixed annuity deposits received totaled $181 million compared with $34 million in 2008. We do not offer variable or indexed products.
·
GAAP shareholders’ equity for The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company increased during 2009 by $195 million, or 41.4 percent, to $666 million. Net after-tax unrealized gains were up $130 million, including $122 million for the fixed-maturity portfolio.
 
 
6

 
 
Investment and Balance Sheet Highlights
 
Investment Operations
 
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
(In millions)
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
Investment income:
                                   
Interest
  $ 105     $ 88       19.4     $ 402     $ 326       23.1  
Dividends
    27       35       (25.3 )     100       204       (50.8 )
Other
    1       4       (71.1 )     7       14       (53.3 )
Investment expenses
    (2 )     (2 )     9.5       (8 )     (7 )     (5.2 )
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
    131       125       4.7       501       537       (6.8 )
Income taxes
    (32 )     (25 )     (25.8 )     (118 )     (106 )     (11.5 )
Total investment income, net of expenses, after-tax
  $ 99     $ 100       (0.6 )   $ 383     $ 431       (11.3 )
                                                 
Effective tax rate
    24.1 %     20.0 %             23.6 %     19.7 %        
                                                 
Average yield pre-tax
    4.7 %     4.9 %             4.7 %     4.8 %        
Average yield after-tax
    3.6 %     3.9 %             3.6 %     3.9 %        
 
 
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
(In millions)
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change %
 
Total investment income, net of expenses, pre-tax
  $ 131     $ 125       4.7     $ 501     $ 537       (6.8 )
Investment interest credited to contract holders
    (18 )     (16 )     (17.2 )     (69 )     (63 )     (10.0 )
Realized investment gains and losses summary:
                                               
Realized investment gains and losses, net
    261       245       6.7       440       686       (35.8 )
Change in fair value of securities with embedded derivatives
    4       (25 )  
nm
      27       (38 )  
nm
 
Other-than-temporary impairment charges
    (18 )     (110 )     83.6       (131 )     (510 )     74.3  
Total realized investment gains and losses, net
    247       110       125.4       336       138       144.5  
Investment operations income
  $ 360     $ 219       64.1     $ 768     $ 612       25.5  
 
·
0.6 percent decline in fourth-quarter 2009 after-tax net investment income, as higher interest income nearly offset late 2008 and early 2009 dividend reductions by equity security holdings. Fourth-quarter 2008 before-tax investment income included $3 million of amortization for previously impaired bonds, with none in fourth-quarter 2009 due to current accounting standards for impaired securities.
·
$438 million full-year 2009 increase in pre-tax unrealized investment portfolio gains, including $571 million for the bond portfolio.
·
$462 million in net gains from sales of equity securities were included in pre-tax realized investment gain for full-year 2009 as the company actively managed sector and issue diversification.
 
 
At December 31,
   
At December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions except share data)
 
2009
   
2008
 
Balance sheet data
           
Invested assets
  $ 10,643     $ 8,890  
Total assets
    14,440       13,369  
Short-term debt
    49       49  
Long-term debt
    790       791  
Shareholders' equity
    4,760       4,182  
Book value per share
    29.25       25.75  
                 
Debt-to-capital ratio
    15.0 %     16.7 %
 
   
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2009
   
2008
 
Performance measures
                       
Value creation ratio
    4.2 %     (9.5 )%     19.7 %     (23.5 )%
·
$11.200 billion in cash and invested assets at December 31, 2009, up from $9.899 billion at December 31, 2008.
·
$7.855 billion bond portfolio at December 31, 2009, with an average rating of A2/A and with a 2.4 percent rise in fair value during the fourth quarter of 2009.
·
$2.701 billion equity portfolio was 25.4 percent of invested assets, including $685 million in pre-tax unrealized gains at December 31, 2009.
·
$3.648 billion of statutory surplus for the property casualty insurance group at December 31, 2009, up from $3.360 billion at December 31, 2008. Ratio of net written premiums to property casualty statutory surplus for the 12 months ended December 31, 2009, of 0.80-to-1, improved from 0.89-to-1 for the 12 months ended December 31, 2008.
·
Value creation ratio of 19.7 percent for the year 2009 includes 6.1 percent from shareholder dividends and 13.6 percent growth in book value per share.
 
7

 
For additional information or to register for this morning’s conference call webcast, please visit www.cinfin.com/investors.
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
   
Mailing Address:
Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
 
Safe Harbor Statement
 
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 25. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
 
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
 
·
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
·
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
·
Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
·
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
·
Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
·
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
·
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
·
Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
 
°
Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
°
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
°
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
·
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
·
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
·
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
·
Inability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
·
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
 
°
Multi-notch downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
°
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
 
°
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
 
°
Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
·
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
 
°
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
°
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
°
Increase our expenses
 
°
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
°
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
°
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
°
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
·
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
·
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
·
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
·
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
 
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
 
* * *
 
8

 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Balance Sheets (unaudited)
 
 
December 31,
   
December 31,
 
(In millions except per share data)
 
2009
   
2008
 
             
ASSETS
           
Investments
           
Fixed maturities, at fair value (amortized cost: 2009—$7,514; 2008—$6,058)
  $ 7,855     $ 5,827  
Equity securities, at fair value (cost: 2009—$2,016; 2008—$2,077)
    2,701       2,896  
Short-term investments, at fair value (amortized cost: 2009—$6; 2008—$84)
    6       84  
Other invested assets
    81       83  
Total investments
    10,643       8,890  
                 
Cash and cash equivalents
    557       1,009  
Investment income receivable
    118       98  
Finance receivable
    75       71  
Premiums receivable
    995       1,059  
Reinsurance receivable
    675       759  
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
    15       15  
Deferred policy acquisition costs
    481       509  
Deferred income tax
    -       126  
Land, building and equipment, net, for company use (accumulated depreciation:
2009—$335; 2008—$297)
    251       236  
Other assets
    45       49  
Separate accounts
    585       548  
Total assets
  $ 14,440     $ 13,369  
                 
LIABILITIES
               
Insurance reserves
               
Loss and loss expense reserves
  $ 4,142     $ 4,086  
Life policy reserves
    1,783       1,551  
Unearned premiums
    1,509       1,544  
Other liabilities
    670       618  
Deferred income tax
    152       -  
Note payable
    49       49  
6.125% senior notes due 2034
    371       371  
6.9% senior debentures due 2028
    28       28  
6.92% senior debentures due 2028
    391       392  
Separate accounts
    585       548  
Total liabilities
    9,680       9,187  
                 
SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY
               
Common stock, par value—$2 per share; (authorized: 2009—500 million shares,
2008—500 million shares; issued: 2009—196 million shares, 2008—196 million shares)
    393       393  
Paid-in capital
    1,081       1,069  
Retained earnings
    3,862       3,579  
Accumulated other comprehensive income
    624       347  
Treasury stock at cost (2009—34 million shares, 2008—34 million shares)
    (1,200 )     (1,206 )
Total shareholders' equity
    4,760       4,182  
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity
  $ 14,440     $ 13,369  
 
9

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Consolidated Statements of Income (unaudited)
(In millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended December 31,
   
Twelve months ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2009
   
2008
 
                         
REVENUES
                       
Earned premiums
                       
Property casualty
  $ 713     $ 747     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
Life
    39       33       143       126  
Investment income, net of expenses
    131       125       501       537  
Realized investment gains and losses
    247       110       336       138  
Other income
    3       3       12       13  
Total revenues
    1,133       1,018       3,903       3,824  
                                 
BENEFITS AND EXPENSES
                               
Insurance losses and policyholder benefits
    505       500       2,242       2,193  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    254       277       1,004       1,016  
Other operating expenses
    6       6       20       22  
Interest expense
    13       14       55       53  
Total benefits and expenses
    778       797       3,321       3,284  
                                 
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
    355       221       582       540  
                                 
PROVISION (BENEFIT) FOR INCOME TAXES
                               
Current
    73       93       79       238  
Deferred
    37       (33 )     71       (127 )
Total provision for income taxes
    110       60       150       111  
                                 
NET INCOME
  $ 245     $ 161     $ 432     $ 429  
                                 
PER COMMON SHARE
                               
Net income—basic
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99     $ 2.66     $ 2.63  
Net income—diluted
  $ 1.50     $ 0.99     $ 2.65     $ 2.62  

 
10

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and 
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures 
(See attached tables for 2009 reconciliations; prior-period reconciliations available at www.cinfin.com/investors.)
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
 
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
 
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
 
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.

 
11

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Net Income Reconciliation
 
(In millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
December 31, 2009
   
December 31, 2009
 
Net income
  $ 245     $ 432  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    159       217  
Operating income
    86       215  
Less catastrophe losses
    8       (107 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 78     $ 322  
                 
Diluted per share data:
               
Net income
  $ 1.50     $ 2.65  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.97       1.33  
Operating income
    0.53       1.32  
Less catastrophe losses
    0.05       (0.66 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.48     $ 1.98  

Property Casualty Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended December 31, 2009
 
   
Consolidated*
   
Commercial
   
Personal
 
Premiums:
                 
Adjusted written premiums - statutory
  $ 693     $ 516     $ 167  
Written premium adjustment
    (13 )     (13 )     0  
Reported written premiums - statutory
    680       503       167  
Unearned premiums change
    33       29       5  
Earned premiums
  $ 713     $ 532     $ 172  
                         
Statutory combined ratio:
                       
Statutory combined ratio
    99.1 %     102.0 %     89.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.7 )     (1.8 )     (1.4 )
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    100.8 %     103.8 %     90.8 %
                         
Commission expense ratio
    20.4 %     20.0 %     20.9 %
Other expense ratio
    13.7       15.1       9.3  
Statutory expense ratio
    34.1 %     35.1 %     30.2 %
                         
GAAP combined ratio:
                       
GAAP combined ratio
    98.6 %     100.8 %     90.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.7 )     (1.8 )     (1.4 )
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (10.3 )     (10.8 )     (9.0 )
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    110.6 %     113.4 %     101.3 %

(Dollars in millions)
 
Twelve months ended December 31, 2009
 
   
Consolidated*
   
Commercial
   
Personal
 
Premiums:
                 
Adjusted written premiums - statutory
  $ 2,919     $ 2,190     $ 690  
Written premium adjustment
    (8 )     (9 )     1  
Reported written premiums - statutory
    2,911       2,181       691  
Unearned premiums change
    -       18       (6 )
Earned premiums
  $ 2,911     $ 2,199     $ 685  
                         
Statutory combined ratio:
                       
Statutory combined ratio
    104.4 %     101.8 %     111.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.7       2.5       16.1  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    98.7 %     99.3 %     95.3 %
                         
Commission expense ratio
    19.0 %     18.6 %     20.0 %
Other expense ratio
    13.7       14.3       11.0  
Statutory expense ratio
    32.7 %     32.9 %     31.0 %
                         
GAAP combined ratio:
                       
GAAP combined ratio
    104.5 %     101.6 %     111.8 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    5.7       2.5       16.1  
Prior accident years before catastrophe losses
    (6.2 )     (6.1 )     (6.6 )
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses and prior years reserve development
    105.0 %     105.2 %     102.3 %

Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Consolidated property casualty data includes results from our surplus line of business.
 
12

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M^':O[+O_`$9Q\'/_``U/AG_Y64?\.U?V7?\`HSCX.?\`AJ?#/_RLK^AKRX_^ M>:?]\K_A1Y8?\`!-?] MEY2&7]CGX.@@@@CX4^&000<@@_V9P0>17V!X:\-?$+P9H&D>%?">FZ_X<\-: M!8P:9HFA:,EQI^E:5IUJ@CM[*PL;;R[>UM8$`2*&%%1%&%4"OU9\N/\`YYI_ MWRO^%'EQ_P#/-/\`OE?\*`/S"W?&/_GX\9?^!-__`/%U]7_LZ'Q:=+\1?\)7 M)J\DWVZT^R'5I)Y'$?D/O$1G9B%W8W`8&<5]'>7'_P`\T_[Y7_"G!57[JA<] (<`#/Y4`?_]D_ ` end EX-99.2 4 v172791_ex99-2.htm Unassociated Document
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
for the period ending December 31, 2009

6200 South Gilmore Road
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141
www.cinfin.com

Investor Contact:
 
Media Contact:
 
Shareholder Contact:
Dennis E. McDaniel
 
Joan O. Shevchik
 
Jerry L. Litton
(513) 870-2768
 
(513) 603-5323
 
(513) 870-2639

   
A.M. Best
 
Fitch
 
Moody’s
 
Standard &
Poor’s
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
               
Corporate Debt
 
a
 
BBB+
 
A3
 
BBB+
                 
The Cincinnati Insurance Companies
               
Insurer Financial Strength
               
                 
Property Casualty Group
               
Standard Market Subsidiaries:
 
A+
 
 
A1
 
A+
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A+
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A+
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
 
A+
 
A+
 
A1
 
A+
Surplus Lines Subsidiary:
               
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company
 
A
 
 
 
                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
 
A
 
AA-
 
 
A+
 
Ratings are as of February 4, 2010, under continuous review and subject to change and/or affirmation. For the current ratings, select Financial Strength Ratings on www.cinfin.com.
 
The consolidated financial statements and financial exhibits that follow are unaudited. These consolidated financial statements and exhibits should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes included our periodic filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The results of operations for interim periods may not be indicative of results to be expected for the full year.

 

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Supplemental Financial Data
Fourth Quarter 2009

   
Page
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
3
     
Consolidated
   
Quick Reference
 
4
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2009
 
5
CFC and Subsidiaries Consolidation – Three Months Ended December 31, 2009
 
6
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation
 
7
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation
 
8
CFC Insurance Subsidiaries – Selected Balance Sheet Data
 
9
     
Consolidated Property Casualty Insurance Operations
   
(Includes Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company (CSU))
   
Statutory Statements of Income
 
10
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Consolidated
 
11
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Commercial Lines
 
12
Statutory Quarterly Analysis – Personal Lines
 
13
Direct Written Premiums by Line of Business and State
 
14
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines of Business
 
15
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines of Business
 
16
Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis
 
17
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis
 
18
     
Reconciliation Data
   
10-Year Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
 
19
6-Year Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
 
20
6-Year Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
 
21
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Consolidated
 
22
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Commercial Lines
 
23
Quarterly Property Casualty Data – Personal Lines
 
24
     
Life Insurance Operations
   
Statutory Statements of Income
 
25
 
 

 
 
Definitions of Non-GAAP Information and
Reconciliation to Comparable GAAP Measures
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation prepares its public financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Statutory data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners’ (NAIC) Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual and therefore is not reconciled to GAAP data.
 
Management uses certain non-GAAP and non-statutory financial measures to evaluate its primary business areas – property casualty insurance, life insurance and investments. Management uses these measures when analyzing both GAAP and non-GAAP measures to improve its understanding of trends in the underlying business and to help avoid incorrect or misleading assumptions and conclusions about the success or failure of company strategies. Management adjustments to GAAP measures generally: apply to non-recurring events that are unrelated to business performance and distort short-term results; involve values that fluctuate based on events outside of management’s control; or relate to accounting refinements that affect comparability between periods, creating a need to analyze data on the same basis.
 
·
Operating income: Operating income is calculated by excluding net realized investment gains and losses (defined as realized investment gains and losses after applicable federal and state income taxes) from net income. Management evaluates operating income to measure the success of pricing, rate and underwriting strategies. While realized investment gains (or losses) are integral to the company’s insurance operations over the long term, the determination to realize investment gains or losses in any period may be subject to management’s discretion and is independent of the insurance underwriting process. Also, under applicable GAAP accounting requirements, gains and losses can be recognized from certain changes in market values of securities without actual realization. Management believes that the level of realized investment gains or losses for any particular period, while it may be material, may not fully indicate the performance of ongoing underlying business operations in that period.
For these reasons, many investors and shareholders consider operating income to be one of the more meaningful measures for evaluating insurance company performance. Equity analysts who report on the insurance industry and the company generally focus on this metric in their analyses. The company presents operating income so that all investors have what management believes to be a useful supplement to GAAP information.
·
Statutory accounting rules: For public reporting, insurance companies prepare financial statements in accordance with GAAP. However, insurers also must calculate certain data according to statutory accounting rules as defined in the NAIC’s Accounting Practices and Procedures Manual, which may be, and has been, modified by various state insurance departments. Statutory data is publicly available, and various organizations use it to calculate aggregate industry data, study industry trends and compare insurance companies.
·
Written premium: Under statutory accounting rules, property casualty written premium is the amount recorded for policies issued and recognized on an annualized basis at the effective date of the policy. Management analyzes trends in written premium to assess business efforts. Earned premium, used in both statutory and GAAP accounting, is calculated ratably over the policy term. The difference between written and earned premium is unearned premium.
·
Written premium adjustment – statutory basis only: In 2002, the company refined its estimation process for matching property casualty written premiums to policy effective dates, which added $117 million to 2002 written premiums. To better assess ongoing business trends, management may exclude this adjustment when analyzing trends in written premiums and statutory ratios that make use of written premiums.
 
 
3

 
 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quick Reference - Fourth Quarter 2009
(all data shown is for the three months ended or as of December 31, 2009)

(Based on reported data - see Pages 22-24 for adjusted data)
 
   
12/31/2009
   
Year over year
change %
       
12/31/2009
   
Year over year
change %
 
Revenues:
             
Benefits and expenses:
           
                             
Commercial lines net written premiums
  $ 503       (8.8 )  
Commercial lines loss and loss expenses
  $ 356       (0.7 )
Personal lines net written premiums
    167       4.7    
Personal lines loss and loss expenses
    102       (9.6 )
Surplus lines net written premiums
    10       88.7    
Surplus lines loss and loss expenses
    5       76.9  
Property casualty net written premiums
    680       (5.1 )  
Life and accident and health losses and policy benefits
    42       57.1  
Commercial lines net earned premiums
    532       (7.3 )  
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    254       414.7  
Personal lines net earned premiums
    172       0.5    
Operating expenses
    6    
nm
 
Surplus lines net earned premiums
    9       255.6    
Interest expenses
    13       (3.9 )
Property casualty net earned premiums
    713       (4.6 )  
Total expenses
    778       (2.4 )
Life and accident and health net earned premiums
    39       18.8    
Net income before income taxes
    355       60.7  
Investment income
    131       4.7    
Total income tax
    110       83.8  
Realized gains on investments
    247       125.4                      
Other income
    3       (12.7 )  
Ratios:
               
Total revenues
    1,133       11.3                      
                   
Commercial lines GAAP combined ratio
    100.8 %        
Income:
                 
Personal lines GAAP combined ratio
    90.9          
                   
Property casualty GAAP combined ratio
    98.6          
Operating income
  $ 86       (6.6 )                    
Net realized investment gains and losses
    159       130.5    
Commercial lines STAT combined ratio
    102.0 %        
Net income
    245       52.1    
Personal lines STAT combined ratio
    89.4          
                   
Property casualty STAT combined ratio
    99.1          
Per share (diluted):                                    
                   
Balance Sheet:
               
Operating income   $ 0.53       (7.0 )                    
Net realized investment gains and losses     0.97       131.0     Fixed maturity investments   $ 7,855          
Net income     1.50       51.5     Equity securities     2,701          
Book value     29.25       13.6     Short-term investments     6          
Weighted average shares – diluted     163,092,882       0.4     Other invested assets     81          
                   
Total invested assets
  $ 10,643          
                                     
                    Loss and loss expense reserves   $ 4,141          
                    Total debt     839          
                    Shareholders' equity     4,760          
 
 
4

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2009
(Dollars in millions)
 
CFC
   
CONSOL P&C
   
CLIC
   
CFC-I
   
CINFIN
   
C-SUPR
   
ELIM
   
Total
 
Revenues:
                                               
Premiums earned:
                                               
Property Casualty
  $ -     $ 3,080     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 3,080  
Life
    -       -       188       -       -       -       -       188  
Accident health
    -       -       8       -       -       -       -       8  
Premiums ceded
    -       (169 )     (53 )     -       -       -       -       (222 )
Total earned premium
    -       2,911       143       -       -       -       -       3,054  
Investment income
    41       336       122       -       -       -       1       501  
Realized gain on investments
    135       223       (20 )     -       (1 )     -       -       336  
Other income
    15       5       -       7       -       10       (25 )     12  
Total revenues
  $ 191     $ 3,475     $ 245     $ 7     $ (1 )   $ 10     $ (24 )   $ 3,903  
                                                                 
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ -     $ 2,150     $ 201     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (5 )   $ 2,346  
Reinsurance recoveries
    -       (64 )     (41 )     -       -       -       -       (104 )
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    -       955       49       -       -       -       -       1,004  
Other operating expenses
    26       -       -       4       -       10       (21 )     20  
Interest expense
    52       1       -       3       -       -       -       55  
Total expenses
  $ 78     $ 3,042     $ 210     $ 7     $ -     $ 10     $ (26 )   $ 3,321  
                                                                 
Income (loss) before income taxes
  $ 113     $ 433     $ 35     $ -     $ (1 )   $ -     $ 2     $ 582  
                                                                 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes:
                                                               
Current operating income
  $ (39 )   $ 1     $ (2 )   $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (40 )
Capital gains/losses
    47       79       (7 )     -       -       -       -       119  
Deferred
    24       25       21       -       -       -       -       71  
Total provision for income taxes
  $ 32     $ 105     $ 12     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 150  
                                                                 
Operating income (loss)
  $ (8 )   $ 184     $ 35     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 2     $ 215  
                                                                 
Net income (loss) - current year
  $ 80     $ 328     $ 22     $ -     $ (1 )   $ -     $ 2     $ 432  
                                                                 
Net income (loss) - prior year
  $ 56     $ 305     $ (19 )   $ 1     $ (1 )   $ (1 )   $ 87     $ 428  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

5

 
Cincinnati Financial Corporation and Subsidiaries
Consolidated Statements of Income for the Three Months Ended December 31, 2009

(Dollars in millions)
 
CFC
   
CONSOL P&C
   
CLIC
   
CFC-I
   
CINFIN
   
C-SUPR
   
ELIM
   
Total
 
Revenues:
                                               
Premiums earned:
                                               
Property Casualty
  $ -     $ 753     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 753  
Life
    -       -       54       -       -       -       -       54  
Accident health
    -       -       2       -       -       -       -       2  
Premiums ceded
    -       (40 )     (17 )     -       -       -       -       (57 )
Total earned premium
    -       713       39       -       -       -       -       752  
Investment income
    10       88       32       -       -       -       -       131  
Realized gain on investments
    48       187       12       -       -       -       -       247  
Other income
    4       1       -       2       -       7       (11 )     3  
Total revenues
  $ 62     $ 990     $ 84     $ 2     $ -     $ 7     $ (11 )   $ 1,133  
                                                                 
Benefits & expenses:
                                                               
Losses & policy benefits
  $ -     $ 453     $ 54     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 13     $ 520  
Reinsurance recoveries
    -       11       (12 )     -       -       -       (14 )     (15 )
Underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses
    -       239       15       -       -       -       -       254  
Other operating expenses
    7       -       -       1       -       7       (10 )     6  
Interest expense
    13       -       -       -       -       -       -       13  
Total expenses
  $ 20     $ 703     $ 57     $ 1     $ -     $ 7     $ (11 )   $ 778  
                                                                 
Income before income taxes
  $ 42     $ 287     $ 27     $ 1     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 355  
                                                                 
Provision (benefit) for income taxes:
                                                               
Current operating income
  $ (24 )   $ 8     $ 1     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (15 )
Capital gains/losses
    17       67       4       -       -       -       -       88  
Deferred
    21       12       4       -       -       -       -       37  
Total provision for income taxes
  $ 13     $ 87     $ 9     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 110  
                                                                 
Operating income (loss)
  $ (2 )   $ 79     $ 9     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 86  
                                                                 
Net income - current year
  $ 29     $ 200     $ 17     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 245  
                                                                 
Net income - prior year
  $ 126     $ 34     $ 2     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 161  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
6

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
10-Year Net Income Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions except per share data)
 
Years ended December 31,
 
 
 
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
   
2003
   
2002
   
2001
   
2000
 
                                                             
Net income
  $ 432     $ 429     $ 855     $ 930     $ 602     $ 584     $ 374     $ 238     $ 193     $ 118  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       15       -       -       (25 )
Net income before one-time item
    432       429       855       930       602       584       359       238       193       143  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    217       85       245       434       40       60       (27 )     (62 )     (17 )     (2 )
Operating income before one-time item
    215       344       610       496       562       524       386       300       210       145  
Less catastrophe losses
    (107 )     (132 )     (17 )     (113 )     (82 )     (96 )     (63 )     (57 )     (42 )     (33 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 322     $ 476     $ 627     $ 609     $ 644     $ 620     $ 449     $ 357     $ 252     $ 178  
                                                                                 
Diluted per share data
                                                                               
Net income
  $ 2.65     $ 2.62     $ 4.97     $ 5.30     $ 3.40     $ 3.28     $ 2.10     $ 1.32     $ 1.07     $ 0.67  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       0.09       -       -       (0.14 )
Net income before one-time item
    2.65       2.62       4.97       5.30       3.40       3.28       2.01       1.32       1.07       0.81  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    1.33       0.52       1.43       2.48       0.23       0.34       (0.15 )     (0.35 )     (0.10 )     (0.01 )
Operating income before one-time item
    1.32       2.10       3.54       2.82       3.17       2.94       2.16       1.67       1.17       0.82  
Less catastrophe losses
    (0.66 )     (0.81 )     (0.10 )     (0.65 )     (0.46 )     (0.54 )     (0.35 )     (0.31 )     (0.23 )     (0.18 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses and one-time item
  $ 1.98     $ 2.91     $ 3.64     $ 3.47     $ 3.63     $ 3.48     $ 2.51     $ 1.98     $ 1.40     $ 1.00  
                                                                                 
Return on equity
                                                                               
Return on average equity
    9.7 %     8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.3 %     4.1 %     3.2 %     2.1 %
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       (0.3 )     -       -       0.4  
Return on average equity before one-time item
    9.7 %     8.5 %     13.4 %     14.4 %     9.8 %     9.4 %     6.0 %     4.1 %     3.2 %     2.5 %
                                                                                 
Return on equity based on comprehensive income
                                                                               
ROE based on comprehensive income
    18.2 %     (27.2 )%     (5.8 )%     16.4 %     1.6 %     4.6 %     13.8 %     (4.0 )%     2.5 %     13.1 %
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       (0.3 )     -       -       0.4  
ROE based on comprehensive income before one-time item
    18.2 %     (27.2 )%     (5.8 )%     16.4 %     1.6 %     4.6 %     13.5 %     (4.0 )%     2.5 %     13.5 %
                                                                                 
Value creation ratio
                                                                               
Book value per share growth
    13.6 %     (27.9 )%     (9.3 )%     12.9 %     (2.0 )%     1.4 %     11.7 %     (6.5 )%     (0.5 )%     11.4 %
Shareholder dividend as a percentage of beginning book value
    6.1       4.4       3.6       3.8       3.4       3.0       2.9       2.4       2.2       2.3  
Value creation ratio
    19.7 %     (23.5 )%     (5.7 )%     16.7 %     1.4 %     4.4 %     14.5 %     (4.1 )%     1.7 %     13.6 %
                                                                                 
Investment income
                                                                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  $ 501     $ 537     $ 608     $ 570     $ 526     $ 492     $ 465     $ 445     $ 421     $ 415  
BOLI
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       (5 )
Investment income before BOLI
  $ 501     $ 537     $ 608     $ 570     $ 526     $ 492     $ 465     $ 445     $ 421     $ 410  
                                                                                 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
7

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Quarterly Net Income Reconciliation

(Dollars in millions except per share data)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
 
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
                                                                                     
Net income (loss)
  $ 245     $ 171     $ (19 )   $ 35     $ 161     $ 247     $ 63     $ (42 )   $ 17     $ 21     $ 187     $ 268     $ 432     $ 429  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    159       75       (14 )     (2 )     69       173       (6 )     (151 )     (15 )     (157 )     58       16       217       85  
Operating income (loss)
    86       96       (5 )     37       92       74       69       109       32       178       129       252       215       344  
Less catastrophe losses
    8       (4 )     (77 )     (34 )     10       (41 )     (74 )     (28 )     (111 )     (101 )     (115 )     (142 )     (107 )     (132 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 78     $ 100     $ 72     $ 71     $ 82     $ 115     $ 143     $ 137     $ 143     $ 279     $ 244     $ 394     $ 322     $ 476  
                                                                                                                 
Diluted per share data
                                                                                                               
Net income (loss)
  $ 1.50     $ 1.05     $ (0.12 )   $ 0.22     $ 0.99     $ 1.50     $ 0.38     $ (0.26 )   $ 0.10     $ 0.13     $ 1.15     $ 1.64     $ 2.65     $ 2.62  
Net realized investment gains and losses
    0.97       0.46       (0.09 )     (0.01 )     0.42       1.05       (0.04 )     (0.92 )     (0.10 )     (0.95 )     0.36       0.10       1.33       0.52  
Operating income (loss)
    0.53       0.59       (0.03 )     0.23       0.57       0.45       0.42       0.66       0.20       1.08       0.79       1.54       1.32       2.10  
Less catastrophe losses
    0.05       (0.03 )     (0.47 )     (0.21 )     0.06       (0.25 )     (0.45 )     (0.17 )     (0.68 )     (0.62 )     (0.71 )     (0.87 )     (0.66 )     (0.81 )
Operating income before catastrophe losses
  $ 0.48     $ 0.62     $ 0.44     $ 0.44     $ 0.51     $ 0.70     $ 0.87     $ 0.83     $ 0.88     $ 1.70     $ 1.50     $ 2.41     $ 1.98     $ 2.91  
                                                                                                                 
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 
8

 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Insurance Subsidiaries
Selected Balance Sheet Data
                                                 
(Dollars in millions)
 
12/31/2009
   
9/30/2009
   
6/30/2009
   
3/31/2009
   
12/31/2008
   
9/30/2008
   
6/30/2008
   
3/31/2008
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated (including CSU)
                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 5,663     $ 5,521     $ 5,169     $ 4,804     $ 4,309     $ 4,183     $ 4,304     $ 4,351  
Equities (fair value)
    1,910       2,477       2,247       1,986       2,432       3,210       3,537       4,226  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    5       10       11       13       19       162       -       51  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    242       301       25       (36 )     (108 )     (132 )     (33 )     39  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    592       594       487       347       627       1,012       1,227       1,831  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    3,639       3,656       3,674       3,555       3,494       3,507       3,534       3,448  
Equity GAAP
    4,405       4,283       3,795       3,512       3,667       3,947       4,011       4,498  
Surplus - STAT
    3,648       3,472       3,241       3,105       3,360       3,687       3,650       4,027  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,927     $ 1,868     $ 1,694     $ 1,534     $ 1,467     $ 1,483     $ 1,551     $ 1,534  
Equities (fair value)
    108       123       103       89       122       200       265       307  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    -       1       1       -       -       -       -       -  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    72       67       (43 )     (94 )     (115 )     (79 )     (35 )     -  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    1       11       (8 )     (27 )     (7 )     61       92       127  
Equity - GAAP
    666       653       563       454       471       530       617       661  
Surplus - STAT
    300       283       270       254       290       371       420       453  

   
12/31/2007
   
9/30/2007
   
6/30/2007
   
3/31/2007
   
12/31/2006
   
9/30/2006
   
6/30/2006
   
3/31/2006
 
Cincinnati Insurance Consolidated (including CSU)
                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 4,295     $ 4,366     $ 4,367     $ 4,362     $ 4,296     $ 4,258     $ 4,160     $ 4,189  
Equities (fair value)
    4,595       5,201       5,411       5,472       5,494       5,134       4,827       4,946  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    50       19       72       3       92       -       -       126  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    58       23       (30 )     44       47       51       (55 )     2  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain
    2,077       2,657       2,917       3,017       3,166       2,859       2,621       2,758  
Loss and loss expense reserves - STAT
    3,398       3,461       3,374       3,373       3,356       3,314       3,237       3,169  
Equity GAAP
    4,784       5,282       5,404       5,272       5,261       5,073       4,702       4,730  
Surplus - STAT
    4,307       4,782       4,937       4,741       4,723       4,607       4,342       4,334  
                                                                 
The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
                                                               
Fixed maturities (fair value)
  $ 1,465     $ 1,475     $ 1,415     $ 1,384     $ 1,381     $ 1,399     $ 1,344     $ 1,338  
Equities (fair value)
    371       459       478       539       532       494       458       470  
Short-term investments (fair value)
    51       18       29       16       3       -       -       20  
Fixed maturities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    6       4       (4 )     20       15       17       (17 )     6  
Equities - pretax net unrealized gain (loss)
    162       225       254       305       307       271       238       256  
Equity - GAAP
    685       724       730       739       719       688       652       666  
Surplus - STAT
    477       485       491       483       479       461       459       470  
 
 
9

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended December 31,
   
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change
   
% Change
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change
   
% Change
 
Underwriting income
                                               
Net premiums written
  $ 680     $ 717     $ (37 )     (5.1 )   $ 2,911     $ 3,009     $ (98 )     (3.2 )
Unearned premiums increase
    (33 )     (30 )     (2 )     8.3       -       (1 )     1    
nm
 
Earned premiums
  $ 713     $ 747     $ (34 )     (4.6 )   $ 2,911     $ 3,010     $ (99 )     (3.3 )
                                                                 
Losses incurred
  $ 356     $ 383     $ (27 )     (7.0 )   $ 1,706     $ 1,736     $ (30 )     (1.7 )
Allocated loss expenses incurred
    53       26       27       100.5       183       115       68       58.7  
Unallocated loss expenses incurred
    55       65       (11 )     (16.2 )     197       205       (9 )     (4.3 )
Other underwriting expenses incurred
    227       259       (32 )     (12.3 )     936       956       (20 )     (2.1 )
Workers compensation dividend incurred
    4       4       -    
nm
      17       9       8       96.9  
                                                                 
Total underwriting deductions
  $ 695     $ 738     $ (43 )     (5.9 )   $ 3,039     $ 3,021     $ 18       0.6  
Net underwriting gain (loss)
  $ 18     $ 9     $ 8       87.9     $ (128 )   $ (11 )   $ (117 )  
nm
 
                                                                 
Investment income
                                                               
Gross investment income earned
  $ 91     $ 84     $ 7       7.8     $ 346     $ 355     $ (9 )     (2.4 )
Net investment income earned
    90       83       7       8.4       341       349       (8 )     (2.4 )
Net realized capital gains
    127       (31 )     157    
nm
      143       46       97       211.2  
Net investment gains (excl. subs)
  $ 217     $ 52     $ 164       318.3     $ 484     $ 395     $ 89       22.4  
Dividend from subsidiary
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Net investment gains (net of tax)
  $ 217     $ 52     $ 164       318.3     $ 484     $ 395     $ 89       22.4  
                                                                 
Other income
  $ (9 )   $ 1     $ (9 )  
nm
    $ (5 )   $ 2     $ (7 )  
nm
 
                                                                 
Net income before federal income taxes
  $ 226     $ 62     $ 163       265.5     $ 351     $ 386     $ (35 )     (8.8 )
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred
  $ 7     $ 45     $ (38 )     (84.9 )   $ 1     $ 212     $ (211 )     (99.6 )
Net income (statutory)
  $ 219     $ 17     $ 201    
nm
    $ 350     $ 174     $ 176       100.3  
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
10

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies - Consolidated
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data - see Page 22 for adjusted data)
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Net premiums written
  $ 680     $ 730     $ 723     $ 778     $ 717     $ 727     $ 790     $ 776     $ 1,501     $ 1,566     $ 2,231     $ 2,292     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
Net premiums earned
  $ 713     $ 733     $ 733     $ 732     $ 747     $ 751     $ 761     $ 751     $ 1,465     $ 1,512     $ 2,198     $ 2,263     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
                                                                                                                 
Losses paid
  $ 381     $ 390     $ 412     $ 401     $ 383     $ 467     $ 396     $ 383     $ 813     $ 778     $ 1,203     $ 1,245     $ 1,584     $ 1,629  
Loss reserve change
    (25 )     (22 )     112       56       (1 )     (11 )     83       35       169       119       147       108       122       107  
Total losses incurred
  $ 356     $ 368     $ 524     $ 457     $ 382     $ 456     $ 479     $ 418     $ 982     $ 897     $ 1,350     $ 1,353     $ 1,706     $ 1,736  
Allocated loss expense paid
    42       37       42       30       39       35       32       25       71       58       108       93       150       131  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    11       8       7       6       (12 )     (16 )     1       12       14       12       22       (4 )     33       (16 )
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 53     $ 45     $ 49     $ 36     $ 27     $ 19     $ 33     $ 37     $ 85     $ 70     $ 130     $ 89     $ 183     $ 115  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    54       46       42       48       62       47       43       43       91       86       137       133       190       195  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    1       -       4       2       3       1       3       3       5       6       6       7       7       10  
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 55     $ 46     $ 46     $ 50     $ 65     $ 48     $ 46     $ 46     $ 96     $ 92     $ 143     $ 140     $ 197     $ 205  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    231       250       232       240       264       241       223       238       472       460       721       701       953       971  
Underwriting (loss) profit
  $ 18     $ 24     $ (118 )   $ (51 )   $ 9     $ (13 )   $ (20 )   $ 12     $ (170 )   $ (7 )   $ (146 )   $ (20 )   $ (128 )   $ (17 )
                                                                                                                 
Ratio Data
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    49.9 %     50.2 %     71.6 %     62.5 %     51.2 %     60.8 %     63.0 %     55.6 %     67.0 %     59.3 %     61.4 %     59.8 %     58.6 %     57.7 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    7.4       6.1       6.7       4.9       3.5       2.5       4.3       5.0       5.8       4.6       5.9       3.9       6.3       3.8  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    7.7       6.4       6.3       6.8       8.7       6.4       6.1       6.1       6.6       6.1       6.5       6.2       6.8       6.8  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    34.1       34.2       32.0       30.9       36.8       33.1       28.1       30.6       31.4       29.3       32.4       30.6       32.7       32.1  
Statutory combined ratio
    99.1 %     96.9 %     116.6 %     105.1 %     100.2 %     102.8 %     101.5 %     97.3 %     110.8 %     99.3 %     106.2 %     100.5 %     104.4 %     100.4 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    100.8 %     96.0 %     100.5 %     97.9 %     102.3 %     94.4 %     86.6 %     91.5 %     99.2 %     89.0 %     98.1 %     90.8 %     98.7 %     93.6 %
                                                                                                                 
Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 9     $ 18     $ 20     $ 9     $ 10     $ 10     $ 18     $ -     $ 30     $ 26     $ 48     $ 36     $ 57     $ 46  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    37       43       39       28       41       50       42       44       67       78       110       128       147       169  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    48       55       47       62       63       63       53       49       109       102       164       165       212       228  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    89       51       70       56       82       59       54       49       125       103       177       162       265       245  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 183     $ 167     $ 176     $ 155     $ 196     $ 182     $ 167     $ 142     $ 331     $ 309     $ 499     $ 491     $ 681     $ 688  
IBNR incurred
    19       12       39       18       (16 )     (6 )     (6 )     6       57       -       69       (6 )     89       (22 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (12 )     7       118       53       (16 )     63       113       43       171       156       177       219       165       203  
Remaining incurred
    166       182       191       231       218       217       205       227       423       432       605       649       771       867  
Total losses incurred
  $ 356     $ 368     $ 524     $ 457     $ 382     $ 456     $ 479     $ 418     $ 982     $ 897     $ 1,350     $ 1,353     $ 1,706     $ 1,736  
                                                                                                                 
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1.3 %     2.5 %     2.8 %     1.3 %     1.3 %     1.3 %     2.4 %     0.0 %     2.0 %     1.7 %     2.2 %     1.6 %     2.0 %     1.5 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    5.2       5.9       5.3       3.8       5.4       6.6       5.5       5.8       4.5       5.2       5.0       5.5       5.1       5.6  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    6.7       7.5       6.4       8.4       8.4       8.4       7.0       6.5       7.5       6.7       7.4       7.4       7.3       7.6  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    12.4       7.0       9.6       7.6       11.0       7.9       7.1       6.5       8.5       6.9       8.0       7.2       9.0       8.1  
Large losses subtotal
    25.6 %     22.9 %     24.1 %     21.1 %     26.1 %     24.2 %     22.0 %     18.8 %     22.5 %     20.5 %     22.6 %     21.7 %     23.4 %     22.8 %
IBNR incurred
    2.7       1.7       5.3       2.5       (2.1 )     (0.8 )     (0.9 )     0.8       3.9       0.0       3.2       (0.3 )     3.0       (0.7 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       11.6       10.3       8.1       9.7       5.7       6.8  
Remaining incurred
    23.3       24.7       26.1       31.7       29.3       29.0       27.0       30.2       29.0       28.5       27.5       28.7       26.5       28.8  
Total loss ratio
    49.9 %     50.2 %     71.6 %     62.5 %     51.2 %     60.8 %     63.0 %     55.5 %     67.0 %     59.3 %     61.4 %     59.8 %     58.6 %     57.7 %
                                                                                                                 
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2       4       4       2       2       2       5       2       6       7       10       9       12       11  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    19       26       22       16       24       33       21       24       38       45       64       78       83       102  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    107       130       114       149       147       145       122       118       263       240       393       385       500       532  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    122       81       108       89       146       102       84       81       197       165       278       267       400       413  
Large losses total
    250       241       248       256       319       282       232       225       504       457       745       739       995       1,058  
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.  The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
11

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies - Commercial Lines
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data - see Page 23 for adjusted data)
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
     
 
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Net premiums written
  $ 503     $ 528     $ 524     $ 626     $ 552     $ 538     $ 597     $ 625     $ 1,149     $ 1,222     $ 1,678     $ 1,759     $ 2,181     $ 2,311  
Net premiums earned
  $ 532     $ 555     $ 556     $ 557     $ 573     $ 582     $ 586     $ 574     $ 1,112     $ 1,161     $ 1,667     $ 1,743     $ 2,199     $ 2,316  
 
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
  $ 267     $ 267     $ 275     $ 271     $ 262     $ 326     $ 280     $ 266     $ 546     $ 546     $ 813     $ 871     $ 1,080     $ 1,133  
Loss reserve change
    -       (11 )     92       50       26       (3 )     67       32       142       100       131       97       131       123  
Total losses incurred
  $ 267     $ 256     $ 367     $ 321     $ 288     $ 323     $ 347     $ 298     $ 688     $ 646     $ 944     $ 968     $ 1,211     $ 1,256  
Allocated loss expense paid
    38       33       39       26       35       31       28       22       64       50       97       82       134       116  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    9       7       5       6       (13 )     (15 )     1       12       11       13       18       (3 )     27       (16 )
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 47     $ 40     $ 44     $ 32     $ 22     $ 16     $ 29     $ 34     $ 75     $ 63     $ 115     $ 79     $ 161     $ 100  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    38       33       28       34       42       34       31       30       62       61       95       95       134       137  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    4       -       3       2       7       (1 )     1       3       5       4       5       4       9       10  
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 42     $ 33     $ 31     $ 36     $ 49     $ 33     $ 32     $ 33     $ 67     $ 65     $ 100     $ 99     $ 143     $ 147  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    177       188       170       183       204       180       166       186       353       352       541       532       718       742  
Underwriting (loss) profit
  $ (1 )   $ 38     $ (56 )   $ (15 )   $ 10     $ 30     $ 12     $ 23     $ (71 )   $ 35     $ (33 )   $ 65     $ (34 )   $ 71  
 
                                                                                                               
Ratio Data
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    50.2 %     46.2 %     66.0 %     57.6 %     50.3 %     55.4 %     59.2 %     52.0 %     61.8 %     55.6 %     56.7 %     55.5 %     55.1 %     54.2 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    8.7       7.1       7.8       5.8       3.8       2.7       5.0       5.9       6.8       5.4       6.9       4.5       7.3       4.3  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    7.9       6.0       5.7       6.4       8.4       5.7       5.5       5.7       6.0       5.7       6.0       5.7       6.5       6.4  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    35.1       35.6       32.5       29.2       36.5       33.5       27.8       29.7       30.8       28.8       32.2       30.2       32.9       31.7  
Statutory combined ratio
    102.0 %     94.9 %     112.0 %     99.0 %     99.0 %     97.3 %     97.5 %     93.3 %     105.4 %     95.5 %     101.8 %     95.9 %     101.8 %     96.6 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    103.8 %     96.1 %     101.7 %     96.5 %     100.5 %     93.3 %     86.2 %     89.4 %     99.0 %     87.8 %     98.0 %     89.5 %     99.3 %     92.2 %
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ 9     $ 13     $ 21     $ 9     $ 10     $ 5     $ 18     $ -     $ 30     $ 26     $ 43     $ 31     $ 52     $ 41  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    34       33       37       26       37       43       40       40       62       73       96       116       130       153  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    35       44       38       47       49       51       45       40       86       84       129       135       164       184  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    83       49       63       51       76       57       51       44       114       96       163       153       245       229  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 161     $ 139     $ 159     $ 133     $ 172     $ 156     $ 154     $ 124     $ 292     $ 279     $ 431     $ 435     $ 591     $ 607  
IBNR incurred
    28       11       38       18       (12 )     (7 )     (8 )     6       56       (2 )     67       (10 )     95       (22 )
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (10 )     (7 )     57       14       (9 )     23       66       22       71       89       64       112       55       103  
Remaining incurred
    88       113       113       156       137       151       135       146       269       280       382       431       470       568  
Total losses incurred
  $ 267     $ 256     $ 367     $ 321     $ 288     $ 323     $ 347     $ 298     $ 688     $ 646     $ 944     $ 968     $ 1,211     $ 1,256  
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    1.7 %     2.4 %     3.7 %     1.7 %     1.8 %     0.9 %     3.1 %     0.0 %     2.7 %     2.3 %     2.6 %     1.8 %     2.4 %     1.8 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    6.4       6.1       6.5       4.7       6.3       7.4       6.8       7.1       5.6       6.3       5.8       6.6       5.9       6.6  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    6.5       7.8       7.0       8.4       8.6       8.7       7.7       6.8       7.7       7.2       7.8       7.7       7.5       8.0  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    15.5       8.8       11.4       9.1       13.2       9.8       8.7       7.8       10.3       8.3       9.8       8.8       11.1       9.9  
Large losses subtotal
    30.1 %     25.1 %     28.6 %     23.9 %     29.9 %     26.8 %     26.3 %     21.7 %     26.3 %     24.0 %     26.0 %     24.9 %     26.9 %     26.3 %
IBNR incurred
    5.3       2.0       6.7       3.3       (2.1 )     (1.3 )     (1.4 )     1.0       5.0       (0.2 )     4.0       (0.6 )     4.3       (0.9 )
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.3       2.5       (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9       6.4       7.7       3.8       6.4       2.5       4.5  
Remaining incurred
    16.6       20.3       20.4       27.9       24.0       25.9       23.0       25.4       24.1       24.2       22.9       24.8       21.4       24.3  
Total loss ratio
    50.2 %     46.2 %     66.0 %     57.6 %     50.3 %     55.4 %     59.2 %     52.0 %     61.8 %     55.7 %     56.7 %     55.5 %     55.1 %     54.2 %
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    2       3       4       2       2       1       4       2       6       4       9       7       11       9  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    17       20       19       15       21       27       21       21       34       36       54       69       71       90  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    77       101       92       112       115       113       101       93       204       227       305       307       382       422  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    108       74       93       77       129       95       76       74       170       206       244       245       352       374  
Large losses total
    204       198       208       206       267       236       202       190       414       473       612       628       816       895  
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.  The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 *nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
12

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies - Personal Lines
Statutory Quarterly Analysis
(Based on reported data - see Page 24 for adjusted data)
(Dollars in millions)
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
    
 
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Net premiums written
  $ 167     $ 190     $ 190     $ 145     $ 160     $ 184     $ 191     $ 150     $ 334     $ 341     $ 524     $ 525     $ 691     $ 685  
Net premiums earned
  $ 172     $ 170     $ 172     $ 171     $ 171     $ 167     $ 174     $ 177     $ 343     $ 351     $ 513     $ 518     $ 685     $ 689  
 
                                                                                                               
Losses paid
  $ 112     $ 121     $ 137     $ 130     $ 123     $ 141     $ 116     $ 116     $ 267     $ 232     $ 389     $ 373     $ 501     $ 496  
Loss reserve change
    (27 )     (14 )     18       4       (31 )     (8 )     16       3       22       19       7       11       (20 )     (20 )
Total losses incurred
  $ 85     $ 107     $ 155     $ 134     $ 92     $ 133     $ 132     $ 119     $ 289     $ 251     $ 396     $ 384     $ 481     $ 476  
Allocated loss expense paid
    5       4       4       3       4       4       4       3       7       7       11       11       15       15  
Allocated loss expense reserve change
    -       -       -       -       1       (1 )     (1 )     -       -       -       -       (1 )     1       (1 )
Total allocated loss expense incurred
  $ 5     $ 4     $ 4     $ 3     $ 5     $ 3     $ 3     $ 3     $ 7     $ 7     $ 11     $ 10     $ 16     $ 14  
Unallocated loss expense paid
    14       14       14       15       19       13       13       13       28       25       41       38       56       57  
Unallocated loss expense reserve change
    (2 )     -       1       -       (3 )     1       1       1       -       2       1       3       (2 )     1  
Total unallocated loss expense incurred
  $ 12     $ 14     $ 15     $ 15     $ 16     $ 14     $ 14     $ 14     $ 28     $ 27     $ 42     $ 41     $ 54     $ 58  
Underwriting expenses incurred
    50       56       56       51       58       56       55       51       108       106       163       162       214       224  
Underwriting loss
  $ 20     $ (11 )   $ (58 )   $ (32 )   $ -     $ (39 )   $ (30 )   $ (10 )   $ (89 )   $ (40 )   $ (100 )   $ (79 )   $ (80 )   $ (83 )
                                                                                                                 
Ratio Data
                                                                                                               
Loss ratio
    49.4 %     63.1 %     90.1 %     78.3 %     53.6 %     79.7 %     75.6 %     67.4 %     84.2 %     71.5 %     77.1 %     74.1 %     70.2 %     69.0 %
Allocated loss expense ratio
    2.7       2.4       2.4       1.9       2.7       1.8       1.9       1.9       2.2       1.9       2.2       1.9       2.4       2.1  
Unallocated loss expense ratio
    7.1       7.8       8.2       8.3       9.6       8.7       7.9       7.4       8.3       7.6       8.1       8.0       7.8       8.3  
Net underwriting expense ratio
    30.2       29.5       29.8       35.4       36.2       30.4       28.9       34.1       32.1       31.2       31.2       30.9       31.0       32.2  
Statutory combined ratio
    89.4 %     102.8 %     130.5 %     123.9 %     102.1 %     120.6 %     114.3 %     110.8 %     126.8 %     112.2 %     118.7 %     114.9 %     111.3 %     111.6 %
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophes
    90.8 %     94.9 %     95.1 %     101.3 %     106.2 %     96.8 %     87.3 %     99.2 %     97.8 %     92.9 %     96.7 %     94.2 %     95.3 %     97.1 %
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Detail
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
  $ -     $ 5     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5     $ 5     $ 5     $ 5  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    3       10       3       1       4       6       2       4       5       5       15       12       17       16  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    13       12       8       15       15       12       8       10       22       19       34       30       48       44  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    5       2       7       5       6       2       3       4       12       7       14       9       19       16  
Large losses subtotal
  $ 21     $ 29     $ 18     $ 21     $ 25     $ 25     $ 13     $ 18     $ 39     $ 31     $ 68     $ 56     $ 89     $ 81  
IBNR incurred
    (10 )     -       -       (1 )     (4 )     2       2       -       (1 )     2       (1 )     4       (11 )     -  
Catastrophe losses incurred
    (2 )     13       61       39       (7 )     40       47       21       100       67       113       107       111       100  
Remaining incurred
    76       65       76       75       78       66       70       80       151       151       216       217       292       295  
Total losses incurred
  $ 85     $ 107     $ 155     $ 134     $ 92     $ 133     $ 132     $ 119     $ 289     $ 251     $ 396     $ 384     $ 481     $ 476  
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Ratio
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    0.0 %     2.9 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     3.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     0.0 %     1.0 %     1.0 %     0.7 %     0.7 %
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    1.6       5.7       1.9       0.8       2.4       3.8       1.1       2.1       1.4       1.6       2.8       2.3       2.5       2.3  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    7.5       7.0       4.8       8.6       8.3       7.1       4.8       5.5       6.7       5.2       6.7       5.8       6.9       6.4  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    3.2       1.3       3.7       3.0       3.8       1.4       1.5       2.5       3.3       1.9       2.7       1.7       2.9       2.3  
Large losses subtotal
    12.3 %     16.9 %     10.4 %     12.4 %     14.5 %     15.3 %     7.5 %     10.1 %     11.4 %     8.7 %     13.2 %     10.8 %     13.0 %     11.7 %
IBNR incurred
    (5.7 )     (0.2 )     0.1       (0.6 )     (2.3 )     1.0       0.9       0.2       (0.3 )     0.6       (0.3 )     0.7       (1.6 )     0.0  
Total catastrophe losses incurred
    (1.4 )     7.9       35.4       22.6       (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       29.0       19.3       22.0       20.7       16.1       14.5  
Remaining incurred
    44.2       38.5       44.2       43.9       45.5       39.6       40.2       45.6       44.1       42.9       42.2       41.9       42.7       42.8  
Total loss ratio
    49.4 %     63.1 %     90.1 %     78.3 %     53.6 %     79.7 %     75.6 %     67.5 %     84.2 %     71.5 %     77.1 %     74.1 %     70.2 %     69.0 %
 
                                                                                                               
Loss Claim Count
                                                                                                               
New losses greater than $4,000,000
    -       1       -       -       -       1       -       -       -       -       1       1       1       1  
New losses $1,000,000-$4,000,000
    2       6       3       1       3       6       1       3       4       4       10       10       12       13  
New losses $250,000-$1,000,000
    29       29       22       37       32       32       21       25       59       69       88       78       117       110  
Case reserve development above $250,000
    13       7       15       12       17       7       8       7       27       29       34       22       47       39  
Large losses total
    44       43       40       50       52       46       30       35       90       102       133       111       177       163  
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.  The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 *nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
13

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Agency Direct Written Premiums by Risk State by Line of Business for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2009

(Dollars in millions)
 
Standard Market
   
Surplus Lines
         
Standard Market
   
*Consolidated
 
   
Commercial Lines
   
Personal Lines
   
Commercial
   
Consolidated
   
Commercial
   
Personal
   
Total
 
   
Comm
   
Comm
   
Comm
   
Workers'
   
Specialty
   
Surety &
   
Mach. &
   
Pers
   
Home
   
Other
   
Casualty
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change
   
Change
   
Change
 
Risk State
 
Casualty
   
Prop
   
Auto
   
Comp
   
Packages
   
Exec Risk
   
Equip
   
Auto
   
Owner
   
Personal
   
& Prop
   
Total
   
Total
   
%
   
%
   
%
 
                                                                                                 
AL
  $ 17.6     $ 17.9     $ 7.9     $ 1.0     $ 8.3     $ 2.4     $ 0.8     $ 16.3     $ 25.3     $ 5.5     $ 1.0     $ 104.0     $ 103.3       (0.9 )     0.8       0.6  
AZ
    10.4       6.3       9.8       0.8       1.0       0.9       0.5       0.7       0.7       0.3       0.3       31.7       34.0       (11.0 )     270.0       (6.7 )
AR
    8.9       10.2       5.7       3.7       4.2       1.8       0.5       2.7       3.0       1.0       0.8       42.5       44.1       (7.6 )     9.5       (3.7 )
CO
    0.5       0.5       0.5       0.3       -       0.2       -       -       0.2       -       0.1       2.4       2.0       25.0       3.4       25.1  
DE
    2.1       1.4       1.3       2.5       0.3       0.1       0.1       -       -       -       -       7.8       5.5       42.6       219.7       42.6  
FL
    22.6       22.4       9.2       1.1       2.0       2.3       0.9       10.4       16.1       3.0       0.1       90.2       106.5       (17.7 )     (10.5 )     (15.3 )
GA
    24.1       21.0       17.5       11.5       7.5       6.6       1.1       30.6       27.9       8.3       3.1       159.1       159.2       (2.9 )     1.4       (0.1 )
ID
    9.2       4.9       5.1       0.2       0.8       1.1       0.3       0.3       0.2       0.1       0.2       22.5       22.3       (2.7 )  
nm
      0.9  
IL
    60.5       44.0       28.4       51.6       13.4       6.9       3.1       24.6       19.2       6.6       3.8       262.2       283.5       (10.4 )     3.3       (7.5 )
IN
    42.1       35.9       22.3       26.3       8.4       6.9       2.4       27.0       25.4       7.1       4.9       208.7       216.3       (6.1 )     (0.6 )     (3.5 )
IA
    19.5       14.9       9.5       22.6       4.4       2.8       1.3       3.4       3.6       1.7       0.4       84.1       87.5       (4.2 )     (5.3 )     (4.0 )
KS
    7.4       8.4       4.4       8.2       3.2       1.8       0.5       4.2       5.2       1.2       0.4       45.0       43.7       2.8       (0.4 )     3.0  
KY
    20.8       21.1       13.4       3.3       5.9       4.0       1.0       20.7       16.0       4.5       1.5       112.2       109.8       (0.9 )     3.9       2.2  
MD
    13.2       6.6       10.9       9.8       1.2       1.4       0.4       0.3       1.7       0.6       0.8       46.9       47.3       (3.6 )     19.9       (1.0 )
MI
    30.7       21.7       13.9       14.8       11.9       6.4       1.9       11.4       13.9       3.3       2.2       132.2       139.4       (8.0 )     0.3       (5.2 )
MN
    19.6       16.0       8.2       6.9       3.4       2.5       1.3       6.3       5.5       3.3       1.4       74.4       76.9       (7.4 )     7.1       (3.2 )
MO
    20.8       19.9       13.5       14.1       6.0       3.0       1.3       3.1       4.6       1.1       2.0       89.4       91.2       (5.6 )     15.6       (1.9 )
MT
    12.3       7.0       6.7       0.1       1.0       0.5       0.5       1.1       1.0       0.2       0.3       30.9       30.5       (3.7 )     96.0       1.2  
NE
    6.0       5.7       3.2       7.0       1.4       0.9       0.5       0.8       0.9       0.3       0.3       27.1       28.8       (7.0 )     (4.0 )     (5.8 )
NH
    2.7       1.9       1.3       2.4       0.8       0.6       0.1       0.6       0.7       0.3       0.3       11.7       11.2       3.0       (0.4 )     4.5  
NM
    2.6       1.0       1.4       0.6       0.1       0.7       0.1       -       -       -       0.2       6.8       3.8       69.8       8.1       74.7  
NY
    30.7       9.4       11.7       2.4       1.3       2.8       0.7       -       -       -       0.5       59.6       54.1       9.2       (0.1 )     10.1  
NC
    32.4       27.4       20.0       24.4       13.1       7.7       1.8       5.9       5.3       3.4       1.9       143.4       151.8       (12.6 )     146.7       (5.5 )
ND
    4.9       3.8       2.6       -       0.9       0.7       0.3       0.5       0.5       0.2       0.1       14.4       14.8       (3.6 )     2.7       (2.5 )
OH
    139.3       90.0       61.0       -       20.9       23.0       5.1       119.8       85.1       31.4       5.4       580.6       611.8       (5.8 )     (5.1 )     (5.1 )
PA
    43.4       29.1       27.8       46.2       9.5       5.7       1.8       7.2       5.8       3.5       1.4       181.5       190.2       (5.6 )     (2.2 )     (4.6 )
SC
    11.3       8.1       6.8       4.9       2.4       2.4       0.4       0.5       0.4       0.3       0.6       38.1       43.2       (15.2 )     280.5       (11.7 )
SD
    3.5       2.2       1.6       3.4       0.5       0.7       0.1       -       -       -       0.1       12.2       14.7       (17.8 )     (12.9 )     (17.2 )
TN
    21.3       18.8       13.2       9.6       9.1       4.9       1.2       8.6       8.9       3.3       1.1       100.0       103.1       (5.7 )     3.0       (3.0 )
TX
    5.3       5.5       3.0       1.8       0.3       0.5       0.4       -       -       -       0.8       17.7       5.2       224.0       94.7       239.8  
UT
    11.4       5.6       6.4       0.1       0.6       2.3       0.4       1.4       0.5       0.1       1.1       30.0       27.8       (2.1 )  
nm
      7.8  
VT
    4.8       4.1       2.9       5.5       1.1       0.9       0.3       0.7       0.9       0.3       0.4       21.8       23.3       (8.2 )     (4.5 )     (6.5 )
VA
    28.8       22.5       18.0       17.2       4.9       6.3       1.3       9.1       7.6       3.0       1.4       120.3       130.7       (10.1 )     (1.4 )     (8.0 )
WA
    2.2       1.0       1.3       -       -       0.2       0.1       -       -       -       0.4       5.1       1.6       194.2       16.6       220.7  
WV
    7.6       5.1       4.7       0.8       2.4       1.2       0.4       -       0.6       0.2       1.0       23.8       22.9       0.9       (8.1 )     3.9  
WI
    25.6       16.3       11.2       24.6       4.3       2.5       1.7       8.3       7.0       3.4       1.5       106.4       110.1       (4.2 )     (4.1 )     (3.4 )
WY
    0.9       0.2       0.1       -       -       0.1       -       -       -       -       -       1.4       0.9       52.6       32.2       52.4  
All Other
    2.8       2.5       2.8       3.9       0.3       1.4       0.1       -       0.1       -       -       13.7       12.9       6.5       6.5       6.5  
Total
  $ 729.7     $ 540.3     $ 389.5     $ 333.7     $ 156.8     $ 117.4     $ 34.6     $ 326.6     $ 294.2     $ 97.3     $ 41.6     $ 3,061.7     $ 3,166.3       (5.6 )     0.6       (3.3 )
Other Direct
    -       1.3       -       3.5       -       -       -       -       2.3       -       -       7.2       11.6       (47.4 )     (2.1 )     (38.2 )
Total Direct
  $ 729.7     $ 541.6     $ 389.5     $ 337.2     $ 156.8     $ 117.4     $ 34.6     $ 326.6     $ 296.5     $ 97.3     $ 41.6     $ 3,068.9     $ 3,177.9       (5.7 )     0.6       (3.4 )

Surplus direct premiums written were $41.6 million and $14.4 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively.
*Consolidated change consists of commercial lines, personal lines and E&S.
Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.  Percentage changes are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.

 
14

 

Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Commercial casualty:
                                                                                   
Written premiums
  $ 156     $ 168     $ 171     $ 209     $ 183     $ 171     $ 199     $ 211     $ 379     $ 410     $ 548     $ 582     $ 704     $ 764  
Earned premiums
    166       180       180       187       183       196       194       190       366       384       546       580       712       763  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    64.7 %     45.0 %     54.2 %     55.2 %     23.9 %     44.4 %     39.8 %     58.3 %     54.7 %     48.9 %     51.5 %     47.4 %     54.6 %     41.7 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    64.7 %     45.0 %     54.2 %     55.2 %     23.9 %     44.4 %     39.8 %     58.3 %     54.7 %     48.9 %     51.5 %     47.4 %     54.6 %     41.7 %
                                                                                                                 
Commercial property:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 115     $ 124     $ 113     $ 132     $ 117     $ 117     $ 124     $ 124     $ 245     $ 247     $ 370     $ 364     $ 485     $ 481  
Earned premiums
    122       122       120       121       122       120       123       122       241       244       362       364       485       487  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    34.9 %     42.8 %     88.3 %     69.0 %     47.2 %     70.0 %     97.6 %     75.5 %     78.6 %     86.6 %     66.6 %     81.1 %     58.6 %     72.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (5.1 )     0.6       23.5       7.4       (5.3 )     15.6       38.0       16.5       15.4       27.3       10.4       23.4       6.6       16.2  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    40.0 %     42.2 %     64.8 %     61.6 %     52.5 %     54.4 %     59.6 %     59.0 %     63.2 %     59.3 %     56.2 %     57.7 %     52.1 %     56.4 %
                                                                                                                 
Commercial auto:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 93     $ 92     $ 94     $ 110     $ 94     $ 93     $ 108     $ 107     $ 204     $ 215     $ 296     $ 308     $ 388     $ 402  
Earned premiums
    98       99       98       99       103       103       104       101       197       205       296       308       394       411  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    69.3 %     67.9 %     62.5 %     59.7 %     94.8 %     63.2 %     67.5 %     63.4 %     61.1 %     65.5 %     63.4 %     64.7 %     64.9 %     72.3 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    0.4       (0.8 )     3.3       (0.1 )     (0.8 )     0.1       3.4       (0.4 )     1.6       1.5       0.8       1.0       0.7       0.6  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    68.9 %     68.7 %     59.2 %     59.8 %     95.6 %     63.1 %     64.1 %     63.8 %     59.5 %     64.0 %     62.6 %     63.7 %     64.2 %     71.7 %
                                                                                                                 
Workers' compensation:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 71     $ 69     $ 79     $ 104     $ 89     $ 84     $ 95     $ 114     $ 183     $ 209     $ 252     $ 293     $ 323     $ 382  
Earned premiums
    74       82       88       83       93       93       94       94       171       189       253       282       326       375  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    137.1 %     110.2 %     130.2 %     117.5 %     128.2 %     90.9 %     78.3 %     64.8 %     124.0 %     71.5 %     119.5 %     77.9 %     123.5 %     90.4 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    137.1 %     110.2 %     130.2 %     117.5 %     128.2 %     90.9 %     78.3 %     64.8 %     124.0 %     71.5 %     119.5 %     77.9 %     123.5 %     90.4 %
                                                                                                                 
Specialty package:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 37     $ 38     $ 35     $ 38     $ 37     $ 36     $ 36     $ 37     $ 73     $ 73     $ 110     $ 109     $ 148     $ 145  
Earned premiums
    37       37       37       35       36       35       36       35       72       72       110       107       147       144  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    40.5 %     33.5 %     114.3 %     96.0 %     40.6 %     80.2 %     109.7 %     63.4 %     105.4 %     86.8 %     81.0 %     84.6 %     70.6 %     73.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (10.2 )     (18.2 )     68.8       13.7       (3.8 )     12.2       43.9       8.1       41.9       26.2       21.5       21.5       13.4       15.2  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    50.7 %     51.7 %     45.5 %     82.3 %     44.4 %     68.0 %     65.8 %     55.3 %     63.5 %     60.6 %     59.5 %     63.1 %     57.2 %     58.3 %
                                                                                                                 
Surety and executive risk:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 23     $ 28     $ 25     $ 25     $ 24     $ 29     $ 28     $ 25     $ 50     $ 54     $ 78     $ 82     $ 101     $ 107  
Earned premiums
    27       27       25       25       28       27       28       25       50       53       77       80       104       107  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    95.7 %     85.6 %     67.0 %     30.3 %     76.5 %     73.6 %     92.0 %     45.9 %     48.8 %     70.1 %     61.7 %     71.3 %     70.5 %     72.6 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    95.7 %     85.6 %     67.0 %     30.3 %     76.5 %     73.6 %     92.0 %     45.9 %     48.8 %     70.1 %     61.7 %     71.3 %     70.5 %     72.6 %
                                                                                                                 
Machinery and equipment:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 8     $ 9     $ 7     $ 8     $ 8     $ 8     $ 7     $ 7     $ 15     $ 14     $ 24     $ 22     $ 32     $ 30  
Earned premiums
    8       8       8       7       8       7       7       7       15       14       23       22       31       29  
Loss and loss expense ratio
    (47.6 )%     38.4 %     39.7 %     59.3 %     50.4 %     32.4 %     34.1 %     53.3 %     49.3 %     43.6 %     45.6 %     39.8 %     21.6 %     42.5 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (3.5 )     (0.1 )     1.2       4.5       (0.2 )     2.8       1.0       -       2.8       0.6       1.8       1.3       0.5       0.9  
Loss and loss expense excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    (44.1 )%     38.5 %     38.5 %     54.8 %     50.6 %     29.6 %     33.1 %     53.3 %     46.5 %     43.0 %     43.8 %     38.5 %     21.1 %     41.6 %
                                                                                                                 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.

 
15

 
 
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Personal auto:
                                                                                   
Written premiums
  $ 77     $ 90     $ 89     $ 68     $ 73     $ 88     $ 89     $ 69     $ 157     $ 158     $ 246     $ 246     $ 324     $ 320  
Earned premiums
    80       80       80       79       80       81       82       83       159       164       239       245       319       325  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    71.8 %     64.9 %     75.7 %     63.6 %     81.0 %     63.7 %     56.8 %     67.6 %     69.7 %     62.2 %     68.1 %     62.7 %     69.0 %     67.2 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (0.8< /font> )     0.6       3.1       0.3       (1.6 )     1.7       3.1       1.7       1.7       2.4       1.4       2.2       0.8       1.2  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    72.6 %     64.3 %     72.6 %     63.3 %     82.6 %     62.0 %     53.7 %     65.9 %     68.0 %     59.8 %     66.7 %     60.5 %     68.2 %     66.0 %
                                                                                                                 
Homeowner:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 68     $ 75     $ 76     $ 56     $ 65     $ 72     $ 79     $ 60     $ 132     $ 139     $ 208     $ 212     $ 275     $ 277  
Earned premiums
    69       68       70       70       69       64       71       72       140       143       207       208       276       277  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    53.0 %     96.4 %     147.8 %     132.9 %     52.9 %     122.8 %     130.7 %     91.4 %     140.3 %     110.9 %     126.0 %     114.6 %     107.8 %     99.2 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    (2.6< /font> )     18.0       77.6       51.5       (8.5 )     54.5       60.0       25.2       64.5       42.5       49.4       46.2       36.4< /font>       32.5  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    55.6 %     78.4 %     70.2 %     81.4 %     61.4 %     68.3 %     70.7 %     66.2 %     75.8 %     68.4 %     76.6 %     68.4 %     71.4 %     66.7 %
                                                                                                                 
Other personal:
                                                                                                               
Written premiums
  $ 22     $ 25     $ 25     $ 21     $ 21     $ 24     $ 23     $ 21     $ 45     $ 44     $ 70     $ 67     $ 92     $ 88  
Earned premiums
    23       22       22       22       22       22       21       22       44       44       67       65       90       87  
Loss and loss expenses ratio
    33.8 %     33.8 %     42.6 %     37.8 %     51.8 %     91.5 %     43.2 %     62.2 %     40.2 %     52.9 %     38.0 %     65.8 %     36.9 %     62.2 %
Less catastrophe loss ratio
    0.5       3.4       18.7       11.0       0.4       14.5       8.0       4.1       14.8       6.0       11.0       8.9       8.3       6.7  
Loss and loss expenses excluding catastrophe loss ratio
    33.3 %     30.4 %     23.9 %     26.8 %     51.4 %     77.0 %     35.2 %     58.1 %     25.4 %     46.9 %     27.0 %     56.9 %     28.6 %     55.5 %
                                                                                                                 

 
16

 

Quarterly Detailed Loss Analysis
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
All Lines
                                                                                   
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                   
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
  $ 549     $ 542     $ 529     $ 482     $ 610     $ 566     $ 532     $ 467     $ 1,010     $ 999     $ 1,553     $ 1,563     $ 2,102     $ 2,175  
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (73 )     (89 )     (27 )     9       (120 )     (107 )     (87 )     (9 )     (18 )     (96 )     (107 )     (201 )     (181 )     (320 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (11 )     8       120       55       (17 )     59       113       47       175       160       183       220       172       203  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    (1 )     (2 )     (2 )     (2 )     1       3       -       (4 )     (4 )     (4 )     (6 )     (1 )     (7 )     -  
Total
  $ 464     $ 459     $ 620     $ 544     $ 474     $ 521     $ 558     $ 501     $ 1,163     $ 1,059     $ 1,623     $ 1,581     $ 2,086     $ 2,058  
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses :
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
    77.0 %     73.9 %     72.1 %     65.8 %     81.7 %     75.3 %     69.7 %     62.2 %     69.0 %     66.0 %     70.6 %     69.1 %     72.2 %     72.2 %
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (10.3 )     (12.1 )     (3.7 )     1.2       (16.2 )     (14.0 )     (11.3 )     (1.2 )     (1.2 )     (6.3 )     (4.9 )     (8.9 )     (6.2 )     (10.7 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (1.6 )     1.2       16.3       7.5       (2.0 )     8.0       15.0       6.2       11.9       10.5       8.4       9.7       5.9       6.8  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    (0.1 )     (0.3 )     (0.2 )     (0.3 )     0.1       0.4       (0.1 )     (0.5 )     (0.3 )     (0.2 )     (0.3 )     0.0       (0.2 )     0.0  
Total
    65.0 %     62.7 %     84.5 %     74.2 %     63.6 %     69.7 %     73.3 %     66.7 %     79.4 %     70.0 %     73.8 %     69.9 %     71.7 %     68.3 %
                                                                                                                 
Commercial Lines
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
  $ 423     $ 407     $ 403     $ 363     $ 464     $ 437     $ 416     $ 354     $ 766     $ 770     $ 1,173     $ 1,208     $ 1,596     $ 1,672  
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (57 )     (71 )     (18 )     11       (97 )     (89 )     (74 )     (11 )     (7 )     (85 )     (78 )     (174 )     (135 )     (270 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (8 )     (4 )     61       17       (9 )     22       66       25       78       92       74       114       66       105  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    (2 )     (3 )     (4 )     (3 )     -       1       -       (3 )     (7 )     (3 )     (10 )     (2 )     (12 )     (2 )
Total
  $ 356     $ 329     $ 442     $ 388     $ 358     $ 371     $ 408     $ 365     $ 830     $ 774     $ 1,159     $ 1,146     $ 1,515     $ 1,505  
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
    79.5 %     73.3 %     72.5 %     65.2 %     80.8 %     75.0 %     70.8 %     61.6 %     68.8 %     66.4 %     70.4 %     69.3 %     72.5 %     72.1 %
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (10.8 )     (12.8 )     (3.2 )     2.1       (16.8 )     (15.2 )     (12.4 )     (1.9 )     (0.6 )     (7.3 )     (4.6 )     (10.0 )     (6.1 )     (11.7 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (1.5 )     (0.6 )     10.9       3.1       (1.3 )     3.8       11.4       4.5       7.0       7.9       4.4       6.5       3.0       4.6  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    (0.3 )     (0.6 )     (0.7 )     (0.6 )     (0.2 )     0.2       (0.1 )     (0.6 )     (0.6 )     (0.3 )     (0.6 )     (0.1 )     (0.5 )     (0.1 )
Total
    66.9 %     59.3 %     79.5 %     69.8 %     62.5 %     63.8 %     69.7 %     63.6 %     74.6 %     66.7 %     69.6 %     65.7 %     68.9 %     64.9 %
                                                                                                                 
Personal Lines
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
  $ 120     $ 130     $ 121     $ 115     $ 143     $ 128     $ 114     $ 113     $ 237     $ 228     $ 366     $ 356     $ 486     $ 499  
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (16 )     (18 )     (9 )     (2 )     (23 )     (17 )     (12 )     2       (12 )     (11 )     (29 )     (28 )     (45 )     (51 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (3 )     12       59       38       (8 )     38       47       22       97       68       109       106       106       98  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    1       1       2       1       1       2       -       (1 )     3       (1 )     4       1       4       2  
Total
  $ 102     $ 125     $ 173     $ 152     $ 113     $ 151     $ 149     $ 136     $ 325     $ 284     $ 450     $ 435     $ 551     $ 548  
Ratio to Earned Premiums
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses:
                                                                                                               
Loss and loss expenses - current AY
    69.6 %     76.1 %     70.9 %     67.4 %     83.3 %     76.3 %     65.6 %     64.1 %     69.0 %     64.8 %     71.3 %     68.6 %     70.9 %     72.2 %
Loss and loss expenses - prior AY's
    (9.0 )     (10.7 )     (5.4 )     (1.4 )     (13.3 )     (10.0 )     (7.2 )     1.0       (3.4 )     (3.1 )     (5.8 )     (5.3 )     (6.6 )     (7.3 )
Catastrophes - current AY
    (1.7 )     7.3       34.3       22.0       (4.2 )     22.9       27.0       11.9       28.1       19.4       21.2       20.6       15.4       14.4  
Catastrophes - prior AY's
    0.3       0.6       1.1       0.6       0.1       0.9       0.0       (0.3 )     0.9       (0.1 )     0.8       0.1       0.7       0.1  
Total
    59.2 %     73.3 %     100.9 %     88.6 %     65.9 %     90.1 %     85.4 %     76.7 %     94.6 %     81.0 %     87.5 %     84.0 %     80.4 %     79.4 %
 
 
17

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
10-Year Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

 
Years ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
   
2003
   
2002
   
2001
   
2000
 
Premiums
                                                           
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 2,919     $ 3,040     $ 3,149     $ 3,172     $ 3,097     $ 3,026     $ 2,789     $ 2,496     $ 2,188     $ 1,936  
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       402       (55 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (8 )     (30 )     (32 )     6       (21 )     (29 )     26       117       -       -  
Reported written premiums – statutory**
    2,911       3,010       3,117       3,178       3,076       2,997       2,815       2,613       2,590       1,881  
Unearned premium change
    -       -       8       (14 )     (18 )     (78 )     (162 )     (222 )     (517 )     (53 )
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 2,911     $ 3,010     $ 3,125     $ 3,164     $ 3,058     $ 2,919     $ 2,653     $ 2,391     $ 2,073     $ 1,828  
                                                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    (4.0 )%     (3.5 )%     (0.7 )%     2.4 %     2.3 %     8.5 %     11.7 %     14.0 %     13.0 %     15.2 %
Written premiums – statutory
    (3.3 )%     (3.4 )%     (1.9 )%     3.3 %     2.6 %     6.5 %     7.7 %     0.9 %     37.7 %     11.9 %
Earned premiums
    (3.3 )%     (3.7 )%     (1.2 )%     3.5 %     4.8 %     10.0 %     11.0 %     15.3 %     13.4 %     10.3 %
                                                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    104.4 %     100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     94.2 %     98.4 %     99.5 %     112.5 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       4.1       (0.9 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      1.2       -       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -       (1.7 )
Statutory combined ratio (adjusted)
    104.4 %     100.4 %     90.3 %     93.9 %     89.0 %     89.4 %     95.0 %     99.6 %     103.6 %     109.9 %
Less catastrophe losses
    5.7       6.8       0.8       5.5       4.1       5.1       3.6       3.6       3.1       2.7  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    98.7 %     93.6 %     89.5 %     88.4 %     84.9 %     84.3 %     91.4 %     96.0 %     100.5 %     107.2 %
                                                                                 
Reported commission expense ratio*
    19.0 %     18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     15.9 %     13.9 %     17.4 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       2.6       (0.5 )
Written premium adjustment statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      0.8       -       -  
Commission expense ratio (adjusted)
    19.0 %     18.4 %     19.2 %     18.7 %     19.3 %     19.2 %     17.6 %     16.7 %     16.5 %     16.9 %
                                                                                 
Reported other expense ratio*
    13.7 %     13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     8.9 %     9.6 %     8.7 %     12.6 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       1.5       (0.4 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      0.4       -       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -       (1.7 )
Other expense ratio (adjusted)
    13.7 %     13.7 %     12.5 %     11.7 %     10.5 %     10.1 %     9.7 %     10.0 %     10.2 %     10.5 %
                                                                                 
Reported statutory expense ratio*
    32.7 %     32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     26.5 %     25.5 %     22.6 %     30.0 %
Codification
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       4.1       (0.9 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
 
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
   
nm
      1.2       -       -  
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -       (1.7 )
Statutory expense ratio (adjusted)
    32.7 %     32.1 %     31.7 %     30.4 %     29.8 %     29.3 %     27.3 %     26.7 %     26.7 %     27.4 %
                                                                                  
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    104.5 %     100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     94.7 %     99.7 %     104.9 %     112.8 %
One-time item
    -       -       -       -       -       -       0.8       -       -       (2.1 )
GAAP combined ratio before one-time item
    104.5 %     100.6 %     90.3 %     94.3 %     89.2 %     89.8 %     95.5 %     99.7 %     104.9 %     110.7 %
                                                                                 
Written premiums to surplus
                                                                               
Adjusted premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.800       0.905       0.731       0.668       0.739       0.721       1.002       1.067       0.864          
Written premium adjustment
    (0.002 )     (0.009 )     (0.007 )     0.001       (0.005 )     (0.007 )     0.010       0.050       0.159          
Reported premiums to statutory surplus ratio
    0.798       0.896       0.724       0.669       0.734       0.714       1.012       1.117       1.023          
                                                                                 
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.
**Prior to 2001, property casualty written premiums were recognized as they were billed throughout the policy period. Effective January 1, 2001, written premiums have been recognized on an annualized basis at
the effective date of the policy. Written premiums for 2000 were reclassified to conform with the 2001 presentation; information was not readily available to reclassify earlier year statutory data. The growth rates in written premiums between 1999 and 2000 are overstated because 1999 premiums are shown on a billed basis.

 
18

 
 
Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Years ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
Premiums
                                   
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 2,190     $ 2,341     $ 2,444     $ 2,435     $ 2,306     $ 2,209  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (9 )       (30 )       (31 )     7       (16 )      (23 )  
Reported written premiums – statutory
  $ 2,181     $ 2,311     $ 2,413     $ 2,442     $ 2,290     $ 2,186  
Unearned premium change
    18       5       (2 )     (40 )       (36 )      (60 )  
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 2,199     $ 2,316     $ 2,411     $ 2,402     $ 2,254     $ 2,126  
                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    (6.5 )%     (4.2 )%     0.4 %     5.6 %     4.4 %     10.0 %
Written premiums – statutory
    (5.6 )%     (4.2 )%     (1.2 )%     6.7 %     4.7 %     7.6 %
Earned premiums
    (5.1 )%     (3.9 )%     0.4 %     6.6 %     6.0 %     11.4 %
                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    101.8 %     96.6 %     89.2 %     90.8 %     87.1 %     83.7 %
Less catastrophe losses
    2.5       4.5       0.7       3.7       3.4       3.4  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    99.3 %     92.1 %     88.5 %     87.1 %     83.7 %     80.3 %
                                                 
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    101.6 %     97.0 %     89.2 %     91.3 %     87.4 %     84.1 %
                                                 
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 *nm - - Not meaningful
 * Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
19

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
6-Year Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
Years ended December 31,
 
   
2009
   
2008
   
2007
   
2006
   
2005
   
2004
 
Premiums
                                   
Adjusted written premiums – statutory*
  $ 690     $ 685     $ 705     $ 737     $ 791     $ 817  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    1       -       (1 )     (1 )       (5 )      (6 )  
Reported written premiums – statutory
  $ 691     $ 685     $ 704     $ 736     $ 786     $ 811  
Unearned premium change
    (6 )       4       10       26       18        (18 )  
Earned premiums (GAAP)
  $ 685     $ 689     $ 714     $ 762     $ 804     $ 793  
                                                 
Year-over-year growth rate:
                                               
Adjusted written premiums – statutory
    0.7 %     (2.8 )%     (4.3 )%     (6.8 )%     (3.2 )%     4.7 %
Written premiums – statutory
    0.9 %     (2.7 )%     (4.3 )%     (6.4 )%     (3.1 )%     3.4 %
Earned premiums
    (0.6 )%     (3.5 )%     (6.3 )%     (5.2 )%     1.4 %     6.4 %
                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                               
Reported statutory combined ratio*
    111.4 %     111.6 %     94.1 %     103.6 %     94.3 %     104.6 %
Less catastrophe losses
    16.1       14.5       1.3       11.3       6.3       9.7  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses (adjusted)
    95.3 %     97.1 %     92.8 %     92.3 %     88.0 %     94.9 %  
                                                 
GAAP combined ratio
                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    111.8 %     111.9 %     93.9 %     103.6 %     94.4 %     105.0 %
                                                 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
 *nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate  regulatory bodies.

 
20

 

Cincinnati Insurance Group (Excludes CSU)
Loss and Loss Expense Analysis

(In millions)
       
Paid
                     
Loss
                     
Loss
       
   
Paid
   
loss
   
Total
   
Case
   
IBNR
   
expense
   
Total
   
Case
   
IBNR
   
expense
   
Total
 
   
losses
   
expense
   
paid
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
reserves
   
incurred
   
incurred
   
incurred
   
incurred
 
Gross loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2009
                                                                 
Commercial casualty
  $ 267     $ 126     $ 394     $ (2 )   $ (18 )   $ 14     $ (6 )   $ 265     $ (18 )   $ 140     $ 388  
Commercial property
    326       46       372       (51 )     9       (1 )     (43 )     276       9       45       329  
Commercial auto
    228       40       268       (10 )     (1 )     (1 )     (12 )     218       (1 )     39       256  
Workers' compensation
    244       40       284       7       105       17       129       250       105       57       413  
Specialty packages
    90       17       107       (6 )     4       -       (2 )     84       4       17       105  
Surety and executive risk
    55       11       66       (1 )     2       5       6       55       2       16       72  
Machinery and equipment
    8       1       9       (2 )     -       -       (2 )     6       -       1       7  
Total commercial lines
    1,218       282       1,500       (64 )     100       34       70       1,154       100       316       1,570  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    202       30       233       (11 )     (1 )     -       (11 )     192       (1 )     30       221  
Homeowners
    273       35       308       (10 )     9       1       -       262       9       36       308  
Other personal
    46       6       51       (8 )     (10 )     (2 )     (21 )     37       (10 )     4       31  
Total personal lines
    521       71       592       (30 )     (2 )     (1 )     (32 )     491       (2 )     70       559  
Total property casualty group
  $ 1,739     $ 353     $ 2,092     $ (94 )   $ 98     $ 33     $ 38     $ 1,645     $ 98     $ 386     $ 2,129  
                                                                                         
Ceded loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2009
                                                                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 42     $ 9     $ 51     $ (41 )   $ (9 )   $ (1 )   $ (52 )   $ 1     $ (9 )   $ 8     $ (1 )
Commercial property
    65       1       67       (25 )     4       -       (22 )     40       4       1       45  
Commercial auto
    2       -       2       (2 )     -       -       (2 )     -       -       -       -  
Workers' compensation
    13       1       14       (6 )     3       -       (4 )     7       3       1       10  
Specialty packages
    2       -       2       (1 )     1       -       (1 )     1       1       -       2  
Surety and executive risk
    14       2       16       (17 )     -       -       (17 )     (3 )     -       2       (1 )
Machinery and equipment
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -  
Total commercial lines
    138       13       151       (93 )     (2 )     (1 )     (96 )     45       (2 )     12       55  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    1       -       1       -       -       -       -       1       -       -       1  
Homeowners
    17       -       17       (10 )     3       -       (8 )     7       3       -       10  
Other personal
    1       -       1       (1 )     (3 )     -       (4 )     -       (3 )     -       (3 )
Total personal lines
    19       -       19       (11 )     -       -       (11 )     8       -       -       7  
Total property casualty group
  $ 157     $ 13     $ 170     $ (104 )   $ (2 )   $ (1 )   $ (108 )   $ 53     $ (2 )   $ 12     $ 62  
                                                                                         
Net loss and loss expense incurred at December 31, 2009
                                                                                       
Commercial casualty
  $ 225     $ 117     $ 343     $ 39     $ (9 )   $ 15     $ 46     $ 265     $ (9 )   $ 133     $ 389  
Commercial property
    261       45       306       (25 )     5       (1 )     (22 )     236       5       43       284  
Commercial auto
    227       40       267       (9 )     (1 )     (1 )     (11 )     218       (1 )     39       256  
Workers' compensation
    231       40       270       13       103       17       133       244       103       57       403  
Specialty packages
    88       17       105       (5 )     4       -       (1 )     83       4       17       104  
Surety and executive risk
    42       9       51       16       2       5       22       58       2       14       73  
Machinery and equipment
    7       1       8       (2 )     -       -       (2 )     6       -       1       7  
Total commercial lines
    1,080       268       1,349       28       102       35       166       1,109       102       303       1,515  
                                                                                         
Personal auto
    202       30       232       (11 )     (1 )     -       (11 )     191       (1 )     30       220  
Homeowners
    255       35       290       -       6       1       8       255       6       36       298  
Other personal
    44       6       50       (8 )     (7 )     (2 )     (17 )     37       (7 )     4       33  
Total personal lines
    501       71       572       (18 )     (2 )     -       (21 )     483       (2 )     70       551  
Total property casualty group
  $ 1,582     $ 339     $ 1,921     $ 10     $ 101     $ 35     $ 145     $ 1,592     $ 101     $ 374     $ 2,066  
                                                                                         

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding.

 
21

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Consolidated

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 635     $ 669     $ 666     $ 695     $ 669     $ 687     $ 738     $ 733     $ 1,361     $ 1,472     $ 2,030     $ 2,159     $ 2,665     $ 2,828  
Agency new business written premiums
    94       107       107       97       100       93       100       76       204       175       311       268       405       368  
Ceded written premiums
    (39 )     (42 )     (40 )     (39 )     (42 )     (50 )     (37 )     (38 )     (79 )     (75 )     (122 )     (125 )     (161 )     (165 )
Other written premiums
    2       2       2       2       2       4       1       2       5       3       7       7       9       9  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (13 )     (6 )     (12 )     23       (13 )     (7 )     (12 )     3       11       (9 )     5       (17 )     (8 )     (30 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 680     $ 730     $ 723     $ 778     $ 717     $ 727     $ 790     $ 776     $ 1,501     $ 1,566     $ 2,231     $ 2,292     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
Unearned premium change
    33       3       10       (46 )     30       24       (29 )     (25 )     (36 )     (54 )     (33 )     (30 )     -       -  
Earned premiums
  $ 713     $ 733     $ 733     $ 732     $ 747     $ 751     $ 761     $ 751     $ 1,465     $ 1,512     $ 2,198     $ 2,262     $ 2,911     $ 3,010  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    (5.0 )%     (2.7 )%     (9.8 )%     (5.2 )%     (5.1 )%     (6.1 )%     (3.0 )%     (3.7 )%     (7.6 )%     (3.4 )%     (6.0 )%     (4.3 )%     (5.8 )%     (4.5 )%
Agency new business written premiums
    (6.3 )     15.4       7.3       28.9       23.9       12.4       22.8       (6.3 )     16.6       8.3       16.0       9.8       9.9       13.4  
Ceded written premiums
    (7.2 )     (14.6 )     7.1       4.6       1.0       20.8       (4.6 )     (1.1 )     5.8       (2.9 )     (2.4 )     5.4       (3.6 )     4.2  
Other written premiums
    (8.7 )     (31.5 )     81.6       32.5       (50.6 )     (39.1 )     (74.6 )     (71.8 )     53.5       (73.1 )     7.9       (61.6 )     3.7       (59.3 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (3.8 )     (20.3 )     (0.3 )     661.2       (48.0 )     (81.6 )     (900.0 )     (91.5 )     (220.8 )     (124.3 )     (126.5 )     161.5       (73.3 )     (4.8 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    (5.1 )     0.5       (8.5 )     0.3       (1.0 )     (1.3 )     (2.5 )     (8.3 )     (4.2 )     (5.4 )     (2.7 )     (4.2 )     (3.3 )     (3.4 )
                                                                                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Statutory combined ratio
    99.1 %     96.9 %     116.6 %     105.1 %     100.2 %     102.8 %     101.5 %     97.2 %     110.8 %     99.4 %     106.2 %     100.5 %     104.4 %     100.4 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       11.6       10.3       8.1       9.7       5.7       6.8  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    100.8 %     96.0 %     100.5 %     97.9 %     102.3 %     94.4 %     86.6 %     91.5 %     99.2 %     89.1 %     98.1 %     90.8 %     98.7 %     93.6 %
Commission expense ratio
    20.4 %     20.1 %     18.2 %     17.7 %     20.8 %     17.7 %     17.4 %     17.7 %     17.9 %     17.5 %     18.7 %     17.6 %     19.0 %     18.4 %
Other expense ratio
    13.7       14.1       13.8       13.2       15.9       15.4       10.7       12.9       13.5       11.8       13.7       12.8       13.7       13.7  
Statutory expense ratio
    34.1 %     34.2 %     32.0 %     30.9 %     36.7 %     33.1 %     28.1 %     30.6 %     31.4 %     29.3 %     32.4 %     30.4 %     32.7 %     32.1 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    98.6 %     95.1 %     116.6 %     107.5 %     98.9 %     101.3 %     103.5 %     98.6 %     112.1 %     101.1 %     106.4 %     101.0 %     104.5 %     100.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.7 )     0.9       16.1       7.2       (2.1 )     8.4       14.9       5.7       11.6       10.3       8.1       9.7       5.7       6.8  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    100.3 %     94.2 %     100.5 %     100.3 %     101.0 %     92.9 %     88.6 %     92.9 %     100.5 %     90.8 %     98.3 %     91.3 %     98.8 %     93.8 %
                                                                                                                 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
22

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Commercial Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 478     $ 489     $ 488     $ 557     $ 514     $ 502     $ 552     $ 588     $ 1,045     $ 1,140     $ 1,535     $ 1,642     $ 2,013     $ 2,156  
Agency new business written premiums
    67       76       79       76       83       77       87       66       155       153       231       229       298       312  
Ceded written premiums
    (31 )     (32 )     (32 )     (31 )     (23 )     (46 )     (31 )     (32 )     (64 )     (63 )     (96 )     (109 )     (127 )     (131 )
Other written premiums
    2       2       1       1       (9 )     13       1       -       3       1       4       14       6       4  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    (13 )     (6 )     (12 )     23       (13 )     (8 )     (12 )     3       11       (9 )     4       (17 )     (9 )     (30 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 503     $ 528     $ 524     $ 626     $ 552     $ 538     $ 597     $ 625     $ 1,149     $ 1,222     $ 1,678     $ 1,759     $ 2,181     $ 2,311  
Unearned premium change
    29       27       32       (69 )     21       44       (11 )     (51 )     (37 )     (61 )     (11 )     (16 )     18       5  
Earned premiums
  $ 532     $ 555     $ 556     $ 557     $ 573     $ 582     $ 586     $ 574     $ 1,112     $ 1,161     $ 1,667     $ 1,743     $ 2,199     $ 2,316  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    (6.9 )%     (2.5 )%     (11.6 )%     (5.2 )%     (5.9 )%     (7.7 )%     (2.9 )%     (4.0 )%     (8.3 )%     (3.5 )%     (6.5 )%     (4.8 )%     (6.6 )%     (5.1 )%
Agency new business written premiums
    (19.5 )     (0.4 )     (8.9 )     14.9       16.4       6.0       21.2       (8.3 )     1.4       6.4       0.8       6.3       (4.6 )     8.8  
Ceded written premiums
    34.4       (29.2 )     3.2       0.2       (33.0 )     43.6       (1.6 )     2.8       1.7       0.6       (11.4 )     15.1       (3.4 )     2.4  
Other written premiums
    (116.5 )     (88.4 )     49.2    
nm
      (391.7 )     250.5       (73.4 )     (99.4 )     227.4       (89.2 )     (70.3 )     25.0       18.1       (66.5 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    0.0       (18.8 )     4.2       666.7       (45.8 )     (81.6 )     (900.0 )     (91.5 )     (216.7 )     (124.3 )     (123.5 )     161.7       (70.0 )     (1.6 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    (8.8 )     (1.8 )     (12.2 )     0.1       (1.9 )     (1.2 )     (2.7 )     (9.8 )     (5.9 )     (6.5 )     (4.7 )     (4.9 )     (5.6 )     (4.2 )
                                                                                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Statutory combined ratio
    102.0 %     94.9 %     112.0 %     99.0 %     99.0 %     97.3 %     97.5 %     93.3 %     105.4 %     95.5 %     101.8 %     95.9 %     101.8 %     96.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.2       2.5       (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9       6.4       7.7       3.8       6.4       2.5       4.5  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    103.8 %     96.1 %     101.8 %     96.5 %     100.5 %     93.3 %     86.2 %     89.4 %     99.0 %     87.8 %     98.0 %     89.5 %     99.3 %     92.1 %
Commission expense ratio
    20.0 %     20.3 %     18.1 %     16.4 %     20.8 %     18.1 %     16.9 %     16.5 %     17.2 %     16.7 %     18.2 %     17.1 %     18.6 %     18.0 %
Other expense ratio
    15.1       15.3       14.4       12.8       15.7       15.4       10.9       13.2       13.5       12.1       14.0       13.1       14.3       13.7  
Statutory expense ratio
    35.1 %     35.6 %     32.5 %     29.2 %     36.5 %     33.5 %     27.8 %     29.7 %     30.7 %     28.8 %     32.2 %     30.2 %     32.9 %     31.7 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    100.8 %     92.4 %     110.9 %     102.2 %     98.1 %     94.9 %     99.9 %     95.0 %     106.6 %     97.4 %     101.9 %     96.6 %     101.6 %     97.0 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.8 )     (1.2 )     10.2       2.5       (1.5 )     4.0       11.3       3.9       6.4       7.7       3.8       6.4       2.5       4.5  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    102.6 %     93.6 %     100.7 %     99.7 %     99.6 %     90.9 %     88.6 %     91.1 %     100.2 %     89.7 %     98.1 %     90.2 %     99.1 %     92.5 %
                                                                                                                 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
*nm - - Not meaningful
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
23

 

Consolidated Cincinnati Insurance Companies
Quarterly Property Casualty Data - Personal Lines

(Dollars in millions)
 
Three months ended
   
Six months ended
   
Nine months ended
   
Twelve months ended
 
   
12/31/09
   
9/30/09
   
6/30/09
   
3/31/09
   
12/31/08
   
9/30/08
   
6/30/08
   
3/31/08
   
6/30/09
   
6/30/08
   
9/30/09
   
9/30/08
   
12/31/09
   
12/31/08
 
Premiums
                                                                                   
Agency renewal written premiums
  $ 153     $ 177     $ 176     $ 137     $ 156     $ 185     $ 186     $ 146     $ 313     $ 332     $ 490     $ 517     $ 642     $ 672  
Agency new business written premiums
    20       21       19       14       11       11       10       8       34       19       55       30       75       42  
Ceded written premiums
    (6 )     (9 )     (7 )     (7 )     (8 )     (13 )     (6 )     (6 )     (15 )     (12 )     (24 )     (26 )     (31 )     (33 )
Other written premiums
    -       1       1       1       -       1       1       2       2       2       3       4       4       4  
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -       1       -  
Reported written premiums – statutory*
  $ 167     $ 190     $ 191     $ 145     $ 159     $ 184     $ 191     $ 150     $ 334     $ 341     $ 524     $ 525     $ 691     $ 685  
Unearned premium change
    5       (20 )     (19 )     26       12       (17 )     (17 )     27       9       10       (11 )     (7 )     (6 )     4  
Earned premiums
  $ 172     $ 170     $ 172     $ 171     $ 171     $ 167     $ 174     $ 177     $ 343     $ 351     $ 513     $ 518     $ 685     $ 689  
Year over year change %
                                                                                                               
Agency renewal written premiums
    (1.8 )%     (4.7 )%     (5.3 )%     (6.0 )%     (2.3 )%     (1.6 )%     (3.3 )%     (2.8 )%     (5.6 )%     (3.1 )%     (5.3 )%     (2.5 )%     (4.5 )%     (2.5 )%
Agency new business written premiums
    76.7       90.9       85.0       67.2       18.0       11.9       7.7       (0.5 )     76.9       3.9       82.0       6.7       80.6       9.6  
Ceded written premiums
    (8.0 )     (35.9 )     20.2       23.1       7.0       61.4       (17.3 )     (17.2 )     21.6       (17.3 )     (8.5 )     11.0       (8.4 )     10.1  
Other written premiums
    8.8       (30.4 )     128.2       (50.0 )     (64.9 )     (37.3 )     (76.2 )     (0.4 )     (7.6 )     (43.3 )     (16.0 )     (41.3 )     (13.2 )     (45.4 )
Written premium adjustment – statutory
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       (100.0 )     (100.0 )     0.0       (100.0 )     0.0       (100.0 )     0.0       (100.0 )     0.0       (100.0 )
Reported written premiums – statutory*
    4.7       3.2       (0.4 )     (3.5 )     (1.4 )     (4.0 )     (3.0 )     (2.0 )     (1.8 )     (2.6 )     (0.1 )     (3.1 )     0.9       (2.7 )
                                                                                                                 
Statutory combined ratio
                                                                                                               
Statutory combined ratio
    89.4 %     102.8 %     130.5 %     123.9 %     102.1 %     120.6 %     114.3 %     110.8 %     126.8 %     112.2 %     118.7 %     114.9 %     111.4 %     111.6 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.4 )     7.9       35.4       22.6       (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       29.0       19.3       22.0       20.7       16.1       14.5  
Statutory combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    90.8 %     94.9 %     95.1 %     101.3 %     106.2 %     96.8 %     87.3 %     99.2 %     97.8 %     92.9 %     96.7 %     94.2 %     95.3 %     97.1 %
Commission expense ratio
    20.9 %     19.1 %     18.0 %     22.5 %     21.2 %     16.4 %     18.6 %     22.3 %     20.0 %     20.2 %     19.6 %     18.9 %     20.0 %     19.5 %
Other expense ratio
    9.3       10.4       11.7       12.9       15.0       14.0       10.3       11.8       12.2       11.0       11.6       12.0       11.0       12.7  
Statutory expense ratio
    30.2 %     29.5 %     29.7 %     35.4 %     36.2 %     30.4 %     28.9 %     34.1 %     32.2 %     31.2 %     31.2 %     30.9 %     31.0 %     32.2 %
GAAP combined ratio
                                                                                                               
GAAP combined ratio
    90.9 %     102.3 %     133.2 %     120.7 %     100.0 %     122.5 %     115.3 %     110.1 %     126.9 %     112.7 %     118.7 %     115.9 %     111.8 %     111.9 %
Contribution from catastrophe losses
    (1.4 )     7.9       35.4       22.6       (4.1 )     23.8       27.0       11.6       29.0       19.3       22.0       20.7       16.1       14.5  
GAAP combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
    92.3 %     94.4 %     97.8 %     98.1 %     104.1 %     98.7 %     88.3 %     98.5 %     97.9 %     93.4 %     96.7 %     95.2 %     95.7 %     97.4 %
                                                                                                                 

*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts. The sum of quarterly amounts may not equal the full year as each is computed independently.
 *nm - - Not meaningful
 * Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
24

 

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company
Statutory Statements of Income

   
For the Three Months Ended December 31,
   
For the Twelve Months Ended December 31,
 
(Dollars in millions)
 
2009
   
2008
   
Change
   
% Change
   
2009
   
2008
   
Change
   
% Change
 
                                                 
Net premiums written
  $ 110     $ 48     $ 62       129.4     $ 338     $ 177     $ 161       91.1  
Net investment income
    33       31       2       6.6       126       120       7       5.6  
Amortization of interest maintenance reserve
    (2 )     -       (2 )  
nm
      (6 )     (2 )     (5 )     (258.9 )
Commissions and expense allowances on reinsurance ceded
    2       2       -    
nm
      7       8       (1 )     (8.3 )
Income from fees associated with Separate Accounts
    -       1       (1 )     (103.0 )     1       2       (1 )     (70.4 )
Total revenues
  $ 144     $ 82     $ 62       76.3     $ 466     $ 305     $ 161       52.9  
                                                                 
Death benefits and matured endowments
  $ 11     $ 12     $ (1 )     (11.2 )   $ 53     $ 46     $ 7       15.2  
Annuity benefits
    7       12       (5 )     (39.2 )     30       34       (4 )     (11.9 )
Disability benefits and benefits under accident and health contracts
    -       1       (1 )     (38.9 )     2       3       (1 )     (20.2 )
Surrender benefits and group conversions
    6       6       -    
nm
      21       24       (3 )     (11.3 )
Interest and adjustments on deposit-type contract funds
    3       3       -    
nm
      11       11       -    
nm
 
Increase in aggregate reserves for life and accident and health contracts
    92       25       67       267.5       275       102       173       169.3  
Total benefit expenses
  $ 119     $ 59     $ 60       102.2     $ 392     $ 220     $ 173       78.4  
                                                                 
Commissions
  $ 12     $ 9     $ 4       44.2     $ 43     $ 33     $ 10       29.4  
General insurance expenses and taxes
    9       10       (1 )     (12.7 )     36       39       (3 )     (8.2 )
Increase in loading on deferred and uncollected premiums
    (1 )     (1 )     -    
nm
      (5 )     (3 )     (2 )     (68.2 )
Net transfers to or (from) Separate Accounts
    -       -       -    
nm
      (4 )     -       (4 )  
nm
 
Total operating expenses
  $ 21     $ 18     $ 2       11.2     $ 69     $ 69     $ -    
nm
 
                                                                 
Federal and foreign income taxes incurred (benefit)
    (1 )     14       (14 )  
nm
      (6 )     34       (39 )  
nm
 
                                                                     
   
 
Net gain from operations before realized capital gains or (losses)
  $ 5     $ (9 )   $ 14    
nm
    $ 11     $ (17 )   $ 28    
nm
 
                                                                 
Net realized gains or (losses) net of capital gains tax
    11       (13 )     24    
nm
      4       (53 )     57    
nm
 
                                                                 
Net income (loss) (statutory)
  $ 16     $ (22 )   $ 37    
nm
    $ 15     $ (70 )   $ 85    
nm
 
 
*Dollar amounts shown are rounded to millions; certain amounts may not add due to rounding. Ratios are calculated based on whole dollar amounts.
* Statutory data prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules as defined by the National Association of Insurance  Commissioners and filed with the appropriate regulatory bodies.

 
25

 
  
EX-99.3 5 v172791_ex99-3.htm

CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION
 
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel
513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
      
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik
513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Announces Addition to Board
 
Cincinnati, February 1, 2010 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) – The Cincinnati Financial board of directors, at its regular meeting on January 29, 2010, added a fourteenth seat to the board, appointing  Linda W. Clement-Holmes to fill the seat effective February 1, 2010. She also will serve on the audit committee.
 
Clement-Holmes is senior vice president, Global Diversity and Global Business Services, for The Procter & Gamble Company. She joined P&G as a systems analyst and, through her 27-year career, has moved through positions of expanding responsibility in IT and Global Business Services. She has led numerous breakthrough initiatives in IT systems management and organizational development. She earned a Bachelor of Science in Industrial Management and Computer Science degree from Purdue University. She has served on a number of advisory boards including: Conference Board-Council of Chief Information Officers, IT Senior Management Forum, National Urban League, Jack & Jill of America, Cincinnati Black Data Processing Association, Victory Neighborhood Services and 4C (Comprehensive Community Child Care).
 
John J. Schiff, Jr., CPCU, chairman of the board, commented: “Linda’s expertise in strategic technology management complements the diverse strengths of our current directors, rounding out our board and supporting our goal to create value for shareholders.”
 
In accordance with the company’s governance guidelines, Clement-Holmes will stand for re-election by shareholders at the annual meeting of shareholders on May 1, 2010. Other nominees on the slate for terms to expire in 2013 are continuing directors: Gregory T. Bier, CPA (Ret), Douglas S. Skidmore and Larry R. Webb, CPCU. Vice Chairman of the Board James E. Benoski, whose term also is expiring, will not stand for re-election. Benoski, age 71, was president, chief operating officer, chief insurance officer of the company until July 2008. As previously announced, he retired from active employment in January 2009. He continues as a director on all subsidiary boards.
 
Cincinnati Financial plans to report fourth-quarter and year-end 2009 results on Thursday, February 4. A conference call to discuss the results will be held at 11:00 a.m. EST on that day. Details regarding the Internet broadcast of the conference call are available on www.cinfin.com/investors.
 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
 
Mailing Address:
Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141


 
1

 

Safe Harbor Statement
 
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 25. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
 
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
·  
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
·  
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
·  
Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
·  
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
·  
Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
·  
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
·  
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
·  
Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
 
°
Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
°
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
°
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
·  
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
·  
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
·  
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
·  
Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
·  
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
 
°
Multi-notch downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
°
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
 
°
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
 
°
Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
·  
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
 
°
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
°
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
°
Increase our expenses
 
°
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
°
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
°
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
°
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
·  
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
·  
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
·  
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
·  
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
 
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain. 
* * *
 
 
2

 
 
EX-99.4 6 v172791_ex99-4.htm

 
 
CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION
 
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel
 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
 
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik
513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend

Cincinnati, February 1, 2010 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq: CINF) today announced that at its regular meeting on January 29, 2010, the board of directors declared  a 39.5 cents per share regular quarterly cash dividend payable April 15, 2010, to shareholders of record as of March 24, 2010. Following the increase in the regular dividend rate with the August 14, 2009, dividend declaration, the indicated annual dividend is $1.58 per share. Cash dividends declared during 2009 totaling $1.57 per share marked the 49th consecutive year of increasing the company’s annual cash dividend.

Kenneth W. Stecher, president and chief executive officer, commented, “The board considers company performance prospects and current financial strength as part of its quarterly evaluation of opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Declaring the regular dividend demonstrates their confidence in the company’s strategy and its execution by management and our associates, who continue to work closely with the independent agents that represent The Cincinnati Insurance Companies. Collectively, we are focused on increasing shareholder value over the long term by investing now to profitably grow our insurance business, while also rewarding shareholders in the near term through cash dividends.”

Cincinnati Financial plans to report fourth-quarter and year-end 2009 results on Thursday, February 4. A conference call to discuss the results will be held at 11:00 a.m. EST on that day. Details regarding the Internet broadcast of the conference call are available on www.cinfin.com/investors.


Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
 
Mailing Address:
 
Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
 
6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
 
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
 
1

 
 
Safe Harbor Statement
 
This is our “Safe Harbor” statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Our business is subject to certain risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements in this report. Some of those risks and uncertainties are discussed in our 2008 Annual Report on Form 10-K, Item 1A, Risk Factors, Page 25. Although we often review or update our forward-looking statements when events warrant, we caution our readers that we undertake no obligation to do so.
 
Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to:
 
·
Unusually high levels of catastrophe losses due to risk concentrations, changes in weather patterns, environmental events, terrorism incidents or other causes
·
Increased frequency and/or severity of claims
·
Inadequate estimates or assumptions used for critical accounting estimates
·
Recession or other economic conditions resulting in lower demand for insurance products or increased payment delinquencies
·
Delays in adoption and implementation of underwriting and pricing methods that could increase our pricing accuracy, underwriting profit and competitiveness
·
Inability to defer policy acquisition costs for any business segment if pricing and loss trends would lead management to conclude that segment could not achieve sustainable profitability
·
Declines in overall stock market values negatively affecting the company’s equity portfolio and book value
·
Events, such as the credit crisis, followed by prolonged periods of economic instability or recession, that lead to:
 
°
Significant or prolonged decline in the value of a particular security or group of securities and impairment of the asset(s)
 
°
Significant decline in investment income due to reduced or eliminated dividend payouts from a particular security or group of securities
 
°
Significant rise in losses from surety and director and officer policies written for financial institutions
·
Prolonged low interest rate environment or other factors that limit the company’s ability to generate growth in investment income or interest rate fluctuations that result in declining values of fixed-maturity investments, including declines in accounts in which we hold bank-owned life insurance contract assets
·
Increased competition that could result in a significant reduction in the company’s premium volume
·
Changing consumer insurance-buying habits and consolidation of independent insurance agencies that could alter our competitive advantages
·
Ability to obtain adequate reinsurance on acceptable terms, amount of reinsurance purchased, financial strength of reinsurers and the potential for non-payment or delay in payment by reinsurers
·
Events or conditions that could weaken or harm the company’s relationships with its independent agencies and hamper opportunities to add new agencies, resulting in limitations on the company’s opportunities for growth, such as:
 
°
Multi-notch downgrades of the company’s financial strength ratings
 
°
Concerns that doing business with the company is too difficult
 
°
Perceptions that the company’s level of service, particularly claims service, is no longer a distinguishing characteristic in the marketplace
 
°
Delays or inadequacies in the development, implementation, performance and benefits of technology projects and enhancements
·
Actions of insurance departments, state attorneys general or other regulatory agencies, including a change to a federal system of regulation from a state-based system, that:
 
°
Restrict our ability to exit or reduce writings of unprofitable coverages or lines of business
 
°
Place the insurance industry under greater regulatory scrutiny or result in new statutes, rules and regulations
 
°
Increase our expenses
 
°
Add assessments for guaranty funds, other insurance related assessments or mandatory reinsurance arrangements; or that impair our ability to recover such assessments through future surcharges or other rate changes
 
°
Limit our ability to set fair, adequate and reasonable rates
 
°
Place us at a disadvantage in the marketplace
 
°
Restrict our ability to execute our business model, including the way we compensate agents
·
Adverse outcomes from litigation or administrative proceedings
·
Events or actions, including unauthorized intentional circumvention of controls, that reduce the company’s future ability to maintain effective internal control over financial reporting under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
·
Unforeseen departure of certain executive officers or other key employees due to retirement, health or other causes that could interrupt progress toward important strategic goals or diminish the effectiveness of certain longstanding relationships with insurance agents and others
·
Events, such as an epidemic, natural catastrophe or terrorism, that could hamper our ability to assemble our workforce at our headquarters location
 
Further, the company’s insurance businesses are subject to the effects of changing social, economic and regulatory environments. Public and regulatory initiatives have included efforts to adversely influence and restrict premium rates, restrict the ability to cancel policies, impose underwriting standards and expand overall regulation. The company also is subject to public and regulatory initiatives that can affect the market value for its common stock, such as recent measures affecting corporate financial reporting and governance. The ultimate changes and eventual effects, if any, of these initiatives are uncertain.
 
* * *

 
2

 
EX-99.5 7 v172791_ex99-5.htm
  
CINCINNATI  FINANCIAL  CORPORATION
  
Investor Contact: Dennis E. McDaniel
 513-870-2768
CINF-IR@cinfin.com
 
Media Contact: Joan O. Shevchik
513-603-5323
Media_Inquiries@cinfin.com

Cincinnati Financial Corporation Subsidiaries Announce Appointments and Promotions
· Subsidiary Directors, Officers and Counsel
 
Cincinnati, February 1, 2010 – Cincinnati Financial Corporation (Nasdaq:CINF) announced today that boards of its subsidiary companies appointed directors, officers and counsel at their regular meetings on January 29, 2010.

Boards of subsidiary companies made the following promotions and new appointments of officers and counsel:

Property Casualty Insurance – Standard Market:
The Cincinnati Insurance Company
The Cincinnati Casualty Company
The Cincinnati Indemnity Company

Promoted to Vice President:
Scott A. Gilliam – Government Relations Officer
Debra K. Smith – Commercial Lines
Stephen M. Spray – Target Markets
James E. Streicher, CPCU, AIM, AIT, ARe, ASLI – Personal Lines
Scott L. Unger – Bond & Executive Risk

Promoted to Assistant Vice President:
Beth A. Adkins – Corporate Accounting
M. Cathleen Cloud, CPCU, AIM – Commercial Lines
Michael W. Klenk – Commercial Lines
David U. Neville, CPCU, AIM, API, ARe – Personal Lines
James D. Ogle, CPCU, AIC – Headquarters Claims
Henry C. Schmidt III, AIM – Personal Lines
Blake D. Slater – Corporate Accounting

Promoted to Secretary:
Matthew R. Barton, CPCU, AIM, ARe, ARM, AU – Commercial Lines
Kimberly A. Beckman, PMP – Information Technology
John B. Boylan, CPCU, APA – Premium Audit
Jason B. Couch, AFSB, RPLU – Bond & Executive Risk
Michael J. Donges, CPCU – Web Content Management
Brent A. Hardesty III, CPCU, CIA, CISA, AIAF – Internal Audit
J. Michael Hennigan – Headquarters Claims
Derek J. Rice, AIM – Learning & Development

New Appointments to Assistant Secretary:
B. Scott Albaugh, CPCU, AIM – Commercial Lines
Scott R. Boden, AFSB – Bond & Executive Risk
John L. Crow – Headquarters Claims
Steven D. Dorr – Bond & Executive Risk
Richard J. Dugan, AIC – Headquarters Claims
Constance S. Hennigan, CPCU, AIC, AIM, RPLU – Headquarters Claims
Anthony P. Vallone, CIPP – Information Security

 
 

 

New Appointments to Associate Counsel:
Thomas C. Hogan
Paul J. Johnson
Joseph A. McGee

Property Casualty Insurance – Excess & Surplus Lines:
The Cincinnati Specialty Underwriters Insurance Company:

Promoted to Secretary:
Scott E. Hintze, CPCU, AIM, ASLI, AU, CIC, CRM
Marc J. Schambow, CPCU, AIM, ASLI

New Appointments to Assistant Secretary:
Dawn S. Chapel, CPCU, APA, ARe, ASLI, AU
Michael T. Luebbe, CPCU, AIM

The Cincinnati Life Insurance Company:

Promoted to Vice President:
Roger A. Brown, FSA, MAAA, Vice President – Actuarial
Scott A. Gilliam*

Promoted to Secretary:
Kimberly A. Beckman*
Brent A. Hardesty III*

New Appointments to Assistant Secretary:
C. Elaine Mackey, FSA, MAAA, Assistant Secretary – Actuarial
Anthony P. Vallone*

New Appointments to Associate Counsel:
Thomas C. Hogan*
Paul J. Johnson*
Joseph A. McGee*

CFC Investment Company:

Promoted to Assistant Vice President:
Blake D. Slater*

*Title as listed above
 

Cincinnati Financial Corporation offers business, home and auto insurance, our main business, through The Cincinnati Insurance Company and its two standard market property casualty companies. The same local independent insurance agencies that market those policies may offer products of our other subsidiaries, including life and disability income insurance, annuities and surplus lines property and casualty insurance. For additional information about the company, please visit www.cinfin.com.
 
Mailing Address:
 
Street Address:
P.O. Box 145496
 
6200 South Gilmore Road
Cincinnati, Ohio 45250-5496
 
Fairfield, Ohio 45014-5141

 
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